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Draft These Players in These Exact Rounds and You Will Win

STACKED extracted the fantasy-relevant player signal from this video and kept the full transcript here for context.

31 min
Duration
Estimated from transcript
Jul 28, 2026
Published
Tue, July 28, 2026
29
Player insights
26
Players mentioned
Topics
J.K. DobbinsJahmyr GibbsLadd McConkeyAlec PierceAmari CooperBrock PurdyCam AkersChase BrownChristian McCaffreyDaniel JonesDavante AdamsDeVonta SmithJavonte WilliamsJayden Daniels
Player analysis

Player insights

29

Alec Pierce

NegativeInjury0:49

Alec Pierce is returning from ankle surgery with an unclear return timeline heading into 2026. While the source expects him to play by week one or two at the latest, the recovery creates a window for Josh Downs to assume outside receiver snaps. Pierce's injury status is identified as the biggest turning point affecting the Colts' receiving depth chart and Downs' opportunity.

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Amari Cooper

PositiveValue12:33

Requires an early draft pick investment in the Chargers offense. The source emphasizes that if you want to invest in the Chargers passing game, you must spend a pretty early pick on Cooper alongside Ladd McConkey.

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Brock Purdy

PositiveValue6:51

Round 8 dual-threat quarterback option characterized as underrated. The source groups Purdy with Jackson Dart as underrated dual-threat options in a quarterback-heavy round, suggesting value relative to ADP.

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Cam Akers

PositiveValue21:27

Akers is a high-workload target as a running back two; through the first eight weeks of last season, he commanded 9 of 9 goal line carries (100%), 23 of 26 red zone carries, and 65% of running back targets despite missing most of summer camp with a hamstring injury. The source emphasizes the workhorse role and valuable touch distribution (goal line carries and pass-catching upside). New coaching staff introduces uncertainty, but the Giants' investment in an offensive lineman (top 10 pick) and potential return of Malik Nabers and Jackson Dart suggest an improved offensive environment. Akers is described as a smooth athlete and skilled pass catcher, providing upside beyond volume. The source loves taking shots on Akers due to extremely high workload, all valuable touches including goal-line carries, and elite pass-catching ability and athleticism that provide upside.

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Chase Brown

PositiveValue26:32

Chase Brown is a second-round no-brainer pick; he was excellent in the second half of last year when Joe Burrow returned healthy, faces zero backfield competition (only 31-year-old Samaje Perine behind him), projects for 65–70 targets with majority rushing workload, is the third target in a high-scoring Bengals offense (27–29 PPG), and could realistically score 12 rushing touchdowns.

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Christian McCaffrey

PositiveValue29:23

The source is happily drafting Christian McCaffrey in the first round after fading him last year due to unfounded injury concerns. He remains in the same elite situation and should receive a high target volume again.

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Daniel Jones

NegativeProjection1:59

Daniel Jones is returning from an Achilles tear and expected to be ready for week one, but the source projects he will struggle to connect on deep balls early in his recovery. This limitation is cited as a reason to fade outside downfield route runners on the Colts, as the difficulty of pushing off and maintaining accuracy downfield will be compounded by Jones's injury recovery status.

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Davante Adams

PositiveValue22:47

Despite market concerns about age and decline, the source loves Adams' situation as the only other pass-catching weapon in an offense with Matt Stafford (who threw for a billion yards and 45+ TDs and won MVP) under Sean McVay. Adams maintains insane targets per route run, will be a top red-zone option, and is projected to lead the NFL in end-zone targets.

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DeVonta Smith

PositiveProjection23:25

Stepping in as Philadelphia's WR1 with A.J. Brown's departure, Smith is projected to receive 140 targets due to his elite route-running and separation ability. The source expects a borderline WR1 season and projects him to finish within the WR9–13 range, providing an extremely high floor as a third-round pick in PPR formats.

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J.K. Dobbins

PositiveValue3:25

BDGE Fantasy Football recommends JK Dobbins as a round 10 value pick despite injury concerns, citing his exceptional workload floor in 2025. Dobbins played through week 10 with double-digit touches in every game except one (11 carries), demonstrating one of the safest floors of any NFL running back. The Colts re-signed him to a meaningful contract post-injury, signaling his return as the starting running back. The addition of Jaleel Coleman is framed as a depth piece reflecting Sean Payton's injury contingency planning, not a threat to Dobbins' role. Dobbins is the starting running back in a very good offense behind one of the league's best offensive lines, with projected 8–10 rushing touchdowns realistic given his workload of 12–15 carries per game. Touchdown variance was a major factor in his disappointing 2024 season (4 TDs in first five games, zero in next five), not a decline in role or efficiency. Untapped pass-catching upside exists in a Sean Payton offense that historically targets running backs at a top-3 to top-5 rate annually; the source projects potential variance where Dobbins could see 2–3 targets per game given his snap share, adding PPR value beyond rushing production.

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NegativeProjection4:01

Starting running back in a very good offense with one of the league's best offensive lines; the source projects 8–10 rushing touchdowns as a realistic outcome given his workload of 12–15 carries per game, despite injury risk. Touchdown variance was a major factor in his disappointing 2024 season (4 TDs in first five games, zero in next five), not a decline in role or efficiency. Ninth-round recommendation balances injury risk against upside in a Sean Payton scheme that historically targets running backs at a top-3 to top-5 rate. Untapped pass-catching upside in a Sean Payton offense; while Dobbins didn't catch passes at high volume last year, Sean Payton offenses historically target running backs at a top-3 to top-5 rate annually, including on early downs. The source projects potential variance where Dobbins could see 2–3 targets per game given his snap share, adding PPR value beyond rushing production.

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Jahmyr Gibbs

PositiveValue29:03

The source identifies Jahmyr Gibbs as his clear RB1 for round one, expressing strong conviction in his draft value at that position.

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PositiveValue29:03

Jamyr Gibbs is the source's clear RB1 for round one. The source loves Gibbs and is not repeating last year's mistake of fading Christian McCaffrey due to injury concerns.

