0:00Matt Harmon here from Reception Perception with 10 deep sleepers presented by Lisa. That makes a ton of sense. Deep sleepers, Lisa mattresses.
0:08We love to see it. These are guys going outside the top 150 in consensus ADP from Fantasy Pros that I think could
0:17actually have their moments this year.
0:19Let's get into it.
0:28All right. All right, so like I said, I took a look at the Fantasy Pros consensus ADP just to get a good grasp
0:33of where guys are going on a variety of different sources in half PPR formats and compared my rankings to those ADPs
0:40to point out some guys that I think might be a little bit undervalued here.
0:44I've got 10ish names for you here today.
0:47I do want to just give a quick courtesy nod to Jaylen Coker at 156. Uh he is the 59th wide receiver off the board.
0:55Listen, obviously I love Jaylen Coker.
0:58did a whole breakdown on him and the ADPs that I am highest on right now. Uh the guys I'm highest on versus ADPs. You
1:04guys can check that video out there as well on the channel. Didn't think he fit for this exercise. So, let's get into
1:10the full list here. My number one deep sleeper in this section is Jaylen Null, Houston Texans wide receiver. This one is like baffling to me. His ADP, the
1:21consensus ADP right now in Fantasy Pros 104 among wide receiver. What are we talking about here? I what am I missing
1:28on the Jaylen Null thing? I have him as my wide receiver 59. I think he is a perfect late round pick this year
1:34because the guy is super talented and there's a ton of opportunity available for him here in Houston as we were showing in the player comp tool right
1:42now from reception perception. Yes. Does he fit squarely into the Matt Harman fell for it again territory? Of course.
1:48We've got two Jaden Reed seasons here.
1:50We've got a Josh Down season. We've got a Curtis Samuel season in the mix here among his top five comps. These are a
1:56lot of like smaller separator types that I've liked more than their team. Like they never play him in two receiver sets
2:03and the whole deal. Okay, I I get it. He is definitely in that category. However, Jaylen Null 5'11 200 lb. Kahan Booty the new guy
2:12that everybody thinks is just going to play he's gonna play two receiver sets.
2:14It's gonna be him. Not not not Jaylen Null. Kan Booty is 5'11 2003 pounds.
2:19You're telling me three pounds makes all the difference here for Jaylen Null? I'm a little bit skeptical of that being the
2:25case. So, Null is somebody that is talented. He is a good player. I think we saw last year over 70% success rate
2:33versus man, over 80% success rate verse zone coverage. Just wild to me that he would be going off the board, you know,
2:40in the ADP 300s. Just so deep in some of these formats here. I love him as a last round pick in a traditional reddraft
2:47league. deep in a best ball, but in a traditional reddraft. Stick him on the interior bench and see what happens because like I said, this is a prospect
2:53that I had like a early round two, you know, type of range, tier three, I believe, ranking on him in the stacked
3:00prospect rankings. What we saw last year was someone who could win at all three levels. So, my favorite deep sleeper this year is Jaylen Null, especially
3:08after the Jaden Higgins injury. He's going to be the vertical slot player that will offer some big weeks. love that for best baseball. But even just
3:15traditional reddraft, I think he could be a hit in the late rounds, especially if he is the number two receiver in
3:20Houston ahead of Kan Booty. I like Booty's role for this team. But ultimately, I think the guy that could be the more really outkicks the coverage
3:28here is Jaylen Null. All right, second deep sleeper here is Dantavian Wixs. Wix right now is the wide receiver 72 in
3:38ADP. I've got him as the wide receiver 54 right now. Just sick pup stuff here to be revisiting the Dantavian Wixs
3:47profile. However, [gasps] I think the reality is here, and yes, I'm I'm laughing at myself here because uh Wix is somebody that really liked his early
3:55season, early career stuff, especially his 2023 rookie season. I think he took a small step back in 2024 as a player.
