
Davis Mattek - Grinding the Variance: Week 7 Recap & Week 8 Preview
STACKED extracted the fantasy-relevant player signal from this podcast and kept the full transcript here for context.
Player insights
A.J. Brown
AJ Brown has a 9% advance rate, which is notably low for a player of his ADP tier, indicating disappointing best-ball performance relative to draft capital.
Insight pagePlaced in a tier of rest-of-season quarterback rankings alongside Penix and Rodgers.
Insight pageAaron Jones
The source is moving Aaron Jones down in tier rankings following an injury, reducing his standing in the running back hierarchy.
Insight pageAaron Rodgers
The source moves Rodgers up in rest-of-season quarterback rankings, placing him in a higher tier than his previous position.
Insight pageRodgers is used as a tier benchmark for quarterback rankings, placed alongside Anthony Richardson in the source's tier structure.
Insight pageAJ Dillon
AJ Dillon (Goodson) is noted as 'actually kind of an interesting scroll' option for DFS in Week 8, particularly if the game could be a blowout scenario.
Insight pageAlec Pierce
Alec Pierce is noted as still not even walking, indicating a severe injury that will keep him sidelined for the remainder of the season.
Insight pageAlec Pierce is unlikely to practice this week, indicating a potential injury or health concern affecting his availability.
Insight pageAlvin Kamara
The source is moving Alvin Kamara up in tier rankings following a CJ Donaldson injury, suggesting increased opportunity and value.
Insight pageAlvin Kamara has a 20% advance rate, indicating modest performance relative to draft position.
Insight pageAmon-Ra St. Brown
The source is placing Amon-Ra St. Brown in the top tier of wide receivers, alongside JSN, Puka, Chase, Lamb, and Flowers.
Insight pageSt. Brown is dealing with a bum ankle, which prompted the source to pivot away from wide receiver in draft selection.
Insight pageAnthony Firkser
Anthony Firkser has an advance rate of only 14%, which the source finds surprisingly low given his draft position.
Insight pageAnthony Richardson
Placed in a lower tier of rest-of-season quarterback rankings, with the source considering whether to remove him entirely.
Insight pagePlaced in a tier of rest-of-season quarterback rankings alongside Rodgers.
Insight pageThe source places Richardson in a tier next to Aaron Rodgers, indicating confidence in his fantasy outlook relative to other quarterbacks in the discussion.
Insight pageAntonio Gibson
Antonio Gibson (Gibbs) is part of a team with Tootin, Rico, Jordan Mason, and C-Rod that the source considers 'not that bad' despite not advancing.
Insight pageAustin Hooper
Austin Hooper has an advance rate of 25%, indicating moderate underperformance.
Insight pageBaker Mayfield
Baker Mayfield had either 11 or 12 dropbacks depending on which box score is used, indicating a low-volume passing game.
Insight pageBijan Robinson
Ranked in the top tier of rest-of-season running back rankings alongside Gibbs and Walker, indicating the source views Robinson as an elite fantasy running back for the remainder of the season.
Insight pageRobinson is placed in the top tier of running backs alongside Gibbs and Walker, indicating elite fantasy status.
Insight pageBlake Corum
Corum was rostered on the source's best ball team as part of a backfield group that included Jameer Gibbs and DeAndre Swift.
Insight pageBlake Corum is among the players that will be lost by the team getting eliminated in the guillotine league, indicating roster turnover due to league elimination.
Insight pageBo Nix
Nix was among the top-scoring quarterbacks in a Week 7 survival contest, outpacing the source's lineup by nearly 150 points.
Insight pageBraelon Allen
Braylon Allen has a 22% advance rate, indicating modest performance relative to draft position.
Insight pageBrandon Aiyuk
Brandon Aiyuk is listed on the 'dead list' in BBM, indicating he is out for the entire season due to injury.
Insight pagePearsall is listed among players who are 'actually dead' in fantasy terms, indicating unavailability due to injury.
Insight pageBreece Hall
Breece Hall has a 9% advance rate, indicating moderate production and value relative to draft position.
Insight pageHall is placed in a fourth tier and noted to be in a timeshare with Braylon, creating uncertainty about his fantasy value and playing time.
Insight pageBrenden Rice
Brendan Rice was drafted twice with a hundred percent advance rate, demonstrating strong best-ball performance across multiple rosters.
Insight pageBrendan Rice has a 100% advance rate, indicating he is significantly outperforming draft expectations as a wide receiver.
Insight pageBrian Thomas Jr.
The source believes there is a high chance Brian Thomas Jr. is traded, potentially to the Rams, which could revive his fantasy value after being 'undead' in his current situation. The source also notes a high probability the team trading for him would not be an AFC contender like the Chiefs or Bills.
Insight pageThe source speculates that the Jaguars will likely trade Brian Thomas Jr. in-season, suggesting potential roster disruption and uncertainty around his team situation.
Insight pageBrian Thomas Jr. is identified as the potential 'Yahtzee' or best-case trade target for Kansas City; the source describes him as 'quite nice' and the most exciting option among potential wide receiver acquisitions.
Insight pageThe source rates a hypothetical trade of a second-round pick for Brian Thomas Jr. by the Chiefs as a 10 out of 10, indicating strong approval of the trade value.
Insight pageBrian Thomas Jr. is highlighted in the context of a Thursday night game between Carolina and Green Bay, suggesting he is a player to target in that matchup.
Insight pageBrock Bowers
BTJ (Brock Bowers) still at 10% advance rate is noted as wild, with the source attributing this to his attachment to Lawrence.
