0:00Biggest question of the week in salary cap DFS and I actually mean this. This is not a bit. Will be does Terrance
0:06Ferguson play this week for the Los Angeles Rams. If you look at the Rams target distribution since Devante Adams went out, it's Puka Nacua and a bunch of
0:14the most random NPCs of all time. They can't even decide which tight end to throw it to. Like they're using Davis
0:19Allen for the first time in his career, but Tyler Higbee's running the most amount of routes. Colby Parkinson is banged up. Their second round pick Max
0:26Lowe just Incredible draft by the Los Angeles Rams. Your your backup quarterback and your fifth string tight end that you don't trust to play with your other
0:35tight ends out. If Ferguson plays this week, I'm I'm ready to say that at 3200, he is the key to the entire slate.
0:43There's no value this week. The totals are super low. The last time we saw Terrance Ferguson, he was second on the
0:49team in targets per route run ahead of Devante Adams. Sean McVay says he's probably going to practice this week and Stafford has looked like ass with Adams
0:58and Ferguson off the field. He's looked really really bad. His EPA per play, his yards per pass attempt is all way down.
1:0618% was my first guess for T-Ferg target share if he's back, but honestly that might be too low. The only game he
1:13started and finished, he had a 26% target share. What do you What do you think?
1:19>> Yeah, I mean 18 sounds fine. I think it probably does skew low, but I think the part that'll be difficult is like
1:30the same thing you run into whenever guys come back from a prolonged injury.
1:33It's like how much is he actually going to be on the field? Like is he going to be limited or is he just stepping into his full-time
1:39role? Because I think it's fair to assume that his full-time role would be a massive one and come in higher than
1:4618%. Um like you said, depending on what source you're looking at, 26, 29% target share in the the full game that he
1:53played. But I think to some extent you need to discount it just for the the health factor. Um but yeah, I mean, I'm
2:02with you that I I I don't think it'll matter a ton.
2:05Like, it's certainly going to be a number big enough that it makes him look amazing at 3,200.
2:12>> Yes. I I mean, the other thing is like our So, our base rush rate for the Rams is 42% in this match up against uh your
2:21Washington Football Commanders, that's probably low. Like, if Ferguson does not play, so if Ferguson does not play, when I do my runs, I will probably move the
2:30Rams closer to like a 47% rush rate. They've been negative pass rate over expectation with Ferguson and Adams off field. And I know people are
2:39like so sick of hearing me talk about Terrance Ferguson and I think I'm just gassing up this guy who sucks. I I think
2:44the evidence has only gotten more clear that McVay planned on him being a huge part of the offense cuz they've been
2:50really, really bad with him off the field. And you know, I Like, the fact that they were sniffing around A.J. Brown, it's been reported that
2:59they're they're talking about Brian Thomas Jr. Like, I think they knew that Adams not being able to finish the season was like pretty, pretty possible.
3:08And Puka, I mean, how Can you Can you really sustain an offense throwing 35% of your passes to one guy? I mean, I
3:15think history would probably say no.
3:16Like, the Rams are they're playing a very dangerous game on offense right now.
3:20>> Yeah. Um, also to your point about the rushing share, and I'm mentioning this mostly just to sound like I know ball
3:24because I can name like two defensive players in the league. Um, but Washington's been, you know, like not good against the pass mostly this year,
3:31granted better with Amos back, um, and good against the run. They now don't have Kinlaw or Payne it on their defensive line. So, I think that's
3:40another reason to your point that you could see, I mean, the Rams obviously uh here, but um, you could just in general
3:47see teams start to run more on Washington.
3:49>> Yes.
3:50Um, okay. And then on the other side of the game for the Washington Commanders, this probably doesn't matter that much for main slate though. Maybe it does
3:58because your team, the Washington Commanders, claimed Robert Henry Jr. off of the waivers. He He was on Seattle, then Seattle stuck him on the practice
4:07squad, so now he's back in Washington.
4:10McNickels is on the IR. Jacquory Croskey-Merriman is on the IR. Rashad White was actually not the lead rusher until the fourth quarter for them.
4:18Austin Ekeler was playing the early downs for the Commanders, but so was Jaret Patterson McNickels. I would have I mean, this is what I had projected
4:24heading into the last game, but actually McNickels as the short yardage back.
4:28Again, salary pretty tough to find this week. So, I came into this game, you know, wanting to play Rashad White, but
4:35I wonder if Robert Henry Jr., who we don't even have on the active roster yet cuz he has to be called He has to be
4:41like officially signed and called up. I wonder if he leads the team in rushes this week, him him or Ekeler.
4:48>> I think it'll be White or Ekeler. Like they like McNickels. Like even going back to last year when McNickels was healthy, they like him.
4:56They like him in pass pro. They like him as a short yardage guy. So, like my guess is that what was just a very natural three-man
5:08backfield for them is just going to turn into a two-man backfield with White and Ekeler mostly.
5:14Um >> Who do you think Who do you think ends up getting the ball more?
5:18>> White.
5:18>> If it is a two-man backfield, I think it's White. So, if that if that's the case, then I do think White should
5:25project pretty good. Like if this is right, 51% of rushes, 13% of the targets.
5:30>> Um >> Yeah, I I think I think White at 5,100 even even in like a pretty difficult matchup is playable.
5:37>> Yeah, and I mean, there is also the chance to like that it's a three-man backfield, but like less of Like Like whoever the third
5:45guy is, you know, we can call it Henry or I I think they have Devin Neal on their practice squad still. Um
5:51>> They do. They do still have him on the practice squad.
5:53>> gets a couple of carries. Like, you know, less involved than McNickels, but still enough to be annoying for the other two.
5:59>> Yeah. And then I mean, I guess the pass catchers are fairly interesting as well cuz their rush rate should be fairly low
6:04here. Antonio Williams led the team in targets and routes and snaps last week.
6:09He is priced at 4,100 this week on DraftKings. I'm going to guess that ends up being the the chalk consensus cheap
6:17wide receiver of the week. I would actually say in some of these spots, and maybe this is not the spot that Diggs'
6:25usage and targets would trend up.
6:27There's basically no reason to do it against the Eagles, and Dan Quinn had said, "Hey, like we're not trying to give this 33-year-old dude with
6:35arthritic knees, like we're not trying to give him his own target share and Terry McLaurin's target share, like we're not trying to give this guy a 35%
6:42target share." I do wonder if in these spots, like the Commanders are are if they do get an upset here, they're like
6:49very live to win the division, um even even with that horrendous uh tie. So, this is a pretty important game. I I
6:56could see Diggs closer like 24, 25% target share in the projections here.
