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Footballguys fantasy football takes on Geno Smith
Every source-backed article insight STACKED has extracted from Footballguys about Geno Smith.
16
Insights
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Positive
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Insight ledger
All Footballguys insights about Geno Smith
PositiveProjectionSep 9, 2026
Smith was reunited with the Jets this offseason as a bridge quarterback. While his numbers in Las Vegas last year weren't pretty, he was still able to complete 67.4% of his passes (11th among qualifiers) and has posted a passer rating over 90 in three of his last four seasons as a starter. That baseline alone puts him ahead of most of the passing production the Jets got out of the position in 2025, when their quarterbacks combined to finish 31st in the league in passer rating and dead last in yards per completion. New York also overhauled its pass rush, offensive line and skill positions this offseason, giving Smith more support than he's had in years.NegativeValueSep 4, 2026
Geno Smith rose one positional rank from QB29 to QB28 but experienced a significant ADP decline of 18.7 points from 172.3 to 191.0 between April and August, indicating substantial market pullback.PositiveValueSep 1, 2026
The source notes that Geno Smith is regularly going undrafted this year, positioning him as an undervalued quarterback option available late in drafts; the source's strategy emphasizes not sweating the QB position and finding in-season options, making Smith a potential league-winner at minimal draft capital.NegativeValueSep 1, 2026
Regularly going undrafted this year; positioned as an in-season waiver option to address the quarterback position rather than a draft target.PositiveProjectionAug 31, 2026
Smith followed up a near-perfect preseason debut against the Steelers with sharp final practices, leading a crisp scoring drive in a two-minute drill before the Giants game and connecting twice with Garrett Wilson and Mason Taylor before threading a pass to rookie Omar Cooper Jr. for the touchdown. Jets players have marveled at Smith's calm and firm leadership both in and out of the huddle.PositiveProjectionAug 14, 2026
JJ Zachariason noted about Smith: 'At least I didn't overpay, and the Jets could be good enough that we see a resurgent season,' suggesting Smith offers value without overpayment and potential for a strong season if the Jets improve.NegativeValueAug 14, 2026
JJ Zachariason notes that Geno Smith at pick 205 (QB) was not overpaid, and the Jets could be good enough to support a resurgent season, suggesting acceptable value at the price point despite concerns about the overall draft.NegativeRoleAug 6, 2026
If Geno Smith plays as he did in Seattle, there's room for Adonai Mitchell to deliver a fantasy impact. However, if he doesn't perform at that level, Mitchell's upside is limited.NegativeDepth ChartAug 2, 2026
Raiders traded QB Geno Smith to the Jets, removing him from Las Vegas and opening the door for Kirk Cousins and Fernando Mendoza in the quarterback room.NegativeRoleJul 30, 2026
Smith's arrival provides hope for greater stability in the Jets offense after a disastrous 2025 season, potentially benefiting rookie tight end Kenyon Sadiq.PositiveProjectionJul 27, 2026
Geno Smith's return to the Jets is not as a savior emerging from a breakout elsewhere, but as a cheap veteran with starting experience willing to suit up for a rebuilding franchise. After his 2022 breakout in Seattle (QB8 per game, 21.5 PPG), Smith declined to QB24 (18.2 PPG) in 2023 and QB19 (19.1 PPG) in 2024, rendering him unstartable for long stretches. He was arguably one of the worst full-time starting quarterbacks in the league last year. Now 36 years old, he must adapt to another new roster, coaching staff, and playbook.NegativeRoleJul 27, 2026
Geno Smith is in the twilight of his career, which is cited as a concern factor when evaluating Kenyon Sadiq's upside with the Jets offense.NegativeProjectionJul 27, 2026
Geno Smith's recent performance trajectory is concerning: after a QB8 finish in 2022 (21.5 PPG), he fell to QB24 in 2023 (18.2 PPG) and QB19 in 2024 (19.1 PPG), rendering him unstartable for stretches. Last year he was arguably one of the worst full-time starting quarterbacks in the league. Now 36 years old, he must adapt to a new Jets roster, coaching staff, and playbook, though he should benefit from decent protection.NegativeProjectionJul 20, 2026
Smith returns to Jets as starter after being drafted by the team, bringing potential for greater offensive stability, though this is not positioned as a major fantasy catalyst. Smith's arrival could benefit Breece Hall and Garrett Wilson if they fall in draft value, with training camp providing clearer picture of team's offensive outlook.NegativeProjectionJul 20, 2026
Smith returns to the Jets as starter but this is not a triumphant homecoming story. He could bring greater offensive stability, but the move should not generate excessive enthusiasm. The training camp will provide better clarity on what to expect from the team.PositiveRoleNo date
Geno Smith is an upgrade over Justin Fields at quarterback for the Jets, expected to improve the offensive environment for skill position players.