0:00Hello and welcome to the Establish The Run Rest Of Season Top-150 Rankings Show.
0:04My name is Adam Levitan. Each and every Wednesday we are here to discuss our Rest Of Season Top-150 Rankings, how that
0:11plays into the season-long trade market, our redraft trade calculator, buy lows, sell highs, and more.
0:16Be sure to stay tuned until the end. We will answer some of your listener questions and submit our one move to
0:23make on your redraft roster this week. For today's exercise, I am joined by two members of our projections team, Mark Dankenbring
0:29and Jack Miller, as well as the season-long bro you know and love, John Daigle.
0:34Mark, how's it going today? It's good, Adam. The Rest of Season Top-150 is certainly a labor of love, but we made some serious upgrades this year.
0:42Got a fresh new table on site, so shout-out to the dev team for that.
0:47Looks super crisp. And, you know, week one, we just get so much information.
0:51Excited to dive into a lot of it here.
0:54Yeah, for sure. Jack, how's it going today? It's going good.
0:57It's good to be back. Like Mark said, we get so much information right off the bat in week one, so it's
1:04fun to sift through what matters and what doesn't.
1:06So I'm excited for this. Indeed. Daigle, how are you?
1:09For those that watched the first waiver stream yesterday, they'll notice I'm wearing the same clothes from that stream, which tells you
1:16exactly how week one's going so far. Perfect. Listen, I thought it was a great week one.
1:21Best ball bags looking really good. Redraft stuff is looking really good, so I'm excited.
1:26I want to be clear. This is a very hard exercise, rest of season top 150 rankings.
1:31One of the reasons that it is hard is because we don't know exactly what is a one-off game plan type thing and what is sticky season long.
1:40Let's say a team had really low pass rate over expectation for the first seven weeks, and then out of nowhere, they
1:46pop up in the eighth week and have really high PROE.
1:50Well, that's probably a game plan specific thing. It could have been game plan specific stuff here in week one.
1:56So there is a balance between overreacting and underreacting to this stuff.
1:59We'll go through some of the trickiest and most important spots here today.
2:03Two more quick notes before we get started. If you want to access our rest of season top 150 rankings on a weekly basis, you need DraftKit Pro.
2:12That also comes with our Redraft Trade Calculator. Redraft Trade Calculator is really simple.
2:16You put in any trade, we'll tell you which side we prefer.
2:20We'll show you how that works later on in the show.
2:23Second, if you're serious about your fantasy team or you're interested in playing DFS or more serious forms of fantasy, I think
2:30you'd be crazy not to check out our in-season product.
2:33Includes Silva's matchups, our projections for every player in every game, Thorne's offensive line, defensive line rankings and mismatches, Premium Shows, tons more.
2:40So head to establishtherun.com now for details on our two NFL products, DraftKit Pro and in-season.
2:45All right. We are going to go through how we're thinking about some of these spots in our rest of season rankings.
2:52This is how would we draft if the season started today.
2:55In other words, week one stats don't count. How we drafted the season started week two and ended in week 17.
3:01I want to start with some of the biggest usage stories of the week here, Daigle, and how much we should be
3:08reacting to them in a redraft setting. One of the biggest stories of week one was the usage for Christian McCaffrey.
3:14Everybody saw this on an island game. Really stuff we haven't seen before with Christian McCaffrey.
3:19Getting out-carried by Kalen Black. Losing a bunch of snaps to him.
3:23Now, this game was in Australia. This game was a blowout of sorts in the second half.
3:28Christian McCaffrey still scored reasonably because he got so many targets.
3:32We went to 10 overall here on Christian McCaffrey.
3:34Prior to the season, we had him 6 overall, I believe.
3:38Daigle, where you at with Christian McCaffrey rest of season?
3:41I'm personally taking a lot of what happened in Australia and throwing it out the window just because it's the first time
3:47that we've seen two teams try to do this.
3:50And I feel as if, one, the Rams really didn't actually try.
3:54And getting off the plane, playing football, a lot of weird usage things, including Terrence Ferguson's first-half route share, Devontae Adams, who
4:01led the league in end-zone targets, not getting a single red zone or end-zone target.
4:05Christian McCaffrey, if you zoom in to answer your question and just look at the box score, you'd think, oh, 27-7 win for the 49ers, blowout.
4:13Of course, Kalen Black was involved. Even in the first half, Black out-touched Christian McCaffrey 8-7.
4:18And the Niners only had a three-point lead at one time through the first two quarters and trailed at 1.2.
4:24So we are asking, of course, is this usage going to stick?
4:28And then what does it look like for Christian McCaffrey moving forward?
4:31But I think for McCaffrey to not score a touchdown and still finish as a fringe RB1, it's pretty good for his usage.
4:38And this is what you want because it keeps him healthy.
4:42Again, I don't think Black's usage is consistent. But I'm also willing to zoom out and say, I didn't expect this to
4:48be in the range of outcomes anyhow for Black.
4:51So maybe that's what's happening. That's why I put him as one of the top pickups in the waiver wire.
4:57Right. I think two important things for me. First of all, they've whiffed on a ton of mid-round running backs.
5:03That doesn't mean that they're never going to play them.
5:06Just because they whiffed five times in a row on mid-round running backs does not mean they're like, oh, we took Kalen Black 90th overall.
5:14We had him as the second best running back in this class.
5:18We've whiffed before. Now we're not going to use him at all.
5:21You know what I mean? And that was why I was kind of like, we should have Kalen Black ahead of Jordan
5:28James in the ranks just because he's the new guy.
5:31Like, give him a chance. You know, give him a chance to be the guy that actually hits for them.
5:37And maybe this is some of their intention. I thought Kalen Black played well.
5:41The second part of this, Mark, is people are going to come out and say, carries between the 20s don't matter.
5:48Christian McCaffrey lost all the carries between the 20s.
5:51Who cares? That's not worth very much anyways. I don't see it that way, really.
5:55You still want him out there for those plays.
5:58Of course, I'd rather have him for pass catching and goal line, which I think will be sticky.
6:03And to me, that's the reason why he sticks as a fringe first round pick is because I do think he's going to get so many targets.
6:12I do think he's going to get a lot of the goal line work.
6:16So I still think fringe first round pick on Christian McCaffrey.
6:19I'm sure there's other people out there panicking just to wrap this up, Mark.
6:23Any final thoughts on Christian McCaffrey? Well, yeah, in the past game, usage is really what's going to carry him to a
6:30top five running back or, you know, top top overall running back finish that he had last year.
6:36In half PPR, he had 10.9 half PPR points per game last season from receiving only and 10.6 from rushing.
6:42So, you know, the receiving work far outweighed the rushing profile.
6:45Even last year, we didn't see any carries inside the five from the 49ers in this game.
6:50But CMC did get the lone carry inside the 10 for them.
6:54So that's at least, you know, a mini positive there that'll have the goal line work.
6:59And I think, too, you know, just looking at his expected fantasy points, he finished 11th in Leone's, you know, expected fantasy points model here.
7:06So still fine. I think with Stribbling going down, there should be more targets to go around in this 49ers offense.
7:13So I feel pretty confident high value touches are going to go CMC's way.
7:17And yeah, he should still be in the first round.
7:20But we did take him down a little bit there.
7:23Okay. That was definitely one of the biggest surprises in terms of usage for week one.
