Rich Hribar's Fantasy Football Flag Plants to Win Your League in 2026

Amon-Ra St. Brown's target share has been undeniable for four years with 90 catches every year, and he can typically be drafted at pick 7-8, making him more comfortable value than JSN who rarely falls past pick 6.

Amon-Ra St. Brown is positioned as a strong flag plant at wide receiver, expected to have a breakout year two in the Tampa Bay offense with projected 140-150 targets and Cooper Cup-type usage.

Amon-Ra St. Brown represents strong fourth-round value in 2026 drafts, with analysts expressing high confidence in his breakout potential.

Amon-Ra St. Brown is projected to average 17-18 points per game in 2026 as a fourth-round value pick, with potential for a breakout season.

Amon-Ra St. Brown will be featured in the Z-role in the Tampa Bay offense, moved around the field to find advantageous matchups similar to Cooper Cup usage.

Baker Mayfield is expected to throw 35-40 touchdown passes in 2026, with a focus on feeding Amon-Ra St. Brown and other key targets.

Carnell Tate is a wide receiver that Scott Pianowski is really into in terms of wide receiver rankings on Underdog, going two picks after Christian Watson.

Rich Hribar prefers Chase Brown over Devon Achane in ADP comparison, noting that Brown is a player who could score 15 touchdowns this year.

Chris Godwin is projected to return around 11 points per game in 2026, likely returning value at cost but not threatening 2024 levels due to the new Zack Robinson offense replacing Liam Cohen.

Godwin may be preserved to play more 11 personnel and restricted slot-only snaps rather than the full route tree he had in 2024, potentially limiting his target volume compared to previous seasons.

Christian McCaffrey is identified as one of only two running backs (along with Devon Achane) who can lead their team in targets without injury.

Theo Ginger identifies Christian McCaffrey as one of only two running backs capable of leading their team in targets without injury, alongside Devon Achane.

Rich Hribar flags Christian Watson as a major upside play in 2026, citing injury discount pricing despite elite efficiency metrics (WR15 in yards per route run, WR17 in fantasy points per route run, WR13 in fantasy points per target) and improved target opportunity with Romeo Doubs and Dantavian Wicks removed from the Packers offense.

Christian Watson gets a big contract and his ADP has ticked up, flipping players like Jameson Williams and going alongside DJ Moore, but the price is still right for him to deliver in a major way this year.

Watson is positioned to see increased target volume as the Packers removed Romeo Doubs (only Packer over 50% snap share last year) and Dantavian Wicks, and will be the primary WR in one-to-two wide receiver sets where Jaden Reed has minimal experience.

Watson saw increased route diversity at season's end with career-high out routes and second-highest career hitches, moving away from volatile deep routes toward more consistent fantasy-friendly targets.

Watson ranks 10th in yards per route run and had four games with 18+ fantasy points last year in limited sample size, with potential to finally break out if he maintains health and hyperefficiency while running more routes.

Watson had four games with 18+ points in limited regular season sample last year and could see increased passing volume if Josh Jacobs misses time or as the Packers lean more pass-heavy given recent playoff disappointments.

Watson is extremely bullish at his current cost given the contract the Packers just gave him and the team's need to be more pass-happy.

Watson's ceiling outcome is fringe high-end WR2 to low-end WR1 with some week-to-week volatility, comparable to 2024 Terry McLaurin's ~120 targets, double-digit touchdowns, and high efficiency per target.

This is the season for Watson to break out; his ADP could trend up throughout the summer as more people recognize his potential.

Christian Watson is highlighted as one of Rich Hribar's key bullish plays for 2026, discussed alongside Terry McLaren as a player both hosts talk about weekly.

Christian Watson is mentioned as going two picks ahead of Carnell Tate in draft rankings, with DJ Moore going right alongside him.

Colston Loveland was ahead of DJ Moore in targets per route run last year for the Bears.

Colston Loveland ranked ahead of the unnamed wide receiver in targets per route run during the 2025 season.

DJ Moore is mentioned as a comparable ADP range to Christian Watson, with Watson's price still considered favorable.

DJ Moore is a bullish play for Rich Hribar with Josh Allen as his clear-cut wide receiver one, though this projection is more faith-based than his other recommendations.

