0:00Good morning, friends and enemies. In today's video, we are going round by round, starting round nine, ending round one with the best pick and or picks to
0:09make in every round of your 2026 fantasy football draft. We did the opposite of this video in the last video. So, if you
0:17missed that, want to go check it out, see who your idiot league mates should be taking in fantasy drafts, go ahead
0:22and watch that video. In round nine, which is where we are starting, there's a man I am very fond of. Pause. Resume.
0:28And that is Josh Downs, the Indianapolis Colts mini receiver. I'm such a fan of Josh Downs. I think we've been waiting
0:36for this perfect storm to happen and it's finally here. Each year, we hope that he progresses through the wide receiver depth chart in Indianapolis and
0:45it doesn't really happen. However, here's what's changed going into 2026.
0:49Michael Pittman, no longer there. Alec Pierce, and I think this is the biggest turning point here, is his injury and and whether or not he's going to be
0:58ready to go for the start of the season.
1:00He's returning from this ankle surgery.
1:02And listen, I don't want to get like overly pessimistic and unrealistically pessimistic about his return from the ankle injury. I think there's a good
1:08chance he plays in week one, maybe week two or three at the latest. However, what this is going to do is open the
1:13door for Josh Downs to be playing on the outside. That's been the real uh deter as far as Josh Downs' role has
1:20been in this offense. They only allow him to play pretty much in three wide receiver sets, playing those slot snaps.
1:25But, since Michael Pittman is gone and since Adonai Mitchell was pretty much been a pure outside receiver is gone and has been since last year, I think that
1:33opens the door to force Josh Downs onto the field. And once he's out of the bottle, you can't put the top back on
1:39it. They have almost nothing on their depth chart behind Alec Pierce. So, you have your number one outside guy returning from a pretty serious ankle
1:47rehab with an unclear return timeline right now and it's like Nick Westbrook-Ikhine behind him. Of course, Josh Downs is going to to a near every
1:56down player. And we've seen, you know, stints and we've seen flashes of what Josh Downs can do. And when you look at
2:01any of the underlying metrics, he's one of the better separators at the wide receiver position. And because he has so much experience in the slot, like, you
2:08can move him around all over the formation. I think he's good enough to play outside. Is he built to play outside? Probably not. But I think if
2:15you put him out there and allow him to run 80-90% of the routes, he's going to be pretty damn good. You have Daniel
2:19Jones coming back from the Achilles tear. I think he's going to be ready to go for week one. Ready to go does not
2:24mean fully healthy, obviously. I think he's going to struggle a little bit to connect on the deep ball, and that's another reason why I'm kind of fading
2:29these guys that run these outside downfield routes on the Indianapolis Colts. I think it's just uh more difficult to push off and be accurate
2:36downfield. And the other thing I'll say about Josh Downs, just an overall team thing for the Indianapolis Colts, their playoff schedule is phenomenal. You have
2:44Tennessee week 15, you have Cincinnati week 16, and then you have Cleveland in week 17. Cleveland's a, you know, a good
2:49defense, but without Myles Garrett, they're probably not the top 10-ish defense that they've been in previous years. So, pretty soft schedule in the
2:55fantasy playoffs. So, to me, when I look at Josh Downs, I look at a guy who's very talented and is likely going to be
3:02forced into an every down situation this year. Which it shouldn't take this long to get a guy like that on the field for
3:09all three downs. No pun intended, but I think I think we've gotten to the point there. So, at this price where there's
3:14so little opportunity cost, love Josh Downs in the ninth round. Full PPR, you really like it. A guy that you probably
3:21like a little bit less in full PPR, but I still think he's going as uh a value.
3:25And I haven't heard a lot of uh JK Dobbins hype going into the season. And I get it, he's always injured. But if
3:31you look back at last year, like, he had one of the safest floors in terms of workload of any running back in the NFL.
3:37He played up until week 10. He had one single game with fewer than 14 carries.
3:42He had 11 carries in that game. So, double-digit touches in every single game he played last year. They went out, and despite the injury that he suffered
3:49at the end of the season, re-signed him to, you know, a a not nothing contract here, which tells me he's returning as a
3:55starting running back here. Yes, they drafted Jaleel Coleman, and I think that's a depth piece because Sean Payton doesn't want to deal with J.K. Dobbins
4:01if he does end up getting hurt again, very much within the range of outcomes, but this feels a little bit to me like
4:06one of those situations where you have probably the best offensive line in the NFL, and you're kind of getting to just
4:12draft the starting running back here.