7:28The other big surprise and usage, Jack, and one of the biggest stories of the week, was how the Saints handled Travis Etienne.
7:35Silva and I talked about this for a bit yesterday on Team by Team.
7:39It was just really weird to go out and pay this guy all this money and then have him share carries with Kendrick Miller.
7:47And play CJ Donaldson a bunch. Now, they did get off a ton of snaps in this game.
7:52Like, hey, if Travis Etienne plays 50 snaps in a game, that's great.
7:56The thing is, it was only, they ran so many plays.
7:59So it looked like a worse percentage. He still had really good expected fantasy points, did Travis Etienne.
8:05In large part, because he was in while they were coming back or trying to come back and got a bunch of targets.
8:12So we have taken a big hack, though. I believe we were in the 30s, maybe the early 40s on Travis Etienne.
8:19Now we're at 53 overall. In the ranks on Travis Etienne.
8:22Jack, what do you think about how sticky that week one usage will be in Saints backfield?
8:27Yeah, he had a lot of expected fantasy points.
8:30But part of that is that they ran so many snaps.
8:33And he had nine targets. But he only ran 24 routes on 63 dropbacks.
8:38And they used CJ Donaldson on third down. Dating back to last year, the Jaguars didn't use Etienne on third down either.
8:44They used LaQuint Allen in that role. So this is now the second consecutive coaching staff that hasn't wanted to put Etienne out there on third down.
8:53And then Kendrick Miller matched him with nine carries.
8:55So it gets to be pretty tough on Etienne, I think, where he's splitting carries.
9:00They don't really trust him on third down. And I still think he can have a fine target share.
9:06He did last year in Jacksonville as well, despite not having the third down role.
9:10But it just gets to be pretty tricky when he's on a three-way split.
9:14And Alvin Kamara wasn't even active. The Saints coaching staff doesn't seem to like him a whole lot.
9:20But he's a franchise legend. So they're keeping him around.
9:23But I mean, that adds just another mouth to feed in this backfield.
9:27So I'm pretty worried on Etienne personally. Yeah. I don't really get Daigle giving Travis Etienne $30-40 million to come in and share time with Kendrick Miller.
9:35So I don't want to completely write him off.
9:38But I think this range that we have him in now, Skadaboo, Dave Montgomery, Tootin, Mondre, I think that's the right range.
9:45Daigle, what do you think about Etienne? Atop that range makes sense.
9:48Just because, again, we are trying to parse through why he literally split carries.
9:53Him and Kendrick Miller, 46% of the team's running back carries apiece after, as you said, they give Etienne $24 million guaranteed
9:59as a player who in two of the last three years has handled 295 touches as a workhorse.
10:05I'm still zooming out and saying that money and that workload matters long term.
10:09So perhaps this is a different game script. And I also want us, which I believe we are in the back end
10:16with our projections, to be careful because will the Saints run 86 plays every week?
10:20Of course not. But they also led the league in seconds between snaps last year.
10:25So they are going to rival for a league high and pace weekly.
10:29It's just weird usage for week one and mid-league, which then we should back up Etienne a hair.
10:34Yeah, I don't think I'd like I like where we have him here, you know, and you're not and I think people
10:41are gonna be more panicked on Etienne than we have him here.
10:45I you know, we're 53 overall RB 21. I like that rest of season on on Etienne.
10:50Mark, let's go to Rasheed Rice. I'm sure a lot of people out there are panicked.
10:55We had a decent fade on Rasheed Rice. So hopefully people listening to this don't have him.
11:00But maybe some people are thinking I could buy low here on Rasheed Rice.
11:04This concern is maybe the knee isn't right. OK, maybe that'll get better through the season.
11:09And I'm I can definitely understand that. My bigger concern is that the way this offense is set up now is not
11:16for Rasheed Rice to get volume and he is not a player that performs well on low volume.
11:21He's a player that needs. A lot of targets because when you have a short area a dot, you got to rack it up.
11:29So for him to only get two targets in that game.
11:32I think it's somewhat concerning and we did dock him down to 50th overall.
11:36Mark, go ahead on Rasheed Rice rest of season.
11:39Right. And I'm almost a little bit more concerned on kind of the offensive philosophy more so than like Rice's target share in week one.
11:47But just to note, you know, based on since Rasheed Rice kind of broke out in week 12 of the 2023 season,
11:53the lowest target share he's had for the Chiefs was 17 percent.
11:57And that came in at seven percent in week one.
12:00So even quite a bit of a dip there below.
12:03And then, yeah, I mean, you know, offseason it's OK.
12:06They give Kenneth Walker the bag. Offensive philosophy is going to be different than we see that play out in week one.
12:13I think that's a little hard for me to ignore and just how this offense is is going to be operated, you
12:19know, with Kenneth Walker in the backfield. And I do think it was a pretty rough game from from Patrick Mahomes.
12:26But when he did look to pass a lot of the a lot of the scheme targets look to go to Xavier Worthy and then Kenneth Walker again.
12:34So, you know, I think kind of all the the negatives that we were tossing out there around Rasheed Rice and offseason played out in week one.
12:43So I don't even know if I consider him really a buy low right now.
12:47I also don't don't really think he's a sell low either.
12:51I think he's just kind of more of a hold and and we'll see how things go.
12:56I will note that, you know, the Broncos and their man heavy scheme is probably one of the worst matchups for Rasheed Rice.
13:03So I think things will get better, obviously, again, 7% target share is the lowest he's had in the last couple of seasons here for the Chiefs.
13:11So, you know, at the end of the day, like I'm fine betting on a on a wide receiver and a Patrick Mahomes offense.
13:18But I definitely think, you know, based on where we are going in draft day, the the doc is is is warranted here.
13:25I tweeted something about Rasheed Rice and all kinds of bros were my mentions.
13:30First, it was the matchup bros or mentioned. Oh, he was on Patrick Sertan.
13:34That's why he only had two. And then it was the coverage, the the coverage scheme bros.
13:39This is a man scheme where she writes only does well against zone.
13:43And by the way, we've looked at all this coverage stuff for signal.
13:47There is none like this stuff sounds good on Twitter.
13:50It sounds great. Oh, when this team plays this defense and this wide receiver, he they do well.
13:56We looked at that. It does. It's it's not true.
13:59Now, if you want to say Rasheed Rice had a good bad game because Broncos defense, at least theoretically, is very good and has good corners.
14:06Maybe I can buy that a little bit. But my better argument for Rasheed Rice is just a knee can get healthier.
14:13B, our team's just going to let Kenneth Walker shove it down their throat all season, because that's what he will do
14:20if they play these light boxes and deep safeties.
14:23Kenneth Walker is going to go nuts all season.
14:25Maybe they won't be able to do that because he'll be playing so well.
14:30You'll get more pass heavy setups there for Rasheed Rice.
14:33So I agree with Mark. Hold there on Rasheed Rice.
14:36If you have him, though, hopefully you do not.
14:38We really need to see was that a Broncos specific game plan.
14:42You mentioned the man coverage, but more importantly, without starting left tackle Josh Simmons and Rasheed Rice usually owned that role near
14:49the line of scrimmage, which is why he was hammered targets.
14:52Travis Kelsey would then form his own route tree, literally just runs wherever he wants, wherever the defense opens windows.
14:58Xavier Worthy go deep. But the fact that Xavier Worthy, even 35% of his targets came at the line of scrimmage and
15:05the Chiefs targeted their running backs at the second highest rate in the league.
