NFL fantasy football news and player signals for Monday, July 13, 2026

We're up to 38 specific player profile deep dives created for 2026 Fantasy Football draft season on Beyond the Box Score this summer, with more coming. Here's the DeVonta Smith profile: <https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmqQlGSHsHI&t=188s>

DeVonta Smith has: - a history of efficiency - target hog ability - evil genius OC in 2026 Maybe it doesn't amount to a massive JSN-like breakthrough, but the path is clear and feels realistic.

.@​danpompei believes WR Emeka Egbuka is a breakout candidate this season: "Egbuka had to learn and play every WR position last year. This season, new OC Zac Robinson says he is making Egbuka a full-time Z receiver. And Baker Mayfield will be looking to establish a new No. 1 WR." (via @​TheAthletic)

Chargers GM Joe Hortiz: Charlie Kolar is tailor-made for what our offense wants to do Chargers beat writers: Charlie Kolar will be TE1 BestBallBartGimpson: It’s a ZERO percent chance that Charlie Kolar can return value on his 20th round ADP… k, I’m gonna take Seth McGowan here

New Market Monday up. I give my take on: * Ricky Pearsall * Patrick Mahomes * Travis Etienne * Jordan Mason * Jaydon Blue * Michael Wilson Free here or on our YouTube: <https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/market-monday-travis-etienne-and-patrick-mahomes-get/id1473055758?i=1000776657442>

New Market Monday up. I give my take on: * Ricky Pearsall * Patrick Mahomes * Travis Etienne * Jordan Mason * Jaydon Blue * Michael Wilson Free here or on our YouTube: <https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/market-monday-travis-etienne-and-patrick-mahomes-get/id1473055758?i=1000776657442>

New Market Monday up. I give my take on: * Ricky Pearsall * Patrick Mahomes * Travis Etienne * Jordan Mason * Jaydon Blue * Michael Wilson Free here or on our YouTube: <https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/market-monday-travis-etienne-and-patrick-mahomes-get/id1473055758?i=1000776657442>

New Market Monday up. I give my take on: * Ricky Pearsall * Patrick Mahomes * Travis Etienne * Jordan Mason * Jaydon Blue * Michael Wilson Free here or on our YouTube: <https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/market-monday-travis-etienne-and-patrick-mahomes-get/id1473055758?i=1000776657442>

New Market Monday up. I give my take on: * Ricky Pearsall * Patrick Mahomes * Travis Etienne * Jordan Mason * Jaydon Blue * Michael Wilson Free here or on our YouTube: <https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/market-monday-travis-etienne-and-patrick-mahomes-get/id1473055758?i=1000776657442>

New Market Monday up. I give my take on: * Ricky Pearsall * Patrick Mahomes * Travis Etienne * Jordan Mason * Jaydon Blue * Michael Wilson Free here or on our YouTube: <https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/market-monday-travis-etienne-and-patrick-mahomes-get/id1473055758?i=1000776657442>

TRUE OR FALSE - CJ Stroud is a Top 20 QB in the NFL.

Josh Allen's spike potential is also completely unrivaled. I rounded up the top 3 scoring weeks of ALL QB seasons since 2023, and averaged them. Here are the results (top 5): 1. Josh Allen (2024): 41.5 2. Josh Allen (2025): 39.8 3. Josh Allen (2023): 35.1 4. Joe Burrow (2024): 34.8 5. Lamar Jackson (2024): 34.7 To clarify, this means Allen holds ALL THREE of the top ceiling game averages (avg. 3 highest FP scoring outputs in a given season) over the last 3 years. No QB in any individual seaso...

Who would you rather draft in fantasy this season? CeeDee Lamb Justin Jefferson

Who would you rather draft in fantasy this season? CeeDee Lamb Justin Jefferson

A snapshot of what DraftKings’ Best Ball ADP looks like today 📊 Some notable risers: • Jordan Mason (+3.9) • Deebo Samuel (+2.9)

A snapshot of what DraftKings’ Best Ball ADP looks like today 📊 Some notable risers: • Jordan Mason (+3.9) • Deebo Samuel (+2.9)

Tre Tucker is 6th in the entire NFL in percentage of his team's passing yards on 25+ air yard play action pass attempts over the past 2 years (top 20 in 20+ air yard PA throws). His new coach, Klint Kubiak, orchestrated the Seahawks offense in 2025 that attempted the 6th most deep passing attempts out of play action (led the NFL in both completions and yards on these). This was despite the Seahawks finishing the season 30th (!) in pass attempts. Big plays coming for Tre Tucker.

It's crazy how quickly injury narratives can change. Last year, Chris Olave wasn't a good pick in fantasy because he might retire from concussions. Now it's never brought up because he had a healthy season.

Josh Allen's rushing numbers over the last 2 years: + 26 rushing TDs (1st, over double all other QBs but Hurts) + 37.3% goal line rush share (2nd, while 3rd closest QB down below 25%) + 34.7 rushing YPG (3rd) + 8.3 rushing FP/G (1st) And his passing numbers from these past 2 years (while his offense was 29th in pass rate in this time)... + 1.66 passing TDs/game (8th) + 231.2 passing YPG (9th) + 7.40 ANY/A (1st) + 7.85 YPA (6th) Top of NFL rushing volume paired with top 10 passing production a...

Fantasy-relevant picks WR: -Emeka Egbuka -Luther Burden -Matthew Golden -Jayden Higgins -Josh Downs -Xavier Worthy -Rashid Shaheed -Jalen Nailor -AD Mitchell -Travis Hunter ... as a corner RB: -Quinshon Judkins TE: -Isaiah Likely -Terrance Ferguson -Greg Dulcich -Charlie Kolar [Quoted](

Fantasy-relevant picks WR: -Emeka Egbuka -Luther Burden -Matthew Golden -Jayden Higgins -Josh Downs -Xavier Worthy -Rashid Shaheed -Jalen Nailor -AD Mitchell -Travis Hunter ... as a corner RB: -Quinshon Judkins TE: -Isaiah Likely -Terrance Ferguson -Greg Dulcich -Charlie Kolar [Quoted](

Fantasy-relevant picks WR: -Emeka Egbuka -Luther Burden -Matthew Golden -Jayden Higgins -Josh Downs -Xavier Worthy -Rashid Shaheed -Jalen Nailor -AD Mitchell -Travis Hunter ... as a corner RB: -Quinshon Judkins TE: -Isaiah Likely -Terrance Ferguson -Greg Dulcich -Charlie Kolar [Quoted](