DJ Moore showed improvement late in the 2024 season with five touchdowns in the final six games, suggesting potential for a bounce-back year.

DJ Moore played with an injured testicle for half of last year, which may have impacted his performance during his down 2024 season.

DJ Moore is being drafted at wide receiver 27-30 range but Rich Hribar projects him around wide receiver 20-22 range, representing a discount. He's moving to Josh Allen's offense with potential for increased volume if the Bills throw more this year.

DJ Moore had manufactured running back rush attempts under Joe Brady early in his career, a wrinkle that may return with Brady now calling plays for the Bills.

Scott Pianowski is not into DJ Moore, noting he's been overrated every year of his career except one, is now 29 years old, and was awful last year, finishing behind every other wide receiver on the Bears in targets per route run.

DJ Moore is positioned as significantly better than Gabe Davis, even at 45 years old, suggesting strong talent evaluation.

Montgomery has parallels to Joe Mixon in 2024 as a focal point of the Texans offense, with strong scheme fit under Nick Caserio's man-gap run concept.

Montgomery averaged 4.5 yards per carry (21st of 49 backs with 100+ attempts) with a 40% success rate (24th, higher than Jalen Gibbs) and ranked 17th in yards after contact, showing strong efficiency when on the field.

Montgomery was specifically sought out by the Texans for their man-gap run scheme; he ranked 10th in success rate on man-gap runs at 50% and led all running backs in EPA per rush on those plays.

Rich Hribar believes Devon Achane is overrated at his current ADP (round 1-2) and projects him as a high-to-mid RB2, not an RB7-9. He cites Achane's significant performance drop without Tua Tagovailoa (10.5 PPR points vs. higher with Tua) and concerns about Malik Willis's historically low running back target rate (10.2% career vs. Tua's 24-25%).

Scott projects Devon Achane as RB5 and highlights his 5.6 yards per carry career efficiency, 85+ targets in back-to-back seasons, and potential upside from improved ground efficiency under the Konamani code, though acknowledging some risk from Malik Willis.

Rich Hribar expresses concern about Devon Achane's touchdown upside, projecting he won't score 15 touchdowns this year, and prefers Omarian Hampton and Chase Brown over him in head-to-head ADP comparisons.

Rich Hribar flags De'Von Achane as a fade, indicating concern about his fantasy outlook for 2026.

Devin Duvernay was ahead of DJ Moore in targets per route run last year for the Bears.

DK Metcalf was one of the veterans roadblocking JSN's opportunities in his first two years, though he is now viewed as not being a strong player.

Drake London is mentioned as a comparable player that JSN is still difficult to move below in draft rankings despite the concerns about his 2024 season.

Scott Pianowski notes that Josh Allen made Gabe Davis look like a thing, but Davis is much worse than even a 45-year-old DJ Moore, suggesting Allen's ability to elevate receivers shouldn't be overstated.

Gabe Davis is described as significantly worse than even a 45-year-old DJ Moore, despite Josh Allen's ability to elevate receivers.

If he has a season where he produces 90 catches and 200 yards with 7 touchdowns, it would be considered somewhat disappointing given expectations.

Christian Watson has flipped Jameson Williams in ADP rankings, with Watson's price still considered right despite the ADP tick up.

JSN's 2024 season was unreplicable—he was the first player ever to lead the NFL in receiving yards while on a team in the bottom three in pass rate, with 36% of team targets and 50% of air yards, making his top-five ADP risky given coaching changes and role uncertainty.

With Clint Kubiak gone, Rasheed Shahid arriving mid-season and now being the star of training camp, and Sam Darnold as a first-time play caller, JSN's target share is unlikely to remain as high as his 2024 season.

Rich prefers Amon Ross Nate Brown as a safer pick than JSN, suggesting he hasn't been drafting JSN due to the unreplicable nature of his 2024 season.

JSN's yards per team pass attempt in 2024 was the highest since 1956 by yardage market share, making his 2025 production expectations uncertain given coaching and role changes.

JSN was pigeonholed into slot-only usage his first two years and roadblocked by DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett, but showed productivity when given opportunities to play without them.