4:14Like, it it reminds me of probably a slightly worse situation than what Javonte Williams had last year. Another reason I I think people don't love J.K.
4:22Dobbins is because he was so boring last year. He scored four rushing touchdowns in their first five games, and people are like, "Shit, why didn't I just draft
4:30this guy?" And then over the next five games that he played, he scored zero rushing touchdowns. So, it was continuously like 14 carries for 75
4:37yards. To me, that's much more of a product of just like bad touchdown luck.
4:40The team is still good. The team is scoring points. The offensive line is still great. He's still getting the workload. He just didn't happen to be
4:46the one that got in on the one or two-yard line. R.J. Harvey is there.
4:49He'll take passing down work, but I think all the signs pretty clearly point to the fact that they don't want him
4:54playing on early downs for the most part. I also think one untapped part of J.K. Dobbins's game is that he is a
5:00relatively good pass-catcher. He didn't do it at high volume last year, but I do think there's some variance that could be baked into the fact that this is a
5:06Sean Payton offense. And Sean Payton offenses target the running back at such a high rate. Like, annually they're within the top three to five in terms of
5:13target share to the running back position, and it's not just on third downs or obvious passing situations.
5:18They do it a lot on early downs. It just didn't really happen often for J.K.
5:21Dobbins. So, I could see this being a random, you know, variance problem where next year he's seeing two to three targets per game because he's playing so
5:29many of the snaps. So, overall, I think this is obviously massive injury risk with a guy like J.K. Dobbins. Like, he
5:34can never finish the season, but he is also objectively the starting running back in a very good offense, in a very
5:41good scheme behind one of the league's best offensive lines. So again, do I think it's likely he's this year's Javonte Williams? Like, of course not.
5:48That's a very long shot bet. But, if there's a guy who's going to do it, like, he has an extremely similar
5:53situation with a little bit more competition in the backfield, of course, between RJ Harvey and Jonah Coleman.
5:58But, like, if he ends up running for eight to 10 touchdowns because he's just in a good offense, right place, right
6:03time, getting the workload of 12 to 15 carries a game, you could do a lot worse than the ninth round. Moving down to
6:08round eight, this is a pretty quarterback-heavy round, so it's kind of tough to like pick and choose who you want to go for here. And there are a lot
6:16of like boring high-floor players, like Michael Pittman in Pittsburgh, you have Rico Dowdle, you have Chris Godwin, guys that are like, you know, fine if you
6:24kind of need to throw them into your flex or second flex or something like that. But, ultimately, I think this is a
6:29really good spot to grab quarterbacks, and we do have another quarterback on this list, so I don't want to go like
6:34super heavy. But, I think this is a great spot to grab quarterbacks. You have Trevor Lawrence, who I think has a
6:38great combination of upside with his arm right now with the weapons in Liam Coen's offense, and obviously showed a ton of athleticism last year. So, I I
6:45think five or six rushing touchdowns, again, could definitely be within the range of outcomes there. Then you have a couple, you know, underrated dual-threat
6:51quarterbacks in Jackson Dart and Brock Purdy, and then Matt Stafford, obviously coming off the MVP season. So, if you don't grab a quarterback up to this
6:57point, this seems like the perfect round to grab one. The other name I'll throw out here is Quentin Johnston. I'm not
7:02like a huge fan of Quentin Johnston by any means. This is like a really good opportunity to get kind of like the
7:08cheapest part of the Los Angeles Chargers offense, where I think most people are super excited about, right?
