0:00Tonight was incredible. After tonight's
0:03game, we move to third in our league
0:05standings, tied with the second place
0:07team, Jinxie. Looks like it may be the
0:09third straight year we earn ourselves a
0:12buy into the playoffs and then
0:14immediately lose in week 16. Loved it.
0:17Tonight was perfect for us, but let's
0:20talk about everything that happened
0:22because it was a pretty good football
0:23game in general, especially if you're a
0:26Bears fan, of course. Now, starting off
0:28with the Chicago Bears, we know what the
0:31Bears want to do is they want to run the
0:33ball over and over and over again.
0:35Obviously, a lot of this was due to the
0:38fact that they were winning at the end
0:40of the game. They were able to run the
0:41ball a ton in the fourth quarter, but
0:43you had 34 total pass attempts for Caleb
0:45to 35 rushing attempts for this Bears
0:48offense. And with De'Andre Swift
0:51specifically, he gets the vast vast
0:54majority of it. There were moments where
0:55Roschon Johnson was on the field.
0:58Roschon did get some red zone work, but
1:00the red zone work that Roschon got would
1:03be like, "Oh, De'Andre Swift just played
1:0512 straight snaps. He just had a big
1:07play. He kind of needs to just take a
1:09breather on the sideline." Then Roschon
1:12goes in, he takes a couple snaps, they
1:14get down to the 5-yard line, De'Andre
1:16Swift gets right back in there, right?
1:18So, what we saw in this game is very
1:20clearly what we've seen for the past
1:22month. With no Kyle Manangaya, De'Andre
1:25Swift is a top 10 must-start running
1:27back, an absolute gem. He'll get all the
1:30high-volume work and, I'm sorry,
1:32high-value work and he'll get the usage
1:34out of the backfield. He had the three
1:36targets in this game, as well. So,
1:38no Kyle Manangaya, De'Andre Swift said
1:41and forget a top 10 running back, no
1:42questions asked. Again, once Kyle
1:45Manangaya does come back, I do think
1:47that you're in maybe a little bit of an
1:49awkward spot in which the Swift volume's
1:52going to go down a bit. It's going to be
1:53very similar to the Jaylen Warren-Rico
1:55Dowdle situation, right? Where Jaylen
1:58Warren was like a borderline top five
2:00running back when Rico Dowdle wasn't in
2:02there and you knew you were going to
2:03have to lower your expectations when
2:05Dowdle got back, but he's still going to
2:07remain a must start running back
2:08regardless. Kind of the same setup that
2:10you have with De'Andre Swift. It seems
2:12too good, the offense is too good and
2:14obviously they can run the ball like
2:15crazy. Going to Caleb, there isn't much
2:19to discuss. I know this wasn't the best
2:20Caleb Williams game ever, but I believe
2:22they said on the broadcast this was the
2:24first game where we had a quarterback
2:28throw for over 200 yards against the
2:30Seattle Seahawks. Hell, it's a really
2:31tough match up. Caleb Williams obviously
2:33did his job, looked great. It was just a
2:35game environment which he didn't have to
2:37get into a shootout cuz the Seahawks
2:38weren't able to push the Chicago Bears.
2:40Now, moving to the receivers that we
2:44have here in Chicago, you have Luther
2:46Burden starting off incredibly hot. Like
2:48that first drive, it was just straight
2:51up all Luther Burden. I mean, I was
2:53actually hoping that the top team in the
2:56Flock league was going to lose and
2:57Luther Burden had to score like fewer
2:59than four points for that to happen.
3:01Immediately those dreams died. Uh Luther
3:04Burden getting a considerable amount of
3:05target volume. He had nine targets in
3:07this game. This is close to his season
3:10high for him. Let me pull up what his
3:11actual season high is. He obviously
3:13looked great in last primetime game on
3:17Thursday. I believe that was against the
3:20New England Patriots. And yeah, that one
3:22he only had four targets, but this is
3:24his second highest game with his target
3:28volume so far this season. Having nine,
3:30the only other week where he had more um
3:33than this was week three against
3:35Philadelphia. So, this is three really
3:37solid games for Luther Burden. If I'm
3:40looking at where I think I'm initially
3:41going to be putting him in our ranks, I
3:43think he's right there in the range of
3:45these guys like same tier as Tutu
3:47Atwell, Zay Flowers, Garrett Wilson,
3:49Parker Washington, Jameson, George
3:51Pickens, Rashee Rice, where all these
3:53players are going to be must start wide
3:54receivers every single week. They all
3:56have crazy high ceilings, but they all
3:59realis- realistically have lower floors
4:02as well.
