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1 hr 9 min
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Published
51
Player insights
50
Players mentioned
Topics
Quentin JohnstonAlec PierceAmon-Ra St. BrownBo NixBrock BowersBryce YoungCaleb WilliamsCeeDee LambChase BrownChris OlaveChris RodriguezChristian WatsonColston LovelandD.J. Moore
Player analysis

Player insights

51

Alec Pierce

PositiveValue29:13

Pierce is trending toward week one health status and has been completely annihilated in ADP, suggesting significant value opportunity. His draft price has collapsed, creating a potential ADP win if he can stay healthy and contribute to the Colts' passing game.

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Amon-Ra St. Brown

PositiveProjection20:10

Can finish as WR1 overall this year; the source expects top-six scoring at the position and would be shocked if he doesn't land in that tier, indicating elite-tier confidence in his 2026 output.

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Bo Nix

PositiveValue18:03

QB11 in PPG last year and QB8 as a rookie; priced as QB15 overall despite strong first two seasons as a pro; the source has been mixing him into builds as a cheap stack option with Jaylen Waddle; positioned as a winner at current price tag with potential for both players to rise together.

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Brock Bowers

NegativeProjection39:48

Brock Bowers is positioned as a potential 30%+ target share tight end with 160–170 projected targets, capable of exceeding Trey McBride's 2024 performance and potentially becoming the first 20 PPG scorer at tight end since Travis Kelce in 2020. The source compares him to Jackson Smith-Njigba's trajectory and notes weak wide receiver competition (Jaylen Naylor, Trey Tucker, Jack Bes) provides nothing holding him back from elite target concentration. Elite play caller Clint Kubiak has a history of hyper-utilizing his number one target, as evidenced by his usage of JSN last year. Key risk: Ashton Genty's return timeline (Week 2 or 3) and whether Mike Washington cuts into workload.

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Bryce Young

NegativeRole7:08

Has had a very mixed time in Carolina and has been a disappointment as the number one overall pick; creates offensive environment concerns that may limit the upside of talented skill-position players like Tedaro McMillan and Jonathan Brooks despite their individual talent.

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Caleb Williams

PositiveBreakout10:28

Chicago Bears QB showed massive improvements in year one under Ben Johnson's offense, which delivered a top-10 scoring season in its first year in Chicago. With rookies now becoming year-two players and the best offensive line situation in Chicago in quite some time, the Bears are positioned to challenge for the most points per game in the NFL this year, similar to Ben Johnson's Detroit offense.

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CeeDee Lamb

PositiveValue14:10

Prior WR1 finisher being drafted at the 1-2 turn; if Lamb replicates his WR1 overall season production with target volume, he could be a massive value for drafters despite the uncertainty around target share with George Pickens in Dallas. The source raises whether Lamb returns as the clear WR1 or if there is a changing of the guard, with Pickens potentially maintaining WR1 status.

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Chase Brown

NegativeValue12:28

Despite strong historical production—nearly 16 PPG two years ago, 16+ PPG last year, and over 20 PPG in games with Joe Burrow—Chase Brown is now priced at end-of-first-round ADP, creating a significant value concern. To justify this cost, he would need to deliver a season similar to Devon Achane's 2024 (20+ PPG); if he averages 15.5 PPG with the 11th overall pick, it won't meaningfully help win a fantasy league given the sunk cost. The source flags this as a tilting decision: elite fantasy weapon but absolutely paying for it this year.

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Chris Olave

PositiveProjection49:32

Alave carries a second-round ADP after being one of the best picks last year. He posted 100+ catches, 7th in receiving yards, 9 TDs (tied for 6th), and 150+ targets last year. Most notably, he averaged 18.8 PPG in 8 games with Tyler Shuck as quarterback and posted a 29.3% target share. With Jordan Tyson starting the year on PUP, Alave has an opportunity to deliver as a top-24 ADP player under Kellen Moore's offense.

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Chris Rodriguez

NegativeRole30:13

Rodriguez is competing with Bashel Tutin in the Jacksonville backfield, creating uncertainty about his role and fantasy relevance in the Jaguars' running back rotation.

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Christian Watson

PositiveProjection25:20

Watson is positioned for a career-defining year after being fully healthy and rewarded with a major contract in the offseason. He has never played a full season (14 games rookie year, 9 games year two, 15 games year three with post-injury ramp, very good last 10 games last year), but at 27 years old with Green Bay's major investment, a massive career year could be incoming. The source projects potential for 20%+ target share, representing a massive spike from his career high of 620 receiving yards, with potential for big spike weeks for fantasy.

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Colston Loveland

PositiveBreakout9:21

The source has been high on Colston Loveland as part of the Chicago Bears' high-scoring offense under Ben Johnson; positioned to benefit from Ben Johnson's elite play-calling and the Bears' goal to set an NFL record for most points per game.

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D.J. Moore

PositiveBreakout6:03

Bounceback candidate with ADP trending up significantly in summer rankings; reunited with former coordinator Joe Brady from Carolina; priced as a fourth-round pick in many leagues; positioned to deliver a smash WR1 season similar to Stefan Diggs' impact with Buffalo; has Josh Allen boost and strong role importance; potential league-winner upside if he delivers early in the season. The source has moved him up in rankings and notes he is trending upward heading into the season.

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D'Andre Swift

NegativeValue9:33

ADP has moved up to the highest level since his time in Detroit; higher ADP than ever seen in Philadelphia or last year in Chicago. Pricing reflects elevated expectations in the Bears' high-scoring offense under Ben Johnson.

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Daniel Jones

NegativeInjury28:39

Jones is returning from an Achilles injury after a disappointing end-of-season injury last year derailed the Colts' offense. The key question is his effectiveness and whether the Colts can replicate the Shane Stiken magic from week one. There is regression risk coming off the Achilles injury, with concerns about deep ball effectiveness and overall offensive efficiency. His health status directly impacts the fantasy value of all Colts pass catchers and running backs.

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David Montgomery

NegativeRole27:06

Montgomery could assume a high-end workhorse bellcow role in Houston, but the backfield situation is uncertain with Woody Marks' preseason performance and involvement creating ambiguity. At round 56 ADP, Montgomery may be slightly overrated if the backfield is truly split, though he could become a value if he secures the workhorse role. Week one against Buffalo will be telling, with potential for 20+ carries if he's the lead back.

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De'Von Achane

PositiveValue41:51

Devon Achane has been pushed down to mid-round pricing despite elite career production: never averaging fewer than 17 PPG, double-digit touchdowns every year, 135+ receptions over the last two years, and 1,350 rushing yards last year with 20+ PPG average. The source argues Achane could be one of the biggest values on the board if his elite usage continues despite concerns about Miami's offensive situation and new quarterback Malik Willis. Head coach Jeff Hafley says he's going to give Achane the ball 40 times a game, comparable to Trey McBride at an inflection point where talent overcomes situation.

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DeAndre Hopkins

NegativeProjection44:11

DeAndre Hopkins is referenced as a historical comparison for Justin Jefferson's potential with Kyler Murray; Hopkins had a near wide receiver one overall season when Murray was a young player in Arizona, supporting the argument that Murray will hyper-target elite wide receivers.

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Denzel Boston

PositiveRole14:10

Cleveland Browns WR positioned to play opposite Casey Cepstian and will be on the field in two-wide-receiver sets, securing a defined role in the offense.

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Derrick Henry

PositiveProjection5:16

Could redefine what a 32-year-old running back looks like in fantasy football. His record is 15.5 points per game, which is the most ever averaged by a 32-year-old in the modern football era (last 20 years). The source questions whether he continues to deliver in a major way.

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Drake London

PositiveProjection2:33

Has averaged nearly 20 fantasy points per game in PPR leagues with Michael Pennix behind center over a 14-game sample, with 92 receiving yards and 11 targets per game in Pennix starts. After averaging 16.5 points per game for two straight years, the source questions whether he takes a massive step forward with Pennix this year and could be a darkhorse wide receiver one overall candidate, trending that way before injury last year and potentially delivering in a major way at the end of round two or the two-three turn.

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Dylan Sampson

PositiveRole14:24

Cleveland Browns RB backup with significant contingent upside as a pass catcher out of the backfield; could benefit if the offense produces at a 20th-to-25th scoring level.

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George Pickens

NegativeValue12:21

Top-six WR scorer last year with 93 catches, 1,400+ receiving yards, and 9 TDs at age 25; going in the third round with potential to be one of the best values in drafts again. The source prefers Pickens over Tee Higgins this year, indicating a shift in the WR2 hierarchy and suggesting Pickens offers better value relative to Higgins' premium cost, though target share with CeeDee Lamb creates early-season volatility risk.

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Harold Fannin

PositiveProjection13:59

Cleveland Browns tight end who was awesome last year; part of the young talent core in Cleveland's offense that could pay off at ADP cost if Todd Monken can optimize the quarterback situation.

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Ja'Marr Chase

PositiveProjection11:11

One of the best target earners ever at the wide receiver position; finished as the wide receiver one overall in 2024 and is a warranted top-four pick in every single QB format right now. Elite profile for consistent target volume and production.