7:13You have Mike McDaniel coming over versus the OC, you have a healthy offensive line, which is also doubled down on and more invested into. You'll
7:20have Joe Allbaugh, you'll have Rashawn Slater back. They go out and grab Tyler Biadasz from Washington, which is a great signing for them. They They draft
7:26Jake Slaughter in the second round. So, they should They should go from the offensive line being a massive liability last year, obviously, to one of the
7:32better units in the NFL. So, you give Herbert that, you give Mike McDaniel this to work with. And I also think the
7:37fact that they bring in Charlie Kolar and David Njoku on top of already having Arionde Gadsden tells me that they're probably going to go heavy personnel
7:45often and what that typically means is less wide receivers on the field. So, typical two wide receiver sets meaning more targets for the wide receivers and
7:53everything out of out of training camp is like Mike McDaniel loves Quinton Johnston. So, he's probably more boomer bust on a weekly basis cuz that's just
7:59the type of player he is, but I do think if you're investing in the Chargers offense like you have to spend a really
8:04early pick on Amari and Hampton. You also have to spend a pretty early pick on Ladd McConkey. So, if you want to get
8:09parts of this passing offense that will be a player who's probably on the field for 80 plus percent of the snaps,
8:15Quinton Johnston feels like a pretty good gamble at this point in your draft.
8:18Moving into round seven, this will be for me an exclusive tight end draft pick, all right? This is where two guys
8:26that I absolutely love, Tucker Kraft and Sam LaPorta are sitting. Last year when I made this video, we exclusively reserved the fourth round for Trey
8:33McBride. That turned out well, one of my few good calls. We're going to double down and exclusively remove every other player from this round except for tight
8:42ends. So, you have these veteran tight ends that have kind of fallen out of favor because we have that elite group
8:48of second-year guys, you know, jumping up the ranks in in Fanning and Loveland and Tyler Warren and obviously the recent breakouts of Brock Bowers and
8:56Trey McBride and deservedly so. My thing with tight ends is this like if I don't end up spending up for an elite tight
9:02end, which I don't really hate with Bowers this year and I don't hate with Loveland this year either. If I don't do
9:07that, I'm not one of those people that's like I'll just draft one in in round 10 or 11 and like grab two of them and hope
9:12one of them breaks out. I want a set and forget guy. I don't care if he's boring.
9:15Give me those 10 points per game with, you know, a touchdown outlook every other week or something like that and I
9:20think you get that with LaPorta and Tucker Kraft being attached to Green Bay's offense and Detroit's offense. So, we'll start with LaPorta and obviously a
9:28lot of things to touch on here, but in the three years since he's entered the NFL in terms of fantasy points per game
9:33at the tight end position, he's been tight end three his rookie year, tight end eight and then tight end seven last
9:38year. And I think what gives me the most confidence is the consistency we've continued to see across the Detroit passing offense. I think a lot of people
9:45were off them last year cuz they lose Ben Johnson and we're like, oh, they're going to fall off. And then Jared Goff
9:49just has his normal statistical 4,500 yards, 30 plus passing touchdowns, and nothing fell off. And that gives me a ton of confidence for a dude like Sam
9:57LaPorta knowing that even without Ben Johnson, we could still right the ship.
10:01And now we have Drew Petzing coming in who I'm not like a huge fan of from a, you know, creativity, play caller
10:06standpoint, but he did just come out of Arizona where Trey McBride ate and then ate and then ate and then ate. So, at
10:11least we know he can feature a tight end in his passing offense. I think Sam LaPorta is his second most important
10:16passing piece of this offense outside of Gibbs, but Amon-Ra and then LaPorta.
10:20Like I do think LaPorta is more important to this offense than Jameson Williams is and Jameson Williams tends to eat when LaPorta is not playing. So,
10:27he's coming off the back injury and I think that's another reason you're kind of getting like an injury discount on Sam LaPorta, but all signs point to him
10:33being fully clear for training camp and and and no issues in terms of his injuries heading into 2026. On the other
10:38side, Tucker Kraft, the major concern here of course is his ACL. Suffers a torn ACL midway through 2025. Through those eight games though, when he was
10:47healthy, 14.7 PPR fantasy points per game, tied for second most in the NFL.
10:52Only McBride would have finished higher than him. We've just seen Kraft develop into this He was another guy that I loved last year too and it looked really
11:00good obviously until halfway through the season, but he's someone who's just improved and developed into this like all around playmaker in each of his
11:08three seasons so far. He's gotten better and better and better and he's one of the few tight ends in the NFL that I
11:13think you can actually like build a passing game around because he's so explosive with the ball in his hands. He has been top three in yards after catch
11:20per reception, yards per reception. You could target him downfield. You can give him a ton of line of scrimmage targets as well and let him kind of eat with
11:27that afterwards. And now you have guys like Romeo Doubs and Dontayvion Wicks gone, so the target tree is going to get
11:32more condensed. Now, the ACL is the problem here. The things I think are working for him is that he's 25 years
11:37old. So, he's very young and he can rehab. You could also just kind of search Twitter and look at any of the
11:41reports out of camp are that Kraft is like way ahead of schedule and fully expected to be good to go by week one.
