Davis Mattek artwork

Fantasy Football Drafting With My Friends

STACKED extracted the fantasy-relevant player signal from this video and kept the full transcript here for context.

2 hr 13 min
Duration
Estimated from transcript
Jul 27, 2026
Published
Mon, July 27, 2026
53
Player insights
51
Players mentioned
Topics
Javonte WilliamsPuka NacuaA.J. BrownAaron RodgersAdam RandallAmon-Ra St. BrownAshton JeantyBaker MayfieldBlake CorumBrandon AiyukBrenton StrangeBrian Thomas Jr.Caleb WilliamsCeeDee Lamb
Player analysis

Player insights

53

A.J. Brown

PositiveProjection1:48

Davis Mattek places AJ Brown in the second tier of 2026 wide receivers alongside Rashee Rice and London, below the elite tier of Puka, Chase, JSN, St. Brown, Lamb, and Jefferson. The team is very confident in AJ Brown's physical status heading into training camp, suggesting no lingering injury concerns.

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Aaron Rodgers

PositiveValue22:06

Davis Mattek favors Aaron Rogers over TJ Hawkinson in the 170s range, believing Rogers is more likely to add points at that draft cost.

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Adam Randall

NegativeDepth Chart13:25

The source wants to see real reporting on Adam Randall versus Rashid Ali to clarify the Ravens' backfield depth chart situation.

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Amon-Ra St. Brown

PositiveProjection56:37

The source places Amon-Ra St. Brown in the top tier of 2026 wide receivers alongside Puka, Chase, JSN, Lamb, and Jefferson, indicating elite-level fantasy value and ranking.

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Ashton Jeanty

NegativeInjury30:30

Mattek identifies health status as the key consideration for Ashton Jeanty's fantasy value, raising the question of how healthy Jeanty is heading into the season.

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Baker Mayfield

PositiveValue15:52

The source is doubling up on Baker Mayfield in draft strategy, selecting him at pick 106 despite being ahead of ADP, stating they would be 'giga mega tilted' to miss him on their team, indicating strong conviction in his value.

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Blake Corum

PositiveRole14:14

McVey recently called Blake Corum a stud who is a big part of what the Rams do, indicating strong confidence in his role and importance to the offense.

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Brandon Aiyuk

NegativeValue35:59

Davis Mattek explicitly states 'We'll not be selecting Brandon Aiyuk,' indicating a clear preference to avoid drafting this player in the draft context.

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Brenton Strange

NegativeValue28:14

Davis Mattek is passing on Brenton Strange, questioning whether he wants to stack the Jaguars that much; Strange's ADP is not particularly attractive relative to other options, making him a fade at his current draft cost.

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Brian Thomas Jr.

NegativeProjection11:28

Mattek continues to like Brian Thomas Jr. and expressed comfort taking him as a wide receiver in the draft. However, the resulting team received feedback expressing concern: 'A little worried about your wide receivers.' Mattek identifies Thomas as a key inflection point in 2026 wide receiver rankings; after Thomas goes, there is a tier that is 'like 40 guys deep,' indicating a significant drop-off in scarcity.

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Caleb Williams

PositiveProjection49:49

Davis Mattek identifies Caleb Williams as an unbelievably good fantasy football quarterback, positioning him alongside Jaylen Hertz as a preferred quarterback target over Josh Allen in the current draft environment, emphasizing Williams' fantasy upside relative to the third-round quarterback conversation.

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CeeDee Lamb

PositiveProjection3:20

Davis Mattek places CeeDee Lamb in the top tier of 2026 wide receivers alongside Puka, Chase, JSN, St. Brown, and Jefferson, indicating elite-level fantasy value and ranking. He would love to draft Lamb at pick 111 but does not expect to get the opportunity, indicating strong preference for the player at that draft position.

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Chris Godwin

PositiveValue15:52

The source is pivoting from Jaden Reed to Chris Godwin as a replacement target to reduce unintended Reed exposure and double up on Baker Mayfield, indicating a preference for Godwin as a better value or allocation choice in best ball drafting.

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Christian Kirk

NegativeInjury0:50

Christian Kirk is dealing with a calf strain that is causing him to miss time in training camp, affecting his availability and draft readiness.

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Chuba Hubbard

PositiveProjection56:13

The source selects Chuba Hubbard in the draft and humorously references being 'the last Japanese soldier still fighting for Chuba Hubbard,' indicating strong conviction and advocacy for his fantasy value.

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David Montgomery

NegativeBust51:57

The source criticizes David Montgomery as a poor draft pick in marathon/cumulative scoring formats, calling him a 'marathon ass pick' and a 'drafter's ass pick.' The criticism suggests Montgomery is overvalued in these specific league formats where ceiling and consistency matter differently than in standard scoring.

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Deebo Samuel

NegativeRole24:27

Davis Mattek is backing off Deebo Samuel slightly because he's less convinced that Debo walks back into a role where he is a featured wide receiver. Mattek speculates Debo will land with either the Raiders or re-sign with the Commanders, but compares his potential career arc to DeAndre Hopkins' decline on the Ravens. However, Mattek also notes Debo scored 11.7 points per game last season, which for his current ADP is an 'absolute mega steal,' and believes he's a better pick than Cooper Cup. Mattek prefers Debo back to the Commanders rather than the Chiefs or Rams, as signing with the Chiefs would hurt Worthy and Rashee Rice.

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DeMarco Murray

NegativeDepth Chart13:40

The source states De'Marco Murray is clearly the Chiefs' lead back right now, with an expanded role for EMTT Johnson.

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Devin Singletary

NegativeDepth Chart14:03

The source would like to see Devin Singletary cut or traded by the Giants to open up the backfield for Tracy, suggesting Singletary is blocking opportunity.

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Emeka Egbuka

NegativeProjection37:26

Davis Mattek drafted Emeka Igbuka as a wide receiver; the resulting team received a B-grade overall from the draft evaluation tool with above-average ADP value. However, the source received feedback expressing concern about the wide receiver group: 'A little worried about your wide receivers.'

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Geno Smith

NegativeProjection37:26

Davis Mattek drafted Gino Smith as a backup quarterback; the resulting team received a B-grade overall from the draft evaluation tool, indicating slightly above-average value at ADP and in advancement metrics.

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Ja'Marr Chase

PositiveValue34:24

Davis Mattek would not take a running back over Jamar Chase in the third round, indicating Chase is a preferred target at that draft position relative to running back options. Chase was also selected early in the live draft, with Mattek expressing enthusiasm ('No better no better way to start. Oh, Jamar Chase actually. Wow.'), indicating strong conviction in the player's early-round value.

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Jalen Nailor

PositiveProjection56:37

The source places JSN (Jalen Nailor) in the top tier of 2026 wide receivers alongside Puka, Chase, St. Brown, Lamb, and Jefferson, indicating elite-level fantasy value and ranking.

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Jalen Tolbert

PositiveValue21:31

Davis Mattek drafted Jaylen Tolbert in the 20th round on a DraftKings team, indicating confidence in his value at that ADP. Tolbert played with Malik Willis at the Senior Bowl, creating potential stack synergy that Mattek leveraged in his roster construction.

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Javonte Williams

NegativeRole7:09

Selected as a running back in draft; part of the core roster construction alongside Ashton Genty, Saquon Barkley, and Emecha Eggbuka, indicating Mattek prioritized him as a foundational piece in the early-to-mid draft.

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PositiveProjection37:26

Davis Mattek drafted Javante Williams as a running back; the resulting team received a B-grade overall from the draft evaluation tool with above-average ADP value. The source received positive feedback on running back selection, with an evaluator stating 'Love your running backs.'

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Jeremiyah Love

PositiveValue46:18

Davis Mattek is easily taking Jeremiah Love at his draft position, acknowledging the pick may be controversial but expressing conviction in the selection.

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Joe Burrow

PositiveProjection54:36

The source selects Joe Burrow in the draft, indicating confidence in his fantasy value as a quarterback option.

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Jordan James

PositiveDepth Chart12:34

Davis Mattek received good reporting from 49ers training camp that Jordan James is the running back two for San Francisco, which the source describes as their favorite bit of news from the weekend, indicating strong positive sentiment about his role clarity and opportunity; however, the source also wants to follow Jordan James versus Kalin Black for the 49ers backfield, indicating the depth chart situation is still being determined. The source projects Jordan James as a fourth-round pick and discusses him as a potential backup running back if Christian McCaffrey is injured in preseason, implying significant upside in that scenario. The source estimates Jordan James has a 62% chance of holding onto his job as the Seahawks' running back; James had a better college receiving profile than Kalin Black with 14.5 receiving yards per game, making him the more secure option.

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Josh Allen

NegativeValue45:15

Davis Mattek is fading Josh Allen in the third round, holding only 3% ownership ($339 allocation) in the Flock League. While acknowledging Allen has a high ceiling and good playoff matchups (Dallas in week 17, Cincinnati), Mattek criticizes his floor and inconsistent scoring, citing performances of 6 points vs. Cleveland, 8 points vs. Houston, and 15 points vs. Atlanta. Mattek prefers to take Allen in the fourth round instead, viewing third-round ADP as overpriced for his risk profile. Mattek characterizes Allen as 'the definition of the 4% exposure blanket'—meaning you don't want zero exposure but shouldn't overweight him—and notes that even a 40-point week 17 performance leaves you 'live' if Allen was a round three pick, illustrating the challenge of quarterback separation.

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Joshua Dobbs

NegativeRole33:12

The source references the Benemy situation with the Kansas City Chiefs, noting that quarterback turmoil is typical for the organization's offseason, which may affect offensive personnel and role clarity.

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Justin Jefferson

PositiveValue51:27

A commenter praises a Justin Jefferson take made by another participant (Tyler) as a great PPR selection, indicating confidence in Jefferson's fantasy outlook and value proposition.

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Keenan Allen

NegativeMatchup33:53

Davis Mattek prefers Keenan Allen to sign with the Colts rather than the Chiefs or Rams; signing with the Chiefs would be bad for Worthy and Rashee Rice, while signing with the Rams would be 'really, really bad for T Ferg.' This indicates the source's preference is based on minimizing negative externalities to other players on his roster. Allen is also viewed as an acceptable late-round wide receiver option when all tight ends are gone.

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Kenyan Drake

NegativeProjection37:26

Source drafted Kenyan Drake as a late-round running back option; the resulting team received a B-grade overall from the draft evaluation tool with above-average ADP value.

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Lamar Jackson

NegativeValue34:04

In a half-PPR league, Davis Mattek would not take Lamar Jackson in the third round, indicating the quarterback's ADP is too high relative to the source's valuation in that format. The source prefers a double running back start in half-PPR scoring.

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Marvin Harrison Jr.

PositiveValue0:00

Davis Mattek is not as bearish on Marvin Harrison Jr. as many other analysts, arguing that a top-five pick who shows promise won't be benched. Mattek notes that Michael Wilson's production came with Harrison off the field or hampered, and the offense won't be structured around Wilson. He implies Harrison's current sixth-round ADP is too low relative to his talent, despite Harrison leaving training camp early and falling in average draft position.

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Mason Taylor

NegativeValue33:18

Mattek never selects Mason Taylor in drafts, stating 'How often do I click Mason Taylor? Uh none. Never,' indicating a complete lack of draft interest or preference for the tight end.

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Matthew Golden

NegativeValue16:58

The source agrees Matthew Golden is a good pick but questions their degree of confidence in him; does not want him on the first page of exposures and passes on him later in draft, suggesting conviction level does not justify early or frequent selection.

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Mike Washington Jr.

NegativeRole32:40

The source identifies Mike Washington as the clear running back two on his team, suggesting he has a defined backup role. Mike Washington is the clear running back on his team, establishing him as the primary ball carrier and likely lead-back option.

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Miles Sanders

PositiveRole33:26

The Raiders worked out Miles Sanders; Davis Mattek notes Sanders previously had a role with the Jaguars, mentioning 'Miles Sanders did shove Jaden Blue for a little bit last year,' indicating Sanders has depth chart utility and can displace other backs in a new system.

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Puka Nacua

PositiveProjection34:24

Davis Mattek would not take a running back over Puka Nacua in the third round, indicating Nacua is a preferred target at that draft position relative to running back options. Mattek places Nacua in the top tier of 2026 wide receivers alongside Chase, JSN, St. Brown, Lamb, and Jefferson, indicating elite-level fantasy value and ranking.

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PositiveProjection43:03

Puka Nakua was Davis Mattek's first pick in the live draft, selected at the four slot, indicating a strong preference for the player early in the draft.

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Rashee Rice

NegativeMatchup33:55

Any wide receiver signing with the Chiefs (Keenan Allen, Stefon Diggs, or Deebo Samuel) would not be great for Rashee Rice's target share and fantasy value, indicating concern about target cannibalization. Davis Mattek places Rice in the second tier of 2026 wide receivers alongside AJ Brown and London, below the elite tier of Puka, Chase, JSN, St. Brown, Lamb, and Jefferson.

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Saquon Barkley

PositiveProjection7:05

Selected early in the draft as part of a running back-heavy strategy; Mattek anticipated four to five running backs through six rounds and included Barkley as a core piece alongside Ashton Genty and Javvante Williams. Later drafted as part of a four running back, one wide receiver build. The resulting team received a B-grade overall from the draft evaluation tool with above-average ADP value, and an evaluator stated 'Love your running backs.'

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Stefon Diggs

NegativeProjection27:12

Davis Mattek drafted Stefon Diggs as a wide receiver; the resulting team received a B-grade overall from the draft evaluation tool with above-average ADP value. However, an evaluator expressed concern about the wide receiver group, stating 'A little worried about your wide receivers.' Mattek noted that Diggs signing with the Commanders is acceptable, but signing with the Chiefs would be negative for Worthy and Rashee Rice on his roster due to target share cannibalization.

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Tahj Brooks

PositiveDepth Chart13:13

Davis Mattek believes there is room for Taj Brooks to become the running back two for the Bengals ahead of Perine, indicating potential for role elevation and opportunity; the source suggests Brooks could take the Bengals' lead back role ahead of Evan Perine.

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Terrance Ferguson

PositiveRole0:37

Davis Mattek is high on Terence Ferguson for the Los Angeles Rams, projecting him as the team's third wide receiver and tight end one, indicating significant offensive role and target opportunity.

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Tory Horton

PositiveInjury1:57

Tory Horton avoided the physically unable to perform list, clearing him to participate fully in training camp without injury restrictions.

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Travis Hunter

PositiveBreakout23:05

Davis Mattek highlights Travis Hunter's recent YouTube video where Hunter self-compared to Xavier Worthy 2.0, expressing enthusiasm about the comparison and its draft relevance. Mattek drafted Hunter to set up double stacks in roster construction. Hunter received 36% exposure in Mattek's max-entered pre-draft contest on Drafters, reflecting meaningful draft interest and conviction in the player's fantasy value.