Insight pageBrock Purdy
Brock Purdy is being dropped down to the bottom of the top quarterback tier for rest-of-season rankings due to San Francisco's wide receiver injuries, which diminish his passing volume and touchdown upside.
Insight pageInitially placed in the top tier alongside Drake Maye and Lamar Jackson, but the source explicitly drops Purdy down to the bottom of that tier due to San Francisco's wide receiver injuries, which constrains his passing volume and ceiling.
Insight pageBryce Young
The source indicates Bryce Young is fine at his current placement in rest-of-season quarterback rankings, with no adjustment needed.
Insight pageBucky Irving
Bucky Irving faces Atlanta in Week 8 and is highlighted as a strong DFS play; the source states 'I will definitely be playing' Bucky and notes the overall slate 'looks really, really good,' indicating confidence in Irving's matchup and usage.
Insight pageC.J. Stroud
The source indicates Stroud probably needs to move up a smidge in rest-of-season quarterback rankings, suggesting modest upward adjustment.
Insight pageCaleb Williams
Caleb Williams shows a positive advance rate despite a bunch of zeros in the data, suggesting underlying upside in his performance trajectory.
Insight pageCalvin Ridley
Calvin Ridley is mentioned as an acceptable trade target for Kansas City, though the source indicates he would be 'fine' rather than an ideal option compared to Brian Thomas Jr.
Insight pageCam Ward
Cam Ward is part of a team with Dart and Malik Willis that the source calls 'one of the worst three quarterback rooms of all time,' indicating poor roster construction.
Insight pageCeeDee Lamb
In an eliminator contest, the source effectively needs Javante Williams to outscore CeeDee Lamb to advance, indicating low confidence in that matchup outcome.
Insight pageThe source is placing CeeDee Lamb in the top tier of wide receivers, alongside JSN, Puka, Chase, St. Brown, and Flowers.
Insight pageChase Brown
The source initially places Brown in the third tier but later argues he should be moved down, suggesting his tier placement is too high relative to other backs in that tier.
Insight pageChase Edmonds
Placed in a third tier of rest-of-season running back rankings alongside Javonte and Kyron, in what the source describes as a tough tier.
Insight pageChris Godwin
Godwin produced zero points in a Week 7 contest, contributing to the source's frustration with receiver performance across multiple lineups.
Insight pageChristian McCaffrey
Christian McCaffrey was just offered in a trade but the source explicitly rejected the trade ('Fuck. No, don't trade away'), suggesting skepticism about McCaffrey's value or remaining upside.
Insight pagePlaced in the second tier of rest-of-season running back rankings alongside Henry, J.T., and Cook, indicating strong fantasy outlook despite not being in the absolute top tier.
Insight pageMcCaffrey is placed in the second tier of running backs alongside Henry, JT, and Cook, below the top tier of Gibbs, Walker, and Bijan.
Insight pageThe source references McCaffrey saying 'my leg just died on me,' highlighting a concerning injury statement from the player.
Insight pageChristian Watson
Christian Watson was outscored by Sean Tucker in Week 7, indicating disappointing performance.
Insight pageJake stopped drafting Christian Watson despite draft Roma Dunes a because he was so mad about the bird and Loveland people; the source suggests this was a contrarian mistake and a lesson learned about not being a grave dancer.
Insight pageChuba Hubbard
Chuba Hubbard is listed among running backs with strong advance rates, indicating solid production and value relative to draft position.
Insight pageCole Kmet
Cole Kmet is included on the source's 'dead' list for 2026 fantasy football; the source questions how many times he was even drafted, suggesting limited draft interest and unavailability.
Insight pageColston Loveland
Colston Loveland has an advance rate of only 11%, which is notably low for a tight end, suggesting underperformance relative to draft position.
Insight pageLoveland is mentioned in context of Jake's contrarian fading of Christian Watson; the source notes this was part of Jake's lesson about not being a grave dancer.
Insight pageColt McCoy
The source moves McCoy ahead of Patrick Mahomes in rest-of-season rankings, suggesting improved outlook relative to Mahomes' recent struggles.
Insight pageD.J. Moore
DJ Moore has a 12% advance rate, which is below expectations for his ADP tier in best-ball formats.
Insight pageD'Andre Swift
Swift was rostered on the source's best ball team alongside Jameer Gibbs and Blake Corum, indicating he was drafted as a backfield contributor.
Insight pageDeAndre Swift appears to be correlated with Caleb Williams' performance metrics, suggesting their fantasy outcomes may move together.
Insight pageDeAndre Swift is listed among running backs with strong advance rates, indicating solid production and value relative to draft position.
Insight pageSwift is placed in the third tier of running backs alongside Javonte Williams, Kyron Thomas, Chase Brown, Hubbard, and Bucky Jacobs; the source notes this tier is very tough.
Insight pageDak Prescott
Prescott was the starting quarterback on the source's best ball team with 996 points scored.
Insight pageThe source has Dak Prescott remaining to play in week 7 and notes that only an 'insanely nuclear' performance from Prescott could help their eliminator lineup, indicating they are far behind and need exceptional production.
Insight pageInitially placed in the B tier, but the source indicates Dak probably needs to come down a little bit in rest-of-season rankings, suggesting downward movement from his current tier placement.
Insight pageDalvin Cook
Placed in the second tier of rest-of-season running back rankings alongside McCaffrey, Henry, and J.T., indicating strong fantasy outlook despite not being in the absolute top tier.
Insight pageCook is placed in the second tier of running backs alongside McCaffrey, Henry, and JT, below the top tier of Gibbs, Walker, and Bijan.