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Javonte Williams

PositiveValue24:09

Smash pick at the end of the third round; Williams is the confirmed RB1 in Dallas's extremely high-scoring and productive offense with no backfield competition. Projected to play 75–80% of snaps and receive a high volume of goal-line carries due to the offense's scoring environment.

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Jayden Daniels

PositiveProjection13:33

Rookie season: 4,500 total yards, 900 rushing yards, 31 total touchdowns. The source projects he could easily rush for 1,000 yards in the sixth round, with that rushing upside being enticing and capable of producing 30-point games throughout the season. The source is not predicting fluky injuries and views the rushing upside as free value at QB6-QB7 ADP in the sixth round. Scheme change from Kliff Kingsbury to David Blough will help Daniels much more than Kingsbury's offense did. The source recommends Daniels in the sixth round as a value pick, citing his 900 rushing yards as a rookie and potential to easily reach 1,000 rushing yards in the new scheme.

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Jeremiyah Love

PositiveValue25:47

If Love drops to the bottom of the third round (the source is surprised he's falling this far), he becomes a very interesting target due to his elite pass-catching profile, Arizona's projected four-win season creating catch-up situations, breakaway-play ability, and a strong workload floor from being the number three overall draft pick.

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Jonah Coleman

NegativeRole5:48

Backup running back in the Saints backfield providing minor competition for J.K. Dobbins's early-down workload; the source notes 'a little bit more competition in the backfield' between R.J. Harvey and Jonah Coleman but does not expect either to significantly cut into Dobbins's role.

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Josh Downs

PositiveRole0:00

BDGE Fantasy Football recommends Josh Downs as a round 9 pick, citing role expansion and opportunity created by Michael Pittman's departure and Alec Pierce's ankle surgery recovery. Downs is expected to play outside receiver snaps beyond his traditional slot role, becoming a near-every-down player with Nick Westbrook-Ikhine as the only depth chart competition. The source notes Downs is one of the better separators at wide receiver with extensive slot experience, capable of running 80–90% of routes if deployed outside. Indianapolis's soft playoff schedule (Tennessee week 15, Cincinnati week 16, Cleveland without Myles Garrett week 17) further supports the pick. At round 9 ADP, the source emphasizes minimal opportunity cost.

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Josh Jacobs

PositiveValue24:43

Workhorse running back in Green Bay who scores a touchdown nearly every game and receives all goal-line carries inside the 5-yard line. Despite a problematic offensive line that limits efficiency, Jacobs' elite pass-catching ability and massive touchdown equity make him a strong third-round pick, though he may accumulate carries for limited yardage.

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Kenneth Walker III

PositiveValue27:47

Kenneth Walker is a smash pick in the second round; Kansas City signed him to a workhorse contract to add a running game and take pressure off Patrick Mahomes (returning from ACL tear). The offense has struggled without a strong run game and with cover-two defenses limiting downfield passing. Walker has shown elite ability (evidenced by his late-season/Super Bowl performance), and while injury history warrants caution, the situation and offense are fantastic.

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Ladd McConkey

PositiveValue8:00

Chargers receiver requiring an early pick investment. The source states that if investing in the Chargers offense, you must spend a pretty early pick on Ladd McConkey, implying he is a priority target in the offense ahead of Quentin Johnston. Positioned as a core piece of the Chargers' receiving corps under Mike McDaniel; projected to be on the field for 80+ percent of snaps.

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NegativeValue18:24

McConkey is a high-upside draft target in the Mike McDaniel offense despite sophomore season disappointment; the source attributes 2025 Chargers offensive struggles to offensive line injuries rather than McConkey's decline. McConkey's fit mirrors McDaniel's historical usage of Jaylen Waddle and Tyreek Hill. Primary concerns: target volume ceiling (uncertain if he reaches 140–150 targets as true alpha WR1) and touchdown upside given his size and red zone role distribution (tight ends and Marvin Mims draw plays inside the 10; Justin Herbert's rushing TD potential also limits McConkey's red zone touches). Source views him as a separator and high-upside piece of a potentially elite passing offense. The source identifies Lad McConkey as a round four pick with proven upside from his rookie season (over 1,000 yards) and excellent fit in the Mike McDaniel offense, where he could be used similarly to Jaylen Waddle or Tyreek Hill. However, the source acknowledges concern about his sophomore season collapse, attributing it primarily to the Chargers' offensive line injuries rather than a decline in McConkey's talent.

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Mike Evans

PositiveProjection15:39

The source targets Mike Evans at ADP 509 in round five as a touchdown contender in the 49ers' offense. Evans moves to San Francisco as their primary wide receiver one and will run routes on every snap. The source projects he will contend for leading the league in touchdowns, noting that despite potential age-related decline, Kyle Shanahan's scheme is creative enough to get his best playmakers open and scheme them to the right parts of the field, mitigating any step lost.

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Quentin Johnston

PositiveValue7:02

Cheapest entry point into the Los Angeles Chargers offense under Mike McDaniel. The source is not a huge fan of Johnston as a player but sees value in his price relative to the Chargers' offensive upgrades (Mike McDaniel, improved offensive line, added tight end depth). Boom-bust weekly profile due to McDaniel's scheme, but if investing in the Chargers offense, Johnston offers the lowest ADP entry. Training camp reports indicate McDaniel loves Johnston. Projected to be on the field for 80+ percent of snaps; the Chargers are adding heavy personnel (Charlie Kolar, David Njoku, Arionde Gadsden) which typically means fewer wide receivers on the field and more targets for those who are, making Johnston a good gamble in the draft.

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RJ Harvey

NegativeRole4:36

Backup running back in the Saints backfield who will handle passing-down work but is not expected to play significant early-down snaps; limited role competition for J.K. Dobbins's workload.