11:48How much weight do you want to put on that? Up to you, but I'm buying the reports. The other thing, too, is the
11:52Green Bay medical staff is like notoriously cautious with allowing players to return from injuries. So, I do think if he gets the clearance to go
11:59for week one, yeah, maybe he's a little bit rusty for the first three, four weeks of the season, but if they let him
12:04go, I'm going to believe with like 95% certainty that he is fully healed. And again, maybe rusty the first month of
12:12the season, but Kraft, unlike LaPorta where like sure he had the good rookie season, but I think that was when he
12:16finished as the tight end one, that was more of like a lack of high upside other options in the NFL. I don't know that I
12:22believe LaPorta has overall one upside in him outside of like maybe a random like 12 or 13 touchdown season. Tucker Kraft's a dude who could finish as the
12:30tight end one overall. And you know what? It might be the tight end five overall at the end of the season, but
12:35like he could be the tight end one in fantasy from weeks six through 18. And that's going to be a league-winning type
12:40of player. He has that type of upside, and I'm super willing to take that shot on Tucker Kraft in the seventh round.
12:45The other player that I will point out here, non-tight end, if you want to go elsewhere, is Jordan Tyson. I want to
12:50take a shot on Jordan Tyson somewhere in my fantasy drafts this year. Love the setup, love the player. I think he could
12:56legitimately battle Chris Olave for the team lead in receiving yards this year.
13:01Maybe over the second half of the year, maybe not the full outlook of it, but I'm a huge fan of Jordan Tyson, and I'm
13:06a huge fan of the situation, the strength of schedule, playing in the dome, the environment, Kellen Moore, tons of plays, it's fast-paced. Like me
13:13some Jordan Tyson. Round six is where I think all hell kind of just breaks loose here, and you have all types of upside
13:21and downside and risk and first-round rookies and high upside Christian Watsons of the world, and you've got multiple Jaguars wide receivers. There's
13:29a lot of guys I like in this round, but I think I'm going to narrow this round down specifically to one player, and
13:34that is Jayden Daniels, the quarterback for Washington, all right? We are 1 year removed from him putting up a a 4,500
13:42yard season, total yards, 900 rushing yards, 31 total touchdowns as a rookie, and a lot of people going out on a limb
13:50last year, you know, touting him as the possible overall quarterback one in fantasy football. I wasn't there, but like if you're getting him now at QB6,
13:59at QB7 in drafts, wherever he's going in the sixth round, that rushing upside is so enticing. Last year, he obviously dealt with like 95 different injuries.
14:08Can he stay healthy for the full season?
14:10Listen, one thing I've learned is I'm not trying to predict injuries in season. I think if a guy is going into a
14:15year and he's not fully cleared, or an injury happens at the end of August or something like that, you know, you're
14:20playing with fire in that case, but I'm not going to try to predict fluky injuries to a guy like Jayden Daniels.
14:25Could happen, whatever. That's just not how I'm drafting. Now, the Washington receiver group is is it's gross. Like the weapons group out there is gross.
14:32They got Terry McLaurin, who he's another one. Like all of last year, he went in with a contract holdout, and then he got hurt pretty early, and that
14:38just hampered his entire season. They do go out and sign Chiggy at tight end, which I like. They draft Antonio Williams to be a slot guy, who I like. I
14:45still think they're very likely, or they're probably the favorite to sign one of, you know, Keenan Allen and/or Stefon Diggs, which I think will then
14:53solidify their group as being like not great, but not the worst. I've also never been a fan of Kliff Kingsbury's offenses, so getting David Blough in
15:01there, I'm I'm actually excited for. I think their scheme will help Jayden Daniels much more than what Kliff Kingsbury's was. So, I don't know. I'm
15:07I'm just looking around that I'm seeing Jayden Daniels who rushed for 900 yards as a rookie. Like you're getting a dude
15:13that could easily rush for 1,000 yards right now in the sixth round, and that feels free. Like you know he's putting
15:19up 30-point games throughout the season.