Fantasy-relevant picks WR: -Emeka Egbuka -Luther Burden -Matthew Golden -Jayden Higgins -Josh Downs -Xavier Worthy -Rashid Shaheed -Jalen Nailor -AD Mitchell -Travis Hunter ... as a corner RB: -Quinshon Judkins TE: -Isaiah Likely -Terrance Ferguson -Greg Dulcich -Charlie Kolar [Quoted](

Fantasy-relevant picks WR: -Emeka Egbuka -Luther Burden -Matthew Golden -Jayden Higgins -Josh Downs -Xavier Worthy -Rashid Shaheed -Jalen Nailor -AD Mitchell -Travis Hunter ... as a corner RB: -Quinshon Judkins TE: -Isaiah Likely -Terrance Ferguson -Greg Dulcich -Charlie Kolar [Quoted](

Fantasy-relevant picks WR: -Emeka Egbuka -Luther Burden -Matthew Golden -Jayden Higgins -Josh Downs -Xavier Worthy -Rashid Shaheed -Jalen Nailor -AD Mitchell -Travis Hunter ... as a corner RB: -Quinshon Judkins TE: -Isaiah Likely -Terrance Ferguson -Greg Dulcich -Charlie Kolar [Quoted](

Fantasy-relevant picks WR: -Emeka Egbuka -Luther Burden -Matthew Golden -Jayden Higgins -Josh Downs -Xavier Worthy -Rashid Shaheed -Jalen Nailor -AD Mitchell -Travis Hunter ... as a corner RB: -Quinshon Judkins TE: -Isaiah Likely -Terrance Ferguson -Greg Dulcich -Charlie Kolar [Quoted](

Fantasy-relevant picks WR: -Emeka Egbuka -Luther Burden -Matthew Golden -Jayden Higgins -Josh Downs -Xavier Worthy -Rashid Shaheed -Jalen Nailor -AD Mitchell -Travis Hunter ... as a corner RB: -Quinshon Judkins TE: -Isaiah Likely -Terrance Ferguson -Greg Dulcich -Charlie Kolar [Quoted](

Fantasy-relevant picks WR: -Emeka Egbuka -Luther Burden -Matthew Golden -Jayden Higgins -Josh Downs -Xavier Worthy -Rashid Shaheed -Jalen Nailor -AD Mitchell -Travis Hunter ... as a corner RB: -Quinshon Judkins TE: -Isaiah Likely -Terrance Ferguson -Greg Dulcich -Charlie Kolar [Quoted](

Fantasy-relevant picks WR: -Emeka Egbuka -Luther Burden -Matthew Golden -Jayden Higgins -Josh Downs -Xavier Worthy -Rashid Shaheed -Jalen Nailor -AD Mitchell -Travis Hunter ... as a corner RB: -Quinshon Judkins TE: -Isaiah Likely -Terrance Ferguson -Greg Dulcich -Charlie Kolar [Quoted](

Fantasy-relevant picks WR: -Emeka Egbuka -Luther Burden -Matthew Golden -Jayden Higgins -Josh Downs -Xavier Worthy -Rashid Shaheed -Jalen Nailor -AD Mitchell -Travis Hunter ... as a corner RB: -Quinshon Judkins TE: -Isaiah Likely -Terrance Ferguson -Greg Dulcich -Charlie Kolar [Quoted](

Fantasy-relevant picks WR: -Emeka Egbuka -Luther Burden -Matthew Golden -Jayden Higgins -Josh Downs -Xavier Worthy -Rashid Shaheed -Jalen Nailor -AD Mitchell -Travis Hunter ... as a corner RB: -Quinshon Judkins TE: -Isaiah Likely -Terrance Ferguson -Greg Dulcich -Charlie Kolar [Quoted](

Fantasy-relevant picks WR: -Emeka Egbuka -Luther Burden -Matthew Golden -Jayden Higgins -Josh Downs -Xavier Worthy -Rashid Shaheed -Jalen Nailor -AD Mitchell -Travis Hunter ... as a corner RB: -Quinshon Judkins TE: -Isaiah Likely -Terrance Ferguson -Greg Dulcich -Charlie Kolar [Quoted](

Fantasy-relevant picks WR: -Emeka Egbuka -Luther Burden -Matthew Golden -Jayden Higgins -Josh Downs -Xavier Worthy -Rashid Shaheed -Jalen Nailor -AD Mitchell -Travis Hunter ... as a corner RB: -Quinshon Judkins TE: -Isaiah Likely -Terrance Ferguson -Greg Dulcich -Charlie Kolar [Quoted](

Josh Downs should pick up the targets that Michael Pittman left behind 👀

Josh Downs should pick up the targets that Michael Pittman left behind 👀

2023-2025: -Jameson Williams: 16 drops, 235 targets -Cooper Kupp: 10 drops, 265 targets -Rashee Rice: 10 drops, 209 targets -Malik Nabers: 10 drops, 205 targets -Ladd McConkey: 9 drops, 218 targets -Rome Odunze: 9 drops, 191 targets ... -Quentin Johnston: 11 drops, 242 targets

2023-2025: -Jameson Williams: 16 drops, 235 targets -Cooper Kupp: 10 drops, 265 targets -Rashee Rice: 10 drops, 209 targets -Malik Nabers: 10 drops, 205 targets -Ladd McConkey: 9 drops, 218 targets -Rome Odunze: 9 drops, 191 targets ... -Quentin Johnston: 11 drops, 242 targets

2023-2025: -Jameson Williams: 16 drops, 235 targets -Cooper Kupp: 10 drops, 265 targets -Rashee Rice: 10 drops, 209 targets -Malik Nabers: 10 drops, 205 targets -Ladd McConkey: 9 drops, 218 targets -Rome Odunze: 9 drops, 191 targets ... -Quentin Johnston: 11 drops, 242 targets

2023-2025: -Jameson Williams: 16 drops, 235 targets -Cooper Kupp: 10 drops, 265 targets -Rashee Rice: 10 drops, 209 targets -Malik Nabers: 10 drops, 205 targets -Ladd McConkey: 9 drops, 218 targets -Rome Odunze: 9 drops, 191 targets ... -Quentin Johnston: 11 drops, 242 targets

2023-2025: -Jameson Williams: 16 drops, 235 targets -Cooper Kupp: 10 drops, 265 targets -Rashee Rice: 10 drops, 209 targets -Malik Nabers: 10 drops, 205 targets -Ladd McConkey: 9 drops, 218 targets -Rome Odunze: 9 drops, 191 targets ... -Quentin Johnston: 11 drops, 242 targets

2023-2025: -Jameson Williams: 16 drops, 235 targets -Cooper Kupp: 10 drops, 265 targets -Rashee Rice: 10 drops, 209 targets -Malik Nabers: 10 drops, 205 targets -Ladd McConkey: 9 drops, 218 targets -Rome Odunze: 9 drops, 191 targets ... -Quentin Johnston: 11 drops, 242 targets

Mentioned as 'next guy up' in context of recurring Reddit backup RB hype-train failures.