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Trevor Lawrence

PositiveProjection15:19

The source drafted Trevor Lawrence as starting quarterback and received a B-grade overall from the draft evaluation tool, indicating slightly above-average value at ADP and in advancement metrics.

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Ty Simpson

NegativeBust40:31

Ty Simpson was heavily drafted by Davis Mattek in pre-draft contests, with eight pre-draft teams built around him and six paired with Matthew Stafford, but the strategy 'stung' and underperformed, indicating a disappointing pre-draft outcome and potential bust risk.

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Xavier Worthy

NegativeMatchup33:55

Any wide receiver signing with the Chiefs (Keenan Allen, Stefon Diggs, or Deebo Samuel) would be bad for Xavier Worthy's target share and fantasy value. However, Worthy received 49% exposure in Davis Mattek's max-entered pre-draft contest on Drafters, the highest among his pre-draft picks, indicating strong conviction and market demand for the player despite the target-share risk.

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Zavier Scott

NegativeDepth Chart14:06

The source wants to monitor Xavier Scott versus Deont Claybornne for the Vikings backfield, indicating the depth chart is still being determined.

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Full transcript

Episode Transcript

1,087
0:00Man, what an incredible time to be alive. We already have people freaking out over training camp stuff. Marvin Harrison Jr. already left uh training
0:08camp early. He's falling on average draft position. Christian Kirk banged up off to the side. George KD on pup. Malik Neighbors not on pup. Man, do we have a
0:17lot to cover. We are going to draft some BBMs. We are back on the dog app site.
0:23We are drafting out of the 111 in this baseball mania and we are just going to sit and hang out and draft some fantasy
0:29football teams for a while because I am so excited to be back man. Like basically take a snapshot in your mind
0:36of what the average draft position stuff looks like right now because boy is it going to change. I mean I would say as
0:43of right now this is probably the last day that we are going to have static average draft position compared to years
0:50prior. We've got Christian Kirk missing time with a calf strain. The Raiders hosted free agent running back Miles Sanders for a workout. Eric Benemy left
0:59training camp because there was a shooting in his home. Daniel Jones fully cleared full go for training camp. Uh there's been no contract extension for
1:11Baker Mayfield. AJ Brown, quote, "The team is very confident in where AJ Brown is at physically." Tory Horton avoids the physically unable to perform list.
1:22Uh just I mean and the absolute fire hose. The fire hose is turned on. So we are going to be live every single day
1:28here on the Davis Madak baseball channel uh for like more in-depth fantasy football news and notes. Obviously you guys can check out Madak Fantasy
1:37Football. Question here for my guy Iced Milk. Why am I so high on Terence Ferguson? I think that he is going to be
1:45the third wide receiver for the Los Angeles Rams. I think he's going to be their tight end one. I think he's
1:51going to be their wide receiver three.
1:53And that is how I feel about that. We are up at the 111. I finally have my my nice little shiny emerald badge. Uh I
2:00actually would love to take CD Lamb here. I don't think I'm going to get a chance to. Just realized that I'm a
2:06little bit light on him comparatively. I do have 16% of Ashton Genty, but that is who we are going to take right here. We
2:13have got one Mr. Ashton Genty locked in as our first pick of the stream here.
2:19You know what, Wheel Route? I've got some time today. I got my work I got my my busy work done for the day. So, I'm
2:26thinking we can probably knock out like four or five drafts today. I'm thinking no reason we can't do like four or five
2:32drafts today. We are we're going to be hanging out for a while. I have got my model for the EPLL baseball contest on
2:42underdog cooking in the background. So Claude is doing its work on that. So we are going to sit here and hang out for a
2:49while. GMG GM GM GM GM GM GM GM. Um if you guys want to try out I have some new
2:58commands. I've got a I've got a a new chatbot that already looks like it's not working. Uh I just I just typed it in
3:06the chat. Already looks like it's not working. So going to have to make going to have to make some new adjustments to
3:11the old Nightbot. I spent some time this morning working on that. Not quite. Oh, wait. No, it did work. It did work.
3:18There you go. Get a deposit bonus on drafters. Code Davis going to be doing some drafters drafts on the stream today. Hope that you guys will check me
3:27o over there. Uh, will I do an EPL stream sometime? What I will probably do is when my tool is done,
3:36when the the Davismatic EPL draft assistant tool is done cooking, I will I will probably uh pull it up there at the
3:47We'll probably do one at the end of the stream. Uh, do I dabble in any of the six-man drafts, the Badge Bros, Brawl?
3:53The answer to that is definitely yes. We will do at least one of those on the stream today. I would like to max that
3:59contest. I don't know um how that is going to work timewise, but I would love to max the Badge Bros. Brawl. My guy
4:07Nathan is in here with me at night. Who are we drafting with? In the mix, we've got uh what? Stack them dollars, Super
4:14Beast, Rearview, Wreckage, Iro 11, J Boy 11482, No Allowance, Garcia D11, Silky Bets, Blitz All Night, and Rambo Show.
4:25All right, we are cooking in this draft with a little Ashton Genty Saquon Barkley start. I mean, I have just anecdotally noticed this, which is that
4:35from the right side of the board, I tend to fall into the basically the the meta of 2026 best
4:45baseball drafting, which is running back early, running back often. Would not surprise me in this draft if we end up with four running backs through five
4:54potentially even we could I mean I could see five running backs through six sometimes over here. It depends on what's available at 35 and honestly
5:03depends what's available at 59. I I'm thinking about moving Jaren Price even further uh up in my rankings. Where is the screen to see your badge and how
5:12many drafts you've done? You've got to go to the uh to like your user settings.
5:17You've got to click on your the this button in the top right corner. You have to click on on that one. You have to
5:23click on uh on that button.
5:26Seems like the perfect start to run out six running backs in seven rounds just like Pat and Pete did. Yeah. Uh you
5:31know, we'll we'll see about that. I don't know. I don't know if uh I don't know if I'll be doing that. I mean, I I
5:38get it. I I think that those um I think that those sim builds are fine. I I don't I don't actually really have any
5:47issue. Uh whenever you finish your ranks, where can I see them? Because I made some, but there's some spots I'd like to see another POV on. Chris, if
5:53you are in the Discord, I will I will post them. I will I'm going to post all so all the stuff that I'm doing for EPL
6:02baseball. If any of you guys are interested, um go and uh go and check I'll I'll post them in the Discord. So, you have to be
6:12a you have to be a member of the Davismatic channel, but if you're in there, I've got them posted in there.
6:20Uh, I should go golfing today, Mark. No chance. No chance am I going to be golfing today. I will be I probably
6:28honestly am not going to golf for like another six months. I I imagine that basically what I am looking down the barrel of for
6:37the next six months is working.
6:40is is the way that it goes. Uh do I know why there's no marathon contest? Yeah, because it didn't fill last year. So, I
6:49am not going to take Kairen Williams here. I am going to take Emecha Eggbuka.
6:54Um and that is going to be kind of my luxury wide receiver pick in here. And probably my next couple picks are going
7:01to be running backs. Probably honestly probably a running back at 59. It'll depend on what the room gives me, but I
7:09will be happy to take Emecha Igbuka there and frankly I would be happy to take Kairen Williams if he comes back
7:16around which he did not. So we are going to select Javvante Williams which gives us a start of Ashton Genty Saquon
7:22Barkley. Javvante Williams in achuka in BBM which is fine by me. Uh GMG GM my guy first down fantasy becoming a
7:32YouTube member. Give a big salute there.
7:35I quit my job before I started grad school, so I've been golfing every other day. I mean, don't get me wrong, I would
7:41uh I would love to go golfing, Mark. Uh nothing, honestly, very few things would make me happier right now than going
7:50golfing. But, you know, you have your you have your seasons in life, and I'm in a season of my life where my my nose
8:01has got to be on the uh the grindstoneone.
8:05Thought UD would have dropped some new I mean they dropped three new tournaments last week brother. [snorts] Just wanted to say bravo new kid. A lot
8:12of team streaming. Hey Daniel, thank you man.
8:16Doing my best out here. I was in a badge bros brawl the other day. I took Pratt Farmu super early like seventh round.
8:22Was that your bots drafting for you? No.
8:24That honestly was probably that was probably just a mistake.
8:28I was I was probably drafting like five at a time and I honestly probably just made a mistake which uh when you draft a
8:36lot of teams at a time you tend to make a mistake. Uh did you see all drafts aren't showing on the UD completed tab?
8:43Any word to my guy Numei on a fix? Um I'm happy to drop a line to Numei. Let me see if I can uh replicate that. Um,
8:55looks like all of my drafts are showing right now. Sixman's, Eliminator, uh, Superflex, 2026 season, 2026 pre-draft. I that I
9:06think that looks like all of mine are showing, Ryan. But if you are having an issue, I'm I'm happy that was that not
9:13completed? That is completed. That is a completed tab. But if you were having an issue, I'm happy to message Mr. Numei
9:19for you, brother.
9:23Oh, they don't all show on mobile. Well, you know, they're they're reconfiguring the app right now, so stuff like that is
9:32going to happen. Uh, no, I do not live in Florida. I live in I live in Missouri. Oh, click to view on the
9:40actual teams.
9:42I mean, I would guess that is probably just like a pretty temporary thing. All right, let's go on the Dalmatian.
9:48Dalmatian's all showing. BBM's all showing. Pit bull's all showing.
9:52Frenchie.
9:54Um, yeah. I don't know. I would I would have to I I mean, I have, you know, I have 1500 completed teams, so little bit
10:01of of an edge case there. I know.
10:04Honestly, I never thought we would actually see EPL baseball, so I'm I'm very happy. Um, uh, are you the guy with
10:12the M Miller poster in the background?
10:15That's me, brother. Look at my Look at my guy. Look at my guy. right there.
10:21That's my guy. Uh my guy Boner Bryan says that they will show if you refresh a couple times, which is my experience
10:28with completed drafts as well. It's uh it's for us people who have insane amounts of teams. Does look Oh, actually, you know what? I was capping.
10:36I did already move Jaren Price to draftable in this range. I mean, I'm happy to take Quinnon Judkins here. I am
10:42happy to take Jaren Price at this next pick as well and really go on. [snorts] Uh, we can fix the sway. God, Connor,
10:52nothing would make me happier than fixing the reverse C for myself, brother. That would be a true joy and a pleasure.
11:00It I I I want nothing more. It's it's something I think about constantly. Wow.
11:04All right. So, we are going to slight dipino here with Judkins. We do the four running back, one wide receiver star,
11:10Genty, Barkley, Javvante, Judkins, Ibuka. We have a late quarterback setup with Baker. We could easily do Dak with
11:20Javvante. We could easily do Mendoza.
11:23Um, I'm h and honestly, I am happy with any of these wide receivers here.
11:28BTJ, Tyson, I guess what makes more sense for my build. And honestly, I I continue to like Brian Thomas Jr.
11:38Tyson, I have a bigger bag of And where are we sitting advance ratewise?
11:43So, with five running backs, we get to 14%.
11:47Um, we're going to have to take a lot of wide receivers. Definitely a three tight end team. All right. Hey, we're feeling
11:52we're feeling all right about this start.
11:55Uh, had a chess Liam stream on my way to a new apartment. My guy was early this morning. I I don't think I will end with
12:03four because there are some guys later down the board who I think are pretty draftable at the running back position.
12:10Um, you know, I think Bixs is pretty appealing. I think Samson's pretty appealing. I guess I have the handcuffs there. Brian Robinson Jr. I like Jaden
12:19Blue. I quite like Emtt Johnson is a guy I've been getting higher on. Marshon Lloyd, a guy I've been pretty actively
12:25targeting. Kron, I'm targeting quite a bit. Jordan James. We got some good reporting from the 49ers training camp that Jordan James is definitely going to
12:34I mean not definitely as of right now Jordan James is the running back too for the San Francisco 49ers which I think
12:41doubles as my favorite bit of news from the weekend because the thing that I am really dialed in on right now I would
12:52say the number one thing that I'm reacting to quickly in fantasy football and in baseball right now is cleared up running back two battles. So, I think
13:03you have to kind of have to go through all the depth charts and say, "All right, who has a clear running back,
13:08too?" So, the Patriots, we know, the Bills, we know. The Dolphins, we do not know. The Jets, we do not know. Jags, we
13:15know. Texans, we know. Colts, we do not know. Titans, we know. Steelers, we're still waiting for more clear reporting there. Ravens, I actually want to see
13:25some real reporting on Rashid Ali versus Adam Randall. That one's pretty interesting. Bengals, I think there's room for Taj Brooks to become the
13:33running back, too, ahead of Perine. Uh, the Browns, we definitely know. The Broncos, we pretty much know. The Chargers, we pretty much know. The
13:40Chiefs, I mean, I do think it's clearly De Marcado 2 right now, but with a larger role there for EMTT Johnson. The
13:47Raiders, I mean, if they sign my Sanders, maybe we don't know. The Eagles, we know. The Cowboys, we do not know. I mean, more reporting on the
13:55Cowboys, I think, would be phenomenal, right? To to clearly see Jaden Blue be the running back, too. The commies, I mean, every day I'm going to be trying
14:03to mine that for information. The Giants, I'd love, honestly, I'd love to see Devin Singleary cut or traded to really open up. Tracy is a zero running
14:11back guy. The Falcons, we know, the Panthers, we know, the Buccaneers. I mean, again, Buccaneers, I would like more reporting on the Gainwell Bucky
14:19Irving situation. That's going to be one to pay attention to every day. The Saints, we know. Um, the Bears, we know.
14:24The Packers, we do not know. The Lions.
14:27I mean, the market is certainly acting like we know what's up with the Lions. I don't think you can confidently say we
14:33know what's up with the Lions at all. I just Isaiah Pacheco was one of the worst running backs in the league um the most
14:40recent two years, you know. Uh, so I don't think we can say that. The Vikings, I want to know about Xavier
14:46Scott versus Deont Claybornne. The Seahawks, I want to watch the Jerian Price stuff every day. the Rams. I want to listen to the Cororm stuff every day.
14:54We just got a new quote today from McVey or yesterday calling Blake Cororm a quote stud who is quote a big part of
15:00what they do. The 49ers, I want to follow Jordan James versus Kayn Black.
15:05And then the Arizona Cardinals. I want to know uh which guy is not going to be a part of the offense.
15:14So, who's going to get cut?
15:15James Connor or Trey Benson? Wow. Uh oh.