4:03Other people have been higher on him as a separator than I am, but I still think there's a lot of quality marks here in
4:07this 2024 profile. Specifically, two I want to point out, the dig route success rate and the out route success rate, especially the out route success rate
4:15where he ran this at a high volume and he had an 82.4% 4% success rate. Where Wix really stood out both 2024 and even
4:22last year, especially when Jaden Reed was hurt in Green Bay, they would like full speed motion him at the snap, kick
4:28him into the slot and run these out cuts on late downs against man coverage and he would win. He would actually move the
4:35chains and make some pretty quality catches. Um I I think he is a good player. Dantavian Wixs just got to consistently catch the football.
4:43Obviously, that's been a problem for him, but if he can, I think there's a chance he's more valuable to the Eagles
4:48than people think right now. And at this point, based on Mai Lemon's summer, I think Dante Wix opens the season in two
4:56receiver sets for this team. And he will at least be the third receiver over the course of the year. So, makes sense as a
5:01deep sleeper. Somebody I'm definitely willing to keep the candle lit for is Dantavian Wixs. following Shawn Manning from Green Bay and the fact they gave
5:09him the one-year contract extension after that. Kind of think that's bullish for Dantavian Wix here. Nice little dynasty buy as well. Okay, this one's a
5:18grouping here for my third deep sleeper.
5:20I'm going with Trey Tucker and Jack Bash. Jack Bash is the one that I'm like way higher than the ADP on. I have him
5:27in the 70s. He his ADP is wide receiver 102. That's one thing. But I want to talk about Trey Tucker here first on
5:34this one where Trey Tucker right now consensus ADP is wide receiver 68. I have him at wide receiver 61. I think he
5:40makes sense actually uh as like a very late top 150 pick right now in reddraft leagues because what I want to point out
5:50here about him Trey Tucker last year you're seeing this like really balanced route chart where he ran kind of like again a lot of routes within the NFL
5:58average on the route percentage chart where the route success rate chart points us to is dig post nine lot of vertical routes this Clint Kubak offense
6:08is going to want to get under center is going to want to run play action. It's going to want to push the ball down the
6:13field. I know it's going to be a little hit and miss with the quarterback situation, offensive line, the whole deal, whatever. But I mean, Trey Tucker
6:19can burn, baby. We've seen the success rate for zone 2, just under 79%, 78% success rate versus zone for Trey Tucker. Like, we can work with that as a
6:29Z receiver for the Raiders. He's going to be a spike to be player. is going to be a little tough to guess, but when you
6:35get into your by-weeks, the whole deal, he's going to be on the field all the time. He's going to lead the Raiders in
6:41snaps, and he's going to burn on these downfield routes against zone coverage.
6:44So, that actually overlaps really well.
6:46I'm not I'm not saying Trey Tucker will be Jackson Smith and Jigba or even in the same galaxy as Jackson Smith and
6:52Jigba, but he will be someone that can run these big breaking routes like JSN made a ton of plays on digs, ton of
6:58plays on posts, nine routes as well. So Trey Tucker, I think will run pretty pure in some of these weeks when you get
7:04into your by-weeks and you just kind of are chasing explosive plays. And I'll dubtail that with Jack Bash, too, who I
7:09think really fits well as the power slot for this team. Probably a better real life player than a fantasy football player. I think that's the way it's
7:16going to go. Better blocker than anything. But these are the two most valuable Raiders receivers to me. Jaylen Naylor, um not sure that he's going to
7:23be heavily in the mix on this one. So yeah, Trey Tucker, Jack Bash, I think are really good deep sleepers. Bash
7:29again, more of a dynasty buy. We'll see if he can integrate with Brock Bowers as the power slot, the whole deal. But I
7:34think he will give some weeks here every now and again. Uh but yeah, just undervalued based on that 102 overall ADP. But Trey Tucker probably going to
7:41be the better fantasy pick this year and somebody I like as a fit in this offense. Number four player is Chris