Insight pageDaniel Jones
Daniel Jones (Daniel Dimes) is part of a team with a 22% chance of advancing despite being 89 points back, and the source expresses 'not loving that' sentiment.
Insight pageDarnell Washington
The source lists Darnell Washington as part of the big dog league team (Lawrence Willis Rogers) roster alongside multiple receivers and running backs.
Insight pageDarren Waller
Darren Waller (tight end) has an advance rate of 13%, indicating significant underperformance.
Insight pageDavante Adams
Devante Adams is included in the 2026 underdog ADP discussion as a round 18 zero, suggesting he is being tracked for future draft consideration.
Insight pageDavid Montgomery
David Montgomery has a 12% advance rate, indicating solid production and value relative to draft position.
Insight pageDavid Njoku
Njoku is out for the year; the source identifies him as one of the players to definitively avoid.
Insight pageThe source expresses enthusiasm about Njoku joining Kansas City, calling it 'a huge win' for the team, suggesting strong fit and usage potential in the Chiefs offense.
Insight pageDerrick Henry
Derrick Henry is listed among running backs with strong advance rates, indicating solid production and value relative to draft position.
Insight pagePlaced in the second tier of rest-of-season running back rankings alongside McCaffrey, J.T., and Cook, indicating strong fantasy outlook despite not being in the absolute top tier.
Insight pageHenry is placed in the second tier of running backs alongside McCaffrey, JT, and Cook, below the top tier of Gibbs, Walker, and Bijan.
Insight pageDerrick Henry is among the players that will be lost by the team getting eliminated in the guillotine league, indicating roster turnover due to league elimination.
Insight pageDeshaun Watson
The source is removing Watson from rest-of-season quarterback rankings, indicating he no longer merits inclusion in the ranked tiers.
Insight pageDeVonta Smith
The source notes that Devonta Smith might not play, which affects their eliminator lineup calculations and opponent's roster strength.
Insight pageDK Metcalf
DK Metcalf has a 5.7% advance rate, which is extremely low and characterized with concern ('Oh no. Oh no.') by the source.
Insight pageDontayvion Wicks
Wicks was rostered on the source's best ball team but was not playing, making him a non-contributor.
Insight pageDrake Maye
May was rostered as a backup quarterback on the source's best ball team.
Insight pageDrake Maye is positioned in the top tier of rest-of-season quarterback rankings alongside other elite signal-callers, reflecting strong projected performance.
Insight pageEli Stowers
The source placed a first-touchdown scorer bet on Stowers, describing it as 'an all time great wager' and 'a really good wager,' indicating strong conviction on the prop.
Insight pageEli Stowers first touchdown is available at 80-to-1 odds on FanDuel and nearly 100-to-1 on Bet365, representing the source's primary wager; the source describes this as a bullish opportunity at best price.
Insight pageEmeka Egbuka
Emeka Egbuka has an 8.3% advance rate; the source notes that 'just no part of that stack has worked,' indicating poor best-ball performance.
Insight pageEmeka Egbuka (referenced as Emma Johnson in lineup notation) was rostered in the source's Week 7 survival lineup.
Insight pageEvan Engram
Evan Engram (BTJ) remains at 10% advance rate in best ball despite attachment to Trevor Lawrence, suggesting limited tournament penetration and playoff positioning value.
Insight pageGarrett Wilson
The source lists Garrett Wilson as part of a four-running back roster in the big dog league team (Lawrence Willis Rogers), alongside Saquon Barkley, Ken Walker, and Jadarian Price.
Insight pageThe source is placing Garrett Wilson in the C tier of wide receivers.
Insight pageGeno Smith
Gino Smith was among the top-scoring quarterbacks in a Week 7 survival contest, outpacing the source's lineup by nearly 150 points.
Insight pageGeorge Kittle
George Kittle has a mega advance rate, indicating strong outperformance relative to draft expectations.
Insight pageGeorge Pickens
George Pickens is part of a team with poor quarterback options (Dart, Malik Willis, Cam Ward) and the source laughs at the roster construction.
Insight pageThe source needs George Pickens to score at least four points along with Javante Williams to advance in an eliminator contest with a 92% probability of advancement.
Insight pageThe source is moving George Pickens down in tier rankings, with Tee Higgins now ranked ahead of him.
Insight pageGeorge Pickens is mentioned as a potential trade target for Kansas City; the source expresses enthusiasm about acquiring him for a first or second-round pick, saying 'We would love to have them.'
Insight pageGunner Olszewski
The source describes Gunner Olszewski as 'so bad' and grayed out in their scoring system, calling it a bad pick. The source also notes that Harrison Butker is one of the worst kickers in the NFL by any metric, which may have contributed to limited scoring opportunities for the team.
Insight pageIsaac TeSlaa
The source expresses concern about Isaac Tesla's fantasy relevance, questioning how bad a team must be to have Tesla contributing in the flex position on their highest-scoring DraftKings lineup.
Insight pageIsiah Pacheco
Isaiah Pacheco is listed on the 'dead list' in BBM, indicating he is out for the entire season due to injury.
Insight pageJ.J. McCarthy
The source has J.J. McCarthy included in rest-of-season quarterback rankings and expresses respect for the inclusion, suggesting McCarthy merits consideration for fantasy purposes.
Insight pageJa'Marr Chase
Jamar Chase has a 9% advance rate when sorted by ADP, which the source characterizes as 'really not ideal' for a player of his draft capital.
Insight pageJamarr Chase is identified alongside Puka Nacua as a low advance rate guy the source would want to sneak into playoff weeks in best ball, indicating undervalued playoff upside.