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Sam LaPorta

PositiveProjection13:40

LaPorta has been TE3 (rookie year), TE8, and TE7 over his three NFL seasons; the source projects him as a set-and-forget tight end producing around 10 PPR points per game with a touchdown every other week. The source believes LaPorta is the second-most important passing piece in Detroit's offense after Gibbs, more important than Jameson Williams. He is coming off a back injury but all signs point to him being fully clear for training camp 2026 with no injury concerns heading into the season. Jameson Williams tends to eat when LaPorta is not playing, indicating LaPorta's central role in the offense.

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Trevor Lawrence

PositiveProjection6:38

Round 8 quarterback recommendation with rushing touchdown upside. The source projects 5–6 rushing touchdowns as a realistic outcome given his athleticism and the weapons in Liam Coen's offense, offering a combination of arm talent and dual-threat upside in a good offensive scheme.

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Trey McBride

PositiveProjection13:40

McBride finished 2025 as the highest-scoring tight end in the NFL, ahead of Tucker Kraft's 14.7 PPG average. The source called McBride one of their few good calls from the previous year's video, where they exclusively reserved the fourth round for him.

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Tucker Kraft

PositiveProjection17:18

Through eight healthy games in 2025 before his ACL injury, Kraft averaged 14.7 PPR fantasy points per game, tied for second-most in the NFL behind only Trey McBride. The source projects him as a top-tier tight end when healthy, noting he has improved and developed into an all-around playmaker over his three seasons. Kraft is one of the few tight ends in the NFL that you can build a passing game around because of his explosiveness with the ball in his hands; he has been top three in yards after catch per reception and yards per reception, can be targeted downfield, and can receive line of scrimmage targets. With Romeo Doubs and Dontayvion Wicks gone, the target tree will become more condensed, benefiting Kraft. The source projects Kraft could finish as the tight end one overall or at minimum as the tight end one in fantasy from weeks six through 18, representing league-winning upside.