7:01>> Yeah, um I think yeah, like the the thing with Diggs is that they probably just won't they still won't put him on the field, you know,
7:09like constantly. Uh we saw it against Indianapolis week four. Uh he had 73% route participation. Last week without McLaurin, it was 76%. So, like I do
7:18think they are probably like maybe to your point, like maybe that bumps up a little bit. I don't think Stefon Diggs
7:23is going to be like an every-down player.
7:25Um but obviously like the targets are available for him at 5,600. Uh the other thing that I would point out is, and I
7:31agree with you, you know, Williams should project the best amongst the the cheap wide receivers. I would pay attention to the ownership between him
7:38and Burks.
7:39Burks is really getting slept on. Like now I mean, now we're on my version of a Terrance Ferguson bit, I guess. But like
7:47he actually, I think, last I looked, leads the team in yards per route run this season. Um he is running a bunch of routes. He is
7:56getting targeted. Now, you know, obviously a lot of them were like deep balls that are really hit or miss, but he had a and had like a really bad drop
8:02last week. But um he I mean, still has big play upside at 3,600. He's clearly going to be on the field a lot. He's
8:08beaten out De'on Brown for that role.
8:10So, I would say that like Williams should be the higher owned of the two and should project for the higher target
8:15share between them, but I would definitely keep an eye on De'on >> wasn't that long ago. It was not that long ago that we were all excited to
8:23watch Jaylen Burks play football. I mean, it was a pretty long time ago, but it wasn't that long ago.
8:27>> Well, and and also, I mean, it it wasn't that long ago, but also, it was just a bunch of injuries and playing with terrible
8:33quarterbacks in between, too. Like, it is easy trust me to talk yourself into a defense of like, "Wow, what if this guy
8:38is actually just good and we're going to find out, you know, 7 years later?"
8:42>> Yeah, and then I mean, Chig, like, whatever. He He is what he is. He's 3,600. I I would rather play any of the
8:48other Rams tight ends in that spot. All right, let's move on now. The Dallas Cowboys at the Indianapolis Colts. I suppose the most interesting thing with
8:55Dallas would be they are starting to limit George Pickens' routes. Now, that could be because one, he's not super engaged, doesn't want to run block. He
9:05has also the last 2 weeks in practice been listed with, I mean, shoulder injuries and knee injuries. So, there's every chance that George Pickens is just
9:13being limited because he's not 100% healthy. Um very strange how they have chosen to play offense the most recent 2 weeks. They've been super negative pass
9:22rate over expectation. Basically cost them the Arizona. They tried to just run the clock out. They weren't really able to do it. They were very conservative on
9:29offense. Now, do we think that Shottenheimer and and the gang have learned their lesson from that?
9:35>> No, I would guess not. I would guess they come right back into this game.
9:38They try and run the ball like crazy. I I actually do like um Jaylen Williams a good bit, but should we trade I mean, we
9:45have Pickens at 21% and Flornoi at 15%.
9:50Maybe there's room to make that a little bit. I wouldn't want to get it too much closer than that, but maybe with Pickens
9:56running fewer Like, Pickens was at a 65% route share, which is That's like reserve That's like wide receiver three numbers.
10:03>> Yeah, I don't know that it's sticky, though. Like, his highest route participation of the season came in week seven.
10:08So, if this is a trend, that was week one of it. Um but also CeeDee Lamb had his lowest route participation of the year
10:15other than week five when I think he got hurt or something. Um he was a 73%.
10:20So my guess right now is that you probably should just treat it like the weird stuff last week didn't happen
10:30mostly. Um because >> I I think I might not that well, except this actually is a real an important spot. I mean a 51 and a half point team
10:40total the Colts just got The Colts are like going to be everyone What did What did Jonathan Taylor say? People are
10:45going to be foaming at the mouth to play us for the rest of the year. I I mean, it would be a spot where $6,300 George
10:52Pickens would look like a really good play if you gave him his normal base particularly because he's not going to be popular. Like people are are mad at
11:00this guy.
11:01>> Yeah. And like to me mostly I'm just willing to kind of not completely ignore, but like I I want to see it for another week. It
11:09would be different if like week seven he ran, you know, 74% and then last week he ran 62%. Like he was at 89% week seven.
11:17That was the highest of the of the entire season for him. And then also you had the drop-off last week for Lamb as
11:22well. Um I haven't, you know, looked into what personnel groupings they were using or any of that stuff, but like normally when you see something like
11:31that it tends to mean that there was just kind of like either some sort of weird game script or different personnel using uh
11:37usage than usual, you know, stuff like that as opposed to it being like a targeted effort to like not have George
11:44Pickens on the field more.
11:46>> Yeah. Yeah, I think that is I think that is fair. So, nothing Well, I guess Brevyn Spann-Ford is 2,900. Jake
11:53Ferguson suffered a low ankle sprain. I would guess he doesn't play. Spann-Ford ran 76% of the routes last week, which means he basically just became the
12:02starting tight end. Now, now Spann-Ford not a very good player, right? Uh issue there. Although I don't know how much worse he could be than Jake Ferguson.
12:10Again, a very salary capped slate. Just like very hard to make I I've already done, you know, went through it's like
12:16pretty hard to make lineups.
12:18It's a really good spot. It's in a dome.
12:21I I I think Spannford is going to like I think a lot of people are about to learn the name Brevyn Spannford this week
12:27would be my guess. I I think even if like let's say we give him an 11% target share, that is probably enough to get
12:34him in lineups would be my guess.
12:37>> Yeah, I mean he's going to probably be a good point per dollar guy if you give him you know 10 11% which I think is
12:42reasonable. Uh certainly somebody that I would want to pay a lot of attention to ownership because you know, I yeah, like he can score a
12:49couple touchdowns, but like realistically the ceiling is probably not there. Um but he's somebody you know, that will just like show up in
12:54optimized lineups because he projects for six and a half points 29 >> Kaden, it's like playing Charlie Kolar, it's like playing
13:02um you know, I really I mean Hunter Henry honestly I well, we have Reardon on this slate. I I think that the
13:07Patriots are on this slate, right? I can't remember were they Yes. So so Reardon acts will probably save Spannford from getting too out of
13:14control assuming that that that Hunter Henry does not play. Reardon Now Reardon which we will get there, that is going to get beast mode out of control. Like
13:22he could get to 25% this week.
