0:00Good morning, friends and enemies, and welcome in to the week six running back preview show where we're going through every single game in the week six slate
0:09from a fantasy perspective, talking through every fantasy relevant running back and whether I think they are a start, a sit, a flexworthy option. We'll
0:17obviously be breaking down relevant injuries and snap counts and practice reports and all those kind of things in this video. We're six weeks in, y'all
0:26know the deal. Let us get moving. So important to note, we do have four teams on by. Cincinnati, so there will be no
0:32Chase Brown. There will be no Samaja Perine. Detroit, so there's no Jir Gibbs. For all y'all that have been getting free, four, five wins up to this
0:40point in the season. You got to figure it out another way. Miami and Minnesota, so no Ali Gordon and no Aaron Jones.
0:47First game up on the slate, we've got Seattle at Denver. They play on Thursday night. They are in Denver. This is a 40
0:52and a half point total. Not expecting a lot of offense out of these teams here.
0:56The Broncos are underdogs. The Seattle Seahawks have a 2 and a2 point favorite spread here. Emanuel Wilson has stepped in handedly. I mean, the Seattle
1:06Seahawks run game has been atrocious.
1:07George Lani is really bad. Emanuel Wilson is not much better, but he's getting all of the work in his backfield. And I want to take a look at
1:12the practice reports right now to see what we have on the secondary players here. Patrick Certan DNP on Monday and Tuesday. He is doubtful for it this
1:20game. It does look like they will be getting back Riley Moss though likely.
1:24He's limited in both practices. can probably shoot up that rib here. So, they'll get him back. Funga is a double DMP as well. So, the Broncos might be
1:30without multiple players in their secondary again. Maybe a little bit more of a passing attack for the Seattle Seahawks would be wise with JSN versus
1:38no Patrick Certan. Regardless, Emanuel Wilson continues to get fed 20 carries per game, 20 touches per game. Uh the Denver defense is not anywhere near what
1:47it's been the previous few years.
1:49Against the run here, you can see seventh most fantasy points allowed, fifth highest EPA per rush allowed.
1:54Emanuel Wilson, as bad as he probably is as a player, and he will have very little role once like Jadarian Price and
1:59or Zach Char are back. I still think you continue to roll him out as a feel-good player this week. Last week on the flip
2:06side, we had Shawn Payeyton basically take back over play calling duties.
2:10That's still kind of like to be determined how much of a handprint he had on the offense already and whether or not that went from like 50/50 to 100,
2:17whatever the case may be. The biggest noticeable change was that R.J. Harvey was like super non-involved in the passing game here. R.J. Harvey was
2:24catching like eight passes a game up to this point. It was a lot of the JK Dobbins show here. Uh, incredibly
2:29difficult match up against the Seattle Seahawks. As you can see, a lot of red across their running back statistics.
2:33The RJ Harvey one, I will say, is one that you should not overreact to. Uh, yes, he didn't get involved in the
2:40passing game. From weeks one through four, he was running 45% of the routes among the running backs. In week five, he ran 45% of the routes. So, the
2:48targets just simply did not go his way in this one. So, do not overreact. He had basically the same exact usage. He's
2:55not going to be an in between the tackles guy. So, yes, he does have to make his way through the passing game,
2:59but like it won't be what it was on Sunday over and over and over again.
3:04That being said, obviously the matchup is incredibly difficult here. So, with JK Dobbins, I think he's a shaky flex.
3:10Finally had like a good game, but you cannot trust him going forward. I think R.J. Harvey falls in there as well, and
3:15we've got to wait for the other uh backs to get healthy to talk about them going forward. Next up, we've got another
3:21London game for the Jacksonville Jaguars. 9:30 a.m. Eastern time. Houston is in London playing against Jacksonville, who will now be staying
3:28there for another week, obviously, because they played backto-back games there. So, I think they should be more comfortable. I think they should be
3:33better equipped and it won't be as sloppy on the offensive side of things for the Jaguars. So, I do have hope for
3:39them. This is a 42 point total. The Jags are three-point favorites against the Houston Texans who got their first win.