15:21So, yeah, all this to say, there's nothing new here. I think you just need to drop the recency bias. The rookie
15:27year, amazing for Jayden. Sophomore year, terrible. Lot of injuries. Lot of just [ __ ] going on in Washington. New year, wipe the slate clean. You know how
15:37explosive of a player Jayden Daniels is.
15:39Just let that be your pick. Moving into round five, let's show some love to the uncs here. I'm going Mike Evans at the
15:46509. Mike Evans moves from Tampa Bay first time in his career, he will be playing elsewhere. San Francisco 49ers signed him to be their wide receiver
15:55one. I believe that he will be the dude running routes on every single snap. I think behind him, totally up for grabs.
16:02Do I like Ricky Pearsall? Yeah, I'm I'm willing to take shots on him later in the draft. But, I think Mike Evans is
16:07going to contend for leading the league in touchdowns this year. I think you have George Kittle who's been a good red
16:13zone target obviously for Brock Purdy.
16:14They've had great chemistry. He's returning from an Achilles tear. It's a very serious injury. It happened very late in the season. And he's old. That's
16:20going to be tough to come back from. So, outside of Evans, you have no real like proven downfield threats. You have CMC
16:27who's obviously going to see, you know, a 23, 25% target share. But, then it's just Mike Evans, man. And the thing
16:33about Evans is like, maybe you think he's lost a step. That Sure, he got hurt last year. But, when he's on the field,
16:38I've seen nothing out of him that makes me feel as if he's too old to play at a high level anymore. And I think being
16:44part of the Kyle Shanahan scheme is also one of those things that takes pressure off of top guys. It takes pressure off
16:51of dudes who are aging a little bit where I think like even if Mike Evans has lost a step, Kyle Shanahan is so
16:55creative at getting his best playmakers open and scheming them to the right parts of the field that I don't think it's really going to matter. So, moving
17:02from round five down to round four, just want to remind you before we do so, all of my rankings and write-ups on these
17:08players, like everything I'm saying is already available in our draft guide which is part of our membership on bge.co.
17:15So, in the fantasy membership, you're going to get all these rankings regardless of what kind of league you're in. So superflex, one quarterback, PPR,
17:20at PPR, they'll get outlook write-ups, you get the Vegas prop numbers, you get strength of schedule data, offensive line ranks. You'll also be able to sync
17:27your league this year if you are on Yahoo, ESPN, or Sleeper, which is dope cuz then you can use our rankings and
17:33it'll cross it off in real time as your draft is going on. So you can go sign up for the membership on BDGE.co or the
17:39cheapest way to get it is by going over to our partner MGM. And if you use our code BDGE when you sign up for a new
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17:57cheapest way to get it by far. Head over to MGM. If you're a new user, sign up with code BDGE, play any slip of $10 or
18:03more, and you'll get that. Let's move to round four, and I think round four might be the round to take your shot. Round
18:08four is going to be the one that you want to get a little bit risky on cuz I think a lot of the players in this round
18:13are risky, where when we moved to round three, I think you have more sure things. I think you have like high-floor, boring picks that will
18:18cement a really good roster. But round four has a lot of players, if you're like a Luther Burden guy or a Colson
18:24Loveland guy, you want to shoot on some upside for Chicago. I like that. For me in particular, I have one boring pick
18:30who we've seen do it a million times. I have one risky pick who we've seen do it once and then flat it out. And then I
18:35have one very high-upside but high-risk pick. So we'll start with Lad McConkey.
18:40A lot of what I said for Quinton Johnston, I think is echoed to Lad except he's a lot more expensive because
18:45he's already shown the upside in his rookie season where he blasted off for over 1,000 yards. I love his fit in the
18:50Mike McDaniel offense. I could see him easily using him in the way that he's used Jaylen Waddle or Tyreek Hill over
18:55these recent years. Of course, it's a little bit scary coming off like the absolute disaster of his sophomore season last year, but I'm willing to
19:02chalk up most of the Chargers tendencies in 2025 to the fact that the offensive line getting hurt just kind of ruined
19:08everything in LA. With Lad, it it again, it's I want the highest upside piece of this passing offense that I think could
19:15legitimately contend for one of the best in the NFL. I would say if I have concerns about Ladd, they would be do we
19:21ever get to the point where Ladd can see 140, 150 targets and be a true true alpha number one in an offense? You
19:28know, remains to be seen. Also, touchdown upside is a little bit tough given his size. Like when they're down inside the 10 or 5, they're likely
19:34drawing up plays for the tight ends.