7:47Bell, rookie wide receiver for the Miami Dolphins. I actually don't mind Caleb Douglas either. I have Caleb Douglas nine positional spots ahead of his
7:55consensus ADP. Uh Chris Bell I'm also high on as well and is somebody that I'm been ticking up my rankings. Chris Bell
8:02especially in like round 16 of drafts and things like that. I just want to kind of get this guy and park him on my
8:08bench and see what happens, especially in deeper formats because this is a really talented player who was a, you know, early round two type of talent in
8:18my opinion. Priority round two pick in my stacked rankings for prospects. And you're seeing like the breaking routes downfield, massive out route success
8:27rate, slant route success rate really high. If you watched any of his plays in college, you know he can rumble after
8:32the catch. And I actually think that Cale, the fact that Caleb Douglas looks like he's established and emerged himself as that kind of exceiver for the
8:41team, getting Chris Bell on the move on play action from Malik Willis. He's going to make some big plays on this
8:46one. So, I was honestly shocked to see him out there in that third preseason game. Looking pretty good for the Miami
8:53Dolphins because I thought he might just be like a long shot to play this year based on the injury when it happened for
8:59him, the torn ACL, but looked pretty good out there in the preseason. I I'm always hesitant with rookies who miss a
9:04ton of time in the off season in the ramp up phase, but Miami doesn't have like vets to play ahead of him. Uh I
9:12think Chris Bell is going to play a lot.
9:13I think will be a nice little impact player for the Miami Dolphins this year.
9:16We'll see what Malik Willis can do as the starter of course, but Malik Willis has thrown those go routes pretty well
9:23and Chris Bell can make some plays down the football field as well. Okay, number five deep sleeper is Adnai Mitchell. AD
9:31Mitchell himself. wide receiver ADP 79.
9:34I've got him at 62 in my rankings.
9:37Speaking of my rankings, you can check them out on reception.com.
9:41My interactive cheat sheet is up there for you guys if you're doing a last minute draft here in the biggest draft
9:46weekend of the year through Labor Day.
9:49Make sure you check that bad boy out. Is definitely going to help you draft as you prepare and during your live draft
9:53as well. If you're a boomer like me, you can even print it out and take it to your draft as well. Ad Mitchell, you're
9:58going to see him on the wide receiver tiers there as the wide receiver 62.
10:03Really funny player is Adnai Mitchell.
10:05Uh he gets this like rap as a awesome separator and all of that. He's really more of like a funhouse mirror
10:12separator. And what I mean by that is when you see him against press coverage, incredible success rate versus press coverage. 76.6%
10:2082nd percentile. Success rate vers zone sub 70% a sixth percentile mark. he kind of just needs to just line up at X
10:28receiver and that's it. Good news is last year with the New York Jets 2025 he took 83.4% of his sample snaps outside.
10:36He was in the slot on just 16% barely in motion and he was on the line of scrimmage for 87% of his snaps. The Jets
10:43have this figured out. They know he's a pure X so that they can move Garrett Wilson around. And even in the
10:48preseason, it's a new coaching staff with Frank Reich, but that's pretty much what we saw. And Frank Reich kind of has
10:54like a static usage for his wide receivers. A pretty traditional XZ slot.
10:59Mitchell's going to fit in as the X and he's going to have I think some big weeks on those nine routes, the out
11:05routes. He's a limited route running. He can only kind of run these four routes like slant, curl, nine out, that's it.
11:13But decent success rate on those routes.
11:16Was actually even better as a rookie than he was in his second season. So, I think Andy Mitchell is like one of the
11:22last true number two receivers that goes in drafts. Super late, as I mentioned, almost wide receiver 80 in consensus ADP. And I think that Mitchell can give
11:29you some weeks and be useful there. Is he ever going to be this monster breakout, right? Like it's kind of like
11:34a poor man's George Pickins. I like I don't know that he's ever going to truly become George Pickkins, but that was the
11:40stylistic comp I gave him coming into the league. And you know, his early career, George Pickkins, that's kind of he looked a little bit like AD Mitchell.
