Ranked 6th overall; 99.6 yards/game, 35% target share; regression risk from play-action decline.

Ranked sixth overall. Coming off incredible season with 99.6 receiving yards per game including postseason; 35% target share, the next closest being Amon-Ra St. Brown at 32%, a pretty large gap; only 8% of targets were screens, indicating he was working the ball downfield rather than relying on gimme plays; produced 3.73 receiving yards per pass attempt for Seahawks, meaning when Seattle threw to anyone, he averaged that; wide receiver two in points per game last year. Benefits from Sam Darnold's play and offensive line improvement; new offensive coordinator Brian Flurry comes from Shanahan tree and was hired based on merit (crushed the whiteboard) rather than nepotism; Rasheed Shaheed and AJ Barner are not target volume threats, positioning JSN for another huge season. Regression risk is likeliest to hit JSN more than anyone else; he's only done it once while other top receivers have done it many times; loss of trusted offensive coordinator Clint Kubiak is a concern; new coordinator Brian Flurry comes from Shanahan tree but represents change; Seahawks unlikely to repeat Super Bowl win, which could impact play-action success rate; JSN led NFL in yards and touchdowns off play action last year, so if that drops to historic rates, his production could decline significantly. Ranked 8th overall; led the NFL in yards and touchdowns off play action last year; regression is likely given unsustainable 35% target share, 10.5 yards per target, and +10% completion percentage over expected. Even regressed to 9.88 yards per target and +6% CPOE (elite WR baseline), still projects as top-3 fantasy WR.