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Full transcript

Episode Transcript

310
0:00Good morning, friends and enemies. In today's video, we are going round by round, starting round nine, ending round one with the best pick and or picks to
0:09make in every round of your 2026 fantasy football draft. We did the opposite of this video in the last video. So, if you
0:17missed that, want to go check it out, see who your idiot league mates should be taking in fantasy drafts, go ahead
0:22and watch that video. In round nine, which is where we are starting, there's a man I am very fond of. Pause. Resume.
0:28And that is Josh Downs, the Indianapolis Colts mini receiver. I'm such a fan of Josh Downs. I think we've been waiting
0:36for this perfect storm to happen and it's finally here. Each year, we hope that he progresses through the wide receiver depth chart in Indianapolis and
0:45it doesn't really happen. However, here's what's changed going into 2026.
0:49Michael Pittman, no longer there. Alec Pierce, and I think this is the biggest turning point here, is his injury and and whether or not he's going to be
0:58ready to go for the start of the season.
1:00He's returning from this ankle surgery.
1:02And listen, I don't want to get like overly pessimistic and unrealistically pessimistic about his return from the ankle injury. I think there's a good
1:08chance he plays in week one, maybe week two or three at the latest. However, what this is going to do is open the
1:13door for Josh Downs to be playing on the outside. That's been the real uh deter as far as Josh Downs' role has
1:20been in this offense. They only allow him to play pretty much in three wide receiver sets, playing those slot snaps.
1:25But, since Michael Pittman is gone and since Adonai Mitchell was pretty much been a pure outside receiver is gone and has been since last year, I think that
1:33opens the door to force Josh Downs onto the field. And once he's out of the bottle, you can't put the top back on
1:39it. They have almost nothing on their depth chart behind Alec Pierce. So, you have your number one outside guy returning from a pretty serious ankle
1:47rehab with an unclear return timeline right now and it's like Nick Westbrook-Ikhine behind him. Of course, Josh Downs is going to to a near every
1:56down player. And we've seen, you know, stints and we've seen flashes of what Josh Downs can do. And when you look at
2:01any of the underlying metrics, he's one of the better separators at the wide receiver position. And because he has so much experience in the slot, like, you
2:08can move him around all over the formation. I think he's good enough to play outside. Is he built to play outside? Probably not. But I think if
2:15you put him out there and allow him to run 80-90% of the routes, he's going to be pretty damn good. You have Daniel
2:19Jones coming back from the Achilles tear. I think he's going to be ready to go for week one. Ready to go does not
2:24mean fully healthy, obviously. I think he's going to struggle a little bit to connect on the deep ball, and that's another reason why I'm kind of fading
2:29these guys that run these outside downfield routes on the Indianapolis Colts. I think it's just uh more difficult to push off and be accurate
2:36downfield. And the other thing I'll say about Josh Downs, just an overall team thing for the Indianapolis Colts, their playoff schedule is phenomenal. You have
2:44Tennessee week 15, you have Cincinnati week 16, and then you have Cleveland in week 17. Cleveland's a, you know, a good
2:49defense, but without Myles Garrett, they're probably not the top 10-ish defense that they've been in previous years. So, pretty soft schedule in the
2:55fantasy playoffs. So, to me, when I look at Josh Downs, I look at a guy who's very talented and is likely going to be
3:02forced into an every down situation this year. Which it shouldn't take this long to get a guy like that on the field for
3:09all three downs. No pun intended, but I think I think we've gotten to the point there. So, at this price where there's
3:14so little opportunity cost, love Josh Downs in the ninth round. Full PPR, you really like it. A guy that you probably
3:21like a little bit less in full PPR, but I still think he's going as uh a value.
3:25And I haven't heard a lot of uh JK Dobbins hype going into the season. And I get it, he's always injured. But if
3:31you look back at last year, like, he had one of the safest floors in terms of workload of any running back in the NFL.
3:37He played up until week 10. He had one single game with fewer than 14 carries.
3:42He had 11 carries in that game. So, double-digit touches in every single game he played last year. They went out, and despite the injury that he suffered
3:49at the end of the season, re-signed him to, you know, a a not nothing contract here, which tells me he's returning as a
3:55starting running back here. Yes, they drafted Jaleel Coleman, and I think that's a depth piece because Sean Payton doesn't want to deal with J.K. Dobbins
4:01if he does end up getting hurt again, very much within the range of outcomes, but this feels a little bit to me like
4:06one of those situations where you have probably the best offensive line in the NFL, and you're kind of getting to just
4:12draft the starting running back here.
4:14Like, it it reminds me of probably a slightly worse situation than what Javonte Williams had last year. Another reason I I think people don't love J.K.
4:22Dobbins is because he was so boring last year. He scored four rushing touchdowns in their first five games, and people are like, "Shit, why didn't I just draft
4:30this guy?" And then over the next five games that he played, he scored zero rushing touchdowns. So, it was continuously like 14 carries for 75
4:37yards. To me, that's much more of a product of just like bad touchdown luck.
4:40The team is still good. The team is scoring points. The offensive line is still great. He's still getting the workload. He just didn't happen to be
4:46the one that got in on the one or two-yard line. R.J. Harvey is there.
4:49He'll take passing down work, but I think all the signs pretty clearly point to the fact that they don't want him
4:54playing on early downs for the most part. I also think one untapped part of J.K. Dobbins's game is that he is a
5:00relatively good pass-catcher. He didn't do it at high volume last year, but I do think there's some variance that could be baked into the fact that this is a
5:06Sean Payton offense. And Sean Payton offenses target the running back at such a high rate. Like, annually they're within the top three to five in terms of
5:13target share to the running back position, and it's not just on third downs or obvious passing situations.
5:18They do it a lot on early downs. It just didn't really happen often for J.K.
5:21Dobbins. So, I could see this being a random, you know, variance problem where next year he's seeing two to three targets per game because he's playing so
5:29many of the snaps. So, overall, I think this is obviously massive injury risk with a guy like J.K. Dobbins. Like, he
5:34can never finish the season, but he is also objectively the starting running back in a very good offense, in a very
5:41good scheme behind one of the league's best offensive lines. So again, do I think it's likely he's this year's Javonte Williams? Like, of course not.
5:48That's a very long shot bet. But, if there's a guy who's going to do it, like, he has an extremely similar
5:53situation with a little bit more competition in the backfield, of course, between RJ Harvey and Jonah Coleman.
5:58But, like, if he ends up running for eight to 10 touchdowns because he's just in a good offense, right place, right
6:03time, getting the workload of 12 to 15 carries a game, you could do a lot worse than the ninth round. Moving down to
