Reviewing Matt Harmon's July Best Ball Draft

Analyst wishes AJ Brown was cheaper and thinks he should be a third round pick, not a second round pick.

A.J. Brown should be a third round pick, not a second round pick, as his current ADP is too expensive.

Ameer Abdullah is still in Jacksonville's running back room alongside Basil Tuton, Chris Rodriguez, and Laquon Allen.

Amon-Ra St. Brown (Ameka Egbuka reference context) is being ranked higher than Tee Higgins in some drafts.

Bijan Robinson was selected second overall in the draft.

The Aiyuk contract situation with Washington is falling apart and completely done.

Breece Hall was passed on in the third round due to the Josh Allen quarterback pick, representing opportunity cost.

Brian Thomas Jr. is viewed as an excellent fit for best ball format in his deep threat role, with upside even if he doesn't recapture 2024 form, making him a strong fourth receiver option.

C.J. Stroud is a little bit underrated now, ranking as a top 10 quarterback by EPA per play last year, though his playoff performance was poor.

Cam Skattebo is a better fourth round pick than David Montgomery.

Speaker would take Cam Skattebo ahead of David Montgomery in draft rankings.

Cam Skattebo has current injury questions, unlike David Montgomery, which is a consideration when comparing the two backs.

Chase Brown in the middle of the second round is a good pick and someone the analyst would have considered at 2.9 if he had made it there.

Analyst thinks Chase Brown could be a good pick in the second round and would have considered him at 2.9 if available.

Analyst thinks Chris Olave is really good at the top of the third round.

Chris Olave is being ranked higher than Tee Higgins in some drafts as one of the more exciting names.

Chris Rodriguez is not viewed as an exciting option in Jacksonville's running back room, with the analyst expressing lack of enthusiasm about his fantasy prospects.

Chris Rodriguez is not an exciting option in Jacksonville's running back room.

Analyst expresses concern about his workload, age, and the overall fragility of the San Francisco offense, preferring Puka Nacua ahead of him.

James Co expresses concern about Christian McCaffrey's workload, age, and the overall fragility of the San Francisco offense, preferring Puka Nacua ahead of him.

Christian Watson has a similar profile to Parker Washington but is more confident to stay healthy and be on the field for all snaps, making him a better option than Washington.

Analyst expresses concern about having Courtland Sutton as a third receiver, indicating he's too volatile for that role.

DJ Moore is one of the players in this draft that the analyst doesn't have a great feeling for.

De'Andre Swift is a better fourth round pick than David Montgomery.

Speaker would take De'Andre Swift ahead of David Montgomery in draft rankings.

De'Andre Swift was not preferred by the drafter in the fourth round, with concerns about injury risk compared to David Montgomery.

De'Andre Swift has current injury questions that make him less attractive than Cam Skatabo as a bell cow back option.

Davante Adams is preferred over David Montgomery in best ball due to higher upside.

David Montgomery will not produce in Houston; it's a bad landing spot with one of the worst offensive lines, his explosiveness is gone, and this will be one of the worst signings of the offseason.

Speaker would not have taken Montgomery in the fourth round, viewing him as more of a fifth-round pick at best, with no strong conviction either way.

David Montgomery's ceiling in best ball is only a top-15 back, making him unattractive compared to higher upside wide receivers like Terry McLaurin and Davante Adams.

The analyst would take Terry McLaurin and Davante Adams ahead of David Montgomery even in his ceiling case scenario.

Good running backs in bad offenses tend not to do well, and there's a whole new offensive game plan in Miami where Achane likely doesn't fit in the new scheme.

Analyst is bullish on Henry despite concerns about age, noting his yards before contact declined but yards after contact increased, no visual signs of decline, minimal backfield competition, and good fit in new offense. Drafted at 21st overall in a hero RB build.

His yards after contact actually went up slightly from 3.5 to 3.59, showing no visual signs of decline. He has no significant competition in the backfield and fits well in the new offense with ADP dropping.

At 21st overall in a hero running back build, Henry makes complete sense as a potential running back one at that draft spot with declining ADP.

Derrick Henry was selected in round two of the draft.

Analyst is happy to get DeVonta Smith in the third round and thinks he's a better player than Zay Flowers, positioning him as a prime candidate for a great breakout season with AJ Brown gone.

Analyst believes Devonta Smith is a really good candidate to have a huge breakout season.