13:24>> Yeah, like my my view of Spannford in a perfect world is that like he just ends up being you know, 2% owned or something
13:30and then he becomes like the perfect guy in tournaments where you want to save some ownership, you throw him in at
13:37tight end, you hope he beats whatever other you know, Reardon whatever other cheap guys people are going to use. Um and then one caveat too that we already
13:43talked about like keep in mind Ferguson is not a Terrance Ferguson is not a tight end by like nature. So he he is different in this
13:52conversation too as far as like the you know, kind of not sexy limited range of outcomes. Like he is a wide receiver
13:58that is priced at 3200 or whatever he is. Um but like excluding him, Spannford works as like a nice low-owned kind of option.
14:08>> he was a he was a blocking tight end for Minnesota. He played in college for six years and had 95 receptions and seven
14:15touchdowns. Like this is not this is not a breakout thing that would be coming for him. And then I guess so two things well actually
14:24you know what I'm actually not going to make myself talk about Josh Downs anymore. That's enough. So two things here.
14:30Well, no, come on. If Josh Downs is not a Kansas City Chief by Friday, like we are storming Arrowhead. So one would be
14:39what if Anthony Richardson starts?
14:42What it what are What are your thoughts?
14:43What would your thoughts be on Anthony >> say it was Jones?
14:46>> Jones might get traded.
14:48>> Oh, so you're >> There's been the Ravens both the according it depends on which beat writer you listen to but both according
14:54to [ __ ] I already forgot the names but the Ravens and the Vikings have apparently both called about Daniel Jones.
15:02>> I mean if Daniel Jones gets traded you're just playing like 150 Anthony Anthony Richardson naked lineups, right?
15:07>> It's it's I you wouldn't want to do it against a real team but because it is the Dallas Cowboys I I think you are.
15:14Now they could do the funniest thing imaginable which would be to play Riley Leonard instead of Anthony Richardson and I would still maybe consider playing
15:22$4,000 Riley Leonard like honestly like I can't be worse than Daniel Jones. He was a little bit interesting last year but more importantly let's say Jonathan
15:31Taylor gets traded before Sunday which honestly at this point if you are like looking to prediction markets and stuff it's well over 50% that Jonathan Taylor
15:40does get traded before the trade deadline.
15:44Seth Magowan is 5,000 DraftKings dollars. So he's priced up but man it's the Cowboys dude. The Cowboys give it The Cowboys just gave up
15:5336 DraftKings points to Tyler Allgeier in two quarters. Yeah. Like I I think Magow I I'll I'll say this.
16:01I will be brave enough to play Magowan if Jonathan Taylor's traded even if he doesn't project that well. Like let's say we get him to 12 points and we give
16:12four and a half points to get in something like that. I'll say this I'm brave enough to play Seth Magowan in
16:18this spot.
16:19>> Are we concerned at all that DJ Giddens had one more carry than him in his first game back?
16:23>> Uh no. No, because he only played once like Leonard got in.
16:29Like when that when the games have when the games have been serious, like when the score's been close at all, Giddens
16:34has not played at all.
16:35>> Yeah, yeah. I didn't have the score differential filter on yet, but uh yeah, three carries for Magowan, zero for Giddens with the score separated by two
16:43touchdowns or less.
16:45>> Yeah. Yeah. Um I'll give you I'll give I'll give my my fantasy football friends, I'll give you guys the sneakiest waiver claim
16:53of your life. Josh Downs gets traded, Deon Burks just becomes Josh Downs. Like legit I'm I'm not even kidding. He's actually going to be
17:02>> Is that a good thing?
17:04>> Well, no, like the good version of Josh Downs. The version of Josh Downs that we remember. And then if Tyler Warren was a
17:10little bit less expensive, I would be in on him. But like we we our base target share for him is 24% and he's projecting
17:17for 12 points, so I'm out. Uh no no reason to do anything there. Moving on to the next game. So the New York Jets
17:25again, very interesting in terms of the inputs, because what do you do with Breece and Braylon back? I think the way
17:31we have it now, honestly, I would slide more to Braylon. I think 50 I think closer to like a straight-up 50/50 rush
17:38share. Then you have Elijah Mitchell come back, absolutely dunk all over Omar Cooper Jr. and Garrett Wilson. And now Garrett Wilson, according to uh I just
17:47saw this on the I just saw this on my feed, but Garrett Wilson also in the uh concussion protocol, considered day-to-day. So there's a chance against
17:56the Chiefs as big dogs that you have Elijah Mitchell and Omar Cooper Jr., no Garrett Wilson, with Breece back. I mean
18:04in that scenario, I would I think I'd I'd move Mitchell like 25% target share.
18:09Honestly, maybe even higher. I guess the interesting wrinkle would be, do you push anything with Sedeeq? Do they play Sedeeq more with Garrett Wilson out?
18:19>> [sighs] >> Probably to some extent. Like cuz I mean at this point where are you going for like your third receiver? Um like we I
18:26mean we know that they've been very condensed.
18:31>> They would just play Isaiah Williams, I think.
18:33>> Right. Yeah, yeah, okay. Um But yeah, like you would probably get a bump for Conklin. It wouldn't be like massive, I don't think, but it
18:40would make him look better. And then for Mitchell and Conklin, you would just run into the issue of like obviously all the
18:45targets in the world are available, but you expect some sort of an efficiency hit not having Garrett Wilson to draw coverage. Um so that would you know, be
18:55some sort of negative, but overall they would obviously end up looking very good at their respective salaries, um Mitchell in particular.
19:01>> I mean it would be really interesting to see the distributions of the fantasy points with Garrett Wilson out. I would think
19:07just like my total napkin math here would be 25 26% Mitchell, 22 23% Conklin, and then our base target share for Conklin is 8.5%. I would think like
19:1914 15% for him cuz the the thing they could do would just be to play Isaiah Williams as like the slot
19:26wide receiver or whatever, but I think like the thing that would be better and be more likely to result in a potential win or
19:33points for the Jets would be Mason Taylor as the inline tight end and you just play Conklin quite a bit.
19:40>> Yeah, and we don't have anything really to base it off of this year because of the way their injuries have worked out.
19:45Like you haven't had any Obviously Garrett Wilson hasn't missed a game, but like you you haven't had any weeks where like
19:53like when Mitchell was out, uh Conklin was also out, and then Conklin came back like one week before Mitchell.
19:58So like you don't have really anything where you can even read too much into what they they plan on doing.