6:08round eight, this is a pretty quarterback-heavy round, so it's kind of tough to like pick and choose who you want to go for here. And there are a lot
6:16of like boring high-floor players, like Michael Pittman in Pittsburgh, you have Rico Dowdle, you have Chris Godwin, guys that are like, you know, fine if you
6:24kind of need to throw them into your flex or second flex or something like that. But, ultimately, I think this is a
6:29really good spot to grab quarterbacks, and we do have another quarterback on this list, so I don't want to go like
6:34super heavy. But, I think this is a great spot to grab quarterbacks. You have Trevor Lawrence, who I think has a
6:38great combination of upside with his arm right now with the weapons in Liam Coen's offense, and obviously showed a ton of athleticism last year. So, I I
6:45think five or six rushing touchdowns, again, could definitely be within the range of outcomes there. Then you have a couple, you know, underrated dual-threat
6:51quarterbacks in Jackson Dart and Brock Purdy, and then Matt Stafford, obviously coming off the MVP season. So, if you don't grab a quarterback up to this
6:57point, this seems like the perfect round to grab one. The other name I'll throw out here is Quentin Johnston. I'm not
7:02like a huge fan of Quentin Johnston by any means. This is like a really good opportunity to get kind of like the
7:08cheapest part of the Los Angeles Chargers offense, where I think most people are super excited about, right?
7:13You have Mike McDaniel coming over versus the OC, you have a healthy offensive line, which is also doubled down on and more invested into. You'll
7:20have Joe Allbaugh, you'll have Rashawn Slater back. They go out and grab Tyler Biadasz from Washington, which is a great signing for them. They They draft
7:26Jake Slaughter in the second round. So, they should They should go from the offensive line being a massive liability last year, obviously, to one of the
7:32better units in the NFL. So, you give Herbert that, you give Mike McDaniel this to work with. And I also think the
7:37fact that they bring in Charlie Kolar and David Njoku on top of already having Arionde Gadsden tells me that they're probably going to go heavy personnel
7:45often and what that typically means is less wide receivers on the field. So, typical two wide receiver sets meaning more targets for the wide receivers and
7:53everything out of out of training camp is like Mike McDaniel loves Quinton Johnston. So, he's probably more boomer bust on a weekly basis cuz that's just
7:59the type of player he is, but I do think if you're investing in the Chargers offense like you have to spend a really
8:04early pick on Amari and Hampton. You also have to spend a pretty early pick on Ladd McConkey. So, if you want to get
8:09parts of this passing offense that will be a player who's probably on the field for 80 plus percent of the snaps,
8:15Quinton Johnston feels like a pretty good gamble at this point in your draft.
8:18Moving into round seven, this will be for me an exclusive tight end draft pick, all right? This is where two guys
8:26that I absolutely love, Tucker Kraft and Sam LaPorta are sitting. Last year when I made this video, we exclusively reserved the fourth round for Trey
8:33McBride. That turned out well, one of my few good calls. We're going to double down and exclusively remove every other player from this round except for tight
8:42ends. So, you have these veteran tight ends that have kind of fallen out of favor because we have that elite group
8:48of second-year guys, you know, jumping up the ranks in in Fanning and Loveland and Tyler Warren and obviously the recent breakouts of Brock Bowers and
8:56Trey McBride and deservedly so. My thing with tight ends is this like if I don't end up spending up for an elite tight
9:02end, which I don't really hate with Bowers this year and I don't hate with Loveland this year either. If I don't do
9:07that, I'm not one of those people that's like I'll just draft one in in round 10 or 11 and like grab two of them and hope
9:12one of them breaks out. I want a set and forget guy. I don't care if he's boring.
9:15Give me those 10 points per game with, you know, a touchdown outlook every other week or something like that and I
9:20think you get that with LaPorta and Tucker Kraft being attached to Green Bay's offense and Detroit's offense. So, we'll start with LaPorta and obviously a
9:28lot of things to touch on here, but in the three years since he's entered the NFL in terms of fantasy points per game
9:33at the tight end position, he's been tight end three his rookie year, tight end eight and then tight end seven last
9:38year. And I think what gives me the most confidence is the consistency we've continued to see across the Detroit passing offense. I think a lot of people
9:45were off them last year cuz they lose Ben Johnson and we're like, oh, they're going to fall off. And then Jared Goff
9:49just has his normal statistical 4,500 yards, 30 plus passing touchdowns, and nothing fell off. And that gives me a ton of confidence for a dude like Sam
9:57LaPorta knowing that even without Ben Johnson, we could still right the ship.
10:01And now we have Drew Petzing coming in who I'm not like a huge fan of from a, you know, creativity, play caller
10:06standpoint, but he did just come out of Arizona where Trey McBride ate and then ate and then ate and then ate. So, at
10:11least we know he can feature a tight end in his passing offense. I think Sam LaPorta is his second most important
10:16passing piece of this offense outside of Gibbs, but Amon-Ra and then LaPorta.
10:20Like I do think LaPorta is more important to this offense than Jameson Williams is and Jameson Williams tends to eat when LaPorta is not playing. So,
10:27he's coming off the back injury and I think that's another reason you're kind of getting like an injury discount on Sam LaPorta, but all signs point to him
10:33being fully clear for training camp and and and no issues in terms of his injuries heading into 2026. On the other
10:38side, Tucker Kraft, the major concern here of course is his ACL. Suffers a torn ACL midway through 2025. Through those eight games though, when he was
10:47healthy, 14.7 PPR fantasy points per game, tied for second most in the NFL.
10:52Only McBride would have finished higher than him. We've just seen Kraft develop into this He was another guy that I loved last year too and it looked really
11:00good obviously until halfway through the season, but he's someone who's just improved and developed into this like all around playmaker in each of his
11:08three seasons so far. He's gotten better and better and better and he's one of the few tight ends in the NFL that I
11:13think you can actually like build a passing game around because he's so explosive with the ball in his hands. He has been top three in yards after catch
11:20per reception, yards per reception. You could target him downfield. You can give him a ton of line of scrimmage targets as well and let him kind of eat with
11:27that afterwards. And now you have guys like Romeo Doubs and Dontayvion Wicks gone, so the target tree is going to get
11:32more condensed. Now, the ACL is the problem here. The things I think are working for him is that he's 25 years
11:37old. So, he's very young and he can rehab. You could also just kind of search Twitter and look at any of the
11:41reports out of camp are that Kraft is like way ahead of schedule and fully expected to be good to go by week one.
11:48How much weight do you want to put on that? Up to you, but I'm buying the reports. The other thing, too, is the
11:52Green Bay medical staff is like notoriously cautious with allowing players to return from injuries. So, I do think if he gets the clearance to go
