Who Should You Be Worried About? Collins, Henry, Chase Brown, & More! (10/26 Fantasy Football Podcast)

Trey Tucker shows a play where Adonai Mitchell was available for a 65-yard touchdown, but Geno Smith chose to throw to Adonai Mitchell's option instead of a shorter route to Garrett Wilson. This demonstrates Mitchell's role in the Seahawks' passing game and his ability to create explosive plays.

Trey Tucker identifies Antonio Williams as a massive sleeper in the rookie wide receiver class. Tucker notes Williams has looked good both on tape and by the metrics, and with Terry McLaurin out for the year and Jayden Daniels throwing well, Williams has significant opportunity. Tucker emphasizes this is a player no one really talks about but represents a big sleeper opportunity.

Caleb Douglas is among the rookie wide receivers being discussed as part of the episode's coverage of emerging talent.

Trey Tucker suggests Caleb Douglas could be in the Carnell Tate range if Miami builds on what he did in week 7 and if the team figured out something during their bye week to pass the football more consistently. Tucker notes Douglas had 7 targets for a 26% target share and 94 yards in his first game, and has been productive in 2 of his 3 games played. Tucker also notes Douglas looked awesome in the preseason and on film, suggesting he could become Miami's number-one receiver.

Trey Tucker suggests that Sam Darnold could outperform Caleb Williams in the coming week, with Williams facing the Seahawks while Darnold faces a more favorable matchup in Chicago.

Carnell Tate is among the rookie wide receivers being discussed as part of the episode's coverage of emerging talent.

Trey Tucker identifies Carnell Tate as the rookie wide receiver with the most upside and the only one he's confident can average 14+ PPR points per game rest of season. Tucker emphasizes Tate's immense target share and strong target-per-route-run rate despite the Titans being the worst offense in football. He notes Tate is top-15 in first-three-target rate among all players and has no real target competition, making him the clear choice among 2025 rookie receivers.

Chase Brown was mentioned as one of the players everyone was freaked out about following the previous night's games, suggesting concern about his recent performance or role.

Trey Tucker ranks Chase Brown third-least worried among the four concerning players, noting both Chase Brown and Garrett Wilson started slow last year and are in the exact same situation this year. Tucker expresses uncertainty about whether to be worried, suggesting the slow start may not be predictive of season-long performance.

Chase Brown played 75.5% of snaps, up from 60% in week five, showing increased role; however, he hasn't scored a touchdown since week one despite being drafted for touchdown upside in a high-scoring offense. Samaje Perine scored a one-yard goal line touchdown that could have gone to Brown.

Chase Brown remained in the game on multiple goal-line plays late in the fourth quarter (first, second, and third and goal from the two-yard line), suggesting he's still involved in high-leverage situations despite Samaje Perine's goal-line touchdown. Brown had six runs out of shotgun, contradicting reports that Perine was more suited for shotgun runs and Brown for under-center runs.

Trey Tucker expresses frustration with Chase Brown's decision-making and execution on well-blocked plays. On one play with a huge hole between his right guard and right tackle, Brown took an extra step forward instead of hitting the hole, gaining only five yards. On another well-blocked play, Brown was tackled for a loss when his center got destroyed. Tucker calls him and Hampton "nightmare picks," indicating significant disappointment with the investment.

Trey Tucker notes that Colston Loveland has been getting more and more first-three targets for the Bears, posting a 41% first-three-target rate in week 7. Tucker describes this as great and amazing for a tight end, and says he would feel confident in Loveland in the Bears' week 8 matchup against Seattle.

Trey Tucker expresses general confidence in DeAndre Swift for the Bears but tempers it with concern about the week 8 matchup against Seattle. Tucker notes the Bears' offense has been unpredictable all season with no momentum or trend, and while he'd normally feel confident in Swift, the Seahawks defense is one of the two defenses he wants to avoid most for fantasy purposes.

Denzel Boston is among the rookie wide receivers being discussed as part of the episode's coverage of emerging talent.

