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9 Fantasy Football ADP Changes You MUST KNOW Before You Draft

STACKED extracted the fantasy-relevant player signal from this video and kept the full transcript here for context.

21 min
Duration
Estimated from transcript
Aug 21, 2026
Published
Fri, August 21, 2026
19
Player insights
19
Players mentioned
Topics
Breece HallBrock BowersCaleb DouglasChris GodwinChris OlaveD.J. MooreDe'Von AchaneEmeka EgbukaGeorge KittleHarold FanninJeremiyah LoveJordyn TysonJosh JacobsKeenan Allen
Player analysis

Player insights

19

Breece Hall

NegativeInjury9:53

Breece Hall is dealing with injury concerns, yet his ADP remains solidified in FFPC, typically requiring a mid-to-late third-round pick, though he occasionally slips into the fourth round. In NFFC, there is a wide variance in his draft position, ranging from the second/third-round turn to the mid-40s.

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Brock Bowers

NegativeValue13:43

Brock Bowers is considered a draft wild card who occasionally breaks into the top-tier conversation alongside elite picks like Jahmyr Gibbs, Bijan Robinson, and Ja'Marr Chase.

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Caleb Douglas

NegativeValue20:48

Caleb Douglas is currently being drafted frequently across various fantasy formats.

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Chris Godwin

PositiveValue8:52

Chris Godwin is seeing a steady rise in ADP as drafters recognize his potential to be a major part of the offense; he is currently going in the seventh round in FFPC and mid-60s overall in NFFC drafts. With Mike Evans gone, Godwin has the opportunity to be peppered with targets and potentially operate as the WR1 in the offense, a role in which he previously performed like a top-five receiver with Baker Mayfield.

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Chris Olave

PositiveValue10:58

Chris Olave's ADP is rising, currently sitting at WR12 in FFPC (early third round). Trevor Lawrence is very bullish on Olave, ranking him 19th overall, and notes he averaged 18.8 points per game in games started by Tyler Shuck last year.

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D.J. Moore

PositiveValue11:46

DJ Moore has moved from a locked-in fifth-round pick to a fourth-round selection in NFFC and FFPC drafts, driven by positive preseason performance. He is currently being drafted ahead of players like Terry McLaurin, Mike Evans, Davante Adams, and Christian Watson, and there is potential for him to climb higher than his current WR23 price tag.

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De'Von Achane

PositiveValue12:41

De'Von Achane is expected to see a slight ADP correction upward, potentially moving up five spots in high-stakes formats as drafters embrace his upside.

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Emeka Egbuka

NegativeInjury3:57

Emeka Egbuka's ADP is falling from the late second/early third round to the late third/early fourth round (37th overall in NFFC) due to concerns regarding a toe injury. Cryptic comments regarding the injury have created uncertainty about his status for Week 1.

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George Kittle

PositiveInjury18:07

George Kittle is rising in ADP and joining the top tight end tier; beat reporters are bullish on his health, suggesting he could play as early as Week 1 or Week 2.

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Harold Fannin

PositiveValue17:17

Harold Fannon Jr. is currently the first tight end drafted in a specific tier including Kyle Pitts, Tucker Kraft, and Sam LaPorta in FFPC formats, often going at the 4/5 turn as a high-upside pick, though he is pushed down in non-premium NFC formats.

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Jeremiyah Love

NegativeInjury15:01

Jeremiah Love is facing injury concerns but maintains a stable ADP, generally requiring a mid-to-early third-round pick in FFPC. He shows significant variance in NFFC drafts, with his draft position fluctuating between the second/third-round turn and the mid-40s.

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Jordyn Tyson

NegativeValue10:01

Jordan Tyson's ADP is in a consistent, 'slow straight line' decline due to injury status. Because FFPC and NFFC leagues lack IR spots, holding him is difficult in shallow formats, though he may become a viable hold in leagues that do provide IR roster spots.

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Josh Jacobs

NegativeValue14:36

Josh Jacobs has stabilized his ADP in the fourth round of FFPC drafts following his return to practice; in NFC formats, he typically goes in the 40s but occasionally falls into the 50s. High-stakes markets are currently ignoring suspension rumors.

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Keenan Allen

NegativeValue20:51

Keenan Allen's ADP is being monitored to see where it settles.

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MarShawn Lloyd

PositiveValue19:52

MarShawn Lloyd is being pushed into the 10th round by sharp fantasy players who view him as a massive upside handcuff.

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Mike Washington Jr.