3:45Now, Demo Ryan did take over play calling duties for the Texans defensive side of the ball last week and they look
3:51great versus the Titans though was against the Titans. One injury note for the Jaguars, Antoine Harrison, their good right tackle is presumed to miss
4:00this game. So, they will be without some of their strength on the offensive line.
4:05That being said, I think Bashaw Tutons again looked really, really good. Gets a ton of touches. if uh Liam Cohen stops
4:10being so sloppy on the goal line, I think most of these games will end in having Bashaw Tuton get into the end
4:16zone. So, it is a very tough matchup. The Houston Texans defense is obviously super super good, not easy to run against, but I
4:23still trust the Jacksonville Jaguars offense. I still trust the play calling and I very much trust the role of Bashaw Tuton. So, he continues to be someone
4:30that you just need to have in your lineup as your RB2 and feel pretty good about it. Uh we don't want to start
4:35Chris Rodriguez, obviously. Now, on the flip side, we've got David Montgomery out for this one. He's going to be out at least this game. They do have their
4:42buy in a couple of weeks. So, I would assume David Montgomery probably misses the games leading up to that, which would mean Woody Marks ends up being the
4:48bellcow here. Now, couple things at play. Uh Woody Marks, he does look improved from last year. I don't want to say like, oh, the my eye test of looking
4:56at Woody Marks means now he's going to be an efficient runner because I just don't think that's really his game. But,
5:00he will very much operate as the bellcow here. Uh, I think Darian and Gumbbo played like one or two snaps last game.
5:07So, Woody Marks is like 55. It's clear that they trust him behind David Montgomery here. And I think Woody Marks going against the Jacksonville Jaguars
5:14defense, they're an extremely extremely difficult defense to run against. You know, no one gets yardage against them.
5:20But, I think Woody Marks will have enough volume that I'm not worried about it. So, he should be in your lineups
5:26this week as well. He's going to operate as the pass catcher. He's going to operate as the goal linebacker. So just
5:31by pure volume and the Houston offense has looked a bit better here, especially since Nico has gotten back. So I'm, you
5:37know, cautiously optimistic about Woody Marks. His role will be great. This is a really tough matchup. I still think he deserves to be in your flex spot at the
5:45worst. And then when they get a lighter matchup next week, it'll look even better. Moving to Carolina at the Philadelphia Eagles. First 1 PM slate
5:52here. We have a 40 and a half point total. The Panthers are 1 and a half point underdogs. They're playing in
5:57Philadelphia. Uh Chuba Harbor comes back. We have some injury news on the offensive line front. It looks like the Panthers will be getting back at least
6:05one of Oh, we don't practice reports for the Sunday games yet. At least one of, if not both, Damen Lewis, their interior
6:12guard, and uh Taylor Motton at tackle. I I would less expect Taylor Motton to be ready to go. I think they're both back
6:17at practice, but Motton's been out since January, so it probably takes him some time to ramp up. But I think they get
6:22back Damen Lewis in this one, which would be an upgrade to the offensive line. Chuba's already playing kind of out of his mind from a fantasy
6:28perspective. I think he has a similar role to all these guys to be honest with you. But the Philadelphia matchup is
6:32just not one that we're really scared of anymore. And the Panthers offense, which was one of our main concerns about like
6:37Chuba or Jonathan Brooks, whoever ends up being the 1A there, is like we don't have a lot of upside in this offense to
6:43begin with. They are coming off of the buy now, so they'll be fresh, they'll be healthy, and uh their offense has looked
6:48a lot better than we're giving credit for. So, you know, I do think in terms of the range of projections, he'll
6:54probably be right around Wilson to Woody Marks. All guys that you can project for somewhere between like 17 and 20 touches. These guys all have
7:01ridiculously tough matchups. I think the match up with the Eagles is uh, you know, a little bit easier, but I like
7:06the offensive prowess a bit for the Carolina Panthers here. So, Chuba, yeah, if you want to put him in the top of the
7:12field's good, the bottom of the must start, whatever. He's going to be in your lineups regardless. On the flip side, we are still dealing with a ton of
7:17injuries for Philadelphia. Very tough to figure out right now. They said they expect one of maybe Saquon Barkley or Devonte Smith to be back. I would
7:26definitely have backup plans if I have Saquon Barkley. I don't feel overly confident that he's going to be back this week. V is back. It's a good match
7:31up obviously and you know Saquon's going to be in your lineup. If he misses, we already have Tank Bsby out. We have Will
7:36Shipley now probably out multiple weeks.