15:19I was on the running back tab. I was like, "Wow, that is insane." I think we just take Trevor Lawrence here. Don't
15:26see much of a reason like one of these wide receivers is going to come around to me and I don't really care that much
15:30which one it is. Is there any way to buy the best ball tools from block without buying the annual package? No. Oh, well,
15:37yes, you can do the monthly package, David. David 74, you can get the the if you do the monthly. Um, it still ends up
15:45being the cheapest thing in the baseball space if you do the monthly.
15:52I just here's the deal. I have got to stop taking Jaden Reed. Um, so I'm gonna do Chris Godwin. I'm going to double up
16:00on the Baker stuff. I just I never intended to have 17% of Jaden Reed.
16:06Really? But yes, if you want if you want to get the best ball tools from Flock, you can just do the monthly and then I
16:11guess what you'd get? Yeah, you'd get a month. So, you'd get a month from now of the best ball tools, which should pretty
16:16much take you to the end of your draft season. And I don't know exactly how much the monthly is. I I want to say
16:23it's maybe 30 bucks, but you still get everything with your with your monthly subscription. It's just you don't you wouldn't get the you would not get the
16:34inseason um you wouldn't get the in-season stuff.
16:38And then I don't believe with a monthly subscription, I don't think you get the voucher. So you don't have like trade
16:43questions, best baseball portfolio review and and that stuff. [snorts] Uh, Lions will use Craig Reynolds or sign someone like Connor. Brother, I
16:51think you are forgetting a young man by the name of Cion Vaky. I agree that Jaden Reed and Matthew Golden are good
16:58picks, but my degree of confidence in Jaden Reed is not such that I intended for Jaden Reed to be on the first page
17:05of my exposures. Right? I like Jaden Reed. I think Jaden Reed is a good click, but he's not a guy that I want to
17:12be on 20% of my teams. Uh, if McCaffrey goes down in the preseason, how high did
17:21Jordan James and Kalin Black go? You know, that's actually a good question because I have not I have not thought about it, Michael. The
17:32answer is that they probably go fairly high. I would also think that the 49ers running is so important to the Shanahan
17:42scheme. They are they are one of the uh they are one of the most runheavy teams and and also slow slow pace teams that
17:54they they really can't survive without a good running game. So I wonder if they're a team that ends up in the
18:00running back trade market or or I mean they could be in the Naji Harris market.
18:04Um, all of that is is fairly interesting to me. I mean, I I think
18:11I would say Jordan James Jordan James ends up being a fourth round pick. How rare is a Gibbs Achain
18:21London combo? Well, luckily for you, brother, Flock Fantasy has that built in. So if you guys ever want to check one of those combos yourself, you can go
18:30to the flock fantasy tool. Gibbs achain London. So I have got over 1500 team. I have 1,200 teams on underdog. I've got
18:42zero of that and that is 0% estimated ownership on underdog. So pretty I mean I' I've never seen a zeroenter uh of one
18:52that someone has. So shout out to you, Patrick.
18:55>> [snorts] >> If they needed a good running game, why would they be in the naggy market? Well, I I guess I was just thinking what
19:02running back is most likely to get traded after the Arizona guys. So, after James Connor and Trey Benson, who else
19:11is really out there?
19:14Is there I mean, could Justice Hill maybe be traded?
19:21Guess like Justice Hill could potentially be traded.
19:25Um maybe maybe uh maybe one of the Commanders guys. Maybe Bill maybe Bill
19:35could be traded, right? Or or or uh or Rashad White. I mean Rashad White, I guess, could potentially be traded.
19:41Maybe Tyler Algier. I don't know. But I I don't I I really honestly don't know what they I I really honestly don't know
19:49what they would do.
19:51>> [snorts] >> All right, we are about to be back up with a 1431 build. Um, we are at pick 106 right now.
20:02I mean, I guess I could do a Golden Love.
20:07Where am I at quarterbackwise?
20:10Actually, you know what? I'm literally just taking Baker right now because I would just be so insanely tilted on this team to miss him. That's a little bit
20:17ahead of ADP, but I was taking him at one of these next two picks either. And if I did not get him, I would be giga
20:25mega tilted. So Gainwell as my running back five. Sort of interesting.
20:30Actually, Rashad White for the week 17.
20:33Do I do that?
20:36Do I do Rashad White for the You know what? Let's do that. We're going to do Rashad White for the week 17. So now we
20:40can be done at running back. Check the construction tools. Three quarterbacks going to get us to 16% historical advance rate. Five actually five running
20:49backs at these costs gets us to to right about average. So even with the very heavy running back start and then we get
20:56to eight wide receivers gets us to 15% historically. I think I think we can actually turn this ship around. [snorts] I think I think that probably should
21:07have been a wide receiver, but that team is that that tier is fairly flat, I think. And there's probably going to be
21:18at least one wide receiver that was still there. Yeah, I passed on my boy Golden. You know, again, it's another like do do I is my degree of confidence
21:27so high on Matthew Golden that I want him to be a first page of exposure guy?
21:31And I don't I don't know if he is. I actually uh I believe I literally clicked Jaylen Tolbert on my stream
21:40yesterday in the 20th round on a DraftKings team with uh with Malik Willis.
21:48Do you feel the need to add a third quarterback if you go double early? I mean, I guess if I had Jaden Daniels and
21:57Caleb Williams, then I would probably not do a third. But also, I mean, one of the hard things is when you get down to
22:06this range, when I'm looking at the Goss, when I'm looking at the Jacob's, when I'm looking at the Rogers, I mean,
22:11look in the 170s, do I really think TJ Hawinson is a better pick than Aaron Rogers? Not really. I I don't. I think
22:18Aaron Rogers is more likely to uh to add points there.
22:23>> [snorts] >> My guy Nick with a 100 jewels. Shout out YouTube for whatever this innovation is.
22:30Someone has not seen Omron St. Brown and so gain well bullish without even trying to be. All right. Well, shout out to
22:35Omron. Uh just joining. Got to hear your thoughts on the shepher Patton Pete just built. Uh I mean I think that those very
22:46early running backheavy teams are fine. I I would not want to draft, you know, I wouldn't want to draft 150 of them, but I think they're fine and I
22:58think you should have some teams that look like that. [snorts] I like Tolbert some. He and Will, I actually did not know this. Good good
23:05info here. Jaylen Tolbert and Malik Willis played together at the Senior Bowl. Travis Hunter's most recent YouTube video. He called himself Xavier
23:13worthy 2.0. Like that I got to see. I mean that that I absolutely have to see.
23:19First time watching live. Hey, big big welcome in, brother. All right, we are about to be back up. We have got
23:29a 253 build and multiple wide receivers that I feel just fine about being our wide receiver. Four and five are sitting
23:39there. Shakir, Shahed, Coker. This is a very dead range of the draft. I could think about taking a tight end here as
23:46well. could definitely just take Travis Hunter here to set up the stack. I'd have two double stacks there. So, let's
23:55do Diggs, who I've ranked the highest.
23:59And yeah, you know what? Living the dream with my guy T Hunter at our next pick.
24:06Bang. All right. So, that gives us a team of Lawrence, Mayfield, Genty, Barkley, Javante, Judkins, Rashad White.
24:12All our running backs have different by-weeks. We have Igbuka, BTJ, Chris Godwin, Stfan Diggs, and Travis Honer. I mean, this is this is the stuff that
24:22champions are are made out of.
24:27Uh, where do I think Debo ends up? I honestly right now, my best guess, true true best guess on Debo Samuel is
24:39that either the Raiders or he ressigns with the Commanders. That is my That is my That is my best guess.
24:51What do you guys think? Where do you guys think DVO goes? What is the most likely landing spot for Debo Samuel? I
24:56mean, I would say the commanders have got to be first.
25:07finding myself at times with the option to double up on the pit running backs often after ADP for both. I've heard
25:14lots of talk about doing with the Vikings running backs. I think it's totally fine. Probably no backfield is going to have a larger share of targets
25:22than the backfield. Did I catch any of the 3M open? Man, I I have a very sad tale for you, which is that, you know,
25:31sometimes things work out really well for me and sometimes they don't. So, here's an example of something working out really well for me. This random one
25:41with Ryan Fox winning at the open, right? Made a thousand bucks. That was pretty nice. Um, here's one that didn't win out very well. I bet on Koune four
25:50separate times, but none of the other parlay legs hit. This parlay leg didn't hit. This parlay leg didn't hit. Four four separate Kooon bets and uh and none
26:01of them hit. So, that was uh that was a bit of a disappointment at the 3M Open.
26:07Is it normal for players to take this long to sign in the offseason for veteran wide receivers? Yeah. Yeah. We that there are there are multiple
26:18instances of this. [snorts] Yeah. Uh I mean Keenan Allen last year, but it's it's
26:28I would say I would say relatively common.
26:34Yeah. Vets are Vets are always uh ducking camp. How long until we panic if we're drafting all the wide receivers not on the team yet? I will say I'm
26:43backing off of Debo Samuel just slightly because I'm less convinced that Debo walks back into a role where he is a
26:52featured wide receiver. Like this could be this could be his his you know DeAndre Hopkins on the Ravens arc. Like I don't think it's the I don't
27:03think it is the the most likely thing, but I I think it is probably possible.
27:12Diggs Diggs I'm I'm I'm actually not that worried about. Debo was actually Debo was actually better than you remember. Like Debo Debo didn't have
27:21like this great season or anything, but he was a little bit better than we remember. So last year, um, Debo scored
27:3011.7 points per game, which for where he is going in fantasy football is just like an absolute mega steel right now. I
27:40don't think he's going to score 11.7 points per game if he doesn't go back to the Commanders, but he should. I mean,
27:45he's like a better pick than Cooper Cup.
27:47Better pick than Well, is he a better pick than Calvin Ridley? Uh, I don't I don't know.
27:54All right, we I'm actually not going to take Brenton Strange. Do I want to stack the Jags that much? Is this after ADP for
28:02Strange? It's not even really after ADP for Strange. I actually think Jawan Jennings is a pretty good wide receiver click here. Jawan Jennings is a good
28:12final wide receiver pick. Do I take Strange? Do I really need this many Jags on one team?
28:20I don't I don't know.
28:23>> [snorts] >> Yeah, Debo. Debo was he was fine. He was fine. I I actually just don't want to stack the Jags that much. I'm going to
28:32take Sadi and I'm going to take three tight ends on this team, but taking Sadi also opens up the opportunity to take
28:39Gino Smith as well. Odds that Kayn Black passes Jordan James once the pads come on. I mean, never say never
28:50say never. I Jordan James is not some phenomenal wide receiver prospect or running back prospect. He's he's fine, you know.
29:00So I I I don't uh I I would say Jordan James has a 62%
29:10chance of holding on to his job as the running back too for that team. How How's that work? 62%.
29:19Uh, who is the better college receiving profile? Definitely Jordan James. Jordan James was uh was a pretty good receiving back in college. I should be able to
29:29pull up the stuff here on the Flock site. Uh, well, actually, maybe not. 14 and a half receiving yards per game. Um,
29:37I mean, the the deal was is he was basically a backup pick. And then Kayn Black. I'd have to actually pull up the
29:44Yeah. Okay. No, never mind. Much better.
29:462.6 six receiving yards per game for Kalin Black. My memory was that Kalin Black when I was building the slap model
29:55was one of the worst running back prospects to ever go in the third round of the draft.
30:02I mean, [snorts] he did look pretty good for Indiana last year, but everyone kind of looked um pretty good for Indiana
30:08last year.
30:16I'm a Titans fan and I went to the Bucks Titans preseason game last year and Calvin really looks so good. Well, I
30:21mean he did he did break his leg, right?
30:24So that is a limiting factor. All right, so we've got Lawrence Mayfield, Genty Barkley, Jvonte, Judkins, Rashad. Did I save the wide receiver room? Ibuka, BTJ,
30:35Godwin, Diggs, Hunter, and Jennings.
30:37Jennings is a very good wide receiver six. He really is. I'm I'm completely fine to that. Yeah. Why throw to I mean,
30:44it's a good point. Indiana had Serat and they had Omar Cooper Jr. and this tight end who's going to get drafted next
30:53year.
30:54And they had um oh, who was the other running back? He who also was uh was pretty good. He transferred from
31:01Maryland to Indiana. He got drafted. Oh, man. He's in my spreadsheet somewhere.
31:06Who does who does Hem is it Roman Hemi?
31:10Roman Hembi. Uh, yes. Got drafted by the Raiders. No. Uh, UDFA to the Raiders, but is currently on the Raiders roster.
31:23GMGM. Pleasure. Thank you for the jewels.
31:27All right. Um, I mean, I I I'm probably gonna take Gino here, I think.
31:35I I actually I actually don't um I actually don't really know why Vegas did not draft uh Sirat.
31:44Favorite wide receiver late in the Eliminator is Taekwon Thornton.
31:49How does Mike Washington do this year?
31:51How healthy is Ashton Genty? That's the That's the whole deal. That's the whole deal. All right, let's do Gino.
32:01Can bake that one in. So, we have our three quarterbacks, Lawrence, Mayfield, and Gino.
32:07And then we're going to take two more tight ends and then one more wide receiver. And that should be good. I'm
32:15going to take one of my tight ends right here.
32:20Man, what a what a bummer. We're all We are all trying to figure out who made Terren Ferguson more expensive, but what
32:27a what a gigantic bummer that T. Ferg is so so expensive.
32:34Kottton, come on down. So that now gives us a 3562 is 17th round Mike Washington. The residual pre-draft slappies. No, I think
32:46it's that I think it's that he's the clear running back too on the team.
32:52Uh yes, I did hear about the Benemy situation. Wouldn't be a Kansas City Chiefs off season without some kind of insane turmoil.
33:00Uh Pierce Pierce has really not fallen that far. Can't say that I select a ton of out Pierce. I mean I think that he's
33:07fine.
33:18How often do I click Mason Taylor? Uh none. Never. Yeah, the Raiders did just work out Miles Sanders.
33:26I guess my Sanders did shove Jaden Blue for a little bit last year. So, shout out to Miles Sanders for that one.
33:35Literally, next time you in you negotiate for an influencer gig, just show them TF's ADP. It's true. It's true. Uh my thought on the new Bills
33:45uniforms is that they are the ugliest thing I've ever seen.
33:49I want Keenan.
33:52Where do I want Keenan to sign to?
33:55I guess I probably want Keenan to go to the Colts and Debo. Honestly, Debo back to the Commanders is probably best for
34:02me.
34:04In a half PPR league, you prefer a double running back start. I would not take Lamar in the third round for sure.
34:11Um, and it would depend on where I was at in that draft, honestly.
34:19It really, it really would depend. It would depend where I was at.
34:25Like you're I'm not taking a running back over Jamar Chase or Puka for sure.
34:30Pierce feels like the worst click on the board. Injured guy with an injured quarterback. Yeah, I'm I'm not a big I'm
