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Patrick Mahomes II ranked QB13 in expert consensus with ADP 84.
Ranked QB13 in FantasyPros' consensus draft rankings from the most accurate experts; ADP 84, consensus rank 107, expert consensus rating 100.6, average pick 6.1, with -4 expert variance and a 9-round consensus.
Patrick Mahomes II consensus QB13 with 84 ADP and 100.6 rank.
Ranked QB13 in FantasyPros consensus with ADP of 84 and consensus rank of 100.6; shows 6.1-point variance and -4 point differential, indicating near-consensus agreement on his draft positioning.
Mahomes targeting Week 1 return from ACL/LCL injury; camp participation TBD.
Patrick Mahomes said during the offseason program that he's in a good spot in his ACL/LCL recovery and hopes to play in Week 1; Andy Reid indicated the quarterback should be able to do some things at the start of training camp, but the exact scope of his participation and ramp-up timeline remain unclear.
Patrick Mahomes II ranked QB13 in expert consensus rankings.
Ranked QB13 in FantasyPros' consensus draft rankings from the most accurate experts; ADP 84, consensus rank 107, expert consensus rating 100.6, average pick 6.1, with -4 change indicator.
Mahomes II ranked QB13 with ADP near consensus at 100.6.
Ranked QB13 in FantasyPros consensus rankings; ADP 84 with range 84-107, consensus rank 100.6, average difference -4 indicating near-market alignment with expert consensus.
Second-most drafted QB; only pocket passer in top-tier QB group.
Second most drafted quarterback overall; only exception to the preference for running quarterbacks. Five of six most-drafted QBs run the ball a ton, with Mahomes as the sole pocket passer in the top tier.
Mahomes offers QB1 upside as a Round 8-9 value option.
Mahomes is listed among 15 quarterbacks with upside to deliver solid QB1 numbers in 2026, available in Rounds 8-9, offering value at the position.
Elite value at QB with ADP outside top 100 despite consistent top-tier finishes
Mahomes is described as 'the most obviously good value in fantasy football at any position' with ADP outside the top 100 picks despite a career finishing record of QB 4, 11, 4, 2, 6, and 1. Mattek targets him in every draft. With Eric Bieniemy's reintroduction to the offense (Mahomes was top-5 QB every year Bieniemy was there before 2022), Xavier Worthy healthy, Rashi Rice returning, and Travis Kelce's 'one last ride,' Mattek sees no way Mahomes ends up truly disappointing, expecting him to finish QB 10–14. He also gets a lot of indoor dome games which tends to drive scoring, making him one of the best overall targets at QB for 2026.
Mahomes' ACL tear illustrates that injury risk is universal, even for elite players.
The source cites Mahomes as an example of how even elite players face injury risk in football, noting he tore his ACL last year; used as evidence that injury risk is universal across the league and not a differentiating factor for draft decisions.
Fourth in 20-point fantasy games over last four years with 26.
Patrick Mahomes II ranks fourth over the last four years in 20-point fantasy games with 26, behind Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen, and Jalen Hurts.
Mahomes likely Week 1 starter pending full knee recovery.
Mahomes is the expected Week 1 starter for the Chiefs, the only way he doesn't start is if his knee is not fully recovered from the ACL and LCL tears sustained in December. Early returns from training camp show he may be ready.
Mahomes targeting Week 1 return after season-ending 2025 injury.
Kansas City Chiefs veteran Patrick Mahomes sustained a season-ending injury late in 2025 but has stated his desire to be available to start Week 1 of the 2026 season, creating a race against the clock for his recovery.
Mahomes active in Chiefs training camp.
Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes is walking toward the practice field during training camp.
Mahomes projected to fall from QB3 to QB10-15 due to reduced rushing role.
Mahomes finished as QB3 in adjusted points per game last season but is projected to decline to QB10-15 range due to intentional reduction in rushing attempts and scrambles; the Chiefs acquired Ken Walker to shift toward more pass attempts, eliminating the rushing spike that drove his 2025 production. He finished 13th and 11th in adjusted PPG in 2023-24, and while he's a full go to start camp with no lingering knee concerns, the team explicitly wants to reduce his rush attempts as Mahomes acknowledged scrambling too much in 2024.
Mahomes ranks QB9 in 2026 overall rankings.
Ranked QB9 overall at position, 91st in top-200 overall rankings.
