Barkley positioned for major regression with healthier line and new coordinator.

Saquon Barkley is positioned for significant positive regression after a down 2025 season. He ranked 7th in explosive runs with 58 last year (down from 2nd with 77 in 2024) and ranked 16th in rushing yards before contact per attempt (down from 2nd in 2024), but the decline was environmental rather than talent-based. The Eagles' offensive line is returning and healthier with Lane Johnson missing nine games last year; Johnson stated the new scheme is simplified for the offense with more under-center work, different run types, and outside zone concepts. New coordinator Shawn Manion is expected to have a huge positive impact—the Eagles ranked 19th in scoring last year and are currently projected 12th by betting markets, with potential to finish 7th if Manion bounces back. Barkley had only 1 rushing TD on 11 carries inside the 5-yard line last year due to offensive line injuries (Cam Jurgens, Landon Dickerson), suggesting significant positive TD regression opportunity. Two years ago in a good environment, Barkley had touchdown runs of 72, 70, 68, 65, 39, 25, and 23 yards; last year he had just two touchdown runs longer than 13 yards. He could see 10+ additional targets if A.J. Brown's involvement decreases.