19:35They're likely drawing up plays for Marvin Mims. Justin Herbert, you know, we know can scramble a little bit too.
19:40So, wouldn't be surprised if he puts together like a Trevor Lawrence light type of year last year where when they're inside the 10, he kind of just
19:45dips out and runs for four, five, six rushing touchdowns in that area of the field. So, there are definitely concerns with Marvin Mims, but I do think as just
19:53a separator and as a player attached to an offense in this type of scheme is one that I I want to attach myself to going
20:00into 2026. But don't get Ladd, I love me some Cam Skelton, man. This is without a doubt the scariest pick to make here,
20:07but Cam Skelton, what he showed as a fourth round rookie last year through the first eight weeks of the season before he got hurt was legitimately like
20:13elite stuff. Third, third among running backs in expected fantasy points per game. What that just tells you is his role was as good as pretty much anyone
20:21outside of a Christian McCaffrey or a Bijan Robinson or Jahmyr Gibbs type. It he's not that explosive, obviously, and he's not as good of a an NFL running
20:30back. And the biggest elephant in the room here is the ankle injury that he suffered, but I mean, the videos coming
20:34out are just insane. He's doing backflips everywhere. The guy cannot stop doing backflips. He lands some of them, he doesn't land some of them. But
20:41to me, I think he's fine. Everything out of camp says that he's a full go to be that guy. I think there's a lot of
20:47people that are just pointing to two injuries over and over and over again that are similar injuries, but from what I've heard are actually worst case
20:53scenarios for these injuries as opposed to Cam Skelton's. And that's Tony Pollard and that's Mark Andrews. One, Mark Andrews old by the time it happened
21:01to him. And that's a tight end. I don't I don't care about that one. Tony Pollard I think is more relevant cuz he
21:05was a young explosive running back. Tony Pollard's injury, his fractured ankle that hurt him in the early portion of the following year, happened late late
21:14January. You're talking about January 20 I think it was 22nd, 23rd, 24th, somewhere in that range. Very late into the NFL off-season. Cam Akers was
21:22happened at the end of October, early November. So, you're talking about a pretty massive gap in between the recovery timeline that Cam has relative
21:30to Tony Pollard's. So, Tony Pollard's was one worse and also happened much later in the season. I just cannot emphasize how big of a role Cam Akers
21:38had in this Giants offense last year. It was every single goal line carry, nine of nine goal line carries through the
21:44first eight weeks of the season, 100% of them. He had 23 of 26 red zone carries, and he had 65% of the running back
21:51targets. Despite, remember, last summer he was dealing with I think it was a hamstring injury for most of camp. So, he actually missed a lot of summer camp
21:58and then still dominated the touches.
21:59Now, they do have a new coaching staff, so obviously that could skew things, but Cam Akers was a workhorse, man, and I
22:04think they're going to use him accordingly. This offense could be really exciting if Malik Nabers is actually back and he's playing week one
22:09or two. Jackson Dart excites me. They also used a top 10 pick on an offensive lineman, so that will be a little bit
22:15better. I don't think they're going to be a top tier offensive line by any means, but good to see them invest in
22:19that as opposed to not. So, yeah, I I love taking shots on Cam Akers if he's your if he's your running back two. I
22:24think the workload is going to be super super high, and he gets all the valuable touches as well. Like he gets the goal
22:31line carries cuz he's a [ __ ] battering ram, and he's also unbelievably skilled in the passing game. He is such a smooth athlete and
22:37pass catcher, and and that's where the upside comes in with a dude like Cam Akers. So, I love him. The other dude in
22:44this round that I mentioned that I would touch on quickly is just Davante Adams.
22:47I know people are kind of off on him.