PositiveValue20:20

Mike Washington's ADP has climbed from the 15th/16th round to as early as the 13th round, driven by his role as a direct handcuff to Ashton Genty and a strong preseason performance.

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Parker Washington

PositiveValue0:14

Parker Washington's ADP has surged due to training camp hype and positive buzz from Jacksonville beat reporters. In NFFC start-three-WR formats, he is now being drafted 45th overall (round four), while in FFPC main events, he has moved from a sixth/seventh-round pick in July to a fifth-round pick in August. His skill set aligns well with Trevor Lawrence, and he is expected to maintain this role barring injury.

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Puka Nacua

PositiveValue13:06

Despite suspension rumors reported by Adam Schefter, high-stakes drafters are not fading Puka Nacua, who remains locked in as a top-five pick. Trevor Lawrence views the rumors as noise and maintains confidence in Nacua's WR1 overall upside, advising drafters to treat the report as noise.

Insight page

Trevor Lawrence

NegativeUsage3:21

Trevor Lawrence is cited as the quarterback whose historical connection with Parker Washington's skill set supports the receiver's fantasy upside and rising ADP.

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Full transcript

Episode Transcript

171
0:00Players are moving up and down every single day. Drafts are going on every single day and we want to be locked in.
0:06I'm Theo Ginger, lead fantasy analyst right here at Rotoire. Make sure you go check out my rankings over at rotoawire.com. Huge discount right now.
0:14Use the code theo35 get 35% off. And a couple of these players I've had pretty ahead of consensus throughout the summer. And one player is Parker
0:24Washington. And Parker Washington I've had pretty much ahead of ADP for a lot of summer. But now I might end up being
0:30sort of behind him in my own rankings based on where he's going in some of these drafts. Parker Washington, the vibes are really good coming out of
0:38Jacksonville. There's some strong vibes for Brian Thomas Jr. as well, but I think drafters are really convincing themselves that Parker Washington is
0:47going to be a massive thing this year.
0:48The beat reporters in Jacksonville are sort of hyping him up. And you've also got the social media team for the Jaguars are like on a Parker Washington
0:55hype train. It's every day we're seeing highlights. We're seeing all these like the slow drip coming out of training camp. And when you look at the NFC,
1:03where this is a start three wide receiver format, PPR format with a flex, Parker Washington is going 45th overall over the last week in these $1,800 entry
1:14prime time draft. So again, start three wide receiver format. So he gets a bump because of the format, but drafters are
1:21taking him inside of round four, 45th overall. You go look at the FFPC and this is the interesting one. FFPC is a
1:29start to wide receiver format with two flexes PPR but also a tight end premium.
1:34So Parker Washington's doing battle with a bunch of tight end options in that range as well as wide receiver. We used
1:40to see Parker Washington available in the seventh round or the sixth round.
1:45really was sort of living in the sixth round for a good portion of July and you would see the occasional seventh round
1:51appearance even as early as like the beginning of August. Now Parker Washington is living inside of round five in FFPC main events. So if you want
2:01Parker Washington, be prepared to use an earlier pick there. the enthusiasm and the buzz surrounding him and his overlapping skill set that translates
2:11well with Trevor Lawrence historically is there and we saw Parker Washington absolutely smashing last year down the stretch including that huge playoff
2:20performance against the Buffalo Bills when Jacksonville lost their final game of the year. Parker Washington I think is locked in for the rest of summer
2:27barring injury. Be prepared to use a fifth round pick if not an early fifth round pick if you want Parker Washington. One wide receiver that is
2:37falling a little bit is Amecha Igbuka and he's down to 37 overall in NFC, which is notable because he was living
2:45inside the 20s. uh really was a a late second round or two three turn pick for a good portion of the summer and now
2:54we're seeing him down to 37 overall in the NFC which is notable because when when you look at when you look at Ibuka
3:04people are just worried about the toe here. So it's really we're being it's a little bit of cautious people are being very cautious
3:12with this one. Then we had Todd BS sort of coming out and saying that this is something where they they really it
3:19wasn't clarity. It was sort of a cryptic how he kind of described Ibuka. We start worrying about whether or not this is
3:26going to impact his status for week one.
3:28I mean, he's been one of my guys all off seasonason. Like the Amecha Eggpuka nickname were thrown out there, but I