7:38We have Damen Pierce kind of stepping in as the every downish back. I'm sure they will activate another running back.
7:45Carson Steel was activated. They'll probably pull up another back cuz you need to have three backs on your roster.
7:49I feel okay about Damen Pierce. I'm going to be honest with you. Like they're going to give them a ton of
7:53work. And while the Philadelphia offense hasn't looked great, they're not effective with the tush push. They are playing the Carolina defense. So, I
7:59think Dame Pierce will end up playing like 65 to 75% of the snaps. And you could do worse than that as a flex play.
8:06So, do I think he's a dub flex play? Am I like super excited to have him? No.
8:10But he definitely belongs in the category of the R.J. Harvey's JK Dobbins of the world based on the opposite effect of their matchups. Obviously,
8:16this is all coming down to whether or not Saquin plays. Next up, we've got the Chicago Bears at the Atlanta Falcons
8:22here. A 49 and a half point total. The Falcons are three-point underdogs despite being at home playing in the dome obviously, so really good
8:30environment, really good weather. Bean Robinson, a really good player going right into the mustart category. The other side is a little bit tough to
8:36figure out here because we have multiple things at play. We have Caleb Williams where, you know, a lot of the reports
8:42have been that they're optimistic he could return in week six. I don't think I'm fully buying that yet. If I had to
8:48lean one way or another, I would go 5149, but I don't think it's like the 8020 that they're making it out to be
8:53right now. So, I think there's a a chance that we get another week of Case Keenum and or Tyson Beijing, whoever
9:00they decide to throw out there, which is obviously not great for a guy like Swift. I mean, he'll be fine, but he's
9:05also dealing with his own kind of like nagging injuries. He did not play much in the second half of that game, whether
9:10that was like more score related or injury related. He came into the game a little bit banged up. So, I think that's
9:16something to keep an eye on. Uh the practice reports this week. I expect Swift to suit up, but he's clearly less
9:22than 100%. This is a pretty tough Atlanta run defense, though. I think they've overperformed what they actually are up to this point in the season, and
9:29you're starting to see their numbers kind of come back down to earth. Kungai is dealing with a week- toeek turftoe injury. So, he's someone where we're
9:35going to have to, you know, monitor practice reports on him. I uh would probably lean him being out, but you know, you never know. And then behind
9:42Swift, if Kungai doesn't play, you have Roshan Johnson, who every time he I mean, he's not a good runner at all, but
9:48every time he's on the field for the Bears, he seems to to see a very high floor in terms of like pass catching and
9:54receptions. So, you're definitely not playing him. But I will say like if you're in a very deep league and he's available on the wire, I don't think
10:00he's like the worst speculative ad just to kind of keep an eye on what's going on with DeAndre Swift, if he is a little
10:05bit more banged up than given credit for. But if DeAndre Swift plays, I mean, he's going into your lineup obviously very very high floor player. Other than
10:12that, yeah, there's no one else we want to get into our lineups. You know, people are going to go crazy about Brian
10:17Robinson the first couple weeks, but like again, he's he's nothing but a handcuff. People are just going to have recency bias based on whoever was like
10:22the most previous highly used handcuff.