20:03>> Yeah, the the only real cuz Mitchell came back 2 weeks ago, but was limited like cuz he still also had
20:11uh and you know, and he only ran 44% of the routes. I mean, this is non-ball-knowing. This is non-like input stuff, but like Gino just clearly likes
20:19to throw to AV Mitchell, I think. Um AV Mitchell on the field with Garrett Wilson together this year has a better
20:27targets per route run than than Garrett Wilson does. Like I just think Gino likes throwing those routes a little bit better. On the Chiefs side of the ball,
20:35there's really not anything interesting here. Kenneth Walker's going to project for a billion points. Emmett Johnson smashed last week but did so on 12 I
20:43guess Rashee Rice came back and only ran 52% of the routes but led the team in targets, led the team in receiving. I
20:51would guess he scales up this week and I would think we're with Tyquan Thornton going out, we are fully back into Rashee Rice PPR scam.
21:01Like it's the only thing they can do as a passing offense. So, whatever, you know, 15, 16, 17 points is should be your base
21:10expectation for Rashee now.
21:12>> Yeah, I don't think I don't know that he'll run like a ton more routes than he did. His high for the year was like 82%
21:17and he was at 64 last week. But to your point yeah he probably does run more routes this week than he did last week.
21:23>> Yeah.
21:25I hope I hope you have to do a bunch of late work on the Chiefs projections this week because I hope they have two new
21:31wide receivers.
21:33I hope I hope the Kansas City Chiefs trade for Josh Downs and George Pickens.
21:37Um, that's my that's my dream scenario and Brian Thomas Jr. Get a whole new wide receiver room.
21:42>> I I want Brian Thomas on Washington.
21:44He's probably like of the realistic wide receivers, he's the one that I would want to get.
21:47>> He's he's way more likely to be traded to an NFC team than an AFC team, I think. So, that that seems
21:54>> sense.
21:54>> that seems legitimate. The Denver Broncos at the Carolina Panthers. Uh, so is Jona Coleman just like the best running back in the NFL now? Like is is
22:02is like uh, so JK Dobbins had 1.7 PPR points last week. I think he played I I if I remember correctly, I think he
22:12played about 17% of the offensive snaps.
22:14We got no Cody Schrader, Tyler Badie, uh, Tyler Badie on IR, RJ Harvey on IR. They did play Mims out of the backfield which
22:22is what I I guess. It's what I guessed was going to happen. So, it's always nice to get that thing right. I mean,
22:27he's $5,300 against the Carolina Panthers. If they don't trade for Jonathan Taylor, although again, the entire NFL reporting industrial complex is telling us they're
22:37trading for a running back, not even necessarily Jonathan Taylor. Said they called about Breece, said they called about Derrick Henry. I wonder I actually
22:44think Derrick Henry probably does get traded, by the way.
22:46>> I'm hoping for that um as my highest owned best ball player.
22:50>> I think he I think he is There's just like we can't have 34-year-old Derrick Henry getting handoffs from Joey Fagano.
22:56Like it should I it's it's no good. So, I mean, honestly, I think this projection's light. I think 14 points with 51% of the rushes is light on
23:05Jonathan Coleman. I I would probably trend this up. I'd probably go closer to 60% of the rushes and a higher proportion of the touchdown market
23:12share. It just seems like they're The only reason JK Dobbins has not been waived or traded is because Harvey and Badie also got injured. Had Harvey not
23:21been injured and had uh Badie not been injured, I they would have waived JK Dobbins, I think. He Dobbins has been
23:28throwing a temper tantrum on social media about um I I guess probably just being pissed that Jonathan Coleman's better than him.
23:36So, uh he's on his way out.
23:38>> They they also very clearly trusted Coleman down the stretch of that game. I happened to see the end of it. Um he had four fourth
23:43quarter carries to none for Dobbins. Uh the like game-winning drive, they went to Coleman. Uh so, yeah, definitely I think there's reason to think that he
23:53just gets a a bigger share this week than he had last week.
23:57>> Yeah.
23:58Uh is there anything else interesting on Denver? No, I mean, this is the same kind of stuff. There's not really anything interesting with the Panthers
24:04either. I guess Panthers efficiency stuff is maybe sort of interesting.
24:08Their offensive line is just dead. Like they they've lost what they lost their left tackle and their left guard already uh for
24:15season-ending IR, so there's just been nothing there. So, Hubbard is probably projecting a little bit better than he like maybe his baseline should be.
24:27And we have them for really low rush rate. That's interesting. A 33% base rush rate. I mean, obviously Dave Canales would like it to be much higher
24:36than that.
24:39I don't know. Panthers stink.
24:42>> Yeah.
24:42>> Yeah. All right, the Cleveland Browns.
24:44Well, first update of the week. Sounds like it is going to be Shedeur Sanders starting at quarterback against the New Orleans Saints. Are we going to put our
24:53wrist up? I mean, what is the what is the projection that we're now? Is is putting Shedeur in going to help or hurt the Browns offense? Will
25:05will the yards per play, will the completion percentage, will the success rate be higher with Shedeur versus Deshaun Watson? Probably not.
25:13>> Yes, it probably should be lower.
25:16As as bad as Watson can be, it probably should be lower.
25:19>> Yeah.
25:20God God, I don't know, man.
25:23I don't know.
25:25Should like Watson Watson ate This is a great stat. Watson had 50 dropbacks last week, turned that into 37 aimed throws
25:34with a combination of sacks and throwaways. I mean, that is like as bad as That is that is as bad as it gets. Um
25:41I think the other projections mostly look correct for Samson and for Judkins.
25:47Maybe Samson target should be a little bit higher than 6%. Boston 20% target share, Concepcion 19, Fanon 20. Welcome Welcome
25:56to the new reality of the Browns. Like if they Dude, if they had a quarterback, they would be so fun, but they do not
26:03have a quarterback at all.
26:04>> It It's really a shame that the Browns and the Jets have the pass-catching groups that they do.
26:10>> I know. It's so It's so horrible. So, the New Orleans Saints.
26:15One of the biggest questions of the week in terms of like figuring out rest of season baselines, is Jordan Tyson plays,
26:22how much do you nuke De'Von Achane? Do you nuke Olave at all? Does having Tyson on the field help the offense? Does Does
26:28help Tyler Shuck? What do we do? What are What are your just original thoughts with Tyson assuming he plays this week?
26:35>> It should help the offense as a whole.
26:37Um >> For sure.
26:40>> I assume it gets Bryce Lance off the field essentially.
26:45>> Correct. Yeah.
26:47>> Which >> were going to have you were going to have basically Bryce Lance who is I believe him and Jauan Jennings are the
26:53two worst targets per route run players in the NFL this season. You're going to remove one of the worst targets per
26:59route run players and going to add in a guy you'd expect to at least be league average, probably better and in terms of
27:07targets per route run. I mean, it's really bad for Valdes-Scantling. I think Olave can obviously still be fine, but it's really bad for for
27:12Valdes-Scantling.