15:09Was this because they feared the pass rush without a full starting offensive line similar to the 49ers, for example, and Brock
15:16Purdy leading the league in screen rate because they formed their entire game plan around defending against Miles Garrett.
15:22I'm just curious if this was a Broncos specific game plan for for around Rasheed Rice, which then brought him down a hair.
15:29I hear you. And it's definitely possible. And it's a good transition to our next topic, which is Packers passing game, because
15:35Packers were facing the Vikings with a weak offensive line.
15:39And so maybe they went to more heavy sets than they wanted to to protect for that.
15:44So we got a question from Funkhaver. He says, how are you approaching Packers pass game moving forward?
15:49It was really exciting. I thought, Jack, for Matthew Golden and Christian Watson.
15:53It was not as exciting for Jaden Reed because of what I mentioned.
15:57They played Johnny Smith a ton and they played a bunch of tight ends that, frankly, I had never heard of or
16:04hadn't thought about in a long time. A ton here.
16:07Also, that led to reduced usage for Jaden Reed.
16:10But man, it was pretty exciting for Watson and Golden.
16:13Jack, what do you think about Packers passing game going forward?
16:16Yeah, I definitely think this was a unique matchup.
16:19I think that that's why we saw Chris Brooks play so much over Marshawn Lloyd to the Vikings blitzed almost 80 percent of the time on early down.
16:27So I think that that probably led to increased tight end usage.
16:31That probably led to Chris Brooks over Marshawn Lloyd because Brooks is their pass catching back.
16:36But I do think it was a really bullish game for both Watson and Golden.
16:40Golden had a 29 percent target share. A couple of those targets were kind of pseudo throwaways where Love was under immediate
16:47pressure and just kind of had to throw it in the area of someone.
16:51But regardless, even if you take those away, Golden was was ahead of Christian Watson in targets.
16:57He's in every snap player on the outside. He was getting a lot of the in-breaking routes that Romeo Dobbs vacated.
17:03So I think that Golden is one of the big winners of the week.
17:07And you can see that we moved him up a bunch.
17:11Yeah, we're up to 72 overall on Golden. I mean, Golden was one of my most drafted players because as expected, he
17:17is him and Watson are going to be the every down player.
17:21And I thought the Packers would be forced to throw a ton more.
17:25We saw that play out even against Carson Wentz.
17:28This defense could not stop them. They get into comeback mode and they get a ton of pass attempts off.
17:34Maybe that'll change when Micah Parsons comes back. But yeah, I don't know.
17:38I think we got a definitive answer that we wanted, though, in that Jaden Reed ran just two routes from two wide receiver sets.
17:45We needed to know who was going to be in two wide receiver sets.
17:49Despite having our own beliefs, we now have the confirmation.
17:52It's going to be different whenever Brian Flores is not on the other side blitzing Jordan Love at 78% of his dropbacks.
17:59Absolutely insane. But yes, Golden, we now know, is in two wide receiver sets.
18:03Yeah. I mean, I think it's obvious. They've been doing this every year with Jaden Reed.
18:08It's just not going to happen. And I really liked Jaden Reed before the season.
18:13And I never thought that he'd be in two wide receiver sets.
18:16I simply thought they would be playing more three wide receiver sets this season.
18:21And they didn't, maybe because of Brian Flores. Mark, I want to bring up this Marshawn Lloyd question here we got from Josh.
18:28Josh Burke says, Marshawn Lloyd underperformed his expected fantasy points by so many.
18:32How far down the ranks is he flying? We have Marshawn Lloyd at 95.
18:36The other part of this long-term outlook on Marshawn Lloyd is, I guess Josh Jacobs' girlfriend wants the case sealed.
18:42In other words, she doesn't want the video coming out either.
18:45There's going to be speculation out there that's because she got paid.
18:49And now she got paid to say she doesn't want the video out there either.
18:54Whatever it is, either way, I feel like Josh Jacobs probably will be back at some point this season.
18:59I don't know exactly when. And that's obviously bad for Marshawn Lloyd also.
19:03And as Daigle mentioned, Chris Brooks got a ton of snaps in that game too.
19:08So we're at 92, sorry, 96 overall on Marshawn Lloyd.
19:11Mark, how do you feel about him? Well, I think I agree with what Jack said too about the heavy blitz nature
19:18of the Vikings defense lending to more of a Chris Brooks-centric game plan in the backfield.
19:23So Lloyd dropped for us mostly out of just like attrition and that we didn't really move him down.
19:28It was more like guys below him that we had moved up after successful week ones.
19:33And in terms of, you know, underperforming his expected fantasy points, he had the same expected fantasy points as guys like Kyle
19:40Minungai and Quinshot Junkids and Basial Tootin right around those guys.
19:43So I would actually take that as a positive.
19:46The fact that he underperformed in one week, I don't think is a huge negative there for Lloyd.
19:52You know, I'm in a league where I'm kind of piecing together like RB2 between JK Dobbins and Rashad White and Marshawn Lloyd.
19:59And I did not play Lloyd in week one and plan to in week two, like against the Jets.
20:04So I think I'm hoping that the setup week two against the Jets is going to be way better for Lloyd.
20:11And he realizes some of those fantasy points. I think the fact that Caleb Johnson didn't play at all for the Packers
20:17is honestly another bit of a bonus there for Marshawn Lloyd too.
20:21So obviously it wasn't a good week one fantasy production wise, but I think overall the usage and moving forward should be fine for Lloyd.
20:29You can get Lloyd for pennies right now after this performance.
20:32And since we play fantasy football in windows before Josh Jacobs returns and three of the next four games for the Packers,
20:39they have the Jets, Falcons and Bears. I do think Lloyd is not going to be in our transactions list at the end of the show.
20:47I think Lloyd is a really good buy dirt low.
20:50Interesting. Yes. By the way, just because it's on the screen right now, breaking news into the show.
20:55As we are recording, Jordan Mason has been placed on injured reserve.
20:59Vikings have signed DJ Dallas to the 53 man roster.
21:02That was a thumb injury that Jordan Mason sustained.
21:05He will miss at least four games. So we will get the rest of season top 150 rankings and redraft trade calculator
21:11cleaned up here as soon as we are done recording.
21:14But yes, obviously we have Mason at 97 here in light of this news.
21:19He'll be dropping down a lot. Reminder, this free show is brought to you by Polymarket, one of the world's largest prediction
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22:47Okay, let's go to some outlier performances from week one here.
22:50Jack, I want to start with Ashton Gentry. We talked a lot about Gentry in the lead up because he was really interesting DFS play.
22:58Obviously, the ankle turned out to be no big deal.
23:01A lot of people were worried about the Mike Washington stuff also.
23:05Turned out ankle was nothing. Mike Washington was nothing.
23:08Gentry was too good in the game to take him off the field.
23:12I question, and if you wanted to try to sell high on Ashton Gentry, it would be he was home against the Dolphins.
23:19This was like, as Silva said, this is like what he's used to playing against St.
23:23Mary's College for the Blind on Fox Sports 6 at 3 o'clock in the morning.
23:28This is what he's used to. The Dolphins are an absolute joke.
23:32It is going to get much tougher for Ashton Gentry.
23:35I'm not saying that he's going to underperform. I'm just saying this was probably the best spot that he will find all season.