One user's leaguemate drafted Jacory Croskey-Merritt at #2 in dynasty rookie draft over Omarion Hampton based on Reddit hype; the leaguemate is now picking #1 overall, implying Hampton was the correct value.

One user sarcastically references someone pushing Higgins in the first round, implying it was a bad take.

Reddit community is divided on Dortch; some call him 'hot garbage' while others defend him based on guru preferences. Comment notes sub would benefit from data-driven corrections rather than vibes-based downvoting.

User was bullish on Parker Washington before midseason; he became a fantasy offseason darling and now goes 30-40 spots ahead of ADP on Sleeper due to Reddit hype and community awareness.

Reddit consensus hyped Benson; one user spent 98% of FAAB on him after drafting Bill Crosby, but still won league by ignoring Reddit advice after seeing one game.

Reddit users were warned against drafting Bill Crosby over Keenan Allen in early rounds; Allen was the correct value play. Comment notes users who took Bill over Allen were downvoted when warned.

Reddit consensus hyped Charbonnet in his rookie season as a backup RB; he underperformed. Cited as recurring example of Reddit backup RB hype-train failures.

Reddit consensus hyped Corum as a backup RB; he underperformed. Cited as recurring example of Reddit backup RB hype-train failures.

Reddit consensus hyped JCM as a 'second round pick' and 'absolute steal'; he underperformed. Cited as recurring example of Reddit backup RB hype-train failures alongside Blake Corum and Zach Charbonnet.

Reddit consensus hyped Thornton with inflated comparisons ('literally Randy Moss reincarnated'); he underperformed. Cited as example of Reddit hype-train failures on rookie WRs.

Michael Bobal ranked McCaffrey as #1 RB; McCaffrey finished #1 RB while ECR had him 4th. Bobal finished 3rd overall.

Guilherme Gianni ranked St. Brown higher than consensus (WR3 vs ECR WR6); St. Brown finished WR3, validating Gianni's ranking. Gianni finished 2nd overall.

Guilherme Gianni ranked Lamb lower than consensus (WR2 vs ECR WR2); Lamb finished WR18, validating Gianni's more cautious ranking. Gianni finished 2nd overall.

Guilherme Gianni (2nd place overall) correctly identified that Jeanty should not have been a first-round pick as a rookie on the Raiders; Gianni finished top-5 at RB.

Seth Miller was correctly lukewarm on Purdy relative to consensus; Miller finished #2 overall at QB and #1 overall, suggesting Purdy was overvalued by consensus. One comment notes injuries may have been a factor in Miller's accuracy.

Seth Miller was correctly lukewarm on Penix Jr. relative to consensus; Miller finished #2 overall at QB and #1 overall, suggesting Penix Jr. was overvalued by consensus.

Seth Miller ranked Herbert well above consensus at QB; Miller finished #2 overall at QB and #1 overall, suggesting Herbert was undervalued by consensus.

Seth Miller faded Hunter relative to consensus; Miller finished #1 overall in 2025 accuracy, suggesting Hunter was overvalued by consensus.

Seth Miller faded Hill relative to consensus; Miller finished #1 overall in 2025 accuracy, suggesting Hill was overvalued by consensus. One comment notes injuries may have been a factor in Miller's accuracy.

Seth Miller faded Nabers relative to consensus; Miller finished #1 overall in 2025 accuracy, suggesting Nabers was overvalued by consensus.

Seth Miller ranked Waddle higher than consensus; Miller finished #1 overall in 2025 accuracy, suggesting Waddle was undervalued by consensus.

Seth Miller ranked Sutton higher than consensus; Miller finished #1 overall in 2025 accuracy, suggesting Sutton was undervalued by consensus.

Seth Miller ranked Pickens higher than consensus; Miller finished #1 overall in 2025 accuracy, suggesting Pickens was undervalued by consensus.

Colston Loveland splits with DJ Moore ON and OFF the field in 2025, per @​SumerSports: DJ Moore ON (342 routes run): + 0.21 targets per route run + 16.1% target share + 1.65 yards per route run DJ Moore OFF (49 routes run): + 0.25 TPRR + 19.7% target share + 3.00 YPRR

.@​PFF ranks their highest rated QBs in the clutch last season: 1 - Dak Prescott 2 - Matthew Stafford 3 - Lamar Jackson 4 - Sam Darnold 😱 5 - Josh Allen

DJ Moore career receiving yards per game by QB

DeVonta Smith probs pops off in 2026

DeVonta Smith and Nico Collins are the only players to rank top-15 in yards per first-read target in each of the past three seasons (Source: @​FantasyPtsData) Yards per first-read target leaders - past three seasons: 11.5 - Jameson Williams 11.0 - Nico Collins 10.9 - Zay Flowers 10.8 - George Pickens 10.5 - Puka Nacua 10.4 - DeVonta Smith 10.4 - Jaxon Smith-Njigba 10.0 - Justin Jefferson

DeVonta Smith and Nico Collins are the only players to rank top-15 in yards per first-read target in each of the past three seasons (Source: @​FantasyPtsData) Yards per first-read target leaders - past three seasons: 11.5 - Jameson Williams 11.0 - Nico Collins 10.9 - Zay Flowers 10.8 - George Pickens 10.5 - Puka Nacua 10.4 - DeVonta Smith 10.4 - Jaxon Smith-Njigba 10.0 - Justin Jefferson

