0:00Good morning, friends and enemies.
0:02Welcome into the week 16 wide receiver preview where we go game byame everything in week 16 and label every fantasy relevant wide receiver as a
0:10start, as a sit, as a flex for your fantasy football semifinals matchup.
0:16Let's start things off with tonight's game. The Rams travel to Seattle and play the Seahawks. So, we got the Rams in Seattle. This is a 42 1/2 point
0:25total. There are some weather concerns, maybe scattered rain here and there, but it looks like it's getting a little bit lighter as the day is going on, maybe
0:33some strong gusts of wind. So, there's some chances for this to be a little bit of a weather impacted game. Uh, the Rams
0:39are one and a half point underdogs in this one. Again, 42 and a half point total, so does not expect a ton of
0:44points being scored here, but it's pretty simple when it comes to the fantasy wide receivers. We do have Dvonte Adams out for this one. Uh, he
0:50was DMPed across the week, obviously with the hamstring strain. Charles Cross, the tackle for the Seattle Seahawks will be out. Braden Fisk will
0:56also be out for the defensive line of the Rams. Now, Pukanaku is a must start.
1:00JSN's a must start. Of course, the rest of the players, I don't want them in my lineup for week 16. I don't want them in
1:04my fantasy football semi-finals lineup.
1:07Rasheed Shahed, Cooper Cup. Shahed did overtake Cup in terms of like routes run last week for the first time pretty much
1:13since coming over to Seattle, but that does not make me confident in having him in my lineup behind Puka Nua with Dvonte
1:20Adams out. I mean, we're looking at a mishmash of 22 Atwell, of Canadam Mumfield, of Jordan Whittington.
1:26Honestly, with the lines this low, like no Devontto Adams, yeah, it's going to be a heavy dosage of the running backs,
1:31going to be a heavy dosage of Puka, going to be a heavy dosage of Kobe Parkinson and the tight ends, but these
1:35lines are low, man. 13 and a half receiving yards for 22, 12 for Mumfield.
1:39I would honestly sprinkle on all these guys if they're going to be that low.
1:42Like normally I feel like backup wide receivers kind of get into like the 25 27 range or something like that, but no
1:47one's got a good feel for how these wide receiver reps are going to be split up, which obviously tells you you shouldn't
1:51start any of them. But if I am taking any of the slips tonight on Thursday Night Football, it would be the over on
1:55these wide receivers. So sprinkle here, sprinkle there, sprinkle it on MGM. I will take some of these before tonight's game. If you want to follow any of the
2:03picks that I take, free to do so on the Picket app. It's like a social bet tracking app where you could follow me
2:08and any of your favorite creators. So pick.com or the Picket app. I will link that down below. Free to do so. Hit it
2:13with code BDGE when you download the app so it'll automatically follow us. You could sync all your books and stuff, too. But again, we are not trying to get
2:20cute. And guess who's going to have a good game tonight in Seattle. Moving to the Saturday slate of games, we got
2:26Philly at Washington. Washington stinks on defense. 44 and a half point total.
2:31The Philadelphia Eagles are 6 and 12 point favorites here. NFC East showdown.
2:36AJ Brown's been playing pretty lights out. Very, very involved in this offense. Now, uh, statistically, he's getting there. So, I don't see a world
2:44where you do not start him against the Washington Commanders. Dvonte Smith, I feel pretty good about. I know it's tough. He's so talented. This is a great
2:50matchup. They obviously go very, very runheavy, especially against teams like this where they probably won't have to sweat the actual matchup. So, Dvonte is
2:58somewhere between feels good and Dublex.
2:59I'm going to throw him at the top of the Dublex category, but he probably sneaks into my top 20 wide receivers, if not
3:05like top 18 this week. On the flip side, we have another week of Marcus Mariota, who will be the quarterback in
3:10Washington for the remainder of the season. Now, Terry is likely going to see a ton of Quinan Mitchell in this game, shadowed on the outside. Not the
3:19best thing. I definitely think though, Terry, since he's returned and been fully healthy, is going to have more good games than he has bad games, and
3:25we've kind of seen that be the case. He gets it done more often than not.
3:28Terry's going to slide in there again around in the Devonte Smith area where it's like you feel relatively good about having him in the flex, but there's
3:35always the downside of game script.
