Safest RB workload floor with TD upside and pass-catching variance

BDGE Fantasy Football recommends JK Dobbins as a round 10 value pick despite injury concerns, citing his exceptional workload floor in 2025. Dobbins played through week 10 with double-digit touches in every game except one (11 carries), demonstrating one of the safest floors of any NFL running back. The Colts re-signed him to a meaningful contract post-injury, signaling his return as the starting running back. The addition of Jaleel Coleman is framed as a depth piece reflecting Sean Payton's injury contingency planning, not a threat to Dobbins' role. Dobbins is the starting running back in a very good offense behind one of the league's best offensive lines, with projected 8–10 rushing touchdowns realistic given his workload of 12–15 carries per game. Touchdown variance was a major factor in his disappointing 2024 season (4 TDs in first five games, zero in next five), not a decline in role or efficiency. Untapped pass-catching upside exists in a Sean Payton offense that historically targets running backs at a top-3 to top-5 rate annually; the source projects potential variance where Dobbins could see 2–3 targets per game given his snap share, adding PPR value beyond rushing production.