Scott still believes in JSN as a player and is taking him ahead of some peers, viewing him as elite talent in the mold of Keenan Allen despite the unreplicable 2024 season.

JSN is being ranked inside the top 10 by the analyst despite concerns about the Seattle offense coaching change.

The Seattle offense moving away from Clint Kubiak is a scary thing for JSN's outlook.

Daniels has operated in shotgun on 93% of his dropbacks through two NFL seasons and is 24th in pre-snap motion rate and 18th in play-action rate, but will see significant increases in both under new coordinator David Blau.

Jaden Reed has run only eight total pass routes in one-to-two wide receiver sets in his NFL career, significantly limiting his role in the Packers' primary offensive sets compared to rookie Matthew Golden who ran 72 routes.

Jaylen Waddle is mentioned as a relatively liked wide receiver in the WR20-35 range, though not discussed in detail.

Rich Hribar prefers Omarian Hampton over Jeremiah Love in ADP comparison, citing similar concerns about Love as a player who hasn't played in the NFL yet.

Rich Hribar is absolutely terrified of not having Josh Allen this year as the first quarterback taken, despite the Bills facing many good teams in their schedule.

Josh Allen has demonstrated the ability to elevate wide receiver talent, as evidenced by his impact on Gabe Davis's performance.

Josh Jacobs' suspension status is uncertain heading into 2026, which could impact the Packers' offensive approach and passing volume.

Malik Willis is expected to take some of Devon Achane's touchdown opportunities on the ground for Miami this season.

Malik Willis is going around QB20 range as a cheap rushing-only quarterback option; if he flirts with 100 rush attempts, 41 of 47 quarterbacks since 1990 with 100+ rush attempts have finished as top-12 QBs per game, providing a floor insulator.

The analyst doesn't believe the infrastructure Malik Willis had in Green Bay's small sample will be in place in the Miami Dolphins offense.

Mike Evans is highlighted as a wide receiver in the WR20-35 range who can flirt with double-digit touchdowns in 2026.

Mike Evans is no longer on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers roster, opening up target opportunities for other receivers.

Rich Hribar prefers Omarian Hampton over Devon Achane in ADP comparison, suggesting Hampton has better touchdown upside potential.

Rome Odunze was ahead of DJ Moore in targets per route run last year for the Bears.

Romeo Doubs was removed from the Packers offense after being the only Packer to play over 50% of snaps last year, opening up target share for Christian Watson.

Sam Darnold as a first-time play caller with the Seahawks introduces uncertainty about whether he will regress from his 2024 performance.

Rich Hribar questions whether Sam Darnold will regress in 2026 after benefiting from one of the easiest passing schedules in the NFL last year.

Rich Hribar prefers Saquon Barkley over Omarian Hampton in ADP comparison, indicating he views Barkley as the better value.

Rich Hribar notes that Saquon Barkley had a disappointing 2025 season relative to his top-five ADP, as his 2024 production was too gaudy to replicate and regression was inevitable.

Saquon Barkley is being drafted as a top-five pick this year despite having a disappointing season relative to his ADP, similar to how JSN's 2024 season was unreplicable.

Stefan Diggs was the wide receiver 18 in expected points per game over the stretch when Joe Brady took over play calling for the Bills.

Ted Hurst is not considered a threat to Amon-Ra St. Brown's target share in the Tampa Bay offense.

McLaurin was highly efficient when healthy last year despite playing only 10 games and 41% of snaps, posting 2+ yards per route run (14th among 100+ route runners), 31% target share, 46% air yards share, and 55% of targets going for first down or touchdown (3rd in NFL).

McLaurin benefits from Commanders' shift to more under-center snaps, motion, and play-action under new coordinator David Blau—tactics that have been cheat codes for targets and fantasy efficiency.

New Commanders offensive coordinator David Blau has made early quotes about getting McLaurin 10+ targets per game, signaling a major role increase under the new offensive scheme.

TZ Johnson is not considered a threat to Amon-Ra St. Brown's target share in the Tampa Bay offense.

Tyler Lockett was one of the veterans roadblocking JSN's opportunities in his first two years and has since washed out of the league.

Marks is being talked up as a three-down back but is not viewed as a huge threat to Montgomery's role; he can catch passes but won't be split out wide in the Texans' scheme.