11:49George Pickkins just took the steps forward that he needed to in his third season or coming to AD Mitchell's third season. I don't know. [gasps] Probably
11:57not going to happen in terms of that level of a breakout. But I do think there could be a little bit more to AD
12:02Mitchell's game if he could just get that success rate versus zone up to like 73 74, god forbid, 75%. I know that
12:10doesn't sound like much like, oh, a few percentage points. few percentage points make quite a bit of difference between being like a all right this guy's a
12:16acceptable starting receiver and a really really good starting receiver which is what George Pickins became in his final year in Pittsburgh and then
12:22obviously took another step forward in his first year with the Dallas Cowboys.
12:28So these are your deep sleepers we're talking about today. Let's take a quick break speaking of sleepers to talk about our sponsor Lisa who makes truly
12:39gamechanging mattresses. And I could say that because I am a I'm a user. All right. I have a Lisa mattress and I am
12:47obsessed with this mattress. I I have been getting incredible sleep. Uh I've got got a wearable device here, you know, that uh tracks my sleep. The
12:57scores have been up. You love to see that. As we head into the biggest draft weekend of the year, I am actually
13:03getting some quality sleep as I prepare for the draft. I prepare for the season.
13:07Listen, nobody should ever feel bad for me. You shouldn't feel bad for me.
13:10Nobody does with the job that I have.
13:13But, you know, there's some late nights during the regular season, okay? I'm up late. Gotta be up again in the morning
13:18to get right to preparing to shows, charting routes for you guys. So, that means every second I'm in that bed counts in terms of getting good quality
13:26sleep. And I do that with my Lisa mattress. It's been a huge impact, positive impact on my life already having this thing. Uh, listen, this is
13:36not my first show of the day. And you can tell I got a little pep in my step talking about, you know, Jack Besh and
13:43Dantavian Wixs and Jaylen Null. I've got that pep in my step thanks to my Lisa mattress where when I'm on the bed, I'm
13:51sleeping. When I'm up here, I'm charting routes. I'm able to do it thanks to my Lisa mattress. And I have an exclusive
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14:32No better time than as we head into football season and we're all going to be sweating our fantasy football matchups. We're going to want to be
14:38getting some good night's sleep. You can do that with my friends at Lisa. Shout out to Lisa for sponsoring this deep
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14:54subject to change. All right, back to the deep sleepers here. Number six sleeper Ryan Florenoi. You guys know I've been talking about Ryan Florenoy
15:02here for a minute. Uh, one of the most underappreciated wide receivers in the entire NFL. Wide receiver three for the Dallas Cowboys. So, uh, is he going to
15:09give you some standalone fantasy value?
15:11I don't know about that, but he's probably one of the best wide receiver insurance policies across the NFL. Wide receiver 84 in consensus ADP. I've got
15:19him at wide receiver 69. I guess again if we're if you're in a traditional reddraft league is he gonna be someone
15:25you're ever starting maybe in like a high flying shootout type match matchup you might get it there but for the most
15:34part it's hey anything happens to CD Lamb anything happens to George Pickkins god forbid knock on wood we don't want that but if it does Ryan Fenway is just
15:44getting a rocket ship right into your starting lineup we already saw that last year against the Lions against the Jets his reception perception charting
15:50probably got to be on the site before week one kicks off. Don't know if we'll have a full profile, but you'll see him
15:55in the player comparison tool. You'll see him in the historic tables on the website. That's a guy that's going to be
16:00tracking for like a 70% success rate versus man. I love the way he beats man coverage working in the middle of the
16:04field. I'm a big fan of Ryan Fenoy. The Cowboys are too. You should be as well.
