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Matthew Stafford's QB4 finish was fluky; regression expected

Matthew StaffordQBLAR

Matthew Stafford finished QB4 last year as QB23 in ADP and is now QB14 at ADP 102; however, the source views his QB4 finish as fluky and likely to regress. Last year's 7.7% TD per attempt was a career high by a mile, though he has a 5.5% career rate. In the two years prior, he was QB26 and QB17 in points per game, throwing 20+ more TDs last year than those seasons. Without rushing production, he is dependent on Devontae Adams for goal-line scoring, but Adams' own numbers may not be sustainable. Late-round value is available if he stays healthy, but regression is expected.

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Source transcript excerpt
Matthew Stafford, QB 23 last year. Finishes as QB 4.
Common questions

Matthew Stafford fantasy football FAQ

What did Fantasy Football Weekly say about Matthew Stafford?
Matthew Stafford finished QB4 last year as QB23 in ADP and is now QB14 at ADP 102; however, the source views his QB4 finish as fluky and likely to regress. Last year's 7.7% TD per attempt was a career high by a mile, though he has a 5.5% career rate. In the two years prior, he was QB26 and QB17 in points per game, throwing 20+ more TDs last year than those seasons. Without rushing production, he is dependent on Devontae Adams for goal-line scoring, but Adams' own numbers may not be sustainable. Late-round value is available if he stays healthy, but regression is expected.
Is this good or bad for Matthew Stafford's fantasy football value?
STACKED tags this as a negative fantasy football signal for Matthew Stafford (QB LAR). Matthew Stafford's QB4 finish was fluky; regression expected
Where can I see Matthew Stafford's full 2026 fantasy outlook, projections, and ADP?
Matthew Stafford's complete 2026 fantasy football outlook — projections, ADP movement across every platform, injury context, and all source-backed STACKED insights — is on their STACKED player profile.
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