Insight pageChase is noted as quite good despite below-average advance rate; the source groups him with Puka as a guy you'd want to target.
Insight pageJamarr Chase is noted as 'quite good' among below-average advance rate receivers, positioning him as a solid value target despite lower efficiency metrics.
Insight pageJacoby Brissett
Jacoby Brissett's advance rate sits at 17%, indicating modest performance metrics.
Insight pageJadarian Price
The source lists Jadarian Price as part of a four-running back roster in the big dog league team (Lawrence Willis Rogers), alongside Saquon Barkley, Ken Walker, and JCM T Garrett Wilson.
Insight pageThe source drafted heavily on Jadarian Price and characterizes him as 'truly one of the worst picks,' indicating significant disappointment with his performance and draft capital allocation.
Insight pageJahmyr Gibbs
Ranked in the top tier of rest-of-season running back rankings alongside Walker and Bijon, indicating the source views Gibbs as an elite fantasy running back for the remainder of the season.
Insight pageJake Ferguson
Jake Ferguson is characterized as a wasted pick, suggesting poor draft value or performance.
Insight pageJalen Hurts
The source lists Jalen Hurts as part of the big dog league team (Lawrence Willis Rogers) roster alongside multiple receivers and running backs.
Insight pageJalen Hurts is mentioned in a trade discussion context where a league member asks about trading Trevor Lawrence and Dalton Schultz for Michael Wilson, with Josh Allen also mentioned as a roster consideration.
Insight pageJalen Hurts is out for the year, eliminating him from 2026 fantasy football consideration.
Insight pageJalen McMillan
Jalen McMillan is out for a while, placing him on the source's 'dead' list for 2026 fantasy football.
Insight pageMcMillan is out for a while; the source identifies him as one of the players to avoid in drafting due to injury status.
Insight pageThe source is placing Jalen McMillan in the top tier of wide receivers, alongside JSN, Puka, Chase, St. Brown, Lamb, and Flowers.
Insight pageJavonte Williams
In an eliminator contest, the source needs Javante Williams to score at least four points to advance with a 92% probability, and in another lineup needs him to outscore CeeDee Lamb to advance with only a 28% chance, indicating low confidence in Williams' performance relative to the competition.
Insight pagePlaced in a third tier of rest-of-season running back rankings alongside Kyron and Chase, in what the source describes as a tough tier.
Insight pageWilliams is placed in a difficult third tier alongside Kyron Thomas and Chase Brown; the source notes this tier is very tough and could potentially be split into two tiers.
Insight pageThe source is targeting Williams to score an anytime touchdown in a Dallas-Philadelphia matchup, included in a flex prop bet.
Insight pageJavante Williams is among the players that will be lost by the team getting eliminated in the guillotine league, indicating roster turnover due to league elimination.
Insight pageJavante Williams is listed as the 1.01 in the PTP (PlayerProfiler Three K) format, indicating he is ranked as the top overall pick in that league format.
Insight pageJayden Daniels
Placed in the B tier of rest-of-season quarterback rankings alongside Lawrence, Dak, McCoy, Mahomes, Burrow, and Jordan Love.
Insight pageJayden Higgins
Jaden Higgins is listed on the 'dead list' in BBM, indicating he is out for the entire season due to injury.
Insight pageHiggins is listed among players who are 'actually dead' in fantasy terms, indicating unavailability.
Insight pageJayden Reed
Jaden Reed is still holding a 12% advance rate and has almost twice the advance rate of Roma Dunes a lemon, making him a nice pick.
Insight pageJaden Reed is included in the 2026 underdog ADP discussion, suggesting he is being tracked for future draft consideration.
Insight pageJaylen Waddle
Jaylen Waddle is part of a team with poor quarterback options (Dart, Malik Willis, Cam Ward) and the source laughs at the roster construction.
Insight pageThe source identifies Jaylen Waddle as part of a weak wide receiver room in the bigger board league team, alongside Braylon Jefferson and Stefon Diggs, describing the overall receiver group as 'really, really not ideal.'
Insight pageJalen Waddle has a 9.7% advance rate, which the source notes is 'really not ideal' for a player of his draft capital.
Insight pageJaylen Waddle is mentioned in the context of the source's 'dead' list for 2026 fantasy football, suggesting injury or unavailability.
Insight pageThe source is removing Jaylen Waddle from tier rankings, indicating a significant downgrade in standing.
Insight pageJaylen Warren
Jaylen Warren is called a 'good pick' in the context of a team with poor quarterback options (Dart, Malik Willis, Cam Ward).
Insight pageJalen Warren is listed first among running backs with strong advance rates, suggesting he is delivering solid value and production.
Insight pageJaylen Warren has been 'truly one of the worst picks,' with the source noting he drafted a ton of him; this indicates severe underperformance relative to draft capital and expectations.
Insight pageJaylen Warren (referenced as JCM in lineup notation) was rostered in the source's Week 7 survival lineup.
Insight pageWarren is noted to be in a legitimate timeshare, which the source uses as reasoning for not placing him in the third tier; later, Warren is moved to a fourth tier alongside Breece Hall, Jeremiah Love, and Saquon Barkley due to timeshare concerns with Rico Dowdle.
Insight pageThe source removes Jaylen Dobbins from a tier of running backs, indicating a downgrade in his ranking or role assessment.
Insight pageThe source mentions Jaylen Warren (Sharbs) and Price ranked back to back, questioning whether this ranking placement is too conservative.