27:13>> It's bad for Valdes-Scantling in terms of targets, I would think. Like the the nice thing here for Valdes-Scantling is that
27:22Bryce Lance runs a ton of routes, so you can take like mostly his routes and and assign them to Tyson, I think.
27:33Without Valdes-Scantling necessarily losing a ton of routes, but obviously like having Jordan Tyson on the field is a lot of a lot more target competition
27:41than Bryce Lance.
27:42>> Yeah.
27:43Um I don't I don't think either of them are really plays this week though. Uh the New York Giants against the Philadelphia
27:50Eagles. I mean, man, I want to I want their team total to be better. I want their pass rate to be better. So as it
27:57stands right now, 31% of the targets for Neighbors, 24% of the targets for Likely. Both of those are correct. Um it's just it's hard to get them playable
28:05cuz it's such a low total spot, but we know the stuff is going to be so condensed. There's two interesting elements in the backfield, which is one,
28:14Scat back finally had a good role in the last game and looked good against the Commanders. Then he got injured. So
28:21he injured his hamstring. He is still listed with this injury. We'll see if he's able to get in full practices this
28:27week. Um Assuming this is the backfield, Scat back and Singletary, I mean, 57% of the rushes, 8% of the targets has
28:36him pretty pretty playable. Um and then I'm like I mean there there would be a chance this roster is down to just
28:42Singletary as well if Scat Abu is still still nicked up.
28:47>> Yeah, um my only marginal and it it's I think projected right here, but uh yeah, like 60-ish percent or whatever
28:57for Scat Abu on Do you have any concerns and I mean I do, but I don't really know what to do with it from a projection
29:02standpoint.
29:03Isaiah Likely 11% target share in the first full game with J.J. McCarthy?
29:08>> So, I I looked into this and um that game they basically just said this guy's not beating us. Like it's
29:17it's basically like Neighbors is they gave Neighbors a bunch of one-on-one um like go go beat this guy and guess what?
29:24I mean, if you line Neighbors up one-on-one, he's going to win that match-up a ton. I'm really I'm I'm obviously would be a little bit more
29:32marginally worried about Likely because I think he's coming from a lower baseline of talent. Like I was not one of these guys that like Likely coming
29:40into the season. I thought he was a horrible pick. I was clearly wrong about that.
29:45Also, I mean, I have a time-share on J.J. McCarthy Island. I'm not living there full-time. I'm not ready to like fully commit to the bit, but like I
29:52could sell that time-share. Like I could get out of it. I'd lose a little bit of money, but I could get out of it. Um I
29:57I'm pretty curious about him. Like I think he's probably playable honestly at 4,800 because the Eagles you know, the Eagles are similar team-level quality to
30:07the Colts right now where they're just like they're they got nothing. They don't even want to win these games.
30:11They're they're just really nothing interesting about the team. I mean, if anything, I would maybe even trend the Scat Abu target share higher
30:20because that is what It's just so funny.
30:23That is what he did last year. They have been loath to use him that way. I don't know why they've been loath to use him
30:28that way. I don't know why they keep doing this stuff with Tyrone Tracy and Singletary. Like Singletary still mattering in an NFL running back
30:34rotation in 2026 is crazy stuff. But it's again in a slate where you're just kind of trying to save money.
30:43Like Singletary is literally half the price of Raheem Mostert, you know?
30:47So I I I if if we could get him to a 10% target share I I'd feel good about that.
30:52>> Yeah. And also I mean for Singletary it does matter that Raheem Mostert is hurt now. I overlooked it at the beginning
30:58but like they even though Singletary was the one that you know like dominated in in fantasy production last week.
31:04Raheem Mostert had six carries, Singletary had Nope, that was week seven. Never mind.
31:08Yeah, no week seven was last week, right? Or no week eight was last week.
31:10All right, never mind.
31:11Wrong wrong page. Ignore that.
31:14On to whatever you were going to say.
31:16>> Yeah. Uh I guess on the other side on the other side of the on the other side of the game
31:23I mean Saquon, like what's going on here? He he's playing half the game. I mean if Saquon gets traded, Matt Breida
31:29would be a gem. What about I guess what about Lemon? Lemon only being $4,700 is wild. Um I mean he he is like dominated
31:38he has dominated targets for them. So I I feel like I mean we have DeVonta Smith in I would expect DeVonta Smith doesn't play. I
31:46mean is a 25% target share for Lemon too low?
31:51>> I'd expect like >> I would think >> He's he's been like 23% each of the last two with no Wix and and no Smith. I
31:58think that's that's reasonable. Um also the Giants were on bye last week. So what I was going to say does matter.
32:03Raheem Mostert had six carries, Singletary had five. Like there is a chance that you just get basically all of the Raheem Mostert carries going to
32:08Singletary also.
32:11>> I would think Singletary is more likely to get the carries where Singletary is more likely to pick up the passing. Maybe that's wrong.
32:19Maybe that's maybe that's backward.
32:22I don't know.
32:23I don't know.
32:23>> Like I I think I think the most likely case is that you kind of just get them split up but like there is that path.
32:30Raheem Mostert being out makes the ceiling for Singletary higher. Like he can just get more than you're expecting.
32:36>> Yeah. That's true. That's true.
32:3928% target share for Lemon. Can I Can I talk you into a 28% target share for Mecole Hardman with no DeVonta Smith?
32:46>> That seems very high.
32:48>> Let's see. I I I honestly don't know.
32:50It's 28% in my mind, but let's go look up the two games with no DeVonta Smith and let's see what he
32:55>> 23 week 7, 23 and 1/2 week 8.
32:58>> God, who is getting all the targets for this team?
33:01>> Just spread out like >> Hollywood Brown had 15.
33:05Um I realized I was technically has been as a 21% targets per route run. He's just barely played. All right, that's
33:12probably aggressive. I do think Mecole Hardman will end up being chalk.
33:17Um chalkish. Not like not like 16% or not like 30%, but maybe more like 14 15 16%.
33:26>> You think he gets that high with Tanner McKee at quarterback?
33:29>> They're They're Well, they're actually throwing a lot. Like their rush rate is so far down cuz they're they're behind in all these games.
33:34>> like an 18-point total.
33:37>> I mean, people don't care about that.
33:38Like all they all they want is like the you know, their their stupid volume.
33:42And he's also gotten good results, you know, 6 for 57, 7 for 67 in the two games with no DeVonta. People are
33:47They're They're into the results.
33:49>> Yeah.
