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Underdog Fantasy Football Show fantasy football takes on Brian Thomas Jr.
Every source-backed podcast insight STACKED has extracted from Underdog Fantasy Football Show about Brian Thomas Jr..
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Insights
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Insight ledger
All Underdog Fantasy Football Show insights about Brian Thomas Jr.
NegativeProjectionJul 27, 2026
Brian Thomas Jr. is the eighth-round pick (WR36) on Yahoo. Matt Harmon notes that most of BTJ's 2025 season should be thrown out due to injuries, continuing a theme for the 2024 receiver class. However, Harmon is 'totally comfortable drafting him in fantasy this year' because he believes BTJ could be a big hit from the Jaguars room if things align. Harmon acknowledges BTJ's weaknesses: 77% success rate vs. zone coverage (38th percentile) in his rookie season, which fell to 69.8% last year; he struggled with quick routes over the middle and beating zone coverage. But Harmon sees upside if BTJ can be the team's X receiver in a Mike Evans-style role, noting that 'if somebody is going to be a big hit from this room, it's going to be BTJ, but I don't know how many universes that he is that big hit.' The co-host counters that BTJ's role will likely shrink due to the emergence of Parker Washington and Jacoby Myers, and that BTJ ranked third in targets from week 10 on (17% of routes vs. 21% for Myers and 25.5% for Washington). BTJ had 1.35 yards per route run and 36% of targets were 20+ yards downfield in that span.PositiveProjectionJun 26, 2026
Brian Thomas Jr. is grouped with players like Carnell Tate, Alec Pierce, and Quinton Johnson as high-variance downfield threats, though he has the highest athletic ceiling of that group.PositiveValueJun 26, 2026
Brian Thomas Jr. at WR31 ADP represents good value in half-PPR and best-ball formats, with upside potential as a year-three player with elite athleticism and a sensational rookie season.PositiveUsageJun 26, 2026
Brian Thomas Jr. will be a near full-time player in two-tight-end sets and play-action deep shots, with potential for many 100-yard games despite not necessarily leading the team in receptions.NegativeInjuryJun 26, 2026
Brian Thomas Jr.'s preseason collarbone injury mentally impacted him throughout last season, causing him to be tentative over the middle of the field with drops and alligator arms on contested catches.PositiveBreakoutJun 26, 2026
Brian Thomas Jr. has been lighting up in camp and is one of the MVPs of the Jaguars offense according to John Shipley and Liam Cohen, suggesting improved performance in year three.PositiveRoleJun 26, 2026
Brian Thomas Jr. will be used primarily as a vertical/downfield element in the offense, with Parker Washington getting gimme looks and Jacoby Myers running intermediate routes, making him high-variance week-to-week.PositiveProjectionJun 26, 2026
Brian Thomas Jr. is ranked WR30 and should finish ahead of his WR45 finish last year, with upside potential as a year-three player with elite speed and talent despite last season's volatility.