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James Cook

NegativeValue6:03

Priced appropriately as a high-end RB1 going somewhere near the one-two turn in ADP.

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Jameson Williams

PositiveValue23:43

Going in sixth round with potential for massive year; was electric and sensational over second half of last year, and team has talked about ramping up his red zone work, positioning him as a value at current ADP despite upside.

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Jared Goff

PositiveProjection24:26

Potential career-defining year ahead; the source asks if Goff could match Matthew Stafford's 2025 performance (40+ touchdowns) in the Lions offense, suggesting elite passing volume and touchdown upside in 2026.

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Jaylen Waddle

PositiveProjection18:03

Career-year potential in Denver after being acquired for a first, third, and fourth round pick; parallels drawn to Josh Allen/Stefon Diggs in Allen's third year as starter; going at the 34 turn in high-end FFPC events and at 310 ADP in some mains; the source sees both Waddle and Bo Nix as potential winners at current price despite having to pay for the career-year narrative.

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Joe Burrow

PositiveProjection11:11

When healthy, will throw for a ton of touchdown passes and a ton of yards; established as a high-volume passer in the Cincinnati Bengals offense.

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Jonathan Taylor

PositiveProjection28:56

Taylor was the running back one overall last year and is going at the tail end of the first round with potential RB1 overall upside this year. His fantasy value hinges on the Colts' offensive performance and Daniel Jones' effectiveness coming off an Achilles injury.

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Jonathon Brooks

NegativeBreakout8:36

Has been monitored all offseason; potential for a big breakout season in Carolina. Upside depends on whether Bryce Young and offensive line concerns can support both his and Tedaro McMillan's production.

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Josh Allen

PositiveProjection4:28

Allen is priced appropriately as the QB1 overall and deserves that ranking this year. His role importance and boost to DJ Moore's upside are key factors in Buffalo's passing game.

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Justin Herbert

PositiveBreakout35:17

Justin Herbert is positioned for potential career-year upside under Mike McDaniel's offensive system with the Los Angeles Chargers. The source suggests that with McDaniel's track record of elevating quarterback play, the Chargers look like a breakout offense in the NFL.

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Justin Jefferson

PositiveProjection44:59

Justin Jefferson is positioned as a huge bounceback candidate after a disappointing 2024 season (11.9 PPG, WR3 finish in 2024 with 18.7 PPG). Now going at tail end of round one/early round two, Jefferson is a potential huge value. The source expects Kyler Murray to hyper-target Jefferson similar to his usage of Trey McBride, and points to Murray's historical success with elite wide receivers like DeAndre Hopkins in Arizona, who posted a near-WR1 overall season. The Kevin O'Donnell offense is expected to return to scoring form, supporting a massive bounceback season. Last year, Jefferson was one of the worst values on the board in fantasy football.

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Kenneth Walker III

PositiveValue32:54

Walker was Super Bowl MVP, fantastic throughout the playoffs, and went on a heater from week 16 through the Super Bowl. He's now the focal point of the Patrick Mahomes-led Kansas City Chiefs and is being positioned as the next stud free agent running back to deliver massive fantasy impact, following the pattern of successful free agent RB transitions (David Montgomery to Detroit in 2023, Saquon Barkley to Philly in 2024, Derrick Henry to Baltimore in 2024, Josh Jacobs to Green Bay in 2024). He's being treated as a potential league-winning value in the early second round. A key question mark is whether he will see receiving usage that the Kansas City Chiefs have alluded to in the preseason; the Chiefs have rookie EMTT Johnson and other backfield options who can catch the ball. For Walker to deliver a potential 2024 Derrick Henry-like outcome in terms of win rate at ADP, he will need to catch some passes. Week one against the Denver Broncos defense will reveal how volume-driven his role is.

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Kyler Murray

NegativeRole44:30

The source examines Murray's historical targeting patterns to assess his ability to support receivers. Murray hyperargeted Trey McBride in the past and had success with DeAndre Hopkins early in his Arizona tenure when Hopkins posted a near-WR1 overall season. This historical context informs expectations for Murray's receiver support in 2025.

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Lamar Jackson

PositiveValue4:10

Priced as a QB2 in ADP with a gap between him and Josh Allen. The source questions whether he bounces back and delivers as a runner again and whether his QB2 price tag is warranted. If Lamar Jackson looks like the version seen in 2024, he could be a league winner at the quarterback position.

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Nico Collins

NegativeValue26:24

Collins is projected to go in the early third round with excellent usage expected in the Houston offense, though health remains a concern that fantasy managers must monitor throughout the season.

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Parker Washington

PositiveBreakout30:44

Washington demonstrated legendary scoring over the last few games of last year including the NFL playoffs, with an unbelievably good sample size large enough to trust. The source notes unbelievably good vibes and drum beats coming out of Jacksonville all offseason long with him, supporting confidence in his ability to deliver at increased ADP. His ADP has skyrocketed dramatically through the summer; he went in the end of the third round in a $100k legacy league and is now climbing into the fourth-to-fifth turn area in FFPC main events, being treated like a high-end wide receiver going two picks after Lad Macy and ahead of T. Higgins.

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Puka Nacua

NegativeProjection36:50

Puka Nakua is the centerpiece of the LA Rams offense with elite 2024 production: 23.5 PPG average, 129 catches (first in NFL), 1,700 receiving yards, and 107 receiving yards per game with 10 touchdowns. The source projects he could replicate a 2021 Cooper Cup-type season, potentially reaching 200 targets and win rates in the 104–105 range. Key upside: no suspension and fully healthy to start the year. Key risk: contract situation (playing final year of rookie deal) and prior inability to catch TDs. The source frames him as a weapon of mass destruction in fantasy football.

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Quentin Johnston

PositiveSleeper35:07

Quentyn Johnston is designated as a sleeper wide receiver target; he has accumulated 16 touchdown catches over the last two seasons, and the source questions whether he can sustain that production with a 12 touchdown catch year.

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PositiveSleeper35:07

Quentin Johnston is identified as a sleeper wide receiver target for the Los Angeles Chargers. He has accumulated 16 touchdown catches over the last two seasons, and the source questions whether he can sustain that production with a 12-touchdown season.

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Romeo Doubs

NegativeRole

Romeo Dobbs was signed as a free agent by the New England Patriots to be the wide receiver two in the offense alongside Drake Maye.

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Sam LaPorta

PositiveValue23:43

Going sixth through tenth round depending on scoring format (PPR vs. tight end premium); had a massive rookie year and was trending up before dealing with couple of injuries, positioning him as a potential value at current ADP.

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Tee Higgins

PositiveRole12:05

A spike week specialist and one of the best, if not the best, wide receiver two in fantasy football; known for high-ceiling weeks but comes with a premium price tag.

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Travis Etienne

PositiveRole50:35

Etienne signed a huge free agent deal to join the New Orleans Saints, returning to his home state of Louisiana. The source expresses enthusiasm for Etienne's opportunity in New Orleans, positioning him as a notable addition to the Saints' backfield.

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Tre Tucker

NegativeRole39:56

Trey Tucker is mentioned as part of the Las Vegas Raiders' wide receiver target competition alongside Jaylen Naylor and Jack Bes; the source argues this lack of elite competition does not hold back Brock Bowers from achieving 30%+ target share.

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Trey McBride

PositiveProjection0:30

Set the NFL record for most catches by a tight end in a single season with 126 catches and 11 touchdowns in 2024, following 81 catches in 2023 after Zack Zubor's injury. Despite a new offensive system and potential quarterback change to Carson Beck, McBride has a massive contract and is 26 years old. The source questions whether he is quarterback and coordinator proof or if the offense will struggle and he will regress, with drafters pushing him down to the second round in tight end premium and sometimes the fourth round in non-tight end premium, while some analysts have moved Colston Loveland ahead of him. McBride is also referenced as a comparable case study for elite talent overcoming offensive situation concerns.

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Woody Marks

PositiveValue5:23

Marks impressed in the preseason with steady involvement reports and represents fine value in double-digit rounds. The uncertainty is whether he takes receiving work or rushing volume from Montgomery, but his youth and pass-catching ability make him an intriguing alternative to Montgomery at a much lower ADP. Week one usage will clarify the backfield split.

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Zay Flowers

PositiveProjection4:37

Had a near 30% target share last year and has seen target share increase year after year. The source projects potential for a career year with top-five scoring season upside at wide receiver, with pass volume expected to increase with Declan Doyle as the new offensive coordinator.