33:50Yeah, I got Yeah, I could see him getting to like 10, 12.
33:53>> All right, the Detroit-Miami game.
33:5745% rush rate for the Lions here because they are billion-point favorites on the road. The Lions tend to run a little bit
34:04more than the uh they they tend to run a little bit more when they're on the road, when they're not in the dome cuz
34:09they don't want to expose Mr. Goop. I mean, obviously Gibbs projects for a million.
34:15In terms of like stacking and stuff though, I don't think you want to do the Goff doubles, which generally have actually
34:22worked in these spots. If you go look at the Dan Campbell Goff stuff, they actually like smash when they're huge favorites cuz they keep trying to score,
34:29but I don't know if you want to do that in this spot where the Lions are like kind of scuffling on off They're not
34:36scuffling, but like They They They miss having another running back to toss in there. They're coming up a hard game against the Vikings. This is a road game
34:43against a team that plays slow as [ __ ] The Dolphins want like every game. They want to run like 40 offensive plays is
34:50is their absolute dream. So, I mean I wonder if our overall play volume stuff might just mean that outside of Goff or outside of
34:58Gibbs none of these guys really projects or Sims that well.
35:02>> Yeah, I think that's possible.
35:03I mean I do think it's important to keep in mind what you said that like when the lines are different than other
35:08teams in that when they do blow out their opponents, they just keep going and those golf double stacks can work. But yeah, pace not ideal here.
35:18Obviously Gibbs would be the priority.
35:22>> All right, what about >> as hell.
35:25>> So, the Dolphins actually do have a 21.5 point team total. Malik Willis projected for 17 points in our stuff right now. We
35:32have him for 20% of the rushes. He only ran one time for two yards last week.
35:37I'm really hoping that that doesn't um you know, in in fact the sample too much. But they also have the most
35:44annoying rotation of pass catchers. Last week all of the guys who ran above 60% of the routes. So, Malik Washington, Caleb Douglas, Chris Bell, and Greg
35:52Dulcich had either five or six targets, which I'm sure makes all of those guys feel all warm and fuzzy, right? They're
35:58like they're like, "Oh great, you know, we're all we're all trying to win games, yada yada." Really annoying for fantasy.
36:04And then and then Kevin Coleman scores the touchdown as well. Which is like the it's This is I mean, look, if you're playing
36:11Dolphins pass catchers, you probably are either playing like super lotto 150 max field or you you need to come up for
36:18air. But I don't know. Did Olli Gordon keeps getting a billion touches as well.
36:23>> Yeah.
36:25The bull case you could look at for the Dolphins is that like what other team allows you to roster a wide receiver one
36:31for $4,200? Or any given week $3,300?
36:34Like it could be Chris Bell week. But yeah, obviously not a super appealing passing game.
36:38Dulcich did see that bump in route participation that I know you and I talked about. He went from 68% week seven to 81% last week. Did lead the
36:45team in route participation. So, like that is something to you know, hang your hat on I guess if you're trying to pick out a Dolphins
36:52wide receiver, but obviously that has its flaws. But yeah, Gordon taking over the backfield.
36:5819 carries last week. Jaylen Wright had two.
37:03>> Yeah, I mean Jaylen Wright Jaylen Wright is a zero. The The issue is basically just that they're not they're not
37:09throwing him the ball. You know, they're just they're they're they're not if you don't you don't throw you don't throw the guy the ball, what what can
37:16you do?
37:17All right, the Houston Texans playing against the pathetic Los Angeles Chargers. Potentially David Montgomery back this week. If no Montgomery is Woody Marks finally going to have a
37:28good game? Will we finally have a good Woody Marks game if if Montgomery doesn't play? I mean, it's hard because he's so bad, dude. It's crazy how bad
37:37this guy is. But everybody has a good game against the Chargers. How do you How do you not get there against the Los
37:43Angeles Chargers? Kyren Kyren and Corum both got there against the Chargers last week.
37:49>> Yeah, I mean the opportunities will be there. That's kind of all you can say for Woody Marks.
37:53Like every time it looks like he's going to actually have the good game, he manages to get hurt also. I have learned
37:59that from experience, but yeah, good spot. He'll get ownership.
38:03He'll project well.
38:04It's Woody Marks.
38:07>> Yeah. All right, so Jaylen Knoll on IR out for the rest of the year. Tank Dell is back.
38:14Marvin Harrison Jr. Now they they got through the bye week.
38:18Marvin Harrison Jr. is 4,500. We have him for a 13% target share. Do you think that should be more like My guess is is
38:26that they want Marv to be a full-time player in this game. I don't know if it's going to work. My guess is their
38:32game plan coming in is that Marv is their Y wide receiver opposite Nico Collins.
38:39>> I think that's a I mean, that's my guess also. You take advantage of the bye week. You get you know, he he got a
38:44little bit under his belt for two weeks or whatever and then you get the bye week and now he can go play. Uh Um
38:50that's my guess. Obviously that is very susceptible to being wrong. There's a lot of different things that they could do but
38:57seems like a good guess. Uh he's been at 12 and 14% target shares in his first two games. So they have
39:05been making, you know, relative to how little he's been on the field, they've been making a concerted effort to get him the ball when he's been out there.
39:11Um Yeah, I mean, I'm on the same page as you. It's obviously really volatile.
39:19>> Uh no. Why it Why Why is the slot in some offenses and then sometimes it's not? Sometimes it's the Z and then
39:26sometimes it's called the flanker. It I guess it depends. Um I I don't I guess I don't know the specific verbiage of what
39:32the Texans offense does. The The boundary wide receiver >> the opposite receiver for the goal line.
39:37>> Yes, correct. So also, I guess another interesting thing I would just about Marvin Mims Jr. is like Dalton Schultz had that one big blow up game and then
39:45completely disappeared from the offense, which does There are actually a lot of targets here for Marvin Mims Jr. with Noah out now
39:54because he would also be stealing snaps from Xavier Hutchinson and Keshawn Boutte. Like Tank Dell is going to be slot only. Although I would think I mean
40:02Tank Dell is going to run about seven routes here. Like Tank Dell is not He's not going to The The Texans beat writers before the
40:10season were saying like the issue is not that he can't run routes or not that he can't do. It's just that he has no
40:15ability to recover. Like he like the guy gets tackled once and then it's just like it's too much for him to ramp back
40:21up. Um Let's just actually, you know what?
40:24We're just not talking about the Chargers. Completely non-fantasy relevant team. All right, most annoying spot of the week. This is probably This
40:31is more annoying for seasonal fantasy football like for redraft than it would be for DFS.