22:48They think he's, you know, past the the twilight years of his career, which very well might be true, but I still think
22:53Davante Adams as the only other pass catching weapon in an offense that just saw Matt Stafford throw for a billion yards and 45 plus touchdowns and win the
23:01MVP and you're attached to Sean McVay, is still a part of an offense that I want. Like, even if Davante Adams is not
23:06as good as he once was, his targets per route run, like, he's still getting targeted at an insane level. And he's
23:12still going to be a top red zone option, and he's still going to lead the NFL in end zone targets, most likely. So, did
23:18he lose a step? Possibly, but I just love the situation here. As we move into round three, I mentioned that this to me
23:25is a high floor round. I'm looking at guys like Javonte Williams, Josh Jacobs, and DeVonta Smith. Those to me, you have
23:31DeVonta Smith coming in and stepping in as the wide receiver one in Philadelphia with A.J. Brown leaving. Anytime A.J.
23:36Brown didn't play, DeVonta Smith just absolutely balled out. He is such a good route runner and separator that I I just
23:42don't see a world where he's not fed 140 targets this year, and kind of just provides you an extremely high floor,
23:49you know, borderline wide receiver one season. I'd be surprised if he doesn't finish somewhere within the wide receiver nine to like 13 range. And as a
23:56third-round pick, like, happy to just kind of throw that into my PPR lineup and enjoy the fruits of that. They're going to be a healthy offensive line
24:03again, and be much better than they were last year. Obviously, Kevin Patullo's out of there, so that is my, you know,
24:07and A.J. Brown being out of there, talent being gone sucks, obviously, but there's a lot less toxicity now in Philly, which could mean a better
24:14overall, you know, environment for the rest of the play makers there. So, DeVonta Smith, I have every confidence level that he can be the wide receiver
24:22one on that team. Javonte Williams, again, showed us last year that he is the RB1 in Dallas, is an extremely high-scoring offense, extremely
24:29productive offense, where they add no competition to that backfield. And I'm not even sure Jourdan Lewis going to carve out a role. Like, it might just be
24:35Javonte Williams once again playing 75 to 80% of the snaps. And because he's on Dallas's offense, like, he's going to get a billion goal-line carries just by
24:43being in the right place at the right time. So, Javonte, smash pick at the end of the third round. Same thing with Josh
24:48Jacobs. Obviously, there's the uncertainty off the field, but when the Green Bay Packers are playing, and Josh Jacobs is playing, he is the workhorse.
24:55Like, he's a boring pick, I think. I think people think of him as a boring pick, but when the season actually
25:00happens, you are super [ __ ] happy to have him on your team cuz the dude just scores a touchdown every single game.
25:06When they are inside the 5-yard line, all they do is give the ball to Josh Jacobs. The biggest concern I would have
25:11with Jacobs, and I don't think it like it didn't really deter him last year. He got hurt and I would even say that he
25:16was great up until when he got hurt and then almost the entire, you know, last quarter or half of the season was
25:22playing with a completely bum lower leg.
25:24But up until that point he was great.
25:26Their offensive line is actually kind of problematic. They do not have a good offensive line. I think we saw that last
25:30year. They got very little push and it felt like Josh Jacobs was getting 18 carries a game that just went for two or
25:34three yards. We're going to see that again. He's going to get a lot of work, but I think he's good enough out of the
25:38backfield as a pass catcher and of course he's just got so much touchdown equity in that offense. The last one I
25:44will throw out is the opposite of a high floor guy, but that's Jeremiah Love.
25:47Number three pick. I'm surprised that he's dropping this far. I think in a lot of drafts he'll go out the end of the
25:51second round. If he drops into the bottom of the third round, this was not a player that I thought I'd be taking
25:56any sort of shares of, but if he does drop into the third round, I'm very, very interested in Jeremiah Love just
26:01because of his pass-catching profile, the fact that Arizona is expected to win about four games per Vegas this year.
26:06They will once again be in a lot of catch-up mode type of situations here. I think Allgeier will definitely have a
26:12role there, maybe even the goal line role unfortunately, but I think Love between his like breakaway plays, between his pass-catching ability, and
26:18between just like the overall workload floor he's going to have from being the number three overall pick in the draft is something that I'm like super on
26:25board with in round three. Moving to round two, uh we just have like a grab bag of just workhorse running backs
26:32here. And my two favorite are Chase Brown and Kenneth Walker. Love Chase Brown, have him for the last couple years. He was one of these guys on this
26:39list last year. Started off slow, but then was as good as any fantasy running back over the second half of the year
26:44when Joe Burrow came back and was healthy. Similar to Jamaal Williams, they add zero competition in that backfield. And I should also, you know,
26:50kind of rewind and say that for Josh Jacobs. Like, they just let Emanuel Wilson walk. They didn't add anything to the backfield. Yes, Marshawn Lloyd is
26:58now healthy, but that's not an addition to the backfield. If anything, he's just the same as Emanuel Wilson, pretty much.
