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Ranking Every Week 4 Wide Receiver as a Sit or Start

STACKED extracted the fantasy-relevant player signal from this video and kept the full transcript here for context.

37 min
Duration
Estimated from transcript
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Published
39
Player insights
39
Players mentioned
Topics
Brian Thomas Jr.Brock BowersC.J. StroudCaleb DouglasChris GodwinColby ParkinsonD.J. MooreDavante AdamsDeebo SamuelDevaughn VeleDeVonta SmithDK MetcalfGarrett WilsonGeorge Pickens
Player analysis

Player insights

39

Brian Thomas Jr.

NegativeValue20:31

Brian Thomas Jr. is placed in the 'rather not' category. His Vegas props are lower than Rashod Bateman's and only three yards higher than Demario Douglas's, making him a player to avoid in lineups.

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Brock Bowers

PositiveBreakout28:52

Brock Bowers is a top-tier tight end alongside Trey McBride, having made an immediate impact in his first game back by going nuclear.

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C.J. Stroud

NegativeProjection14:44

The source expects week-to-week inconsistency from CJ Stroud, characterizing the Houston Texans' passing offense as largely inoperable outside of top options.

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Caleb Douglas

NegativeInjury25:13

Caleb Douglas is likely out for the upcoming game due to an ankle injury described as more severe than the one suffered by Justin Jefferson.

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Chris Godwin

NegativeUsage23:50

Chris Godwin is already a full-time player, and the absence of Jaylen McMillan may lead to even more routes for him.

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Colby Parkinson

NegativeInjury21:04

Colby Parkinson is an injury situation to monitor. If he and Terrence Ferguson are both out, it could lead to increased target volume for other Rams pass catchers, and Tyler Higbee becomes a viable streaming option at tight end.

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D.J. Moore

PositiveMatchup8:16

DJ Moore is the primary target despite recovering from a shoulder injury, but the source expresses hesitation about starting him due to a difficult matchup against Christian Gonzalez. His fantasy value is currently propped up primarily by his attachment to Josh Allen and the team's offensive performance.

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Davante Adams

NegativeUsage18:40

Davante Adams has established himself as the clear alpha receiver for the Rams, but his fantasy outlook is lower when Puka Nacua is active; in those scenarios, Adams shifts to the outside, faces tougher matchups like Quinyon Mitchell, and receives fewer targets.

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Deebo Samuel

NegativeRole31:56

Deebo Samuel is considered a shaky flex play, though he could see increased usage in the backfield if Mike Evans is unavailable.

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Devaughn Vele

PositiveValue57:06

Devaughn Vele is a preferred flex start over Jakobi Meyers and Ladd McConkey; he holds better betting odds across the board, including his anytime touchdown line, and benefits from consistent route participation in a favorable matchup against a Falcons defense allowing the sixth-most fantasy points to wide receivers.

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DeVonta Smith

NegativeInjury19:50

DeVonta Smith has high receiving yardage and reception props, but limited touchdown upside because the Eagles prioritize Jalen Hurts, tight ends, and Saquon Barkley in the red zone. He missed Wednesday's practice with a hamstring injury, but this is a lingering issue he has been managing and is not currently considered overly concerning.

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DK Metcalf

NegativeRole1:43

DK Metcalf has not looked great despite receiving targets, leading to a 'shaky flex' classification for the upcoming matchup where he will likely face Denzel Ward.

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Garrett Wilson

PositiveProjection9:36

Garrett Wilson is placed in the 'mustard' category, indicating he is a strong start who should see a high volume of targets.

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George Pickens

NegativeRole23:42

George Pickens is in the 'feels good' category, but the source expresses concern about his usage. He runs almost exclusively on the outside (sub-5% slot rate) and consistently faces the opposing team's top cornerback, such as Derek Stingley Jr.

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Jakobi Meyers

PositiveRole20:12

Jakobi Meyers is considered a 'dub flex' play coming off a good game. He runs a high volume of routes and is viewed as the second-best receiver on his team, though he is ranked behind Devaughn Vele for this week's lineup decisions.

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Jalen McMillan

NegativeInjury23:45

Jaylen McMillan has been placed on IR, which opens up more routes for other receivers in the offense.

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Jauan Jennings

PositiveUsage25:11

Jawan Jennings may see an increase in usage if Justin Jefferson is unable to play.

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Jaylen Waddle

NegativeProjection30:04

Jaylen Waddle is not considered a true alpha receiver capable of commanding 10 targets per game, making him a boom-or-bust flex option in the current Broncos offense with a history of inconsistent floor and ceiling games.

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Jonathan Taylor

NegativeUsage6:59

Jonathan Taylor could see a high-volume workload of around 25 carries to control the clock, potentially leading to an under-performing game script.

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Jordan Addison

PositiveProjection25:06

Jordan Addison receives a fantasy upgrade due to Justin Jefferson's injury; he is a strong start if Jefferson is out because his deep-threat playstyle aligns well with Kyler Murray's high deep-ball rate.

