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0:53Welcome into the Dare Miss Fantasy Show with me, your host, Tara Roberts.
0:58This is the official mailbag show for Player Profiler.
1:01It is Wednesday, August 12th. And I am live here with you taking your questions and we're doing mailbag questions.
1:07Of course, this is the official mailbag show for Player Profiler.
1:11And we will talk training camp news as well.
1:14There's a lot to cover here. A lot of injuries happening.
1:18A lot of depth chart battles here as teams are going to be.
1:22Naming their unofficial starters there. And news of actual starters that have been actually named here.
1:28So we are going to go ahead and get started.
1:31Shout out to the chat. People already in there.
1:34Stephen King dropping a comment saying preseason time. I don't know why this year seems harder.
1:40I think it's because, I mean, we always have battles going on right now.
1:44We always have injuries, but there are a lot of weird ones, right?
1:49And it feels like, and there's always preseason injuries, but it just feels a little bit uncomfortable with everything that is popping
1:56up over and over and over again, right? But we'll talk through it.
2:01Shout out to EZE13 in the chat. Shout out to John in the chat.
2:05And right off the bat here, we are going to, as I sit here and add my thing in, because I realized
2:13that I didn't add this one in ahead of time here.
2:17We're going to do a mailbag right off the bat because it's a mailbag here.
2:22It's a mailbag from the podfather asking me, what is the absolute ceiling for Omarion Hampton this year?
2:28And I thought that it was the perfect mailbag question because it is also newsworthy and timely because our dear friend, Mike
2:35McDaniel got up on a podium and started talking about how apologizing to us, the fantasy community.
2:41Hey, I always think it's funny when the fantasy community is addressed.
2:45They know we exist. They care about us, right?
2:48But he said sorry and that he was going to disappoint us because he's got three running backs and Amari and Hampton
2:56and Keaton Mitchell and Kamani Vidal, and they can all be big contributors.
3:00So on a week to week basis, it could be anybody.
3:04Don't let that. Don't let him getting up there and being a troll, really, because that is like he's trolling, right?
3:11Amari and Hampton is their lead back. Now, what we can contextually take away from this, though, is that he does intend
3:18to use more than just Amari and Hampton, but we knew that, right?
3:23Because, I mean, it's such an unrealistic scenario, and it happens every now and then, right?
3:28Like we had a couple of years there where Kyron Williams was having the most egregious amount of touches ever and on
3:36the field upwards of 90% of snaps. But for the most part, running backs don't typically play 90-plus snaps.
3:42There is always change of pace and guys coming in to spell, so you don't have to have just an egregious amount of workload, right?
3:50So, yes, we expected that there would be some involvement here from these other running backs, and we knew that there was
3:58going to be a role here for Keaton Mitchell, not just based off the camp hype that we were getting, but the
4:05fact that we have, in fact, you know, had direct information from Mike McDaniel that he specifically wanted Keaton Mitchell, and it makes sense.
4:13We've talked about it a little bit before here, especially on videos on my channel where I have talked about Keaton Mitchell
4:21as a value, you know, as a valid sleeper target because of the fact that it doesn't take a lot for him
4:28in terms of touches, especially in the context of what this offense will be, to take the ball and literally run 60 yards and, you know, thrive, right?
4:38It can happen. So he can be relevant without having to actually usurp a vast majority of touches from Omarion Hampton, right?
4:45And it was something that realistically we knew would come into play because Mike McDaniel typically hasn't, granted, it's probably because, additionally,
4:53he hasn't had a massive back over the years in Miami in the mold of Omari and Hampton.
4:59And, you know, Ollie Gordon's a little sizable, but decently sizable.
5:03But as a starter, he's been starting these smaller backs throughout his tenure there, right, as a head coach.
5:09So we knew that he was going to, you know, be operating a little bit differently here with a guy like Amari
5:16and Hampton, and he might be feeling a little nostalgic and need somebody who can operate more in the form of Devon A.
5:24Chan, and that would definitely be Keaton Mitchell. So I would expect some involvement, but ultimately, I still trust Omarion Hampton as a clear RB1.
5:33He's in the safe RB1 tier for me, right behind Derrick Henry, teeters back and forth with Josh Jacobs.
5:39Jacobs dealing with an injury, my God. And then also, you know, his legal issues, but we've talked about it.
5:46Don't think anything will come of that as of this year.
5:50But low-end RB1. But what is the ceiling for Omari and Hampton?
5:54Now, despite the fact that we should get the other backs working in there as change of pace, Omari and Hampton can't catch.
6:02So I wouldn't expect him to be operating in like a Derrick Henry type of style where we see him with, what, 20 receptions max, right?
6:10I would expect a little bit more usage on that end.
6:14But really, the bread and butter here is going to be the goal line touches, and that's what's going to drive the
6:22true ceiling here for Omari and Hampton. How much is the intensity of this offense and the efficiency and productivity of this
6:29offense going to increase to open up more goal line opportunities for Omari and Hampton?
6:34Because there's a reality in which his ceiling would be that of a – receptions probably won't get him to the level of overall RB1.
6:43But I would say a ceiling of top three running back is realistic if we get the amount of goal line touches
6:50that would warrant him having in the range of 15 to 16 touchdowns, which is possible, right?
6:56If there's a dark horse to contend for most potential touchdowns, most touchdowns in terms of betting, it would potentially be Omarion Hampton there.
7:04So, yeah, it's possible, right? So that's the ceiling that I see for him and a fairly safe floor as well, as
7:11long as the offense doesn't go sideways. And I know it feels a little bit uncomfortable because we had him showcase well
7:19after Najee Harris went down last season. It feels like 5,000 years ago, right?
7:24Najee Harris went down last season, and then we had Omari and Hampton.
7:28Then he got injured, and when he came back, it was a lead back, but we were still getting a pretty significant
7:35– it's a pretty significant contribution there from Kamani Vidal that did cap the ceiling a little bit.