Trey Tucker notes Denzel Boston has a 16-yard average depth of target with consistent high ADOTs week-to-week, but expresses concern about consistency. Tucker acknowledges Boston got a deep end-zone target this week that was overthrown and had another deep ball where he was wide open but was missed by Deshaun Watson. Tucker suggests combining Boston's deep-ball profile with Concepcion's consistency would create an ideal receiver, but Boston alone will likely produce big games sporadically rather than consistently.

Derrick Henry was mentioned as one of the players everyone was freaked out about following the previous night's games, suggesting concern about his recent performance or role.

Trey Tucker notes that Emmanuel Wilson was not particularly effective as a backup running back until a long touchdown run late in the game against Seattle, suggesting limited overall impact despite the one big play.

Garrett Wilson was mentioned as one of the players everyone was freaked out about following the previous night's games, suggesting concern about his recent performance or role.

Trey Tucker is most worried about Garrett Wilson among the four concerning players. Tucker notes Wilson got extremely lucky that the Jets lost every other offensive skill position player to start the year, which inflated his target share to 36% in those games. Tucker expects his target share to drop below 30%, and on a Jets offense with that lower target share, Wilson won't produce well because he doesn't create much after the catch and isn't getting downfield looks—he's an accumulator who needs high volume. Tucker also highlights a brutal end-of-season schedule: bye, Patrick Surtain, Christian Gonzalez, and Vikings, which would be really bad for Wilson if those corners are healthy.

Trey Tucker is worried about Garrett Wilson alongside Nico Collins; projects Wilson to be on the border of a top 24 receiver for the rest of season, suggesting downside from preseason expectations when Wilson was drafted earlier than Collins.

Trey Tucker highlights Garrett Wilson's separation and availability in the Seahawks' passing game, showing a play where Wilson was extremely open but did not receive the target from Geno Smith. This demonstrates Wilson's consistent route running and positioning, though Smith's poor decision-making prevented him from capitalizing on the opportunity.

JJ McCarthy's skillset (particularly his option-run capability) fits well with Cam Skaggs' running style; the Giants' offensive scheme has been adjusted to leverage McCarthy's ability to keep the ball on read-option plays, which freezes end men on the line of scrimmage and enhances the run game.

Jalen Moore, the Chiefs' starting offensive tackle, is in the concussion protocol and missed the game against Seattle, creating potential offensive line disruption.

Trey Tucker suggests that Sam Darnold could outperform Jared Goff in the coming week, with Goff facing the Vikings while Darnold faces a more favorable matchup in Chicago.

JSN is averaging 28 PPR points per game through the first seven weeks of the season, the most in NFL history through the first seven weeks; he has eight touchdowns compared to four at this point last year, and 10 total last year, demonstrating elite scoring pace despite averaging 3.8 yards per route compared to 4.3 last year, with the Seahawks running more routes due to their running back room and game scripts.

Jordan Tyson is among the rookie wide receivers being discussed; he is expected to play in a couple of weeks, suggesting he has been sidelined or unavailable.

Kenneth Walker's poor fantasy performance in the Seattle-Kansas City game (three points) should not be viewed as a sign of decline; the game featured an extreme game script where Seattle dominated time of possession and the Chiefs had minimal offensive plays (50 plays, 24:09 possession), making it an anomaly rather than a reflection of Walker's talent or role.

Trey Tucker expresses no concerns with Kenneth Walker's role or performance. The Seahawks' strong third-down conversion rate (11 of 16) versus the Chiefs' poor rate (3 of 11) kept Seattle on the field consistently, supporting Walker's usage. Tucker explicitly states "I don't think anyone's going to be worried about Kenneth Walker."

Trey Tucker identifies Malachi Fields as another big sleeper, noting he's catching every pass thrown to him and was a big factor in the game plan in week 7. Tucker cites a 23% target share with J.J. McCarthy, which is significant. Tucker also notes Isaiah Likely is banged up and playing through an injury, which could increase Fields' opportunity. Tucker acknowledges uncertainty about consistency but views Fields as a clear sleeper.

Trey Tucker identifies a play where Mason Taylor was wide open with no defender within 15-20 yards, representing a clear touchdown opportunity that Geno Smith missed. Tucker notes this should have been a three-touchdown game for Taylor, highlighting his role and availability in the passing game despite Smith's poor quarterback play.