23:42So, Jack, how are you thinking about Ashton Gentry?
23:44We do have him 12 overall now in the ranks.
23:47Yeah, I think it was the best spot he's going to have all season.
23:52But with that being said, he had 23 carries in his first game off an ankle injury.
23:57He had a 20% target share as well. And he looked really good.
24:01He was at 0.58 rest yards over expectation for a temp.
24:04This is still a guy who's one year removed from being the sixth overall pick.
24:09So, I'm personally still bullish on the talent, despite how terrible he was last year from an efficiency standpoint, which I'm blaming on the environment.
24:16The environment is better now, but it's still not actually good.
24:20I think that the Clint Kubiak scheme is going to help him a lot.
24:24But I'm still worried about the offense as a whole with Kirk Cousins back there.
24:29And then once Cousins gets benched, you've still got a rookie back there.
24:33Even if Fernando Mendoza is one of the more pro-ready quarterbacks, certainly in this class, the most pro-ready, it's still a rookie back there.
24:40So, I think that the offensive environment is still a concern.
24:43But he looked really good. The pass-catching rule is amazing.
24:4620% target share in week one. Obviously, that's without Brock Bowers, but that can drop a little bit.
24:52And he can still be among the league leaders in targets at the running back position.
24:57And 23 carries in the first game after missing so much time in August and early September, I think, is really bullish.
25:03Yeah. I mean, we have him 12 overall. I think before all the ankle stuff, we had him right around there.
25:10Also, before the season, we got lower, maybe 16 or 17 overall by the end, just because of the worry on the ankle.
25:17But I think where we have him is right now, like back where it started.
25:21You know, Mike Washington is good, but Ashton Gentry is incredible.
25:25I mean, I joke a lot, but watching him is really awesome, especially when he gets in the open field.
25:31Next few matchups for the Raiders at Chargers, at Saints, versus Chiefs, at Patriots.
25:35He does have some tougher games, you know, down the stretch.
25:38He plays the Broncos. He plays the Seahawks. But the schedule is not terrible.
25:43It's just Miami is like a literal worst team I've ever seen in terms of talent.
25:48Everyone wants that tear after Jameer Gibbs sifted through.
25:50But that's honestly the truth is right now, after one week, they're all bundled up together.
25:55Like if Ashton Gentry outscored Kenneth Walker, he wouldn't be shocked the rest of the way, just because we're all trying to
26:02figure out which of their usage is going to hold.
26:05Yeah, agreed. Mark, anything else on Gentry before we move on?
26:08I just wanted to note that he ran 65% of the routes in week one.
26:13Last year, he only averaged 50% route rate. So if that holds under Kubiak, that's going to be incredible.
26:1965% route share would have ranked third behind only Christian McCaffrey and Bijan Robinson last year.
26:24And that would turn him into, you know, just one of the elite kind of dual threat running backs that we have in fantasy.
26:31All right. Outlier performance. I got to go to Dago with this one.
26:35Dago was a David Montgomery fan before the season.
26:38Now, he was facing what was in 2025 one of the worst run defense in the NFL.
26:43And he only averaged 3.0 yards per carry. And this was always my take on David Montgomery.
26:48We are betting on volume because the efficiency is just not going to be there.
26:53This run game has been broken for so long.
26:55Dave Montgomery is not going to revive it. However, where I agreed with Dago was the volume was going to be absolutely insane.
27:02And they're going to try to play defense and run for a bunch of touchdowns with Dave Montgomery.
27:08And they didn't even play defense. And that's still the way it played out.
27:12Guy scores three touchdowns in the game. The underlying usage, Dago, was not quite as strong.
27:17We had Woody Marks playing a ton in this game and running a ton of routes.
27:22It was just David Montgomery got the high value touches.
27:25So we didn't really move Dave Montgomery up too much in the ranks.
27:29We're at 52 overall. That's roughly where we were before this outburst against the Bills.
27:33Dago, how are you feeling about Montgomery rest of season now?
27:37To put my stance into further context, my argument was always, why is everyone drafting Javante Williams, Kyron Williams, Travis Etienne, that
27:43list of guys two rounds higher when David Montgomery with a better profile, if not the same one, is right here rounds later.
27:50That was the whole argument. And so far, RB9 and expected fantasy points.
27:54I always snaps a lot less than a lot of analysts because I prefer that when you're on the field, you get
28:01touches and Montgomery still handled 70% of the team's backfield touches.
28:04So in not moving him and moving him up slightly, I think that's the correct call.
28:09And I'm very comfortable to have Montgomery as my RB2.
28:12Yeah, I mean, totally agree. Like it's not valuable.
28:15Like the LaQuint Allen or like those roles are just like not valuable.
28:19Like if he loses that stuff, it's really not that valuable.
28:22It's like two minute drill, four minute drill. I find to be more valuable.
28:27But gosh, I mean, David Montgomery has a chance to score a lot of touchdowns, man.
28:32Like a lot of touchdowns here this season. Let's go to another outlier performance here, Mark.
28:36Let's go to Jalen Coker. There's a lot of talk out there, including for me, you know, that we were too wide.
28:43And we were above market on Jalen Coker to be clear, but we were too wide on the gap between Coker and Ted Arroyo-McMillan in the preseason ranks.
28:52We have moved Ted Arroyo-McMillan down to 51. We have moved Coker up to 86.
28:56That is a big time move for Coker. Now people might be, there's going to be some Tet freaks out there.
29:03They're going to say, now you guys are too tight with these guys.
29:07So Mark, what do you think about the gap here that we have between T-Mac and Coker?
29:12Yeah, I mean, could be too tight. And this is going to be a filling out process of just like, how bad is the Bears defense?
29:20You know, is this the best setup that Jalen Coker is going to get all season?
29:25Obviously, I think it was a pretty outlier Bryce Young performance as well.
29:29So that's kind of the tricky spots to weigh in.
29:32Week one is really, okay, how meaningful is this that he put up this monstrous game against the Bears defense?
29:38Same with, I think, kind of like the Giants performance against the Cowboys defense.
29:42Defense, it's like really, okay, how impressive was that versus these defenses are just going to be sieves all season long?
29:48I think the gap being, you know, 35 spots in ranks is pretty appropriate at this point.
29:54You know, certainly wish maybe we were even higher on Coker in the offseason.
29:58But I think a lot of the rhetoric too is, you know, Ted Roman McMillan was going to get more slot snaps, which he did in week one.
30:06But that was still Jalen Coker's primary role. He was in the slot 41% of the time out wide 59% of the time.
30:13Yet Coker still had close to a 14 yard ADOT.
30:16So he's still more of that vertical slot receiver as well that we like in the modern day NFL.
30:22And, you know, Jalen Coker, if you look at his playoff game against the Rams, he also had over 130 yards, which
30:29he had in week one of this week. So I was just like, okay, how many, how many times has a receiver
30:36put up 130 plus yards in back-to-back games? And when you look at the list, it's just, you know, the league's best.
30:42It's AJ Brown three times, Justin Jefferson three times, Tyreek, Pickens, Lamb, Puka, Cup, DJ Moore, Jamar Chase, Jackson Smith and Jigba.
30:49So it's a, it's a, you know, laundry list of some of the best wide receivers in the NFL.
30:55Do I think, you know, that necessarily means Jalen Coker is, is going to be out there with those guys?