10:24Whether it was Kalon Black in week one and then Brian Robinson this week, whatever, it's like enough. Next up, we got Baltimore at Cleveland. So, the
10:32Cleveland Browns are four and a half point underdogs at home. This is a 41 12 point total. We have some relative
10:39optimism about Lamar Jackson coming back to this game, but I am I'm a little skeptical about that. I wouldn't say I'm
10:46overly optimistic that we do see Lamar return for this one. I think the spread will probably be a lot higher. We
10:51probably won't see a ton of lines on the board until we get more news on Lamar Jackson, but he was fully DMPed last
10:58week. So, I I would project him being out, but again, you never say never.
11:02Derrick Henry's of course a must start regardless. I will say his like projections if you're like a DFS player or something will swing a little bit
11:09wildly depending on what happens for the Cleveland Browns defensive line. So last week I I was really really high on Brilon Allen having a big bounceback
11:18game because of the Browns being without both Mason Graham and Mike Hall, their two starting defensive tackles. If they don't have them for this game against
11:26the Ravens, they're going to be in hell against Derrick Henry. So Henry might have a massive game if those two guys
11:32are out. Mason Graham was weak toe. I'm not really sure about my call status, but that's one to really really keep an
11:36eye on if like the Derrick Henry sit start decision somehow matters for you depending on what your game type is. For
11:42the Browns, a little bit more of a tricky situation. Now they have Quinnshaw Dudkins who was obviously seen in a walking boot after the game. I told
11:50y'all to like kind of relax and not overly emphasize a walking boot. They say he's dayto-day and it's nothing crazy. So I think he has a real shot to
11:57suit up for week six and I know everyone was like kind of up in arms because they went out and signed Audrey Estime off of
12:04uh maybe the Saints practice squad. I forget whose practice squad he was on.
12:08They signed him and they were like, "Oh, there's concern for Quinnshaw Judkins."
12:11Incorrect. Raheem Sanders ended up getting placed on the IR. So, they don't have any depth at running back because Dylan Samson's been out this whole time.
12:18Although, they are opening his 21-day practice window. So, it seems Samson could be back. Probably not this week, but within the next, you know, two or
12:26three weeks, unless we see other major moves at the running back position for the Cleveland Browns, who they would turn to like Jal Mcofflin and Audrey
12:33Esme as a duo, which is disgusting coming out of your mouth. I I think there's a decent chance Quinton Junkin suits up for this game. Regardless,
12:41tough match up against the Ravens. Will not have a good game script for him. His floor is very, very low as we've seen.
12:46He's had like one good game. So, I would put Judkins as a shaky flex kind of regardless of what else is going on in
12:52the situation there for Cleveland.
12:54Moving on to the Jets versus the New England Patriots. So, we have a 43 and a half point total. They're playing in
13:00Foxboro. The Patriots are 7 and 12 point favorites here. Trayvon Henderson has a high ankle sprain. He's going to be out
13:07multiple weeks, which basically means Raandre Stevenson's a must start for me.
13:10Vegas has him at 90 total yards, minus 185 anytime touchdown, three and a half receptions. Even if you don't think he's
13:16good, the role is incredibly juicy here.
13:19So, Raandre goes right into the mustard category. Bruce Hall a little bit trickier. Um, I think his return to play time, I would have put the overunder at
13:27like three and a half weeks early on when he had the injury. I think that's probably still the projection here. I
13:32would say 50/50 for him to return this upcoming week, but I'm not overly optimistic about it. So, we might see uh
13:38another big game from Brilon Allen.
13:40Though, the Patriots interior defensive line against Milton Williams and Christian Bar is much much stout than a you know, a Mason Graham and Mike
13:49Hallless Cleveland Brown. So, I think he'll struggle a little bit more to find running room. So, I would actually put him his role I I guess you got to put
13:56him into the feels good category here.
