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Yahoo Fantasy Football fantasy football takes on David Montgomery

Every source-backed article insight STACKED has extracted from Yahoo Fantasy Football about David Montgomery.

47
Insights
17
Positive
21
Negative
Insight ledger

All Yahoo Fantasy Football insights about David Montgomery

PositiveValueSep 13, 2026
Montgomery was drafted as an RB2 or even RB3 during draft season but finished Week 1 as a top-five scoring RB with 27.4 fantasy points on 20 carries, 3 receptions, 93 total yards, and 1 touchdown. The source notes he may be a league-winner in 2026 given his locked-in RB2 status with potential RB1 upside similar to Javonte Williams in Dallas, plus Houston's favorable schedule over the next four weeks (vs. CIN, @ IND, vs. DAL, @ TEN) and expected positive game scripts for the run game.
PositiveProjectionSep 12, 2026
Montgomery has a strong Week 1 matchup in his Texans debut against the Bills, who surrendered the eighth-most fantasy points per game to running backs last season, including the most rushing touchdowns to opposing backfields. The Texans ranked eighth in rushing attempts in 2025, so Montgomery should see plenty of opportunities. He has ranked top 10 in goal-to-go rush attempts in six of his seven career seasons, positioning him as a rock-solid RB2 with legitimate touchdown upside.
NegativeProjectionSep 9, 2026
Montgomery faces significant headwinds in Houston. The Texans RB room averaged 16.0 half PPR points per game last year (28th) despite being 8th in carries, with a brutal offensive line and 27th-ranked receptions. The hope is Montgomery is much better than recently-retired Nick Chubb and that new offensive line additions pay dividends, but Hayden Winks is skeptical. At age 29, Montgomery is not explosive enough to create much on his own, and Woody Marks is expected to rotate in both rushing and passing phases even if Monty is the favorite for goal-line carries early on.
NegativeValueSep 2, 2026
David Montgomery has declined from average to below average as the source's reverse Bucky Irving. At 29 years old, he lost his role from a coach who loved him and now moves to the Texans' okay offense with a poor offensive line. He is not expected to be the main pass-catching RB, and Woody Marks has steady drumbeat; if Montgomery's touch share drops from 75%-80% to 65%, the source questions if that's enough and prefers drafting a top WR in his range instead.
NegativeBustSep 1, 2026
Montgomery's move to Houston as a lead-back is less attractive than his prior role in Detroit despite the perceived upgrade. Detroit operated 11.2 red-zone plays per game with a 68.8% conversion rate and 27.8 offensive points per game, compared to Houston's 9.8 red-zone plays, 49.3% conversion rate, and 22.4 offensive points per game. Jared Goff (0.17 EPA per dropback, 48.0% passing success rate, +1.78% CPOE) significantly outperformed C.J. Stroud (0.07 EPA per dropback, 44.7% passing success rate, +0.36% CPOE) despite similar pressure rates (36-37%). The loss of Jayden Higgins further strains Houston's passing game, and the Texans' backfield may feature a tighter split than anticipated, making Montgomery's situation less favorable than his previous environment.
NegativeBustSep 1, 2026
The source identifies Montgomery as the Round 6 worst pick to avoid in 2026. While bullish drafters point to his new lead-back status in Houston, the source argues his situation deteriorated significantly from Detroit. In Detroit (2025), Montgomery had 11.2 red-zone plays per game and 68.8% red-zone conversion rate on a 27.8 PPG offense. In Houston (2025), he had 9.8 red-zone plays per game and 49.3% red-zone conversion rate on a 22.4 PPG offense. QB comparison: Jared Goff (0.17 EPA per dropback, 48.0% success rate, +1.78% CPOE) significantly outperformed C.J. Stroud (0.07 EPA per dropback, 44.7% success rate, +0.36% CPOE), despite both facing similar pressure rates (36-37%). The Lions' superior offensive environment made Montgomery's role more valuable than his Houston lead-back status.
NegativeBustAug 26, 2026
Montgomery must overcome career wear-and-tear and a horrific Texans offensive line; Houston is 31st in EPA per carry and 22nd in rush yards per game since 2023. Montgomery is not paid like Joe Mixon was nor has had Mixon's career before his RB9 finish in 2024; the Texans lead back finished outside the top-34 in 2023 and 2025. Woody Marks is a second-year player with a better passing-down profile and improved play between the tackles per camp reports and preseason tape. Montgomery's missed tackles per touch rate last year was 18%, down from 27%, 21%, and 24% in the previous three seasons; if he's not clearly better than Marks, there's no reason to make this a bellcow backfield. Even if he's a workhorse, the Texans OL is starting an out-of-position rookie center and three potentially washed veterans. Winks has taken Montgomery in only 4% of his drafts.
NegativeValueAug 10, 2026
Montgomery's ADP of 53.7 falls outside the traditional RB Dead Zone range, but Mike Mcdaniel views him as a worthwhile swing at cost due to favorable risk-reward. Offseason reports confirm he will be Houston's RB1 for 2026. In Detroit, Montgomery forced a timeshare despite superior talent (Jahmyr Gibbs), averaging 2.7 targets per game and securing goal-line carries. He joins a Texans backfield where former lead back Woody Marks underperformed in every rushing efficiency metric as a rookie, reducing Montgomery's relative risk versus upside.
NegativeValueAug 10, 2026
Montgomery is listed with an ADP of 53.7 for 2026, falling outside the traditional Dead Zone range but sharing a comparable risk profile. Offseason reports indicate Montgomery will be the Texans' RB1, and unlike cautionary examples like Kaleb Johnson, Montgomery forced a timeshare in Detroit when superior talent (Jahmyr Gibbs) arrived, earning 2.7 targets per game and goal-line carries. The source is willing to take a swing on Montgomery at cost, suggesting positive value relative to the risk profile.
NegativeProjectionAug 3, 2026
Montgomery was an RB2 threat when the Lions were the best offense in the NFL, but that won't be the case with the Texans, who are 19th in projected points (23.1); for reference, the Lions in a down year last season averaged 28.3. Houston's offensive line keeps adding new starters, but their quality is questionable. It's difficult to overcome a mid offensive line without a receiving profile. The Texans are 31st in EPA per carry and 22nd in rush yards per game since 2023 when DeMeco Ryans and C.J. Stroud were brought to Houston.