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Footballguys fantasy football takes on Trevor Lawrence
Every source-backed article insight STACKED has extracted from Footballguys about Trevor Lawrence.
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Insights
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Insight ledger
All Footballguys insights about Trevor Lawrence
NegativeRoleJul 31, 2026
Trevor Lawrence has been effusive in his praise of Parker Washington during training camp, highlighting Washington's ability to create YAC and run the full route tree, including over-the-top routes. Lawrence noted that Washington is dangerous because he can tackle defenders after the catch, indicating confidence in Washington's role in the offense.PositiveProjectionJul 23, 2026
Lawrence surpassed 4,000 passing yards, tossed a career-high 29 touchdown passes, added nine rushing scores and finished fourth in fantasy points among quarterbacks in 2025 after a disappointing fourth season; the source calls him a 'Monster' verdict, noting that while the nine rushing scores likely won't repeat, he has a strong receiving corps in Brian Thomas Jr., Jakobi Meyers and Parker Washington, plus coach Liam Coen who excels at maximizing his signal-caller; with ADP still outside the top-10 among quarterbacks, Lawrence is an excellent target for patient drafters.PositiveValueJul 21, 2026
Lawrence went for $7, which Team 5 manager Chad later regretted. Chad noted that Lawrence was the 2nd quarterback nominated, leading to buyer's remorse; he would have preferred to wait and target Drake Maye ($8), Jayden Daniels ($7), or Caleb Williams ($4). This illustrates how nomination order drives pricing and the importance of patience at the QB position in salary cap drafts.NegativeValueJul 21, 2026
Lawrence was drafted for $7 by Team 5 manager Chad, who expressed buyer's remorse afterward. Chad noted that Lawrence was the 2nd quarterback nominated, and he should have waited to see the broader quarterback market. He would have preferred Drake Maye ($8), Jayden Daniels ($7), or Caleb Williams ($4), all of whom went for equal or lower prices later.PositiveValueJul 19, 2026
Despite regression concerns on rushing TDs, Lawrence is priced as QB11 ADP in the seventh round, well below his QB4 finish. Underrated Quarterbacks ranks him QB5 on Footballguys rankings. Even with regression, he should remain a high-volume passer and rusher, and his second season with Coen (who has a notoriously complex system that laid the foundation in 2025) offers trajectory upside. A deep group of talented pass catchers with demonstrated chemistry provides further confidence. At current price, Lawrence doesn't need to repeat QB4 to return value.NegativeBustJul 19, 2026
Lawrence's nine rushing TDs in 2025 more than doubled his combined output from the previous two seasons. SI.com's Michael Fabiano and Footballguys' Jason Wood both flag regression risk: only eight QBs since 2000 have rushed for 9+ TDs in a season (Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts, Cam Newton, Kyler Murray, Mike Vick, Daunte Culpepper), making Lawrence an outlier. Wood recommends cutting rushing TD projections in half as a baseline, though Lawrence should remain a high-volume passer and rusher given his top-10 finishes in both attempts over four full seasons.PositiveProjectionJul 19, 2026
Lawrence finished 2025 as QB4 with 342.2 fantasy points (20.1 PPG), but was QB1 from Weeks 10-17 with 24 total TDs in an eight-game stretch. He completed 60.9% for 4,007 yards, 29 passing TDs, 12 INTs, plus career highs in carries (82), rushing yards (359), and rushing TDs (9) for 38 total TDs (third-best in NFL). Jaguars averaged 33.6 PPG in that stretch and won the AFC South before a wild-card loss.NegativeProjectionJul 15, 2026
The source references Lawrence's 2025 season finish as a top-five fantasy quarterback, noting that few expected him and Drake Maye to join Josh Allen in the top-five at the position.PositiveValueJul 7, 2026
Trevor Lawrence is valued at $5 in salary cap drafts despite finishing as a Top 3 quarterback after Jacksonville's Week 8 bye last season. The source highlights his proven fantasy relevance and upward trajectory, noting he averaged 16+ rushing yards per game post-bye (with only 1 game below that threshold) and delivered strong performances against elite defenses (279 yards, 3 passing TDs, 1 rushing TD, 20 rushing yards vs. Denver in Week 15). With another offseason in Liam Coen's offense and improved chemistry with Jakobi Meyers, Lawrence is positioned for continued strong fantasy production. At $5, he is significantly underpriced relative to his Top 3 finish potential and should be paired with Bo Nix for less than $8 combined.PositiveValueJul 6, 2026
Lawrence blossomed in Liam Coen's offense last year with over 4,000 passing yards, 29 touchdown passes, 359 rushing yards (top-10 among QBs), and fourth-most fantasy points at the position. From Week 10 on, no QB amassed more fantasy points. In his second year in an offense that has produced top-five fantasy numbers from both Lawrence and Baker Mayfield, with Parker Washington, Jakobi Meyers, and Brian Thomas Jr. forming one of the league's better wideout trios, Lawrence has top-five fantasy upside available in the eighth round on average.