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Footballguys fantasy football takes on Derrick Henry
Every source-backed article insight STACKED has extracted from Footballguys about Derrick Henry.
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All Footballguys insights about Derrick Henry
PositiveValueOct 24, 2026
Henry lands in 14.9 percent optimal against 10.1 percent rostered, making him under-rostered. Ravens players fill 40 percent of optimal lineups against 33 percent of the field's roster spots, and Henry is the main reason for this gap.PositiveMatchupOct 24, 2026
Henry scored a revenge touchdown against the Tennessee Titans in Week 4.PositiveProjectionOct 24, 2026
Henry can move up the touchdown and yardage lists in Week 7 against Cincinnati. He was held out of the endzone for the first time in 2026 in Week 6 and is looking to get back on track. Cincinnati's defense is exploitable. Notably, Jerome Bettis holds the record for most rushing yards against Cincinnati with 1,794 yards, and Henry is pursuing both touchdown and yardage milestones (1 TD from Marshall Faulk's 136 for 7th all-time; 110 rushing yards from Bettis's 13,662 for 8th all-time).PositiveProjectionOct 22, 2026
Derrick Henry leads the league with 130 carries and belongs in the top tier of running backs despite recent efficiency dips; he has 534 yards and seven touchdowns at 4.1 yards per carry, averaging 21.7 carries per game. Recent performances show 102 yards in Week 5 overtime win at Atlanta and 58 yards in Week 6 loss at Cleveland with no rushing touchdowns in either game as the Ravens offense desperately misses starting quarterback Lamar Jackson. The source notes that part of Henry's efficiency dip is due to the rebuilt offensive line ravaged by injuries and the loss of center Tyler Linderbaum; however, the return of Cam Jurgens from Philadelphia to start at center and push Vega Ioane to right guard should greatly help the offensive line, as 2025 third-round pick Emery Jones has been a disaster at right guard this season.NegativeProjectionOct 22, 2026
Henry leads the league with 130 carries and belongs in the top tier of running backs based on volume alone, averaging 21.7 carries per game. However, his efficiency has dipped significantly: he has 534 yards and seven touchdowns at 4.1 yards per carry. Since Lamar Jackson sprained his ankle in Week 4, Henry has run for 102 yards in a Week 5 overtime win at Atlanta and 58 yards in a 13-10 loss at Cleveland last week, with no rushing touchdowns in either game as the Ravens offense desperately misses their starting quarterback.PositiveMatchupOct 22, 2026
Derrick Henry is placed in the HIGH FLOOR RB2 tier for Week 7 against Cincinnati, indicating reliable floor with RB2-tier starting lineup recommendation for this matchup.PositiveUsageOct 21, 2026
Leads the league with 23 carries inside the 10-yard line and is a good bet to get into the end zone; however, he has averaged only 3.6 yards per carry over his last four games, showing efficiency concerns despite high red-zone volume.PositiveProjectionOct 20, 2026
Derrick Henry is RB5 in the initial Footballguys Week 7 projections for Baltimore's matchup against Cincinnati; his appeal increases if Lamar Jackson returns from his ankle injury and is effective, as the Ravens-Bengals game has the second-highest total at 51.5 points.PositiveProjectionOct 19, 2026
Henry managers will have plenty of happy days to come following Tennessee's Week 6 win that takes pressure off the offense; the source implies sustained positive fantasy production ahead.NegativeProjectionOct 19, 2026
Henry posted 4.5 fantasy points in Week 7 and is featured in the Landmine Lineup. The source notes that Robinson and Henry managers will have plenty of happy days to come, suggesting future upside despite this week's poor performance.NegativeProjectionOct 17, 2026