11:59for week one, yeah, maybe he's a little bit rusty for the first three, four weeks of the season, but if they let him
12:04go, I'm going to believe with like 95% certainty that he is fully healed. And again, maybe rusty the first month of
12:12the season, but Kraft, unlike LaPorta where like sure he had the good rookie season, but I think that was when he
12:16finished as the tight end one, that was more of like a lack of high upside other options in the NFL. I don't know that I
12:22believe LaPorta has overall one upside in him outside of like maybe a random like 12 or 13 touchdown season. Tucker Kraft's a dude who could finish as the
12:30tight end one overall. And you know what? It might be the tight end five overall at the end of the season, but
12:35like he could be the tight end one in fantasy from weeks six through 18. And that's going to be a league-winning type
12:40of player. He has that type of upside, and I'm super willing to take that shot on Tucker Kraft in the seventh round.
12:45The other player that I will point out here, non-tight end, if you want to go elsewhere, is Jordan Tyson. I want to
12:50take a shot on Jordan Tyson somewhere in my fantasy drafts this year. Love the setup, love the player. I think he could
12:56legitimately battle Chris Olave for the team lead in receiving yards this year.
13:01Maybe over the second half of the year, maybe not the full outlook of it, but I'm a huge fan of Jordan Tyson, and I'm
13:06a huge fan of the situation, the strength of schedule, playing in the dome, the environment, Kellen Moore, tons of plays, it's fast-paced. Like me
13:13some Jordan Tyson. Round six is where I think all hell kind of just breaks loose here, and you have all types of upside
13:21and downside and risk and first-round rookies and high upside Christian Watsons of the world, and you've got multiple Jaguars wide receivers. There's
13:29a lot of guys I like in this round, but I think I'm going to narrow this round down specifically to one player, and
13:34that is Jayden Daniels, the quarterback for Washington, all right? We are 1 year removed from him putting up a a 4,500
13:42yard season, total yards, 900 rushing yards, 31 total touchdowns as a rookie, and a lot of people going out on a limb
13:50last year, you know, touting him as the possible overall quarterback one in fantasy football. I wasn't there, but like if you're getting him now at QB6,
13:59at QB7 in drafts, wherever he's going in the sixth round, that rushing upside is so enticing. Last year, he obviously dealt with like 95 different injuries.
14:08Can he stay healthy for the full season?
14:10Listen, one thing I've learned is I'm not trying to predict injuries in season. I think if a guy is going into a
14:15year and he's not fully cleared, or an injury happens at the end of August or something like that, you know, you're
14:20playing with fire in that case, but I'm not going to try to predict fluky injuries to a guy like Jayden Daniels.
14:25Could happen, whatever. That's just not how I'm drafting. Now, the Washington receiver group is is it's gross. Like the weapons group out there is gross.
14:32They got Terry McLaurin, who he's another one. Like all of last year, he went in with a contract holdout, and then he got hurt pretty early, and that
14:38just hampered his entire season. They do go out and sign Chiggy at tight end, which I like. They draft Antonio Williams to be a slot guy, who I like. I
14:45still think they're very likely, or they're probably the favorite to sign one of, you know, Keenan Allen and/or Stefon Diggs, which I think will then
14:53solidify their group as being like not great, but not the worst. I've also never been a fan of Kliff Kingsbury's offenses, so getting David Blough in
15:01there, I'm I'm actually excited for. I think their scheme will help Jayden Daniels much more than what Kliff Kingsbury's was. So, I don't know. I'm
15:07I'm just looking around that I'm seeing Jayden Daniels who rushed for 900 yards as a rookie. Like you're getting a dude
15:13that could easily rush for 1,000 yards right now in the sixth round, and that feels free. Like you know he's putting
15:19up 30-point games throughout the season.
15:21So, yeah, all this to say, there's nothing new here. I think you just need to drop the recency bias. The rookie
15:27year, amazing for Jayden. Sophomore year, terrible. Lot of injuries. Lot of just [ __ ] going on in Washington. New year, wipe the slate clean. You know how
15:37explosive of a player Jayden Daniels is.
15:39Just let that be your pick. Moving into round five, let's show some love to the uncs here. I'm going Mike Evans at the
15:46509. Mike Evans moves from Tampa Bay first time in his career, he will be playing elsewhere. San Francisco 49ers signed him to be their wide receiver
15:55one. I believe that he will be the dude running routes on every single snap. I think behind him, totally up for grabs.
16:02Do I like Ricky Pearsall? Yeah, I'm I'm willing to take shots on him later in the draft. But, I think Mike Evans is
16:07going to contend for leading the league in touchdowns this year. I think you have George Kittle who's been a good red
16:13zone target obviously for Brock Purdy.
16:14They've had great chemistry. He's returning from an Achilles tear. It's a very serious injury. It happened very late in the season. And he's old. That's
16:20going to be tough to come back from. So, outside of Evans, you have no real like proven downfield threats. You have CMC
16:27who's obviously going to see, you know, a 23, 25% target share. But, then it's just Mike Evans, man. And the thing
16:33about Evans is like, maybe you think he's lost a step. That Sure, he got hurt last year. But, when he's on the field,
16:38I've seen nothing out of him that makes me feel as if he's too old to play at a high level anymore. And I think being
16:44part of the Kyle Shanahan scheme is also one of those things that takes pressure off of top guys. It takes pressure off
16:51of dudes who are aging a little bit where I think like even if Mike Evans has lost a step, Kyle Shanahan is so
16:55creative at getting his best playmakers open and scheming them to the right parts of the field that I don't think it's really going to matter. So, moving
17:02from round five down to round four, just want to remind you before we do so, all of my rankings and write-ups on these
17:08players, like everything I'm saying is already available in our draft guide which is part of our membership on bge.co.
17:15So, in the fantasy membership, you're going to get all these rankings regardless of what kind of league you're in. So superflex, one quarterback, PPR,
17:20at PPR, they'll get outlook write-ups, you get the Vegas prop numbers, you get strength of schedule data, offensive line ranks. You'll also be able to sync
17:27your league this year if you are on Yahoo, ESPN, or Sleeper, which is dope cuz then you can use our rankings and
17:33it'll cross it off in real time as your draft is going on. So you can go sign up for the membership on BDGE.co or the
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17:57cheapest way to get it by far. Head over to MGM. If you're a new user, sign up with code BDGE, play any slip of $10 or
18:03more, and you'll get that. Let's move to round four, and I think round four might be the round to take your shot. Round
18:08four is going to be the one that you want to get a little bit risky on cuz I think a lot of the players in this round
18:13are risky, where when we moved to round three, I think you have more sure things. I think you have like high-floor, boring picks that will
18:18cement a really good roster. But round four has a lot of players, if you're like a Luther Burden guy or a Colson
18:24Loveland guy, you want to shoot on some upside for Chicago. I like that. For me in particular, I have one boring pick