7:42But that was also in the context of the offense not being as efficient as it should.
7:47The defense should still be good. We'll have plenty of pass volume.
7:51They should be very balanced there. So, top three realistic ceiling, not enough receptions to get him to that overall RB1 ceiling,
7:59but still, solid, solid draft pick there for us.
8:02Eazy E says, I'm in no hurry since my draft doesn't start until the weekend before the 2026 season starts.
8:09That way, most injuries, we will have a better idea of where the player is at.
8:14Yeah, and I don't blame you. I know a lot of people do the whole – I don't actually know when Labor
8:22Day is this year, but often it is coinciding with Labor Day or at least the week after there.
8:28So – and that's pretty typical. I've got one draft that is starting – well, I've done – you guys know I've done quite a few drafts.
8:37But I've got one redraft league that is starting next Monday.
8:41I'm doing Jake Seeley's flex leagues. That's going to be fun.
8:45So, I'll tell you guys about that as well.
8:48But, yeah, some people like to start it a little early.
8:51But, hey, need to get prepped and ready to go for draft season.
8:56So, you're in the know and everything is good to go when you do draft.
9:01Stephen King says, Hampton or Gentie? Gentie. I was doing a live show, and I think I got this exact question earlier on another channel.
9:09And for me, it is Gentie. It's not a massive gap.
9:13But, again, the difference there would be while Hampton plays in the clear better offense, Gentie does have the clear higher receiving upside.
9:21So, the gap between them is not that significant.
9:24For me, they're both – Gentie, I would feel a little bit more comfortable taking like on the one-two turn.
9:31If you have a late pick, Hampton, slightly more comfortable in early second round.
9:35But, I mean, we're squabbling at that point, really.
9:38Guys that you would feel comfortable taking at the turn, early second round picks at the very least, probably not going to slip past mid-round there.
9:47Gentie is my preference. But the margin is like literally maybe like three players or so.
9:53So, very, very close there. Very, very close. Gentie is interesting because, you know, it's funny.
9:58We talk about – people get very apprehensive about players in bad offenses and overreact and often say, we don't draft players in bad offense.
10:07Don't draft players in bad offenses. You can't take that strategy in terms of approach.
10:12Don't overdraft players in bad offenses. But also recognize what is contextually a bad offense for certain players, right?
10:18For Gentie, with Kirk Cousins at quarterback, we've already seen the version, the post-Achilles, the aging version, the not-so-Minnesota version of Kirk Cousins last year in Atlanta.
10:27And that version was not a problem for B.
10:30John Robinson, okay? He is not a bad quarterback for running backs.
10:34He has no problem checking down. And then we'll have Fernando Mendoza at some point as well.
10:40Rookie quarterback, smart quarterback that will come in and rely on checkdowns as well for his very talented pass catcher there.
10:47So – and really, when we're looking at the pass catchers, obviously, one of the things about the pass catchers that we
10:55should recognize is that we know it's Bowers. And with the receiving core, we're trying to figure out, you know, is Naylor the one that we want?
11:04Is Trey Tucker the one that we want? I think it also depends slightly on what quarterback we have in there.
11:11But at the end of the day, Gentie's pass contributions might be the most consistent behind Brock Bowers.
11:17So that also helps him give the little edge there as well.
11:21Easy, he and the Chad saying, Queens are usually fashionably late, but that's their prerogative.
11:26You know, I thought I was going to be late.
11:30I actually had – it's been a day, guys, for me.
11:33This was the first day of school for my boys, so I got them off this morning.
11:39And ironically, it was my heaviest work day of the week.
11:43This is my third show of the day, and that does not include short videos as well.
11:49So, yeah, it's been a long, long day. And I had the audacity to try to go to the gym in between shows, which worked out well.
11:58So we'll see how my body feels about that choice tomorrow.
12:01But I wanted to take advantage of actually being able to leave the house since my kids are now back at school.
12:09So there we go. Easy says, girl, quite a few drafts is an understatement for you.
12:14I love drafting. It's fun. Actually, I really don't even do that much, guys.
12:19It's not as bad as you would think there.
12:22And then one more question before we take a little break here from Eazy E says, In my wide receiver three super
12:30flex league, I am looking in later rounds for – looking in the later rounds for quarterbacks.
12:35Kyla Murray, Malik Willis, Tyler Shuck, or Baker Mayfield.
12:38I like to fill in running backs and wide receivers first.
12:42I think that is a very valid approach, even in super flex this season.
12:47Now, I'm still partial to taking a top 10 quarterback in super flex.
12:51But depending on the format, especially – it depends on the scoring format.
12:56Because you guys know in my Scott Fishbowl, because the scoring for – it's super flex, but because the scoring for wide receivers was so trumped up.
13:05I did push quarterback back, back, back, right? All the way back to – I think it was Baker Mayfield that I
13:12pushed it back to, or Tyler Shuck, one of the other.
13:16But I'm not opposed to it, depending on what the league size is there, especially because that's a three-wide receiver league.
13:23And I was actually asked this question earlier today as well.
13:27Like, are you comfortable with Kyla Murray as a QB1?
13:30And I think I am. Maybe in super flex, like a little less, just because of the fact that if there is
13:38an injury, your direct pivot, you know, you would either have to be drafting three deep at quarterback, which, you know, in
13:45super flex, if you're pushing quarterback towards later, I would recommend – okay, Eazy-E says 10 team.
13:51That's more realistic, right? If you're pushing quarterback towards later, I think that's the, you know, one tip that I would say.
13:58You do need to make sure that you're rostering three startable ones.
14:02So you've got two guys, at the very least, that you know, barring some unforeseen injury and they don't have significant injury
14:10history, will make it through the season, right? That's my only concern there with Kyla Murray is the fact that, obviously, we've
14:17seen him play full seasons, but we have seen plenty of seasons where he unfortunately didn't make it through or was at
14:25least playing through an injury at the end of the season that, you know, hampered his production.