At $8,200, is less enticing against the Browns with Tyler Huntley at quarterback, but he can run away from defenses and score multiple touchdowns regardless of who is under center for Baltimore. Positioned as a contrarian leverage play when spending heavily at both running back spots, though the quarterback situation creates some uncertainty.NegativeMatchupOct 17, 2026
Listed as a revenge touchdown scorer from Week 4; Henry scored against his former team Tennessee.PositiveUsageOct 16, 2026
Derrick Henry's volume should remain in the range of 23-27 touches per game. The Ravens will need the ground game to be a fundamental part of their plan if they want to compete without Lamar Jackson.PositiveProjectionOct 15, 2026
Placed in the HIGH CEILING RB1 tier for Week 6 matchup at CLE; indicates upside potential with ceiling-dependent performance.PositiveRoleOct 15, 2026
Derrick Henry is a lineup lock for the Ravens regardless of whether Lamar Jackson or Tyler Huntley starts at quarterback in Week 6.NegativeValueOct 11, 2026
Henry will dominate Showdown rosters and many will Captain him, but his recent production doesn't justify the chalk. He posted 38 DraftKings points in Week 1, but has been fed robustly at 24 touches per game since then while posting only 18, 22, and 16 points—solid totals that won't help in a Showdown where he's rostered by half or more of the field. Even if he tops 24 touches with 130 yards and multiple touchdowns, that may not justify him given the massive exposure.PositiveMatchupOct 10, 2026
Derrick Henry had a revenge game performance in Week 4 against Tennessee, winning 24-18 with 73 rushing yards and 1 rushing touchdown plus 2 receptions for 6 receiving yards; now faces Tennessee again in Week 5.PositiveProjectionOct 10, 2026
Henry has 7 touchdowns in 4 games and is 2 touchdowns away from reaching Marshall Faulk's 136 touchdowns (7th all-time). His next rushing milestone is 271 yards away, with Jerome Bettis sitting 8th on the all-time list. The Ravens will need to rely on him with Tyler Huntley starting for Lamar Jackson, positioning Henry for increased volume.PositiveProjectionOct 10, 2026
Derrick Henry is cited as part of an elite fantasy roster alongside Jahmyr Gibbs, Chris Olave, and Christian Watson, indicating he is a difference maker and top-tier asset.NegativeProjectionOct 9, 2026
With Tyler Huntley at QB instead of Lamar Jackson, Derrick Henry's volume should remain in similar ranges, but touchdown expectations must be adjusted downward due to the reduced passing efficiency.NegativeMatchupOct 8, 2026
Derrick Henry was held to 68 yards on 16 carries in New Orleans' Week 2 win, demonstrating that the Saints' run defense can play disciplined, physical football when everything is working, despite their overall 27th-ranked run defense ranking entering Week 4.NegativeMatchupOct 8, 2026
Derrick Henry's fantasy ceiling is affected by Lamar Jackson's ankle injury and potential absence against Atlanta; however, nobody should bench Henry despite the implications for the Ravens' overall scoring expectations.NegativeProjectionOct 6, 2026
Henry is attacking the career rushing yards and touchdowns list. His 7 touchdowns put him on pace for 29.75. He is two touchdowns from Marshall Faulk's 136, seventh on the all-time list. Six touchdowns will tie Jamal Lewis for the Ravens franchise record. Henry has been piling on usage through the first four weeks; the Ravens will need to continue leaning on him with Tyler Huntley after Lamar Jackson looks to be out for multiple weeks. However, Week 5's matchup is difficult against a hot Atlanta defense that plays up for primetime spots. Henry is too valuable to sit, but we need to be prepared for a lower outcome unless he can push through on volume.PositiveMatchupOct 6, 2026
Derrick Henry is a lineup lock in Week 5 against Atlanta; he remains a lineup lock even if Tyler Huntley starts instead of Lamar Jackson, and Baltimore carries an implied total suggesting a competitive game at -2.5 points.PositiveMatchupOct 3, 2026
Henry has 3 touchdowns and faces a revenge game against Tennessee in Week 4, creating an opportunity for a huge day; he is 343 rushing yards away from passing Jerome Bettis for 8th all-time.PositiveProjectionOct 2, 2026