3:36There's always a downside of seeing a ton of Quinan Mitchell. Debo Samuels been shaky flex for me for sure. I'd play him over a guy like Rashid Jahed in
3:43a second, but Debo really hasn't shown much of a ceiling, especially since Terry's returned. Green Bay at Chicago.
3:50All right, so this is the Saturday night game. Christian Watson, who went to the hospital, who it looked like all odds
3:55were stacked against him, is now back to practice and it is looking like he's going to end up playing in this one,
4:01which is crazy. But that's the case.
4:03Now, if that is the case, like I feel pretty damn good about Christian Watson.
4:08He's been the number one guy and I think if he's healthy, you throw him out into that lineup. Now, if we're kind of
4:14looking at the actual player props in these games and we're, you know, tearing them based on how Vegas projects him, he
4:19would fall more into that dub flex range where Dvonte's at 58 and a half, Terry's at 56 and a half, both at four and a
4:25half receptions. Christian Watson's at 52 and a half. And typically like the feels good category is guys around AJ Brown's line where they're somewhere in
4:33like the 60 to 69 70 range there and then the must starts to the guys that are like 85 and above. It's not
4:39necessarily like a rule of thumbs. No black and white, no science to it necessarily, but it's typically a good way to look at it. So we'll throw
4:46Christian Watson into the top of the dub flex category. DJ Moore, I feel pretty good about it because we do have to look
4:51at the practice report here. It looks like both teams are going to be down a decent amount of players here. All
4:55right, so we've got Evan Williams out for the Packers. We've got Josh Jacobs double DMP, but it feels like they're just kind of managing that knee injury
5:02for him right now. Lucas Vanes did return to a limited practice. Luther Burden double DMP, so he's trending towards not playing with the ankle
5:09injury, but that's not a for sure thing.
5:11He can get back to a limited practice on Thursday and suit up. Michael Parson's obviously out. Roma Dunce double DMPed with the stress fracture reagravation.
5:18Zack Tom, the Packer star tackle, looks like he's going to be out for this one as well. So, you've got a lot of injured
5:23players here, which moves us to the Bear side of the ball. If Burden and Roma Dunce are not playing, you've just got
5:28to think the passing offense runs through DJ Moore. Now, that has not been a successful plan for them this year whatsoever. But, if those guys are out,
5:36he's definitely a super viable flex option coming off the two touchdown game. I think he scored two touchdowns in two of his last four games. Um, but,
5:45you know, we've seen some flop games out of him as well this year. So, I do think there's a little bit more volatility
5:49than probably given credit for. On the flip side, Jaden Reid will have no Kyler Gordon for the Bears, who is their slot
5:56quarterback, who's very, very good, which does make the matchup good. But even Vegas is like 34 and a half receiving guards. They don't really
6:03expect like a huge splash from Jordan Love here. It's a 46 and a half point total, which is like relatively healthy.
6:08The Packers are 1 and a half point underdogs in this one, probably due to all the injuries that they're suffering with right now. Jaden Reed, he really
6:14hasn't shown much of a ceiling yet.
6:16Like, I think he's fine to have in your lineup. I would have obviously felt a lot better about him if Christian Watson
6:21was going to be out and then he would be more of a focal point of the offense. I think he's fine. I wouldn't necessarily
6:27label him a dub flex because he hasn't really shown the ability this year yet in this version of this offense to put
6:32up more than like 10 or 11 points, which is not going to get it done in your semi-finals against the strongest teams
6:37in your league. So, I'll probably throw him more towards the top of the shaky flex. Romeo Dobs is definitely, you know, you could put him in the shaky
6:43flex, but you don't want him in your lineup. He's probably a rather not for me, as well as everybody else in this
6:47game. Moving to the Sunday slate, we have Buffalo at Cleveland. Buffalo 10 and a half point favorites, 41 and a half point total. This is just a tough
6:55matchup all around for everybody involved. The only player I think you're even thinking about starting is Khalil Shakir. Jerry Judy's been like decent
7:03recently, but this is a matchup that you pretty much want to stay away from from the Buffalo Bills passing defensive side
7:08of things. So, Khlo Shakir is going to fall between the dub flex, shaky flex. I think he's right in that conversation
7:12with like Jaden Reed, Debo Samuel.