27:03So, anyways, you look at guys who were in situations last year that performed great in very, very plus-plus-plus offenses where no competition was added.
27:12So, expecting different results feels idiotic, all right? So, that's really my pitch for Chase Brown. He is the number three target in this offense. It's
27:20Ja'Marr, and it's Tee Higgins, and then it's Chase Brown. Is there a world where touchdown variance goes toward Chase Brown? This is an offense that's
27:26probably going to average, you know, 27, 28, 29 points per game, be very, very high-scoring. What if Chase Brown ends up scoring 12 rushing touchdowns this
27:33year? I don't think that should surprise anybody. So, he'll get another 65 to 70 targets. He'll catch a bunch of passes.
27:40He'll get the majority of rushing workload. And all they have behind him is like a 31-year-old Samaje Perine. So, yeah, I'm I'm all in on Chase Brown
27:47again. I think this is like a no-brainer pick in the second, and I just love the upside of of Kenneth Walker. Like, you
27:52you clearly need something else there in the Kansas City offense to take a little bit off the the weight of Patrick Mahomes's
27:59shoulders. I think, you know, the the biggest thing for KC over the last few years has been, one, the defense has
28:05gone Defenses in the NFL have gone so heavy into the cover two shell, so you can't take shots down field. And of
28:10course, they get rid of Tyreek Hill a bunch of years ago, and that completely like cratered the offensive success that this team has had via the passing game.
28:17And I think they've really, really struggled because they haven't had a running game. And when you add a dude like Kenneth Walker for the contract
28:23that they gave him, they're doing that with workhorse workload in mind. We've seen times where Kenneth Walker has looked like one of the best running
28:31backs in the NFL, and you know, we saw it at the end of last year into the Super Bowl, and that's why he grabs his
28:35contract. And again, I'm not going to go into the year scared drafting Kenneth Walker because he's been hurt before. If he has an ankle sprain at the end of
28:43August, yeah, he'll probably be off my board. But for right now, the situation is fantastic. The offense is fantastic.
28:49He's got Patrick Mahomes who is coming back from the ACL tear, so they'll no doubt need to be leaning on the running
28:54back more. You got Andy Reid there like Kenneth Walker I think is a smash pick in the second. And then we move to round
28:59one and I don't know. There's nothing I can really say that you guys don't know about the round one players. Jamyr Gibbs
29:03is my clear 101 there, so if that's a question for you guys, love Gibbs. I was off CMC last year stupidly for just
29:11being like, "Ah, he's probably going to get hurt." kind of thing. Not making that mistake again. Same situation should get a bajillion targets again.
29:16Happily drafting CMC in the first round.
29:19Love Amon-Ra St. Brown again if you're in like the mid to later part of the first round. And I really like James
29:24Cook. He's my RB4. So, [ __ ] is just sweet all over the the first round of uh of fantasy drafts. It just feels like
29:30kind of like a waste of time being like, "Yo, I really like Jamyr Gibbs, bro."
29:33It's like [ __ ] who amongst us? So, I will wrap up there. I hope you guys enjoy this video.
29:39I hope you found it valuable and/or useful. As always, tell me how wrong I am and what I am wrong about in the
29:45comment section. You guys are elite at that. You did so in the last video at a very high volume, very impressive
29:51volume. Speaking of, if you missed that video, 10 players to let your idiot league mates draft in 2026, make sure you go watch it. It'll be linked down
29:59below. And of course, as I mentioned, all of the new tools for the draft guide in the fantasy membership are available
30:04to you right now on bdoge.co.
30:07Cheapest way to get it is by going through MGM. New users, deposit with code BDOGE, play any slip 10 bucks or
30:15more and they'll hit you with that promo code for three free months to the BG membership. All right, I'm out of here.
30:19I love y'all. Smooches.
30:30>> [music]