Insight pageJeremiyah Love
Love is placed in a fourth tier alongside Breece Hall, Jalen Warren, and Saquon Barkley; the source expresses uncertainty about his situation, stating 'Who knows what's going on with Jeremiah Love?'
Insight pageThe source explicitly rejects the idea that Jeremiah Love would outperform Kenneth Walker on the Chiefs, calling it 'a crazy thing to say' and noting Walker is having a 'historically' strong season.
Insight pageJerry Jeudy
Jerry Judy is mentioned as an acceptable trade target for Kansas City, though the source indicates he would be 'fine' rather than an ideal option compared to Brian Thomas Jr.
Insight pageJerry Judy is highlighted in the context of a Thursday night game between Carolina and Green Bay, suggesting she is a player to target in that matchup.
Insight pageJoe Burrow
Initially in the B tier, but the source explicitly moves Burrow ahead of Patrick Mahomes in rest-of-season rankings, indicating improved outlook relative to Mahomes.
Insight pageJonathan Mingo
Jonathan Mingo is selected as a DFS scroll play for Week 8 in a Cowboys game context; the source frames this as 'real blowout hours,' suggesting the play is contingent on game script favoring high-volume passing.
Insight pageJonathan Taylor
Placed in the second tier of rest-of-season running back rankings alongside McCaffrey, Henry, and Cook, indicating strong fantasy outlook despite not being in the absolute top tier.
Insight pageTaylor is placed in the second tier of running backs alongside McCaffrey, Henry, and Cook, below the top tier of Gibbs, Walker, and Bijan.
Insight pageJonathon Brooks
Jonathan Brooks has an 11% advance rate, suggesting limited progress relative to draft capital.
Insight pageJonathan Brooks is noted at 11% ownership, implying undervaluation and room for increased production or market recognition.
Insight pageJonathan Brooks is listed on the 'dead list' in BBM, indicating he is out for the entire season due to injury.
Insight pageJordan Love
Placed in the B tier of rest-of-season quarterback rankings. The source questions whether Love deserves to be higher but does not move him up, leaving him in the B tier.
Insight pageJordan Mason
Jordan Mason is part of a team with Gibbs, Tootin, Rico, and C-Rod that the source considers 'not that bad' despite not advancing.
Insight pageJosh Allen
Josh Allen's advance rate has declined to 17% following a couple of mediocre games and a bye week, indicating recent performance deterioration.
Insight pageJosh Allen is ranked alone in the top tier for rest-of-season quarterback rankings, indicating the highest projected value among all signal-callers.
Insight pageRanked alone in the top tier of rest-of-season quarterback rankings, indicating the source views Allen as the clear-cut QB1 for fantasy purposes going forward.
Insight pageJosh Downs
Trade speculation emerged regarding Josh Downs; the source investigated whether Downs could be traded but found no confirmation from Schefter or other reporting at the time of discussion.
Insight pageThe source mentions Josh Downs could be traded, noting this as a potential roster development to monitor.
Insight pageJosh Downs is mentioned as a potential trade target for Kansas City; the source indicates that acquiring Downs would be 'really nice' for the Chiefs' wide receiver needs.
Insight pageJosh Jacobs
Josh Jacobs has a 10% advance rate, indicating significant room for improvement and upside relative to draft expectations.
Insight pageJosh Jacobs is noted as having only a 10% ownership level, with the source observing 'there's a lot of room to go up there,' suggesting significant upside potential and undervaluation in the market.
Insight pageJustin Herbert
Justin Herbert has the worst advance rate among heavily drafted quarterbacks at just 6.3%, indicating significant underperformance relative to draft expectations.
Insight pageThe source views Herbert as too high in rest-of-season quarterback rankings and plans to move him down.
Insight pageJustin Jefferson
Justin Jefferson's production is constrained by his quarterback situation; while the Vikings play good winning football, they are a below-average pass rate team, limiting Jefferson's volume and ceiling.
Insight pageJustin Jefferson has a 6% advance rate, which is notably low and characterized as 'really not ideal' for a player of his draft tier.
Insight pageJustin Jefferson (referenced as JL in lineup notation) was rostered in the source's Week 7 survival lineup.
Insight pageJustin Jefferson faces the Lions defense in Week 8, which the source frames as a potential breakout opportunity; the source asks 'Is this what can finally unlock an elite fantasy game from Justin Jefferson?' and answers affirmatively, suggesting the matchup is favorable for a ceiling game.
Insight pageKenneth Gainwell
Kenny Gainwell has an 11% advance rate, which the source characterizes as 'not ideal,' suggesting underperformance relative to draft capital.
Insight pageKenneth Walker III
Kenneth Walker III is listed among running backs with strong advance rates, indicating solid production and value relative to draft position.
Insight pageKenneth Walker is mentioned in the context of trade discussions, with the source noting he should not be traded away, suggesting he retains value.
Insight pageRanked in the top tier of rest-of-season running back rankings alongside Gibbs and Bijon, indicating the source views Walker as an elite fantasy running back for the remainder of the season.
Insight pageThe source references Kenneth Walker as a player that a respected drafter (Ray Zanny) was high on, suggesting Walker has credibility among knowledgeable fantasy analysts.
Insight pageThe source would rather have Kenneth Walker than JSN in a trade scenario, though acknowledges the comparison is close (six of one, half dozen of the other).
Insight pageThe source describes Kenneth Walker as having 'an absolutely historical season' on the Chiefs, emphasizing the exceptional nature of his performance.
Insight pageKyle Pitts
Kyle Pitts remains at an advance rate of 17%, indicating continued underperformance relative to draft expectations.