7:14You're kind of making that sit decision there. So Vegas has Debo at 46 and a half receiving yards, Kula Shakira at 41
7:20and a half, Jaden Reed down at 34 a 12, but the matchups are not great for either of the top two guys there. Then
7:26you have Jerry Judy very much at the bottom of the shaky flex category and I don't want anybody else in this game.
7:31Cincinnati at Miami next game up 47 and a half point total. They are in Miami, which we love. You know, I think Joe
7:37Burrow gets right here. I think Joe Burrow, you know, doesn't have to worry about the cold, the weather, you know, not a really really strong defense here.
7:44I think we'll get a get-right game from Joe Burrow. We're going to get a big game from Jamar Chase. The conversation
7:48to be had here, of course, is the other side of the ball. The Miami Dolphins sit their $200 million man, Tua Tagaloa, in
7:56favor of Quinn Eers. Quinn Eers was the Texas quarterback last year. Quinn Eers is not necessarily accurate down the field. He's like a take what you get
8:06guy. He's a short intermediate passer of the ball, which I actually think fits the Miami defense. They need someone decisive. They need someone that can
8:14literally just like do the timing of the offense and do what Mike McDaniel wants.
8:19You see all their plays are like so very scripted. Two is not good going off schedule there. And uh I think that's
8:24fine because most of Mike McDaniel's plays have like very very clear like one-two reads. We're going to Han on this. We're going to Wadd on this. We're
8:31going to Waller on this. So I'm not overly worried about Quinners taking Tua's spot here in regards to like the skill players. I think it's fine for
8:41Achan. If you look back at what Quinn Ears did at Texas, the running backs Jaydon Blue and I can't remember the
8:46other guy's name, but they caught like 85 passes between the two of them. So, I'm not worried about Achan at all.
8:51Listen, Tua has been horrendous this year, but he has delivered some good balls to Jaylen Wadd. So, I won't say it's an upgrade to Jaylen Waddle
8:57whatsoever. My bigger concern is the fact that he's going to get shadowed by DJ Turner on the other side of the ball.
9:02And DJ Turner's been most people don't know him as a household name whatsoever because he's relatively new to being this good. And the Cincinnati Bengals
9:09defense is so bad that you just assume everybody on that side of the ball is terrible. So for Jaylen Wadd, I mean,
9:13you got the QB change. You have likely a decent amount of shadow coverage from DJ Turner. He's going to be in the dub flex
9:20category cuz I don't like confidently love the idea of putting like DJ Moore over Jaylen Wadd. And Jaylen Wadd's been good enough this year that I think the
9:26passing offense like theoretically runs through him, but I don't feel confident about him. Like I don't feel like he needs to be in the feels good category
9:33or definitely not the mustar category.
9:35And then the other players in this game, if we expect like obviously if T.
9:37Higgins is playing and he clears concussion protocol, he's going to go right into the feels good category and he should be in your lineup. Other than
9:43that though, I don't want Malik Washington. I don't want Andre Oshas. I don't want those guys in my fantasy semi-finals of caus. Next up, we got
9:49Kansas City at Tennessee. This is a [ __ ] show. I mean, we have Kansas City is three-point favorites, but Rashi Rice
9:55just re-entered the protocol, the concussion protocol. So he got absolutely chocked on Sunday, went into the medical tent, clear concussion protocol, and now is dealing with
10:03symptoms postgame, which is obviously not a good thing. He missed practice on Wednesday because of it, which puts him on a really tight timeline. Like he
10:11needs to return to practice today, and you need to get in a full practice before you're able to clear again. this.