DeVonta Smith and Nico Collins are the only players to rank top-15 in yards per first-read target in each of the past three seasons (Source: @​FantasyPtsData) Yards per first-read target leaders - past three seasons: 11.5 - Jameson Williams 11.0 - Nico Collins 10.9 - Zay Flowers 10.8 - George Pickens 10.5 - Puka Nacua 10.4 - DeVonta Smith 10.4 - Jaxon Smith-Njigba 10.0 - Justin Jefferson

DeVonta Smith and Nico Collins are the only players to rank top-15 in yards per first-read target in each of the past three seasons (Source: @​FantasyPtsData) Yards per first-read target leaders - past three seasons: 11.5 - Jameson Williams 11.0 - Nico Collins 10.9 - Zay Flowers 10.8 - George Pickens 10.5 - Puka Nacua 10.4 - DeVonta Smith 10.4 - Jaxon Smith-Njigba 10.0 - Justin Jefferson

DeVonta Smith and Nico Collins are the only players to rank top-15 in yards per first-read target in each of the past three seasons (Source: @​FantasyPtsData) Yards per first-read target leaders - past three seasons: 11.5 - Jameson Williams 11.0 - Nico Collins 10.9 - Zay Flowers 10.8 - George Pickens 10.5 - Puka Nacua 10.4 - DeVonta Smith 10.4 - Jaxon Smith-Njigba 10.0 - Justin Jefferson

As a Caleb Williams believer, I think it’s too early to anoint him over Jordan Love [Quoted](

As a Caleb Williams believer, I think it’s too early to anoint him over Jordan Love [Quoted](

Highest single-season CFB yard per route run rate among Top-10 picks in the NFL Draft: (2016-2025 data) 3.67 - Jaylen Waddle 3.67 - Corey Davis 3.76 - Ja'Marr Chase 3.82 - Malik Nabers 4.58 - DeVonta Smith

Highest single-season CFB yard per route run rate among Top-10 picks in the NFL Draft: (2016-2025 data) 3.67 - Jaylen Waddle 3.67 - Corey Davis 3.76 - Ja'Marr Chase 3.82 - Malik Nabers 4.58 - DeVonta Smith

Highest single-season CFB yard per route run rate among Top-10 picks in the NFL Draft: (2016-2025 data) 3.67 - Jaylen Waddle 3.67 - Corey Davis 3.76 - Ja'Marr Chase 3.82 - Malik Nabers 4.58 - DeVonta Smith

Highest single-season CFB yard per route run rate among Top-10 picks in the NFL Draft: (2016-2025 data) 3.67 - Jaylen Waddle 3.67 - Corey Davis 3.76 - Ja'Marr Chase 3.82 - Malik Nabers 4.58 - DeVonta Smith

Another recent faller I’ve noticed is Josh Allen, who I’ve now clicked multiple times in mid round 4 (could be anecdotal as ADP hasn't dropped). Allen in this range feels like a smash, and the opportunity cost as opposed to an early-mid R3 pick is much more appealing. Allen has finished as the QB1 or QB2 in fantasy points in EACH of the last SIX years. I understand the passing volume concerns, but Allen has already dealt with near league low pass rates in the past three years (bottom 6 each y...

Moved Jaylen Waddle up to WR11 in the fantasy ranks

Ashton Jeanty ➡️ 20 Jeremiyah Love ➡️ 23 Cam Skattebo ➡️ 24 Quinshon Judkins ➡️ 25 ok bro 🤣 [Quoted](

Ashton Jeanty ➡️ 20 Jeremiyah Love ➡️ 23 Cam Skattebo ➡️ 24 Quinshon Judkins ➡️ 25 ok bro 🤣 [Quoted](

Ashton Jeanty ➡️ 20 Jeremiyah Love ➡️ 23 Cam Skattebo ➡️ 24 Quinshon Judkins ➡️ 25 ok bro 🤣 [Quoted](

Ashton Jeanty ➡️ 20 Jeremiyah Love ➡️ 23 Cam Skattebo ➡️ 24 Quinshon Judkins ➡️ 25 ok bro 🤣 [Quoted](

.@​JamesPalmerTV on Tyreek Hill’s injury recovery timeline. “There still is, to my understanding, no guarantee that Tyreek Hill plays in 2026. I think it’s wishful thinking.” Hill is currently a free agent.

Colston Loveland now dropping to the 5th round in drafts… The 10th overall pick from 2025 looked every bit the part down the stretch of last season, dominating targets and getting open at will. From Week 8 on, he was the Bears clear leader in receiving production (92 REC, 828 yards). In his last 4 games, the usage was absurd (28.5% tgt share, 35.1% 1st read, 12! targets per game via @​FantasyPtsData) as was the production (94.5 YPG, 3 TDs). The upside literally could not be higher for the 22-...

An NFL Coordinator on Dak Prescott: “He's a true, acute progression passer. There are only so many of those types. He can read the whole field, from pre- to post-snap. He's just really a good commander of the offense." (@​JFowlerESPN)

NFL coaches/execs/scouts rank their Top 10 QBs: 1) Josh Allen 2) Patrick Mahomes 3) Matthew Stafford 4) Joe Burrow 5) Lamar Jackson 6) Dak Prescott 7) Justin Herbert 8) Drake Maye 9) Jared Goff 10) Caleb Williams (@​JFowlerESPN)

NFL coaches/execs/scouts rank their Top 10 QBs: 1) Josh Allen 2) Patrick Mahomes 3) Matthew Stafford 4) Joe Burrow 5) Lamar Jackson 6) Dak Prescott 7) Justin Herbert 8) Drake Maye 9) Jared Goff 10) Caleb Williams (@​JFowlerESPN)

The plan: We draft David Montgomery, profit for 7 weeks, then trade him to our idiot friend Billy for the stretch run

Fantasy PPR points last season: Saquon Barkley: -232.3 Christian McCaffrey ONLY from receiving: -236.4

Fantasy PPR points last season: Saquon Barkley: -232.3 Christian McCaffrey ONLY from receiving: -236.4

Mentioned in context of potential bounce-back; some interest in drafting him late if he's rested. Limited discussion but flagged as potential value play if healthy.

Community skeptical: QB situation could be 'incredibly dire incredibly quickly'; some hope leaguemates draft him at high ADP. Doesn't appear to be a league-winner despite volume. Limited specific stats but sentiment is cautious.

Mentioned in context of Seahawks backfield; Gainwell arrival suggests committee approach. Limited discussion but flagged as part of potential RBBC situation.