13:58These guys interesting. Like I I don't know that I feel super good about any of them to be honest with you, but they all
14:03have extremely similar outlooks this week where you have Emanuel Wilson, Bashalt Tuton, Woody Marks, Brillin Allen against four of the better run
14:12defenses despite what some of the numbers say up to this point. They are like the bellcows in their backfield, but like we don't feel super optimistic
14:19about any of them in terms of like overwhelming talent or anything like that outside of like Tuton's talent is obviously a cut a cut above the rest of
14:26them, but he's arguably got the toughest matchup. So, I think if I'm putting Brayon Allen, you know, into these guys projections being similar, then I I
14:33guess I put him into the same tier. If Bree Hall plays, yeah, I I guess you can throw him into like the feels good
14:38category as well, although I don't feel super good about him to be honest with you. And then you're not playing Brillon
14:43Allen, of course. And behind Roandre Stevenson, I should also just note they had Cory Kleiner come in, but he lost a
14:48fumble. So, I I just think it's going to be Raandre taking 90% of the opportunities in that back field. Next up, we got the Saints at the New York
14:54Giants. Another very sloppy backfield to figure out. This is a 45 and a half point total. They're playing in New York. It looks like we might have normal
15:02weather for like the first time [ __ ] ever in New York on a Sunday. Uh, no rain here. Cool. Just 9 mph winds. All
15:09right. Cool, cool, cool, cool, cool, cool, cool. For the first time, we might get a weekend without [ __ ] rain here.
15:14The problem is what's going on in these back fields. Cam continues to lose work to Naji Harris. He had a very costly
15:21almost costly fumble at the end of the game last week and we saw Harbaugh kind of put Tyrone Tracy immediately into the
15:28uh doghouse during the preseason when he fumbled. So love the matchup. The Saints defense is pretty [ __ ] bad right now.
15:35I just I I it's hard to have a ton of optimism with Cam Scatabo and and and what his actual role is given they are
15:44allowing Naji Harris to touch the ball as much as he is and Tyrone Tracy getting involved here. So, I'm going to
15:50put Cam a touch below these guys.
15:53Although, it should be noted Vegas does have his total yards at 70, which is around the same tier uh as these guys.
15:59Unfortunately, his reception line still at like one and a half here, which is where we thought a lot of the upside
16:03would come from. So, you know, you'll have Cam there, but you're obviously not starting anyone else in the Giants backfield. The other side's a little bit
16:10more tricky. We have uh kind of like a changing of the guard there where Kendra Miller ended up out carrying and out
16:14touching Alvin Kamara heavily uh last week, but I'm probably willing to throw away most of what we saw for the Saints
16:21offense last week because they're playing against the Minnesota Vikings and that's just a defense that's impossible to do anything against.
16:26Kendra Miller wasn't effective on the ground, but he did get the goal line score and then Camaro was kind of like
16:29useless between him and CJ Donaldson. Do I think that's going to be the case going forward most of the time? Uh no, I
16:34don't. I think that's kind of what I expected when I picked Kendrick up two weeks ago and then it didn't really
16:40happen. Kamar is still going to be their main pass catching back. It's a good matchup against the New York Giants, but
16:45it's definitely difficult to sus out like what the actual split is going to be. Should also be noted that uh Kamara
16:50kind of came into the week on the injury report with a little bit of a back injury. So maybe that played into his
16:55role being downsized quite a bit. But regardless, I think both of these guys go into the shaky flex category at best.
17:01And of course, as always, if you guys want my actual, you know, rankings in terms of where these guys rank relative
17:07to each other within these tiers, etc., and, you know, the flex rankings for everybody, those will be available on the site for fantasy members, bdgeg.co.
17:18Next game up, we've got Pittsburgh at the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. First yellow weather game of the slates. We are in Tampa Bay, so we're getting them Florida
17:26showers. A 40 and a half point total here. The practice report is going to matter a lot for this game because we
17:32have on the Pittsburgh side of things, Rico Dattle got ruled out felt like kind of last minute last week and it
17:36obviously led to an explosion game from Jaylen Warren who's just been lights out since Rico Dattle went out with the turf. Though he was limited in practice
17:44all week, which typically points to a guy suiting up. So, I would be way more surprised if he didn't play this
17:50upcoming week. That being said, you know, Mike McCarthy came out and basically said like Jaylen Warren's our featured player right now. Whether or
17:57not that's real, you know, remains to be seen. I am, if I'm looking at the players on the board, would without a
18:04doubt start Jaylen Warren over all of these guys. No doubt about it. So, with that being said, like, you know, I'm
18:09throwing him into the mustard category until we see a game where, you know, it's like 12 touches for Warren and 11
18:14for Rico Dowel. You just ride Jaylen Warren into the ground and hope he continues to have these explosion games.