4:04Now, going to Rondale Rome actually had
4:07a very good game for his standards. I
4:11mean, some plays he was just wide as
4:13open down the field, but I would still
4:16say Rome's like a desperation flex play,
4:18not somebody you can consistently rely
4:20upon. Loveland looked great minus the
4:23fumble. They are force-feeding targets
4:25in his direction. We updated this with
4:27the rankings last week moving Colby
4:29Loveland back to being a top five tight
4:31end especially with Cole Kmet out for
4:33the rest of the year, but I think the
4:35usage here does prove that that should
4:37most likely be the case.
4:40Now, let's move over to the Seattle
4:43Seahawks situation. So, not much to
4:47discuss. Like we we kind of know what
4:49the deal is with the quarterback
4:51situation, the receivers here, right?
4:53Sam Darnold is not startable. He's not
4:56interesting. The only thing that's
4:58relevant is um will Sam Darnold be good
5:02enough to allow this offense to get to
5:05the red zone, to score touchdowns with
5:08the running backs that they have, right?
5:11And if we look at the setup for these
5:14RBs, this was the number one thing to
5:16look at coming into this game. My take
5:19on the backfield was Zach Charbonnet is
5:22the running back that I would prefer. I
5:24had Charbonnet ranked one slot ahead of
5:27J'Adarian Price for this contest.
5:30And
5:32I thought neither running back you could
5:34start cuz we really had no idea what to
5:36expect the usage to be. Let me see if I
5:39can find the snap data here because just
5:42from watching the game, it felt like
5:45J'Adarian Price was on the field way
5:48more than what we had with
5:51Zach Charbonnet. Yeah, I just found
5:53this.
5:54Seahawks week eight running back usage.
5:57J'Adarian Price 48% of the snaps.
6:01Zach Charbonnet 36% of the snaps.
6:04J'Adarian Price had 10 carries to Zach
6:07Charbonnet with six carries. J'Darian
6:09Price had 13 routes in comparison to
6:12Zach Charbonnet with seven routes, and
6:14they both had four targets. J'Darian
6:16Price ending up with more yards.
6:19Now, in terms of the goal line
6:21opportunities, I think that's going to
6:23be a big big thing to be on the lookout
6:25for because a lot of people were
6:26expecting coming into this that we were
6:28just going to see
6:31um the
6:33Zach Charbonnet role stay the exact same
6:35for Charbonnet where he was going to be
6:36used as a receiving back. He was going
6:37to get the goal line opportunities.
6:39J'Darian Price going to be the first and
6:40second down running back in between the
6:4220-yard lines. Very similar to Kenneth
6:44Walker. But, J'Darian Price when they
6:47were inside the 10-yard line was
6:49actually the running back on the field.
6:52So, in terms of the usage in this game,
6:55obviously neither running back scored
6:57points.
6:58But, it's going to be very interesting
7:00in seeing how they project out for this
7:02next week cuz this next week is a
7:04completely different match-up. Like,
7:07right now if we go over and project this
7:08out for the Seahawks, right now on the
7:10PolyMarket app you have a 84% chance
7:14that the Seattle Seahawks beat the
7:15Arizona Cardinals next week. This game,
7:17I believe,
7:19has the highest spread of any game in
7:21the NFL with the Seahawks favored by 10
7:23and 1/2.
7:25Now, obviously if you check out any of
7:27these markets, links in the description
7:28comment section, code flock gets you 25
7:30bucks out of your account after you
7:31deposit your first time.
7:33But, with how good this match-up is,
7:36I think it's going to be very important
7:39to try to
7:40project out how many touches is Price
7:43getting? How many touches will
7:44Charbonnet be seeing this next week? I
7:47bet one of these running backs is
7:49usable. Now, I will be honest.
7:52I have J'Darian Price on my own fantasy
7:55team. I essentially traded Kellen
7:57Blanton for him
7:58before this game. I want to say like a
8:00week ago before people knew for sure he
8:02was coming back.
8:03I am leaving very encouraged on what I
8:06saw,
8:07but also Zach Charbonnet just came back
8:09from a torn ACL faster than any running
8:12back since 2012.
8:14At least that's what I saw on Twitter,
8:16and the graphic looked pretty
8:17professional, so I'm going to believe
8:18it.
