Answering Last Minute Fantasy Football Questions

Matt Harmon is avoiding A.J. Brown at his current ADP due to concerns over his role in a go-route heavy offense, his age (29), a long injury history, and a dip in success rates last season. Harmon also questions his specific alignment and role within the offensive design, specifically whether he will function as the 'Pure X' receiver.

Matt Harmon is avoiding AJ Brown at his current ADP due to concerns regarding his role in a go-route heavy offense, his age (29), a significant injury history, and a recent decline in success rates.

Matt Harmon considers Baker Mayfield an overlooked fantasy quarterback value this year, citing the strength of the offensive line as a key factor for his success.

Matt Harmon views Brian Thomas Jr. as a great ceiling bet in the Jacksonville offense, noting that he is not going away despite the competition for targets.

Matt Harmon has moved Bucky Irving up his rankings, citing the strength of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers' offensive line as a primary factor. Harmon does not expect Sean Tucker to steal goal-line work, nor does he view Kenny Gainwell as a threat to Irving's primary role, as Gainwell is viewed strictly as a pass-down player.

Matt Harmon has moved Carnell Tate down to WR35 (fifth tier) due to concerns about the Titans' offensive scheme and poor offensive line play, which he believes will make it difficult for an outside boundary receiver to receive consistent targets.

Matt Harmon notes that while Chris Godwin's previous RP profile was a disaster, it was likely due to playing through injury; he expects a bounce-back season supported by the offensive line.

Matt Harmon suggests Christian Watson could be the most disappointing NFC North wide receiver due to injury concerns and his continued usage as a vertical option, though he remains comfortable with Watson's current ADP and is not fading him.

Courtland Sutton is identified as target competition within the Miami offense that warrants concern for Jaylen Waddle's target share.

Matt Harmon identifies D'Andre Swift as a strong fourth-round target and explicitly advises against fading him due to team-stacking concerns, particularly in high-powered offenses.

Matt Harmon notes the training camp hype surrounding Dontayvion Wicks, suggesting that if the hype is real, it could contribute to Christian Watson being a disappointing fantasy asset.

Matt Harmon views Drake London as a comparable player to Garrett Wilson, noting that both are talented receivers dealing with questionable quarterback situations. Harmon is comfortable drafting London in the second round.

Matt Harmon remains high on Emeka Egbuka as a fourth-round pick despite a current toe injury. Harmon is willing to wait through a slow start in the first two weeks, anticipating a significant breakout for the remainder of the season.

Matt Harmon ranks Garrett Wilson as his WR21 (41st overall), seven spots ahead of his current ADP, citing his elite separation skills and role as a movement Z receiver. Harmon expects Wilson to dominate targets again, though he also notes Wilson's inclusion among 'supernatural movers' whose unique movement style may make them more prone to soft tissue injuries.

Matt Harmon is enthusiastic about stacking George Pickens and Javonte Williams, citing confidence in the offense's high-level performance. Harmon also uses Pickens as a benchmark for breakout potential, noting he was a league-winning pick in his previous season's blueprint article.

Matt Harmon strongly endorses stacking Jahmyr Gibbs and Jameson Williams, expressing high confidence in the Detroit Lions' offensive ceiling.

Matt Harmon ranks Jameson Williams 48th overall, significantly higher than his 66th-place ADP, identifying him as a best bet to outperform his draft position. Harmon prefers him over Parker Washington at their similar sixth-round ADP, arguing the Lions' offense has a higher ceiling and is more concentrated. He is a boom-or-bust vertical receiver who should be started in high-scoring game scripts or against weak secondaries, and Harmon endorses stacking him with Jahmyr Gibbs.

Matt Harmon maintains that Jaxon Smith-Njigba is a first-round dynasty talent, though he notes there are regression indicators to consider after his historic target share and yards per route run metrics from the previous season.

Matt Harmon notes that Jayden Reed could emerge as a 'PPR scam' candidate if the Packers' offensive situation deteriorates during the season.

Matt Harmon is significantly higher on Jaylen Waddle than consensus, ranking him 26th overall compared to his Yahoo ADP of 37th. Harmon views Waddle as his number one target at his current ADP, projecting him as a potential top-10 receiver and a league-winning pick. He cites a positive role change from an outside 'X' receiver to an off-ball slot receiver in Miami's offense, noting a lack of competition for targets as reasons for his optimism.

Matt Harmon views Jordan Addison as a decent value at his current ADP, though he expresses the least confidence in him among the breakout candidates due to concerns about the Vikings' run-heavy approach and passing volume.

Matt Harmon highlights Jordan Tyson as a prime example of a player who 'moves different' than others, suggesting this freakish movement ability may correlate with a higher risk for soft tissue injuries.

Matt Harmon ranks Josh Downs as his second-best option in the group, highlighting his potential to be a very steady player who is available at the latest ADP among the discussed receivers.

Matt Harmon ranks Justin Jefferson as his 13th overall player; while he acknowledges Jefferson is a top-tier talent who produced one of the best seasons in Reception Perception history, he prefers drafting running backs in the late first round due to positional scarcity. Harmon is comfortable selecting Jefferson at the 13th pick and considers him a preferred target in the same tier as Christian Watson, despite acknowledging he is a risky pick who could be disappointing relative to high draft capital.

