From the episode

CJ Stroud is playing really good football. These teams have played five straight one score games, Matt. So I have this pretty close to a coin flip. The offense has been slowly getting better. I think the biggest mismatch in this game is Jacksonville's offensive line up against Will Anderson, Daniil Hunter.

STACKED’s take

Positive signalProjection

Stroud playing top-11 DVOA; will pass frequently vs. Jags' elite run defense.

CJ Stroud is playing really good football and will be forced to pass frequently against Jacksonville due to David Montgomery being out and the Jaguars' excellent run defense. Stroud is playing top 11 DVOA overall with a top 11 offense and defense. The Texans have only turned the ball over twice this year, which is significant for their offensive success. Stroud's passing game will be the primary offensive weapon, and Jacksonville's defense, while strong, makes their living off red zone stops and turnovers, which are unsustainable long-term.

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