3:37had to take him down a few spots, only a few in my rankings because there's just so many quality wide receivers there.
3:45I'm still very open-minded to drafting him. And if I get access to him at 37 overall in a start three wide receiver
3:51format like this one, I I love that one.
3:55But you're also seeing a movement with him in FFPC. Similar he goes about the similar range a little bit lower where
4:03you would see him in the early third round. Now you're sort of seeing him in the late third round. So we haven't seen
4:09a ton of fourth round exposure for him.
4:12But I I think if the toe injury lingers those final drafts when we get to Vegas, we get to New York City for the live
4:18drafts where a lot of money is going to be moving. I think we could see that.
4:22Uh, and looking at this prime time data, the the low for for him has been in the 40s. The high has been 27. So, there's a
4:30little bit of variance here, but overall, you're looking over the last week about 37 30 somewhere in that 33 to 37 range. FFPC very, very similar. The
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5:32splashports.com/rotoire and I'll see you in the contest. And on the flip side, you've got Chris Godwin climbing up where it's sort of the slow
5:44drip where people just are sort of coming to terms with Chris Godwin being a major part of the offense. Then you
5:51have a little bit of contingent upside that Chris Godwin could have some weeks where he's operating as the wide receiver one in this offense. He's been
5:59going inside of the seventh round in FFPC and a sixthrounder 60 around 63 to 65
6:08overall in those NFC drafts. So seventh rounder in the tight end premium FFPC about mid60s if you're looking to draft
6:17him inside of an NFC prime time draft.
6:20So you're talking about Chris Godwin going around guys I mean really getting close to the Brian Thomas Jr. Carnell Tate Marvin Harrison Jr tier of upside
6:31outside wide receivers but we talk about Chris Godwin just how impactful he was in in with Baker Mayfield at times we
6:40know the 2024 season looked like it was going to be a massive year for him goes down with an injury but he was
6:45performing like a top five wide receiver with Baker there. Now he has a chance with Mike Evans gone that Chris Godwin
6:51could be peppered with targets. Now could be nothing. This could be a Mecha Ibuka not missing any games this year.
6:58But I think the window of opportunity for Chris Godwin has certainly pushed him up. Another wide receiver who's moved way way up and this player had a
7:06really good preseason debut. But you're looking at DJ Moore and DJ Moore was sort of a a lockedin fifth round selection for a lot of the summer in
7:15multiple formats. Now he's living inside of round four. Locked in fourth round pick in NFC prime time drafts. People are embracing that Josh Allen wide
7:26receiver one. NFC Josh Allen goes earlier than in FFPC. The six-point passing touchdown format of NFC. Usually see the quarterbacks going a little
7:36early. So you're seeing a lot of very common Josh Allen DJ Moore correlation plays being built. It makes total sense.
7:44Buffalo hasn't had a thousandy receiver since Stefon Diggs left and we're hearing Josh Allen sort of hype up DJ Moore. We see that big three catch OP
7:54opener for him in Buffalo's first preseason game. Just looked good. DJ Moore looked good. He's very motivated this year. 40th overall about in NFC,
8:03but he's living inside the fourth round in FFPC as well. And we're starting to see him go ahead of some names that I
8:10think were sort of head-to-head with him. DJ Moore is going ahead of Terry McLaren and then ahead of that big tier
8:16with guys like Mike Evans, Devonte Adams, Christian Watson, Roma Dunay, Parker Washington, all of those guys.
8:23Jameson Williams about a full round behind DJ Moore. DJ Moore sort of creeping up towards some of these year 2 wide receivers. I think there's a chance
8:32DJ Moore moves up even higher off of his wide receiver 23 price tag. We've already seen a couple injuries and DJ
8:40Moore, I think more and more people are sort of adjusting their ranks. I moved DJ Moore up in my ranks over at Rotoire.
8:47The vibes are good. I'm following it a little bit. I'm not uh he's not a guy that I'm reaching for, but I think I'm a
8:53little more open-minded based on the information we're getting over the last month plus. The the vibes are just good with DJ Moore. He's not a full fade.
9:01He's a player that I think we should be open-minded to at ADP cost. Bree Hall and Jeremiah Love with some injury
9:09concerns. Neither one of these guys is falling though. They sort of still are solidified. The gap between these two and Derk Henry in FFPC is growing a
9:20little larger. In NFC, we're seeing a really wide variance with these guys where you're going to occasionally get some fourth round exposure to both of
9:30these players. It's it's just a wide wide range of outcomes here for for both of them in terms of where they go in in
