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The Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast fantasy football takes on Matthew Stafford
Every source-backed podcast insight STACKED has extracted from The Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast about Matthew Stafford.
14
Insights
4
Positive
9
Negative
Insight ledger
All The Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast insights about Matthew Stafford
PositiveProjectionAug 21, 2026
Matthew Stafford is projected as a top-five quarterback for the upcoming season, a bold take that bucks current regression trends.NegativeProjectionAug 18, 2026
JJ Zachariason notes that Stafford's 2023 touchdown rate was inflated by an unsustainable 54.2% red-zone/long-range scoring rate and a high 73% passing touchdown share. While he remains a solid, affordable option in 2QB/Superflex leagues, he lacks rushing equity and should be priced as a QB14-15; he is not a player to reach for in drafts.NegativeBustAug 18, 2026
JJ Zachariason is fading Matthew Stafford as a low-end QB1, noting that his 7.7% touchdown rate from last year is highly likely to regress. Historically, quarterbacks with high touchdown rates and low rushing production see significant fantasy point declines the following season. Zachariason prefers drafting Jared Goff at a lower cost.NegativeBustJul 22, 2026
JJ Zachariason references someone drafting Matthew Stafford at the end of the fifth round as a regrettable pick, grouping it with his own disappointing selections of Puka Nakua and Devante Adams as examples of draft mistakes.NegativeValueJul 22, 2026
Someone drafted Matthew Stafford in the end of the fifth round in a recent draft, which JJ Zachariason presents as a questionable decision in the context of other poor draft picks, suggesting the ADP or round selection was not optimal.PositiveValueJul 15, 2026
Analyst noted frustration when someone took Matthew Stafford way above ADP in a recent draft with Puka Nacua and Devante Adams on the team, disrupting the unique pairing strategy.PositiveProjectionJul 14, 2026
Matthew Stafford demonstrated that pocket passers in good environments can still thrive and hit their ceiling in fantasy football, as evidenced by his outlier MVP season last year.NegativeProjectionJul 14, 2026
Matthew Stafford's MVP season and crazy touchdown rate season have resulted in a far lower ADP than he would have received six to eight years ago, as the market has become smarter about regression.NegativeProjectionJun 30, 2026
Matthew Stafford's touchdown rate is identified as one of the most glaringly obvious regression spots this year. Despite posting an almost 8% TD rate and not rushing, he is not being drafted as a top-10 quarterback, suggesting the market may be undervaluing his regression risk or overvaluing other QBs.PositiveProjectionJun 9, 2026
Matthew Stafford is a quarterback to track this summer as his ADP is still being determined, especially in home leagues.NegativeBustJun 2, 2026
Matthew Stafford has a market score of -2.5, indicating significant regression and a potential bust this season.NegativeProjectionMay 29, 2026
Matthew Stafford is expected to regress this season, as it's unlikely he will maintain his high touchdown rate from last year.NegativeProjectionNo date
Stafford's 17.7% touchdown rate is concerning because 16 QBs since 2014 with prior-season TD rates above 7% underperformed expectations by 1.7 PPR points per game the following year. The analyst expects Stafford to be drafted as a fringe top-10 QB in home leagues despite this regression pattern, making him a fade.NegativeProjectionNo date
Stafford's 17.7% touchdown rate in 2024 is concerning; quarterbacks with previous-season TD rates above 7% have underperformed versus expectation by 1.7 PPR points per game the following year.