Tyler Lockett archetype with 0.31 TPRR when Pittman off field; ADP in 40s is palatable.
Matt Harmon sees Josh Downs as a Tyler Lockett-type who can play downfield vertical slot, Z receiver, and 12 personnel before kicking inside in 11 personnel. Downs has been a primary slot for the Colts but ran only 17 routes from 12 personnel last year, making him essentially an 11-personnel-only player; the Colts are saying they will get him on the field more. Downs ranks 12th in targets per route run over two years; jumps to 0.31 targets per route run (behind only Puka Nacua) when Michael Pittman is off field. With Pittman vacating 140 targets annually, Downs averaged 8.6 targets and 15.6 fantasy points per game over two-thirds snap share. Downs ranks third in separation score among primary slot receivers (40%+ snap share), behind only Jamar Chase and Amon-Ra St. Brown. Harmon finds his ADP in the 40s 'totally palatable' and wants to get him later, disagreeing with Jameson Crowder comparisons and arguing Downs can win on big routes down the field.
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View Josh Downs 2026 fantasy football value pagePlayer profile with fantasy value, ADP, projections, news, and source-backed STACKED insightsJosh Downs can actually do a lot more than that... I'd love to get him later. And where he goes kind of now in the 40s, I think is totally palatable... he ranks 12th in targets per route run... with Michael Pitman off the field, jumps to a 0.31 targets per route run, which would rank behind only Puka.
Josh Downs fantasy football FAQ
- What did Fantasy Points Fantasy Football say about Josh Downs?
- Matt Harmon sees Josh Downs as a Tyler Lockett-type who can play downfield vertical slot, Z receiver, and 12 personnel before kicking inside in 11 personnel. Downs has been a primary slot for the Colts but ran only 17 routes from 12 personnel last year, making him essentially an 11-personnel-only player; the Colts are saying they will get him on the field more. Downs ranks 12th in targets per route run over two years; jumps to 0.31 targets per route run (behind only Puka Nacua) when Michael Pittman is off field. With Pittman vacating 140 targets annually, Downs averaged 8.6 targets and 15.6 fantasy points per game over two-thirds snap share. Downs ranks third in separation score among primary slot receivers (40%+ snap share), behind only Jamar Chase and Amon-Ra St. Brown. Harmon finds his ADP in the 40s 'totally palatable' and wants to get him later, disagreeing with Jameson Crowder comparisons and arguing Downs can win on big routes down the field.
- Is this good or bad for Josh Downs's fantasy football value?
- STACKED tags this as a positive fantasy football signal for Josh Downs (WR). Tyler Lockett archetype with 0.31 TPRR when Pittman off field; ADP in 40s is palatable.
- Where can I see Josh Downs's full 2026 fantasy outlook, projections, and ADP?
- Josh Downs's complete 2026 fantasy football outlook — projections, ADP movement across every platform, injury context, and all source-backed STACKED insights — is on their STACKED player profile.