10:16If I had to guess, I would definitely put him on the wrong side of being ready for this game, which is unfortunate
10:22because while it's Gardner Mchu under center, obviously I I felt like they probably would have done a bunch of like line of scrimmage screen stuff for Rashi
10:29Rice and he probably would have ended up catching as Vegas has him there at five and a half reception total. You know,
10:33six or seven passes. Probably not a high ceiling game. Maybe not scoring a bunch of touchdowns, but I think he would have
10:38been fine here. Listen, if he ends up clearing concussion protocol, I think I end up leaning probably towards the feels good category for him. like he's
10:45probably going to be in my lineup. This is a Tennessee Titans secondary that's completely banged up. They're missing their safeties. They're missing some
10:52quarterbacks and this is just a passfunnel defense. So, I could have him in my lineup. On the other side of the
10:56ball, we're not starting Shimra DK or Alec AI Mayor in our fantasy playoffs. I will say Xavier Worthy gets like kind of
11:03interesting. He's definitely like a shaky flex, but I do think he deserves to be in the conversation if Rashi Rice misses because when Rashi Rice is not on
11:09the field, a lot of those like schemed up line of scrimmage targets end up going towards Xavier Worthy there. And you know what, like Mchu is definitely
11:16not the guy he was a couple years ago, three, four, five years ago, but like Mchu is not Max Broer, you know what I
11:22mean? Like he's he's capable of leading an NFL offense right now. So I think someone will probably have a good game,
11:27whether that's Kelsey or Worthy or Rice, whoever's playing, I think we could have that conversation. Next up, we got the Chargers and we've got Dallas. So they
11:35are in Dallas for this one. 49 and a half point total. The Dallas Cowboys are two and a half point favorites. CD Lamb,
11:40of course, is going into the must-ar category. It's tough to really decipher what to do with George Pickkins at this point. Like, you're not going to sit
11:46him. If you have George Pickins, he's going to be in your lineup. Obviously, I'm going to throw him into the feels
11:49good category. Don't think he's a mustart right now. The Chargers pass defense is really, really, really good.
11:54As you could see, they've allowed the fewest fantasy points to the wide receiver position on the entire year, but Dallas's offense is ready to pop on
12:01any given week. It's more concerning about George Pickkins's like effort and what he's doing on the field at this point in the season, especially with
12:07them knocked out of the playoffs here.
12:09On the flip side, we've got the Herbert le Chargers offense just struggling a lot. Obviously, their passing totals have not been good. I don't think he's
12:17topped 215 or 20 passing yards in like five straight games. Lad Manki has actually been abysmal over the last month of the season. Not their fault.
12:25Herbert's dealing with a broken hand.
12:26The offensive line plays so so so bad.
12:29But this is about as good of a matchup as you could possibly find for opposing wide receivers. As you could see,
12:33they've they have allowed on the flip side, the Chargers, the fewest fantasy points allowed to the receiver position, the Cowboys the single most fantasy
12:40points allowed to the wide receiver positions. But even with that, you could see Vegas's line. They have Lad as the number one guy in this offense, but only
12:47at three and a half catches for 45 and a half receiving yards. So, he's going to go into the dub flex category. I like
12:53him around the same as these guys, and I'm probably going to end up playing him over a guy like Jaylen Wadd, to be
12:58honest with you, just because the matchup is so good. And then you've got Keenan Allen. Definitely a shaky flex.
13:02He's more of like a just a slot guy and I don't want anyone else in this game.
13:06Minnesota at the New York Gmen Giants football team of the great state of New Jersey. They are three-point underdogs of Giants. This is a 43 and a half point
13:17total. Obviously, the Minnesota Vikings pass defense. Very, very good. Blitz a lot. A lot of disguise coverages. I'm I'm interested to see how Jackson Dart
13:24handles Brian Flores's defense. They've allowed the third fewest fantasy points to the wide receiver position though.
13:29Wandell Robinson has kind of been playing out of his mind this year. So, he's going to be flirting between the feels good and the dub flex category. I
13:35think at this point it's almost impossible to sit Wel Robinson. He's been really, really, really, really, really good. His prop numbers kind of
13:41tell you the same story. As I said, like the 60 yard marker is usually where that cut off between the feels good and dub
13:47flex category sits. But the matchup is is definitely tough. I could see Jackson Dart under pressure a lot. See him taking a lot of hits. See him taking uh
13:54you know, taking a couple camping trips to to the medical tent once again there.
13:58But I just feel good about Wandell, man.
14:00He's just been so consistent all year.
14:02On the flip side, I don't know how you can feel good about anybody in Minnesota in this passing game, though. JJ
14:06McCarthy's had good games against bad defenses. Justin Jefferson, unfortunately, it feels like it's been years since we've seen him have a good
14:13game. They still have his uh receiving yards total over 52 and a half yards, 4 and a half receptions here. I just don't
14:21think you could put him in the in the category down here with like the Rashid Shahes. That'd be so disrespectful, but I don't really see
14:27him as anything more than these guys in this category right now. So, he's going to go into the dub flex, but you know,
14:33if you've been a Justin Jefferson owner, you are probably dying for someone else to come out of the woodworks on your
14:39roster and give you a reason to sit Justin Jefferson. You know, we thought they that he'd get it done last week
14:44against the Dallas Cowboys. It was not a Jefferson game. It was a Ty Felton game.