49ers 2nd-year RB; competing with Kaelon Black for RB2 role. Unlikely to see significant work unless CMC injured. Mentioned as potential handcuff but not a primary draft target.

49ers backup RB; mentioned as potential handcuff to CMC. Unclear if he'll be RB2 (competing with Jordan James); likely won't see significant work unless CMC injured. Hoosier connection noted; some interest in his development. Not a primary draft target but relevant for CMC handcuff strategy.

Community notes Gibbs had 320 touches in 2025 (well below 375 threshold), so not a workload concern. Some suggest fading him as part of broader RB regression thesis; others note he's young (26 or younger) and not comparable to aging backs. Not a primary focus of thread but mentioned as potential fade candidate if workload regression is real.

Article flags Taylor as heavy-workload concern. Community sentiment is cautious: high touches (369 in 2024, just below 375 threshold) combined with poor QB situation (Daniel Jones injury late season degraded touch quality; stacked boxes when Jones out). Not a league-winner despite volume; efficiency solid but context matters. Contract year (2026) may drive motivation. Some still draft him but with reservations; others prefer Jefferson or other RB1s. Age 27 is not a major concern. Colts' QB uncertainty remains the primary risk factor.

Article claims Henry had 322 touches in 2025 with YPC of 3.93, suggesting regression. Community corrected: Henry actually had 307 carries for 1,595 yards (5.2 YPC) in 2025, down from 5.9 YPC in 2024 but still elite for a 31-year-old. Article's data error undermines regression thesis for Henry. Community split: some fade him due to age (31) and historical decline patterns; others note he's defying odds and is a HOF-level talent. 2019 (409 touches) followed by 2020 (even better) cited as counter-example to regression rule. Some willing to take him in 2nd round at discount; others see him as overcoming the Curse of 370.

Article lists Barkley as heavy-workload concern, but community consensus is bullish: new Eagles OC and playcaller (Kellen Moore) expected to elevate him; ADP in 2nd round seen as steal vs. top-8 value; beneficiary of offensive shakeup similar to DeVonta Smith. Efficiency concerns noted (didn't collapse last year despite high touches), and he didn't come off his highest-touch season. Tank Bigsby cited as strong handcuff. Some concern about O-line health (Kolton Miller, JPP injured last year; Linderbaum addition helps). Overall, community sees value at current ADP despite workload history.

Article claims CMC had 413 touches in 2025 (career high), down from 369 in 2022 but up in 2023, suggesting workload regression is not guaranteed. Community deeply split: bullish camp argues his upside is league-winning if healthy and efficiency decline (YPC down, fewer targets with Evans/Pearsall healthy) still leaves top-5 RB floor; bearish camp cites injury history (2020–2021 foot injury, 2024 tendonitis) and notes he's been injury-prone every year drafted. Top 27 all-time touches in 2025 raises durability concerns. ADP ranges 1.06–1.10 in best ball; some avoid entirely, others take him at 8th pick or later. Consensus: handcuff is essential if drafting early.

Mayfield's chemistry with Egbuka is developing and strengthening with each offseason, positioning Egbuka as one of his most reliable targets. The source frames this quarterback-receiver connection as a key factor supporting optimism about Egbuka's Year 2 trajectory.

Egbuka delivered a strong rookie season with 63 receptions, 938 yards, and 6 touchdowns, leading Tampa Bay in receiving yards while becoming one of Baker Mayfield's most reliable targets. The source notes his polished route running and dependable hands justified his first-round draft pedigree. With another offseason to develop chemistry with Mayfield, 92% of Buccaneers fans expect continued growth in Year 2 rather than a sophomore slump, suggesting his best football is still ahead.

Top-level WR debates with @​JamesDKoh 👀 Round 1: Justin Jefferson vs. CeeDee Lamb Round 2: Nico Collins vs. Drake London Round 3: Ladd McConkey vs. Emeka Egbuka Watch and subscribe: <https://youtu.be/1F2pt5NPCxg>

Top-level WR debates with @​JamesDKoh 👀 Round 1: Justin Jefferson vs. CeeDee Lamb Round 2: Nico Collins vs. Drake London Round 3: Ladd McConkey vs. Emeka Egbuka Watch and subscribe: <https://youtu.be/1F2pt5NPCxg>

Top-level WR debates with @​JamesDKoh 👀 Round 1: Justin Jefferson vs. CeeDee Lamb Round 2: Nico Collins vs. Drake London Round 3: Ladd McConkey vs. Emeka Egbuka Watch and subscribe: <https://youtu.be/1F2pt5NPCxg>

Top-level WR debates with @​JamesDKoh 👀 Round 1: Justin Jefferson vs. CeeDee Lamb Round 2: Nico Collins vs. Drake London Round 3: Ladd McConkey vs. Emeka Egbuka Watch and subscribe: <https://youtu.be/1F2pt5NPCxg>

Tank Dell being back healthy could help CJ Stroud's performance.

Nico Collins could benefit from Jaden Higgins stepping forward to help CJ Stroud's performance.

Jaden Higgins taking a step forward could help CJ Stroud's performance alongside Nico Collins.

Caleb Williams was probably in the neighborhood with Cam Ward on completion rate as a rookie, and was worse in off-target rate.

Trevor Lawrence ranked worse than Cam Ward in touchdown rate as a rookie.

Nick Foles ranked worse than Cam Ward in touchdown rate as a rookie.

Carson Wentz ranked worse than Cam Ward in touchdown rate as a rookie.

Derek Carr ranked worse than Cam Ward in yards per attempt as a rookie.

Bryce Young is the best case scenario for Cam Ward's career trajectory, implying most quarterbacks with worse rookie seasons than Ward did not become good.

Josh Allen was the only good quarterback who ranked worse than Cam Ward in EPA per drop back and success rate as a rookie, showing he can overcome a poor rookie season.

Cam Ward has a hell of an arm and can make phenomenal plays, and as the number one pick, he could buck the trend of poor rookie performances.

Cam Ward threw almost four interceptions in the fourth quarter against the Saints, showing concerning decision-making.

Cam Ward had a really bad rookie year, with drops being a big part of the issue, though the offense should improve.

Cam Ward had a really bad rookie year with EPA, success rate, and yards per attempt all ranking 52nd or worse out of 70 rookies since 2000, with only Josh Allen being a good quarterback who ranked worse.