8:20So, in that case, it is not unreasonable
8:23to assume that Zach Charbonnet was maybe
8:26artificially limited in this game with
8:29it being his first game back from a
8:31devastating injury and them kind of
8:33rushing his return.
8:35So, there are reasons to believe that
8:37Charbonnet gets better over time, but
8:39you can also kind of say this in the
8:41opposite direction, where you can say
8:44that J'Darian Price
8:48um
8:49>> [snorts]
8:51>> he's a rookie running back that this was
8:53his fourth NFL game ever.
8:56I know people clown on J'Darian Price
8:59saying he looked bad. I mean, I am just
9:01following the Jonathan Taylor stuff
9:02nonstop on Twitter. So, at this point,
9:05like the Seahawks fan base, the Denver
9:06Broncos fan base, the Minnesota Vikings
9:09fan base, I I'm getting all of their
9:11tweets. I am soaking it all in. And I
9:13see a lot of Seattle Seahawks fans
9:16clowning on J'Darian Price for looking
9:18bad, but again, he played two games,
9:21then got injured
9:23halfway through his third game. Yes, he
9:25had fumbling problems. This was his
9:27fourth NFL game ever.
9:29So, while there are reasons to believe
9:31that Charbonnet is going to get better
9:32over time, again, returning from this
9:34injury, I think there are reasons to
9:36believe that J'Darian Price, the
9:38first-round drafted running back where
9:39this was his first NFL I mean, fourth
9:41NFL game ever, will also continue to get
9:44better.
9:45Now, I am still going to be ranking them
9:47neck and neck cuz it's very difficult to
9:49figure out what the
9:51future usage going to be based on this
9:53one specific game,
9:55but I think I will be moving J'Darian
9:57Price above Zach Charbonnet in my
10:00rankings. Again, seeing that
10:03he was out there at the two-minute
10:04drill, he was out there at the goal
10:06line, he had more snaps, he had more
10:08touches, he had more targets. He pretty
10:10much had it all.
10:12I think at this point I would prefer
10:13Price.
10:15And then with the receiver, there's
10:16nothing to discuss.
10:18JSN's the wide receiver one in fantasy.
10:20Um for weeks now, we have had him as our
10:22second overall ranked player only behind
10:25Jahmyr Gibbs. That doesn't change after
10:27this game. He's incredible. You know
10:29that. Your mom knows that. Sam Darnold
10:31knows that. Everybody does.
10:34But again, the big takeaways that we
10:36have from this, at least in my opinion,
10:39we already knew D'Onta Foreman and
10:40Raheem Mostert were top 10 running backs
10:41with no Kyle Juszczyk. The concern is
10:43when Juszczyk comes back, we probably
10:45see those carries go down. So, uh very
10:48similar to that Jaylen Warren-Rico
10:49Dowdle situation we talked about
10:51previously. Luther Burden looks like
10:53again, he's going to be a must-start
10:54wide receiver every single week. I am
10:56still viewing him more so as the Taysom
10:59Hill-Gerald Everett range, the range of
11:01guys like um Garrett Wilson, Parker
11:04Washington, Jameson Williams, where
11:06they're going to have those big booms,
11:07but they're also going to have some
11:09duds. But, he is definitely raising his
11:11floor with this type of target volume.
11:13Roman Wilson is still just a borderline
11:15flex. Dalton Kincaid has cemented
11:17himself, as we talked about last week,
11:19as that top five tight end. Um both
11:22Kendre Miller and Zach Charbonnet, the
11:24usage is a little murky. It's tough to
11:25come away with some big conclusion after
11:27one game. But, I think I am a little
11:29more optimistic about Kendre Miller and
11:31Zach Charbonnet after this game than I
11:32was before. And with JSN, he's the best
11:35wide receiver in fantasy, which you
11:36already knew.
11:38But,
11:40I think that's all we have.
11:44But, I really appreciate y'all hanging
11:46out with us. I will, of course, be live
11:49answering your fantasy questions
11:51tomorrow. We're going to have our waiver
11:52wire video that drops tomorrow morning.
11:54So, please, if you have not done so
11:55already, um subscribe to the channel.
11:57Again, I am live streaming every single
11:59day until Christmas.
12:01Um yeah, I've been live every single day
12:03since April. That's about 200 days
12:05straight, if not longer. But, yeah. Um
12:08I'll be back out tomorrow in the live
12:10stream to answer all your fantasy
12:11questions. I really appreciate you. I
12:13hope you won this week. And