Golden is transcending talent levels this year with exceptional production; he has 69 targets in seven games with four games of 12+ targets, and has left over 20 fantasy points on the field in the last two games due to dropped passes and missed touchdowns. His target volume and consistency suggest significant upside if he improves catch rate.

Nico Collins was mentioned as one of the players everyone was freaked out about following the previous night's games, suggesting concern about his recent performance or role.

Trey Tucker is more worried about Nico Collins than Garrett Wilson based on preseason expectations, though he notes they'd be closer together if drafting today. Tucker cites multiple concerns: Collins has been shadowed by Deontay Banks for two straight weeks, and while the Giants are giving him help, his route participation is only 83% and 80% the last two years—not a superstar receiver level. Most concerning, Collins has run only 16 routes with Marvin Harrison Jr. on the field and has just 2 targets on those 16 routes. Tucker notes Collins' 23.2% target-per-route-run rate is his lowest in four years, and with Harrison Jr. barely playing but getting a 50% target-per-route-run rate when on field, Collins' opportunity will continue to shrink.

Trey Tucker is more worried about Nico Collins based on preseason expectations; had him about a round and a half earlier than Garrett Wilson in preseason but would draft them closer together now. Tucker used to view his team with Collins as set and loved it, expecting points every week, but no longer feels that way about the team despite believing Collins will be a solid rest-of-season number two receiver.

Despite recent rough games, Collins plays in a high-opportunity offense with CJ Stroud, who prior to the Giants game was the only quarterback with 200+ air yards in every game. The Giants were able to shut Collins down, but no other team has been able to; the Texans' loss was partly due to game script (54 plays, similar to a blowout situation).

Nico Collins is cited as an example of a player who can disappoint in fantasy despite elite talent; the speaker notes that Collins just gave them two points in a recent game, contrasting his inconsistency with Zay Flowers' reliability, suggesting Collins' floor can be problematic for fantasy purposes.

In the Chiefs' game against Seattle, Noah Gray received a significant portion of the team's receiving production, with over half of Mahomes' 131 receiving yards after catch going to Gray and Travis Kelce combined, indicating elevated usage in the recent game.

Omar Cooper Jr. is among the rookie wide receivers being discussed as part of the episode's coverage of emerging talent.

Trey Tucker highlights Omar Cooper Jr. as having top-24 wide receiver upside rest of season after a 5-catch, 114-yard, 1-TD performance in week 7. Tucker notes the Jets are getting Cooper one-on-one matchups as a counter to defenses taking away Garrett Wilson, and he's impressed by Cooper's route-winning ability and consistency. Cooper is averaging 16.3 PPR points per game and leads the NFL in fantasy points per route run. Tucker acknowledges some concern about potential Clinic Nick involvement but believes Geno Smith is playing well enough to keep Cooper in the WR2 mix.

Trey Tucker notes that Patrick Mahomes' best plays against Seattle came when breaking contain in the pocket and improvising off-script. The Chiefs offense lacks identity on script and off-script, though Mahomes can still make plays when given the opportunity. The ceiling for the offense feels diminished despite Mahomes' individual playmaking ability.

Trey Tucker expresses concern about the Kansas City offense's ceiling, noting that while Mahomes can still make plays and won't face Seattle every week, the overall offensive ceiling feels limited; Mahomes struggled against Seattle with 165 passing yards, 131 of which came after the catch, and his deep ball production has been poor (7 of 18 on deep balls 20+ air yards for 285 yards, no touchdowns, two picks in first four games; zero completions on three deep ball attempts in the last two games).

Trey Tucker anticipates Rasheed Rice's return from injury will have a meaningful impact on the Chiefs offense, though he believes Rice's return will benefit Rice more than Mahomes; Tucker speculates Rice could be a top-20 or even top-12 receiver upon return, but notes the Chiefs may revert to 'gimmicky stuff' they relied on last year with Rice to move the ball on script, suggesting the offense's underlying issues may persist.