DeVonta Smith is being ranked higher than Tee Higgins in some drafts, representing one of the more exciting names getting selected ahead of Higgins.

The Ravens are talking up Dontayvion Wicks Walker as potentially taking a step forward in the offseason.

Drake London was expected to drop further in the draft but was snatched up a couple picks before the drafter could select him.

Analyst loves Emeka Egbuka this year but thinks 16th overall is very aggressive for him; notes he's popular in high stakes leagues and best ball formats but unlikely to go in second round in traditional redraft leagues.

Emeka Egbuka at 16th overall is very aggressive and too early, though the analyst does like him overall.

Garrett Wilson is described as an incredible target getter who was quietly awesome last year before getting hurt, but faces uncertainty with Frank Reich as coach and Geno Smith as quarterback, though Smith could be the most aggressive QB he's played with.

Analyst describes Garrett Wilson as an incredible target getter who was quietly awesome last year before getting hurt, and notes he was well-deployed under passing game coordinator Tanner Engstrand.

Player comparisons show Garrett Wilson should be a stud (comparable to Ja'Marr Chase, Antonio Brown with Steelers, Stefon Diggs with Vikings, DeAndre Hopkins), and at 3.8 in the third round, the risk-reward makes him worth considering despite volatility.

George Holani is identified as a sneaky favorite option in Seattle's backfield, with the analyst expressing particular interest in him.

Analyst thinks Pickens is fine at the top of the third round.

J.K. Dobbins was mentioned as being selected second overall in the draft (referred to as 'Gibbs' in the transcript, but context indicates this is the first round discussion).

Ja'Marr Chase was selected third overall in the draft, indicating he was among the first three picks taken.

Matt Harmon selected Jahan Dotson in the 20th round, describing it as the sneakiest pick of the draft and noting it was a choice between Dotson and Bateman.

Jahmyr Gibbs was selected first overall in the draft.

Matt Harmon took Jalen Brooks at pick 93 overall, noting his ADP has risen to around 100th overall and describing him as a sneaky good pick in a good rushing ecosystem.

Generally ranked ahead of Puka Nacua, but analyst notes regression indicators in his profile including running extremely hot on deep passes and having the highest team target share (35.8%) for any wide receiver since 2015.

Javonte Williams feels like a boring pick but is pretty reliable overall in the fourth round.

If Jayden Daniels stays healthy, he will be an awesome pick this year; the analyst really likes him in the 60s in both best ball and redraft formats.

Jaylen Waddle is valued ahead of consensus at receiver 12, with redraft ADP around wide receiver 21; he should be targeted in the early fourth or late third round in best ball formats.

Jordan Tyson is taken too aggressively in round five of this draft.

Josh Allen at 30th overall is a good pick with a gap between him and the next quarterback, though the analyst notes opportunity cost concerns given depth at the position.

Josh Jacobs is the weakest pick in this section due to having a lot of things going on.

Josh Jacobs has a lot going on and was not preferred in the fourth round, with the drafter avoiding him in favor of David Montgomery.

Josh Jacobs has a lot going on that makes him less attractive as a bell cow back option.

Analyst considers him one of his favorite second round picks in redraft, though acknowledges the 2.1 pick in best ball is a bit early. Notes concerns about the Titans offense but still views Walker as a fine pick.

Khalil Herbert is better than Woody Marks and will clearly be more involved in the committee.

Khalil Herbert is better than Woody Marks and will clearly be more involved in the committee, making him a more attractive option.

Kyren Williams was passed on in the third round due to the Josh Allen quarterback pick, representing opportunity cost.

Analyst has talked a lot about Ladd McConkey and if chasing straight upside, would probably take him after Garrett Wilson but before Zay Flowers in the third round.

Analysts have discussed McConkey extensively as a player with significant upside, preferred over Zay Flowers when chasing pure upside in the third round.

Ladd McConkey is believed to have a ceiling that includes wide receiver one overall potential, similar to JSN's range of outcomes.

Ladd McConkey is being ranked higher than Tee Higgins in some drafts.

Speaker doesn't like Luther Burden at 4.5 ADP, preferring the cheaper Romeo Doubs instead, though understands the pick based on Burden's end-of-season finish and yards per route run.

Burden should be going slightly lower in ADP, with Odunze and Burden ideally going back-to-back rather than Burden in the fourth round.