9:37NFC drafts. But I've seen each of them fall into the mid40s and we've seen each of them go to towards like the two three
9:45turn as well. In FFPC it's a little bit more predictable. Be prepared to use a third mid to early third round pick on
9:53Jeremiah Love. be prepared to use a mid to late third round pick on Bruce Hall and Bruce Hall occasionally popping up
10:01into round four. Talking about Jordan Tyson, Jordan Tyson is buried right now.
10:06Jordan Tyson is falling and falling. It seems like every single day if Jordan Tyson was a stock, it would be like a
10:13slow straight line down. He'll eventually have a resistance point where Jordan Tyson's going to settle in and people are going to say, "Okay, might be
10:21week eight, might be week nine that I get him back, but he's worth holding."
10:25And to remember and remind everyone, FFPC and NFC don't have IR spots. So, if your league has an IR spot, it's way
10:34easier to hold Jordan Tyson for two plus months of the year potentially.
10:39If you're in a shallow format with no IR spots, that's tough because you're going to have to go through multiple waiver
10:45wire weeks. I mean, basically two months of waivers where it's a guy who's not producing for you and he's just sitting
10:51there as a stash. So, understand your format. But one thing that was pretty easily easily uh open for anybody paying attention is Chris's ADP was going to go
11:01up and it's moving. He's wide receiver 12 overall in FFPC and that usually means you're going to have to use somewhere in that 23 turn area for him.
11:10I took him at the three full disclosure since we're giving out financial advice.
11:14I selected Chris Ave twice last week. I took him in a $350 entry FFPC league with Ryan Heath and then I took him in a
11:22FFPC main event with Mike Schop. Both prices were like beginning of the third round with Mike Schop. Uh we took Chris
11:30I think that was the 302. Ryan Heath a little later than that. So, uh I think that was the 304 with Ryan Heath. I'd
11:37have to look that one up. But full disclosure, I'm not only talking about him financially, I have investments in him. So, I want to get that out there.
11:44Uh shout out shout out to the SEC and all that kind of stuff. So, we've got Chris going up wide receiver 12 FFPC and
11:51he's 22 overall in the prime time. So, NFC, you're not going to get access to him at that 23 turn. He's usually going
12:00before that. So, if you really want him, I mean, I think he's in play earlier than that. I dropped my rankings over at
12:06Rotoire as an article. If you're interested in subscribing to my rankings, you can go read the first 26 guys with writeups. I have Chris Ave 19
12:15overall, so I'm really high on him. Uh, there's a lot of fantasy analysts that are lower on Chris than I am. I am very
12:21bullish on his season. Averaged 18.8 points per game in in games that Tyler Shuck started last year. I think we're going to follow that trend this year. A
12:32uh usage king, target share, first read rate, airy yard share, completely locked in. You got the Jordan Tyson and now you've al also got Alvin Kamara. We're
12:41going to keep keep an eye on where Travis Achan's ADP is going to going to move up or up to. I think people are
12:47going to really embrace Achan. There's going to be a little bit of a correction. Not a massive bump, but I could see Han moving up five spots in
12:54both of these formats. We'll see where he settles in next time we do an update.
12:58Not enough drafts to sort of track that one since the Alvin Kamara injury. Uh, also we had the reports of a potential
13:06suspension for Pukanakua from Adam Shfter and I've seen some guys in the industry moving Pukinua down a little bit in their rankings. We're not really
13:16seeing that when it comes to high stakes drafters fading him by any means. He's sort of locked in. If you are in a
13:23draft, you know Puka's Puka is going to go at the four spot and if he falls, it's like the five spot. In FFPC,
13:32the top three picks are completely locked in. We're seeing a little bit of like one-offs where it could be Bjon at
13:37the top, but most drafts start out Jamir Gibbs, Bejian Robinson, Jamar Chase like clockwork. The wild card is Brock Bowers. Brock Bowers sometimes hops in
13:46there. Bowers is also like the consideration at four. I've seen some people in the industry pushing other wide receivers above Puka Nakua in like
13:56regular PPR rankings and we've seen that in NFC drafts where NFC drafts Puka usually goes at the 104 but there's
14:06occasional occasional 105 appearances.
14:08So any fear of a suspension for Puka is not being seen in the high stakes streets. I took Puka in an FFPC main
14:16event last night with Scott Barrett. I'm I'm I think it's fine. I mean it could be one game he's just locked in monster
14:23in terms of usage. We know he's got the wide receiver one overall upside. We saw it last year and I think he's going to