34:36not a big Pierce clicker. I think he's I think he's fine. Digs to the commies is fine. The issue is is that most people
34:43who are drafting Diggs and Debo and Keenan, they uh they would be fine for those guys to
34:55sign with the Chiefs. But for me personally, it is uh it's it's not great if he signs with the Chiefs cuz any of
35:03those guys signing with the Chiefs is bad for Worthy and any of those guys signing with the Chiefs is not great for
35:09Rashi.
35:10And [snorts] honestly, Keenan to the Rams would be really, really bad for T Ferg. Any of these wide receivers signing with the Rams would also be bad
35:17for for T Ferg as well. [snorts] People are people are saying the Liam SWCcast episode was amazing.
35:29Shout out to him. Um, all right. So, all the tight ends are gone, as you would anticipate. We need another wide
35:34receiver. Ted Hurst is gone. There's no one late that correlates to any of my teams. Jaylen Null would be an okay
35:42bring back here. Baitman honestly would be okay here. Get a touchdown from Baitman in the right week. Keenan seems okay here.
35:53Malachi Fields could be okay here. We'll not be we'll not be selecting Brandon Aayuk.
35:59Um yeah, let's do let's do uh yeah, Taekquin Thornton.
36:08No, no other Chief on this team. And then Parkinson can be okay. Darnell Washington can be okay.
36:19Kar could be okay. Okay, Jatavian Sanders could be okay. Honestly, it's probably just Cassiki.
36:26All right, folks. This is how you hedge.
36:29Here you go, KBY Parkinson. That's how it's done, boys.
36:35How about it?
36:38How about it? Quincy, you guys are my friends, man. Quincy, you are the friend.
36:46All right, give me a grade. Give me a grade on the team, boys. We have got Trevor Lawrence, Baker Mayfield, Gino
36:54Smith, Ashton Genty, Saquon Barkley, Javvante Williams, Quinn Sean Judkins, Rashad White, Emecha Igbuka, Brian Thomas Jr., Chris Godwin, Stfan Diggs, Travis Hunter, Taekwon Thornton, Kenyan
37:06Sadi, Kateton, and Colby Parkinson.
37:10Looks like a B-grade from the flock tool. Just a little bit above average everywhere. A little bit above average at ADP. a little bit above average in
37:19advancement and a little bit above in uh ADP score and uniqueness as well. Coney says B. Kevin's got a B. Um I will not
37:28be I will not be taking any Higgby and I will not be taking any Claire.
37:33Love your running backs. A little worried about your wide receivers. B+ B C plus B. Didn't take Devontes Walker.
37:41Uh B minus. All right. Hey, I'm taking I'm taking some B minuses. I think all of that is fine. All right,
37:50guys. We are we are introducing a new bit on the channel, which is that we are going to ship a team over here in
37:59the Drafters main event championship. $250,000 first and an engraved championship ring. An engraved championship. Oh, and weekly
38:09prizes. Okay, that's new.
38:12That's new weekly prizes over on Drafters. All right, hopping in there.
38:18Uh, six more to join. All right. All right. All right. Nope. Didn't didn't mean to do that. I don't know what I
38:27just clicked there. Uh, but let's hop in and do that. There link.
38:34Yeah, weekly weekly prizes is sick. Um, if you've not signed up, a link is pinned in the uh in the chat. Uh, you
38:43know what? I I didn't get I didn't get any drafters. I didn't get any drafter site credits. I believe the promo on
38:51drafters is a 100% deposit match up to $200 with code Davis. Um, and then here you can look on the sidebar here, but
39:02generally speaking, um, they have got promos for like if you do 10, if you do 20, you get, um, some free tickets. I
39:10think the eliminator is coming out like this week on Drafter. So, there's going to be a there's going to be an
39:19eliminator contest over on Drafters.
39:23They also have a monthly deposit match.
39:25There you go.
39:28Honestly, the uh the deal they gave me was fine, and I figured it would be good for me to hustle and get some FTDs to
39:36get the uh to get the site credits, but I also honestly I actually um I have money on drafters left over from playing
39:45on the site last year, so we're we're fine.
39:51Uh there you go. Typically a 50% deposit match every month up to deposit. Wow, that's that's quite generous. It's quite generous.
40:01Uh, when do new drafts drop? I think whenever new me wants them to drop is, uh, is I believe how that one works. But
40:10if you've never played on Drafters before, and I actually did. Um, so I max entered the pre-draft contest on Drafters. These are my exposures. 49%
40:21Xavier Worthy, 36% Travis Hunter, 34% Ken Walker. lot of Eli Sters in the uh in the pre-draft stuff.
40:31Gunner Helm, Mahomes, T Ferg. Oh, Ty Simpson.
40:36Man, I was drafting I was drafting a lot of Tai Simpson.
40:43That stung. Ty Simpson drafting was stung. Uh, is the Drafters Championship wearing real gold? I hope so.
40:51Good luck in the Flock League this year.
40:53Gonna be tough against Salvetry.
40:55Hey, S's good player. Smart guy, guy.
40:58Guy knows ball. BBM for sure feels right. I mean, I assume so. Is BBM ever overlaid? I guess it maybe it overlaid
41:06like a smidge last year. I don't know.
41:12Uh people forget in the uh in the first edition of the Drafters Championship, I finished top five. They do. They do
41:20forget. Weekly prizes actually kind of changes how I would think about this contest.
41:25The weekly prizes is is a little bit interesting. Makes me want to makes me want to stack a little bit more. I have
41:31eight pre-draft Tai Simpson teams and six of them happen to be pair Stafford.
41:35I think I'd consider that a good thing.
41:37Man, I tell you what, I I got done I got done by the Ty Simpson stuff.
41:45All right, here we go. Ship it. The $15 NFL Basketball Championship main event is starting.
41:53So, let's do it. Uh, looks like I'm drafting with a bunch of people who are uh who are ballnors, so let's do it. I'm
42:00drafting at the four slot. Let's get her done. It's true. We We do have until September 9th. That's true. The the
42:09season the season basically starts a week later this year. All right. My guy Slade is in the eight hole. Yes. And a
42:17reminder to everyone, if you want to sign up over on Drafters, use code Davis. get yourself a little bit of a
42:22deposit bonus. And then I think for those of you guys who have already registered and want a reload bonus, my
42:29guy Zach is going to get me a reload bonus for those of you guys who are were
42:37already in and uh wanting to to reup.
42:43Yeah. What if what if Tai Simpson to Terg is what you need? 44 days till kickoff. Wow. Isn't that incredible?
42:52Feels Feels like we've been feels like we've been drafting forever. Yeah. Feels like we've all we've been drafting forever. I mean, we've been live. We
43:02have been drafting on the Davis Matic Baseball Channel since the conference championship. Um, all right. Well, hey, here we go. We are going to begin with
43:10Puka Akua.
43:13No better no better way to start. Oh, Jamar Chase actually. Wow. All right.
43:17Honestly, the 44 days is absolutely going to zoom by. That is that is definitely true.
43:32So, for those of you who are uh unfamiliar with this, this is the marathon scoring format. So, it's cumulative weeks 1
43:44through 17.
43:46And although the weekly prizes, man, I'm going to I'm going to have to I'm going to have to really um think more about
43:54that. Uh so, the rankings the rankings are not done yet, but when when they are done and when the Sims are done, I'm
44:04going to I'm going to post that for EPL baseball in the in the Discord. Yeah.
44:11I mean, I I wouldn't really say I'm an MHA guy. I'm not full I mean, I'm not full fading anyone. Manly Moose is the
44:17deal, you know? I'm I'm really not I'm really not full fading anybody.
44:24Why don't UD and DK have a nice notification sound? I don't think UD does. I think DraftKings does, but you have to turn the the haptics on, buddy.
44:32I not only have we've been drafting since March, I'm pretty sure I've been drafting since January. I would have to I would have to check, but I'm pretty
44:39sure that I've been drafting since January.
44:44Uh I am basically full fading Jaylen Naylor. Yeah, I am. I am full fading um Jaylen Naylor. Jaylen Naylor feels like
44:53a like a really bad pick, you know. Sorry.
45:01Okay, let's let's see what happens to this running back wall.
45:05Very uh very curious.
45:08the running back wall. I mean, I uh I don't ever remember the second round being so bifurcated like this in my
45:15life, but like you never really see Drake London or AJ Brown. Uh am I full fading Josh Allen? I think I've got like
45:223% of Josh Allen.
45:26There you go. 3% $339 worth of Josh Allen.
45:32Uh, the entry fee for the for the the flock league is zero dollars. The entry fee for the flock league is uh is being
45:41Mason's friend.
45:43Wow. My guy Moneyline new sub. Good luck in this draft. Hey everyone, everyone give a a salute to my guy Moneyline and
45:51uh check our friends out over on Drafters because here's the deal. I say this every year. Easiest way to support the Davismatic channel.
46:01Deposit on Underdog using code Davis. DK codematic drafters code Davis. Truly truly the easiest way to do it because you're not
46:10even spending your own money. You are you're spending your own well you're spending money but it comes to me and nothing actually
46:18leaves your pocket. I'm easily taking Jeremiah Love there. Maybe controversial. [snorts] uh wouldn't want to give this away, but do you have any good sources for
46:27setpiece takers? So, what I did for EPL baseball is I just I I downloaded all the data from
46:36soccer from football reference for 2025 and then I downloaded all of the data from 2021 to 2025 from Understat and all
46:45of that information got captured.
46:53>> [snorts] >> I didn't draft enough Josh Allen last year, so I take him almost every time in the third round if he's there at like
46:5925%.
47:02Oh gosh, was Josh Allen even a Did Josh Allen even end up being a good pick last year in baseball? What did Josh Allen
47:08score in week 17 last year? Josh Allen ended up being a bad pick. Josh Allen scored 24 points, six points, and 23
47:18points. So Josh wasn't even a good pick last year.
47:22I don't know. I don't know. I have a I have a hard time I have a hard time with that. Oh,
47:28so Neighbors probably is not a great pick in these cumulative formats.
47:36Uh let's do let's do Ibuka. Ibuka. I I actually think the ceiling stuff for wide
47:47receivers is very important in a cumulative format. So if you are playing in marathon scoring, I actually think that is a worse format for those early
47:58running back picks. Uh yes. Yeah. The the announcement is not officially out there yet, but I am going to be in the
48:06Flock League this year. Um, just uh just bought my ticket this morning down to Austin. Uh, big homer here, but Josh
48:16Allen has the highest ceiling by far with the floor about 20. Except he doesn't though, bro. Six points against Cleveland, eight points against Houston,
48:2415 points against Atlanta. I Josh Allen is a fine pick. Like, you know, whatever. do do whatever you want with Josh Allen, but I have uh I have a hard
48:33time taking Josh Allen in baseball in the third round. If he was a fourth rounder, I when I take Josh Allen, I
48:40take him in the fourth round. Um you know, I'm pretty pretty into that.
48:46How many slow drafts do you typically have going at once? Like, uh like 400 or so, generally speaking.
48:57Uh when and where in Austin is the Flock League? So it's the week of the what? It's the week of August 15th. The
49:10fan meetup is on August uh 17th.
49:17Now, I I think that I am probably going to skip the fan meetup though and and get home because I will be leaving a
49:25small infant child at home alone with my wife and I don't know if I can can swing that. I still need to still need to get
49:31all that stuff dialed in.
49:39Lamar plus the sixth round quarterbacks.
49:41See, that's it's it's not it doesn't really have anything to do with Josh Allen. I agree. I agree with Sondo here,
49:49which is that it's not really so much about Josh Allen.
49:53It is about that I think Caleb Williams, Jaylen Her Jaylen Herz, dude. Jaylen Herz is is an unbelievably good uh is is
50:03an unbelievably good um fantasy football quarterback. It's honestly, this is really not what it is. Hey, if I'm being if I'm being dead ass honest with you
50:12guys, and I could say this to to my closest friends, but I am not at the same level of these other guys in the flock league. Let's
50:20just be let's just be real, dude. Like, these guys all have a 100,000, 150,000, 200,000 YouTube subscribers. I love you guys. I love what I do. My channel has
50:3112,000 subscribers. like the the fan meet up for Davis Madak is not going to be um you know a huge a huge uh event.
50:40You know what I'm saying? So no no uh that's you just just being just being real about the situation. The Davis
50:49Madak is is not a is not a is not a big draw, you know, for for the boys.
50:55Burden. Come on, dude. All right, here you go. This is how it's done. A zero a zero wide receiver team.
51:00my first team of the year in the Drafters main event, a zero wide receiver team. [snorts] And that's the other thing, man, is the
51:09matchup for Lamar is so good. I mean, the match up for Josh Allen is also very good against uh Dallas, but that week 17
51:16Cincinnati game uh is big. Wow, my guy.
51:20Uh PPR Tyler, great Justin Jefferson take. Keep doing God's work.
51:27>> [snorts] >> Hey, I haven't uh I haven't I haven't I haven't locked any of this stuff in yet.
51:33So, I I will I it's it's a T It's a TBD situation for Sound Fantasy. True. It's a It's a true It's a true uh GTD. I I
51:43really I really have not decided on any of this stuff yet. I I I we didn't we uh we didn't even know
51:51we didn't even know if I was even going to be in the flock league until like very recently.
51:57Oh, freaking David Montgomery is such a marathon ass pick. David Montgomery is a drafter's ass pick. Come on. Let me let
52:05me ship Let me ship a little David Montgomery here. [snorts] Oh, you are you Tyler. I'm sorry, man.
52:15You are a damn. Okay, he went um All right, we're gonna go Judkins. We're gonna go Judkins. I thought I thought
52:24comping you to Devon Ble was was some of my finest work, honestly.
52:31Josh Allen can score 40 in week 17 and you can still be live if you're round three pick. Yeah, it's just so this is
52:37obviously the whole deal with Josh Allen, which is that the separation between what Josh Allen can do. It is harder for Josh Allen to separate from
52:47other quarterbacks than it is for a wide receiver to separate from the other wide receivers. You know, uh like who do you
52:53think like Kiran scoring 30 is more valuable than Josh Allen scoring 40?
53:01Chudkins.
53:02Chud I I I almost I almost tweeted this the other day. I almost tweeted Quinn Sean Chudkins. Is Is this anything?
53:12I just thought it was funny. Uh I knew there was a possibility once I started seeing you on Mason streams and started
53:17popping up on my feed. Well, hey, always always happy. Um always happy to pop up on on new people's feeds, but uh but I
53:24appreciate you, bro. Tyler, yes. Tyler, not knowing the difference between it's on site and site. Um my guy Tyler, have you Tyler, have you read any books
53:34recently? What's what's the word? Tyler, where where are you at on books right now? Did you did you apply to the uh did
53:43you apply to the ETR job, Tyler? This is what this is what the people want to know. They want to know if Tyler is
53:50reading and they want to know if he applied to the ETR job, man. The uh the So You Think You Can Tout finale is uh is coming
53:59quickly. Very very soon, we are going to have the the So You Think Pete said he wants to have it wrapped up by August.
54:05So, we're we are are just about are just about there. I guess that's true. I guess I guess both both were. He
54:14couldn't read he couldn't read the application. The people want to know who will have more fantasy points this year, Marvin Harrison Jr. or Kendrick War. I