40:37Absolute saga here in the Arizona Cardinals backfield. So Jeremiah Love comes back from injury last week.
40:45Starts the game.
40:46Looks really good. I think he had 22 rushing yards in the first quarter.
40:50He injures his ankle. He goes out. Bam Knight subs in for him. Bam Knight had been ahead of Tyler Allgeier.
40:59Bam Knight immediately gets a gnarly concussion to the point that I don't even know if Bam Knight is going to be
41:05able to play this week.
41:08So, is Tyler Allgeier against the Seattle Seahawks about to run into like 85% of the rushes, 10% of the targets? He
41:16played 40 of 40 snaps last week after they I mean they didn't have another running back active. I can't see Jerome
41:24Ford or Evan Hull really being a huge part of the rotation. Maybe Jerome Ford is able to be a passing down back.
41:29>> Yeah, I was going to say I bet you get like Jerome Ford as the passing down guy.
41:33>> Yeah. What do you What are your thoughts on how to project this stuff?
41:36>> Um I think you give the vast majority of the carries to Allgeier, you know, probably something in like that 65-70ish
41:42percent range. Um but also obviously it's a horrible match-up and he's on a horrible team that projects to not score points.
41:51>> Valid. And then what about the Michael Wilson rib injury? We only have him for 24% of the targets. I mean, also I this
41:58will also end up mattering because the Cardinals now are down all their wide receivers. So, they they hit I think this is going to be
42:08their 11 personnel. I think it is going to be Michael Wilson, Reggie Burel, Trey McBride. And I would guess they actually
42:16>> probably just play Elijah Higgins as a receiver instead of playing Devin Duvernay or Semi Fehoko. But these guys are 3,700, 3,200, 3,300, and 2,500. Are
42:28any of these guys playable?
42:33>> Mega field millies maybe, I guess, cuz they're so cheap and like they'll be on the field. Um but I mean obviously excluding Wilson and
42:42McBride, like they're always playable.
42:43But um yeah, I mean the team has like a 15-point total. The match-up's terrible.
42:49They're in Seattle.
42:52They're I probably won't mess with it.
42:56>> Yeah. I I want to just because again, there are so few cheap guys, but I think you're the match up is is too brutal.
43:05So Charbonnet >> trade on Burks at that price over anybody?
43:07>> Yeah, give me give me That's true. Yeah, give me give me Trail on Burks. That's that's valid. So, the uh the utilization last week for the
43:15Seattle Seahawks actually broke down honestly, like exactly how I expected, which was they were going to try and force it to Charbonnet early. Uh
43:24Charbonnet was not able to do anything because he's not any good. Price would end up leading the team in rushing, which he did. The thing that actually
43:31was more surprising to me, there were two things. First, that George Fant played at all. I mean, what's the point of George Fant if you
43:40have George Fant at home, which is actually Charbonnet, right? I mean, Charbonnet is just like the non ter like if if Charbonnet is a 75 overall in
43:50Madden, Fant is like a 63 overall.
43:53And then, Price they didn't play on long down and distance um at all.
43:58I mean, I would [ __ ] love to play DeeJay Price here. If I knew I was going to get 15 rushes from DeeJay Price here
44:04at 5,300, I would be jamming him in. The issue is I bet it's going to drift the other way, whereas Charbonnet keeps
44:10playing. He's going to keep playing more. He probably was on a pretty firm snap count in that game against the Bears, and he will be on
44:19less of a snap count here. I I don't I don't really know. What are your What are your thoughts here?
44:24>> Yeah, I'm with you. Like I I like the idea of like DeeJay Price just like He got 10 carries last week. Uh he takes
44:30over. Like, you know, he's just They they lean on him this week. I think it's more likely that they just keep trying to get Charbonnet
44:38more, you know, one working his way back just from like a you know, a pitch count standpoint, being able to play more. But
44:43then, it's also just so easy. Like, if Charbs is a guy that you like, and obviously the Seahawks do, it's very
44:48easy to be like, "Oh yeah, well, he ran like [ __ ] because it was his first game back, and you know, he's just going to
44:52get more efficient and get better. We just have to keep getting him touches, blah blah blah. Um So, yeah, I would like to just like
44:58click on J'Juan Price and watch him just run over the Cardinals, but I assume it's just going to be they keep finding
45:05ways to get Charbonnet involved enough to make that not super appealing.
45:08>> Yeah, 100%. So, I don't know. I guess that's I I I want to I want to slide Price to 50% of the
45:18rushes. Maybe I will do that on Sunday.
45:20Maybe I'll just take >> out the the 8% from Emmanuel Wilson has to go somewhere. And the >> Yeah, well, it's it's I mean, yeah, he
45:25didn't >> That that's 12% between Wilson and Jones in like the baseline projection that are that need to be split between J'Juan
45:32Price and Zach Charbonnet.
45:34>> I wonder I wonder if they um I wonder if they trade him. Emmanuel Wilson. There There plenty of teams that
45:40could use. Like Emmanuel Wilson would would probably immediately be the best running back on the the Packers again.
45:46You know, Packers Packers are probably saying "Damn >> He's the Commanders lead back probably.
45:50>> Yeah, wish we wish we still had him."
45:52Speaking of the Packers, the Green Bay Packers so nothing really I mean, the backfield is what it is. Good good spot here. Uh
45:59Watson coming back from the injury, any thought on docking his projection a little bit or any thought on bumping Saquon Williams' projection this year? I
46:09mean, he just is like an every-down player for them at this point.
46:13>> Yeah, I mean, I may- maybe docking Watson a little bit, but also I assume that he's fine.
46:20>> He He is fine. It's just like also like the Matthew Golden stats are [ __ ] insane. Like he just
46:26I It's insane how many how often he drops the ball, but it's also insane how how many targets he earns. I For a
46:33little bit, he was leading the entire NFL in targets per route run.
46:37Um I I don't know if he I don't know if he still is.
46:41Um if Let's see. If I do minimum 100 routes. No, the only The only player with more targets per route run than
46:48Golden is uh is Puka, LaPorta, JSN, Saint Brown, Neighbors, and Flowers.
46:54That's it.
46:55It's just It's It's actually pretty insane.
46:58>> Yeah, and I don't remember if it was on the show with you or if it was with Neil, but like I had pointed out that I
47:03think there's a tendency to come in a little bit low on Golden's target share and a little bit high on on Watson's.
47:09Like they're not actually that close.