18:19They're also dealing with a ton of wide receiver injuries right now. Roman Wilson's out and Michael Pitman Jr.'s out. So like the passing game I think is
18:26going to continue to work around a lot of the running backs with Aaron Rogers at quarterback. Enrico D plays like he's
18:32a shaky flex at best there. Flip side still a little bit confusing in the Tampa Bay backfield week to week. It
18:38feels like we're just kind of, you know, playing whack-a-ole figuring out whose role is what. Bucky looked phenomenal against the Dallas Cowboys. This is a
18:44little bit of a a more difficult matchup of course against the Pittsburgh Steelers here. Let's actually look at that um weather report to make sure
18:51there's nothing we're overlooking. So, you know, this is just windy. Uh why it's caution winds up to 20 mph, very little chance of rain. So, okay, I I
18:59lied about the showers out there. Sorry.
19:01Usually the yellow indicates that there will be some sort of rain in the game.
19:05But if there's no rain, we're not concerned whatsoever about the wind really. Maybe if you're talking about deep passers, but we talking about
19:10running backs in this video, so that doesn't matter for us. We have to keep an eye on Baker Mayfield. I think
19:15there's a very real chance that he returns for week six and is the quarterback for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Jaylen Daniels filled in
19:21pretty admirably, but obviously you want Baker under center if you have fantasy players attached to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. So, Bucky definitely put him
19:28into this category of guys that I think will get 15 to 20 touches and is just a good player and probably more talented
19:34than most of the guys on the board here.
19:35So, Bucky will be in my lineup. No one else in this uh on this team will be in my lineup. So, we can move to the next
19:40game which is Tennessee at the Indianapolis Colts. Jonathan Taylor is going right back into the mustart category. Of course, this is a 44 12
19:49point total. Feels pretty high for what both of both of these offenses don't do.
19:53The Colts are sevenpoint favorites here.
19:55Also feels pretty high for a team that's not very good. So JT is the guy. On the flip side, you've got the split between
20:00Tony Pard and Taj Spears. I'm pretty sure if I'm not mistaken, Taj Spears caught like nine passes last week. So for the Titans backfield, like it's a
20:10great matchup versus the Colts defense.
20:11As you can see, literally dead last in EPA per run. Second to last in success rate, six most fantasy points allowed to
20:18the position. I don't think the Colts are good enough offense to like have the game script get away from the Titans.
20:25And we saw that last week where they got killed by the Texans. So, a lot of it went in favor of Taj Spears. He ended up
20:30with nine targets in this game. It was a pure 50/50 split backfield. Man, I will say with Taj Spears, like probably won't
20:37happen, but I I I think he should definitely be stashed on your benches if he's available on the waiverwire. Uh because Tony Pard feels like such an
20:45obvious trade candidate before the deadline. Like there are running back needy teams. There's a lot of injuries right now. He's someone that could
20:51probably be had for a sixth or seventh round pick at this point. And what's the point of the Titans giving him all these
20:57carries? Like you don't you you're not winning games regardless. But I think the script goes way more in favor of you
21:02know a Tony Pard game than it does a Taj Spears game. But I still think they're going 50/50 in the back field and you
21:08know the defensive matchup could be much much worse. So I got Pard in the dub flex here. Vegas has him at 60 total
21:13yards, 10 receiving yards. You know he might back his way into the end zone. I don't feel great about him but like you
21:18could definitely do worse at flex during by weeks. Next game we've got the Arizona Cardinals at the LA Rams. The Rams are 12 and a half point favorites
21:27here. 51 and a half point total. Kairen is a [ __ ] animal. Goes right into the must-art category. The other side of
21:33things is very, very, very tricky.