54:22am I am not as I am not as bearish on Marvin Harrison Jr. as many of my other compatriots in the uh in the
54:33fantasy football space.
54:36I think I think that Marvin Harrison Jr.
54:39can kind of be fine. The thing you will realize is if you are a top five pick and you show a little bit of promise,
54:47you are not going to be benched. Like there Michael Wilson's production came with Marvin Anderson Jr. off the field or hampered. And I don't think they're
54:56going to structure the offense around Michael Wilson. I really don't. I mean, hey man, I' I've been wrong about these things before. Wow. Liam should be
55:05drafting on drafters. He can get Parker Washington whenever he wants. Definitely taking Joe Burrow here. All right, so here's the 2v2. If I would have taken
55:12Josh Allen. So Joe Burrow and Ibuka versus Josh Allen. Jordan Tyson death.
55:19Hey, I mean I really like Jordan Tyson, so maybe that one is is close. [snorts] All right. Well, what do I want to do?
55:30What do I want to do next?
55:33I mean, I guess running back is about to fall off a cliff after Raandre goes.
55:38Running back gets very very thin. Yeah, I like I like that 2v2 better. Which is not to say that I would never take Josh
55:45Allen. Josh Allen to me is like he is like the definition of the 4% exposure blanket. That that is that is where that
55:54is where I'm at.
55:56It's like you definitely don't want to have zero Josh Allen.
56:02I listen to a lot of your compatriots in the fantasy space. All I've heard is MHA bullishness. Well, someone's got to be
56:08out. Someone Wow. Am I about to get Jordan Tyson? I mean, I will. This is a podium.
56:13Someone has to be out on Marvin Harrison Jr. for him to have a sixth round ADP.
56:17Everyone Everyone can't be bullish on Marvin Harrison Jr. There's got to be a dissenting opinion out there somewhere.
56:24Man, come on. Don't, dude. Do not take Jordan Tyson ahead of me. You gota take Caleb Williams. Take QJ, man. All right. Uh,
56:34we're gonna take Chuba Hubard.
56:37Last last Japanese soldier still fighting for Chuba Hubard. [snorts] Yes. Drafters is PPR. 2026 wide receiver might be the deepest any position has
56:48been in years. I don't know if I would say deepest. I think it's very flat. So, kind of the way that I think about it is
56:57outside of neighbors who win at 42 here.
57:00I think you've got Puka, Chase, JSN, St.
57:02Brown, Lamb, and Jefferson. They're their own tier. Then AJ Brown, Rashi Rice, and London are their own tier.
57:09Then you've got Devont, Nico, Igbuka, Alave, Flowers, LA. I mean, it's just a giant giant tier. And then after to me,
57:19after Brian Thomas Jr. goes, then I think you have a tier that is like 40 guys deep. And so because it is so
57:28because there are so many guys that you can kind of talk yourself into, it's pretty interesting where if particularly for baseball, we're like, okay, I'm
57:37going to get some usable scores out of these guys, which is definitely true.
57:41You are going to get usable scores out of Khalil Shakir. You are going to get usable scores out of Jerry Judy. you are
57:47going to get usable scores out of Calvin Ridley, out of Taekquin Thordon, out of Chris Brazzle, you know, you're you're going to get all of those scores.
57:58But the big change in fantasy football, and I think people are kind of understanding this backwards.
58:04So, when you see these drafts where guys are going four running backs through six rounds, six running backs through six rounds, five running backs through six
58:11rounds, things like that, it's not so much about the running backs. I mean, it is in a the sense that running back scoring has kind of stayed
58:21flat while wide receiver scoring has gone down and the market is more efficient and better at pricing backup running backs than they've ever been. I
58:29mean, this is an example we've talked about a ton this off season, but a guy like Belle Tutin three years ago would
58:36have been less expensive than Chris Rodriguez. The market would have decided that Chris Rodriguez was the starter.
58:41R.J. Harvey would have been far less expensive multiple years ago because the market would have said JK Dobbins is the starter. No way Harvey would have went
58:48ahead of Dobbins two years ago, three years ago. But because yards are down, pass completions are up, but yards are
58:58down, touchdowns are down, you know, scoring is up, overall points per game is actually up, but that's because of the new kickoff rule. wide receiver
59:07twos, wide receiver threes, wide receiver fours. These guys are are worse scorers than they have ever been. And so there's just not much of a projectable
59:19difference between, I don't know, Michael Pitman Jr. and Jaylen Coker. Maybe a bad example because Coker is not project particularly well. Uh not a huge
59:31difference between Josh DS and Romeo Dubs. Um, for example, man, and I was all set to take Josh Downs there. Why is Mai Lemon available
59:41in the 90s? My goodness. Mai Lemon is a is a great pick. [snorts] Josh Allen feels good to click, but at
59:50the end of the day, there are 31 other quarterbacks. Wise words. Wise words.
59:54The bullcase for heavy running back is ping ponging who hits in the playoffs. I I actually think the bullcase for these heavy running
60:02back starts is ping ponging wide receivers is just saying, "Hey, I took seven wide receivers and some of them are okay." Uh the quantitative thinks
60:12MPJ is a smash. Well, look, the quant the quant knows ball. Um let's do Blake Quorum. All right, here's here's a
60:21little bit of coach speak. I'm buying coach speak that Davis Madak is buying.
60:28Sean McVey calls Blake Cororm a quote stud and says he's going to be a big part of what we do. Our friend Greg
60:34Branos over at uh Coach Peak who I will be on with him tomorrow says that uh Shawn McVey has a 75% reliability in
60:42terms of role and playing time. So I'm inclined to believe him. Kairen was playing less the little at the end of
60:49last year. I don't think Kairen is going to be benched. the Rams are going to have a ton of available fantasy points
60:54for running backs. Like all of that is definitely true, but I I was just very light on Cororum. So, I am definitely
61:02trying to do more Cororum uh as we as we go through here. How many weeks was Josh Allen literally the quarterback won last
61:11year? Well, luckily I can look that up for you, brother. [snorts] Uh the the all the stuff on Tferg has
61:20been giga giga mega bullish. He he called he actually called he called Tferg a stud. Um he called he called T
61:29Fergus and he said that he can play all of their available positions. He can play wide receiver three. He can play
61:36all the available tight end positions.
61:38So it's it's uh very very bullish. Um, if you believe in coach speak stuff, very very bullish on on Ferguson. Uh, so
61:47Josh Allen was the overall quarterback won once, twice, three times last season, he was the overall quarterback
61:56one, which is pretty good. Pretty good.
62:02Although, you know, how many times was Jonathan Taylor um the uh, you know, the overall one? I'm not debating player takes Walker Burden.
62:13Well, what makes you comfortable being 20% on second and fourth round picks after the last couple years where early picks have been the league winners?
62:21You know, I don't know, man. I just You gota You got to believe in something. I guess it's hard. It's It's very hard to
62:29have 8% of everyone. I did I did 8% of everyone last year and it was fine. And I mean, Walker and Burden to me are just
62:36obviously very good picks, I guess, is is where I'm at. To me, I just I I don't see much of a chance that either of them
62:43outside of injury end up not being um particularly good picks.
62:48Where am I at with second quarterback here? Damn, Baker already went. That is that is disappointing. All right, I'm going to take Shuck because I do not
62:58want to be locked out of of second quarterback. [snorts] Oh, this leads me to this question. How often was each position's top guy number
63:07one each week? All right. Well, um I mean I'm sure CMC uh who had who had more overall first week finishes,
63:18Jonathan Taylor or CMC? I bet that was uh was pretty close. It's very good. But what's less than a 20% chance that you
63:25get that week 17 when you need it?
63:27Doesn't seem worth going above everyone else. Well, I mean, so this is obviously one of the hard things about the game,
63:34which is that you just you just cannot optimize for week 17. I know I know Liam will tell you you can and you can do the
63:43correlations and you can do the sacks and you can do the bringbacks, but projecting week 17, like I'm sorry, man.
63:51You you just you just don't know. I don't know. You don't know. Liam doesn't know. David Kitchen doesn't know. Pat doesn't know. Shady doesn't know. Sack
63:59doesn't know like the thing that you can the thing that you can optimize for I am going to take concade. Shout out to
64:06Liam. The thing that you can optimize for is [snorts] advancing as many teams as possible, having teams that project
64:13for a lot of points, you know, but sometimes Marvin Mim scores 30 points in week 17, sometimes he doesn't. And the
64:22the thing the thing that you can control for is having um well ststructured teams that uh that get there. [snorts] I'm no mathematician but I'm thinking
64:34tilting your exposure modestly versus 8% has a small impact on EV but more volatility. Well, I mean you you are correct which is that the EV of your
64:46portfol it's it's all it's all risk it's all risk tolerance you know it's all it's everything everything is is risk tolerance
64:56so the EV of your portfolio just is what it is you could I mean theoretically you could draft the same team a hundred times and
65:07have uh insane ain expected value, but if it just doesn't go your way that week, you're just going to lose anyway.
65:16The week 17 matchups last year played out pretty much how we thought. I mean, I'm just going to guess that's not true.
65:22I I I there's I you know what, actually, I don't even have to guess. I will just say I absolutely know that's not true.
65:29So, I bet we didn't know last year that Jakory Crosky Merritt was going to be the running back three of the overall
65:34week, which he was. Um, I'm going to guess we didn't know the Detroit Lions Minnesota Vikings game was going to have
65:39a total of 33. Uh, we definitely did not think that the leading yard getter in Chiefs Broncos was going to be 43. Uh,
65:47we didn't know Woody Marks was going to lead the Texans in rushing. Uh, we certainly would not have guessed that Christian Watson was going to lead the
65:55Packers in receiving coming off of the the torn ACL.
65:59Uh, Saints Titans. No one had Saints Titans for 3426.
66:05No one uh no one would have known that uh Parker Washington would lead a Jack like there there's there's there's definitely no way that's true. That just
66:14that just isn't how it works. [snorts] Uh will Flock be able to calculate your overall ADP value on your portfolio?
66:21Yeah, it already it already does. So if you if you look at this, you you have your average ADP score weighted per
66:29draft.
66:31So, if you've got if you've got the if you've signed up for Flock, you can you can check all that stuff out. Um, I
66:39actually I actually really like Rashid Jahed um in this in this format. I was going to say that is true, which is that
66:47we definitely knew that San Francisco Chicago was going to be one of those games. I I will give uh that YouTube
66:52commenter that. I'm actually going to take Jawan Johnson first just so I get my stack in. Man, chalk chalk Crod in
67:00week 17. I hope that doesn't exist. I'm gonna be I'm going to be bummed gonna be very bummed out.
67:15I was talking about individual players.
67:16If you look at the team scores, the good defenses play good and the bad defenses got steamrolled across the board.
67:24All right. Well, the Rams lost to the Falcons.
67:28Uh, the Bills lost to the Eagles. I actually forgot about that. Um, I don't know. The Packers had a good defense. They got steamrolled.
67:39Um, the Vikings, I don't know. It's just like so much changes in the course of a season. I I just I think it's I think
67:47it's reductive. I think it's very reductive to say, "Hey, this this went the way that I expected."
67:54I maybe I'm wrong. I don't know. Maybe maybe maybe there are people out there that have a uh a better sense of being like, "Okay, I actually
68:04do know what's going to happen in week 17, but but I I do not."
68:12And that is, you know, hey, it uh it takes it takes all types.
68:20Okay, Trey Tucker.
68:25Yeah, Trey Tucker. Trey Tucker very good marathon style pick because his 147 point game um counts for you all season.
68:36I mean, I think that I still think that you probably are better off drafting guys who are
68:47better picks than being like this guy is going to smash in week 17. I, you know, I don't know. Just forecasting. Impossible
68:58to predict with high accuracy. Anyone had a prediction with high accurate skill would be a trillionaire. Yeah, you you would be you would be you would
69:04certainly be wasting your super forecasting time on fantasy football. It would be a very uh low EV way. Like I actually think
69:14I actually think you see this with the way gamblers treat best baseball. There are millions and millions of dollars to up
69:26to stake in best baseball, but the only the only best baseball like the only highstakes DFS crusher who dedicates any
69:34time to best is Shady because Shady makes money selling the tool, right?
69:41Like Udicow does not play baseball. um like all the all the super super high-end DFS players, they are they are not dedicating time to playing
69:52basketball because it's a pretty unreliable way and a huge a huge time sync. So there is probably a
70:00probably a limit to how like quote unquote plus EV it is.
70:10Like well sorry no it actually there probably is not a limit to how plus EV it is. There's a limit to how often you
70:17can realize that equity.
70:19It's it's very very very very very very very very very very hard to realize your equity in baseball. It's a it's a millie maker slate that takes a
70:31whole year to pay out.
70:34That's that's tough.
70:37Like millie makers and DFS you get what 20 of them in a season for for like DFS and even then you might not be able to
70:44realize your equity. So to get to one season to get to one season worth of Millie Makers, you would have to play
70:51baseball for 20 years, you know. It's it's pretty it's pretty intense.
70:58Um yeah, I'm feeling I'm feeling a Brian Robinson Jr. here as
71:06our running back five.
71:11I don't think uh I don't think the Simbbe stuff loves Brian Robinson Jr., But I quite like to draft Brian Robinson
71:16Jr. Bang. All right. So we've got Burrow Shuck, Jeremiah Love, Quinn Sean Judkins, Chuba Hubard, Blake Cororm, Brian Robinson, Jamar Chase, Igbuka,
71:26Burden, Lemon, Trey Tucker, Dolan Concincaid, and Jawan Johnson.
71:33Oh, I mean, playoff baseball is a blast, but yes, it also the the slate turns over rather quickly, you know.
71:44It's quite nice.
71:50Um, okay. What are we thinking positionally here? I definitely need one more tight end. I also would like one more quarterback. And I'm assuming that
72:00quarterback, if I don't get sniped, is going to be Rodgers. And then I could set up I could set up a Frith. I could set up a
72:10a Jeremy Bernard.
72:22Yeah. All right. We're going to take Rogers. So, we now have our three quarterbacks. I think you you really want three quarterbacks in a marathon
72:28format because you get the huge benefit of the alternating spike weeks. Like you you are adding a ton of points to your
72:36roster. And I actually think four tight ends, if you're doing if you are doing late tight end in these marathon formats, I think that four tight ends is
72:46almost mandatory because you are just going to be gaining
72:54such a such a massive advantage cuz I mean tight ends, it's so funny.
73:04We've really changed the way we think about tight ends. Tight ends are drafted so much more frequently. They do not have particularly high seasonal