31:01No, but you know, certainly a breakout talent, you know, for UDFA to get a contract extension from a team, I think is a big deal as well.
31:09So I believe in Coker's talent. I don't necessarily believe in Bryce Young's talent still, which I think is probably holding me
31:16back on, on thinking, you know, Coker is, is like a wide receiver too, or in fantasy.
31:21But I do think the bump is, is warranted and the gap should be tighter between him and T-Mac.
31:27Well, I'll say two things. The Panthers have tried to hide Bryce Young in a lot of games in his career.
31:34In other words, really run heavy setups. In week one, the Panthers were solidly plus in pass rate over expectation.
31:40So that was encouraging. Same with the Rams game in the playoffs.
31:43I mean, that was for sure encouraging on Bryce Young too.
31:47So if they're not going to try to hide him, I think that's somewhat exciting.
31:51And second, it's not like Coker, this is just a one game sample.
31:55He has, I think nine or 10 more catches than Ted Ray McMillan over their last eight games together.
32:01So it's not just one game. You could make an argument Coker has outplayed T-Mac for months.
32:06You know, going back to last season now. So I think the gap that we have is, is good here right now.
32:13You know, 35 spots between T-Mac and Coker. Another note too on, on the Panthers is that they changed play colors this year.
32:20Brad Idzik is now calling plays instead of Dave Canales.
32:23Again, one, one week sample. It's hard to like draw too much conclusions from that.
32:28But if they do become, you know, a higher pass rate team that could definitely benefit T-Mac and Coker both because, you
32:34know, the rest of the passing game options are, are pretty much non-existent at this point.
32:39In, in danger of upsetting the not in my league people Daigle, is it true that Jalen Coker was not owned in a lot of leagues?
32:47Or do you think that, uh, what, what, what, like, I'm just curious, like, cause obviously in the leagues I, I am in Coker was owned.
32:55I'm just curious if it was actually unowned in any.
32:58Uh, apparently per the discord in some eight and 10 team leagues.
33:02Yes. Jalen Coker was not drafted those leagues, which Theo Grimminger has labeled Narnia rankings, Narnia leagues.
33:07Uh, I also have Matthew golden ranked rest of season over Jalen Coker and they have those people, the same questions there.
33:14So if for whatever reason they're out there, yes, Matthew golden over Jalen Coker on the waiver are.
33:19Jack, let's go to Denver. Um, you know, I want to give them some grace.
33:24It's a really hard spot. Week one, you're going to Arrowhead.
33:27It's Monday night football. I want to give them some grace, but they were absolutely horrific in every way in that game flowing through to Jalen Waddell here.
33:35Also, how concerned are you about Broncos specific to Jalen Waddell?
33:39We got a question from, uh, ML, MLB PMO.
33:42So what's your level of concern on Waddell here coming out of that game against the chiefs?
33:47We're at 46 overall right now in the rest of season ranks.
33:50I'm not super concerned on Waddell. I'd say I'm more concerned about the offensive environment than his specific role.
33:56He was still out there for 85% of routes.
33:59Um, from what I saw, he had like a scheme target called up for him on the first play of the game
34:06that Bo Nix decided not to throw for some reason.
34:09And the chiefs really made a concerted effort to take him away.
34:12So I think the targets are definitely going to rise in the coming weeks.
34:17They traded a first round pick and a third round pick for him.
34:21They're going to get them involved. The offensive environment is a little scarier considering they have a new first time play caller in Davis Webb.
34:28Obviously Sean Payton could take back the play calling if the offense doesn't get better.
34:33Um, but that would be my lone concern with Waddell.
34:36I'd be more concerned on Corlin Sutton. Honestly, considering Pat Bryan is more of like a one-to-one skill set with him.
34:42Whereas Waddell is kind of a different player from those guys.
34:46Yeah. You know, the bull case to me on Waddell was they gave up all this so that they could make him their featured player.
34:53If you are not a featured player in a Sean Payton offense, you can get lost in a lot of games.
35:00Like you can have two targets. It's three targets.
35:02It's the guys that he loves Jimmy Graham or, or, you know, these type of guys that, uh, Michael Thomas, the guys
35:09that actually get a ton of work in every game.
35:12I was optimistic that would be Waddell, but I wasn't a hundred percent sold on it.
35:17And after this game, yeah, I think there's some concern.
35:20But as Jack said, I mean, it was a really weird spot.
35:24Underlying usage was good. We did dock him down a little bit.
35:27Uh, we were down up around 40 overall. I think we're, you know, 46 overall here, uh, on Mr.
35:33Waddell. All right, Dago. Let's go to Chicago. 59 points.
35:36I actually don't want to spend a lot of time on this because I feel like everybody has the same analysis, but
35:4359 points and burden Rome and Loveland have people pissed off.
35:46Um, we do not. I think people are going to want us to say, why isn't Cleef Raymond in the top 150?
35:53Uh, Silva compared Cleef Raymond's week one outburst to all media Zaccheus yesterday.
35:57Do you agree with that Daigle or Zaccheus going to be a problem here?
36:01Everybody can say buy low on Loveland burden and a dunes.
36:05I guess the question is how low or how high should you be buying?
36:09Cause I don't think anyone's giving them away after what this offense showed.
36:13I like that comp because you couldn't use Zaccheus at any point in season long either, but he was still out there for a Ben Johnson offense.
36:21I personally don't worry. The last couple of times we've heard Ben Johnson talk one in that athletic interview.
36:27He literally said verbatim, the quote is the running game, which is the haymaker sets up the play action, which is the haymaker.
36:34Do you fear death? That is the quote he used.
36:37And then after the game, he came out, uh, not even provoked to talk about it.
36:42He regretted not going for 60, going for the two point conversion to get the 60 for an arbitrary reason and instead settling at 59 points.
36:50This is what this man is going to do.
36:52Whereas you watch Sunday night football and you see the Cowboys on their opening drive, uh, take a delay of game and
36:59punt it after trying to draw the defense off sides.
37:02Ben Johnson second quarter, fourth and one from their own 21 goes for it because he understands the assignment and building a Superbowl contender.
37:09So this is what this offense is going to do every single week is put up points.
37:15And don't you want the three guys who are going to lead that offense and routes run every week?
37:20I think that's the easiest way to put it.
37:23If you wanted to buy on these guys, I don't think anyone's selling yet, but they play the Vikings this week and
37:30the Eagles in week three, they could underperform in those two games.
37:34And then I think they'd really be a buy, you know, cause right now I don't think anybody really wants to sell
37:40these guys, but they could really be a buy if they underperform in those two games there.
37:45Mark, any final thoughts on bears before we move on?
37:48I would say Rome is, is the only player I'm considering not necessarily buying low on just, just the fact that he's playing through a calf strain.
37:57Um, you know, he was pretty limited in week one, so that, that would be fine.
38:02But I, I get a little, I get a little weary on buying players, you know, with soft tissue injuries, especially at a calf strain.
38:09I just, I just don't know how that's going to go.
38:13And, and we were, you know, just lower on Rome than, than consensus, you know, this, this off season compared to the other targets there.
38:20So I'd be more interested in buying in on, on burden and Loveland specifically there.
38:25Yep. All right. Let's go to a couple, uh, injury related spots here.
38:29Jack, I want to start with the stripling news.