Matt Harmon categorizes Kadarius Toney as a 'supernatural mover' whose unique, freakish movement skills may correlate with a higher propensity for soft tissue injuries.

Matt Harmon characterizes Kayshon Boutte's usage as 'pure sacrificial receiver stuff,' noting he was charted with one of the highest go-route percentages Harmon has ever recorded.

Matt Harmon is high on KC Concepcion for the Cleveland Browns, suggesting he could be a PPR value play who earns targets through specific usage in the offense.

Matt Harmon does not expect the Bears' wide receivers, including Keenan Allen, to be the most disappointing players at their respective ADPs.

Kyle Williams is identified as a teammate of Kayshon Boutte who shares a similar high-snap-share profile, with Matt Harmon questioning if he will serve as a 'sacrificial player' in the Patriots' scheme.

Matt Harmon identifies Luther Burden as a potential fantasy smash, though he notes that Burden's 'supernatural' movement skills and 'wild horse' route-running style may make him more susceptible to injury.

Matt Harmon classifies Malik Nabers as a 'supernatural mover' and a freak separator whose unique movement style potentially increases his risk for soft tissue injuries, noting he acts more as a separator than a traditional technician.

Matt Harmon is optimistic about Marvin Harrison Jr. as a change factor in the Cardinals' offense, noting the new system under Michael Lor is objectively better for wide receiver usage. Harmon ranks him as WR31 (66th overall), slightly ahead of Yahoo ADP, and views him as a better dynasty buy than redraft until the QB situation is resolved. He emphasizes that Harrison is a better real-life player than public perception suggests, citing an 80th percentile success rate versus man coverage.

Matt Harmon expresses belief in the training camp hype surrounding Matthew Golden, noting that if it is real, it could negatively impact Christian Watson's target share. Additionally, Golden is cited as a late-round player whose low cost makes him a safe option to stack with teammates.

Matt Harmon views Michael Wilson as a value pick, ranking him as his WR33 compared to his WR36 ADP. While he can finish as a solid WR2, Harmon notes he may not be a massive league-winning hit.

Matt Harmon cites Odell Beckham Jr. as the historical peak of the 'freak separator' archetype, noting that his elite movement skills and technical route-running ability may have contributed to his injury history.

Matt Harmon ranks Parker Washington as the number one receiver in Jacksonville and expects him to lead the team in snaps, though he warns that the Jaguars' receiver room will likely be a rotation. Harmon compares him to a 'full ABV Golden Tate' and considers him fairly priced at his current ADP, though he prefers Jameson Williams over him due to the Lions' higher offensive ceiling.

Matt Harmon identifies Pat Bryant as a deep sleeper who functions primarily as a blocking and 'dirty work' receiver. While Bryant is expected to be on the field frequently, Harmon questions his overall fantasy upside despite the training camp buzz and notes he serves as target competition that could potentially cap Jaylen Waddle's upside.

Matt Harmon ranks Rome Odunze 44th overall, well ahead of his 65th-place ADP, viewing him as a strong candidate to exceed expectations.

Matt Harmon ranks Romeo Doubs as his WR50, 14 spots higher than his positional ADP, and considers him a strong late-round value. Harmon expects Doubs to transition from a 'sacrificial' role into a more versatile, movement-based role within the Packers' offense.

Matt Harmon does not believe Sean Tucker will steal significant goal-line work from Bucky Irving, noting that Tucker barely maintained his roster spot.

Matt Harmon believes Stefon Diggs still has the ability to command targets and secure layup looks despite the poor offensive line in Washington. Harmon projects Diggs to lead the team in receptions, noting that his 2024 and 2025 profiles remain similar despite his injury history. Harmon suggests Diggs could be a 'PPR scam' candidate who accumulates receptions out of necessity.

Matt Harmon has backed off his previous all-in stance on Terry McLaurin due to the Washington offensive line being a massive problem and the arrival of Stefon Diggs. Harmon expects Diggs to lead the team in receptions, which makes McLaurin's current ADP in the fourth or fifth round difficult to justify.

Matt Harmon remains high on Tory Horton as a talent and a dynasty buy, ranking him 12 spots ahead of the market consensus. Despite this, Harmon expresses doubt regarding Horton's ability to stay healthy and on the football field, noting that his recurring injury concerns make his availability a significant risk.

Matt Harmon classifies Travis Hunter as a 'supernatural mover' and freak separator rather than a pure technician, noting that this movement style may correlate with higher injury risk. Harmon projects Hunter to rotate into the Jaguars' receiver room, playing 20-30% of routes, and believes he is better suited as an outside receiver who performs well against man coverage.

Tucker Kraft is cited as a viable late-round draft option whose low cost makes him an acceptable player to stack with teammates.

Tyreek Hill is noted as the primary reason for Jaylen Waddle's previous role constraints, as Miami utilized Hill for 'fun movearound stuff' while keeping Waddle on the line of scrimmage.

Matt Harmon identifies Wan'Dale Robinson as a potential 'PPR scam' candidate for 2026, expecting him to catch a high volume of quick RPO passes while the offense struggles with a poor offensive line.

Matt Harmon identifies Zay Flowers as the primary example of the 'small boy archetype,' which he suggests represents a distinct category regarding injury risk compared to the 'supernatural mover' group.