14:31Same thing with Malik Willis, could be an absolute cheat code this year in super flex, you know, but there always is
14:38the risk that he could end up like Justin Fields.
14:41I feel more positively about it. And there's been, you know, the camp reports haven't been bad, people.
14:47They haven't been bad. I'm not saying that we need to buy into the Dolphins being a prolific offense or anything, or
14:55even an average offense, but it might be workable guys.
14:58It might not be a fantastic season for them, but from a fantasy perspective, Malik Willis, our high end options that we
15:06would actually want to start in terms of Malik Willis and Devon Ajan are going to be usable assets there and perform to our expectations.
15:14That's all I'm saying there. And then Tyler Shuck, no threat there.
15:18Baker Mayfield, no threat there as well. So yeah, for sure.
15:22Do a few more comments here since we've got these in here.
15:26Loving Life says, I hear Lemon in Philadelphia is having lingering leg issues.
15:31Could this be an opening for Wix? I actually tweeted about Wix today.
15:35Wix is a player that I think is a dark horse kid.
15:39I will not want to. Now, technically, I do have one dynasty team that I do have him on.
15:45And it's a weird, very extensive starting lineup league where you start five wide receivers.
15:51It's insanity. I probably will have to start Dontavian Wix in that league at some point.
15:56But I actually tweeted about Wix earlier today that it's going to...
16:00I think he's a candidate for being one of those guys who you never start throughout the season, right?
16:06Because you're too scared. And you get to the end of the season and he actually has flex-worthy, like top 36 production on a pretty frequent basis.
16:16And you just didn't use it because it was Dontavian Wix.
16:19So I agree with you on that one. And high chance that this is...
16:24And we're hearing lots of positive reports about Dontavian Wix, right?
16:28And additionally on that, we do have to remember that the new offensive coordinator is Sean Mannion.
16:34Sean Mannion from Green Bay. Dontavian Wix from Green Bay.
16:37You know, as much as we, you know, him and Haw about, you know, like, oh, the connection between, you know, Liam
16:44Cohen in college and Chris Rodriguez and this, you know, hey, we've got to do an offensive coordinator or a guy that
16:52came over to be a new offensive coordinator and literally brought over one of his wide receivers.
16:58So that is something to note. Especially because it does sound like, regardless of the whole lemon thing, that Wix was going
17:05to be the guy starting on the outside opposite of Devontae Smith.
17:09Sorry, guys. I have a little bit of a cough there today.
17:13So on the podcast, I'm trying to mute you just so we don't have to have those in there as much as humanly possible.
17:21But yeah, Wix should be a starter. How consistent that is going to be, you know, it's tough to say just because,
17:29again, you know, we expect this Philadelphia offense to be run heavy.
17:33But it is good to know that this is someone who could be a deeper sleeper for you guys to grab, who
17:40could be a bi-week fill-in or flex option and just someone to have on your bench as well.
17:46Do expect, obviously, Devontae Smith to thrive there. I like Dallas.
17:50I've come around a lot to the idea of Dallas Goddard now that, you know, we've heard that Eli Stowers is not
17:58not doing fantastic this offseason, was dealing with some injury, wasn't really participating.
18:02We're not expecting him to be an early contributor this season.
18:06So Dallas Goddard, at the end of the day, Dallas Goddard, you know, probably going to be a solid red zone target.
18:13We saw the massive increase in touchdowns last season as we saw the decrease in usage as, you know, A.J.
18:20Brown got his frustrations. And that was a big tie to it.
18:24We had a lot of big targets to Dallas Goddard.
18:27So that's another one to keep out on. Now, Leaving says Green Bay never supported two fantasy receivers.
18:33Philadelphia can't support three. So Green Bay never supported two fantasy receivers because Green Bay's committee ran oddly deep, right?
18:40Because you think about it from that context that we were talking about Dontavian Wicks in Green Bay and Dontavian Wicks was never a starter in Green Bay.
18:50Now, granted, he did start when obviously there were multiple injuries happening there.
18:54But at the end of the day, we never had consistency from any of the wide receivers because they were rotating through too many bodies.
19:03No one was ever really guarding. Like if you look at some offenses, certain wide receivers will be on the field consistently,
19:10always never coming off, rarely coming off, strong snap counts.
19:13Green Bay's wide receivers would fluctuate in these weird ranges and rotations.
19:18So it just wasn't really workable from a fantasy perspective.
19:21But it sounds like Philadelphia is very solidified and not doing a deep rotation, but rather Devontae Smith, Dontavian Wicks, and Makai Lemon.
19:29So will they support it on a high-end perspective where they're going to be producing two top 24 receivers with high upside on a weekly basis?
19:38No, probably not, right? But that contextually was a lot of what we saw in Philadelphia since the arrival of Jalen Hurts
19:45on a week to – or of Saquon Barkley.
19:48On a week-to-week basis, they are run heavy, and so you will have that variance.
19:53So it won't really be dramatically different from that perspective.
19:57But usable flex options? Yes. Usable flex options? Yes.
20:00Yeah, EZ says, what the freak? Starting five wide receivers.
20:03That sounds crazy. It is. It is the nastiest, actually.
20:06Yeah, I can read you the roster. Actually, no, I won't read – won't do that.
20:12I won't waste your time. But it does go ridiculously deep, and waivers are ugly and nasty.
20:18But it is fun. It is fun. Let's see here.
20:21You know, and also while we're on the subject here, EZ brings up Jalen Hurts, which is an interesting one because Jalen
20:28Hurts is kind of in that no-man land of, you know, after we feel comfortable with, obviously, our Josh Allen and Lamar and Drake May and Joe Burrow.
20:38And then you get into this area of, hey, it's Jaden Daniels who, you know, how much do we trust him?
