Ranked #4 overall; 23.8 PPR avg, 95 yards/game career high; red zone target share concern.

Ranked #4 overall in fantasy drafts. Averaging 23.8 PPR points per game, 3.4 more than the wide receiver two overall last season. Over the past two seasons, only Jamar Chase is in his neighborhood; over his entire career, Nakua has the most receiving yards per game in NFL history at 95 yards per game. Outside the red zone, caught 8 receptions per game on 33% target share. Betting market projection: 1,400 receiving yards baseline case. Since entering the league, has finished as wide receiver one, five, and nine in points per game—rare for a day three draft pick. Red zone and end zone target share remains a concern: when Devonte Adams was on the field last year, he outtargeted Nakua 31-10 in the red zone and 28-4 in the end zone. However, when Adams missed games, Nakua received those opportunities. In his first two seasons, combined for only 10 touchdowns; hit 11 last season. Needs to maintain touchdown production and potentially increase red zone dominance if Adams declines or role shifts.