FootballguysPlayer newsMain player profile
Source + player page

Footballguys fantasy football takes on Garrett Wilson

Every source-backed article insight STACKED has extracted from Footballguys about Garrett Wilson.

51
Insights
22
Positive
11
Negative
Insight ledger

All Footballguys insights about Garrett Wilson

NegativeProjectionOct 3, 2026
Adam Harstad's post-rookie production model ranked Garrett Wilson third among 2022 rookies in the 'strong fantasy starters' category, behind Chris Olave and Drake London. Wilson won Rookie of the Year with 27% more yards than London, but Harstad notes the deck was stacked in his favor: Wilson played on a team that threw 51% more passes than London's team (which attempted only 415 total passes, 2nd-fewest in the league). By consensus trade value, Wilson is now the #10 receiver.
Insight pageOriginal
NegativeProjectionOct 3, 2026
In Week 3, Garrett Wilson posted 10 receptions for 107 yards and a touchdown, but six of his ten receptions and his touchdown came in the fourth quarter (five in the last six minutes) after Breece Hall was injured. In Weeks 1-2, Wilson averaged seven targets per game for 63 yards and 0.5 touchdowns; without the Hall injury, he was likely in line for a 60-70 yard game. His Week 3 performance was inflated by injury-driven opportunity, making him a risky repeat play despite cheap DraftKings pricing.
Insight pageOriginal
PositiveValueNo date
Wilson, 26, is one of the best raw talents at the position and is being drafted at the 37th pick overall in Round 4. Despite playing for the Jets with poor QB play (best QB was late-era Joe Flacco), he ranked no lower than sixth in targets in each of his first three years but failed to produce a fantasy campaign better than 20th on PPG basis. New QB Geno Smith represents an upgrade over Justin Fields, Tyrod Taylor, and Brady Cook. Smith led the NFL in completion percentage twice during his 2022-24 Seahawks resurgence. Wilson played only seven games last season due to knee injury but was off to a hot start with four TDs, 14.2 fantasy PPG, and a massive 33% target share (second highest), ranking ninth among all wideouts at 16.6 PPG through seven weeks. The source argues that talent, circumstances (new QB), and price converge to open the door to potential WR1-level output in Round 4.
Insight pageOriginal
PositiveValueNo date
The source identifies Wilson as a fourth-round receiver with WR1 talent available at pick 37 overall. Despite ranking no lower than sixth among receivers in targets in each of his first three years as a 2022 first-round pick, Wilson failed to produce a fantasy campaign better than 20th on a points-per-game basis, primarily due to New York's quarterback woes. Wilson's 2025 performance through seven games before a knee injury provides a strong baseline for 2026 upside: he posted four touchdowns and 14.2 fantasy PPG with a massive 33 percent target share (second highest), and his 16.6 fantasy points per game through seven weeks ranked ninth among all wideouts. The source attributes his prior underperformance to quarterback instability rather than talent or role. With Geno Smith representing an upgrade over the Jets' 2025 rotation of Justin Fields, Tyrod Taylor, and Brady Cook, Wilson is positioned to unlock WR1-level output. As the clear top target on the Jets with supporting receivers combining for only 92 career catches and two touchdowns, Wilson led the team with 395 receiving yards last season despite playing only seven games due to a knee injury. The source notes that 'Talent, Circumstances, and Price Converge' with Wilson at cost, opening the door to potential WR1-level output in Round 4.
Insight pageOriginal