From the episode
If the Josh Jacobs factor does come into play here and the Packers are throwing significantly less, who would that hurt the most? Probably the receivers that are seeing less volume overall anyway, which could actually hurt Watson maybe a little bit more than Matthew Golden, who has been the target share leader to start the season.
STACKED’s take
Negative signalProjection
Watson's ECR rank may be too high if Josh Jacobs reduces Packers passing volume.
Watson ranks second to Matthew Golden in target share on the Packers despite being a top-tier receiver; Puka Nacua ranks him at 8 versus ECR's 6, placing him a couple spots below consensus. The concern centers on Josh Jacobs' potential impact: if the Packers throw significantly less due to increased run volume, receivers seeing lower overall volume could be hurt more than Golden, who leads the team in target share. Watson's consistency has lagged Golden's over recent weeks, making him more vulnerable to game script changes.
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