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Josh Downs

PositiveBreakout4:06

Josh Downs has been excellent since Alec Pierce's injury; with a line of 62.5 yards and 5.5 receptions, he is a strong start and a projected top-20 fantasy receiver. The source identifies him as a must-start player for fantasy lineups in his current matchup.

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Justin Jefferson

NegativeInjury24:07

Justin Jefferson is dealing with an ankle injury and is a 50/50 chance to miss the upcoming game; if he plays, he is a must-start.

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Kalif Raymond

PositiveUsage10:46

Kalif Raymond is a consistent target earner, being one of only seven NFL players to catch at least five passes in every game through three weeks. He currently holds higher Vegas props than Rome Odunze (31.5 receiving yards, 3.5 receptions) and is considered a 'shaky flex' option.

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Kayshon Boutte

NegativeValue25:17

Kayshon Boutte is a player to avoid in lineups, with receiving yardage lines set at 24.5. While the source expresses a slight preference for him over Xavier Hutchinson, they advise against starting either player.

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Kyler Murray

NegativeRole25:54

Kyler Murray is the starting quarterback for Minnesota and is noted for his high deep-ball rate, ranking second or third in the NFL, which complements Jordan Addison's deep-threat playstyle.

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Ladd McConkey

NegativeRole29:31

Ladd McConkey is back to playing a full slate of snaps and is a lineup lock, though he is viewed as a bottom-tier flex option rather than a high-ceiling play. He is currently compared unfavorably to Devaughn Vele in betting odds and touchdown lines.

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Luther Burden

PositiveUsage10:20

Luther Burden is considered a 'first read' player for the offense and is placed in the 'Dub Flex' category, indicating he is a viable starting option, though his target consistency is impacted by the quarterback's tendency to go off-script.

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Malik Nabers

PositiveMatchup

Despite recent poor performances, the source recommends starting Malik Nabers as a top-20 flex option due to a favorable matchup against an Arizona secondary missing Will Johnson.

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Matthew Golden

PositiveProjection23:18

Matthew Golden has been performing at an awesome level with a high volume of targets.

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Michael Wilson

PositiveBreakout9:36

Michael Wilson is viewed as a rock-solid WR2 and the primary receiver in Arizona, having outperformed Marvin Harrison Jr. with high target volume.

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Nico Collins

PositiveInjury22:26

Nico Collins is trending toward playing after a limited practice on Wednesday. If he plays, he is expected to be a full-go without snap limitations in a favorable matchup against a Dallas defense that has allowed high EPA and success rates. However, the source notes potential week-to-week inconsistency in the Houston passing offense due to CJ Stroud's volatility.

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Puka Nacua

NegativeInjury

Puka Nacua is trending toward playing after a limited practice, but there is significant uncertainty regarding his snap count, route participation, and overall effectiveness upon returning to the field.

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Quentin Johnston

NegativeUsage30:53

Quentin Johnston played 85% of routes last week but remains third in the team's receiver pecking order, having been outperformed in usage by Trey Harris.

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Rashee Rice

NegativeProjection28:33

The source expresses mixed feelings on Rashee Rice despite back-to-back 80-yard games, noting he is not as involved as in previous years, though he benefits from being paired with Patrick Mahomes.

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Terry McLaurin

NegativeRole5:14

Terry McLaurin is a 'dub flex' play; while he is the primary target for Marcus Mariota, the quarterback's volatility creates a low floor for the passing game.

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Tre Harris

NegativeUsage30:57

Trey Harris outperformed Quentin Johnston in usage last week, though he is still third in the team's receiver pecking order and runs approximately 60% of routes.

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Tre Tucker

NegativeRole29:05

Trey Tucker is an inconsistent fantasy option who runs every route but typically produces in the 3-4 catch and 30-45 yard range, making him a difficult start in redraft leagues.

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Xavier Hutchinson

NegativeValue25:16

Xavier Hutchinson is a player to avoid in lineups; the source notes a betting line of 28.5 receiving yards but advises against starting him or other secondary Texans receivers due to low route participation.

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Zay Flowers

PositiveBreakout7:15

Despite being limited, Zay Flowers is a must-start due to his high target-per-route-run rate and usage in the Ravens' offense. The source expects his snap count to increase by at least 20% and highlights his efficiency on crossing routes.

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Full transcript

Episode Transcript

17
0:00- it's rude to skip introductions
0:30- PIT vs CLE
2:35- IND vs WAS
4:35- BAL vs TEN
6:53- NE vs BUF
8:49- NYJ vs CHI
11:43- JAC vs CIN
13:08- DAL vs HOU
15:25- ARI vs NYG
17:25- LAR vs PHI
21:33- GB vs TB
24:42- MIA vs MIN
26:44- KC vs LV
28:34- LAC vs SEA
29:50- DEN vs SF
32:27- DET vs CAR
34:10- NO vs ATL

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