73:11ceilings. Like I don't think Pat Footh is scoring 200 points. I don't think that Pat Footh is going to be a league
73:16winner. But I think that Pat Footh is probably going to have what four touchdowns 58 receptions or something. But the key
73:26with someone, the key with someone like that is to build your tight end position in
73:35such a way that you pretty much always have a guy who's getting you like 11 or something like that, you know? So, in a
73:44way, the tight end position is sort of buoied by having more of them. That's why I think that you see a lot of people
73:51drafting Michael Mayer and Darnell Washington and Charlie Kar and or or even guys like Fri and Schultz, you know, these guys who we know what Pat
74:01Fmouth is. We know who Daltton Schultz is. We know who Mark Andrews is. We know who Jawan Johnson is. None of these guys are going to
74:12score. Mark Andrews could maybe score double digit touchdowns, but the rest of them are not going to score double- digit touchdowns, right?
74:21And it this is something that maybe I just frankly am not and I'm I'm maybe just not intelligent enough to interpret,
74:29but these bands of projection for the tight ends are fairly narrow in the sense that they the point totals cannot
74:41get that high, but they also can't get that low. And what I have a hard time with is mentally doing the the math or
74:51the calculus of okay, so I'm giving up this roster spot. I'm say like basically like I'm giving up this roster spot and
74:58I can't I can't have a league winner when I take Kateton.
75:05However, some percentage of the time that league winner, whether it be Shawn Tucker, whether it be Marshawn Lloyd, whether it be Darno,
75:14actually, I'm going to take No, I'm going to take Terence Ferguson. And then I'm going to take Jeremy. But the the
75:20quote league winner types, the the Puka Nua types, the Kairen William types, they carry much lower floor projections.
75:28And the part that I have a hard time with is, okay, well, I know that I'm taking on zero risk with some of these
75:37guys, but what is that zero risk worth? If.7% of the time that guy turns into this
75:48year's Puka, this guy turns into this year's Kairen Williams. And I just, you know, I mean, I I don't have the I don't
75:55have the math skills. I don't have the math tools to to figure that out. You know, it's it's uh for me it's kind of a
76:03an unknowable answer.
76:10Jeremy went, that's frustrating. Sniped sniped on Jeremy Bernard. You uh you hate to see it.
76:20All right, we'll we'll sub him out for Oh, damn it. Okay, I was going to say, well, never mind. I should take Pratt
76:26Farmer, but he I got sniped on him as well.
76:31Yeah, I was going to say Parker Washington did look like the biggest zero on the planet last year. Gotta love got to love those year three breakouts.
76:37Yeah. What if what if Keon Coleman What if Keon Coleman is this year's Park of Washington? What is your com your
76:45your default comfort positional allocation? 2583 shifting to a 2572 plus two because I enjoy the luxury picks.
76:52Uh, I mean, I can actually look that up over on Flock. I mean, I I pretty much already know what it's going to be,
77:00which is the 3583 is far and away my most drafted structure.
77:09Don't even Don't even think uh don't even really think it's it's all that close how often I do that.
77:17Yeah, most drafted 81% of my drafts have three quarterbacks. This the four quarterbacks is from the superflex stuff. Seven wide receivers 66% of the
77:27time. Three tight ends 89% of the time.
77:30Five running backs 43% of the time. So yeah, that's uh that's how I'm playing it.
77:39What if Keon Coleman goes for 1510?
77:45Do we Okay, this is a good question. Do we think Keon Coleman is absolutely locked in? Do we think that the way that
77:52he has responded to everyone trying to bail on him?
78:01Do we think that he's never been more locked in in his life?
78:12Or do we think that he is just like whatever man? football. Football isn't for me. Nick thinks he's locked in. I
78:21mean, honestly, I would get like I didn't like Keon as a as a prospect anyways. So, it's always kind of funny
78:28when you like don't love someone as a prospect. It's like, okay, well, you know what? What are we what are we
78:33really doing here?
78:36Shop has been saying this. Shop has been saying he thinks they are going to bring him back. Shop has been saying that that
78:45Brandon Cooks is draftable.
78:48I don't I don't know. I don't know about that personally. Maybe had a tight end premium draft last night and I started Bowowers McBride and
78:57Loveland. O, you are you are living the dream, my guy. Uh I am going to take the yeet cannon Marshon Lloyd himself. So,
79:05we now have a nice little 3663.
79:12And I'm going to top this off with not really a late wide receiver to go with any of these guys. Do I take a
79:18fourth? I think I am probably going to take a fourth tight end. [snorts] I just drafted him. I'm a Bills fan and
79:26I couldn't tell you one thing about Keon beside he ain't he ain't Josh Palmer.
79:31Wow. GMG GM Mr. Cod, it's interesting because Keon was the GM's pick, but he framed it as McDermotts to avoid getting fired.
79:41Uh, I mean, hey, Debo Debo catches a mean screen pass, so he probably he probably is a good fit there. Uh, Kan
79:50Booty, we're taking we're taking Booty.
79:52It seems more and more likely that Booty Booty might even just stay. No, I don't I don't think Debo is a bad fit at all.
79:59He He can run screens. That's all you That's all you need. All you need to be Debo Samuel or to be a Bills wide
80:07receiver is be able to effectively uh run a screen.
80:14That's it. That's it. All right, we got one more pick to make. We have Joe Burrow, Tyler Shuck, Aaron Rogers, Jeremiah Love, Quinn Sean Judkins, Chuba
80:22Hubard, Blake Cororum, Brian Robinson, and Marshon Lloyd, Jamar Chase, Emecha Eggbuka, Luther Burden, Mai Lemon, Trey Tucker, Zachariah Branch, Kahan Booty,
80:33and I just realized I have a ton of corresponding by-weeks at the wide receiver position and at the running back position. Not great. The by-week
80:41bros, the bi-week bros are going to come for me. So, I do need one more wide receiver here. [snorts] Sadly, I mean, the Diggs uh the Diggs
80:51Bills situation is kind of funny. They they probably need each other uh at or I don't know. I don't know if they I don't
80:59know if they they need each other uh at this point, but they they could use each other. The Bills could definitely use
81:06Diggs and I I'm sure Diggs would be happy um to go back to, you know, playing with really, really good quarterback play and getting a bunch of
81:16targets. [snorts] Swift is my Bills pick for wide receiver that just balls out with Allen.
81:25Swift, you mean Skyler? Skyler Bell or or Shakir? All right, I need a wide receiver here at the end. Sllayton,
81:36honestly, I hate to I hate to say this, but Sllayton is definitely clickable on drafters. I don't I don't hate Mims or
81:43Oh, no. I I've got a very very secret pick here. Yeah, unemployed guy would be happy with uh with any job. Yeah, Diggs.
81:51I I'm sure Diggs does. I'm sure Diggs does not want to be a Bill at all. No, Diggs. Diggs is going to have a a higher
82:00targets per route run with the commanders than Terry McLaren. Uh I will not be taking PPR Tyler Vele with this final pick. I'm taking Xavian Thomas to
82:10round this one out. And uh I'm also going to go run to the bathroom real quick. I would love to send you
82:16$100,000. Anyone who signs up for Flock Fantasy using code Davis until week 17 in December gets a chance to win 5% of
82:24my winnings in fantasy football in this upcoming season. any baseball contest, any big high stakes fantasies football contest where I take down a six-f
82:32figureure prize, there will be one entrant randomly selected in December after week 17 who gets a chance to win a chunk of my portfolio. So, sign up on
82:40Faulk Fantasy using code Davis to enter into the drawing.
82:57Don't forget about the drawing, boys. Do not do not forget about the drawing. Um, as of right now, $13,000
83:07invested. So, 5% equity. We've got 13,000 divided by five. So, right now, the equity is just just the EV of not
83:19calculating first prize or anything.
83:22Your equity would be $650.
83:25So, a $34 or a $99 or a $147 subscription uh with a chance to win just $650 worth of baseball entries. Not
83:35even talking about what we win. But let's head on back over to the dog app.
83:41Reminder, you can go get yourself uh you can go get yourself a deposit bonus over there on Drafters. But let's sh you know
83:48what? Let's do let's do a Badge Bros Brawl real quick. I've Oh, I've only done six of these. All right. Let's do a
83:53little a little BBB, a little Badge Bros Brawl. [snorts] If Diggs goes to the Commanders, it feels like he's going to skyrocket up to
84:02pick 75. Yeah, I don't know. I don't know. He definitely definitely could.
84:08I It's hard for me to tell how much the market is going to respect it.
84:16The market is the market doesn't the market does not always respect these things. You know, how do I like the new UI? I honestly I
84:32haven't really noticed it much. Uh, what player do you have little to no exposure to that could really burn you? I mean,
84:38it's definitely DJ Moore. No, no doubt about it. It is 100% DJ Moore. He could he could kill me. A high-end a high-end
84:48wide receiver. Well, a formerly high-end wide receiver who's on the downturn of his career who is now playing with uh one of the best quarterbacks he's ever
84:57played with. It's not great.
85:00Is the Cyrus Allen hype still in the noticing phase? The slapping me wants to start taking last round shares here or
85:05there. I just I don't see how he gets on the field without an injury. He could rotate a little bit with Taekquin or I
85:11don't you know what maybe Xavier Worthy uh Xavier Worthy might just be so cooked.
85:18It's definitely possible that Worthy is just so bad and so cooked. So we take Bejian Robinson here um that that Cyrus
85:27Allen, you know, gets uh gets a little bit more work. It's definitely it's definitely possible. [snorts] Uh, with promo code Davis on drafters,
85:47what's the maximum deposit match? I believe it's either 200 or 500. Andrew, you would have to you would have to go
85:55check. I I don't know. I can I can ask I can I can forward your question and attempt to get you an answer. Ah, damn.
86:03I love to get Bowers in these rooms, but I'm going to start with uh Bejon and Sidi. So, the key here in my opinion in
86:10these six-man rooms is to not start scrolling too early. Once you get into a tier where guys are
86:20uh let's do let's do Amari and Hampton. So, I don't think you want to scroll on Hampton. I don't think you want to scroll on Hand,
86:29but once you kind of get to the Z Flowers, Breeze Hall range, that is when I start to get comfortable scrolling and
86:34doing um different combinations.
86:39DJ Moore has caught passes from dead shoulder, Cam Newton, Justin Fields, and year one Caleb with Shane Waldron. Also, also year two Caleb with Ben Johnson.
86:50Right. It's not uh it's not apples to apples there, brother.
86:55Hm.
86:57Man, I have you guys done any of these drafts yet? The the coolest thing about these drafts is that they just
87:02absolutely cook through you. We're We're going to We're going to get through this draft in about like 12 minutes, which is
87:10one of the nicest things about it in my opinion. Before the end of the summer, I'm getting a team with Bejon Brooks,
87:16Blue, Helmworthy, Golden AD, and Bond down. Horns down, brother. Uh oh. Rashi
87:26Rice Bja. I mean, the the very fun thing about these teams is you're just cooking up absolute all-star teams. Let's go.
87:35Neighbors. I love this format for Malik Neighbors. This is this is probably the single best format to draft Malik Neighbors. Uh I know you love Ke
87:44Mitchell. Do you have a double stack with Hampton Mitchell? Honestly, I probably have like multiples of them.
87:51Like I I probably I probably have like multiple multiples of them, which is honestly not great. You don't you don't want to have that many of them. If
88:01anything, I've probably kind of done multiples of them on accident.
88:06Yes, the tight ends go very early in this draft, as they should. Something I really like doing is what Elite 3200 did
88:13here where he did Bowowers and Loveland.
88:17haven't right down the road from the bison act, brother. Brother, we were there. We were there at the same time because I was I was about 10 miles away
88:26from where that dude got tossed in the air by the bison. What a what a crazy what a crazy experience that was. Um
88:34we're going to ship Jaylen Wadd with this pick here because again, you do not want to miss out on that elite ceiling of wide
88:44receiver. In my opinion, I think that's that's an edge in these drafts. these drafts I actually feel a little bit more
88:48comfortable going early on wide receiver. Um and then we are going to add in Javvante with my guy CD Lamb there. [snorts]
89:00I mean yes it definitely it definitely could be. I mean that's what I've been saying all offseason is that it could be
89:05the most achain situation. I I mean I don't know how how likely is that? How possible is it?
89:15It's definitely It's definitely somewhat possible.
89:21I would estimate a 12% probability that both Hampton and Katon finish as top 24 fantasy football running backs in in
89:32points per game while playing the entire season.
89:41All right. What are we going to do next here? Bejon Lamb Hampton Rice Neighbors.
89:49Uh, where's tight end at?
89:53Let's take my guy.
89:57Well, let's take Jaden Daniels, who I think I think I actually think the elite quarterbacks gain a little bit of value
90:04here, too, because you just got to have access to as many of those 37 point games as as possible. And then there's a little bit
90:12of a scroll there as well. And then I'm gonna take Tucker Craft as our tight end one because again the the sliding doors
90:22in the Badge Bros Brawl is the value of a replacement changes. What is my ultimate number of drafts I want to do
90:30by kickoff? I mean, I would like to get 3,000 in. I don't know if we're going to get there.
90:37I I really don't know. I would 3,000 3,000 is definitely my goal, though. I I just I It's hard for me to say if we're
90:44going to get there, but 3,000 would be sick. I need to I definitely need to finish I definitely need to do
90:52the Badge Bros Brawl, though. I got to do I got to try and ship 150 in there.
91:00100K up top, brother. Imagine putting Badge Bros Brawl Champion in the Twitter bio.
91:07All right. And then I'm going to just take I'm just going to take Dak right now. Definitely not sweating ADP near as
91:15much in this contest.
91:17I mean, very similar to very similar uh to like actual BRs where after the after a couple rounds, the ADP stuff does not matter. Oh, I'm
91:29definitely taking Totin. Yeah, give me B shell Tutin. We've got Daniels and Dak, Bejon, Hampton, Javvante, Tutin, Lamb, Rice, Neighbors, Waddle. So, something I
91:39kind of like to do is is draft like maybe like 70% of each team as normal before you start to get weird. Uh, I
91:48definitely have drafted Warren and Dowel together on the same team. I I think it's fine. Shot my personal best even par 72.
91:59Brady, oh my goodness, brother. You you gota you have to be feeling like you are on absolutely the top of the world right
92:06now. I can't even imagine. I I have played nine holes at even par one time
92:15and it was uh not a you know just an absolute dog track of a course like the easiest golf course in the St. Louis
92:24metropolitan area. My god, man. Even par 72.
92:30I wish I Man, I miss it out there.
92:34Maybe May someday, someday again.
92:36Someday again.
92:38Um, I'm going to add in You know what? This is actually kind of a a good spot for KD, too, because it doesn't really
92:45matter if he misses a little bit of time. doesn't even I mean he could miss a month of the season and uh and it
92:50doesn't really matter.
