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Footballguys fantasy football takes on De'Von Achane

Every source-backed article insight STACKED has extracted from Footballguys about De'Von Achane.

36
Insights
15
Positive
18
Negative
Insight ledger

All Footballguys insights about De'Von Achane

NegativeBustAug 27, 2026
Matt Waldman argues Achane is overpriced relative to peers despite earning 1,700 yards from scrimmage last year. The concern: Miami's passing game will improve with Malik Willis, reducing defensive focus on the run and eliminating the diverse blocking schemes that elevated Achane's production. Willis will run more, read fewer progressions, and check down less, rendering Achane a decoy in the passing game. Waldman expects Achane to earn fewer than 55 targets (half his two-year average) and 1,100–1,300 receiving yards, with only 50–150 receiving yards beyond occasional throwbacks. The McDaniel scheme elevated the ground game as much as Achane did; declining efficiencies will make him an overpriced first-round option.
NegativeBustAug 26, 2026
Achane is an excellent runner but faces significant headwinds in Miami's new scheme. He's no longer in Mike McDaniel's conceptually rich ground game and now plays with runner QB Malik Willis, whose best work in Green Bay featured manufactured passing plays with limited reads and rushing lanes. Willis, not refined in the pocket, checks down to RBs less frequently. Miami's heavy play-action that moves the pocket will cause Achane to see a significant dip in passing production, taking him out of the top-15 fantasy back conversation this year.
NegativeValueNo date
Jason Wood ranks Achane as RB10, acknowledging elite talent, but his current ADP of RB7 (13th overall) is too lofty given Miami's gutted roster. Wood states he likely won't have many shares of Achane this season not because of bust risk but because his elite talent collides with arguably the worst ecosystem of any top-tier running back in the league. Achane's career trajectory shows elite production: 2023 (RB7 per-game, 7.8 yards per carry despite missing time), 2024 (RB11 finish with 4.5 yards per rush but evolved into dynamic receiving weapon with 78 receptions), 2025 (RB6 overall finish with 238 carries, 1,350 rushing yards, 67 receptions despite struggling offense and defensive focus). However, Miami's complete organizational rebuild dismantled the roster by trading or releasing QB Tua Tagovailoa, WR Tyreek Hill, WR Jaylen Waddle, TE Darren Waller, TE Julian Hill, OL Cole Strange, FB Alec Ingold, S Minkah Fitzpatrick, EDGE Bradley Chubb, and CB Jack Jones. The new regime (GM Jon-Eric Sullivan from Green Bay, HC Jeff Hafley, QB Malik Willis) created one of the least competitive rosters in the NFL. Miami's offensive ecosystem is historically weak: offensive line ranked 30th overall with 31st-ranked run-blocking (per Footballguys OL specialist Matt Bitonti), defense ranked 30th, offense projected 30th in total yards and 29th in touchdowns. Las Vegas and analytical models view Miami as consensus bottom-two team with 4.5 implied win total (26.5% win probability), worst in NFL. The Athletic models Miami with league-worst -7.1 expected margin of victory; ESPN ranks them 32nd in Football Power Index; Sharp Football also ranks them 32nd. Bobby Slowik was promoted to offensive coordinator despite being directly attached to Miami's flatlined passing game last year and serving as Houston's embattled play-caller in 2023-2024. Historical analysis of top running backs on bottom-5 scoring offenses (2021-2025) shows a concerning floor: median finish is RB25-26 range, with only outliers like Breece Hall (RB3 in 2023, RB19 in 2024) and Derrick Henry (RB4 in 2022) reaching top-12 status. Most top backs on bottom-five offenses finish RB19-34 range. The source cites this historical precedent as the primary reason Achane won't be on his rosters at top-7 price, despite acknowledging elite talent.