20:45Down year last year because of injury, but also really when he was healthy as well at the beginning of the season, definite regression.
20:53In terms of the production that he had in his rookie season.
20:57And Jalen Hurts, honestly, not the highest ceiling in terms of being able to get up there with Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson.
21:05But I have tried to go through and look at his stats and find excuses to not draft him.
21:11And honestly, guys, it's a very safe floor, especially if we do continue to see his usage in terms of running.
21:19Sean Mannion said they're still going to do the tush push there, so he's not taking away that from that perspective.
21:26So he's a safe pick. I mean, I think his ADP is a little high.
21:31I find myself passing over him just to get the, you know, guys that offer a little bit more value as low-end QB ones.
21:39But still very reasonable there. If he, you know, if by chance in your league, he falls because people don't want to
21:46be, don't want any part of it, right? Before we jump back into the questions here, because you guys are dropping some
21:54great ones in the chat and continue to drop them as well.
21:58We're going to take a short break to hear about a fantastic tool from player profiler, the injury finder.
22:04You may draft a great team in fantasy football, but if those players get hurt, you're toast.
22:10So let's put my glasses on here. And we're going to talk about injury probability because we have the data.
22:17And now we have an app called the injury finder where you can look up if a player is more likely than
22:24another player to get hurt and miss significant time for your fantasy team this year, running backs, wide receivers, quarterbacks, tight ends.
22:32We have all of their precise injury probabilities. It is in the app store right now.
22:37It is five bucks for the 2026 injury probabilities.
22:40Check it out. It's injuryfinder.com app store, Google play five bucks.
22:44You're welcome. There we go. Injury finder with player profiler.
22:47All right. Let's talk about speaking of injuries. Why don't we talk about some of the injuries that are going on throughout the league?
22:55What matters? The depth charts, the battles that are happening here.
22:59I think injury, you know, update to discuss probably at the top here would be.
23:04Oh, my list is a little off. Probably let's start off at the top here and talk about the injury to the 49ers.
23:12We talked about it a little bit last week here, but obviously the injuries that are going on in terms of players, players sitting out there.
23:21One of the things that we had was tweets coming out regarding or tweets from a beat reporter in San Francisco, basically
23:28anointing Dijon Stribling as the most fantastic receiver, the best receiver on the 49ers roster.
23:33Look, that is that's a little inaccurate. Right. That's not correct.
23:37At the end of the day. Look, he's exaggerating a wee bit there.
23:42Not not anything that we need to like kind of overreact to.
23:46Still a fine late round value guy, but not something that we need to start shooting up the draft boards and thinking
23:53that is going to be a starter that we need to overdraft there.
23:57But again, good late round value there. But Debo Samuel, also someone that we want to look at.
24:04Honestly, Debo hasn't Debo plays through injuries, but he tends to come back from, you know, injuries that actually do keep him out.
24:11Remember the time he had like pneumonia or something like that and came back fairly quickly.
24:17He tends to not have long extended absences there.
24:20So honestly, he could also benefit significantly as well.
24:23Christian McCaffrey. There are thumbnail banner player there dealing with calf tightness, right?
24:27Not calf tightness, but just general tightness. And calf tightness was what we had in the previous year.
24:33So when the word tightness gets thrown around there, we get a little bit a little bit concerned with Christian McCaffrey.
24:40And I think it's worth mentioning. And it's tough to kind of pinpoint and say, OK, you know, well, make sure that you grab his handcuffs.
24:49All of the handcuffs are hurt, too. Right. But it's worth mentioning because McCaffrey is one of the mid-round picks that I think people debate over a lot.
24:59Because when it gets to that point, your decision is basically, are you going with Christian McCaffrey?
25:05Or are you going to continue on with the wide receivers?
25:08Kind of like the second tier wide receivers that come after Pukunikua and Jamar Chase.
25:13And they're not really second tier players, but we know that they're a tier like slightly less than those guys.
25:20It would be Jason and Amon Ra St. Brown.
25:23Jason, obviously, massive amount of targets and upside last year, but potential for some regression this year.
25:29So he does kind of fall just kind of in like a 1B compared to those other two guys.
25:35And then obviously Amon Ra, who is has been very steady, very steady in his production, consistent top five production there.
25:42Very reliable. And the question is, is whether you go with that or do you take the chance of going with Christian McCaffrey?
25:50I personally have been very hesitant. And I know the upside that he offers.
25:55But the reality is, is that he had over 400 touches last year.
25:59And we've seen a pattern with him in previous seasons multiple times that when he has those high outlier season with a
26:07ton of touches, finishes as the overall RB1. Unfortunately, there we see him turn around the next year and not make it
26:14through the majority of the season because that's aggressive wear and tear on the body.
26:19So for him to get this tightness in preseason, it is a little bit concerning.
26:25And I don't know that we're going to see a significant drop in ADP that would warrant us saying, oh, well, buy the value, buy the dip here.
26:34So keep your eye on that one, especially because Kyle Shanahan is not the most trustworthy when it comes to being very transparent regarding injuries and timelines there.
26:43So just keep that in mind. But when we're looking at the comments here, leaving says the substation.
26:50I know, right. The substation again. Right. It is coming in.
26:53It's attacking every single one of them. Every single one of them.
26:57I mean, even Nick Bosa was dealing with some kind of was it?
27:02I can't remember exactly if it was a hamstring or something, but Nick Bosa, like a hamstring or a quad or something.
27:09They're all dealing with attacks from the substation or poor training staff that they refuse to address properly.
27:15Whatever it is, regardless, watch out for those 49ers injuries.
27:19But again, Chris McCaffrey is one that I am cautiously stepping over, particularly when we have so much value with the second round running backs.
27:27I mean, we talked about Amari and Hampton earlier and Ashton Chenty that doesn't even touch on guys like Chase Brown, Saquon
27:35Barkley, Devon Achan, who, again, we talked about a little bit.
