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ESPN Fantasy Football fantasy football takes on David Montgomery
Every source-backed article insight STACKED has extracted from ESPN Fantasy Football about David Montgomery.
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Insight ledger
All ESPN Fantasy Football insights about David Montgomery
NegativeProjectionJul 31, 2026
David Montgomery, 29 years old, is being selected in the first five rounds despite age-related regression risk; the source notes that only 16% of top-15 fantasy running backs over the past five years were 28 or older at the start of the season, suggesting Montgomery's early-round ADP may be overvaluing an aging back.PositiveRoleJul 31, 2026
The Texans traded for Montgomery to retool a backfield that averaged the fourth-fewest yards per carry (3.9) and ranked 22nd in rushing yards per game (108.9) last year. Montgomery is a nuanced three-down producer with adequate hands and massive red zone appeal, bringing stability and consistency to the Texans. Projected to lead the backfield in touches and fantasy points, Montgomery offers RB2 appeal at an overall ADP of 72.3.NegativeProjectionJul 30, 2026
Ranked RB26 in Field Yates' PPR top 160 rankings.NegativeProjectionJul 28, 2026
Ranked RB25 in ESPN's 2026 fantasy football flex and superflex rankings.NegativeProjectionJul 10, 2026
Montgomery is projected to lead the Houston backfield in touches and gives the Texans a physical runner who can help near the goal line. However, he's coming off career lows in touches, yardage and fantasy PPG. Houston finished last in run block win rate last season, ranked 22nd in rushing yards despite being 13th in attempts and ranked near the bottom of the league in yards before contact. The unit has more talent after adding Wyatt Teller, Braden Smith and first-round rookie Keylan Rutledge, but Rutledge is transitioning from college guard to NFL center, which could take time and adds risk. Montgomery is comfortable as an RB3/flex in line with his ADP, but the shaky line could lower his ceiling.PositiveValueJul 9, 2026
Montgomery's No. 25 positional ADP paints the picture of a relative fantasy bargain. He's coming off his worst season in a supporting role behind Jahmyr Gibbs in Detroit, but in his first two years there he placed in the top 15 at the position in fantasy points per game (12th in 2023, 15th in 2024). In Houston, he's expected to serve as the lead back, taking the reins from Woody Marks, and this is his best opportunity for a big rushing workload in three years. He's likely to handle the bulk of goal-line chances and is a plenty capable fantasy RB2.