Cam Ward ranked 55th in EPA per drop back, 52nd in success rate, and 59th in yards per attempt among 70 rookie quarterbacks since 2000, indicating a very poor rookie season.

Cam Ward stands out in this tier and could take a leap with Carnell Tate, Wondell Robinson, and Brian Dable's offense, showing improvement in the last four games of the season.

Sam Darnold really has only one weapon at this point that feels comfortable to rely on.

Daniel Jones was great last year when healthy and is reported to be all systems go, offering potential upside.

CJ Stroud could benefit from Tank Dell returning healthy and Jaden Higgins stepping forward alongside Nico Collins.

CJ Stroud's career arc is frustrating, as he fell off significantly after his rookie season despite continued weapon additions, and it's unclear if it's a system issue or something else.

Baker Mayfield had injuries last year and lost key weapons (Buka and Mike Evans), which impacted his performance.

Baker Mayfield is grouped with Kyler Murray and Malik Willis in a tier where he could be awesome or absolutely terrible, with an insanely wide range of outcomes throughout his career.

Malik Willis is grouped with Kyler Murray and Baker Mayfield in a tier where he could be awesome or absolutely terrible.

Jared Goff has a much safer floor compared to other tier options.

Bo Nix has a much safer floor compared to other tier options.

Kyler Murray can reach the 22-23 point per game range, offering ceiling upside despite having a safer floor than some peers.

Trevor Lawrence is placed in tier four with upside to take a step forward, ranked ahead of Brock Purdy and Jared Goff.

Jared Goff has a solid track record but the question is whether he can exceed the 21-22 PPG threshold, which is why he's ranked below tier three QBs like Lawrence, Dart, and Williams.

Brock Purdy was great through week 17 from a PPG standpoint but didn't play many games in the first 11 weeks, and there's no expectation for significant upside beyond his track record.

Justin Herbert's biggest question mark is pass volume in Los Angeles; his best season had 672 attempts, but the last two seasons he's had 504 and 512 attempts, making it hard to be a difference maker at QB without high pass volume.

Justin Herbert rushed for over 400 yards last year and in his first four games with healthy tackles looked like first and second year Herbert, suggesting he could maintain significant rushing production.

Justin Herbert has a chance to get back to 25+ PPG with the addition of Mike McDaniel as coach, healthy tackles, and a rebuilt offensive line, representing a significant upgrade from his recent performance.

Dak Prescott is expected to stay at the same fantastic level he's been at, projected around 23-24 PPG, with solid receiving weapons in CD Lamb and George Pickens.

Jalen Hurts has a track record of elite fantasy production and losing A.J. Brown is offset by a solid depth group at receiver, keeping him in the conversation to be a top five fantasy QB due to his rushing ability and the tush push.

Caleb Williams' best and maybe only legitimate weapon is 30 years old now, which is a concern for his fantasy outlook compared to Jayden Daniels.

Caleb Williams is ranked below Jayden Daniels as both a rusher and passer based on what has been shown so far, though expectations are that he will take the next step this season.

Jayden Daniels could move up in rankings if the Commanders sign Stefan Diggs or another significant receiver, but without better weapons, he remains a very good running QB who could throw as well as anybody.

Jayden Daniels' best weapon is himself; he could easily rush for 1,000 yards as a rookie and his rushing ability is what keeps him in the conversation as a top fantasy QB.

Jayden Daniels is placed at the top of tier three and showed elite performance in his first four games with 100% snap share, posting top-seven QB per-game numbers with zero rushing touchdowns, suggesting strong upside if he can stay healthy.

Joe Burrow is placed in tier two and has been amazing when healthy; when Burrow, Chase, and Higgins are all healthy, he has averaged 23.3-29.1 PPG over five seasons, with three of the last five seasons producing QB1 or QB2 per-game numbers.

Drake May is placed in tier two and is expected to improve with the addition of A.J. Brown, building on what was already a special season last year.

Lamar Jackson is viewed as having the most upside at the QB position and is placed in tier two with the potential to be better than Josh Allen when healthy, with hopes that a new offense under Declan Doyle allows him to perform even better.

Josh Allen is placed in his own tier one by both analysts, indicating elite confidence in his QB1 status, though one analyst notes Lamar Jackson may have more upside at the position.

Darnell Mooney is mentioned as a top-tier wide receiver one option that would be taken ahead of Stefon Diggs.

Jordan Addison is considered a pretty good player and one that the hosts would take ahead of Stefon Diggs as a wide receiver two option.

Stefon Diggs could still be a very good wide receiver two despite questions about whether he expects 10 targets per game.

Stefon Diggs says he is the best wide receiver two in the NFL, though he is currently a free agent looking for a team fit.

Travis Hunter will be full go for training camp.

The Colts want to reduce Jonathan Taylor's workload to keep him fresh, though he would still be first or top three most likely to lead the NFL in carries.

Daniel Jones is medically cleared to do everything and will be full go going into camp, though he is currently quarterback 25 in average draft position.

Trevor Lawrence is expected to be a breakout guy with the potential to approach 25-30 points per game on a consistent basis.

Jared Goff could approach 25-30 points per game and has the upside to hit that ceiling consistently.

Jared Goff is in tier three and at current ADP in round 12, is a quarterback who pretty much always finishes in the top ten, making him a strong value pick.

Jalen Hurts is in tier two for Heath and often falls to round eight, making him a valuable option especially in four-point per-passing touchdown leagues where his value relative to other quarterbacks increases.

Lamar Jackson is in tier two and could approach 28 to 30 points per game, making him a valuable option in the round three through five range.

Caleb Williams is currently QB6 in ADP going 72nd overall, but the hosts note that Brock Purdy has already demonstrated top-six performance in recent seasons at a later ADP.

Brock Purdy offers excellent value at 98th overall ADP compared to Caleb Williams at 72nd, as Purdy has already performed like the level expected from Williams in two of the last three seasons.

Brock Purdy was QB1 through week 17 in one season, and has finished as a top six quarterback per game in two of the last three seasons while going 98th overall in ADP, two rounds later than Caleb Williams.

Matthew Stafford was third in points per game the year before when looking at weeks one through 17.

Josh Allen has been healthy and hasn't missed a game, contributing to his consistent elite performance over six seasons.