Burden's skill set allows him to get more layup targets that keep him out of danger from Caleb Williams' inaccuracy, making him valuable if you don't believe in Williams' improvement.

Malik Nabers should not be drafted in the fourth round due to injury concerns; there has been zero positive news about his health status and he may start the season on the PUP list.

Marvin Harrison Jr. was obtained at 69th overall pick, representing really good value in best ball format as a fourth receiver option.

In the late second round, Nico Collins represents really good value. He's second in the NFL in yards per route run over the last 3 years since C.J. Stroud entered the league.

Last year with two plus tight ends on the field, Nico Collins had a 36% target share per route, compared to 24% with zero to one tight ends, and more two tight end sets are expected after Houston drafted Marlon Mack.

Nico Collins could be a sneaky wide receiver one overall candidate this year, potentially becoming this year's Jackson Smith-Njigba type, especially with more two tight end sets expected in Houston.

The analyst would straight up take Nico Collins ahead of Drake London this year, preferring him over Drake at the same draft spot.

Analyst would straight up take Nico Collins ahead of Drake London this year and would have been okay if Nico made it to him over Drake.

Analyst expresses concern about having Parker Washington as a second receiver, indicating he's too volatile for that role.

Parker Washington is a volatile wide receiver with high ceiling but boom-bust profile; he's too risky as a WR2 in best ball format despite similar profile to Christian Watson.

Matt Harmon selected Puka Nacua fourth overall in his best ball draft, indicating confidence in his ranking ahead of other elite options at that draft position.

Ranked fourth overall in best ball draft ahead of Christian McCaffrey and Jalin Hyatt. Analyst prefers Puka over JSN due to having his offensive coordinator back with Sean McVay, and his consistent elite yards per route run (second and fourth on the list since 2015).

Puka Nacua was selected in round one of the draft.

Rashee Rice in the second round is too expensive and represents one of the worst picks in the draft, with the chat and analysts agreeing it's way too rich.

Rashod Bateman is still with the Ravens and the team has been happy with their young receivers in the offseason.

Speaker is very much into Rome Odunze and willing to take injury risk, believing Odunze should be going higher in drafts than Luther Burden.

If you believe Caleb Williams will take a step forward, you should be into Rome Odunze, as his role benefits more from improved QB play.

Rome Odunze (JSN) was mentioned as having put together an incredible season last year and being generally ranked slightly below Puka Nacua.

Speaker prefers Romeo Doubs over Luther Burden due to his cheaper ADP, and will consistently target Doubs as the better value play.

Analyst believes Stefon Diggs is probably the favorite to sign with Washington due to the Aiyuk situation falling apart, though there's uncertainty about whether Diggs will sign at all given he has a lot going on.

Diggs likely won't get signed either due to having a lot of things going on.

Tee Higgins is a great pick at 4.1 overall, getting passed up for more exciting names despite being one of the best receivers in the NFL when on the field with Joe Burrow.

Terry McLaurin at 45th overall is a really good value pick and the last guy in his tier, with potential to be a wide receiver one in his own right.

Terry McLaurin is a really nice stable pick that anchors the wide receiver room with consistent production.

Terry McLaurin is preferred over David Montgomery in best ball due to higher upside.

Terry McLaurin was desired as a stack with Jayden Daniels in round six, indicating confidence in the pairing.

Tony Pollard at the end of the sixth round is noted as an interesting pick in best ball format.

The analyst was not going to take Trayvon Henderson in the fifth round.

Running back charting showed inconsistent performance last year; he needs to improve consistency to become a productive fantasy asset, as his team didn't play him during their Super Bowl run due to missed reads and tackles in the backfield.

Woody Marks is less likely to be involved in the committee compared to Khalil Herbert.

Analyst really likes Zay Flowers and thinks his upside is higher than given credit; projects he could become more of a red zone threat and have an eight to nine touchdown season if he takes a step forward against press coverage.

Analyst struggles to find a path for Zay Flowers to reach double-digit touchdowns or 1,300 yards, citing low volume passing attack and added red zone competition from Jacobi Lane and Elijah Serrant.

Co-analyst is more open to Zay Flowers as a 1,300 yard and 8-9 touchdown player, which would be better than his WR6/WR7 finish last season, though wide receiver one overall is probably not within his range of outcomes.

Zay Flowers is being ranked higher than Tee Higgins in some drafts as one of the more exciting names.