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Full transcript

Episode Transcript

512
0:00We are now one week out from the start of the NFL season and with it the start of fantasy football. We have 32 burning
0:09fantasy football questions that are going to help define not only this year's fantasy season, but potentially how your fantasy season goes. Massive
0:20questions that fantasy managers need answers. And we probably won't get clarity on some of these until uh the season actually begins. So, let's go
0:30ahead get it started. A lot to cover here. We're going to start off with the Arizona Cardinals and we're talking about Trey McBride. Is he quarterback
0:39and coordinator proof? You have not only a new offensive system in Arizona, but you have potentially a quarterback change at some point during the year.
0:49Jacobe Brassette and Trey McBride ran incredibly pure last season. But now you have the threat of Carson Beck. And Jacobe Brassette, we talk about him from
0:59fantasy football, how effective he was for our teams. Talk about Trey McBride.
1:04You talk about Michael Wilson. You had some good Marvin Harrison Jr. games in that mix, too. But the pressure on Arizona is to win football games this
1:14year. It's not just get fantasy scoring points for Trey McBride and all the skill position guys. There are beat reporters out there that actively want
1:23to see Carson Beck get a chance. Now, how will Trey McBride do with a young quarterback like Carson Beck? When we
1:31talk about McBride, he last year he set the NFL record for the most catches by a tight end in NFL season in NFL history.
1:40And when we look at what he's been able to do collectively over the last couple years, 2023 takes over. Zack Z goes down
1:49and McBride was unbelievable for the second half of the season. 81 catches.
1:54Then you get to 2024, 111 catches. Last year, 126 to go along with 11 touchdowns. He has a massive contract Arizona gave him. He's 26 years old. But
2:06now you've got drafters pushing him down into the second round in tight end premium and sometimes the fourth round in non-tightend premium. You've got a
2:15lot of analysts out there who have moved Coloulston Lovel ahead of him. Will Trey McBride make the Faders look foolish? Is
2:23he quarterback and offensive coordinator proof or were people correct and this offense struggles and McBride regresses?
2:32We're going to find out very quickly.
2:33And full disclosure, I have two FFPC main event chairs of Trey McBride. So, really hoping he is absolutely quarterback and situation proof going
2:43down the Atlanta Falcons. Which quarterback are we going to get this season? And hopefully for fantasy managers, especially with ones with with
2:53Drake London, we get a ton of Michael Penn this year. When we look at the splits, Drake London has averaged nearly
3:0120 fantasy points per game in PPR leagues with Michael Pennix behind center. And you're looking at a sample size of 14 games. And the stats are
3:12fantastic. London has averaged nearly 92 receiving yards and 11 targets per game in Michael Pennock starts. This is a huge one. We know what Bejan Robinson
3:23is. He's going to go number two overall in pretty much every single single QB format. We know what Kyle Pittz is. He's
3:31going to go in a range of tight ends that have a theoretical chance to catch the Brock Bowers Trey McBride tier.
3:40You're talking about those mid tight end ones. But then you've got Drake London who's averaged 16 and a half points per
3:46game for two straight years. Does he take a massive step forward with Michael Penn this year? Could he be a darkhorse
3:54wide receiver one overall candidate?
3:56We're going to find out. He was certainly trending that way last year before injury. This could be a year where Drake London delivers in a massive
4:04way when we start looking at the end of round two. Sometimes the two three turn.
4:10Let's go into Baltimore. Baltimore, we have multiple questions and we're just going to rip them off. You've got Lamar Jackson. Does Lamar Jackson bounce back
4:19and deliver for us as a runner again? Is Lamar Jackson's QB2 price tag in ADP warranted? You're also getting a gap
4:28between him and Josh Allen. If Lamar Jackson looks like the Lamar Jackson we saw in 2024, he could be a league winner
4:36at the quarterback position. You've also got the potential for Z Flowers to have a career year. We saw it last year.
4:46Flowers was a near 30% target share guy.
4:49Does Z Flowers give you a potential top five scoring season at the wide receiver position? We've seen the target share go
4:56up year after year, and we think that the the pass volume total is going to go up this year with Declan Doyle coming
5:03over as the new offensive coordinator.
5:06Then of course you've got Derrick Henry who could redefine what a 32-year-old running back looks like. Does he continue to deliver in a major way? The
5:15record for him is 15 and a half points per game. That's the most we've ever seen a 32-year-old average in in the
5:23modern football era last 20 years um in fantasy football. Derrick Henry, Zay Flowers, Lamar Jackson. A lot of question marks in Baltimore, but a lot
5:34of enthusiasm and a lot of excitement.
5:36Hey, we could also talk about Jacobe Lane, who is a really fun sleeper to discuss at this point heading into the
5:42season. Talking about the Buffalo Bills, DJ Moore bounceback year, you've got James Cook priced appropriately in my opinion as a high-end RB1 going
5:54somewhere near the one two turn. You've got Josh Allen priced appropriately as the QB1 overall. He deserves it this year. Then you got DJ Moore. And DJ
6:04Moore is been an ADP rocket ship late in the summer here. I've moved them up in my rankings over at Rotoire. You can go
6:10check them out. Uh use code Theo35 for 35% off. But DJ Moore is trending up.
6:17The vibes are great. The Beat Reporters have talked about how important his role is. Josh Allen's talked about how important his role is. And we get the
6:26reunion with Joe Brady, who was his coordinator back in the day when he was a young player at Carolina. DJ Moore
6:34last year was a huge disappointment, but DJ Moore has the potential for a massive bounceback season. Buffalo traded a second rounder for DJ Moore. It feels
6:45like this DJ Moore bounceback could happen here in Buffalo. He's priced to deliver. In a lot of leagues, you're seeing DJ Moore as a fourthround pick,
6:54but you have the Josh Allen boost. Can DJ Moore deliver finally a smash wide receiver one season that we haven't seen
7:03from a Buffalo Bill wide receiver since Stefan Diggs moved on. We'll keep an eye on that all season long. But it's going
7:10to be a very tilting first month of the season for DJ Moore enthusiasts. He's got to deliver early on it. It's a range
7:19of the drafts where there's multiple high-end wide receivers, but DJ Moore has a lot of people late flagplanting him as a potential big fantasy producer
7:28this year. Let's talk about the Carolina Panthers. Can Bryce Young and his offensive line support a massive season out of Tedaro McMillan? So with Tedo
7:38McMillan last year, you had some really positive stuff and as it should have been. McMillan was a top 10 pick in the
7:472025 NFL draft and he delivered 70 plus receptions over a,000 receiving yards and he has the profile that is very much
7:57like an alpha wide receiver one. I've moved him up in some of my rankings recently. There's also been slot usage, a very high high slot rate in terms of
8:08the preseason for what we saw out of Tedo McMillan. But then we've got Bryce Young who's had a very mixed time in
8:16Carolina and has been a disappointment as the number one overall pick. You've also got some question marks on the offensive line in Carolina. Combined
8:26Bryce Young and the O line concerns, but is Tedo McMillan just that dude? a pure alpha wide receiver that's going to be
8:35able to overcome his circumstances with a massive usage and massive production type year. McMillan has the profile and the makeup and the pedigree to be a
8:46potential league winner, but does the offensive environment support it? It's a big tilting situation. Carolina, we also have Jonathan Brooks. That's one we've
8:57been monitoring all off season. Do we finally see the big Jonathan Brooks season? And are these two players tethered together? And does the Bryce
9:07Young and offensive line situation sort of support these guys or is it one where they're going to fail to deliver? We're
9:15going to keep an eye on it very early on in Carolina. Let's talk about the Chicago Bears. We like everyone. The
9:21Chicago Bears are that team this year.
9:24Ben Johnson has come out and said he wants to set the NFL record for the most points per game in NFL history. He's
9:31talked about that Pton Manning Denver Broncos team and he's got them circled and he wants to deliver. Is this a situation where the Chicago Bears are
9:40going to score at will and are we going to see multiple Chicago Bears deliver?
9:45I've been high on Coulson Lovelin. I've been high on Luther Burton. Roma Dunay makes sense at cost. And DeAndre Swift has moved up and up to the point that
9:54DeAndre Swift has his highest ADP that we've seen since his time in Detroit.
9:59Higher ADP than we ever saw in Philly or last year in Chicago.
10:04Can the Bears deliver? Are they the skeleton key offense for us in fantasy football that is going to rise all tides
10:11and every single player is going to deliver for us in fantasy this year? Or could there be a disappointment where one or two players don't hit? This is a
10:20team where we expect them to score a lot. Ben Johnson, elite play caller and they're priced like it, but none of
10:28these guys is priced prohibitively where you have to use like a second round pick on them. Are the Chicago Bears going to
10:36be this year's massive breakout offense?
10:39We're talking about challenging for the most points per game in the NFL this year like we saw with Ben Johnson offenses in Detroit. We had a top 10
10:48scoring season from Ben Johnson in year one in Chicago. We saw massive improvements from Caleb Williams. Now we've got rookies who become year two
10:57guys and we've got a the best offensive line situation in Chicago in quite some time. We're keeping an eye on these
11:04Chicago Bears. Let's talk about the Cincinnati Bengals. And really, we know what Joe Burrow is when he's healthy.
11:11He's going to throw for a ton of touchdown passes. He's going to throw for a ton of yards. We know what Jamar