Josh Allen has been no worse than third in points per game for six straight seasons if you remove week 18, just weeks one through 17, which may be the best six-season stretch in fantasy history.

The analyst mentions Brian Robinson as a potential handcuff option but notes the strategy of only drafting one handcuff rather than multiple backup running backs.

The analyst questions the value of drafting Chris Rodriguez in a 10-team league, noting he wouldn't start over the other running backs already on the roster.

The analyst notes that Tony Pollard is one of the running backs on the bench and won't be started in the 10-team league build, so drafting backup running backs doesn't make sense.

The analyst drafts Justin Herbert early at quarterback and notes that in a 10-team league, there's no need to draft a second quarterback since there will be plenty of streaming options.

The analyst notes concern about Brian Thomas Jr.'s role at the start of the season, which influenced the decision to grab an extra wide receiver.

The analyst is not a Kelce guy this season despite him being projected at the top of tight end rankings.

The analyst mentions handcuffing with Katon Mitchell as part of the draft strategy.

The analyst expresses confidence that Dallas Goedert won't bust this season and recommends double-dipping on both him and Ferguson, playing whichever gets more usage early.

Kyle Pitts (referred to as 'Ferguson') is selected as the tight end for this roster in the later rounds.

Travis Kelce (referred to as 'KD') is the only tight end drafted early, with teams expected to start taking second tight ends around picks 12-13.

Brian Thomas Jr. is selected as a wide receiver to build out the roster evenly alongside Tony Pollard.

Tony Pollard is selected as the fourth wide receiver for this roster, with the analyst comfortable with this pick.

Quentin Johnston is not recommended as a third Charger on the roster, as the analyst does not want to stack too many players from the same team.

Parker Washington stands out for upside as a wide receiver option.

Brian Thomas Jr. stands out for upside and is selected as a wide receiver pick to build out the roster.

Mark Andrews (referred to as 'Goddard') is mentioned as a tight end option the analyst would be willing to target in the later rounds.

Kyle Pitts (referred to as 'Ferguson') is mentioned as a tight end option the analyst would be willing to target in the later rounds.

Travis Kelce (referred to as 'KD') is liked by the analyst but does not need to be drafted early in this strategy.

Mike Evans is part of the starting wide receiver core (with Igbuka) for this roster, though he is no longer on the same team as Igbuka.

Mike Evans is viewed as being in a tier above other available wide receivers and is selected as a strong pick in this draft.

If the Chargers have the exceptional season expected, Justin Herbert might outscore many other quarterbacks despite being drafted a bit later than ideal.

Justin Herbert is viewed as being at the end of the quarterback tier and is acceptable to draft if making a bet on the Chargers being really good this season.

Kenneth Walker III is part of a strong three-running-back core that creates significant roster upside, and is selected for the flex spot to start the season.

Bijan Robinson is part of a strong three-running-back core (with Hampton and Ken Walker) that creates significant roster upside when paired with Neighbors and Igbuka.

Mecole Hardman (referred to as 'Mecha Igbuka' in transcript) is selected as a very strong wide receiver pick in this draft, contributing to a strong roster start.

Mecole Igbuka is described as a very strong wide receiver pick in this draft, part of a strong roster construction with Bejon, Hampton, Ken Walker, Neighbors, and Igbuka.

The analyst would love to get Loveland in the fourth round, suggesting he represents good value at that stage.

The analyst does not like McBride this early in the draft, suggesting he is overvalued at his current ADP.

The analyst would take Chris Olave as a wide receiver option if going that route, indicating he likes his value.

Josh Allen has merit as a quarterback pick in a smaller league, but the analyst prefers waiting on mid-range quarterbacks to get better value.

There is a question about whether Katon Mitchell will eat into Amarin Hampton's workload, which is a concern for Hampton's fantasy value.

James Cook is going in the first round (sixth overall) in this composite draft, part of a running back-heavy start.

The analyst would take Chase Brown over Amarin Hampton in the second round, indicating he prefers Brown's value at that stage.

Barkley is going in the late first into the second round in this composite draft.

Jonathan Taylor is going in the first round (fourth overall) in this composite draft, part of a running back-heavy start.

McCaffrey is going in the first round (third overall) in this composite draft, part of a running back-heavy start.

Puka is included in the analyst's preferred early draft strategy alongside Gibbs, Bejon, and Chase.

Bijan is ranked as a top-tier running back option in the draft, appearing in the analyst's preferred early draft strategy alongside Gibbs and Chase.

Gibbs is ranked as a top-tier running back option in the draft, appearing in the analyst's preferred early draft strategy alongside Bejon and Chase.

Chase has the upside to have 130 receptions and 1,800 yards and 15-17 touchdowns in full PPR, with the ability to absolutely dominate at wide receiver.

Brown is mentioned again as one of the running backs being taken in the early rounds of the draft.

Nacua is included in the analyst's preferred early draft strategy alongside Gibbs, Robinson, and Chase.

Chase has elite upside with the potential for 130 receptions, 1,800 yards, and 15-17 touchdowns, and can be taken as early as desired in full PPR formats.

Robinson is the second running back the analyst would take in the second draft, part of the preferred early RB strategy.

Adams is selected as a wide receiver in the superflex squad to fill out the roster.

Evans is selected as a wide receiver in the superflex squad to fill out the roster.

Brown is the mid-range running back selected in the superflex squad as part of the three-RB strategy.

Taylor is the early running back selected in the superflex squad, representing the early RB strategy.

Hurts is one of the quarterbacks drafted in the superflex squad and is part of the three-quarterback strategy employed.

Mitchell is a running back the analyst prefers to draft and would take as a bench option in the superflex format.

Goedert is set up for a great season and represents awesome value getting him in round 12 as a tight end option.

Goedert is identified as having merit and being set up for a great season, with awesome value getting him in round 12; the analyst notes there's merit to both him and Ferguson.

Pacheco is identified as a running back the analyst likes in this round, though they note they don't need to be touching running backs at this point.

Mitchell is identified as the analyst's favorite running back option in this round, though the analyst notes they don't need to be touching running backs at this point.

In superflex formats, Loveland is less attractive because tight end is devalued; while the analyst loves him this season, he gets pushed down in superflex and is not as much of a must-draft.

In superflex formats, Bowers is less attractive because tight end is devalued; the analyst is less inclined to draft him early and prefers waiting on tight end in this format.