16:10You guys know I'm a huge fan of Cyrus Allen. A couple of months ago, I was higher than anybody in the Dynasty
16:16market. You could see that on the Dynasty rankings tool on Cyrus Allen.
16:20you know, a sub6 foot, sub 190 pound separator. People are saying maybe Matt Harmon fell for it again. Well, it looks
16:26like the Kansas City Chiefs have fallen for it as well. Cyrus Allen, they love him. I love him because he gets open.
16:32Okay, you're seeing that 75% success rate versus man. You're seeing the success rate on all three levels of the route tree. That is not a guy that they
16:38have on this roster right now. Cyrus Allen is the wide receiver 70 in ADP. I have him as wide receiver 64. So, I am
16:46keeping the expectations reasonable for Cyrus. If he opens the season as the wide receiver for behind Rasheed Rice, Xavier Worthy, and Taekwon Thornton, I'm
16:54not going to be, oh my god, losing my mind. I can't believe we all tweeted about Cyrus Allen. This I'm not going to
16:59be doing that because he's still a day three rookie. This might be a little bit of a slow burn, but from a dynasty
17:04perspective, I want to remain ahead of the market on Cyrus Allen. From a reddraft standpoint, I want to maybe in a deeper format put him on the end of my
17:11bench and just see what happens here for Cyrus Allen. Big fan of his game, big fan of his route ring. You've seen the
17:17twitchiness already look pretty good in the preseason games we've seen so far.
17:22All right, number eight, Pat Bryant, Denver Broncos wide receiver. You know, Pat Bryant right now, wide receiver 83 in consensus 80p. I have him as my wide
17:32receiver 74.
17:34Pat Bryant's a good NFL player, man. He might end up being a better real life than NFL player where he's this gritty
17:39blocking kind of power slot receiver.
17:41But Denver needs a body type like that on the field this year because Courtland Sutton established as the X. Jaylen Wadd
17:48as I've been talking about all off season. You know this from his reception perception profile from the segments on reception perception the show. Subscribe
17:55wherever you get your podcast to check out me and James Co there. You know this is a guy that's going to be moving
18:00around the formation as Jaylen Wadd slot Z movement stuff. Well, in order to do that, to have that, you know, guy who's
18:07going to be your number one receiver in Jaylen Waddle detached from the ball, you need that on ball slot receiver.
18:12That was Pat Bryant who was a heavy slot usage player, but played more on ball than offball in his rookie season RP
18:19profile. So, again, I know I'm talking about a lot of stuff like blocking, playing on the ball, that doesn't get you fantasy points. All that stuff gets
18:25you on the football field. Attached to an offense in the Denver Broncos, it's one of the more undervalued ones based on ADP value versus offensive
18:33projections.
18:34He's going to be a guy that will be out there. He's going to have some games where he gets a lot of targets, gets
18:39looks around the goal line. And I also think he could kind of be like Courtland Sutton's maybe understudy at the exceiver
18:46position. I think Bryant fits more as like a long-term power slot in the Jawan Jennings mold, but still a guy that's
18:52going to be on the field for a good offense. So, I think he makes for a nice deep sleeper. If anything happens to
18:56some of the other guys in Denver, I like him as somebody that can step up and win some routes over the middle of the
19:02field. the guy who Pat Bryant essentially replaced in Denver. Devon Vele is my ninth deep sleeper here. Vele I think is really undervalued as well.
19:11Wide receiver 87 in ADP. I have him as wide receiver 75.
19:15Here's the reality, man. Jordan Tyson is going to miss a good chunk of time, maybe the whole first half of the season
19:22because the Saints come they they talk about maybe like a six week timeline.
19:26Well, when they come out of that six week, they're playing on Metife turf. I don't want Jordan Tyson playing on Metife turf. Then they go overseas. I
19:34don't know you want to be making him have that trip. Come back from the buy.