38:31So, you know, just a dagger. I mean, at the time of stripling's injury, and by the way, he went on IR
38:38today, he's going to be out at least four games.
38:41Hopefully he's not lost. Hopefully he doesn't need surgery is out for the season.
38:45At the time of stripling's injury, he was up three to one on snaps on Debo Samuel.
38:51And I have this big stripling bag and you guys know me.
38:54I'm a Debo hater. I hardly have any Debo and it's just what a run out for this guy to get hurt.
39:01I mean, Debo had like nine snaps and stripling had like 27 or something at the time with injury.
39:07Then of course, stripling gets hurt and Debo comes in and starts going off.
39:11So I'm mega tilted about this, Jack. I don't even really want to talk about it, uh, anymore.
39:17What do you think about 49ers rest of season with stripling now on IR?
39:21Yeah. It's interesting because they have a lot of guys who don't project for a full route share like Mike Evans.
39:27I don't think that they want out there on every snap.
39:31Even last year, the Buccaneers, when he was healthy, kept them under 80% routes.
39:35I think he's going to have a big targets per out run.
39:39That's what we saw in week one, but I don't think he's going to be out there on every snap.
39:45Debo Samuel got a lot of targets as well, but he got out routed by Demarcus Robinson.
39:50I think Demarcus Robinson, if anything, might be the guy that they're okay.
39:54Just trotting out there for a bunch of routes.
39:57I think Debo is probably going to be in a part-time role as well.
40:01And then Kittle is obviously still getting up to speed after the Achilles tear last year.
40:06Um, so it's an interesting target breakdown. I think that it makes sense to move Evans up.
40:11He had a big role in week one. He had the goal line fade.
40:15I think that he's going to get a ton of touches near the goal line, which is good for him.
40:21Debo, I think is going to get a lot of touches per snap, but I still think that the snaps and routes
40:28are going to be limited enough that he's going to be not the most comfortable fantasy start every week.
40:34Demarcus Robinson, I'm sure he's going to be out there a bunch.
40:37And then once Kittle gets up to speed, if they, Jake Tonjes is on injured reserve as well.
40:43So once Kittle gets up to speed, he could be out there a bunch and really command a big target share as well.
40:50Um, so Evans is, is clearly the guy I feel best about here.
40:54Um, Debo, I think is worth rostering. He'll get touches, but I, I, I wouldn't love starting Tebo on a weekend week out basis.
41:01Yeah. I thought that Kittle is an interesting buy right now.
41:04I didn't think he looked great, but no Tongass.
41:07They're not going to have a choice, but to play Kittle for a ton there.
41:12And obviously you're up scribbling and you're up here.
41:15So yeah, I think Kittle is at least interesting as a buy here.
41:19If he's going to have his role, uh, expanded a ton.
41:22If you, uh, if you, I was just going to say, if you, if you want to pick up Cleve Raymond, uh,
41:29how about you just pick up to Marcus Robinson, uh, for free and you think that's probably, probably the better, better move
41:35to make a fine under the radar right now.
41:38Oh, I thought to Mars Robinson for deep leaders was interesting.
41:41Dale, any interest for you off the waiver wire on to Marcus Robinson?
41:45For sure. Whenever scribbling got injured, Robinson then ran around 78% of dropbacks is the guy who will be out there.
41:52If you scroll to the bottom of the waiver wire column, I do have all my FFPC and NFFC suggestions there.
41:58I just took the graphic out actually, but it's such a big list.
42:02I want to make sure we're, we're jamming on all these guys for even five to $11.
42:07All right. Last one here before we get to listener questions, Mark is the Malik neighbors situation.
42:12If I drafted Malik neighbors, I honestly would have been pretty encouraged by what I saw.
42:17He did not play a ton. I believe he was around 55, 60% of the routes, but he still led the team in targets with nine.
42:25And so I think that's pretty exciting. We have him up to 22 overall right now.
42:30At this point, the biggest question to me is just like, is he 100% of himself or can he get to 100% of himself?
42:37But yeah, if you drafted him and obviously you're not, well, maybe you could consider selling.
42:42It does seem pretty bullish if you're pessimistic rest of season, but yeah.
42:46Any thoughts here on neighbors, Mark? I thought it was a pretty great week one for him.
42:51The fact that he was out there 73% of the routes, you know, don't, don't necessarily care if he's out there run blocking necessarily.
42:59So 73% of the routes was second on the team behind only Darnell Mooney led the team of 31% target share, you know, still six catches, 69 yards.
43:07Like if you told me that was his week one stat line beforehand, I would have been pretty pumped with that.
43:14So, you know, retroactively excited about it as well.
43:16And I think too, you know, it's again, all this off season speculation, getting some confirmation in week one was nice.
43:23Just that doesn't seem like Darnell Mooney or Malachi Fields or Odell Beckham, you know, just the rest of their receiving tree
43:30outside Isaiah likely is not going to get targeted heavily.
43:33So I think, yeah, it was a great week one for Malik neighbors.
43:37I would be holding it because I think in home leagues, you know, he went mostly in the third round.
43:43So we have him up at 22nd. I think, I think moving forward, he should be a second round guy for sure.
43:49Go ahead, Daigle. I think holding or even buying low or waiting until Tuesday to buy low next week, understanding we expect
43:56him to play more just because it's the perfect litmus test.
43:59It's it's there on the opposite ends of the spectrum.
44:02You get the Cowboys where they can just spam the R1 button and throw to the flats constantly to get down the field with ease.
44:10And then next week on Monday night football, they have the Rams and a toughest test possible.
44:15So we're going to actually see what this giant's offense is.
44:19At some point you can buy neighbors well below what we know his ceiling is.
44:23All right. A real quick Daigle for you buy or sell on Isaiah likely is week one performance.
44:29I'm still buying. Well, I guess I'm not buying.
44:31He was a, he was an easy draft target late because again, we understood the upside and getting the money and running
44:38out John Harbaugh offense without really any tight end competition.
44:41But now you're buying him at what the price you would pay for George Kittle, Harold fan and those guys.
44:47So I don't necessarily, you might have to pay.
44:50So I don't necessarily think I'm buying. I think you're just extremely happy.
44:54You have a tight end one if you drafted him late.
44:57Yeah. Okay. Um, all right. Let's go to some of your listener questions.
45:01By the way, we asked for these on Twitter under the established to run account usually on Tuesdays or so.
45:07So if you want to get your question in feel free, we've answered some of them already.
45:13Let's go to, let's go to soft bench here.
45:15You know, I don't know how old soft bench is, but I had to ask the guys before the show.
45:21He said, is DeAndre Swift H1MOTHY? I had no idea what that meant.
45:25Apparently the youth these days are using the phrase H1MOTHY, I guess in some reference to Timothy Chalamet, the Knicks fan or whatever.
45:32Um, so anyways, soft bench says, is DeAndre Swift H1MOTHY or will he return to his 2025 form?
45:38His snap count from week one suggests it's not his backfield, albeit being paid an extension and playing lights out.
45:44I mean, come on, Jack. You know, DeAndre Swift was one of the most talked about players in Chicago leading up to the season.
45:51They give him a ton of money. Game turns into a blout.
45:55Mononga got there a little bit late, but we're up to 24 overall now on DeAndre Swift.
46:00He has a really exciting role and just seemingly keeps getting better.
46:04So yeah, I guess the question for you, Jack, and I believe Jack is the youngest one here, is Swift H1MOTHY as this guy said.