11:17Chase is. One of the best target earners ever at the wide receiver position. The wide receiver won overall in 2024 and a
11:25warranted top four pick in every single QB format right now. We know what T.
11:30Higgins is. T. Higgins is a spike week specialist who is one of the best, if not the best, wide receiver too in
11:39fantasy football. And we pay for it.
11:41Respect to to Higgins. I'm taking George Pickkins over him this year. but one of the best wide receiver twos in fantasy
11:48football. The question mark is, can Chase Brown pay off at his unbelievably high ADP cost? And Chase Brown has been
11:57like found money for us two years ago.
12:00Last year, he delivered, but he was slow out the gate. But Chase Brown, you're talking about nearly 16 points per game
12:08two years ago. Last year, 16 plus points per game. and the splits were outstanding with Joe Burrow. Over 20 points per game last year in games that
12:17Joe Burrow played, but we also have with Chase Brown this idea that we are now paying a first round pick value for him.
12:25And that's where he's been going. We've been seeing this in the FFPC. We've been seeing this in theFC. And we've been
12:31seeing it in more and more Yahoo, Sleeper, and ESPN leagues where Chase Brown starting to steam up to that end of the first round discussion. Does he
12:40deliver there? When you are talking about end of the first round, you're talking about a potential league winning value, can Chase Brown deliver that
12:49expectation? Basically, he's going to have to deliver a a season sort of like what Devon Achan had last year. That's sort of the bar. You want to see 20
12:58points per game there. If he comes out and averages 15 and a half points per game with the 11th overall pick, it's
13:04not really going to help you win your fantasy league. Not with that sort of sunk cost.
13:09We are looking at Chase Brown as an elite fantasy weapon, but we are absolutely paying for it this year. Can Chase Brown be that guy and give you a
13:18career year or are the numbers going to be similar and a slight disappointment at ADP? It's a tilting one for fantasy
13:25managers, but Chase Brown certainly has a lot of guys flag planning him as the running back to draft at the end of the
13:31of round one right now. Uh we're going to keep this conversation going.
13:35Cleveland Browns, man. Cleveland Browns.
13:39So much young talent and Cleveland is rolling out the young guys this year.
13:44You got Harold Fannon Jr. at tight end who was awesome last year. You've got Casey Conpsion, really one of my guys
13:50right now. I have a ton of exposure to him. Denzel Boston going to play opposite uh opposite Casey Conpsion.
13:57He's going to be on the field in two wide receiver sets. Want to go even deeper? Isaiah Bond, electric speed, is
14:04going to be on the field a ton this year. Then you've got Quinn Sean Judkins, who they've called a bellcow running back, and his backup, Dylan
14:12Samson, has a ton of contingent uh theoretical contingent upside as a pass catcher out of the backfield. You've got all this young talent in Cleveland, and
14:22then you've got crazy quarterback situation. Can Todd Monkin be a quarterback whisperer? And can Todd Monkin produce maybe the 25th best
14:33scoring offense with these guys? If he can figure out Deshawn Watson, Shadur Sanders, or maybe someone else, and get the Cleveland Browns to be some what of
14:43a the 20th to 25th highest scoring offense, then there's a chance that multiple young Cleveland Browns are all going to pay off at their ADP cost. They
14:53are getting bruised and battered in ADP because a lot of people simply do want not want to draft Browns. Monin has been
15:01a really sharp coordinator in multiple seasons and has produced a number of fantasy football players who've had big years. So, we want to keep an eye on
15:10this one. Is Monin able to coax this quarterback room into supporting some very talented young players at the skill position? This could be an offense that
15:19produces for us in a major way. Or this could be an offense that we really should have avoided. Really, no two ways
15:25about it. And Cleveland, when we're looking at week one, has the lowest implied team total of anyone on the board. They're playing Jacksonville.
15:34They are huge dogs and they're not supposed to score a lot of points. Can Monin come out the gate and put up a big
15:41game there in his first uh game as Cleveland Browns head coach? We'll find out. talking about the Dallas Cowboys, George Pickkins versus CD Lamb. Is this
15:50the return of the King? Do we see CD Lamb come back and say, "Hey, George Pickkins, that was really cool last year
15:58how you were a top six scorer at the wide receiver position, but I'm back.
16:02I'm the wide receiver one, you're the wide receiver, too." Or is there really a changing of the guard this year? When
16:08we look at George Pickkins and we look at CD Lamb, there's a chance that the ADPs should be even closer. When we look
16:16at Pickkins last year, it was his first year in Dallas, 93 catches, 1400 plus receiving yards, nine touchdown grabs, phenomenal spike weeks, and George
16:27Pickins is 25 years old. When we look at CD Lamb, you're talking about the wide receiver one overall the last time we
16:34saw him play a full season. So, both of these guys are really, really good. Who delivers the better ADP value? We're
16:43seeing CD Lamb going somewhere at that one two turn area or George Pickins going somewhere in the third round.
16:50Where is the better win rate going to come from? If Lamb looks like he did during his wide receiver one overall
16:56year and gets that sort of target volume, then Lamb could end up being a massive value for drafters. On the flip
17:03side, George Pickkins could end up being one of the best values in drafts just like he was last year. It is a major
17:10tilting situation or do both of them just go on and smash in an unbelievable way and Dak Prescott is the underrated
17:19value. We know Dallas is going to score a lot of points. We have faith in their offensive line. We have faith in this
17:25system. It's really a which wide receiver is the alpha. There's some question marks there in Dallas right now.
17:32Both of them are fine to draft, but it's going to be very tilting that first month of the year for CD Lamb managers
17:37if the the scoring looks like it did last year and George Pickkins is the wide receiver one in terms of scoring
17:44starting out for the season. Situation they could both they there's situations out there where they could both absolutely smash together, but a lot of
17:51times that's not how it works out.
17:54There's usually one winner and one loser in these situations, even with ADP context. Keep an eye on this one in Dallas. It's a tilting one. Denver
18:03Broncos, Jaylen Wadd. Does Jaylen Wadd have a career year? And is this going to be a bon Bo Knicks boost? We have seen
18:12the parallels between Jaylen Wadd being traded to the Denver Broncos in Bo Nick's third year as the starting quarterback to Josh Allen getting Stfan
18:23Diggs heading into his third year as the starting quarterback. We've even had the coaching staff in Denver make this comparison. So,
18:32could we see a situation where both of these players have career years? Denver sent a first, third, and fourth round pick to acquire Jaylen Wadd. A massive
18:43price tag. They went out and got Wadd last year. They were in the AFC Championship game. They were a few plays
18:50away from a Super Bowl. Then you look at Bo Knicks. Bo Nicks was the quarterback 11 in points per game last year. The
18:57quarterback in eight quarterback eight in points per game as a rookie. You've got Bo Knicks and Jaylen Wadd. Do they both rise up together and crush their
19:07ADPs? We've seen Wadd going somewhere at the 34 turn in some of these high-end FFPC main events. I took him at the 310
19:15the other day in a main event. I split with a Bag Bata. And Bo Nicks I've been mixing into my builds as well. Bo Knicks
19:22has been priced as the quarterback 15 overall despite what he's done in his first two seasons as a pro. So, we're
19:29looking at Jaylen Wadd and Bo Knicks.
19:32Could they both be winners at their current price tag? And do they sort of are they tethered together? And is this
19:40a situation where we keep searching for the best stacks, the best correlation plays? We might be able to get a really
19:47good cheap one with Wadd and Boicks. It feels like it could be a career year for both of them. With Waddle, we we're
19:56having to pay for the career year. With Bo Nicks, he's sort of in a great spot right there as quarterback 15. Keep an
20:03eye on this one. The Detroit Lions going down the list. Not a whole lot of question marks about this one. I mean,
20:10if we're sort of nitpicking, uh, can does Su switching from one side to the other on the offensive line, going from
20:18the right side to the left side, does that make a difference? I don't think so. Truly elite offensive lineman there.
20:25We've got Jamir Gibbs who unquestioned number one overall pick. No questions there for me. I have him at number one for months. Now you've got Aman Ross St.
20:35Brown. Aman Ross St. Brown can finish as the wide receiver one overall this year.
20:38And I think we'd be shocked if he doesn't finish as like a top six score at the wide receiver position.
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23:33sponsored by DraftKings based on what he's done the last couple years. The question mark comes from who is the next skill position player to
23:44deliver here, Jameson Williams or Sam Leaporta. It feels like one of these guys could have a massive year and they're sort of priced for it. J Mo has
23:53been going somewhere in that sixth round and Leaporta, depending on your scoring format, uh is going somewhere in that sixth through 10th round when you're
24:00talking about uh PPR versus tight end premium. Leaporta, we've seen a massive year his rookie year. It it feels like he was trending up. He's dealing with a
24:09couple of injuries. Then you've got Jameson Williams who was electric and sensational over the second half of last year. They've talked about ramping up
24:18his red zone work. It feels like both of those players are the potential values in Detroit. Then we've also got, could
24:26this be Jared Goff's career definfining year? Could Jared Goff in 2026 be like Matthew Stafford in 2025 and pass for 40