Ravens RB highlighted as having high probability of explosion week with points exceeding fantasy projections; typically outside Top 24 RBs, Top 36 WRs, Top 12 TEs range.PositiveProjectionOct 1, 2026
Derrick Henry ranks in the top 10 among 122 running backs with 300+ carries over the last decade, passing the 'smell test' as a legitimately elite back when evaluated by yards-per-carry metrics.PositiveProjectionOct 1, 2026
Ranked in the HIGH CEILING RB1 tier for Week 4 matchup vs. Tennessee, indicating upside potential with ceiling-dependent performance.PositiveProjectionSep 30, 2026
Derrick Henry ran 26 times for 89 yards and two touchdowns in Week 3 and has six rushing touchdowns on the season. Baltimore is a 27.5 implied total as an 11.5-point home favorite over Tennessee. This is a better spot for Henry than for Lamar Jackson, since the Titans have allowed the second-fewest fantasy points to quarterbacks.PositiveMatchupSep 29, 2026
Henry is one of the key players in Week 4; he faces his former team, Tennessee, for the first time since he left following the 2023 season.PositiveProjectionSep 29, 2026
Henry jumped Ray Rice on the Ravens' career touchdown list, moving into 2nd place, and Eric Dickerson on the career yardage list, moving to 9th; he stands 7 touchdowns from Jamal Lewis for the Ravens franchise record.PositiveProjectionSep 29, 2026
Derrick Henry continued his climb up the running back record books in Week 3 with 26 rushes for 89 yards and 2 TDs, maintaining 84% opportunity share and 67% snap share in the Baltimore backfield.PositiveValueSep 29, 2026
Derrick Henry is highlighted as a Three Stars DFS target in Week 4 based on Vegas odds analysis; the source identifies him as a top running back play for the week's slate.PositiveProjectionSep 28, 2026
Henry posted 89 rushing yards and 2 rushing touchdowns in Week 4. He passed Eric Dickerson to move into ninth on the career rushing yards list. Jerome Bettis is next, 343 yards away, while LaDainian Tomlinson is just 22 yards ahead of Bettis. Curtis Martin at 6th all-time is the realistic target for 2026; Henry would need 782 yards over the rest of the season. Henry jumped Ray Rice for second on the Ravens' career rushing touchdown list. He needs 17 rushing touchdowns to catch Tomlinson for second on the career rushing touchdown list and 3 touchdowns to catch Marshall Faulk for 7th most on the career touchdown list.PositiveProjectionSep 27, 2026
Derrick Henry scored 17.7 DraftKings points in Week 2 at $7,200 as a flex play in the source's cash lineup.PositiveValueSep 26, 2026
Derrick Henry at $7,700 carries similar median projections to Jonathan Taylor at roughly one-third the ownership of the Gibbs-Walker pairing in Week 3 DraftKings GPP; the source argues it's hard to justify that Gibbs and Walker are three times as likely to land in a first-place lineup, making Henry a leverage alternative.PositiveValueSep 26, 2026
Henry went from being projected as the most popular player on the slate on Thursday to a more modest percent rostered projection on Saturday, making him good chalk. He is projected for 15.5 percent rostered and lands in 15.1 percent of optimal lineups, with a projection of nearly 20 carries in the highest-total game on the slate with the Ravens at a 28.5 implied total.PositiveValueSep 26, 2026
Derrick Henry has a 15.5 percent rostered projection and lands in optimal lineups at almost exactly that rate, making him good chalk in a week in which Dan Hindery doesn't love the other running back chalk options.PositiveProjectionSep 26, 2026
Derrick Henry has 29 rushing yards through two games for Baltimore and is 871 yards away from Curtis Martin at 6th all-time. Henry can move up multiple spots over the year and is on pace to potentially reach the top 5 all-time rushing yards. A rushing touchdown would bring him even with Ray Rice on the Ravens record book.PositiveProjectionSep 25, 2026