18:30who we've seen do it a million times. I have one risky pick who we've seen do it once and then flat it out. And then I
18:35have one very high-upside but high-risk pick. So we'll start with Lad McConkey.
18:40A lot of what I said for Quinton Johnston, I think is echoed to Lad except he's a lot more expensive because
18:45he's already shown the upside in his rookie season where he blasted off for over 1,000 yards. I love his fit in the
18:50Mike McDaniel offense. I could see him easily using him in the way that he's used Jaylen Waddle or Tyreek Hill over
18:55these recent years. Of course, it's a little bit scary coming off like the absolute disaster of his sophomore season last year, but I'm willing to
19:02chalk up most of the Chargers tendencies in 2025 to the fact that the offensive line getting hurt just kind of ruined
19:08everything in LA. With Lad, it it again, it's I want the highest upside piece of this passing offense that I think could
19:15legitimately contend for one of the best in the NFL. I would say if I have concerns about Ladd, they would be do we
19:21ever get to the point where Ladd can see 140, 150 targets and be a true true alpha number one in an offense? You
19:28know, remains to be seen. Also, touchdown upside is a little bit tough given his size. Like when they're down inside the 10 or 5, they're likely
19:34drawing up plays for the tight ends.
19:35They're likely drawing up plays for Marvin Mims. Justin Herbert, you know, we know can scramble a little bit too.
19:40So, wouldn't be surprised if he puts together like a Trevor Lawrence light type of year last year where when they're inside the 10, he kind of just
19:45dips out and runs for four, five, six rushing touchdowns in that area of the field. So, there are definitely concerns with Marvin Mims, but I do think as just
19:53a separator and as a player attached to an offense in this type of scheme is one that I I want to attach myself to going
20:00into 2026. But don't get Ladd, I love me some Cam Skelton, man. This is without a doubt the scariest pick to make here,
20:07but Cam Skelton, what he showed as a fourth round rookie last year through the first eight weeks of the season before he got hurt was legitimately like
20:13elite stuff. Third, third among running backs in expected fantasy points per game. What that just tells you is his role was as good as pretty much anyone
20:21outside of a Christian McCaffrey or a Bijan Robinson or Jahmyr Gibbs type. It he's not that explosive, obviously, and he's not as good of a an NFL running
20:30back. And the biggest elephant in the room here is the ankle injury that he suffered, but I mean, the videos coming
20:34out are just insane. He's doing backflips everywhere. The guy cannot stop doing backflips. He lands some of them, he doesn't land some of them. But
20:41to me, I think he's fine. Everything out of camp says that he's a full go to be that guy. I think there's a lot of
20:47people that are just pointing to two injuries over and over and over again that are similar injuries, but from what I've heard are actually worst case
20:53scenarios for these injuries as opposed to Cam Skelton's. And that's Tony Pollard and that's Mark Andrews. One, Mark Andrews old by the time it happened
21:01to him. And that's a tight end. I don't I don't care about that one. Tony Pollard I think is more relevant cuz he
21:05was a young explosive running back. Tony Pollard's injury, his fractured ankle that hurt him in the early portion of the following year, happened late late
21:14January. You're talking about January 20 I think it was 22nd, 23rd, 24th, somewhere in that range. Very late into the NFL off-season. Cam Akers was
21:22happened at the end of October, early November. So, you're talking about a pretty massive gap in between the recovery timeline that Cam has relative
21:30to Tony Pollard's. So, Tony Pollard's was one worse and also happened much later in the season. I just cannot emphasize how big of a role Cam Akers
21:38had in this Giants offense last year. It was every single goal line carry, nine of nine goal line carries through the
21:44first eight weeks of the season, 100% of them. He had 23 of 26 red zone carries, and he had 65% of the running back
21:51targets. Despite, remember, last summer he was dealing with I think it was a hamstring injury for most of camp. So, he actually missed a lot of summer camp
21:58and then still dominated the touches.
21:59Now, they do have a new coaching staff, so obviously that could skew things, but Cam Akers was a workhorse, man, and I
22:04think they're going to use him accordingly. This offense could be really exciting if Malik Nabers is actually back and he's playing week one
22:09or two. Jackson Dart excites me. They also used a top 10 pick on an offensive lineman, so that will be a little bit
22:15better. I don't think they're going to be a top tier offensive line by any means, but good to see them invest in
22:19that as opposed to not. So, yeah, I I love taking shots on Cam Akers if he's your if he's your running back two. I
22:24think the workload is going to be super super high, and he gets all the valuable touches as well. Like he gets the goal
22:31line carries cuz he's a [ __ ] battering ram, and he's also unbelievably skilled in the passing game. He is such a smooth athlete and
22:37pass catcher, and and that's where the upside comes in with a dude like Cam Akers. So, I love him. The other dude in
22:44this round that I mentioned that I would touch on quickly is just Davante Adams.
22:47I know people are kind of off on him.
22:48They think he's, you know, past the the twilight years of his career, which very well might be true, but I still think
22:53Davante Adams as the only other pass catching weapon in an offense that just saw Matt Stafford throw for a billion yards and 45 plus touchdowns and win the
23:01MVP and you're attached to Sean McVay, is still a part of an offense that I want. Like, even if Davante Adams is not
23:06as good as he once was, his targets per route run, like, he's still getting targeted at an insane level. And he's
23:12still going to be a top red zone option, and he's still going to lead the NFL in end zone targets, most likely. So, did
23:18he lose a step? Possibly, but I just love the situation here. As we move into round three, I mentioned that this to me
23:25is a high floor round. I'm looking at guys like Javonte Williams, Josh Jacobs, and DeVonta Smith. Those to me, you have
23:31DeVonta Smith coming in and stepping in as the wide receiver one in Philadelphia with A.J. Brown leaving. Anytime A.J.
23:36Brown didn't play, DeVonta Smith just absolutely balled out. He is such a good route runner and separator that I I just
23:42don't see a world where he's not fed 140 targets this year, and kind of just provides you an extremely high floor,
23:49you know, borderline wide receiver one season. I'd be surprised if he doesn't finish somewhere within the wide receiver nine to like 13 range. And as a
23:56third-round pick, like, happy to just kind of throw that into my PPR lineup and enjoy the fruits of that. They're going to be a healthy offensive line
24:03again, and be much better than they were last year. Obviously, Kevin Patullo's out of there, so that is my, you know,
24:07and A.J. Brown being out of there, talent being gone sucks, obviously, but there's a lot less toxicity now in Philly, which could mean a better
24:14overall, you know, environment for the rest of the play makers there. So, DeVonta Smith, I have every confidence level that he can be the wide receiver
24:22one on that team. Javonte Williams, again, showed us last year that he is the RB1 in Dallas, is an extremely high-scoring offense, extremely
