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ESPN Fantasy Football fantasy football takes on David Montgomery

Every source-backed article insight STACKED has extracted from ESPN Fantasy Football about David Montgomery.

21
Insights
8
Positive
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Insight ledger

All ESPN Fantasy Football insights about David Montgomery

NegativeValueNo date
As Montgomery has risen in ADP (up from 54.5 open), the source has gone from constantly selecting him to only a steady stream; he wouldn't be surprised if Woody Marks' strong preseason pushes Montgomery down into a more enjoyable range. The Texans' rushing attack has been one of the worst in football since C.J. Stroud entered the league (31st in EPA per rush, 31st in rushing success rate), but Houston has retooled the offensive line with first-round rookie Keylan Rutledge at center and emerging guard Ed Ingram, making it the best run-blocking group they've had. When Houston acquired Joe Mixon (only a year younger than Montgomery is now), they used him as the lead back (245 carries to Dameon Pierce's 40 and Cam Akers' 40), though that was under different offensive coordinator Bobby Slowik. The source believes DeMeco Ryans wants a physical grinder to pair with his dominant defense. While Marks is a splashy runner with good receiving chops, Montgomery is a better receiver than given credit for; the source thinks receptions end up closer to 50/50 with goal line carries heavily favoring Montgomery. Of mid-round RB dart throws (Josh Jacobs, Travis Etienne Jr., Cam Skattebo, Bhayshul Tuten, Quinshon Judkins), the source is most confident in Montgomery's role and ceiling for 10+ scores.
NegativeProjectionNo date
Montgomery is projected to lead the Houston backfield in touches and gives the Texans a physical runner who can help near the goal line. However, he's coming off career lows in touches, yardage and fantasy PPG. Houston finished last in run block win rate last season, ranked 22nd in rushing yards despite being 13th in attempts and ranked near the bottom of the league in yards before contact. The unit has more talent after adding Wyatt Teller, Braden Smith and first-round rookie Keylan Rutledge, but Rutledge is transitioning from college guard to NFL center, which could take time and adds risk. Montgomery is comfortable as an RB3/flex in line with his ADP, but the shaky line could lower his ceiling.
PositiveValueNo date
Montgomery's No. 25 positional ADP paints the picture of a relative fantasy bargain. He's coming off his worst season in a supporting role behind Jahmyr Gibbs in Detroit, but in his first two years there he placed in the top 15 at the position in fantasy points per game (12th in 2023, 15th in 2024). In Houston, he's expected to serve as the lead back, taking the reins from Woody Marks, and this is his best opportunity for a big rushing workload in three years. He's likely to handle the bulk of goal-line chances and is a plenty capable fantasy RB2.