21:34Obviously, Jeremiah Love, 12 carries for 22 yards. He's been inefficient. He's not catching a ton of passes. Tyler Algier is playing a ton of snaps here.
21:44So, I don't want to write off Jeremiah Love right now, but this definitely ain't the matchup to feel confident about him. So, he's going into the shaky
21:50flex category. he'll be, you know, towards the top of it just because he is very talented, but he's clearly dealing with some sort of injury and the
21:58Cardinals offensive line is just a mess right now. Their offense is really, really poor, obviously, too. So, don't feel good about him. Don't feel good
22:04about Algier. Blake Cororm, you know, you can kind of talk yourself into him coming off of his best game of the
22:09season and in a game script where they are 12 and a half point favorites, they can get up pretty big pretty quickly.
22:14So, you know, this could be another game where Blake Horm ends up getting double- digit touches, ends up getting a goal
22:20line score. Don't want him in my lineup, but like you probably could do worse.
22:23Next up, we got Buffalo at the Las Vegas Raiders. So, Buffalo just played in LA.
22:28They're actually staying on the West Coast, so I actually like that a little bit more than coming back and then traveling again. I think they'll be a
22:34little bit more situated out there. Uh, this offense is obviously humming.
22:37Hopefully, they get DJ Moore back and they could be at full strength. Uh, regardless, this is a running back video. So, James Cook, of course, is in
22:44the must start category. For as many touchdowns as Josh Allen steals, James Cook is still like among the league leaders at running back in rushing
22:52touchdowns. Like, I couldn't imagine how many he would get if Josh Allen was not their quarterback, but also, you know, how good would the offense be if he
22:58wasn't? You guys get the point. James Cook is awesome. They just have so many goal line opportunities. 53 and a half
23:03point total in this game. The Bills are 5 and a half point favorites. His yardage is up over 100. Anytime touchdown is minus 180 for him. So,
23:10James Cook in your lineup obviously flip side a little bit more difficult to figure out here with Ashen Genty because he is another guy that's pretty clearly
23:19I think playing through an injury. He's not been efficient whatsoever. Bill's defense is pretty pretty bad. So, I still feel relatively good about him.
23:26His workload's going to be good. He's going to catch passes. Three and a half reception line is pretty strong here, but obviously we're not really getting
23:31the explosives. We're not getting a bunch of touchdowns out of him. So, I I think he belongs in the conversation with the rest of these guys that are
23:36kind of in this feels good category.
23:38Then, you know, Ty Johnson had a big game, but that was whatever, we ain't talking about it. Next up, we got the
23:42Chargers at the Kansas City Chiefs. The Chiefs are eight and a half point favorites. This is a 42 and a half point
23:48total here. The Chiefs coming off of the buy. Kenneth Walker, of course, is going right into the mustart category. He's going to have a massive game. The other
23:54side of things extremely difficult to figure out. They are basically splitting carries and touches between the three backfield mates dead evenly. Like 35% of
24:03the snaps go into Hampton, 35 to Vidal, 35 to Keaton Mitchell. and it is just clean across the board. You don't know
24:09who's going to score the touchdown. You don't know who's going to catch the passes. We have the offensive line in shambles right now. No Rashan Slater. We
24:14don't know if Joe Walt's going to come back this week. Justin Herbert likely dealing with a high ankle sprain.
24:19Probably plays, but like I don't know regardless.
24:23I don't know how to not put all them into the rather not category, but I also don't know how to put all of them into
24:28the not in the shaky flex category.
24:30They're not guys I want to start. We'll we'll put it that way. But like I also don't know that I would blame anyone for
24:36starting any of those three. As crazy as that sounds, they're they're bad. The Charger situation is horrendous. Uh the Chiefs should dominate this game. Next
24:43up, we've got the Dallas Cowboys at the Green Bay Packers for Sunday night football. This is going to be a fun
24:47game. 52 and a half point total here.
24:50The Cowboys are one and a half point underdog. Still feel great about Javante Williams despite him having, you know, relatively floor games every other week.