24:36plus touchdowns in this offense? It sort of feels like it. We like Detroit Lions, but where is the value? We're paying a
24:45top six or seven uh overall price tag for Aman Raw. We're paying the 101 for Jir Gibbs. And those prices are
24:52warranted. Which other Lion is going to provide the biggest ADP win? Or is it all three of them? And much like
24:59Chicago, this offense is just one we want to get access to everyone in.
25:04Continuing our look at every single team. Let's talk about the Green Bay Packers. I mean, I did a whole show on
25:10Marshon Lloyd replacing uh Josh Jacobs, and I think that's a really interesting conversation to have here as a question mark, but the question mark for me is
25:20Christian Watson. It feels like this could be the career definfining year for Christian Watson, who's fully healthy, who was rewarded with a major contract
25:29in the offseason. And when we look at Watson, we've seen glimpses in multiple years where it feels like he's going to
25:40be an absolute star. There hasn't been a single year where he's played a full season. Rookie year he played 14 games,
25:48nine games the following year, 15 the following year where he was really ramping up sort of post injury and then last year was very good over the last 10
25:57games of the season. But he's 27 years old. We've seen Green Bay make a major investment in him him this off season
26:06and it feels like a massive career year could be incoming. The bar is low here when we talk about Watson. Watson has
26:14never had more than 620 receiving yards in a season. It's absolutely wild stuff with Watson, but it feels like this year could be a year
26:24where could we see,00 receiving yards, 12 receiving touchdowns, and big spike weeks that can help us win in fantasy. Could we see a
26:3420% plus target share with Christian Watson? It feels like it's trending in that direction. It's been a rough rough and winding road for him throughout the
26:44start of his NFL career, but it feels like we could get rewarded in a major way this year in 2026. We're going to
26:50keep an eye on Christian Watson all year long. Talking about the Houston Texans, we know what Nico Collins is. He's going
26:57to go somewhere in the early third round. He needs to stay healthy, but that that usage should be awesome. When we look at Houston, the question mark
27:06resides in the back field. We think this could be a potential David Montgomery high-end workhorse bellcow type role, but then there's another train of
27:18thought that this is going to be a split backfield. And Woody Marks looked very good in the preseason and there's been
27:24some steady drum beats for Woody Marks uh being in being involved heavily. Now, is that something that's a little bit overrated? Is it a split back field in
27:34name only? Does Woody Marks uh take away a lot of the receiving work? Does Woody Marks potentially take away some of the
27:42rushing volume? Or is David Montgomery an under the radar potential workhorse back who's going to get all of the goal line carries? We're going to find out
27:51early on, but right now, one of two things is is is the case. either David Montgomery is a little bit overrated at
28:00his 56 uh round ADP or Woody Marks is a fine value where you're getting him in the double digit rounds. It feels like
28:08this backfield situation is a tilting one for fantasy managers. Now, I think Montgomery is going to end up becoming a pretty good value where he's going, but
28:18I can understand if you want to fade the situation and go with the younger back who can catch passes in marks. We're
28:24gonna know early on which back is the one. Is this a split or is this the split was overrated and it's David
28:32Montgomery in a week one workhorse role where we could end up seeing with 20 carries and that game is a really big
28:39one for Houston Buffalo Bills in week one. We're going to keep an eye on that and the backfield usage is going to be
28:46tilting for fantasy managers. Talking about the Indianapolis Colts, which team are they this year? We saw last year the Colts were coming out the gate as one of
28:56the highest scoring offenses in football. Jonathan Taylor was the running back one overall. Tyler Warren was amazing out the gate. And then we
29:05had the disappointing end of season injury to Daniel Jones and it was completely downhill from there. Now Daniel Jones is back but coming off of
29:13an Achilles injury. How effective is he?
29:16Do we see the Shane Stiken magic again from week one? And do we see Indianapolis scoring at an extremely high rate? If so, then the Colts are
29:26going to provide a number of ADP wins.
29:29We talk about Josh DS where he's going in drafts. We talk about Alec Pierce now that looks like he's trending towards
29:34week one. He's completely been annihilated in drafts. And then we talk about Jonathan Taylor and Jonathan Taylor going at the tail end of the
29:42first round with potential RB1 overall upside. This is a tilting situation and with Indianapolis, we're going to know very quickly how good this offense is.
29:54They have a week one matchup against the Baltimore Ravens. Could this be a situation where Indianapolis is underrated and we should have looked at
30:02what they were doing last year at the beginning of the year? Or is Daniel Jones going to regress coming off of an
30:07injury and he'll have no drive on the deep ball and it's going to be an easier offense to defend? This is a tilting one
30:13for fantasy managers. Last year it looked like the Colts were going to be the team we should have invested in. Now
30:20a lot of question marks in Indianapolis.
30:22One question mark we don't have with them is the quality of the offensive line. That's one thing that should benefit them. And we saw this offense
30:29sort of working last year at the beginning of the year. Very interesting team to monitor. Jacksonville Jaguars, there's a number of questions we could
30:37talk about with them. I mean Bashel Tutin versus Chris Rodriguez, that's one. Trevor Lawrence, is he finally turned a corner? is should he be treated
30:44like an elite asset at the quarterback position? But really the big question mark it's Parker Washington his ADP steam through the absolute roof. We saw
30:54him go at the end of the third round in the $100,000 entry legacy league the other night and we're seeing him living at the beginning of
31:02the fourth round in NFC. He's started to climb into the four or five turn area in FFPC main events. There is a ton of
31:10money and a ton of enthusiasm with Parker Washington and is he going to deliver on this one? We're talking about Parker Washington who last year was
31:18unbelievable down the stretch. The scoring that he demonstrated over the last few games of the year, including the NFL playoffs, was legendary type
31:27scoring. But does he deliver when we have to actually pay for it? The sample size last year was big enough that we
31:35can sort of trust Parker Washington. We also have these unbelievably good vibes and drum beats coming out of Jacksonville all off seasonason long
31:43with him. But can he deliver at this in increased price? This is a tilting one for fantasy managers. Now we're basically treating Parker Washington
31:52like a high-end wide receiver too in this sort of ADP in that legacy league in the NFC one. He went two picks after
32:00Lad Macy and he went ahead of T.
32:02Higgins. So Parker Washington is an ADP rocket ship. Does he deliver for fantasy managers at that increased price tag that we've seen late in the summer?
32:12Talking about the Kansas City Chiefs, it's Kenneth Walker. Is Kenneth Walker the next stud free agent running back to make a massive impact on fantasy
32:21football? And do we return to the narrative that Andy Reid is the running back whisperer? When we talk about Kenneth Walker, you've had multiple
32:32years where free agent running backs are delivering in massive ways. We go back to 2024, well 2023, David Montgomery goes from Chicago to Detroit, delivers a
32:43huge season, best season of his career.
32:45We go to 2024, Saquon Barkley goes to Philly, Derrick Henry goes to Baltimore, Josh Jacobs goes to Green Bay, Tony Pard
32:54goes to Tennessee, Aaron Jones goes to Minnesota. They all deliver in a major way. And Saquon Barkley, league winner that year. Absolutely the league winner
33:03where he was drafted. Dererick Henry pretty close to a league winner. Jacobs, tremendous value that year. We go to last year, Javvante Williams, free agent
33:11running back, a huge ADP win. Last year, we also had guys like Kenneth Gainwell, huge ADP win. This year, it's Kenneth
33:20Walker. Kenneth Walker, Super Bowl MVP, was fantastic throughout the playoffs, and really went on a heater from week 16 on, end of the regular season into the
33:30start of the into the Super Bowl to the end of it. Walker was awesome, and he parlayed that into a massive contract in
33:37Kansas with Kansas City, and now becomes the focal point of the Patrick Mahomes, Andy Reedled, Kansas City Chiefs. Does Kenneth Walker deliver as the next big
33:47free agent running back who shakes up fantasy and becomes a potential league winning value? He's being treated like that. Walker is going somewhere in that
33:56early second round right now, but the vibes are fantastic. It feels like he could deliver in a major way. One of the
34:02big question marks with him, are we going to see the receiving usage that the Kansas City Chiefs have alluded to in the preseason? They've got rookie
34:10EMTT Johnson. You've also got a couple other guys out of the backfield who can catch the ball. But does Walker get
34:15enough as a receiver that makes him into a potential league winner? Now, he could end up being a really strong structural
34:22value even if he conceds some of these receptions, but for him to deliver a potential 2024 Derrick Henry like outcome in terms of that kind of win
34:31rate at ADP, you're going to have to see him catch some passes there. We're going to know early on the Kansas City Chiefs
34:37face off against the Denver Broncos defense in week one. We're going to see just how volume driven this Kenneth Walker role is against a really good
34:47defense right out the gate. Continuing the conversation, let's talk about the Los Angeles Chargers. Let's talk about the Mike McDaniel effect. So many
34:56question marks. It's just like with Chicago. We are paying for it in a major way with Los Angeles. And unlike Chicago, we're having to pay a major ADP
