Big Cat Country on Derrick Henry
From the article
The bad news is that the Ravens still have Derrick Henry... Henry averages 4.5 yards per carry and is stuffed on 16.0% of rushes with Jackson on the field this season, compared to 3.5 yards per carry and a 22.9% stuff rate without Jackson... Over the past three weeks, a span in which Jackson played 1 offensive snap, Henry was hit behind the line of scrimmage at the league's highest rate (60.0%).
STACKED’s take
Henry projected for under 50 yards; Jackson's absence drives higher stuff rate and backfield contact.
The source predicts Henry will be stuffed repeatedly and finish with under 50 rushing yards against Jacksonville in Week 9. His rushing over/under prop is set at 68.5 yards on FanDuel. The prediction is grounded in Jacksonville's defensive strategy to prevent Henry from hitting his stride, combined with the absence of Lamar Jackson from the Ravens' offense. Without Jackson on the field this season, Henry averages 3.5 yards per carry with a 22.9% stuff rate, compared to 4.5 yards per carry and 16.0% stuff rate with Jackson active. Over the past three weeks (when Jackson played only 1 snap), Henry was hit behind the line at the league's highest rate (60.0%), averaging a league-worst 0.8 yards per carry on such plays versus 6.2 yards per carry when not contacted in the backfield.
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