Source + player page

Footballguys fantasy football takes on Jared Goff

Every source-backed article insight STACKED has extracted from Footballguys about Jared Goff.

78
Insights
55
Positive
10
Negative
Insight ledger

All Footballguys insights about Jared Goff

PositiveValueOct 24, 2026
Goff is the other side of the same game, and his home numbers justify the $8,000 price. In 20 home games since the start of 2024, he has averaged 278.3 passing yards, 2.2 touchdowns and 20.1 FanDuel points. Detroit is coming off a bye and owns the highest implied total on the slate. He threw for 271 yards and three touchdowns in his last game against Arizona. Love will draw more ownership, which makes Goff the slightly less crowded way into a game this likely to produce points.
PositiveMatchupOct 24, 2026
Goff has 13 touchdown passes in five games and plays at home in the best game environment on the slate with Detroit's 28.25 implied total (highest of the week). Over 20 home games since 2024, he's averaged 278.3 passing yards and 2.2 touchdowns. His $6,800 price sits awkwardly between Joe Burrow and Lamar Jackson, which should keep his ownership lower than deserved, especially with Jordan Love drawing attention as the cheaper quarterback in the same game.
PositiveProjectionOct 13, 2026
Goff rose four spots to QB9 and through Week 5 is outscored only by Josh Allen and Brock Purdy. A porous Lions defense forces the team to air it out frequently, and Goff benefits from playing alongside some of the league's most talented skill players. While he lacks the rushing ability of elite fantasy producers, the source notes that stars occasionally align for immobile quarterbacks to return high-end fantasy production, and Goff is positioned there right now.
PositiveValueSep 12, 2026
Goff's $6,000 DraftKings salary sits well below the top tier at quarterback despite Detroit being a 6.5-point home favorite with a game total near 49.5 (second highest on the slate). His game environment offers more scoring equity than quarterbacks priced meaningfully higher; he threw for 4,564 yards and 34 touchdowns last season. While New Orleans had a respectable pass defense last year, Detroit's implied team total gives Goff significant upside at his price point.
NegativeValueSep 12, 2026
Jared Goff is the most popular quarterback on the Week 1 slate, but the Lions are over-rostered relative to optimal lineups. The Lions carry the second-highest implied total at 28.25 at home against New Orleans, but Lions players fill only 62 percent of optimal lineups against 94 percent of field roster spots. The source identifies the Lions as the key offense where being under the field looks like the play, making Goff a leverage fade despite his popularity.
PositiveValueSep 11, 2026
Goff is priced a notch below the top tier at quarterback despite strong fundamentals: third straight season with 4,500+ passing yards, 23 consecutive games with a touchdown pass (longest active streak in the league), and led the NFL in touchdown passes against single high safety looks last season. New Orleans ran that exact coverage at the second-highest rate in football a year ago. With new offensive coordinator Drew Petzing and a Saints defense still figuring itself out, this game projects as one of the highest-scoring on the slate, making Goff a value play at $7,800.
PositiveValueSep 3, 2026
Waldman highlights Goff as a perennial sleeper with elite surrounding talent: Amon-Ra St. Brown (top WR1), Jameson Williams (mid-range WR2), healthy Sam LaPorta (mid-range TE1 upside), and Jahmyr Gibbs (fantasy RB1 with receiving production better than TE11 Brock Bowers last year). Waldman counters the narrative that rushing QBs are superior, noting Jaxson Dart, Nix, and Baker Mayfield averaged fewer points per game than Goff, and Justin Herbert averaged the same. Waldman recommends targeting Goff in rounds 8-11.
NegativeProjectionAug 10, 2026
Goff's 2025 season was MVP-caliber with 68% completion, 4,564 passing yards, 34 touchdowns, and 8 interceptions, though all stats declined from his 2024 results under Ben Johnson's offensive coordination; Detroit's offense scored five fewer points per game in 2025. New OC Drew Petzing praised Goff's understanding of the game and ability to throw receivers open, and the coaching staff views him as an elite quarterback surrounded by top-tier talent.
PositiveValueJul 31, 2026
Goff's ADP sits outside the top-15 at quarterback despite being QB6 in fantasy points last year. Per Matt Okada of 4For4, Goff, Josh Allen, and Jalen Hurts are the only quarterbacks to finish top-10 in points each of the last four years. Goff is fifth over that span in 20-point fantasy games with 25, behind only Allen, Hurts, Lamar Jackson, and Patrick Mahomes II. With a price tag in Round 10, Goff represents significant value as a consistent top-10 quarterback being drafted as a late-round option.