27:38Just like the the fear of him not producing at an adequate level just as a wee bit over exaggerated.
27:45I mean, we even had comments from comments from Miami coaching stating that they will be giving him a extremely aggressive workload,
27:53wanting them wanting him to touch the ball as much as humanly possible, which sounds crazy.
27:58But at the end of the day, they think they're competing, right?
28:02They're not intentionally trying like you can say they're intentionally trying to tank or whatever, like but they're the players are showing up on the field to win.
28:12The coaching staff, in theory, does want to coach to win as well.
28:16It's a new coaching staff, right? For the most part, the offensive coordinator has stayed the same.
28:22But at the end of the day, we're going to see an egregious amount of touches for Achan.
28:28So that was good confirmation there. But even then, so pushing back further, we've got Derek Henry, who you can get in the early third round.
28:37You've then got Josh Jacobs, who if there were no legal issues, he would be a clear top 12 back, right?
28:44So when you're looking at this in depth, I don't know why you have to take that level of risk with Christian
28:51McCaffrey, which I know his ceiling is super high.
28:54But if the associated risk that we've seen in this really particular pattern in terms of egregious usage and over 400 touches
29:02just in the regular season, that does not include playoffs, is an egregious amount of touches.
29:07So just keep that in mind there. Thank you there for the super chat from Irwin.
29:13I don't know why I can't see. My screen is like really weird in terms of the setup here, just not allowing me to see the usernames good.
29:22But thank you, Irwin Lockridge, for the super chat there.
29:25Appreciate it. And then staying on the topic of the 49ers loving, life says, you know, I don't usually handcuff wide receivers,
29:33but stripling for Mike Evans' insurance policy in best ball.
29:36I think it's worth it. It's worth it to take a stab at multiple 49ers receivers because as we've seen time and
29:44time again, the system dictates that when people go down, somebody else will step up, right?
29:49I mean, how did Juwan Jennings become a fantasy darling, right?
29:53With the massive high upside. Now he's a wide receiver three there in Minnesota.
29:58So the system, you know, Ricky Pearsall is out, right?
30:01So the system does dictate that these guys will get opportunities for sure.
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30:54Miles Logan says, which two Hero RBs would you pair together?
30:58They can be using this strategy if I have the 11th pick in my PPR 12-team league.
31:04So with 11th pick, there are options that you could go with, right?
31:08You can go with James Cook there. Yeah, James Cook should be available there.
31:13Let me double check for you at the 11th pick.
31:16Like, I don't want to lie to you. I'm looking at ADP right now.
31:21Overall, um, 9th pick. So around there. But that's adjusting.
31:24But you could potentially get James Cook there, depending on how the early round shakes out.
31:30You could get Saquon there. I feel very comfortable with Saquon.
31:34We talked about, again, as things are kind of, you know, evening out in the wide receiver room, trying to get a feel for how they are doing.
31:43We know that they are going to lean on Saquon Barkley.
31:47And I do like Saquon for a bounce back there.
31:50So Saquon is a really good one. Um, his ADP over on Fantasy Bros right now, um, in terms of real-time ADP is literally pick 11.
31:59So that's a good one there. Um, and then obviously you guys know that I am higher on Devon HN.
32:06That's a personal choice. Um, if you would like to take that personal journey with me, um, I am a okay with it.
32:14But I can admit there that I do, I take the value in the second round on HN.
32:20Like, just because you don't have to push it to the first round because it is, you know, falling back in ADP
32:27as people are becoming a more apprehensive and you can take something else in the first round and then get HN in the second.
32:35So I don't think it's necessary, but Barkley would be probably my favorite right there for you.
32:41And then in terms of pairing it up, I like to push it back to, you know, you could push it back theoretically as far.
32:49I wouldn't go too far past if you want to play it risky, right?
32:54Um, but since you're picking at the end there, like if it were Bijan, I was doing monk drafts the other day.
33:02And if I were picking up at the top with Bijan or Jameer Gibbs, I feel comfortable pushing back a hero RB
33:09strategy to get a little bit riskier and push all the way back to potentially a guy like Jayla Morin if you have to, right?
33:18And then, you know, come back around and get another running back as an RB three that can realistically be a starter.
33:25But picking from the 11 spot there, I don't want to push it back that much.
33:30So I would go Saquon and my cutoff point would probably be Jadarion Price, but really and truly, um, I don't mind
33:38pushing it up like a little bit more and going with a DeAndre Swift.
33:43I'm coming around to that one. A lot is one that I am really enjoying targeting as an RB two.
33:49DeAndre Swift is going, I want to say, yeah, borderline, um, like at the four or five turn there, um, pick four Oh nine right now.
33:58And it's moving up a little bit. And that unfortunately, in terms of why it's moving up just a tiny bit is
34:06because, um, we've got injuries to receivers overall in that area.
34:09So it's pushing his ADP up just like a tiny bit there.
34:14But, um, realistically you can potentially get Swift in the fifth round.
34:18Uh, I don't hate pushing it back. And again, this one is more of a personal choice, right?
34:24Um, but I wouldn't mind pushing it back to even a Quinshawn Judkins or David Montgomery as an RB two and a hero RB strategy.
34:32Um, when you're taking an RB in the first round, so you've got a very strong option.
34:38I could push it back as far as David Montgomery as well.
34:42Yeah. And for the record, I do have Jadarion Price right behind David Montgomery.
34:47FYI. Cause I said that backwards. I said, I'd push it back to Price and then Montgomery.
34:52Sorry. Um, yeah, but that's, that's the approach there.
34:56And I've been implementing a lot of hero RB and a lot of people are wanting to go robust RB doubling up, um, running back.
35:04Um, especially people that have 11th or 12th picks at the turn, just because it's very easy to double up at running
35:11back there, which I get, but I still, I still prefer a hero RB strategy on that one for sure.
35:18And you can also push your hero RB back to round two.
