Favorites And Fireworks

Baker Mayfield is going in the 11th round, approximately 126th overall, as QB20. The source stacks him as the medium-priced Buccaneers anchor because despite a shoulder injury in week 12 (non-throwing shoulder) and missing receivers, he clawed into the top 10 in both passing yards and passing touchdowns. With a healthy receiving core, new offensive coordinator Zach Robinson (who helped Atlanta's QB situation), and the Bucs' rushing game, the source expects a big resurgence for the offense at a comfortable ADP.

Dalton Kincaid is going off the board as TE12 at ADP 118. He offers 24% target per route run and more than 2.75 yards per route run, making him an extremely cheap alternative Bills stack option. The source prefers him over other late-round tight ends as a pass-catcher stack component because of his efficiency metrics and late-round cost, though the primary Bills stack focus remains Allen and Cook.

Emeka Egbuka is going in the 4th round, 44th overall, as WR20. The source believes fully in him as Baker Mayfield's primary pass catcher in the Buccaneers stack. Despite a hamstring injury derailing his season after a hot start (445 yards, 5 TDs in first five games), Egbuka has been rising as a steam pick and ADP breakout, reaching as high as the second round in high-stakes leagues. The source warns that ADP could creep into the 30s and advises drafters to be prepared. He's a smash at ADP 44 but may not be available there.

Jalen McMillan is moving down draft boards despite strong efficiency metrics. The source is buying him on the way down because even in a down 2024 year, he posted 18% target per route run, more than 2 yards per route run, and nearly 15 yards per reception. He's effective in tight spaces and has a history of forcing his way onto the field and producing after injuries. The source prefers him over Ted Hurst (the training camp hype rookie) as a Z receiver in the Buccaneers offense, especially at a cheaper ADP.

The source cannot get themselves to draft Naylor, expressing skepticism about the Raiders' wide receiver group and indicating Naylor is not a player they are willing to roster in redraft.

James Cook is going in the first round, 9th overall, as RB5. The source is all in on the Bills rushing package under Joe Brady, who elevated Cook as offensive coordinator and now has even more control as head coach. The Bills averaged the most rushing yards per game in the NFL last year and ranked second in yards per rush. Cook is the clear lead back with Josh Allen as the only other relevant rushing option (goal-line vulture). The source notes Cook and Allen had six simultaneous top-10 weekly finishes together last year, disproving the cannibalization concern.

Jordan Love is going in the 11th round at approximately the same ADP as Baker Mayfield (QB20 area). The source anchors the cheap Packers stack with Love because the Packers' weak defense (Micah Parsons out until mid-October) and uncertain backfield (Josh Jacobs concerns) should force the team to lean into the passing game. Despite ranking 30th and 27th in passing attempts the last two seasons, the Packers ranked top 12 in passing touchdowns both years, showing efficient, aggressive play-calling. More passing volume is a net win for fantasy even if efficiency dips slightly.

Josh Allen is going in the early third round, 26th overall, as QB1. The source emphasizes his elite, consistent upside: six straight seasons as a top-two fantasy quarterback, averaging ~100 rush attempts per season, and hasn't missed a game in the last six years. His rushing volume and dual-threat ceiling make him a fantasy freak despite the early ADP cost. Notably, Allen has had six simultaneous top-10 weekly finishes with James Cook on the same roster, proving they don't cannibalize each other.

Kenny Gainwell is going in the 9th round as RB36. The source adds him to the medium-priced Buccaneers stack as a complementary piece, preferring him over Bucky Irving (RB20) despite Irving's higher ADP. Gainwell offers a comfortable ADP and fits the stack's value thesis around a resurgent Buccaneers offense with a healthy Baker Mayfield and new offensive coordinator.

The source likes Mayer as a draft pick despite injury history over the last couple of years; describes him as a forgotten man and notes his ADP is basically non-existent, making him an attractive target in redraft formats where the Raiders need receiving help beyond Bowers and Gentry.

Ted Hurst is a last-round pick for Buccaneers stocks and is moving up draft boards on training camp hype (described as a dynamo, the next Mike Evans). However, the source cautions that this hype may be overextended; the Buccaneers never explicitly stated Hurst would be the primary third receiver, and the interpretation stems from over-extrapolation of rookie training camp buzz. The source likes Hurst in dynasty but is not biting in redraft because he's rising too fast in his rookie year, and the source prefers McMillan's proven production.

Despite high volume opportunity (led the league in routes run in a prior year), Tucker has underperformed efficiency metrics: 15% target per route and just over one yard per route run. The source believes Tucker could get replaced given the lack of production relative to opportunity, making him a risky draft target despite his volume appeal.

Tucker Kraft is going in the 7th round, 74th overall, as TE7. The source calls him the most expensive piece of the cheap Packers stack but believes he should be going in the 4th or 5th round if healthy. Last year, Kraft ranked top 5 among all pass catchers (not just tight ends) in yards per target, yards after catch per reception, broken tackle rate, and passer rating when targeted. The source recommends a late-round dart throw at tight end if Kraft misses a couple weeks or has a slow start, but views him as a stud at his current ADP.