NeutralProjectionMon, July 27, 2026Listen 43:03 – 52:07
Brian Thomas Jr. headshot

BTJ could outperform ADP if healthy, but role likely diminished by Washington/Myers.

Brian Thomas Jr.WRJAX

Brian Thomas Jr. is the eighth-round pick (WR36) on Yahoo. Matt Harmon notes that most of BTJ's 2025 season should be thrown out due to injuries, continuing a theme for the 2024 receiver class. However, Harmon is 'totally comfortable drafting him in fantasy this year' because he believes BTJ could be a big hit from the Jaguars room if things align. Harmon acknowledges BTJ's weaknesses: 77% success rate vs. zone coverage (38th percentile) in his rookie season, which fell to 69.8% last year; he struggled with quick routes over the middle and beating zone coverage. But Harmon sees upside if BTJ can be the team's X receiver in a Mike Evans-style role, noting that 'if somebody is going to be a big hit from this room, it's going to be BTJ, but I don't know how many universes that he is that big hit.' The co-host counters that BTJ's role will likely shrink due to the emergence of Parker Washington and Jacoby Myers, and that BTJ ranked third in targets from week 10 on (17% of routes vs. 21% for Myers and 25.5% for Washington). BTJ had 1.35 yards per route run and 36% of targets were 20+ yards downfield in that span.

View Brian Thomas Jr. 2026 fantasy football value pagePlayer profile with fantasy value, ADP, projections, news, and source-backed STACKED insights
Source transcript excerpt
I'm actually totally comfortable drafting him in fantasy this year because I think if somebody is going to be a big hit from this room, it's going to be BTJ, but I don't know how many universes that he is that big hit... Brian Thomas Jr. ranked third among these receivers on the team in terms of the targets from week 10 on 17% of his routes. 21% for Jacoby Myers. 25.5% for Parker Washington.
Common questions

Brian Thomas Jr. fantasy football FAQ

What did Underdog Fantasy Football Show say about Brian Thomas Jr.?
Brian Thomas Jr. is the eighth-round pick (WR36) on Yahoo. Matt Harmon notes that most of BTJ's 2025 season should be thrown out due to injuries, continuing a theme for the 2024 receiver class. However, Harmon is 'totally comfortable drafting him in fantasy this year' because he believes BTJ could be a big hit from the Jaguars room if things align. Harmon acknowledges BTJ's weaknesses: 77% success rate vs. zone coverage (38th percentile) in his rookie season, which fell to 69.8% last year; he struggled with quick routes over the middle and beating zone coverage. But Harmon sees upside if BTJ can be the team's X receiver in a Mike Evans-style role, noting that 'if somebody is going to be a big hit from this room, it's going to be BTJ, but I don't know how many universes that he is that big hit.' The co-host counters that BTJ's role will likely shrink due to the emergence of Parker Washington and Jacoby Myers, and that BTJ ranked third in targets from week 10 on (17% of routes vs. 21% for Myers and 25.5% for Washington). BTJ had 1.35 yards per route run and 36% of targets were 20+ yards downfield in that span.
Is this good or bad for Brian Thomas Jr.'s fantasy football value?
STACKED tags this as a neutral fantasy football signal for Brian Thomas Jr. (WR JAX). BTJ could outperform ADP if healthy, but role likely diminished by Washington/Myers.
Where can I see Brian Thomas Jr.'s full 2026 fantasy outlook, projections, and ADP?
Brian Thomas Jr.'s complete 2026 fantasy football outlook — projections, ADP movement across every platform, injury context, and all source-backed STACKED insights — is on their STACKED player profile.
Related signal

More player and source insights