Insight pageKyler Murray
Kyler Murray ranks 28th in adjusted EPA per play and dead last in success rate at 38%, indicating poor quarterback play; the source believes Murray can improve but has a ceiling around Deshaun Watson's range and is unlikely to play much better than that.
Insight pageLamar Jackson
Lamar Jackson is positioned in the top tier of rest-of-season quarterback rankings, indicating strong projected performance through the fantasy playoffs.
Insight pageLamar Jackson will be in a decent spot with the Saints this week, suggesting a favorable matchup for the quarterback.
Insight pageLamical Perine
The source presents a draft choice between Lamical Perine and Joshua Jacobs, indicating both are in consideration at similar draft positions.
Insight pageMakai Lemon
The source is targeting Lemon to record 3.5+ receptions in a Dallas-Philadelphia matchup, included in a flex prop bet.
Insight pageMalik Davis
Malik Davis is included in the 2026 underdog ADP discussion, suggesting he is being tracked for future draft consideration.
Insight pageMalik Nabers
The source defends Malik Nabers against a private chat criticism, pushing back on a claim that he was 'not a Malik Nabers guy,' suggesting confidence in Nabers' value or outlook.
Insight pageMalik Willis
Malik Willis is part of a team with Dart and Cam Ward that the source calls 'one of the worst three quarterback rooms of all time,' indicating a poor roster construction.
Insight pageThe source identifies Malik Willis as part of a suboptimal quarterback pairing (alongside Jackson Dart) in the OG pit bull league team, describing the combination as 'not ideal' when reviewing draft team performance.
Insight pageMarcus Mariota
The source is removing Mariota from rest-of-season quarterback rankings, indicating he no longer merits inclusion in the ranked tiers.
Insight pageMarShawn Lloyd
Marshawn Lloyd was drafted on August 23rd as a second-round running back pick in a team that did not advance, suggesting the pick did not pay off in the context of a non-advancing JSN team.
Insight pageThe source presents a draft choice between Savion Williams and Marshawn Lloyd, indicating both are in consideration as late-round options.
Insight pageMarshawn Lloyd is presented as a competing DFS scroll option against Savion Henry for Week 8; the source frames the choice as 'Savion versus Marshawn Lloyd feels tough,' suggesting both are viable but neither is a clear standout.
Insight pageMarvin Harrison Jr.
Marvin Harrison Jr. is mentioned in the context of best ball advancement rates and playoff week positioning, indicating he is a relevant player in best ball tournament discussions during Week 7 recap.
Insight pageMarvin Harrison Jr. has 5,938 teams advancing in best-ball, significantly more than Rome Odomes' 4,925 teams, indicating strong best-ball performance and roster success.
Insight pageThe source is placing Marvin Harrison Jr. in the top tier of wide receivers, alongside JSN, Puka, Chase, St. Brown, Lamb, and Flowers.
Insight pageMatthew Golden
Golden was rostered on the source's best ball team as a wide receiver contributor.
Insight pageMatthew Stafford
Stafford was among the top-scoring quarterbacks in a Week 7 survival contest, outpacing the source's lineup by nearly 150 points.
Insight pageThe source wants to move Stafford up in rankings but explicitly does not place him in the next tier because the Los Angeles Rams have too many injuries, constraining his fantasy ceiling.
Insight pageMecole Hardman
Mecole Hardman (referred to as 'Make worthy' in the transcript) is mentioned in the context of a Thursday night game, suggesting he is a player to consider.
Insight pageThe source notes that Hardman's best usage in the NFL has been on short and intermediate routes, particularly crossers close to the line of scrimmage; this is the role that has worked for him historically.
Insight pageMichael Pittman
Michael Pittman Jr. is placed on the 'dead' list because the source believes 'his chain has been snatched and he's hurt,' indicating both injury and a loss of offensive role or opportunity.
Insight pageMike Washington Jr.
Mike Washington has a negative advance rate because he was drafted so highly, indicating he has underperformed relative to draft capital and expectations.
Insight pageMike Washington has a negative advance rate because he was drafted so highly, indicating his ADP exceeded his actual production value.
Insight pageNajee Harris
Harris is technically not dead but is not on a team; the source notes his unavailability as a roster consideration.
Insight pageNajee Harris is described as 'technically not dead, but he's not on' [transcript cuts off], suggesting he is severely limited or unavailable for fantasy purposes despite not being completely sidelined.
Insight pageNico Collins
Nico Collins scored points contributing to the source's team's advance in the guillotine league format.
Insight pageOllie Gordon II
The source decides to respect Gordon and move him into the fourth tier alongside Breece Hall, Jalen Warren, Jeremiah Love, and Saquon Barkley, indicating growing confidence in his fantasy value.
Insight pageThe source respects Ollie Gordon's performance and moves him into the top tier of running backs alongside Barkley, indicating strong regard for his current role and production.
Insight pageParker Washington
Parker Washington is among the players that will be lost by the team getting eliminated in the guillotine league; the source also speculates about a hypothetical trade scenario where Parker Washington could be traded to Kansas City for a second-round pick if the Jaguars don't want to pay him market rate.
Insight pagePat Freiermuth
Pat Freiermuth is given a shout-out in contrast to Jake Ferguson being a wasted pick, suggesting Freiermuth was a better pick choice.
Insight pagePatrick Mahomes
Patrick Mahomes' advance rate has dropped to 15.7%, placing him among the lower-performing quarterbacks in the metric.
Insight pageThe source notes that Patrick Mahomes played very poorly in Week 7, throwing inaccurate passes and tossing the ball at receivers' toes. The source suspects this may be related to ACL recovery issues affecting his ability to plant and set his feet properly, which could impact his performance going forward.