35:22It doesn't have to be taken with that first round pick.
35:26If you're on the turn there, because you have the ability to get all the way up to, you know, an Amari
35:33and Hampton or Derek Henry in the second round as well.
35:37So I'm pro going that direction as well. If you want to grab a wide receiver in round one and your hero
35:45RB in round two, just note that it doesn't have to come in round one, just because we're so deep at RB ones this year for sure.
35:54Um, shout out to the jumping into the chat here.
35:57Um, shout out to Jay main and the chat.
36:00How are you doing? Leaving says Demarcus Robinson will be free.
36:04Stripling hype moved him up. Um, the longer Evans is gimpy.
36:08Yeah, but it's not moving up too bad. I would, and this is coming from someone.
36:13This is coming from someone who has defended Demarcus Robinson so much over the past several years as a solid waiver wire
36:21ad, but last year, um, really just didn't live up.
36:24So I feel like he might've hit in the, he might've hit a cliff.
36:29Um, did not give me what I was expecting last year.
36:32And while the stripling ADP is moving up, it's not moving up that much.
36:37Like it's on the rise, but still in real time ADP it's round 18.
36:42So unless it were to push up above round 15, which with the addition of Debo Samuel, I don't think it will.
36:49Um, we're, we're okay. So as long as that's the baseline, it doesn't push around above round 15.
36:55I would still definitely lean into stripling. That's still not too high for him.
37:00Um, over Demarcus Robinson for sure. And that's somebody who, again, I've been very pro Demarcus Robinson over the years.
37:07And you guys have got to, there's Christian Kirk there as well.
37:11But again, that's someone who often doesn't make it through season.
37:15So I just, it was already dealing with an injury.
37:18So again, yeah, um, stripling if you're going on a late round one, that's the one that I lean into for sure.
37:26Uh, from C mass, do you favor drafting a top defense or waiting until later and streaming your defenses on a week to week basis?
37:34Um, it depends on the sleepers that are on the board and also knowing my, like it depends on the sleepers that
37:42are on the board, the depth of the bench and, um, knowing my league mates as well.
37:47So this season, more than likely I will push it to the very, uh, second last.
37:53Cause I like to leave kicker for last. I really don't care which way I flip flop and it doesn't matter to me.
38:01Um, but now it'll be one of my last two picks this year because I do like a lot of the late
38:08round, um, late round wide rookie wide receivers. Um, we talked about not just Deshaun stripling because his is more of injury opportunity.
38:16Again, I've talked about the fact that I liked Jacoby lane, Ted Hearst, Ted Hearst there.
38:21Pay attention to that one. Denzel Boston. I love a lot.
38:25So, um, those are guys that I would prioritize getting onto my roster and not reaching over to get one of the top defenses.
38:33Cause I don't mind streaming on a week to week basis.
38:37I play DFS. So I got to look for streaming options on a weekly basis anyway.
38:42So, um, I'm cool with it. I'm cool with it.
38:46Streaming defenses can low key be fun. Um, and then let's go on to another question here before we go back to the injuries.
38:54Um, Oh, easy. He says only players I'm thinking about the 49ers are Mike Evans.
38:59Uh, Casey Coleman says, um, 2020 equals, uh, 287 carries hurt the next.
39:03Oh, this is regarding Chris McCaffrey. There we go.
39:062020 equals 286, 287 carries hurt the next year.
39:092023 carried, uh, 272 times, um, the most out of 2024 and 2025 carried the ball.
39:15Oh, sorry. Let me read that back again. Carried the ball 272 times in 2023 and was out most of 2024.
39:22And then 2025 carried the ball over 300 times.
39:25Very nervous about him this year. Yeah. It's a clear pattern.
39:29It's a clear pattern, you know, and I don't, I try not to put age regression and workload too much, um, onto players, but it's real.
39:37You see it often. Uh, that's why I think, you know, Saquon Barkley had a subpar season.
39:43He didn't quite look like himself regression overall. The offense as a whole had issues, but you could see that he was
39:51just not as efficient as he was. What did he do the previous year?
39:55Over 340 carries plus carries on the way to the Superbowl.
39:59So CMC had over 400 touches last season. That was absolutely ridiculous in terms of the workload for sure.
40:06Um, from I Zen rock says, what if you're picking third and both the top running backs are gone and you play
40:13in 12 team half PPR with two starting running backs, what would you do?
40:18I would still go with wide receiver. And again, my preference still is Puka Nakua.
40:23I know that we heard there could be legal action.
40:26We're almost at the beginning of the season. From that perspective, you would likely see if they tried to do something, you
40:34would likely see some kind of appeal. Like I find it hard to believe that a suspension would be enacted in this season right here.
40:42Um, and we're this close to the season, right?
40:45So I'm not overly reacting to that. Um, my preference is still Puka, but if you're worried about that, go with Jamar Chase.
40:53It's not an issue. And also, um, Jamar Chase, I do feel a little bit more comfortable with this year because I
41:00always get irritated with, um, the lack of reliability that we have from Joe Burrow in terms of health, but always remember that they did retain Joe Flacco.
41:10And once Joe Flacco came over last year, we had zero issues from anybody.
41:15Like, so if you're worried about the Bengals in any way, shape or form, just always remember that they were perfectly like
41:22him, Jamar T, uh, Chase Brown, they were perfectly fine.
41:26Once Joe Flacco came over. So they're good to go.
41:29Don't worry on that end. So if you want safety and you're worried about potential suspension there, just go with Jamar.
41:36Not a big deal. Otherwise, if you want to be risky as I do, go with Puka because the ceiling is absolutely stupid there.
41:44Mind you, he's in a contract year, right? The contract is coming, right?
41:49Um, it not technically, right. You know, in terms of they could still push it out a little bit more, but the contract is coming.
41:57He knows that he needs to put up and he knows that he needs to behave.