Gibbs is identified as one of the top running back options to target in the early first round of superflex formats, alongside Bejon and Josh Allen.

Allen is identified as one of the top quarterback options to target in the early first round of superflex formats.

Herbert is identified as a solid second quarterback option in superflex formats, likely available in the second round after taking a running back in the first.

Daniels is identified as a top quarterback option that could be taken in the first round in superflex formats, with the analyst noting that if Daniels isn't available, late first round picks face tougher decisions.

Taylor is identified as one of the awesome top-tier running back options in the first round, alongside McCaffrey and Ammon.

McCaffrey is identified as one of the awesome top-tier running back options in the first round, alongside Jonathan Taylor and Ammon.

St. Brown is described as awesome and a strong option for teams with late first-round picks in superflex formats.

McCaffrey is described as awesome and a strong option for teams with late first-round picks in superflex formats.

Waddle was selected by another team in the mock draft, affecting the available wide receiver options.

Hubbard was selected by another team in the mock draft, affecting the available running back options.

Kelce was selected by another team in the mock draft, affecting the available tight end options.

Daniels is selected as the primary quarterback in the superflex mock draft, representing a strong value at that position.

Brown is selected as a running back in the mock draft and is part of the team's three locked-in running backs strategy.

Tate was selected by another team in the mock draft, affecting the available wide receiver options.

LaPorta was selected by another team in the mock draft, affecting the available tight end options.

Warren was selected by another team in the mock draft, affecting the available running back options.

Kraft was selected by another team in the mock draft, affecting the available tight end options for the primary team.

Adams is selected in round 7 as a strong value pick, with the team having waited until round 5 to take their first wide receiver, making Adams a logical choice to round out the receiver group.

Richardson is mentioned as a potential starter for Atlanta, though there is uncertainty about whether he will start the season or if Kirk Cousins will begin as the starter.

Ward is considered as a potential third quarterback option, though the analyst notes uncertainty about whether he will take the expected jump in performance.

Darnold is identified as a preferred third-round quarterback option, with the analyst feeling best about him due to his strong prior season and expected increased passing volume.

Tagovailoa is mentioned as a potential late-round quarterback option who could be the starter for Atlanta to begin the season.

Pollard is highlighted as an amazing value if acquired in the round 7 range, representing strong upside at that draft position.

Evans was selected in round 5 as a strong value pick that still allowed the team to secure Davante Adams in round 7.

Montgomery was considered as an alternative to Mike Evans in round 5, which would have still allowed the team to secure Davante Adams.

Murray is one of the preferred quarterback options the analyst would like to get late in the draft.

Darnold is one of the preferred quarterback options the analyst would like to get late in the draft.

Cousins could be taken late and would be fine to get through the early part of the season.

Tagovailoa could be taken late and could probably be the starter for Atlanta to start the season, making him a fine option to get through the early part of the season.

Irving was taken off the board in the mock draft during the running back run.

Montgomery was taken off the board in the mock draft during the running back run.

Swift was taken off the board in the mock draft during the running back run.

Moore was taken off the board in the mock draft after the team's earlier picks.

Waddle was taken off the board in the mock draft after the team's earlier picks.

Stevenson could still be available in the next round and could be fine as a running back option, though the analyst is uncertain.

Taylor is locked in as part of a strong running back trio that guarantees 20 touches per week when paired with Chase Brown and David Montgomery.

Adams could lead the league in receiving touchdowns this season and is a strong pick; he remained available in the mock draft after other receivers were taken.

Evans is loved this season because he could lead the league in receiving touchdowns, making him a strong pick over running backs in this draft scenario.

Higgins is very easily the top player in the rankings at wide receiver and should be taken over the third quarterback option.

Chase Brown creates offensive stack risk with Joe Pickens that the analyst doesn't love, though the value may still warrant the pick.

Swift is part of the top tier of running backs alongside Judkins and Montgomery.

Montgomery is part of the top tier of running backs with strong value, and the analyst would lock in 20 touches per week by pairing him with Jonathan Taylor and Chase Brown.

Part of the top tier of running backs with strong value.

Mentioned as part of the top tier of running backs with strong value.

End of the better tier of quarterbacks; analyst views the next grouping as a little bit below him.

Taken in the better tier of quarterbacks in the simulated draft.

Taken in the better tier of quarterbacks in the simulated draft.

If he becomes the second quarterback taken, it signals a bad draft outcome for the team.

Expected range for third quarterback pick in superflex format.

Mentioned as a quarterback option in the second tier that analyst would be fine taking.

Very close to McBride in value this season, but analyst would not go to tight end early in superflex format.

Positioned after Chase Brown and Derrick Henry in the running back tier, kind of after the top tier.

Positioned after Chase Brown and Derrick Henry in the running back tier, kind of after the top tier.

Great pick at running back in superflex format.

Great value right now at running back in superflex format.

Lower-end quarterback with a much higher floor and better ceiling than flex options, projecting better than flex players who have floors of zero and many outcomes of 4-5 points.

Lower-end quarterback with a much higher floor and better ceiling than flex options, projecting better than flex players who have floors of zero and many outcomes of 4-5 points.

Lower-end quarterback with a much higher floor and better ceiling than flex options, projecting better than flex players who have floors of zero and many outcomes of 4-5 points.

Lower-end quarterback with a much higher floor and better ceiling than flex options, projecting better than flex players who have floors of zero and many outcomes of 4-5 points.

Analyst notes that even lower-end quarterbacks like Bryce Young project better with higher floor and ceiling than flex options in superflex formats.

Analyst notes that even lower-end quarterbacks like Cam Ward project better with higher floor and ceiling than flex options in superflex formats.

Analyst notes that even lower-end quarterbacks like Daniel Jones project better with higher floor and ceiling than flex options in superflex formats.

Analyst notes that even lower-end quarterbacks like Sam Darnold project better with higher floor and ceiling than flex options in superflex formats.

Analyst notes the loss of Mike Evans as a concern for Baker Mayfield's fantasy outlook.

Analyst raises question marks about Baker Mayfield's season, specifically wondering what the loss of Mike Evans will do to his production.

Analyst expresses concern that Matthew Stafford might have zero rushing yards this season, which is a significant concern if there's regression in touchdowns.

Analyst expresses concern about Patrick Mahomes' torn ACL recovery, noting he won't have the same mobility going forward.