Trey Tucker notes Sam Darnold has a favorable upcoming schedule with Chicago, Arizona, and Las Vegas before a bye, and suggests Darnold's history of performing well in good matchups means he could outperform Caleb Williams and Jared Goff in the coming weeks; Darnold crushed the Commanders but struggled against the Chargers, 49ers, and Chiefs (20 of 28, 257 yards, one touchdown, one interception in the end zone against Seattle).

On pace for 81 targets, 727 yards, and four touchdowns for the season; ranked number eight tight end per game but the source questions whether he qualifies as a top-eight tight end given recent performance. Trey Tucker notes Kelce was disappointing against Seattle despite eight targets, with two coming on the final two plays; he was largely invisible for much of the game, had a drop, and missed a play where he was open for 10-15 yards. After strong performances in the first two weeks, Kelce has been "crap for the last four weeks."

Trey Tucker expresses concern about Kelce's consistency, stating he is not an every-week play despite being playable in good matchups; in the recent Seattle game, Kelce underperformed with over half of Patrick Mahomes' 131 receiving yards after catch going to Kelce and Noah Gray combined, yet Kelce 'didn't have that good of a game.'

Trey Tucker is in the best two-game stretch of his career with a career-high 12 targets on Sunday, signaling increased offensive involvement and target volume.

Tucker is characterized as the biggest tease in fantasy football; he never puts back-to-back good games together and tends to break people's hearts. While he posted 200 yards, 10 catches, and three touchdowns in his last two games (48 fantasy points vs. Bills and Raiders), this production came with garbage time inflation and he was started in only 65% of leagues, reflecting low confidence in his consistency.

Trey Tucker's outlook is threatened by an imminent quarterback change in Las Vegas; Trey Tucker believes Mendoza will be considerably worse for the entire Raiders pass game than Kirk Cousins. Mendoza is expected to play slower, pass less, and rely heavily on first-read progressions, which will likely benefit tight end Bowers over Tucker. This QB transition poses significant downside risk to Tucker's target volume and efficiency.

Tucker has six red zone targets already this season, compared to 10 last year and seven the year before, indicating a slight decline in red zone opportunity share. He maintains a 26% target per route run rate in the red zone, showing consistent efficiency when targeted in scoring areas.

Trey Tucker identifies Tyquan Thornton as playing a much bigger role in the Chiefs offense than previously recognized, with the ability to stretch the defense and make plays downfield with rapport with Patrick Mahomes. Thornton's absence is a major problem for the Chiefs offense, which now feels "in quicksand" without his vertical presence and ability to open up the offense.

Tyrone Tracy Jr. was splitting carries evenly with Cam Skaggs before Tracy got hurt, suggesting a timeshare situation prior to his injury.

Trey Tucker argues Xavier Worthy has no chance of impacting the vertical plane in the Chiefs offense. While Worthy can make plays underneath and had some good after-the-catch opportunities in prior weeks, he is not helpful in the way Tyquan Thornton was at stretching the defense and opening up the offense downfield. Without Thornton's vertical presence, the Chiefs offense feels "in quicksand."

Trey Tucker expresses uncertainty about Zach Charbonnet's status and role going forward, noting he was hoping Emmanuel Wilson wouldn't be effective as a backup, but Wilson did have a strong long touchdown run; Tucker is curious to see what happens next week if Charbonnet is able to play.

Zay Flowers is the third-most similar player to JSN dating back to 2013 through an initial seven weeks; he's averaging 3.7 yards per route on a 33% target per route rate with a 15% first down per route rate with Tyler Huntley, but with Lamar Jackson on the field he's averaging 7.8 yards per route on 45 routes (roughly one game and a half to five quarters), accumulating 65 PPR points in that split, demonstrating elite efficiency when paired with his starting quarterback.

Trey Tucker identifies Zay Flowers as this year's JSN (Jaxon Smith-Njigba), noting his elite post-catch ability has improved even from earlier in his career. Tucker expresses excitement for Flowers' potential once Lamar Jackson returns from injury, though he doesn't expect Flowers to reach JSN's historic level. Through seven weeks, Flowers is averaging 28 fantasy points per game (best of all time) with 3.8 yards per route run compared to JSN's 4.3 yards per route run last year.