92:54And I'm trying to I'm trying to find ways to get exposure to KD anyway if that makes sense. Like KD not a guy not
93:02a guy you particularly want to have zero of. Um we're going to do let's actually take let's take Brooks.
93:10Jonathan Brooks this. So again, we're we're kind of at the point of these BBBS where I am comfortable hitting the scroll button. [snorts]
93:20I can't stop thinking about it. Three birdies, three bogeies, 12 pars. I mean, that is beautiful. Beautiful stuff.
93:28Played for 20 years with the 12 handicap, never sniffed a 72. Yeah, being I I'm a I'm a 13.6 handicap right
93:37now. And uh it's not not that fun of a spot to be in because there are plenty of shots I can make plenty you know
93:45pretty good with the wedges and things but I you know obviously I still make all kinds of of eights and and things
93:51like that. Am I buying the narrative that the new Bills offensive coordinator wants to throw more passes to James Cook? Not particularly. I I just kind of
94:00think we we are sort of aware of a role that works for James Cook. main reason uh the main reason why I don't believe
94:07that is I just think they're going to stick to the thing that worked for them last year which is that
94:17um one second let me make this pick here let's do let's do Josh downs [snorts] I
94:31completely just lost my train of thought oh I think the the Bills are going to stick to what works, which is that they're
94:37going to bring in the sixth offensive lineman. They're going to play a bunch of 12. They're going to play downhill.
94:41You know, it's it's a thing that worked for them and it worked for them. You know, they they were a good playoff team
94:47last year. All right. Our scroll quarterback on this one is going to be Malik Willis. And it's just going to be
94:52solo solo Malik Willis.
94:56as a former 10 handicap. Now again, there's a hope to chase even par glory, get fitted for a ball before you
95:02ever get I mean is is getting fitted for a ball is anything gonna be better than a prov 1x? I I tend to I tend to think
95:09that those are uh are the best?
95:13Those are you know that's the one I would say prova chromeofts are the are the one um
95:23where I feel a difference. Has Davis Madak ever won any large tourney? No. If you if you'd like to uh there there's a
95:33a a YouTuber who won Basketball Mania 2.
95:38You can go you can go check him out, Chess Liam. And then there's another guy who won Basketball Mania 3. His name is
95:47Pat Karine.
95:49And he streams on a channel called Legendary Upside.
95:54So, both those guys are available if you're if you're interested in watching someone who has won a big tournament.
96:00Liam doesn't stream that often, but uh good good stuff from Mr. Chess. Liam.
96:07All right, here it is, boys. Shipping.
96:09Actually, no. I can't I can't take TFR.
96:11I got to take Chig. I was going to say I was about to take TUR, but I I actually got to take JIG on this one.
96:18And now we ship a Oh, JCM. JCM's a nice little correlated piece there. And then our last scroll down wide receiver is
96:29going to be Let's do a little Let's do a little scribbling about stribbling. Why not?
96:45Hey, I was I was kind of just teasing you anyways, brother.
96:50All right.
96:52I mean, if Kirk, this is a pretty, this is like one of those things you'd have to be like paying way too much attention to fantasy
96:59football for, but if Christian Kirk misses two weeks of camp with a calf strain here uh at the beginning,
97:08I mean, what is what is stopping Deon Stribbling from being a starting wide receiver for the 49ers?
97:21Is there anything stopping him? I mean, he already like he already is a he's gonna be active because of special team
97:29stuff for sure.
97:31I guess I guess spellch check could be in the white. GMGM new member uh CH23 salute brother. Hope to see you in the
97:40Discord. Let me know if you have any trouble linking your account. All right, first BBB on stream. Jaden Daniels, Dak Prescott, Malik Willis, Bjan Robinson,
97:50Amarian Hampton, Javante Williams, Bishel Tutin, Jonathan Brooks, Jakori Kroski, Meritt, CD Lamb, Rashi Rice, Malik Neighbors, Jon Wano, Josh DS, Dan
98:00Stribbling, Tucker Craft, George KD, and Chig Aonqua. There we go, boys. Uh, gonna be knocking out some more of those.
98:12And let's go hop into another BBM. 70 remaining. So this will be my 80th best
98:20ball mania draft. Desan Dean Stribbling is uh is stopping him.
98:34No. Honestly, Dr. If I'm if I'm keeping it real with you, I've probably had some of the worst results of anyone who has drafted
98:42thousands of teams. Uh in in 2024, my most drafted player was 150 pound wide receiver for the Kansas City Chiefs. It
98:50it did not it did not end that well for me, but I keep my nose to the grindstone because I love fantasy football.
98:59Uh who are the contenders for the clip this year on my channel or on on ship chasing?
99:09Oh, all right. The drafter survivor style is live, but not the same as the eliminator. Okay. Well, [ __ ] I gotta go
99:15check this out. I just missed it. All right. The survivor it the survival is $10 50k to first. Oh, so it's a it's a
99:26chop.
99:28It's a chop.
99:31Okay. So it goes 75% get cut down every Wow.
99:38Wow. Okay. All right. That's very very that's very very interesting. All right.
99:42I will definitely be streaming and drafting that that is uh that is 100%.
99:48Yeah. So if you want to uh if you want to mingle if you want to mingle in that I would I would encourage it. Yeah. 20
99:57to about 25% of the field cut every single week.
100:02any big names I'm full fading or taking less than one to two% of in drafts. DJ Moore is probably the biggest one.
100:13Not huge on not huge on Swift or Montgomery, although I take I take a fair amount of those guys. All right,
100:19BBM starting drafting at the 1.12 with Elite 3200, Robbie Dubdub, 10-minute NFL
100:26guru, Barzy, Laquan's Mike Soal, KYJ Smith, par three, my guy Connor Glue
100:34Eater, and Mush Dart one. [snorts] Yeah, looks like about week seven to make the money. All right, that's fire. Um, I
100:43will I will be I'll be jamming. I'll be jamming in that one.
100:56All right. Drafting at the drafting at the 111 here.
101:02We're shipping it. We're shipping it.
101:07Please give me Please give me a Justin Jefferson at the 111. Just Just one time.
101:14It's not going to happen. Yeah. It never happens. It never happens for me. It only happens for other people. Uh, how
101:21many big dogs am I going to do? Uh, probably probably like three or four.
101:26I'm hoping to get a I'm hoping to get a big dog done like to do one with Mason while we are in Austin. I think that
101:35would be sick.
101:37Uh, I mean, this is just going to be Lamb Lamb Lamb [clears throat] Walker. line it up and send it down. Well, actually,
101:49I'm gonna take Barkley. AJ Brown at the turn. Huh. I don't think I've I've not seen I've not seen that one much yet.
102:01AJ Brown to me is like one of the like guys who's like horrible to to bring up because he was going so cheaply for so
102:09long.
102:23big dog with Liam. Here's the thing. If I'm spending 500 bucks on a draft, I don't I can't be arguing with Liam about
102:29taking a mech at the 2.4 or whatever.
102:37All right, Lamb Barkley.
102:41Maybe I can try and do like a a hero wide receiver team. It does feel like the the cool thing these days is to kind
102:49of is to kind of hate on Lamb. Like, oh, he got he got mogged by Pickkins, which is not even really true. Like the the
102:58big thing I mean, Pickins big stuff started happening when Lamb got hurt.
103:04Walker's receiving line this year will be I mean all of the sort of talk from training camp. All of the sort of
103:13surrounding chatter has been that Walker's role is going to be much larger with the Chiefs than it ever was with the Seattle Seahawks. You
103:23know, which completely makes sense because obviously the Chiefs valued him to a higher degree than the Seahawks did. But more importantly,
103:34I think my read of the situation is that all of the big decision makers involved, as in Mahomes and Reed, are like enough,
103:41dude. Enough of Kareem Hunt, enough of Shark Handendrick West, enough Isaiah Pachco, enough Spencer Wear, enough Jerk McKinnon, enough SM Pine. Give me
103:52someone who I can hand the ball off and have a legitimate like useful efficient rushing offense. I don't think that Brett Beach I don't think he is inclined
104:02to spend money at the running back position.
104:06So I I think we I think we are going to get a a I don't know 55 receptions out of Ken Walker. Let's go see what my
104:13quantitative has.
104:16If I win BBM, what are the odds I will draft the big board? 100%.
104:21Fish got to swim. Birds got to fly.
104:25Leopard don't change his stripes. You know what I'm saying?
104:30Uh I will I will not be taking a lava here. I don't think I think this is going to be a Chairen or Javant.
104:38Actually a Javante pick is quite nice here.
104:42Uh no Alave is like the the ADP value actually like half a round of ADP value in the third round. So think you think
104:49you got to do it. Yeah. A Liam and and Davis Big Dog would be it would be arguments all the way up and down. Um the entire the
104:58entire board GMGM loots.
105:04All right. And do I want to do You know what? We're going to do Waddle hero running back. People are saying it
105:16more and more. It's all the way back.
105:19People are saying who needs who needs running backs 100% drafting all the little boards. I mean, in January, there's nothing else
105:28to do. I will say this, if if I have a very good baseball year or if I win or if I win one of these
105:38tournaments, there is there is no chance that I am drafting the slow puppy.
105:48There's no chance that I'm drafting the little Dalmatian. I will the the fire in my the fire in my heart will be
105:57diminished by so much. Like if I have a really good year, I'm drafting like 500 teams next year. I'm not drafting
106:06I'm not drafting 3,000 teams next year.
106:11Yeah, winning BBM would get me out of the little Dalmatian streets. It would just give me out.
106:17I [clears throat] mean, being being on the clock of 400 slows is
106:25it's brutal. It's brutal.
106:30Particularly when you when you have to make the phone picks, which I like a lot of times before bed I will make my picks
106:36on my phone. It's just like, brother, is Marvin Harrison Jr. a no draft right now? I mean, frankly, I probably clicked
106:46him already uh a couple a couple times today because he's going I I I clicked Marvin Harrison Jr. in the 70s. It's like,
106:55okay, well, he's fine. He's did not suffer a serious injury. I will I will slurp the Dipperino on Marvin Harrison Jr. because he's a guy I haven't taken
107:05too much of. Anyway, I'm just I'm just trying to build that that ADP value.
107:11What's your version of the Sam Sherman helicopter skiing trip you treat yourself with?
107:17Honestly, I probably wouldn't got got so much stuff to take care of around in my life. If I if I was going
107:26to if I was going to if I was going to take a trip, I would um I would I honestly what I would really
107:36love to do is I would love to go to the English countryside.
107:41rent a a cottage and and just hang out with my wife uh and my and my kid.
107:49Just, you know, not not stress. Just Damn. All right. Well, I I played this one wrong, boys, because I am there's
107:58going to be nothing left for me at running back. So, I I played I played this one quite quite poorly.
108:06All right, I'm gonna take Lamar Jackson.
108:11Oh, well, hey, sometimes you're the hammer, sometimes you're the nail.
108:16Uh, the flock signup giveaway where you can win 5% of winnings. No, if I if I don't win, you do not owe me 5%. You are
108:22you are non-legally binded.
108:26Could would maybe bring the golf clubs.
108:28Would maybe bring the golf clubs, but wouldn't wouldn't go too hard. Uh, do I take Tyson and set up the double? You
108:36know what? I'm actually gonna take Tyler Warren. Well, what do I do? Do I give myself another quarterback out or not?
108:48Yeah, I'm going to take Well, I'm going to take whoever I got autodrafted there.
108:53Tyson, whatever. That's fine. Set up the double. I really I really did I really did not know what to do there. I was
108:59stunned because my plan was to get one of Judkins, Tootton, Henderson, Bucky, Price there. price went at 57, but I was thinking if I took Tyler
109:09Warren that would at least eliminate one of the positional oddities, but uh but it didn't because I still want to have strong wide
109:19receivers. I mean, this is the old Sean Seagull adage, which is that the idea is you kind of always want to have like
109:25four of the top 15 wide receivers.
109:27That's really kind of the goal of a zero running back team or a hero running back team. And on these teams, you need to be
109:32winning the onesies. So, I thought Lamar was a was a pretty good pick by winbom. You need a Scottish golf
109:47trip. I mean, that's that's on my that's on my uh my long long to-do list of like life things anyways. You know, like I was saying
109:57earlier, everything has a season in life. I've had easier seasons of my life. I've had harder seasons in my life and I'm just
110:05in a season of my life right now where it's about working, man. It's about it's about putting the putting the nose to
110:14the grindstone, you know, and trying to set myself up for for success on uh on YouTube or or elsewhere.
110:24Did I miss Tyson news? I think you've seen it try and get him. I just really like Jordan Tyson. I think Tyson is an
110:29awesome prospect. The New Orleans Saints were one of the least lucky teams in terms of total number of plays, yards, yards per play, and red zone stuff. Uh,
110:38my guy Rich Reebar had them like 8.7 touchdowns, I think, below expectation, I believe, is what it was. Tyson is an
110:46awesome prospect. I don't think there's any tertiary wide receivers who are going to steal targets from him. I expect him to mog uh, you know, Jawan
110:54Johnson and Bryce Lance and Devon Ble in targets per route run. So, I mean, Ty, I would say Tyson is just one of my um
111:02overall favorite guys to click.
111:08Um, all right. Things are things are getting dark early here at the running back position. I guess this is just one
111:16of those drafts. I mean, Randre went at 73. Warren went at 71. Cororum just went at 80.
111:25Yes. the I mean the wide receiver avalanche used to exist but now now it is the it's the running back cavalcade.
111:32I I don't even know what you would call it but it is things get things get dark at running back. All right. I I mean I
111:38just got to take Chuba Hubard here. I don't I don't really see any other way around it. That was that was tough.
111:46I mean I don't know. Maybe Chuba was a bad pick, but like I also am going to need a wide receiver score in I'm going
111:52to need a wide receiver score in week one or running back score in week one.
111:58I mean, yes, this is definitely going to be a big uh this is going to be a Bill team for sure.
112:06Now, the question is, do I take now because this is this is definitely the end of a tier at running back.
112:15question is Harvey or Dowel?
112:19Guess you already have a Denver player.
112:21Let's do Let's do Dowel. I have more I have more Harvey. So, we're Lamb, Barkley, Alav, Wadd, Lamar, Tyson,
112:29Hubard, and Dowel.
112:34I really do think the Murray version of the Vikings will be more runheavy than we've ever seen KOC get. I don't even I
112:40don't even necessarily disagree with that. I think I think that's a fine projection to have. I just I'm pretty out on Aaron Jones right now. Aaron
112:49Jones heading into his age 32 season.
112:55Not great to run into your age 32 season coming off of a hamstring injury. Aaron Jones was pretty good two years ago.
113:03Jordan Mason has always looked good in the fancy numbers like success rate, rushing yards over expectation.
113:11um you know all that stuff.
113:16I think that uh you know there's there's probably something to be said for my guide to Mon Clayborn, but the more I
