Isaiah Likely is still a sell-high for me right now His 27.8 fantasy points in Week 1 were a career high, along with his 24.1 XFP (per @FantasyPtsData) There are a few reasons I think this ends up being an "outlier" performance 1. It was against a piss poor Cowboys defense that refused to make adjustments 2. 4 red-zone targets feel unsustainable given the talent that Likely is competing with 3. Malik Nabers was not at 100% in this game and is going to see increased usage in the coming weeks...
The Bears' run game just had one of the most efficient performances we've seen over the last 6 seasons Here is how their backfield ranked in Week 1 (out of 1,800+ games): - 114.8 RYOE (8th) - 11.7 EPA (11th) - 0.417 EPA/A (26th) - 22.7 FPOE (2nd) Metrics per @FantasyPtsData
Red zone touches in the first half of Week 1 morning games: 5 - Jonathan Taylor (100% red zone snap rate) 4 - David Montgomery (80%) 4 - Chase Brown (100%) 3 - Chuba Hubbard (100%) 3 - Breece Hall (80%) 3 - Derrick Henry (75%) 3 - D'Andre Swift (67%) 2 - Jahmyr Gibbs (50%) 2 - Bucky Irving (100%)
Let’s ultimately see how the Texans split up the RB room by the end of the game, but right now it’s looking an awful lot like a Joe Mixon bellcow role for David Montgomery
I've now gone full circle on my Bhayshul Tuten outlook for 2026 this offseason (this is it; I'm settling on this here, I swear) The Jaguars ranked 23rd in Receiving XFP/G to RBs last season (6.5). That feels far from elite to me The Tuten bull case hinged on him getting most of the receiving work out of the backfield (especially the designed stuff) - While I still think that will be the case, will it be enough? IF Tuten lacks explosive upside once again in Year 2, and loses the goal-line role...
This feels like a TikTok trend type of post, but fuck it, here are some of my favorite “takes” for 2026 1. WR going outside the top-5 to finish WR1 overall: ***Drake London*** 2. WR going outside the top-20 to finish top-5: ***Terry McLaurin*** 3. Favorite Sleeper WR to finish top-32: ***Dontayvion Wicks*** 4. RB going outside the top-5 to finish RB1 overall: ***Chase Brown*** 5. RB going outside the top-20 to finish top-5: ***David Montgomery*** 6. Best Late Round TE: ***Dalton Kincaid*** 7....
Offense bounces back on series 2. How it went: Play 1: 3 yard run by Woody Marks Play 2: 3 yard run by David Montgomery Play 3: 17 yard pass from CJ. Stroud to Dalton Schultz
Talked about this on yesterday's show. Setup for Lions offense is extremely clean: * Secondary is a mess, setting up shootouts * Easiest schedule in the NFL * Offense very concentrated to four guys (Gibbs, ARSB, JaMo, LaPorta) * Will close fantasy season with 11 of final 13 games in a dome
New Market Monday up. I discuss the changing prices on: * Malik Nabers * Fernando Mendoza * David Montgomery * Sam LaPorta * More Free here or on YT: <https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/market-monday-malik-nabers-pops-david-montgomery-falls/id1473055758?i=1000778589639>
Training camp hasn't even started for every team yet, and I'm already seeing completely nonsensical narratives Based either on a cherry-picked clip or some beat report that contradicts common sense and everything we've researched throughout the offseason 1. Woody Marks is going to play some pseudo RB1b role 2. Marvin Harrison is washed and clearly has the YIPs 3. Tre' Harris is going to compete with Quentin Johnston for the WR2 role on Day 1 4. Jonathon Brooks is going to be the RB1 in Week 1...
Gather around Houston fans, fantasy owners and Montgomery STANS. I stepped in it by using the word “split” too early. Let’s reframe it “tandem” Words to hone in on: vision, luxury, nothing fixed here. *disclaimer it’s early and talking is hard sometimes but bear with me and I’ll take cover now 🤣 but some stats on why this would/should be a good thing for 2nd year Marks who was only named the starter in Week 10 and popped and a vet RB looking to extend his career out of the dreaded 7 year itc...
The Woody Marks and David Montgomery split comment was likely not fully legit More context from Texans All Access pod, who said it was walked back a bit by Jane Slater
Also David Montgomery is the clear RB1 and they want to throw him the football Take: Yesterday’s insider report about splitting with Marks felt inconsistent from everything else I’ve read and heard. Still think this is a Joe Mixon role but will pay attention closely.
61 running backs in just over an hour in my fantasy football RB tier breakdown! -I'm drinking the Saquon comeback szn Kool-Aid -How often do bad scoring offenses produce good fantasy RBs? -The David Montgomery dilemma -Rico Dowdle price is nicey -MORE 📽️ <https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ImIYTg1raro>
@32BeatWriters Sorry I couldn't get to your question yesterday, as I had finished it and was out of town. But to answer it here, Montogomery and Marks will split carries in the sense that you'll see Marks spell him. But Montgomery should get the bulk.