Mahomes ranks QB9 in top-200 overall rankings at ADP 92.
Ranked QB9 in the 2026 fantasy football top-200 overall rankings by NBC Sports Rotoworld at overall rank 92.
Patrick Mahomes II ranked QB14 in superflex with ADP of 27.3
Patrick Mahomes II ranked QB14 in superflex draft rankings with an ADP of 27.3 and average draft position variance of 6.3.
Patrick Mahomes II consensus QB14 in 2026 superflex rankings.
Patrick Mahomes II is ranked QB14 in 2026 superflex fantasy football draft rankings with consensus ranking of 27.3 overall; best rank 16, worst rank 44, showing significant variance in expert opinion on his tier placement.
Mahomes expected to lead Chiefs starters in Wednesday on-field work.
Mahomes is expected to be in the huddle with the rest of the offense's projected starters during Wednesday's on-field work, signaling his readiness and central role in the Chiefs' 2026 offense.
Mahomes fully cleared, showing improved mobility and comfort in expanded under-center looks.
Quarterback is fully cleared for camp and feeling "amazing" after recovering from his left knee injury. During early camp practices, Mahomes demonstrated improved mobility, rolling to his left and right before throwing downfield at a faster pace than displayed during the offseason program. He is expected to be in the huddle with projected offensive starters (Travis Kelce, Kenneth Walker III, Rashee Rice, Xavier Worthy, Tyquan Thornton) when the Chiefs open Wednesday's full-team work. Mahomes also showed comfort executing play-action passes and screen passes, with the offense experimenting with increased under-center looks (11-on-11 reps showed him under center more than half the time Thursday, compared to 80.6% shotgun usage last season).
Mahomes set to lead Chiefs' projected starting offense in camp.
Mahomes is expected to be in the huddle with the rest of the offense's projected starters during Wednesday's on-field work, signaling his readiness for the 2026 season.
Mahomes operating under center more frequently; mobility improving post-knee rehab.
The Chiefs are experimenting with increased under-center formations with Mahomes, a notable shift from last season when he operated from shotgun in 80.6% of snaps (third-most in NFL). During Thursday's practice, Mahomes was under center more than half the time during first-team 11-on-11 reps, allowing coach Andy Reid to evaluate his play-action execution and running back Kenneth Walker III's between-the-tackles running. Mahomes demonstrated improved mobility during individual periods, rolling left and right before throwing downfield while continuing to rehab from his left knee injury. He is expected to be fully operational with the projected starting offense beginning Wednesday's full-team session.
Mahomes executing deep balls and tight-window throws with multiple TD passes.
Patrick Mahomes threw multiple touchdown passes during practice, including a 40+ yard deep ball to Thornton on a go route where Mahomes jogged down to celebrate with him. He also threw a perfect pass to Cyrus Allen on a one-handed catch up the middle despite double coverage, and connected with Justin Fields on fade-ball dots between cornerbacks and safeties.
Mahomes projects as QB10 overall, a ranking that feels right.
The source projects Patrick Mahomes as fantasy's QB10 overall for 2026, a ranking that feels appropriate given his talent and situation.
Mahomes cleared for week one but expect fewer rushing attempts and efficiency dip.
Mahomes is fully on track for week one after ACL/LCL recovery, but the source expects reduced rushing production this season. Despite a career-high in rushing touchdowns and season-high rushing yards per game last year, the source projects fewer purposeful rushing attempts due to injury caution and Eric Bieniemy's offensive coordinator role replacing Matt Nagy. The Chiefs are expected to be more run-heavy overall, with a 2–3% decreased pass rate as part of Mahomes' injury recovery strategy. Mahomes is expected to hold the ball longer on broken plays rather than scramble, and has adjusted his drop-back mechanics to reduce right knee rotation. The source anticipates an efficiency dip per rush and has dinged his rushing upside projections accordingly.
Mahomes projects as QB10 overall for 2026 fantasy season.
The source evaluates Mahomes as fantasy's QB10 overall, suggesting this ranking feels appropriate for the 2026 season.
Mahomes' new offensive coordinator opens top-five path in Tier 3.
Placed in Tier 3 where top-five campaign is on the table but QB1 overall season unlikely; has hit top-five mark at least once already. Got a new offensive coordinator in the offseason.
Post from 32BeatWriters
Post from 32BeatWriters