113:23have thought about it, the more I am like yeah, Jordan Mason is probably a pretty obviously good pick.
113:32I don't know. I wouldn't I wouldn't term Rashad White a league winner. What I actually think Rashad White is is he's
113:39just like a very safe guy to take on teams like this because he's, you know, I mean, what is his what is his week one
113:47projection going to be? What is our what is our uh what is our quantitative have for the commanders backfield? I I
113:54actually don't even know this. The Washington Commanders are quant Oh, no. At least these those
114:03are the Jaguars. Our quantitative for the Washington Commanders has Rashad White for 135 rushes, JCM for
114:13196, running back 34 for Rashad, running back 39 for JCM.
114:20Both of those seem reasonable. [snorts] Rico Dowel is the quintessential this dude kind of sucks guy except he was pretty good two years ago for the
114:29Cowboys. Like he honestly really was. He He was He was not bad.
114:34Um All right. We are going to do You know what? I am gonna I am going to take Rashad White. Shout out Shout out to
114:41Ali. We are going to take Rashad White right here. Gainwell also actually kind of makes sense on this team. The bigger
114:47question is what are the odds that I am able to push Tyler Shuck around. I I I really don't think I can do it. This
114:55this team is so cooked if it does not get Tyler Shuck.
115:02Tyler Shuck's ADP is 123. I pick again at 131.
115:08What do you What do you guys What do you guys think?
115:13I I think I I think I have got to take shock here.
115:19Uh how many Jack Bash teams? I mean, not not zero. Definitely not zero Jack Bash teams.
115:27Yeah, gota I I think I gotta take Shock here. What What am I mean? I don't know.
115:32I guess Gainwell also would have been really good on this team. So maybe that was maybe that was a mistake. I I should
115:38have I should have pushed but Benny is correct. This team is legit dead in the water. Jover like not winning.
115:48Like it's it's not happening at all. I do I do have Lamar, but in terms of advancing, this team is cooked without
115:55Chuck. Or I guess I should say if Tyler Shuck does not out earn the 110th overall guy, I'm I am cooked, right?
116:05It's it's just it's not happening.
116:08So I think that was I think that was I don't know. I'd be interested I I would be interested what some of the um the
116:14Sim tools uh had had said. [snorts] H
116:37n I guess naked Willis could have been okay. Yeah, the Rico the Rico Linsanity run was insane.
116:48All right. So, this is the team. Lamar Jackson, Tyler Shuck, Saquon Barkley, Chuba Hover, Rico D, Rashad White, CD Lamb, Cursave, Jaylen Wadd, Jordan
116:59Tyson. You know what? I kind of middled this team, which is something you you probably uh you probably should should not do, which is that I stopped the wide
117:10receiver build to take Lamar. Maybe I should have just taken Watson and Tyson and then set it up for late quarterback
117:17stuff. I probably can only get away with two quarterbacks there.
117:22Sack makes fun of Gainwell drafters. Uh I mean, you know, the the inputs to the inputs to the Sims can always change
117:31sometimes. Sometimes you got to sometimes you got to change your mind with uh with new information.
117:41All right. I mean, obviously Mark Andrews is a is going to be the pick here.
117:51I mean, Mandrews after likely mans after Chig on a Lamar team feels insane.
117:58Uh, how closely does average draft position in best mirror that reddraft?
118:02Is there's wild variance between the two? There is variance, but maybe not how you would expect. Ray, where you will where you will get the variance as
118:14we take Mark Andrews is with where the positions go be quarterbacks will go a lot earlier and tight ends oftent times
118:23will go uh a lot earlier because you're required to have multiples of them.
118:29Um, generally speaking, the running backs and the wide receivers will go in a very similar order to where they go in
118:38in reddraft leagues. Oh, I mean, this team is absolutely calling out for the missile as the running back five. I mean, I've never I've never seen
118:48a team that is more set up for the missile to be the running back five.
118:53Come on, dude. Yeah, baby. All right.
118:56Now, that's a running back room.
118:58Barkley, Hubard, Dowel, Rashad White, and Katon Missile. All right, so two quarterback verse three quarterback break even advance rate.
119:07Six running back gets us to historically.13% chance of finals.
119:12Seven wide receiver is 21% base rate advanced three tight end. All right, we could we could maybe mess around and get
119:20ourselves a Flock Fantasy A here. Is Bucky cooked? I don't This is This is one that I have had a uh
119:31a hard a hard time with.
119:35It's it's something it's something that I've I've been interested in, which is like Bucky was not a prospect I liked,
119:43but he was so good as a rookie.
119:48And then he was pretty efficient when he played last year, but he was out a long time with injury last year. And there
119:55was also like mental health stuff like there was like weird there was weird Instagram posts and uh like Todd BS what
120:04what was what did Bulls say? I forget I forget the exact quote, but basically it was like it was like not that it was not
120:10that uh bullish of a report on on Bucky Irving's like mental health, which is just that's that's a a variable
120:21that we would have a hard time understanding.
120:25>> [snorts] >> You know, I've I've kind of leaned into it in terms of I've I've I've sort of leaned
120:33into it in terms of like being on ADP chasing and chip chasing and stuff. I still I still take um some Bucky.
120:44I know you love Bowers in round two. Can I give you a TLDDR? Uh Bowowers had the best rookie tight end season like of all
120:52time and he's gonna score a ton of points and he had the 11th highest tight end score of all time last year
121:03in a game. He averages 16 career fantasy points per game outside of the three games that he played injured last season. He just he the guy is the guy is
121:13just a great great fantasy football player. Brock Powers is just a grown ass man. I mean at the end of the day that is really what it is is
121:23some guys are grown, some guys are small and and he is he is a grown ass man.
121:41Mr. Fuji Apple GMGM late to the party.
121:44Glad to be here. I'm uh I'm glad that you guys are here.
121:49Glad glad for all 247 of you guys to be here. You guys are all You guys are all great, beautiful people and I love and
121:58appreciate all of you.
122:01All right, time to start taking some more wide receivers.
122:06I don't I have one rookie. So, do we want to do Debo? You know what? I'm I'm actually leaning into the bit with
122:12dribbling. I'm I'm stribbling about dribbling here. Round 13 dribbling.
122:16Yeah. Pick pick 155.
122:20Mental stuff is a pretty key piece.
122:22We'll never be able to account for in retrospect. We found out Corey Davis had off-field stuff his whole career. Yeah.
122:27And I mean like we we know that this is a variable with Bucky Irving because it's been it's been reported like Todd BS said it. Bucky
122:37Irving is like posting himself about it.
122:41Um, do I take Jawan? Do we take I don't I don't actually need another week a buy. So, I'm going to take I'm going to
122:49take Debo.
122:50So, wide receiver room of Lamb, Alav, Wadd, Tyson, Stribbling, and Debo. And hope that Debo doesn't have a weak A by.
122:57Maybe we maybe we double tap tight end on the um on the next one. was reading the new Eagles offensive coordinator is moving
123:07to a zonebased run scheme that seems perfect for Barkley. Seems pretty perfect for Tank Bsby is who it seems is who it seems pretty perfect for.
123:19Mental health can make it tough to type numbers into a spreadsheet, let alone run the ball 200 times in the NFL. It's
123:25a good point. It's a good point. A very good point, man. Speaking of mental health, what is what is going on with
123:33Brandon Iayuk? What is the latest on Brandon Iayuk? He He bought a He bought a home in Virginia.
123:39Then what? Bought a bought a home in Virginia. He he said he said shout out Shout out to the Mamaager, which I'm
123:48assuming means Brandon Iuk's or Jane Daniels's mom who is like always around.
123:54What a weird saga. Brandon Iayuk from like one of the most efficient wide receiver seasons a Shanahan receiver has ever had to like out of the league
124:06doesn't doesn't even seem like the commanders really want him. I I think like Diggs is more likely at this stage or or or Debo. I mean why if you're if
124:20you are the commanders why wouldn't you just bring Debo Samuel back?
124:24I mean, if I was in charge, if I was one of the front office guys, that's probably what I would do. I would just
124:30say, "Hey, man. We're gonna get Debo for like no money." It's not like Debo has a ton of suitors out there. Looks like
124:36Debo from like looking at stuff on his Instagram and stuff.
124:41If you click on the completed tab and have more than 25 teams drafted in that contest, it only shows your last drafted
124:4725 teams. Huh.
124:50Well, I hope they get that fixed. It's scary now because the 49ers actually had to do something mandatory he could show
124:56up to. Then he didn't. So yeah, no one no one knows.
125:01Yeah, the tight ends are about to go to zero. So I'm I'm going to get a little bit unlucky at tight end. Harmon even
125:08insists that IU got no real scheme help that year. Just line up at X and win. I mean, some guys got it like that and it
125:14seems like he is one of those guys that got it. I think we're underrating the old guys being happy to MISS SOME TIME.
125:21OH, COME ON, DUDE.
125:26That is uncalled for. Oh, shot through the heart. Terrence Ferguson one freaking pick before. Dude, come on,
125:35man. What are we doing?
125:40That is so That's annoying, man.
125:49All right. Well, I guess it's Kate Dotton time.
125:54What a what a what a disappointing sentence to have to say.
126:00Used to be able to get Terren Ferguson in round 18 every time. Used to be able to just get him in round 18 every time.
126:07He's just having fun, vibing.
126:11Come on, dude. Aren't is Davis Madak not allowed to have nice things, bro? Can't Can't just draft a little bit of
126:20>> [snorts] >> Yeah, T for. He's His name His name is uh his name is going to get replaced at the top of my exposure list. Yeah, hot
126:27dog suit. We're all trying to find the guy who did this.
126:33Helm Helm is my is my second most drafted tight end, I think. [snorts] What's the What's the local drum beat on
126:41Cyrus Allen? They all love him. All the the Casey Beat writers the Casey beat Writers love Cyrus Allen. I I I have heard his name
126:53mentioned um many many times.
127:01Helm. Helm, I think, is is honestly I probably have like a higher degree of confidence that Helm is going to be a
127:08full-time player than than I do TIG.
127:12Really? I would imagine. I would imagine that is the case. Yeah.
127:20All right. So the team as it stands right now is Lamar Jackson, Tyler Shock, Saquon Barkley, Chuba Hubard, Rico Dado, Rashad White, Katon Missile,
127:29CD Lamb, Chris Alab, Jaylen Wadd, Jordan Tyson, Dejon Stribbling, and Debo Samuel. Three I do not need a third quarterback. I could maybe even push it
127:40to seven running backs. Probably one more though. And then probably just one more wide receiver. So one more of each.
127:47Jordan James at 184, by the way. can't have can't have nice things. [snorts] I would I would compare it to the Justin
127:56Ross love. Yeah, I would say I would say the Justin Ross love is similar to the Cyrus Sound love. Doulich T Fergenhelm.
128:04Yep. I toss toss Friouth in there for me as well. But yes, I agree that those are the guys I like drafting.
128:16All right. So, I think we finished this out with D. Katron and Rashad is kind of fun.
128:23You're just like betting against JCM.
128:26Serat seems good. Baitman seems good.
128:30Honestly, Jaden Blue feels fine here.
128:33Um, EMTT Johnson feels fine. Let's do Let's do Jaden Blue and then I will take one of these Baltimore wide receivers
128:41and we will wrap it up. Uh, who do I like better, Fannon or Pitts?
128:48Slight slight I mean Fannon I think has the more valuable role.
128:55Pitts I think is the like Pitts will probably have bigger splash weeks if that makes sense. But both are both are are good. I don't
129:03know. [snorts] All right, final pick here. I think we're probably going to do Baitman because I've got Stribbling and Tyson.
129:13So, a little bit more of just like a locked in early season role. All right, let's do Baitman.
129:21All right, so we've got Lamar Jackson, Tyler Shuck, Saquon Barkley, Chewberg, Rico Dao, Rashad White, Katon Missile, Jaden Blue, CD Lamb, Chris Lave, Jaylen
129:30Wadd, Jordan Tyson, Dean's Dribbling, Debo Samuel, Rashad Baitman, Mark Andrews, and Cade Atten.
129:40Let me tell you, every time you take Kateton, it doesn't it doesn't really feel it doesn't really feel that great.
129:48When you when you have to when you have to resort to Kate and you're like, "Yeah, well, I guess I guess it's fine." But it never it
129:59never really feels that good. I don't know. What do What do you guys What do you guys grade that team? That one
130:04didn't feel That one did not feel as good as the last one. The last one felt a little bit better.
130:13Let's see what is the flock grade. Probably it honestly it probably didn't hate that one. Flock grade A minus A+ for advancement B minus ADP
130:23score. So it likes, you know, because keep in mind this is backwards looking data, right? So this is not this is not forward-looking data.
130:34This is the past six best baseball manas. So it it's it's not doing it's not doing any projecting. So it likes
130:41that I only took two quarterbacks.
130:44It likes that I took six running backs.
130:47And I didn't do any huge ADP reaches.
130:51Lamb Barkley. I mean I I am kind of wishing I would not have taken Lamar.
130:56And frankly if I knew my picks at the next round I probably would not have taken I probably would not have taken
131:03Wadd. I probably would have taken ETN got the ADP value on a LB and Tyson had Trevon Henderson with the week 15
131:13breakout Bowers Taylor Pukan and it didn't matter because I faced St. Brown and Kyle Pitts in week 15.
131:18Horrible.
131:21I mean I I hope that Jaden Blue has a legitimate breakout year.
131:26Seems Seems like things are are trending that way.
131:31I don't know. Is there anything I could have done to fix the tight end position?
131:34I guess instead of Katon, I could have just taken Gddard. Goddard at 140 is a huge value. Then we got I mean Firing
131:42with at 179 does feel pretty good. And then Jaden Blue at 203.
131:48I know you're higher on Wadd than ETN.
131:50Is that 2v2 really that bad? It's it really it's just that a bunch of things happened to tilt me. So I got sniped on
131:55TUR.
131:56Um I and and I had a I think this is a tough decision. The Tyler Shuck at 110 versus Gainwell is a pretty tough
132:05decision because one of these guys I mean so what? Um this drafter only had one quarterback
132:15before. This drafter only had one quarterback before. This drafter only had one quarterback before. This drafter only had one quarterback before. This
132:23drafter had two. This drafter had two.
132:25This guy, the burrow guy, only had one.
132:28Robbie Dubdub had none.
132:31So, it's pretty it's pretty hard to say if he I mean, it's not it's actually not that hard to say. He would not have
132:38gotten back to me, right? He he he probably would not have gotten back to me.
132:45So, what can you do?
132:48Uh, all right, boys. I'm going to get out of here. Uh, you are going to be redirected to a new video over on the
132:54Madic Fantasy Football channel right after this. And I'm going to go ahead and get out of here. Again, head on over
133:01to drafters promo code Davis to get in the new contest over there, the new survivor. Flocky.com, code davis. Enter into the big, big,
133:11big, mega huge giveaway. And I will be back with all of you guys

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