35:07premium for Omari and Hampton. Does Omari and Hampton follow in the footsteps of Devon Chan and Raheem Moert? And is he the next Mike McDaniel
35:17running back to have a massive fantasy football season? Then we look at Lad Manki. Is this a huge bounceback season?
35:25Does he return to the 15 point per game mark that we saw his rookie year? Is Quentyn Johnston a sleeper wide receiver
35:32target for us? QJ has had 16 touchdown catches over the last two seasons. Can he turn it into like a 12 touchdown
35:40catch year? Then you've got Justin Herbert. Is Justin Herbert poised to have a career year this year? With Mike McDaniel, anything feels possible and
35:51they look like the breakout offense in the NFL? Does McDaniel deliver on these unreal expectations that are sort of surrounding this Chargers team? And can
36:01the Chargers challenge for an AFC title?
36:05It feels like anything is possible this year. The Chargers have been in the playoffs back-to-back years under Jim Harbaugh. Do they take it the next step
36:13this year? We're paying for it a lot when it comes to Hampton. We're paying for it a lot when it comes to M with to
36:19Lad Manki. But it the vibes are just really good with LA. Can they deliver or do they let us down once again? Let's
36:28talk about the LA Rams. The LA Rams when we look at them, there's a bunch of question marks we could talk about. I
36:34mean, you want to get technical, it's can Matthew Stafford sustain his incredible touchdown rate? You want to talk about Kairen Williams versus Blake
36:42Cororm, that's there. Could talk about Terrence Ferguson, a really fun sleeper candidate at tight end. Can Dvonte Adams hold up? But really, when it starts and
36:50ends with the LA Rams offense, it's Puka Nakua. And Puka's off seasonason was crazy. But you know what? No suspension to start out the year. And he's fully
37:01healthy to start out the year. Not going to miss any games being hurt and not going to be suspended. And he's here.
37:07And we're talking about Pukanua who goes behind Jamar Chase in nearly any every single draft. And we've seen Pukanakua in some one-off drafts where he's gone
37:15behind Aman Ros. But when we look at Pukanakua, could he end up being this year's version of 2021 Cooper Cup? He
37:24was pretty close to it last year. Last year averaged 23 and a half points per game. Uh he had 129 catches last year.
37:31That's first in the NFL. He had 1,700 receiving yards. He averaged 107 receiving yards per game. Uh touchdown wise, he had 10. And that was sort of
37:43the one thing that Puka could never do was catch touchdown passes. blaster even got there. And when we look at Puka,
37:50could Neua be the equalizer this year?
37:53Could the win rates in fantasy football come out of the 104, the 105? Puka could potentially have a 2021 Cooper Cup type
38:03season. Could we see some regression from Devonte Adams and the usage for Nikua becomes even greater? Could we see a season where Nua challenges for 200
38:13targets this year? all things are possible and then you have the tilting added downside risk with just kind of crazy stuff being associated with him.
38:23Uh some of the stories are are wild but at the end of the day Puka is a weapon of mass destruction in fantasy football.
38:31Does he deliver with a massive career year? And to add to it, Puka Nakua is due for a contract that the Rams have
38:40not given him yet. The contract situation is something that we aren't really talking about yet, but he's playing out the final year of a 4-year
38:50rookie contract. And that's it. Does the team uh does the team negotiate with him mid-season? Is this something that's going to linger and sort of hang over
39:00his head? We've seen multiple wide receivers getting these massive, massive contracts, but right now, Puka, there's no contract there. So you're talking
39:08about an elite scorer, elite asset, potential contract situation that we're not really thinking about, but we are thinking about can Nua provide this
39:17insane win rate to fantasy managers who draft in the middle of the of the first round, or should you have pivoted to an
39:24Aman Ross St. Brown, a Christian McAffrey, or one of these other players?
39:28Pukanakua could be this year's version of 2021 Cooper Cup. Continuing the conversation, let's talk about the Las
39:37Vegas Raiders. Can Brock Bowers be this year's version of Jackson Smith and Jigba? There's certainly a lot of questions surrounding Ashton Genty. When
39:48will he return fully healthy? Is it week two? Is it week three? Does Mike Washington cut into his workload?
39:56There's a bunch of questions there. But when it comes down to the Las Vegas Raiders, it's Brock Bowers. And we saw
40:02this exceptional rookie year in 2024 where he really looked like he was going to be one of the biggest target earners
40:08in NFL history at the position. Then last year banged up throughout the year a very disappointing outcome. But Brock Bowers this year, when you look at the
40:18wide receiver target competition for him, Jaylen Naylor, Trey Tucker, Jack Bes, there's nothing holding Brock Bowers back from being a 30 plus% target
40:29share guy, from having 160, 170 targets, and exceeding what Trey McBride was able to do last year at the tight end
40:38position. Can Brock Bowers be the first 20 point per game scorer at the tight end position since Travis Kelce in 2020?
40:46Anything is possible. You have the elite play caller in Clint Kubak. We've seen him hyper utilize or his number one target last year in JSN. We could see it
40:56again with Brock Bowers this year. Talk about the Miami Dolphins. And this is a similar conversation that we had about Trey McBride, but let's talk about Devon
41:07Achan and have we reached an inflection point for Devon Achan where drafters are fading him too much because of the offensive situation. When we look at
41:18Achan and what he's been able to accomplish as a pro, the numbers are staggering. And he's never averaged fewer than 17 points per game. He's had
41:27double-digit touchdowns every single year as a pro. He's had over 135 receptions combined over the last two
41:35years. Last year, 1350 rushing yards and he averaged 20 plus points per game.
41:43Now, Achan's been pushed down to the midse. And there's a lot of analysts out there who are fullon fading Devon Achan.
41:51They're worried about the Miami Dolphins team total wins. They're worried about the touchdown opportunities for Achan.
41:58They're worried about new quarterback Malik Willis and his ability to check down to Achan and Han's role in the passing game. But when we talk about
42:06Daychan, this could be very much like Trey McBride at an inflection point where the talent overcomes all situations and the usage continues to be
42:18truly elite and special. Achan could end up being one of the biggest values on the board in fantasy drafts if he simply
42:26does what he's done throughout his NFL career. Year four for Devon Achan just got the bag from Miami. Jeff Hafley says
42:34he's going to give him the ball 40 times a game. Kind of weird thing to say, but they have a plan for him here. Is the
42:41offense going to support him? And is Han going to deliver as a massive value for drafters? Or were the faders correct and
42:49this offensive situation is going to be so bad that Han regresses versus what we've seen in the first three years as a
42:55pro? A very tilting situation for those of us who truly believe in Han and him being an elite talent. Speaking of elite
43:04talents, let's piv pivot over to Minnesota. And is this the year that Justin Jefferson bounces back or was 2025 a signal and we've seen the best
43:16from Justin Jefferson? I think this is a huge bounceback opportunity for him. You talk about Kyler Murray taking over. You talk about the success that Justin
43:25Jefferson has had in Minnesota in this offense. Here's his point-ame totals.
43:3217.1 as a rookie, 19.4 four in year two where he finished as the wide receiver
43:39four overall. 21.7 points per game in 2022, finished as the wide receiver 1 overall. 20.2 points per game in 2023.
43:51Top five scorer again. And in 2024, finishes as the wide receiver three with 18.7 points per game. Then you get to
44:00last year when the bottom fell out on the entire Minnesota offense. Justin Jefferson only averaged 11.9 points per game. A stunningly low number for one of
44:11the best fantasy football wide receivers we've really ever seen in their first 5 years as a pro. Now Jefferson is going
44:19at the tail end of round one, early round two in some instances and is a potential huge value. Can Jefferson deliver with a legendary season that
44:30provides huge hit rates? And can Kyler Murray support him? I'm of the opinion that Kyler Murray, we should look at what he did for Trey McBride, the first
44:40read rate, the target share, the usage for McBride, hyperargeting McBride. We also can go back to the last time Kyler Murray had a wide receiver of this
44:50pedigree. DeAndre Hopkins, when Kyler Murray was a young player in Arizona, had a near wide receiver one overall season. We're going way back with that
44:59one. But I think with Murray, we're going to hyperarget Justin Jefferson. I think we see a return to normaly in Minnesota where the Kevin Oonnell
45:07offense is scoring points and Justin Jefferson can have a massive bounceback season, but is a huge question marks for fantasy managers. Last year, Jefferson
45:16was one of the worst values on the board in fantasy football.
45:31New England Patriots, last year's Super Bowl runners up, woodshed in the Super Bowl by the Seattle Seahawks. And they went out and they said, "Let's get Drake
45:41May some weapons." You had the Romeo Dobs signing, signed him as a free agent. He's going to be the wide receiver, too. In the NFL draft, we saw
45:51New England draft an offensive lineman in the first round for the second consecutive year. They also added hyper athletic tight end Eli Raridan, who will
46:00be a tight end, too, for them opposite Hunter Henry. But then they went out and they got Drake May and Alpha. They go
46:08and trade for AJ Brown. And is this a situation where Drake May is a kingmaker at the quarterback position? Last year,
46:17Drake May spread the ball around a ton.
46:19His leading wide receiver was Stfan Diggs, who delivered at ADP, but averaged about 12 1/2 points per game.
46:27This year, the expectations for AJ Brown are through the roof. We are seeing him as the first wide receiver off the board
46:34in round two in a ton of formats. He's going directly behind the CD Lamb, directly behind the Justin Jefferson tier. And there's some fantasy managers