Derrick Henry is expected to have an explosive scoring week in the Ravens vs. Cowboys game in Brazil (Week 3), which carries the highest expected total points of the week at 52.5. The source expects explosive production from Henry as one of the obvious fantasy options in this high-scoring matchup.NegativeProjectionSep 24, 2026
Henry gained 68 yards on 16 carries in Week 2 against New Orleans as the Ravens were upset, with the team running only 53 offensive plays. While this wasn't explosive, he was more than productive and found the end zone, indicating he will have better days ahead.PositiveRoleSep 24, 2026
Ravens center Jovaughn Gwyn, a 2023 seventh-round pick, has been an excellent run blocker through the first two weeks despite being abysmal in pass blocking. This is a tremendous boost to Henry's full-season outlook, as the Ravens had concerns about Tyler Linderbaum's departure and needed run-blocking support.PositiveProjectionSep 24, 2026
Despite being 32 years old, Henry is showing no signs of slowing down despite a significant career workload: 1,397 carries in high school, 603 in college (395 in senior season), and 2,702 in the NFL. Depending on how many more years he plays, he's likely to finish in the top three in NFL carries, though unlikely to catch Emmitt Smith's 4,409 record. This durability and sustained production at an advanced age supports continued fantasy relevance.PositiveMatchupSep 24, 2026
Henry faces Dallas in Week 3, a tougher matchup against one of the league's best run offenses. Dallas allowed the fifth-most fantasy points to opposing running backs last season and has been relatively unchallenged and unimpressive through two weeks, allowing 110 yards to Washington's rushing unit and 111 to Arizona's in Week 1. This presents a favorable opportunity for Henry.PositiveProjectionSep 24, 2026
Henry topped 110 yards against Indianapolis' defense in Week 2, continuing his strong start to the season. Despite being 32 years old, he's showing no signs of slowing down despite a significant workload dating back to high school. He gained 68 yards on 16 carries against New Orleans in Week 2 and found the end zone, with better days ahead.PositiveProjectionSep 24, 2026
Classified in the HIGH CEILING RB1 tier for Week 3 matchup at DAL, indicating upside potential with variance in outcomes.PositiveRoleSep 22, 2026
Derrick Henry is the unquestioned backfield leader for the Baltimore Ravens, establishing him as the clear workhorse in the Ravens' rushing attack.PositiveUsageSep 22, 2026
Elite yards-after-contact producer with 142 YAC through two weeks, demonstrating ability to manufacture fantasy production independent of offensive line play; unquestioned backfield leader on Baltimore Ravens (29.5 rushing attempts per game).PositiveProjectionSep 20, 2026
Henry had 97 rushing yards in Week 1 and is on pace to climb the all-time rushing yards list. He is currently 10th in rushing yards and needs 1,083 yards to reach Curtis Martin at 6th all-time. With 2 rushing touchdowns, he would trail only Emmitt Smith (164) and LaDainian Tomlinson (145) in career rushing touchdowns.PositiveUsageSep 19, 2026
Derrick Henry scored over 30 DraftKings points in Week 1, demonstrating the value of elite running backs in premier matchups; Devin Knotts' strategy of prioritizing elite running backs in premier matchups has been the move since 2024.PositiveProjectionSep 19, 2026
Derrick Henry is positioned to have 100+ yards and multiple touchdowns in Week 2; Devin Knotts considered moving off Henry down to Aaron Jones Sr. to reinvest savings into an elite wide receiver like Jaxon Smith-Njigba, but ultimately kept Henry at $7,200 in the primary cash lineup, believing in his upside.NegativeValueSep 19, 2026
At 29 percent rostered, he is the second-most popular player on the slate after Bijan Robinson. Ravens players fill about 70 percent of the field's projected roster spots against 58 percent of the optimal lineups, indicating the field is heavily over-invested in Baltimore.PositiveValueSep 19, 2026