47:11It's 25% for the year for for Matthew Golden. It's 20% for Watson. You just get like the really big plays from
47:17Watson and you know, the you get big games. Like he's obviously good, but I think there's a tendency to kind of just like under project Golden,
47:23over project Watson. And then of course immediately they just started peppering Watson until he got hurt. But in general um from a target standpoint, like it's
47:32actually not as close as like the baseline is is showing.
47:36>> Yeah. Packers side, I'm ready I'm ready to lay down a marker here. One, AJ Brown's not going to play maybe for the
47:43rest of the year with this degenerative knee condition, but I'm ready to say he's not going to play. So slide him to
47:47zero.
47:48I want to get DeMario Douglas to like a 22% target share. Also, Chisholm right at a 26% target share. They did like
47:57some short like quick stuff to him last week, which is what you would imagine Efton Chisholm being. Like when you look
48:04at Efton Chisholm, you're like, oh, well surely he's just a slot receiver who just like gets like four-yard passes and that actually has not been how he has
48:11played as a member of the Patriots.
48:12That's been all Douglas. Williams scored the nice touchdown last week, but it's just never going to earn volume cuz he can really not do much other than beat
48:21like press man coverage in a in a pretty straight line. And then Reardon got priced up at 3,500, but I'm not
48:27expecting Hunter Henry to play here. I think 14% target share is low. I'd want to go more 18%? Like Reardon I think is already had
48:37um a 12% target something like that.
48:40>> 13 He's gotten 15 twice and 12 once or 13 once.
48:43>> Yeah, like that that's pretty I mean that's really good for a for a reserve.
48:48Uh it's that's pretty good for a reserve tight end anyway. Um and and no Hunter Henry. I mean he ran nine He played 92%
48:55of the snaps after Hunter Henry got hurt. So I I you got to feel pretty good. And there you go. So Holland's
49:00being back is pretty bad for Chisholm.
49:03Chisholm and Kyle Williams will play way less with all I did I had missed that actually.
49:07>> Yeah.
49:08I mean it's not good for Douglas either probably in the sense that like Douglas had a season high route participation last week and now maybe he goes back to
49:15like 70 instead of 80. But obviously from like a positional standpoint it's worse for the outside guys.
49:21>> Yeah.
49:22Um okay, there we go. Set there and now the Las Vegas Raiders at the San Francisco 49ers really high game total
49:29here. All right, biggest question of the week.
49:32What do you do with Ashton Jeanty?
49:34According to Dan Graziano of ESPN, quote, Jeanty hasn't played well while Washington has and the Raiders hopes the soft benching serves as a wake-up call.
49:43If it doesn't, they're content to distribute the carries in Washington's favor moving forward as he offers a more explosive element in the run game right
49:52now. Um I think I just call cap on the idea that Mike Washington is even really then back. He's had like a couple nice runs,
49:59but he's he's been actually very inefficient if you look at like rushing yards over expectation and success rate.
50:05>> Also can't block, so like his >> Also can't block, yeah.
50:08>> You know, he he's he's limited from a being on the field standpoint compared to Jeanty.
50:13>> Yes. Um what are your what are your your thoughts on on that one there?
50:20>> I think they My guess is they go back to Jeanty and it's cuz like obviously they really would like Jeanty to work out you would
50:28think um and they would love it to be one of these things where you know, he gets soft benched and then you know,
50:33it's it's a Bryce Young arc where like then suddenly he just becomes who they thought he was when they drafted him. Uh
50:39so I assume he'll get the opportunities.
50:42But I also am less confident in projecting him for like all of you know, the vast majority of the carries compared to
50:50where you're out where you're at in like you know, weeks two, weeks three where he was dominating touches. Um the baseline here coming in at 46,
50:58Washington 43, Jeanty I think is skewed too much because of last week, but you know, if you land at something like
51:0553 Gentee and 35 Washington or something, I think that's defensible.
51:13>> Yeah, I think that is defensible. I mean, the target share has stayed there for Gentee. Obviously, you like can't play
51:19him if you don't think he isn't going to get any goal line work, but it is I don't know. This to me just feels like
51:25unless you're the most like risk-averse fantasy player of all time, I think you just have to play Gentee like he's the
51:30lead back here and it's a really good spot and his price is so reduced. I think you got to just I think you got to
51:35give him like maybe maybe you do 60/40 with the rushes or something.
51:39>> Yeah.
51:40You know, I >> Yeah, and I mean this is another one too where like the the 5% to Deebo Samuel is
51:43going to get redistributed.
51:46And you can give that to Gentee. Um the you did make a good point about the receiving though and it goes back to
51:51Washington not being able to pass block.
51:53Like obviously, you're not playing Gentee if you think all he's going to do is be a third down back, but he does have like a very locked-in role
52:01there that like Mike Washington is not going to take. So assuming that Gentee does get a relatively normal chunk of the rushing workload, you know that the
52:10passing game work is there.
52:12>> Yes, which I mean on DraftKings full PPR is more relevant and more important.
52:17Final team here, insane team total, 30-point team total for the 49ers. You got McCaffrey, you got Kaelen Black, you have Mike Evans potentially returning.
52:26You have Christian Kirk who ran 15 routes coming back, but then like I I wish I had the answer. I mean, I wish
52:34I could sit down with Kyle Shanahan and know what the distributions are going to be here. I I I wonder if scaling back
52:40McCaffrey rush share even more makes sense and and keeping the target share, but like The dude said he had dead freaking legs.
52:48I mean, how do you I don't even know what you do about that. He He did He did get to go on the bye. And now you have
52:53the team saying that or uh Drew Rosenhaus, Brandon Aiyuk's agent, said he's he's shown up to the facility, he's going to be there. I don't know. What a
53:01What I don't How do you even project a 49ers pass game?
53:05>> Yeah. Um so I mean Evans obviously matters a ton. Uh he's been good when he's on the field. It's just, you know,
53:12being on the field has been the problem.
53:13And I assume if he's back, you're still getting like the 65% route participation that you've been getting all season, not the 90% that you would like. Um but
53:22yeah, the passing game is a mess. 31% route participation for Kirk in his first game back.
53:27Probably comes up a bit. You were at 45% for Kowing. So like obviously that can come down.
53:33>> Yeah. Yeah. I I I mean, look, again, like I would like to play if if I was given a reason to play any of
53:41Cooks, Watson, or Kirk, I I would love to do so. You know, we'll we'll see there. And then Deebo also might find a
53:48way to play this week. Uh it which would which would be way worse for Kittle. Uh all right, guys. That was
53:54Arguing Inputs. Make sure to like the video. Make sure to subscribe to channel. Check out runthesims.com, where we will be updating these inputs for the
54:00rest of the week. And I will see you guys back tomorrow.