14:48Now, he gets another great match up against the New York Giants. I don't know what to tell you. I don't know what
14:52to tell It's one of the weirdest events in in the history of fantasy football at this point. Jordan Addison, yeah, he's
14:57going to be a shaky flex. Darius Sllayton's going to be a shaky flex. And we can move on. Oh, did I say Ty Felton?
15:02Was it Jaylen Naylor or Ty Felton last week that scored two touchdown? I think it was Jaylen Naylor, actually.
15:06Whatever. Moving on to the New York Jets at the New Orleans Saints. So, we are in New Orleans. Marty Gro. We got the dome.
15:12Great weather, obviously. 40 and a half point total here. Brady Cook will be getting the start again for the New York
15:19Jets. Chris Alave, feel good about him.
15:22Tyler Shucks playing really good ball right now. It's a great match up against the Jets, obviously. And then on the flip side, also should be noted, Devon
15:28Vele will be out for this game. He is week to week with a shoulder injury. He was seen, you know, after the game of
15:34the sling, whatever. So, fortunately, he was going to be kind of a good start this week against this Soft Jets defense. He's been hot, but doesn't
15:40matter. On the flip side, we got Adai Mitchell, who ended up having a good game last week, but like would anybody
15:45be surprised if when Brady Cook is your quarterback, you're gonna have a flop week? So, I still think I get it. He's
15:50getting a lot of targets. He's kind of like the focal point of this passing offense. I still don't feel great about
15:55him. So, he's going to go into the shaky flex category. Definitely way more in the conversation towards the guys of Actually, you know what? Week 17, the
16:02last week of this [ __ ] I'm going to be more strict about Shaky Flex. I got to stop putting dudes like Rasheed Shahed
16:07right now in the Shaky Flex category.
16:08Shimmer DK in the Shaky Flex C because I'd rather not play them. I just rather not. Like, Nick, I made the category so
16:14that when I think about a guy and I say the category out loud, I just put them right there. So I got to be more strict
16:19about it because like Cleo Shakir and Jaden Reed don't belong in the same category as Shimray DK and Rashichi. So Adani Mitchell is going in
16:28the respected Shaky Flex category. Uh John Matchi, he ain't done [ __ ] since So Tampa Bay at Carolina. Next game up, we've got a 45 and a half point
16:37total here. The Bucks are three-point favorites. Mike Evans line still sneaky low 58 a half even coming off of that 130 yard game last week where he was
16:46kind of limited on snaps but he came back his first week back obviously in quite a while and balled out and I think
16:51just Baker feels so much more comfortable with Mike Evans on the field so I honestly feel like he's he's as close to a mustard as you're going to
16:58find. I'll throw him in the feels good category and I'll throw him at the top of it. I need to move Rashi Rice down to
17:02the bottom of it. But if I got Mike Evans he's going in my lineup. No doubt about it. T McMillan is another guy that
17:09I feel relatively good about because I love the match up against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. They're just such a passfunnel defense where you could
17:15really get the pass game going and that more so comes down to T I like but it's a problem of the passing game obviously
17:21like they don't want Bryce Young to throw the ball. It is a passfunnel defense for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
17:26T's been really good most of the year and he gets such a high percentage of the targets. I will say Jaylen Coker has
17:31kind of been pushing some numbers the last couple of weeks as well. Do I feel good about him as a dub flex? probably
17:36not yet. But I do think he another one that belongs in the conversation of like the the the the really solid shaky flex
17:42options here. I think that's the same thing with Acha Ibuka, the same thing with Chris Godwin. Godwin was inflated by the touchdown and the two-point
17:48conversion last week, but didn't get a ton of involvement. Ibuka is just like unfortunately a talented player that's going to be pushed down to, you know,
17:54second, third, fourth in the pecking order with Mike Evans back here. And he's been so inconsistent that it's just tough to really trust him, especially
18:01with Jaylen McMillan back in there catching a couple balls a game. So, both of the secondary Bucks receivers are going to go down there. Seth McMillan,
18:07I'm throwing him into the feels good category. Again, I think it's I think it's important not to like overreact on a weekly basis when the guy has the
18:13exact same outlook from week to week.