19:37Maybe it's week nine that we see Jordan Tyson. So in the whole first half of the season and Chris Obvious is going to eat
19:43up targets. Chris Olav is a stud. You guys know that based on his reception perception charting. Jawan Johnson going to get a lot of looks, but the second
19:50receiver might well be Devon Vele right now. Vele showed pretty well late in the year as that power slot receiver. We
19:56know that in Kell Moore's offense, everybody gets reps from the slot. Vele included as the bigger body option here.
20:02He's someone that I would love to just kind of again deeper format, keep an eye on. Maybe early on in the season you
20:07have a wide receiver injury. He's going to be playing a ton in an offense that was number one in pace last year. Don't
20:14forget about Devon Vele. Okay, for number 10, it's the I don't know how to quit you award. You know, John Dodson. That's right. Okay, we're
20:25going all the way back to the 2023 season to look at Jan Dodson charting.
20:29This wasn't so bad. You know, it wasn't the profile if you look at the percentiles of like some crazy future NFL superstar Jan Dodson, but I refuse
20:39to believe 63rd percentile success rate versus man over 50th against zone. I refuse to believe that he just like forgot how to
20:47play football. He's going to be the number two receiver for the Atlanta Falcons this year. You know, he's going to be out there. Look, I I'm worried
20:56about the number one receiver in Atlanta if we got to start. I mean, as I'm taping this right now, I don't I don't
21:01know who the Falcons are starting at quarterback. I think the Falcons don't want to admit to you who they're going to have to start at quarterback early on
21:05in the season. So, there's that. Worried about the number one receiver makes me not really like love the second receiver in Atlanta. However, wide receiver 99 in
21:16ADP right now. So, wide receiver 76 for me, Jan Dodson. I you guys know I have the candle lit for Jan Dodson. I'm
21:24keeping an eye on him as a super deep sleeper in fantasy football this year.
21:28Again, super deep. Last round of your best drafts. That's all I'm asking for you. And maybe it's just like an emotional rooting for Jan Dodson here.
21:37Uh so yeah, I'm I don't know how to quit Jan Datson. That is for sure. You know, I'd also talk about Rashad Baitman here,
21:42but based on how things are off the field right now, I don't want to talk about Rashad Baitman. So, and you know,
21:47my therapist said I'm not even supposed to talk about Rashad Baitman. So, there's that. Um, but definitely keeping the candle lit for Jan Datson in the I
21:54don't know how to quit you uh award. I just think he's a better real life player than his admittedly horrific your
22:02per route, yard per route, first down per route. It's all terrible. I I can't make the case based on the stats, but I
22:08test wise, I still think he's a solo player who knows how to get open.
22:11Reception, perception, early career stuff was pretty good on him. So, you know, that's why I that's why he was 10th on the list. That's why he's 10th.
22:17Maybe it's just for me to feel like a little bit of joy when I see Jan Datson make some plays on the football field,
22:23jokingly tweet out in the preseason, "John Datson is back when he's got three catches on three targets for 27 yards."
22:28Maybe that one's just for me, but a top 10 list of deep sleepers. How can you hate on that? All right, those are your
22:3410 deep sleepers outside the top 150 in Consensus ADP right now as you head into your biggest draft weekend of the year.
22:43Shout out to our sponsors, Lisa, for this episode. Shout out to you guys for subscribing to the channel. Yes, subscribe to the channel. Check out the
22:51videos we have right now. We have a ton of fantasy football content for you.
22:54We're going to have a ton of NFL content over the course of the season and of course into the offseason where
22:59reception perception does it better than anyone else. Of course, if you subscribe today, you get access to my cheat sheet for reddraft. You get access to the
23:07dynasty tools if you're a prime or above a prime or above subscriber. Of course, profiles going up all the time. Tons of
23:14charting on the website as well. I think you guys will absolutely love it. If you're a football sicko, if you're a
23:19fantasy sicko, you will love reception.com.
23:22All right, that's going to do it for me.
23:24I'll see you guys in the next one.