Scott Barrett's Late ADP Risers + Breaking Fantasy Football News You Can’t Miss!

The source considers Blake Corum the best handcuff running back on paper but is not drafting him; he is also used as a negative benchmark for Tyjae Spears, described as a more expensive, less efficient version of Corum who is disliked by his head coach.

The source characterizes Christian McCaffrey as a target hog, but notes that he is currently old and injury-prone, which creates an opportunity for secondary receivers in the 49ers offense.

The source is highly critical of Chuba Hubbard, citing that his yards-per-target average two years ago was the worst of any player at any position since 1992. Additionally, Hubbard recorded zero explosive runs last year despite having over 100 carries. The source notes that Rico Dowdle was clearly the better running back last season, providing context for why the team felt comfortable moving on from their previous backfield options.

The source cites David Montgomery as an example of overblown beat writer hype, noting that projections of 22 touches per game are unrealistic and mathematically impossible when considering the full backfield workload.

Deebo Samuel is an ADP riser and a known target hog in the 49ers system. However, the source notes he is currently old and injury-prone, which may open up target share for other receivers in the offense.

The source compares Tyjae Spears to Deon Jackson, implying a similar lack of fantasy value, specifically noting that Spears is being drafted significantly earlier than Jackson would be.

The source notes that George Kittle is a target hog when healthy, but highlights his injury history and the fact that he is not typically a high-volume receiver, relying instead on extreme efficiency.

The source uses a hypothetical scenario involving Jared Goff throwing jump balls to Isaac Tesla to illustrate how beat writers misinterpret red zone targets; Tesla is struggling to secure contested catches, and the team is merely testing a package that may be discarded.

The source views JK Dobbins as a risky redraft asset due to his injury history and lack of pass-catching upside in a projected three-way committee backfield under Sean Payton. While he is a high-efficiency runner—ranking second all-time in yards per carry among running backs in the modern era—he is primarily recommended only for best-ball formats or zero-RB builds needing guaranteed points.

Jamar Chase is highlighted as a high-volume trade asset, with the source noting 100 trades involving him over the past four months in their trade-based value tool.

Jahmyr Gibbs is identified as the most valuable player in redraft leagues currently, according to the source's trade-based value tool.

Jeremiah Love is cited as the benchmark for the quality of the running back class, with the source noting that the talent level drops off significantly after him.

The source expects a committee backfield in Cleveland involving Jonah Coleman, RJ Harvey, and JK, noting that Coleman may be available on waivers by October due to the lack of a clear bellcow role.

Jonathan Brooks is a major fantasy riser and a 'buy' as a significant efficiency upgrade over Chuba Hubbard. The source expects Brooks to become the lead back in Carolina, noting that Dave Canales values his 'do-it-all' skill set. Brooks is expected to take over the starting job due to his ability to generate explosive runs—a key metric for modern NFL offenses—and his profile as a dynamic three-down pass-catching back. The team was comfortable letting Rico Dowdle walk in free agency because they had Brooks ready to step in.

The source uses Josh Hoit, currently the number six ranked UFC heavyweight, as a comparative reference for Mike Washington's profile.

Malik Nabers is tracked as a significant trade asset, with the source noting 100 trades involving him over the past four months in their trade-based value tool.

The source identifies Mike Evans as a target hog when healthy, but notes that he is currently old and injury-prone, which impacts his reliability as a primary target in the 49ers offense. He is also used as a reference point for draft capital, highlighting the absurdity of the current ADP for Tyjae Spears.

Despite being a top ADP riser, Mike Washington has one of the worst analytics profiles for a round-four running back, ranking in the bottom percentile for yards after contact per attempt and missed tackles forced per touch. He is the only drafted player since 2007 to average below five yards per carry on over 150 carries with a strength of schedule below the 25th percentile, doing so twice. He is viewed as a backup who is not a guaranteed bellcow if the starter misses time.

Parker Washington is considered the best value in all of fantasy football. In his last four games, including the playoffs, he functioned as an 'uber alpha' with 45% of the team's yards and a 3.78 yards per route run. When sharing the field with Jakobi Meyers and Brian Thomas Jr., he maintained a 33% target share or better. His ADP remains low even in sharp leagues, making him a must-draft player.

The source identifies Rhamondre Stevenson as the clear lead back, noting his 62% snap share in games played and his status as a dynamic 240lb runner who excels in receiving and pass protection. He is viewed as a superior scheme fit compared to his backup, and the source criticizes the market for drafting his teammate, Tyjae Spears, ahead of him.

The source is high on Ricky Pearsall, citing his body control, size, and athleticism. Despite concerns about his limited route tree at Ole Miss, he has demonstrated the ability to play all three receiver positions and run a full route tree in the preseason. Kyle Shanahan's offense is described as a 'kingmaker' for wide receivers, and Pearsall is already being schemed touches and beating starting-level defensive backs.

Rico Dowdle was clearly the superior running back compared to Chuba Hubbard last year. The team was comfortable letting him walk in free agency only because they had Jonathan Brooks ready to step in, though the team viewed Brooks as the superior long-term option.

RJ Harvey is expected to operate within a committee backfield in Cleveland alongside Jonah Coleman and JK, with the source expressing skepticism regarding the overall fantasy upside of this group.

Stefon Diggs is highlighted as an ADP riser in the source's redraft value data.

Tyjae Spears is described as the 'world's most expensive handcuff,' being drafted ahead of the starter (Rhamondre Stevenson) despite being less efficient and seemingly out of favor with the coaching staff. The source highlights his poor snap share (36%) and low fantasy points per game (8.3) when Stevenson was active. He is compared negatively to Blake Corum and Deon Jackson, with the source noting he is significantly more expensive than those options.

The source identifies Tyler Allgeier as a very good late-round draft pick for fantasy managers.

The source uses Zay Flowers' 2023 usage under Todd Monkin—specifically the high volume of screens, manufactured touches, and heavy personnel usage—as the blueprint for Casey Conpsion's role in the Browns' offense.