24:29productive offense, where they add no competition to that backfield. And I'm not even sure Jourdan Lewis going to carve out a role. Like, it might just be
24:35Javonte Williams once again playing 75 to 80% of the snaps. And because he's on Dallas's offense, like, he's going to get a billion goal-line carries just by
24:43being in the right place at the right time. So, Javonte, smash pick at the end of the third round. Same thing with Josh
24:48Jacobs. Obviously, there's the uncertainty off the field, but when the Green Bay Packers are playing, and Josh Jacobs is playing, he is the workhorse.
24:55Like, he's a boring pick, I think. I think people think of him as a boring pick, but when the season actually
25:00happens, you are super [ __ ] happy to have him on your team cuz the dude just scores a touchdown every single game.
25:06When they are inside the 5-yard line, all they do is give the ball to Josh Jacobs. The biggest concern I would have
25:11with Jacobs, and I don't think it like it didn't really deter him last year. He got hurt and I would even say that he
25:16was great up until when he got hurt and then almost the entire, you know, last quarter or half of the season was
25:22playing with a completely bum lower leg.
25:24But up until that point he was great.
25:26Their offensive line is actually kind of problematic. They do not have a good offensive line. I think we saw that last
25:30year. They got very little push and it felt like Josh Jacobs was getting 18 carries a game that just went for two or
25:34three yards. We're going to see that again. He's going to get a lot of work, but I think he's good enough out of the
25:38backfield as a pass catcher and of course he's just got so much touchdown equity in that offense. The last one I
25:44will throw out is the opposite of a high floor guy, but that's Jeremiah Love.
25:47Number three pick. I'm surprised that he's dropping this far. I think in a lot of drafts he'll go out the end of the
25:51second round. If he drops into the bottom of the third round, this was not a player that I thought I'd be taking
25:56any sort of shares of, but if he does drop into the third round, I'm very, very interested in Jeremiah Love just
26:01because of his pass-catching profile, the fact that Arizona is expected to win about four games per Vegas this year.
26:06They will once again be in a lot of catch-up mode type of situations here. I think Allgeier will definitely have a
26:12role there, maybe even the goal line role unfortunately, but I think Love between his like breakaway plays, between his pass-catching ability, and
26:18between just like the overall workload floor he's going to have from being the number three overall pick in the draft is something that I'm like super on
26:25board with in round three. Moving to round two, uh we just have like a grab bag of just workhorse running backs
26:32here. And my two favorite are Chase Brown and Kenneth Walker. Love Chase Brown, have him for the last couple years. He was one of these guys on this
26:39list last year. Started off slow, but then was as good as any fantasy running back over the second half of the year
26:44when Joe Burrow came back and was healthy. Similar to Jamaal Williams, they add zero competition in that backfield. And I should also, you know,
26:50kind of rewind and say that for Josh Jacobs. Like, they just let Emanuel Wilson walk. They didn't add anything to the backfield. Yes, Marshawn Lloyd is
26:58now healthy, but that's not an addition to the backfield. If anything, he's just the same as Emanuel Wilson, pretty much.
27:03So, anyways, you look at guys who were in situations last year that performed great in very, very plus-plus-plus offenses where no competition was added.
27:12So, expecting different results feels idiotic, all right? So, that's really my pitch for Chase Brown. He is the number three target in this offense. It's
27:20Ja'Marr, and it's Tee Higgins, and then it's Chase Brown. Is there a world where touchdown variance goes toward Chase Brown? This is an offense that's
27:26probably going to average, you know, 27, 28, 29 points per game, be very, very high-scoring. What if Chase Brown ends up scoring 12 rushing touchdowns this
27:33year? I don't think that should surprise anybody. So, he'll get another 65 to 70 targets. He'll catch a bunch of passes.
27:40He'll get the majority of rushing workload. And all they have behind him is like a 31-year-old Samaje Perine. So, yeah, I'm I'm all in on Chase Brown
27:47again. I think this is like a no-brainer pick in the second, and I just love the upside of of Kenneth Walker. Like, you
27:52you clearly need something else there in the Kansas City offense to take a little bit off the the weight of Patrick Mahomes's
27:59shoulders. I think, you know, the the biggest thing for KC over the last few years has been, one, the defense has
28:05gone Defenses in the NFL have gone so heavy into the cover two shell, so you can't take shots down field. And of
28:10course, they get rid of Tyreek Hill a bunch of years ago, and that completely like cratered the offensive success that this team has had via the passing game.
28:17And I think they've really, really struggled because they haven't had a running game. And when you add a dude like Kenneth Walker for the contract
28:23that they gave him, they're doing that with workhorse workload in mind. We've seen times where Kenneth Walker has looked like one of the best running
28:31backs in the NFL, and you know, we saw it at the end of last year into the Super Bowl, and that's why he grabs his
28:35contract. And again, I'm not going to go into the year scared drafting Kenneth Walker because he's been hurt before. If he has an ankle sprain at the end of
28:43August, yeah, he'll probably be off my board. But for right now, the situation is fantastic. The offense is fantastic.
28:49He's got Patrick Mahomes who is coming back from the ACL tear, so they'll no doubt need to be leaning on the running
28:54back more. You got Andy Reid there like Kenneth Walker I think is a smash pick in the second. And then we move to round
28:59one and I don't know. There's nothing I can really say that you guys don't know about the round one players. Jamyr Gibbs
29:03is my clear 101 there, so if that's a question for you guys, love Gibbs. I was off CMC last year stupidly for just
29:11being like, "Ah, he's probably going to get hurt." kind of thing. Not making that mistake again. Same situation should get a bajillion targets again.
29:16Happily drafting CMC in the first round.
29:19Love Amon-Ra St. Brown again if you're in like the mid to later part of the first round. And I really like James
29:24Cook. He's my RB4. So, [ __ ] is just sweet all over the the first round of uh of fantasy drafts. It just feels like
29:30kind of like a waste of time being like, "Yo, I really like Jamyr Gibbs, bro."
29:33It's like [ __ ] who amongst us? So, I will wrap up there. I hope you guys enjoy this video.
29:39I hope you found it valuable and/or useful. As always, tell me how wrong I am and what I am wrong about in the
29:45comment section. You guys are elite at that. You did so in the last video at a very high volume, very impressive
29:51volume. Speaking of, if you missed that video, 10 players to let your idiot league mates draft in 2026, make sure you go watch it. It'll be linked down
29:59below. And of course, as I mentioned, all of the new tools for the draft guide in the fantasy membership are available
30:04to you right now on bdoge.co.
30:07Cheapest way to get it is by going through MGM. New users, deposit with code BDOGE, play any slip 10 bucks or
30:15more and they'll hit you with that promo code for three free months to the BG membership. All right, I'm out of here.
30:19I love y'all. Smooches.
30:30>> [music]

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