46:45who are pushing him above both of those guys. We had the uh reporter for The Athletic this week come out and say that
46:52the expectation in New England is that AJ Brown's going to have 1,200 plus receiving yards this year. It's something that they're banking on. Then
47:01we've had Josh McDaniels compare him to Rob Gronowski. We've had uh Josh McDaniels, the offensive coordinator,
47:09has twice seen new wide receivers that come to the team that he's coaching and deliver massive touchdown seasons.
47:18Devonte Adams when he was a Raiders head coach had led the NFL in touchdown catches. And we go way back in the day,
47:25Randy Moss, first year in New England, 20 plus touchdown catches. One of the best seasons we ever saw for a wide
47:31receiver. Now we've got AJ Brown. huge expectations and the potential talent to deliver. You've got Drake May who in some formats is going in the seventh
47:42round, even the eighth round of drafts.
47:45Is this a situation much like Denver where these two players go side by side?
47:50This is one of the most common correlation play stacks in FFPC main events and FFPC 350s. We I did a show
47:58with Darren Armani from Fantasy Mojo. He talked about how common this is. There's a lot of drafters betting on the AJ
48:06Brown Drake May combination being the combination you need to win in fantasy football. Are they going to deliver here? And when we talk about Drake May,
48:15he's always been a quarterback who spread it around, but he's never had an alpha like AJ Brown. We're going to keep
48:21a keep an eye on this situation all year long. But it's potential that you could get a league winning quarterback and
48:27leaguewinning wide receiver if it all goes right. The NFL season is right around the corner and it's time for Survivor contests. Rotoire is partnering
48:37with Splash Sports for two Survivor contest. There's the $100,000 NFL Survivor. That's a $15 entry. Pick one NFL team to win straight up each week.
48:48No spread, no repeats. Then you've got a very cool one, the $50,000 touchdown survivor. This one's playerbased. Pick someone to score a touchdown. Passing
48:58touchdowns don't count. It's got to be rushing, receiving, or returns only.
49:02That's a $25 entry gets you 50,000. Ian Hardit and I are both competing in this one. So, you can play against me. You
49:09can play against Ian. Can you outlast us in this contest? We're going to use the code rotoireire and you are going to get
49:16a 50% deposit match. That's a 50% deposit match using the code rotoire. Go to splashports.com/rotoire
49:26and I'll see you in the contest. Keep an eye on this situation in New England.
49:32New Orleans Saints, Kell Moore, year two. Is it Chris Alave season? Chris Ave does he deliver on a second round price
49:40tag after being one of the best picks off the board last year at the wide receiver position. He hadund 100 catches. He was seventh in receiving
49:50yards last year, tied for sixth in touchdown catches with nine, and 150 plus targets. And what's even more
49:59promising for Chris Ave was 18.8 points per game in eight games with Tyler Shuck as quarterback. 29.3% target share last year. Now we've got
50:10Jordan Tyson who starts the year out on the pup. And it's created a situation where Chris Alave can deliver in a major
50:17way. But does he do it as a top 24ish player in ADP? This is a very high price tag for Chris. We've seen this before
50:27where a reaches this sort of level in ADP. The last time we saw him going in this top 30 draft capital, he didn't
50:35deliver. But this year, it feels different with Kellen Moore and Tyler Shuck. You've also got Travis ETN. We talked about the enthusiasm that I have
50:46for Kenneth Walker, but ETN also signed a huge free agent deal to come to his home state of Louisiana where he changed
50:54his last name to Travis Achan. He's fully embracing this role as Saints running back. Does he deliver this year?
51:02And does he benefit from what could be a great offensive situation? Losing out on Alvin Kamara is a benefit to ETN when he
51:11starts out the season. keep an eye on this New Orleans Saints team as one of the NFL's biggest breakout offenses.
51:18Looking at the New York Giants, tons of question marks here. They have answered a lot of question marks about the offensive line. And two things can be
51:27true here. Malik Neighbors, can he provide a league-winning value when he's going at the beginning of the third round here? or should drafters be more
51:37cautious and fade him because of the chance of injury reagravation. If Neighbors stays healthy, we could see a season much like his rookie year where
51:48he averaged over 18 points per game as a 21-year-old and destroyed every single usage where he led the NFL in target
51:56share, was close to the lead in airard share, and led the NFL in first read rate as a 21-year-old.
52:04Then you got Jackson Dart. And Jackson Dart did some great things his rookie year. Jackson Dart provides this Konami code for fantasy managers looking at
52:14rushing production. When you talk about Jackson Dart, it really comes down to the rushing ability. Um, but now we're getting a chance to see Jackson Dart
52:25with Malik Neighbors potentially in the offense. And Isaiah likely a strong addition at tight end. good vibes with Malachi Fields. Is there a situation
52:35where Jackson Dart has become criminally underrated this whole off season?
52:41Looking at what he did last year where he had 487 rushing yards and nine rushing touchdowns, just massive potential. Could those numbers move up
52:52to the 750 rushing yard range and double-digit rushing touchdowns? Could Jackson Dart lead all quarterbacks in rushing production this year? He's
53:01certainly priced to deliver. You're getting Dart as a low-end QB1 and in a lot of drafts a high-end QB2.
53:10Neighbors and Dart seem to be tethered to one another. Is this a situation where we should be drafting this stack and embracing it? Or is the Matt Naggi
53:21concerns there and this is an offense that could sputter out the gate? A lot of expectations in New York, but certainly a lot of question marks. and
53:30then we'll keep it going. We'll stay in New York with the New York Jets. And you've got a situation where can Bree
53:38Hall and Garrett Wilson both deliver when we look at these new ADP expectations for them? In a lot of leagues, Garrett Wilson is a fourthround
53:48pick. We've seen Garrett Wilson go as high as the one two turn in his career.
53:53And he's not old. This is a young still a younger player. Bree Hall we've seen as a top five pick. We've seen Bree Hall
54:02have a running back two overall season.
54:05Now both of these players are priced in the third and fourth round. Is this a situation where the Jets could provide
54:12two massive winners for fantasy football? Does Gino Smith stabilize this offense as head coach? Does Frank Reich deliver as the new offensive
54:23coordinator? This could be a situation that even if the Jets are a bottom 10 scoring offense, Wilson and Hall could deliver because of touch consolidation
54:34and peak usage. Or is this a situation where we've overrated two players who are great talents, but the team situation is unable to produce help them
54:44produce at their cost? I'm of the opinion that both of these guys are really strong options in fantasy. I could look very very wrong with where I
54:54have these guys ranked and we're going to find out early on in the season. The first game of the year is a tilting one.
55:01You have the Tennessee Titans and you have the New York Jets facing off head-to-head. Are we going to see elite usage for Garrett Wilson and Bruce Hall
55:10against their former Jets head coach Robert Salah in a game that Tennessee's favored in? New York are road dogs on the road. Do we see them lean in heavily
55:21with Garrett Wilson and Bree Hall? Do we see elite usage? And when it comes to Hall, do we see Hall return to being a
55:29high-end premium pass catcher out of the backfield? Last year, disappointing catch totals with Bree Hall. Does he return this year? Philadelphia, big
55:39question marks here. I mean, we could talk about Jaylen Herz. We could talk about Saquon Barkley, but the question mark here is Devonte Smith. and Devonte
55:47Smith. We've been waiting for this for many years. Does Smith return value as the new wide receiver one in the Philly
55:55offense. Over the last three years in games without AJ Brown, we've seen Smith average nine targets per game and 16.2 points per game. And we've seen him
56:06twice average 15 points per game as a pro. He's 27 years old, was the Heisman Trophy winner coming out of Alabama. uh
56:15and has been a really useful player for us in fantasy. Does Smith inherit the sort of usage that we saw with AJ Brown?
56:24AJ Brown had at least a 27% target share and a 35% airy yard share and a top five first read rate every single year in
56:32Philly. Do we see Smith have similar numbers? They're obviously different players, but do we see Smith with elite usage? Mai Lemon's been slow out the
56:44gate, been banged up in training camp.
56:46His wide receiver too now is Dantavian Wixs. A player that has played well in training camp, but certainly feels like way less of a threat on at the wide
56:54receiver 2 position than a number of guys that could have ended up in Philly.
56:59Does Smith have this insane utilization?
57:02And does he deliver in his first year as a wide receiver one in this offense?
57:08He's being priced sort of like that, but he could still end up being a major value coming out of the third rounds of
57:14drafts. Talking about the Pittsburgh Steelers, where is there a value in this offense? No one is being priced up. You have Mike McCarthy taking over as head
57:25coach and certainly this is a different offensive situation for him than when he had in his prime Aaron Rogers in Green
57:33Bay or Dak Prescott in Dallas. But with Mike McCarthy, we've seen a ton of fantasy football success. And again, the teams he had were loaded. But McCarthy
57:44has coached 12 top 10 scoring se offenses in his time as a head coach in the NFL. And now he's in a situation in
57:53Pittsburgh where everybody's kind of free. The highest ranked player at ADP is usually Jaylen Warren who goes somewhere in the sixth round or seventh
58:03round depending on where you're at. in some leagues might have fallen into the eighth round. You've got Rico Dael going somewhere in that eighth or ninth round,