18:15And more often than not, he's good. More often than not, he's seeing like a 27% target share. This is a good matchup for
18:20the passing game. So, we're going to ride with T in the feels good category.
18:23And as always, you can get all my rankings if you want them like in exact order, as well as their props on our
18:28site on bdge.co if you are a big dog member. Next game up, we've got Atlanta at the Arizona Cardinals. I just laughed
18:36because I just saw Darnell Mooney's the top receiver with lines on our team on the Falcons and it's at 26 and a half.
18:42Not great. So, uh, Arizona three-point underdogs in this one. This is a 48 1/2 point total. I'm not going to lie to
18:48you, that is easy money for the Arizona Cardinals. Them getting points at home.
18:52Hate that for the Falcons. All right, so we do have some stuff up in the air right now. Drake London is still listed
18:58as dayto-day. It's possible that he makes his return this week. On the flip side, Marvin Harrison Jr. who's missed the last couple games with a heel
19:06injury. Did return to practice on a limited basis on Wednesday, which does put him in line to return this week. Not
19:12guaranteed. He'll definitely need to get back to a full practice probably, but getting back to practice on Wednesday typically does point towards him
19:18returning. So, what happens with the Arizona Cardinals passing group? we have that like one game sample size of when Marvin Harrison returned after Michael
19:27Wilson already broke out and it did lean in favor of Marvin Harrison Jr. in terms of targets and production. I I I don't
19:34necessarily think that's super sticky. I think like what Michael Wilson has done with Jacobe Brassette will kind of overpower who the number one in the
19:42pecking order is and he just probably feels really comfortable with Michael Wilson. So looking at like a one half sample size does not really interest me
19:48in terms of like projecting out what's going to happen. So, that being said, I will have Michael Wilson ranked above Marvin Harrison Jr. in my rankings. I
19:56believe I have Wilson right now. My rankings are live on the website with Marvin Harrison Jr. in them. I have Michael Wilson, I think, as wide
20:02receiver like 15, somewhere in that range of Marvin Harrison Jr. around like a low-end wide receiver, too. So, I'm going to put Michael I I like the match
20:10up for both receivers. Jacobe Brassette's going to throw 45 times. So, Michael Wilson is going to be a feels good for me and Marvin Harrison Jr. is
20:16going to be a dub flex for me as well.
20:18And this is like him coming off the heel injury, there's always that possibility of reinjury, there's always the possibility of them limiting his snaps
20:25and not like pushing him on the heel injury. So any multi-week injury coming back from that when it is like a lower
20:30body injury makes me a little bit nervous there. So I have Michael Wilson pretty comfortably ahead of Marvin Harrison Jr. in my ranks. If Drake
20:36London returns, obviously he's going to be in your lineup, but I I'll be honest, I'm not overly optimistic that he does
20:41make his return this week. So have alternate plans if you do have Drake London on your team, just in case. Next
20:46up, we got Jacksonville at Denver. This is probably the toughest matchup to decipher for wide receiver rankings. All right, so you're in Denver. Obviously,
20:54two very, very good pass defenses here.
20:57Denver, three-point favorites, a 46 and a half point total. Bo Nick's playing really well. Trevor Lawrence playing really well. I think a lot of that for
21:04both of them have to do with like the schedule being really soft over the last few weeks for the most part. And I think
21:09that's a little bit uh inflated. And I think you could see that by the wide receiver numbers. Sutton has got back to
21:14his groove and really found like his footing again where he started off real hot this year. Got real cold for a
21:19minute and then has been really good again picking back up over the last couple weeks. In terms of the practice report, the only player that's really
21:27ruled out right now or is definitely going to be out is is Bashaw Tutin. For the Broncos receivers, we do have Marvin
21:33Mims back to a full practice. We do have Pat Bryant back to a full practice.
21:36though we are expecting them as well as RJ Harvey to return and play this week which does make the receiver group a
21:42little bit more muddled like Troy Franklin had a good game last week Jordan Humphrey but if Mims and Pat Bryan are back I do think that makes it
21:47almost impossible to play anyone besides like Courtland Sutton on the Broncos side of things I'm looking at Sutton as a a pretty rock solid wide receiver too.