24:57But, you know, he always rumbles his way into a touchdown here. anytime touchdown line is minus200.
25:03That's matched with Bejon. That's better than Kenneth Walker. So obviously he's going into your lineups and the matchup is great versus the Green Bay Packers
25:10weak fronts. Match up is also great for the Green Bay Packers running backs here versus Dallas. You can see a lot of
25:15green across the board. I'm actually kind of confident about Marshon Lloyd.
25:18who was someone that I highlighted last week in the running back rankings video where I thought he would have a strong
25:22game because Christopher Brooks uh was out there and they called up Pierre Strong to play in this game and Caleb Johnson basically did not play at all.
25:31So, it was a two-man backfield between Marshon Lloyd and Pierre Strong. Pier Strong playing in more of like the obvious passing situations and pass
25:38blocking stuff, but it does give me a lot more confidence assuming Christopher Brooks is out, assuming Josh Jacobs is obviously out like that. Marshon Lloyd
25:45is going to be their featured back. The offensive line has also looked decently better since signing all the veterans.
25:51And it's not like this is a match up where they can get overpowered. I think that offensive line will probably bend,
25:55bend, bend, and then break when they're playing against better defenses. But they've been improved slightly over the last couple weeks, which gives me more
26:02confidence. And I think I would start Marshon Lloyd over a guy like Tony Pard.
26:06Do I expect explosion game from him? No.
26:08But his touchdown line of minus 165 is really, really, really strong. It's just one of those running backs getting the workload, right situation. So really the
26:17only guy you're considering for the Green Bay Packers. Moving on to the final game of the week. We've got the Washington Commanders at San Francisco
26:25for Sunday Night Football. Washington traveling cross country. They are 7 and 12 point underdogs. This is a 50 and 1/2 point total. Let's see what the weather
26:32concerns are. Here we have wind 16 mph.
26:37So 15 to 20 range. Light chance of rain.
26:40I probably got to fix that where wind doesn't really matter much, but worth noting. So unless there's rain in the mix, we don't care. Christian McCaffrey
26:46going to the mustart category. Of course, flip side, Jakori Kimmer finally had a pretty good game last week with Jaden Daniels finally coming back. Do I
26:54think that is like sticky? Not in the sense that I I I expect big touchdown plays or anything like that, but JK
27:01should continue to lead the team in touches in games at least where they are not like falling behind, but this could
27:05be one of them as more than touchdown underdogs. And the San Francisco 49ers offense is really good. Their defense has been really good, although they are
27:11pretty banged up. So, you know, it won't be an elite defense. I don't think so.
27:15For right now, I I look at Jaka probably similar to how I look at like a JK Dobbins, Quinc Judkins, where like can
27:21project 12 to 15 carries most likely, but hard to project them for a touchdown. The game script's not working in their favor. Rashad White's also not
27:29a guy that I want in my lineup either.
27:31Neither is I guess Kalon Black can go in there. All these guys, whatever, whatever, whatever. All right, so nice little quick video for y'all cuz we do
27:37have four teams on buy. So, here's a more large scale view for you. We actually have 13 players in the must-ar
27:45category. Six in the feels good. Three in the dub flex. Not a lot of great flex options where you could obviously argue
27:50that like the Woody Marxes, the Allens, the Emanuel Wilsons belong more in the dub flex category than the feels good category, but I just feel a lot better
27:57about their projected workload than I do the the Cam Scatabos and Marshon Lloyds of the world right now, plus a little
28:04bit more of their upside. So, these guys operate as a bell. They're like less talented bellcows against tough matchups. You guys get the [ __ ]
28:10point. I've said it 40 times already. As always, like I said, you can grab the rankings right now on bdgeg.co if you're a fantasy member. You can get
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28:40next three months. All right, so all this data, all these stats, all these rankings are available to you on the front end of the website if you are a
28:47fantasy member. I will wrap up there. If you enjoyed the video, hit the button that looks like this. Subscribe to the
28:52channel if you are new and I will see y'all tomorrow for the wide receiver rankings version of this video.