STACKED’s take
Negative signalProjection
Mahomes projected to fall from QB3 to QB10-15 due to reduced rushing role.
Mahomes finished as QB3 in adjusted points per game last season but is projected to decline to QB10-15 range due to intentional reduction in rushing attempts and scrambles; the Chiefs acquired Ken Walker to shift toward more pass attempts, eliminating the rushing spike that drove his 2025 production. He finished 13th and 11th in adjusted PPG in 2023-24, and while he's a full go to start camp with no lingering knee concerns, the team explicitly wants to reduce his rush attempts as Mahomes acknowledged scrambling too much in 2024.
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