Insight pagePatrick Mahomes is noted as part of a team with a 22% chance of advancing despite being 89 points back, and later the source says 'Mahomes sucks,' indicating disappointment with his performance.
Insight pageThe source expresses strong skepticism about Mahomes' fantasy performance, repeatedly stating 'Mahomes sucks' in the context of reviewing draft team performance and noting poor quarterback scoring in the bigger board. The speaker sarcastically challenges the credibility of anyone claiming Mahomes is underperforming, suggesting the take is intentionally provocative rather than a serious analytical stance.
Insight pagePatrick Mahomes is being moved down in rest-of-season quarterback rankings, suggesting a downgrade in projected performance relative to other elite quarterbacks.
Insight pageThe source moves Mahomes down in rest-of-season rankings after a poor recent performance, placing him below Jalen Burrow and Colt McCoy in the tier hierarchy.
Insight pagePuka Nacua
Puka Nacua has a 12% advance rate, which is below expectations for his ADP ranking in best-ball formats.
Insight pagePuka is highlighted as probably the best below-average advance rate guy you'd want to get through; the source suggests he and Chase are the guys you'd want to target despite lower advance rates.
Insight pagePuka Nacua is identified as a low advance rate guy the source would want to sneak into playoff weeks in best ball, suggesting he is undervalued in best ball tournaments despite having playoff upside.
Insight pagePuka Nacua is characterized as 'probably the best' below-average advance rate receiver to target; the source highlights him as a strong value play despite lower efficiency metrics.
Insight pageThe source is placing Puka Nacua in the top tier of wide receivers, alongside JSN, Chase, St. Brown, Lamb, and Flowers; the source notes Nacua had 20 points at halftime in Week 7 and was playing through an injury.
Insight pagePuka Nacua scored 21 points in the guillotine league format, contributing to the source's team's advance.
Insight pageQuentin Johnston
QJ is noted with an 11% advance rate and has double the advance rate of Ladd.
Insight pageQuentin Johnston has an 11% advance rate in best ball, which is double the advance rate of Lad Rome, indicating better tournament positioning and playoff week value.
Insight pageRachaad White
The source is moving Rachaad White up in tier rankings after Week 7 performance, positioning him as a preferred option in the running back hierarchy.
Insight pageRashee Rice
The source discusses the right way to use Rashee Rice, indicating there is a specific strategic approach to deploying him in fantasy lineups.
Insight pageRhamondre Stevenson
Ramondre Stevenson is positioned as a superior alternative to Zach Charbonnet; the source expresses regret for not drafting Stevenson instead, indicating he has delivered better value.
Insight pageStevenson is mentioned as part of a group of running backs (Ramondre, Mason, Judkins, Rashad White) in a lower tier, though the source does not provide specific analysis of his situation.
Insight pageRico Dowdle
Rico Dowdle has a 13% advance rate, indicating modest progress relative to draft expectations.
Insight pageRico Dowdle is noted at 13% ownership, placed in context with other running backs being discussed for their ownership levels and potential.
Insight pageThe source is moving Rico Dowdle up in tier rankings, positioning him next to Dobbins in the hierarchy.
Insight pageRico Dowdle is among the players that will be lost by the team getting eliminated in the guillotine league, indicating roster turnover due to league elimination.
Insight pageRomeo Doubs
Romeo Doubs is noted as having an injury that places him on the 'dead' list for 2026 fantasy football.
Insight pageSaquon Barkley
The source lists Saquon Barkley as part of a four-running back roster in the big dog league team (Lawrence Willis Rogers), alongside Ken Walker, Jadarian Price, and JCM T Garrett Wilson.
Insight pageSaquon Barkley has a 3.6% advance rate despite being the number one ADP pick, indicating severe underperformance relative to draft capital; the source expresses frustration with his lack of production.
Insight pageBarkley is initially placed in a fourth tier but then moved to the top tier; the source expresses uncertainty about his situation, asking 'is Barkley going to be on the Eagles?' before ultimately respecting his talent and moving him up.
Insight pageThe source elevates Barkley to the top tier of running backs, moving him up from a lower ranking tier in response to his continued strong performance and role with the Eagles.
Insight pageThe source is targeting Barkley to exceed 14.5 receiving yards in a Dallas-Philadelphia matchup, included in a flex prop bet.
Insight pageSavion Williams
The source considers Savion Williams as a scroll option in a draft scenario, noting he's 'not bad' as a late-round selection.
Insight pageSean Tucker
Sean Tucker scored 46 yards on a touchdown in Week 7 and outscored multiple higher-drafted or rostered players including Woody Marks, A-Chan, Christian Watson, Golden Tate, Stefon Diggs, and Ted Hurst; he did not outscore Tucker Kraft.
Insight pageSean Tucker scored 46 yards on a touchdown in Week 7 and outscored multiple notable players including Woody Marks, A.J. Dillon, Christian Watson, Golden Tate, Stefon Diggs, and Ted Hurst in that single week, demonstrating unexpected production value.
Insight pageStefon Diggs
Stefon Diggs was outscored by Sean Tucker in Week 7, indicating a disappointing week for the star receiver.
Insight pageThe source references Stefon Diggs (Adams) as part of a weak wide receiver room in the bigger board league team, alongside Braylon Jefferson and Jaylen Waddle, describing the overall receiver group as 'really, really not ideal.'
Insight pageStefon Diggs is mentioned as a potential trade target for Kansas City; the source indicates that acquiring Diggs would be 'really nice' for the Chiefs' wide receiver needs.