Henry at $7,200 is positioned as a high-end running back option that will commonly join Robinson at RB2 in tournament lineups, offering value in a thin running back pool with Gibbs, Cook, Taylor, and Walker off the main slate.NegativeValueSep 19, 2026
Derrick Henry was awesome in Week 1, but at 32 years old and with a historical lack of pass-catching ability, Devin Knotts views him as an overreaction play in Week 2. Despite Henry's strong Week 1 performance, Knotts argues that Christian McCaffrey at only $300 more is the superior play, as San Francisco is a 13.5-point favorite against one of the league's worst defenses. Knotts explicitly states: "By taking Henry over McCaffrey it is a significant overreaction."NegativeProjectionSep 18, 2026
The source notes that while Derrick Henry performed well in Week 1 under new Ravens head coach Jesse Minter and OC Declan Doyle, his production is expected and replicable each week. The source's enthusiasm for the Ravens' offense stems more from the scheme and Lamar Jackson operating under center rather than Henry's individual performance.NegativeMatchupSep 17, 2026
Had a big game against Indianapolis in Week 1; Indianapolis allowed nearly 5.5 yards per carry, making them a defense to target with opposing running backs in Week 2 and beyond.PositiveUsageSep 17, 2026
Henry logged 24 carries for 144 yards and three touchdowns in Baltimore's Week 1 win over the Colts, establishing himself as a workhorse in the Ravens' offense despite the team's sharp passing attack.PositiveProjectionSep 17, 2026
Ranked in the HIGH CEILING RB1 tier for Week 2, facing New Orleans at home; positioned as a high-upside weekly starter with ceiling appeal.PositiveProjectionSep 16, 2026
Henry ran for 144 yards and three touchdowns in Week 1 and looks like a tremendous fit in Declan Doyle's offense for Week 2.PositiveProjectionSep 16, 2026
Henry's Week 1 performance validated his signing despite age concerns. The Ravens' running game benefited from losing Patrick Ricard and Isaiah Likely, as Durham Smythe and Matt Hibner provide steadier blocking options. Lamar Jackson working under center instead of gun or pistol makes it easier for Henry to read the line of scrimmage. Waldman says "Buy, buy, buy."PositiveProjectionSep 15, 2026
Designated as a Three Star running back in the Vegas Value Chart for Week 2, indicating strong DFS appeal based on Vegas odds analysis and game scripting.PositiveMatchupSep 15, 2026
Henry is an obvious ceiling play in Week 2 against New Orleans; Baltimore just dropped 41 points on Indianapolis with Henry rushing for 144 yards and scoring three times. New Orleans surrendered 31 points and 156 rushing yards to Gibbs in Detroit. Henry may be the player whose matchup Josh Allen likes most on the entire slate.PositiveProjectionSep 15, 2026
Henry was prime Henry in Week 1 with three scores including one from distance, showing he remains ahead on the judge's scorecards despite age concerns.PositiveProjectionSep 14, 2026
Derrick Henry posted 144 rushing yards and 3 rushing touchdowns in Week 1 for Baltimore, moving past Marcus Allen for sole possession of 3rd on the career rushing touchdown list with 125 total; he had his seventh career game with 140+ yards and 3+ touchdowns, tying Jim Brown for the most in NFL history, and also tied Brown for the most with 140+ rushing yards and 2+ touchdowns at 16 games.PositiveProjectionSep 10, 2026
Classified as HIGH CEILING RB1 for Week 1 matchup at Indianapolis; indicates upside potential with lower floor.PositiveBreakoutSep 7, 2026
Derrick Henry received 1 vote in the industry experts poll for 2026 league winner; voter is Alan Seslowsky.PositiveProjectionSep 7, 2026
Henry currently sits at 13,018 rushing yards (10th all-time) and 122 rushing touchdowns (4th all-time). He has averaged 1,758 yards and 16 touchdowns per season in his two Baltimore seasons. Maintaining that production would pace him to pass Eric Dickerson (9th, 13,259 yards) and Jerome Bettis (8th, 13,662 yards) in 2026, with a realistic path to reach Curtis Martin's 6th-place mark (14,101 yards) by 2027. For touchdowns, his current pace would reach Marcus Allen's 3rd-place mark (123 TDs) in 2026 and LaDainian Tomlinson's 2nd-place mark (145 TDs) by 2027. Henry has not considered retirement.PositiveValueSep 5, 2026