21:55So he's going to go into the feels good category. On the flip side the tough part here of course is like the Broncos
22:00past is so so so good. Trevor Lawrence playing good. Jacobe Myers has come in and become the number one receiver. BTJ
22:05is coming off of a couple productive performances as well. What happens with Pat Certan on the other side of the ball
22:11and I actually tweeted this out yesterday. If you're not already following me on Twitter, you could do so. This is my account obviously. Uh
22:19because I'm trying to decide whether or not I'm throwing Brian Thomas Jr. in my lineup for this week. Probably not. I'm
22:24I'm likely going to end up benching him.
22:26Uh but I was trying to dive into like what I think Patrick Certan's going to end up doing. Jacobe Myers has run 67%
22:31of his routes outside for Jacksonville.
22:33So on the exterior, BTJ has been on the outside 80% of the time. So more often than not, they have almost both of them
22:39on the outside with a guy like Parker Washington or someone else running in the slot. But last week, Patrick Zatan actually traveled with Brock Bowers
22:46quite a bit. So it's not necessarily like he'll just take whoever the best outside wide receiver is. A lot of the
22:50times he'll just take whoever the best playmaker is on the other side of the ball. So far, the wide receivers that
22:55Certan has shadowed for at least 60% of their routes this year, Calvin Ridley, Quinton Johnson, Jamar Chase, AJ Brown, Garrett Wilson, Terry McLaren. So, uh, a
23:04little bit tough cuz like if you look at production, if you look at what's actually happening on the field, Jacobe Myers has blossomed into the wide
23:10receiver one. I don't necessarily know that that means that Certan's going to like be on Jacobe Myers here. Does not feel like a clear shadow assignment in
23:18this one. I think he'll probably take a bit of both of them. But if he does lean one way or the other, BTJ does feel a
23:23little bit more like the guy playing the exterior routes that will get a little bit more coverage for Certan. So based
23:28on the matchup, I'm I'm throwing Jacobe Myers into the dub flex near the top of it just cuz I think he's earned that
23:34right. He's been so good. He's been the number one guy in the and the safety valve for Trevor Lawrence and BTJ at 42
23:39and a half receiving yards.
23:41Unfortunately for his prop, he's going to go in the shaky flex category.
23:44Obviously, he's always primed to like hit on a big play, but that [ __ ] just doesn't happen anymore for him. So, we
23:49will move on to the next game. Las Vegas at Houston. We have a 37 1/2 point total here. The Texans are 14 12 point
23:56favorites, which is insane. Nico is going to be a mustart. He is balling out with CJ Strad as of late. Jaden Higgins
24:03and Trey Tucker. I think you could like make the argument that they should be in the shaky flex category and then we
24:07could actually just move on from this game, which is a blessing. Pittsburgh at Detroit. We've got Detroit 7-point favorites, 52 and a half point total in
24:16the Detroit Dome. I'm on Ross A Breezy going right into the mustart category. I don't see a world where you sit Jameson
24:23Williams either. So, he's going right into the mustart category. DK Mechaf, he's been pretty hot last couple weeks.
24:28He's making some big plays, scoring some touchdowns. I still question like if he doesn't get the touchdown, he's probably giving you about eight or nine points.
24:35Matchup is phenomenal though. Detroit's entire secondary is completely cooked at the moment. As you can see, they've allowed the second most fantasy points
24:42to the wide receiver position on the year and the total is just very, very, very high right now. So, for me, I'm
24:47gonna throw DK into the bottom of the feels good category for sure. He'll be a top, you know, 15, 16, 18 guy for me.
24:54And there's no one else in this game that we want. We can move to Sunday Night Football. New England at Baltimore. Baltimore three-point
24:59favorites over New England. 48 and a half point total here. Tricky tricky game as well to handicap a little bit.
25:06We got Zay Flowers who has been very up and down this year. I think he's been more good than bad for sure. There just
25:11hasn't been a lot of like lucky breaks that have gone his way, touchdowns, all that kind of stuff. Lamar not asked to
25:16throw the ball very much anymore. I could see them being very very runheavy in this game where New England has kind
25:21of struggled the last few weeks without Milton Williams on the defensive line.