58:11sometimes seventh round. He's sort of cheap, too. So, there's an ambiguous backfield situation here in Pittsburgh.
58:17Then you've got Michael Pitman, who the team traded for, and DK Mechaf, who the team traded for a year before. Both of
58:24those guys are cheap. Could we see a major winner where one of these four players provides incredible hit rates at their ADP cost? the bar is very low. We
58:35need one of these players to simply deliver here. And if we look at the history of Mike McCarthy, usually there's a huge winner uh in terms of
58:43ADP. We'll see though. Is this Pittsburgh situation in dire straits or is Aaron Rogers going to deliver enough that we see one or two Pittsburgh
58:52Steelers end up becoming huge ADP values? Big question mark for us when we're looking at the Pittsburgh Steelers. San Francisco 49ers. I mean,
59:02it's got to be Christian McCaffrey, right? We could talk about Mike Evans.
59:05We could talk about George KD. We could talk about Dejon scribbling, but it's Christian McCaffrey and Christian McCaffrey going in the second half of
59:11the first round. Some leagues goes at the 105, 106. Some leagues falls into the 110 range. Uh Christian McAffrey's 30, but last year he was unbelievably
59:22good. Finished as the RB1 overall last year, and the stats were staggering. 311 carries, 1,200 rushing yards, 10 rushing touchdowns. only 3.9 yards per carry.
59:34The explosive stats and the yards per carry went way down, but it didn't really matter because he scored 10 touchdowns with,200 rushing yards to go
59:42with two receptions for over 900 receiving yards and seven more touchdowns. If Christian McCaffrey has similar usage this year and stays healthy, then he is
59:53an unbelievable fantasy value and he's a running back who could potentially be the RB1 overall. and challenge Jamir Gibbs and Bejian Robinson. I mean, he
60:04did it last year. Christian McAffrey right now, it's really the big question mark. Does Christian McCaffrey struggle to stay on the field after having over
60:13400 touches last year? Uh, or does he do the exact same thing and just play every single game and, uh, the team uses him
60:23as an offensive focal point? And game one for Christian McAffrey, the LA Rams in Australia, the Super Bowl favorite LA Rams, the team that I'm picking to win
60:33the Super Bowl. Can Christian McCaffrey come out with a huge, huge performance in game one? And does it continue throughout the year? Does Christian
60:41McCaffrey have one last dance where he can give us one more RB1 overall season?
60:48If so, he could potentially be the league winner. and he's a player that who managers who faded, they're going to get in a lot of trouble if they don't
60:58have any exposure to Christian McCaffrey. It's a very tilting one for fantasy football. Talking about the Seattle Seahawks, let's talk about I
61:06mean, we could talk about JSN. JSN returning value with a new coordinator, but I think the market sort of priced that one in. But when we're talking
61:15about the running back situation in Seattle, is the price right with Jagarian Price? Is Jadarien Price a player who was criticized during the NFL
61:23draft as a when he was taken 32nd overall by the Seahawks? Was this a player that the the faders, the doubters
61:32were right on and Price doesn't deliver?
61:35Or does Jadarian Price is does he become the best dead zone value on the board and he steps right into the Kenneth
61:43Walker role with Zack Charbanet on the pup and his main backfield competition George Alani who hasn't done anything as a pro so far. Can Jadarian Price step in
61:53and have the Kenneth Walker role right out the jump? If so, Jadarian Price could end up being a major value. And we
62:01talk about the Seattle Seahawks. Seattle Seahawks game one Super Bowl rematch against New England. Jadarian Price might come into that game and the usage
62:10might be outstanding. If it's not, it's going to be a very tilting environment for price managers if it's some sort of
62:16a weird split with Helani because we have the threat of Zack Charbanet uh down the line where Zack Char's on the
62:23pup. What when does he come back? I'm not so sure. But Charbanet is a player that the coaching staff really loves. If
62:30price gets off to a red-hot start and is producing in a huge way, then maybe Seattle slow plays Charbanet to the
62:38point that you get multiple months of was Kenneth Walker role for Jadarian Price. Jadarian Price could end up being a major value at the running back
62:48position this year and a player that people should not have faded in ADP.
62:53We're going to keep an eye on that one and we're going to know very early on when it comes to Jadearian Price.
62:59Keeping the conversation going. Tampa Bay Buccaneers, the main question mark.
63:04Amecha Ibuka, my guy, all off seasonason here, all throughout July telling you to draft Ibuka. Ibuka I have on an FFPC
63:12main event team. And then a toe injury.
63:15Toe injuries are about as tilting as it gets. Is this a situation where Ibuka the it's it turns into nothing? and all
63:24of the stuff I talked about where we called him a Mecca eggpuka come into fruition and he gives us like a 17 type
63:31point per game year and provides potential league winning value and potentially this year's version of JSN when he was drafted somewhere in that
63:40third and early fourth round or does the toe linger all season long and he struggles to perform? Toe injuries are difficult for NFL players. There's
63:50always a little bit of mystery with them and a chance of reagravation, but it's not turf toe here. We don't see Ibuka on
63:57the pup to start out the year, but there's going to be some pain tolerance potentially. Or is this whole thing sort
64:04of overrated and I bua ends up coming out and scoring a huge amount? This is really the tilting one. We could talk
64:11about the backfield situation in Tampa Bay. We talk about a Godwin bounceback.
64:15We could talk about Baker Mayfield not having a contract, but this team drafted Amecha Ibuka with the idea that he's going to become the wide receiver one on
64:24this team. Mike Evans no longer a Tampa Bay Buccaneer. Chris Godwin getting older. This is an Ibuka offense potentially. and the drafters who have
64:35been getting him at a discount after the toe injury could end up being the ones with massive hit rates if he's able to
64:42play through this thing and deliver the type of season that I think he's capable of as a massive year 2 breakout player.
64:49Looking at the Tennessee Titans, can Carnell Tate deliver with a seventh round price tag? Was going in the sixth round a lot, but now we've got question
64:59marks about the Tennessee offensive line. There's some question marks about Cam Ward, but Carnell Tape was the fourth overall pick in the NFL draft.
65:07And twice we've seen a Brian Dable offense with a brand new wide receiver hyperutilize that wide receiver and provide a major ADP win. Stefon Diggs
65:18traded to Buffalo from Minnesota and then Neighbors two years ago. Now, is Carnell Tate the same caliber of receiver as those two guys as a rookie?
65:26That's a high bar. But Cardinal Tate was the fourth overall pick in the NFL draft. Last week we had Cardinal Tate
65:34dominating the Chicago Bears secondary during a two-team practice. Carnell Tate now in the seventh round could be a major value when we're trying to search
65:45for upside at the rookie wide with a rookie wide receiver. Before we had to pay near fifth round price tag for Tate.
65:54Now going in the seventh round. Does the offense support him and could he end up having a huge rookie year? Certainly
66:02priced right to click that button on Carnell Tate. I recently took him in the seventh round of an FFPC league and I
66:09took him in a sleeper league this week even later in a superflex format. Final team to discuss discuss is the Washington Commanders. Can this
66:19offensive line hold up with Laramie Tonsil having a torn tricep? This is a tilting one because Jaden Daniels was
66:28electric and sensational as a rookie. Uh Jaden Daniels had a 69% completion percentage and 25 touchdown passes as a
66:37rookie to go with 891 rushing yards and six rushing scores. It fel felt early in the offseason like that could be this
66:46year where we're looking at a postype sleeper year for Jaden Daniels where last year we had to pay this exceptional price tag. Now we're getting him him at
66:54a better rate, but now we have offensive line concerns where the offensive line has been so bad that certain beat reporters are saying it's the worst it's
67:04looked in years. And now this could be a small sample size in training camp and Washington certainly could get it together, but they are going to be
67:12tested in a major way. Does Jaden Daniels deliver when we look at how the Commanders are are facing out with a
67:21pretty daunting schedule to start the season? When we look at the Commanders schedule, it's not going to be an easy one,
67:30especially early on for this offensive line. They faced the Philadelphia Eagles in week one, then the Dallas Cowboys on the road in week two, the Seattle
67:41Seahawks, who were one of the best pass rush teams in the NFL in week three. The Colts in week four, who also have a very
67:50solid potential pass rush this year, and the Giants in week five in Washington.
67:56So, they have three NFC East games in their first five games to go along with the Seattle Seahawks and the Indianapolis Colts. And then it doesn't
68:05get easier in week six. Week six, they go on the road and and they play the San Francisco 49ers. So, this offensive line
68:13is going to be tested early on. If this offensive line can deliver, then Jaden Daniels can be a major value for us in
68:21fantasy. But we worry about him staying upright if this offensive line completely falls apart. What are your biggest fantasy question marks? We've
68:31got you covered all year at Rotoire.
68:34It's been an awesome summer. We've had a great July. We've had a great August.
68:38We're going to crush September. We are going to crush all of our fantasy leagues this year with the best possible information on a weekly basis right here
68:47on this podcast and on this YouTube channel. For even more, go check out my written content, my rankings over at rotowire.com. Use the code theo35 for
68:5735% off. Let's get off to a huge start with our fantasy seasons and let's crush our leagues this

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