Henry received 28.8% of the contest budget allocation, making him the primary running back investment; he is the only selected running back with a bye week after Week 11.PositiveValueSep 4, 2026
Derrick Henry continues to defy the age curve and stands out as a priority value at ADP RB11, suggesting the source views him as undervalued relative to his production potential despite his age.PositiveValueSep 3, 2026
The source expresses enthusiasm for Derrick Henry in Round 2, noting he is a preferred option depending on how the round plays out. Henry is positioned as a viable alternative alongside A.J. Brown and Brock Bowers at that price level.PositiveValueSep 1, 2026
The source lists Derrick Henry as a primary Round 2 target, indicating preference over consensus at that stage.PositiveRoleAug 31, 2026
Offensive coordinator Declan Doyle indicated Henry will have an expansive role in Baltimore's new offense, saying there are not many players in the league who can do what Henry does.NegativeValueAug 26, 2026
Sigmund Bloom labels Henry as AVOID AT ADP; while not a gross overvalue in the late second round, Henry is still being drafted a round ahead of Javonte Williams, and Sigmund Bloom expresses concern that Father Time will eventually catch up with the aging running back.NegativeRoleAug 24, 2026
Derrick Henry acknowledged the Baltimore offense is a work in progress heading into the regular season; the offensive line struggled to protect Lamar Jackson against Brian Flores' exotic blitz packages during joint practices and Game 2 against Minnesota, suggesting potential concerns for the running game.PositiveValueAug 20, 2026
Derrick Henry has risen 3 spots in FBG OC ADP over the past week, moving from rank 25 to rank 22 (RB12), reflecting increased demand for the Baltimore running back.NegativeRoleAug 20, 2026
Derrick Henry is mentioned in the article title and tags as one of the players flying under the radar, suggesting the source is examining his draft positioning and role.PositiveProjectionAug 20, 2026
ESPN's Mike Clay argues Henry remains a featured rusher in a terrific offense and is well-positioned for his fifth consecutive top-eight fantasy campaign. Henry finished as RB7 last year and RB4 in 2024 while carrying the ball more than 300 times for the Ravens. His 3,516 rushing yards over the last two seasons are the most in the NFL, and he finished the 2025 season second in the NFL in rushing yards for the fourth season in a row. At age 32, only 12 players have achieved 1,000-yard rushing seasons at that age or older, but Henry's conditioning and new coaching staff support continued elite production.PositiveValueAug 20, 2026
Henry's RB12 ADP is undervalued relative to his track record and role. He leads the NFL in carries inside the 5-yard line (42) and is second in touchdowns (34) since joining Baltimore before 2024. His 5.2 yards per carry last season ranked fifth among qualified backs, and he totaled over 300 carries in each of his first two Ravens seasons. New head coach Jesse Minter called Henry a "major, major" part of the offense, and incoming offensive coordinator Declan Doyle said he will have "an immense role." The source argues Henry is a reasonably priced gamble at pick 21 overall, with elite production being normalized and discounted because of age; his track record and remarkable offseason conditioning suggest he could achieve his fifth consecutive top-eight fantasy finish.PositiveUsageAug 17, 2026
Has seen more perimeter play calls and could see an increased role in the passing game.PositiveValueAug 16, 2026
Derrick Henry is ranked RB23 on Footballguys projections and available at the end of Round 2. Bob Harris prefers his price and role over Saquon Barkley's, citing better cost-to-upside ratio.