46:11I don't know if I'd go so far as to say Himothy per se, but I definitely think he's going to have a good year.
46:19He was out carrying Mononga 10 to three in the first half, and then the Bears kind of got up by a bunch and started feeding Mononga more.
46:28Mononga did take the two minute drill snaps, and he ended up out routing Swift 15 to nine.
46:33I think that they like Mononga. I think that they also don't want Swift getting like 20 plus touches every game, even though they just paid him.
46:41I don't think that that's how Ben Johnson wants to use this backfield.
46:45I think he wants to keep Swift healthy and fresh the entire season.
46:49With that being said, it was a wider split than it was last year from a rushing standpoint, and they did just
46:56pay Swift, and he's coming off reportedly the best offseason of his career.
47:00And I think the biggest differentiator from last year in terms of this backfield is the Bears look like they're going to
47:07be a top five scoring offense in the league.
47:09So I think that even if you get the same like 55 to 60 percent Swift over Mononga, which it was last
47:16year, and I think that might even be conservative on what we can expect the split to be moving forward.
47:22If you even if you get that split on this offense, that can still be a really, really good fantasy season.
47:29So I like moving up Swift a bunch. I think he's going to have a really strong year as long as he stays healthy.
47:36Yeah. I mean, he's looking like if you got him in fourth or fifth round looking like a really, really strong pick there on him.
47:43I also love that Timothy Chalamet, who's won a Golden Globe for best actor net worth hundreds of million dollars, and you called him the Knicks fan.
47:52I don't watch TV and movies, dude. Who has time for that?
47:55OK. Oh, trade question. Mark, I'm going to tech lord over to the trade calculator here if you want to read me
48:02this trade question once I can get there. And by the way, if you go to draft kit tab, that is where
48:09rest of season rankings are and redraft trade calculator, all the waiver stuff, Gorman's rankings, etc.
48:14So I'm going to go here to our trade calculator is available to anyone with draft kit, select super flex or half PPR.
48:21And then, you know, it's really simple. You just put in the players and we'll tell you which side we think is ahead.
48:28So go ahead, Mark. Yeah. So one side, he said, would you trade away Kenneth Walker and Nico Collins for B.
48:34John Robinson. And Lad McConkie. My God. I mean, it's interesting just because we've we we moved up Walker quite aggressively and in the top one fit.
48:42Do we know him as the third overall player right behind B.
48:46John and then Nico and Lad we have very similarly as well.
48:50So we have a slight lean towards the B.
48:52John Lad side still. But I think, you know, pretty, pretty even trade here.
48:57All things considered, given given the firepower exchanging hands here.
49:00I mean, first of all, we really need to trade all our best players like we just drafted them a week ago.
49:06We already want to trade our best players in the league.
49:10Second of all, if you look at the trade calculator here on YouTube, you see this is we have this as fair.
49:16I mean, only a three percent edge here to the B.
49:20John Lad side. I would consider that like dead even.
49:23I don't really have a strong take here on this one.
49:26It's just like four really awesome assets. Given the injury to Lad, maybe I would lean towards the Walker and Nico side
49:33just because Lad's banged up right now. I don't think it's anything serious, but he is banged up.
49:38I don't know. Dagle, you have a preference on this trade here?
49:42I think it's a wash. I think both both positions are in their same tiers.
49:47Walker and B. John and Nico and Lad McConkie.
49:49Whenever McConkie was available in that game in week one, Justin Herbert averaged 10.3 yards per attempt.
49:55The Chargers did the highest success rate passing in the entire league.
49:58The moment he left the field, 28 yards per attempt dead last in success rate.
50:03I don't know why it cratered without one individual, but the Chargers were humming when Lad McConkie was available.
50:09Yeah. You know, on Nico, we talked about this before the season.
50:12I love Nico. I thought he was like a fine pick at the 2-3 turn.
50:17The true ceiling, like the 99th percentile outcome for Nico, I do not think is the same as some of these other
50:24wide receivers because they're going to play good defense.
50:26When they're not playing Josh Allen, they're going to play good defense and run the ball and not get into shootouts like some of these other teams do.
50:35But yeah, just on solid, like Nico is obviously awesome.
50:38Yeah. So you guys can play around the trade calculator.
50:41One thing that I do want to say about this is it doesn't know your team, right?
50:46And I understand that as a whole, we're trying to address that for a future where maybe you could do stuff like
50:53tell us who's on your team and we can make better recommendations.
50:56That way, we won't have that ready for this year.
50:59This is like a baseline though. I think it's a very valuable baseline to use.
51:04Again, we have it for 1QB and 2QB E-Trade calculator as part of DraftKit.
51:08Last question here, Jack comes from MLB Pimao. He says, how concerned should I be about Dak Prescott?
51:14Would you trade him for Goff or would you consider Tyler Shuck off waivers?
51:18Question, Jack, are you concerned at all about the way Dak played on Sunday Night Football?
51:23Not really. I mean, it wasn't great, but we have such an extended sample size of him being a very good NFL quarterback.
51:30He still has two of the best wide receivers in the league.
51:34I mean, with these pocket passes, it basically just does come down to passing efficiency.
51:38With Dak and Goff, both of their defenses are likely to be quite bad and both offenses should put up a bunch of points.
51:46I still lean Dak. He's just been better throughout his career when he's on the field.
51:50Shuck, I don't think, is in the same tier as those guys despite the game he had on Sunday.
51:56I mean, the first half that he put out there was really rough and then he just kind of got it all in comeback mode.
52:04So I'd have Dak and Goff a tier above, but I'd still have Dak a tier ahead of Goff.
52:10Yeah. And I'm like the biggest Goff guy ever.
52:12Like, I obviously love Jared Goff this year. I think he's going to go nuts.
52:17I was a little concerned the way he played in that game in week one.
52:21However, Jamison Williams, if he just catches the football, that game looks way different.
52:26And Jared Goff looks way different as well. Even saying all that, and I love Goff, I'd still rather have Dak here.
52:32Also, home game against Commanders here coming up, I think is a really good spot.
52:37All right. We've dilly-dallied long enough. Nobody watched all that.
52:40They just want to know what is the one move to make in their redraft fantasy league this year or right now.
52:47Actually, not this year. What I meant to say is one move to make ahead of week two.
52:52Mark, I'll give you the floor for the first move to make of the 2026 NFL season.
52:57All right. Nice. I'm going to have my first move be to sell Cam Scadaboo.
53:02You know, so I think it's always a little easier to identify some buys.
53:06So I wanted to lean into some sells here.
53:09And I'll start out with the good on Cam Scadaboo.
53:12He had 18 carries to Devin Singletary's six. That's great news.
53:15He got the two carries inside the five for the Giants.
53:19That's great news as well. Bad news in my mind, though.
53:22He only ran eight routes to Devin Singletary's 17.
53:25He got zero targets as well. And then, you know, again, kind of going back to the week one analysis, I think
53:32the Giants maybe played their softest opponent all year in terms of the Dallas defense.
53:36So I do think under Harbaugh and with Patrick Ricard there, this could be, you know, a lot of designed run game for Cam Scadaboo.
53:44But I'm very concerned about the pass game role for him.
53:47If he's not going to be out there running routes, they're going to lean on Devin Singletary in that fashion.