25:24Zay Flowers should also see a ton of Christian Gonzalez here. So just based on the inconsistency of their offense and based on the matchup here, I don't
25:31necessarily feel good about Z Flowers.
25:33I'm going to put him into the dub flex here, but he's definitely very very much towards the top of the dub flex
25:38category. On the flip side, you've just got like a mash of receivers, you know, producing and it feels like Stefon Digs
25:44is probably the one there, but he's actually not playing that many snaps anymore. He played around 50, I think 5% of the snaps last week. Matt Collins and
25:51Kan Booty have actually been running more routes than Stefon Diggs, which is like obviously concerning and it makes it a little bit difficult to predict any
25:58of these guys really popping off. So, I think you could spin the block on any of them and and and hope for a lucky
26:04bounce. Diggs is at 40 and a half receiving yards. That's lower than Jordan Addison. It's right around Darius Sllayton. It's right around Ibuka. Like
26:11that's the player of tier that he's in right now for this week. Unfortunately, Matt Collins is at 36 and a half. So
26:15only four yards lower than Stefon Diggs and Booty's at 33 and a half. So you have three guys that are just not very
26:21strong plays when you're trying to actually predict on a week- toeek basis what's going to happen here. Last game of the slate, we got Monday Night
26:27Football. The NerS are in Indianapolis.
26:30This is a 46 1/2 point total here. Indie six and a half point underdogs. For as many fantasy relevant receivers as there
26:37have been in this type of matchup, this game feels pretty simple to me in terms of like who you want to start, who you
26:42don't want to start right now cuz you got Philip Rivers getting another start at quarterback for Indie. And I actually think he'll look better this week. Like
26:48I I think having to play against Seattle in your very first game back was like a just a nightmare scenario and like there
26:54was no upside for him to be had. That being said, like you don't feel comfortable about any of these pass catchers. Michael Pitman can go into the
26:59shaky flex. All these other guys are just like, yeah, I mean, you're you're in a world of hurt if you are starting
27:04the Colts pass catchers right now, unfortunately. On the other side of the ball, like Ricky P banged up his knee and ankle, and it does sound like he's
27:12trending towards not playing this week, if not even being like possibly shut down for the remainder of the year. He looked real healthy coming off of the
27:18buy. He looked really good last week and then immediately kind of got hurt, which makes Jawan Jennings super [ __ ]
27:23enticing. The guy cannot stop scoring touchdowns. The Colts secondary, they've allowed the third most fantasy points to the receiver position. And I think this
27:30is a great great matchup for Brock Pury in the passing offense. Assuming that Sauce Gardner misses another game.
27:35Javvarius Ward is going to be out again.
27:37He's on IR with another concussion. So like their secondary is very very banged up. They're just not the same team they
27:42were early on in the year when they were performing well. So I like Jawan Jennings a lot in this one. He's going
27:47to be ranked very very highly for me.
27:48And unfortunately Ricky P is probably not going to play. If he does end up playing, I mean he'll probably be limited. He'll be banged up. He'll be
27:54far less than 100%. But I do think you could probably get him in your lineup.
27:57And that will be the week 16 wide receiver preview video. Here is everybody that I just include in the shaky flex category. Makes me sick to my
28:06stomach that I'm doing that. I hope you guys enjoyed this video. If you missed the running back version of this, we do
28:11that every Wednesday. We did that yesterday. We will link it below. So go watch that afterwards. And of course, we will do the same thing next week. So
28:18subscribe to the channel if you want to run this back. As always, we do Waverwire on Tuesday. We do a full recap
28:24of all the games on Monday. If you just simply want the rankings, the product that is on bdge.co. Sign up to be a big
28:31dog member. If you want to tail any of my picks, you could do so on the picket app. Use BDGE when you download it. Free
28:38to do so. You could sync your books so that you could literally look at my profile, see what bets I take, hit copy
28:43slip, and as long as you sync the books that you use on there, which again, free to do, it will copy that slip directly
28:49to your app, and you can take it immediately. And that will be all for this week. We will have our private Q&A
28:54for your sit start decisions on Saturday and that will probably be the last one of the year because next week is
28:59Christmas and I will be home with the familia. So, good luck in week 16. Love y'all. Smoochies.