Insight pageTank Bigsby
Tank Bigsby is included on the source's 'dead' list for 2026 fantasy football, indicating injury or unavailability.
Insight pageTed Hurst
Ted Hurst was outscored by Sean Tucker in Week 7, representing a disappointing performance for the tight end.
Insight pageTee Higgins
The source is moving Tee Higgins ahead of Pickens in tier rankings.
Insight pageTerrance Ferguson
The source strongly disagrees with the assessment that Terrence Ferguson is a bad fantasy pick, arguing that calling him a bad pick fails an IQ test; this suggests the source views Ferguson as undervalued or misunderstood by the broader market.
Insight pageTerrence Ferguson is characterized as 'a bad pick,' indicating disappointing performance or poor draft capital allocation.
Insight pageTerry McLaurin
Terry McLaurin has a 13% advance rate, which is declining and below expectations for his draft tier.
Insight pageTerry McLaurin 'now joins the list of players who are dead' for fantasy purposes, indicating he has joined the injured/unavailable cohort for 2026 fantasy football.
Insight pageTony Pollard
Pollard was the running back one in Week 7, indicating he held the lead role in his backfield during a week when the source had a poor fantasy outcome.
Insight pageThe source is moving Pollard up in tier rankings, suggesting improved standing in the running back hierarchy.
Insight pageTravis Etienne
Travis Etienne has a 7.7% advance rate, indicating moderate production and value relative to draft position.
Insight pageEtienne is eligible to return and can play whenever he is healthy; the source indicates he has a path back to availability.
Insight pageTravis Kelce
The source notes that Patrick Mahomes threw a 70-75 mph ball at Travis Kelce during Week 7, which Kelce dropped. This illustrates the inaccuracy issues Mahomes was experiencing in the game.
Insight pageThe source lists Travis Kelce as part of the big dog league team (Lawrence Willis Rogers) roster alongside multiple receivers and running backs.
Insight pageTravis Kelce scored 23 points in the guillotine league format, contributing to the source's team's advance.
Insight pageTravis Kelce has an advance rate of 18%, indicating underperformance relative to his typical draft position and expectations.
Insight pageTre Harris
Harris is described as 'dead' in fantasy terms, indicating he is unavailable or severely limited; the source questions whether it's worth drafting him.
Insight pageTrey Harris is described as 'dead' for fantasy purposes, indicating injury or unavailability for 2026 fantasy football.
Insight pageTrevor Lawrence
Placed in the B tier of rest-of-season quarterback rankings alongside Daniels, Dak, McCoy, Mahomes, Burrow, and Jordan Love.
Insight pageTrey McBride
Trey McBride has the highest advance rate among tight ends with roughly 100% draft rate, indicating he is significantly outperforming draft expectations.
Insight pageTrey McBride has the highest advance rate of any player drafted in roughly a hundred percent draft, indicating exceptional best-ball performance and roster success.
Insight pageTua Tagovailoa
Tua Tagovailoa is included on the source's list of players who are 'dead' for fantasy purposes in 2026, indicating significant injury or unavailability.
Insight pageTucker Kraft
Tucker Kraft has an advance rate of 17% and is attached to Love (Aaron Rodgers), suggesting his performance is tied to quarterback play.
Insight pageTyler Higbee
Tyler Higbee has an 87% advance rate, indicating strong outperformance relative to draft expectations.
Insight pageTyler Warren
Tyler Warren has an advance rate of 10.5%, which is expected to decline further, indicating significant underperformance.
Insight pageTyquan Thornton
The source expresses regret about Tyquan Thornton's absence from the big dog league team roster, saying 'rip Tyquan. Boy, do we miss Ty. I miss Tyquan, um, every day,' indicating the player is unavailable due to injury or other roster circumstances.
Insight pageTyreek Hill
The source speculates on Tyreek Hill's free agency status and potential signing, noting that as of October 26th, there has been no concrete movement toward a team signing despite agent Drew Rosenhouse's earlier announcements. The source theorizes the signing announcement may have been a 'psyop' to distract from domestic violence concerns and generate positive nostalgia about Hill's past performances with the Dolphins and Chiefs.
Insight pageTyrone Tracy
Tyron Tracy is injured, which the source identifies as a significant problem affecting their fantasy lineup construction and week 7 performance.
Insight pageWoody Marks
Woody Marks was outscored by Sean Tucker in Week 7, suggesting underperformance relative to expectations.
Insight pageXavier Worthy
Worthy performed poorly in Week 7 despite running 87% of routes after Rice injured his hamstring. The source notes Worthy has run the same amount of routes as Jamar Chase in six games and more routes than Parker Washington, Jacoby Myers, Zay Flowers, and Keenan Allen in the same span, yet questions whether he can be good. The source suggests Worthy could pull a Darius Slayton or Zay Jones-type emergence, but expresses skepticism about his upside.
Insight pageThe source questions whether Xavier Worthy can sustain production, drawing comparisons to Darius Slayton and Zay Jones as potential ceiling outcomes. However, the source notes that Worthy's upside depends on Patrick Mahomes playing better; Mahomes played poorly in Week 7, throwing inaccurate passes and potentially dealing with ACL recovery issues affecting his footwork and delivery.
Insight pageZach Charbonnet
Zach Charbonnet participated in a full week of practice but then did not play in the subsequent game, raising questions about his role clarity and availability despite apparent health status.
Insight pageZach Charbonnet is questioned as a poor pick; the source expresses regret and suggests he should have drafted Ramondre Stevenson instead, indicating Charbonnet has underperformed.
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