42:02And he knows that he needs to showcase in a way that is warranting getting one of those top contracts, right?
42:10No off season antics or no more off the field antics from him.
42:14So feel a little, um, a little bit positive that we're not going to see any of that in season here.
42:21Right. So, um, my preference there, if the running backs are off the board is to go wide receiver, because once you
42:29come around back to your second round pick, even in 12 team, you're still looking at, um, let's see here.
42:35We have scrolling up here in ADP, you would be coming around and be able to get in terms of running backs.
42:43It would be guys that you could potentially have like Derek Henry.
42:47Um, if you want to get Josh Jacobs, that would be my preference.
42:51I have Josh Jacobs higher than ADP is. I would feel more comfortable with grabbing Josh Jacobs.
42:57Um, Kyron Williams, you could also go with as well.
43:00So, um, you would still end up with somebody that can give you RB one numbers for sure.
43:07That would be my preference on that one. Um, let's jump to a mailbag here real quick.
43:12And I think this is a good one for us to, um, do.
43:17So we're talking about all the 49ers receivers. Let's transition to the Bucks receivers here.
43:22Who do you have for the best value pick for the Bucks?
43:26This is a good one because we've had, first of all, we had a little injury scare from Mecca Buka.
43:33Doesn't sound like it's a major issue. Thank God for that.
43:36I did not want to have to deal with all of the potential issues there.
43:41And trying to figure out if he was going to, you know, have to go the Luther burden route of sitting out preseason and whatnot.
43:50So thank God, it doesn't seem like it's anything major.
43:53Um, then we have Chris Godwin and then we have, uh, I have Ted Hurst picture there.
43:59And then there's also Jalen McMillan for the record.
44:02Jalen McMillan is theoretically the starter right now, but in my opinion, what it's going to end up being is Ted Hurst,
44:10Chris Godwin and Emeka Buka as the starters there.
44:13Um, because Jalen McMillan can play in a wide variety of locations, but his most ideal position is the one that Chris Godwin possesses.
44:21So, um, McMillan, I do think would come into play potentially if we were to see Godwin continue to deal with injury issues.
44:29But from all the reports, sounds like he is, um, doing good explosive.
44:33They say looking like his old self. Now how long that will last?
44:37Because honestly, guys, it's been a long time since we have seen Chris Godwin operating at full capacity.
44:43I just want to like, kind of keep that in mind as we debate out, um, the wide receivers here is particularly
44:51when it comes to Emeka Buka, because I see a lot of differing, um, opinions on Emeka Buka and his productivity last year in relation to Chris Godwin.
45:00Just note that Chris Godwin did come back early in the season, right?
45:05And that was right after Mike Evans went down and Godwin wasn't slowly ramped up.
45:10He immediately came on and played a regular snap count, um, saw 10 targets in his first game, saw four targets in the next.
45:18It was a difficult matchup, but he was on the field upwards of 70% of snaps.
45:23So we had 14 targets over that time period of those two games.
45:28And we did have, sorry, I'm getting, um, text messages.
45:31And I realize you guys can hear that. Um, the text is coming from inside the house.
45:37You would think they would know I'm doing a show right now and wouldn't be doing that regardless.
45:43Um, what we had there in those two games, those were the two games where Emeka Buka had over a hundred yards.
45:51And that was against very stiff competition of, um, let me double check for you guys.
45:56It was Philadelphia in Seattle. Yeah, it was Philadelphia in Seattle where, uh, Chris Godwin played over 70% of snaps and Emeka
46:03Buka was operating as the wide receiver one there.
46:06So please don't think that Chris Godwin's downturn in production later in the season was because of the presence, uh, or sorry,
46:14uh, Emeka Buka's downturn later in the season was because of the presence of Emeka Buka.
46:19It had nothing to do with that. It was in relation to one Emeka Buka was playing through a hamstring injury.
46:26Um, he got a hamstring injury. He played through it, did not go out, but you could tell it did affect him.
46:34And then also we had Baker Mayfield playing through injuries wildly ineffective as a whole, the whole past game.
46:40There was no receiver particularly thriving, um, over that time period.
46:44And they were dealing with offensive line injuries as well.
46:47So with that in mind, um, these two guys can do well together and play off of each other.
46:54And Tampa Bay is not a heavy 12 personnel team.
46:57So three wide receivers have, um, the ability to perform and put up on a weekly basis there in Tampa Bay, right?
47:05So Emeka Buka is still the clear target for me, but because Chris Godwin's ADP is very, very sweet.
47:11Um, looking at it right now, Godwin's ADP is wide receiver 37.
47:15Um, that is a late eighth round pick. That is very reasonable for him.
47:20So I'm not opposed to, if you aren't able to snag Emeka Buka because it is more difficult because he does have
47:27the higher, um, wide receiver 18 ish ADP right now.
47:31It's okay to grab Chris Godwin or you can push it back in, um, also go with the deep sleeper in Ted
47:38Hurst as well, because I really do believe in the impact that he is going to be able to make.
47:45That is one of my favorite late rookie sleeper targets as well.
47:49Um, Ted Hurst there. So, um, jumping to the chat here.
47:53Um, Jay Label says, I love the Bucks rookie as a late pick.
47:57There we go. Well, we're on the Ted Hurst train here in terms.
48:02I mean, he's looked fantastic all training camp when you're immediately like they have a clear role for him and saying like, Hey, he's an X receiver.
48:11They know exactly what they want him to do in that offense.
48:15And visually, like in terms of not just visual, but, um, in terms of alignment, visually in terms of alignment on the
48:22field, it lines up perfectly for Hurst, Abuka and Godwin to all be on the field together because they all can play
48:30three very specific and different roles there. So yes, 100%.
48:33Um, Jay Main says we had Chris Godwin in the trenches, his fam.
48:38We have Chris Godwin in the trenches, his fam, uh, from the hood, you know, and which, you know, warrants for him having last year's 30.