14:29be heavily utilized once again. So sort of treating Pukanakua as is and treating that report sort of as noise. We'll keep
14:36an eye on Josh Jacobs as well. Josh Jacobs return to practice. Jacobs has sort of been sitting inside of the fourth round. He's sort of stabilized
14:45where he always goes in the fourth round. sometimes the four five turn over at FFPC. You can go check out for
14:52detailed notes on where to like find Josh Jacobs. Go check out fantasymojo.com.
14:57And then in NFC, a little bit lower for Josh Jacobs. He sometimes falls. Usually he's still going in the 40s, but
15:05occasionally will fall into the 50s. So we know he's sort of living in round four. So the suspension uh rumors from
15:12Chef, we don't know how much smoke's there. It sounds like there was somebody told chef something, but the high stakes market is not moving guys up and down
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17:17One player to keep an eye on. There's been this like tier of tight ends and right now Harold Fannon Jr. is the the
17:24usually the first drafted tight end among a group of Fannon Jr., Kyle Pittz, Tucker Craft, and Sam Leaporta. That's sort of been a tier in FFPC where all of
17:35those guys sort of go somewhere in the fifth round and then the last one goes off the board at the middle of the sixth
17:42round. In NFC, it's not tight end premium, so these guys get pushed down uh considerably, but we're still seeing uh some enthusiasm for for multiple
17:52tight ends there. What's interesting is the tight end premium aspect that Harold Fannon Jr. is probably the one that people are sort of embracing him as a a
18:01big upside pick. I know I've seen him go sort of at that four or five turn. The others sort of settle into their own
18:07range, but what's interesting is you're seeing George KD sort of joining those guys. And the other interesting thing is Fannon Jr. how the NFC drafters are
18:19treating him in FFPC. Fannon Jr. is the top of this tier where he goes as the first tight end among these five guys.
18:27In NFC, he's usually like the fourth one. So, we're seeing a really big disconnect between the the two formats, the PPR centric NFC and then of course
18:38the tight end premium FFPC. But George KD is moving up. George KD I think like the there's drum beats there that George
18:45KD could play week one and if he's not playing in that Australia game that he's probably going to be playing week two.
18:51the the uh beat reporters are very bullish on George KD's health. He's a player we want to keep an eye on. So
18:57just understand that tight end tier.
19:00Another player that we want to keep an eye on, Dejon Stribbling, who is absolutely flying up boards right now.
19:05San Francisco 49ers rookie wide receiver. He's going 94 overall inside the top 100 in these NFC prime time drafts. Just an absolute rocket ship.
19:17more and more people getting behind stribbling as not only a player that can be a depth piece for you, but potentially a viable week one flex or
19:26wide receiver three in NF.
19:30And you're also seeing him inside of the wide receiver fours, sort of that low-end wide receiver 4 range in FFPC.
19:39So keep an eye on Dejon Stribbling, but the days of us getting him very late in drafts, that ship is sailed. There's a
19:45lot of ADP enthusiasm and steam when it comes to dribbling. He's definitely a player we want to keep an eye on. Couple
19:52other players who are kind of settling into new ADPs. We talked about Jacobs returning to practice, but Marshon Lloyd has started like to live inside of round
20:0010. There's a lot of smart, sharp money.
20:04A couple of players who have won a lot of money in fantasy football are pushing Marshon Lloyd into round 10. And then
20:11you're seeing people sort of emulating this strategy. Marshon Lloyd is being viewed as a massive upside handcuff type. Another player who's kind of moved
20:20up in ADP. We've seen Mike Washington who was going in really the 15th 16th round. We're starting to see him go as
20:28early as like round 13. Direct handcuffed to Ashton Genty and looked really really good in the preseason.
20:35Couple other players that we see moving up. Cyrus Allen, the wide receiver from the Kansas City Chiefs. This is a player
20:41that's not going to fall past the 14th round. Starting to see him move up in both of these formats. A lot of people
20:48starting to get exposure to him. Caleb Douglas being drafted sort of everywhere. And we're going to keep an eye on Keenan Allen and see where he
20:55settles in. And we'll also keep an eye on Josh DS next time I do an update here. I'm Theo Ginger. Go check out my
21:02rankings at rotoire.com.
21:04If you want to go compete in the NFC or the FFPC, you can use the code theo25 to get $25 off in an FFPC entry. And in
21:14NFC, just use the code Theo. That's going to get you $25 off. Some really fun contests over there. Keep drafting every day. Stick with us here at
21:22Rotoire. We're going to help you crush your leagues this season.

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