53:53I'm a little bit concerned that, you know, the Giants are going to be a middling offense, middling team going to be playing from behind a lot.
54:01And Cam Scadaboo is not an explosive back. Sure, he can get, you know, the extra yard or two.
54:07But at this point, his career is at 4.1 yards per carry.
54:11So I'm kind of fading, you know, just the goal line back on the Giants of an offense that I think probably
54:18had one of their better weeks in week one.
54:20I think people are overplaying, you know, the Scadaboo role, seeing, you know, that game against the Cowboys on primetime and thinking
54:27he had a better role than he does in reality.
54:30Yeah, I kind of like I hear you. He's not an explosive player.
54:34I'd rather use other guys. But I mean, these coaches on the Giants, this is what they want.
54:40They want Cam Scadaboo to bang his skull into some lineman and linebacker to like set up their play action.
54:46So he wants that too. He wants that too.
54:48You know, I guess one question I would have, Mark, is do you think Najee is going to be a factor at
54:55any point this season to Cam Scadaboo's role? Najee was a, I guess I call him a healthy scratch in week one,
55:02but maybe he just wasn't ready off the injury and not being with the team that long.
55:07Not necessarily. I think I think I'm more so just worried that, you know, the week one game script played out perfectly
55:14for Cam Scadaboo and that, you know, the Giants were able to control the ball the whole time, kind of bleed the clock, play with the lead.
55:22I just don't really think that's going to be the case.
55:25You know, I'm more concerned that like they get in trailing game scripts and Scadaboo can or, you know, gets back to running routes.
55:33That would be like the path that I'd be more concerned about in terms of him burning me on this cell.
55:39But now this doesn't even really matter if Najee Harris is involved, honestly, in my opinion.
55:44Yeah. I mean. Najee Harris is kind of like does similar things as Cam Scadaboo.
55:48And so. If he got in there, I think it would be a little bit of a problem just because these moron,
55:55these dolty coaches, I'm sure they love Najee also.
55:58I'm just not sure that Najee's. Going to get in there.
56:01But Tyron Tracy, you know, fumbled again, like he's in big trouble here for sure.
56:06All right. Anyways, they go. Go ahead with your move to make ahead of week two.
56:11Chuba Hubbard and the Panthers. Not sure if anyone new played the Bears defense and all the stats were very inflated because of that.
56:18Hubbard himself scored two touchdowns and finished with the eighth highest route share among all running backs.
56:23But that 58 percent number was one that he eclipsed only one time all last year.
56:28And unlike all the running backs around him, he does have someone who could at the very least potentially come for his job.
56:35So I'm going to take what I believe is the highest, the most points to be a Humberville school all year and sell him because of that.
56:43Yes, this is this is one that I knew Daigle was going to do because deep down in his heart, he has
56:50a full three point nine for Jonathan Brooks. He still thinks Jonathan Brooks is going to come back and shred the league.
56:57Am I wrong, Daigle? Do you not think Jonathan Brooks at some point this year is going to come back and start shredding?
57:04That 20 yard catch was pretty sweet. Did you see it?
57:07All right. Jack, go ahead with your move to make ahead of week two.
57:11Yeah, I know you guys said that nobody would sell him and that might be true, but I still think it's worth a shot.
57:19I'm going to do by Colston Loveland. A lot of it comes down to just this offensive environment as a whole.
57:25Ben Johnson is on the record saying that he wants the highest scoring offense in NFL history.
57:30Like Daigle said, he implied that he thought about going for two to score 60 points.
57:35I mean, this guy is just like a psychopath.
57:38I think that he's at the very minimum, a top three play caller in the NFL with McVay and Shanahan.
57:44The Bears defense is probably a bottom three unit.
57:47I think the offense is going to be unbelievable.
57:49Put up a bunch of points. Loveland had 34 routes on 38 dropbacks that led the Bears.
57:55And more importantly, he the Bears looked for him on two red zone plays or drew up to red zone plays for
58:01him that he got the target on one in the end zone.
58:05Didn't get the target on the other because the Panthers defended it well.
58:09He later had another end zone target that was negated by an interception.
58:13He had a 0.33 targets per hour run in the red zone last year.
58:17I think that he's the primary guy in the red zone.
58:21I think he's going to score a bunch of touchdowns this year.
58:24And the routes indicate to me that he is the top guy in this passing offense.
58:29So after the goose egg with how well the Bears offense played in week one, I am buying Colston Loveland.
58:35Yeah. I mean, if this was five years ago or 10 years ago, undoubtedly you'd be able to buy Colston Loveland this week.
58:42Like, you know, and I know we were going to like give us the hot dog meme, but thanks to people like us.
58:49I think people now are so woke to Colston Loveland is a good buy.
58:53I think you could argue that Trey McBride and Brock Bowers are just going to be bigger pieces of their team's offense
59:00because the pieces around them are just worse. And like Ben Johnson's like, oh, I'll go get nine targets for Khalif Raymond.
59:07But yeah, I'm not panicked on Colston Loveland at all.
59:10I like where we have him here. Still the tight end three, 38 overall.
59:14All right. So they told me that I could only make one move to make here this week, but I consulted with
59:21corporate and I am doing one and a half moves to make this week.
59:25The one at the first one, the buy low one-on-one to me is Jamison Williams.
59:30You know, 23% target share in that game, 54% air yards share.
59:33He was eighth among all wide receivers and expected fantasy points in week one was Jamison Williams.
59:39He just happened to have a really bad game and underperformed that opportunity badly.
59:43Dan Campbell loves Jamison Williams, just like as a dude, he's going to go right back to him.
59:48So that's like buy low one-on-one to me on Jamo there.
59:52Let me tech lord here. The buy low in the more difficult class, maybe buy low two-oh-one or buy low three-oh-one, a
59:58riskier one to me is buy Travion Henderson. And if somebody is just really panicked and down right now on Travion, I
60:05think it's an interesting spot to try to buy him.
60:08First of all, he's back in practice off the ankle injury.
60:12I think there's a decent chance he plays in week two.
60:15Anyone who watched that Patriots game in Seattle, I mean, they need playmakers so bad.
60:19And now AJ Brown is out four to six weeks.
60:23Romeo Dobbs was horrific. Ramondre is solid. I like him.
60:26They need more explosives in both the run and the pass game.
60:29And Travion can give it to them. And the schedule coming up for the Patriots, I think is a good one for him.
60:36Steelers, Jaguars, Bills, Raiders, Jets, Bears, Dolphins, Packers, Detroit in their next nine games.
60:40That's pretty good for creating explosives, I think. So maybe it's hard if someone dropped Travion Henderson.
60:46They're not ready to panic yet. They want to see him first.
60:49But if someone is selling low, I like buying on Travion Henderson here.
60:53We're up at 67 overall on him still in the rest of season top 150.
60:58All right. That is going to do it for the first rest of season top 150 show of the 2026 NFL season.
61:05We'll be back with this show each Wednesday. So be sure you're subscribed here on YouTube.
61:09It is indeed free. Also, be sure you check out the team by team show from yesterday.
61:15If you have not yet, we put a ton of effort and work into that.
61:19And of course, if you want to check out our rest of season top 150 rankings or redraft trade calculator, grab DraftKit Pro at establishtherun.com.
61:27For Mark, for Daigle, for Jack, for producer Luke, for producer Ryan, I'm Adam.
61:31Good luck, everybody.