48:46Right. But you know, last go around for him, try and make it happen here.
48:51Um, obviously he's had a wonderful long career with the Bucks bear in mind.
48:56It has been a long career with the Bucks, which is the other thing that you do have to consider.
49:03Um, last time we saw him play a full season was 2023.
49:07Um, obviously the effects of his injury previously, he had multiple off season surgeries.
49:12You could see it last season. Right. But even then, so before he was injured, right.
49:17We got to remember that he was never really operating as the wide receiver one there.
49:23And technically speaking, are you ever going to operate as the wide receiver one opposite of, you know, Mike Evans?
49:29No. Right. But he was never a massive red zone target.
49:33We, you know, early on in the season, he had, you know, some hires when he had, you know, uh, Jameis Winston chucking the ball, right.
49:42But for the most part, when this offense settled in, this was a low touchdown guy here.
49:48So I would expect if we were going to look in terms of how they would functionally fit together, we might have
49:55higher targets to Chris Godwin, but higher fantasy production and touchdowns overall, and yardage would definitely tilt towards a Mecca Abuka there.
50:03So, um, jumping back here from the, to the chat here, uh, Jameis says, talk me off the sun God, uh, seventh.
50:10Talk me off the sun God at seventh. I will not do that.
50:15Um, I love Amon Ra. He's like, just like a, such, such a safe, happy pick in the first round.
50:21Is he ever going to be Puka? No, just because I mean, the volume doesn't particularly warrant it.
50:27Um, and the usage doesn't warrant it. Right. Just because of the role that he particularly plays.
50:33But we're talking about a man that has been a top five receiver for back to back to back years.
50:40Has it been three years that he has been, uh, let me double check there.
50:45Um, it's been three years. Yes. Three years of back to back to back finishes as the overall wide receiver three in PPR.
50:53The man had 172 targets, by the way, by the way, they do have an offensive, the center, there was a center injury.
51:01Um, the lion center got injured. Um, I believe it's a eight to 10 week timeline.
51:06That's worrisome. I am concerned about that. I'm not going to lie there, but I have been very much so in on
51:13the lions offense because they have a beautiful schedule.
51:17Um, it's an easy schedule, but it's more than an easy schedule because it is a back half of the season dome friendly schedule.
51:25They literally play outside like two times. And one is in an international game.
51:29Um, and the other one is, uh, not a, not a real difficult weather game.
51:34The only issue is their week 17 game, I believe is in Chicago.
51:39That's the literal only issue. But overall, the amount of domes that we have for Jared golf, good weather games, um, going to be really good for him.
51:48So in a very easy schedule alignment. So I'm not too panicked about that because overall it's just a very good setup
51:56for this offense to push a lot of volume and keep in mind their defense, particularly the secondary is still very suspect.
52:03They're dealing with multiple injuries continuously in their secondary.
52:06Looks like those guys are not going to be ready to start the season, or even if they do maybe a little bit hampered there.
52:15So if their defense is still struggling in the secondary aggressive past volume, honestly, it's just going to be them having to
52:22continue to light it up and push past volume.
52:25So I would not be shocked if we saw Amin Ra cross that 170 target threshold yet again, for sure.
52:32Um, and yeah, the week 17, unfortunately there in Chicago is not ideal, but Hey, I will deal with that for the
52:40beautiful schedule that it has as a whole. Just make sure that you make a contingency plan, uh, potentially there, not for
52:47Amin Ra who should still be fine, but make a contingency plan there for Jameson and Jared golf would be the two and comment here in the chat.
52:56Vipers network says, who is the coolest Viper? You know, well, that would be Matt Donnelly.
53:02Matt Donnelly would be the coolest Viper that I know.
53:05Matt Donnelly there, um, dynasty Vipers in the chat.
53:08Oh, and that means I need to send a text message.
53:12Um, I'm going to send you a text message, um, because I miss you.
53:17Thank you for being in the chat there. Matt is, um, Matt Donnelly is the person who, um, got me into, um, doing podcasting for fantasy football.
53:26Um, oddly enough. Yeah. Uh, jumping back here to the chat.
53:30Um, Henry Odom says, I find myself staring at Christian McCaffrey, CD lamb and Justin Jefferson at the end of the first, I can't take McCaffrey.
53:39Do you feel the same way? 100%. I can't do it.
53:42I can't. Um, I've come around more to drafting CD lamb because I don't love that his ceiling is capped with George Pickens there.
53:50Like I've come to accept the fact that he does not have the same level of upside that he had before Pickens
53:58got there just from a pure volume perspective because of the touchdowns tilting down, but the targets were still there, right?
54:05You kind of have to parse through it because he was dealing with injuries.
54:10He didn't play complete games, right? So if you really parse it down to the games where he played the majority of
54:17snaps, he was still on pace for 150 targets.
54:20So there's not a massive decrease in volume there for him.
54:24I still feel comfortable with him as a safe pick, um, compared to some of the other wide receivers we've got there.
54:31Um, Justin Jefferson, I, now that we officially have Kyler Murray listed as the starter, I do feel a lot better about it, right?
54:40Um, how can we trust Kyler to make it through the entire season?
54:44That's another story, but at the very least, I am happy, um, that it will be Kyler compared to JJ McCarthy and in Kyler's defense, right?
54:53It's been a long time since Kyler has had an actual wide receiver one.
54:57Uh, we got to remember that he was dealing with Marvin Harrison Jr.
55:02Who we all know lacks massive consistency, right? Really his wide receiver one.
55:06There was Trey McBride who did get fed, right?
55:09Um, but that was for a short period of time before that he was dealing with guys like, um, Marquise Hollywood Brown as his wide receiver one.
55:18Christian Kirk is his wide receiver one, right? There were some sketchy years where he didn't really have high end bodies.
55:26The last true wide receiver one that he had was Deandre Hopkins who unfortunately didn't play, you know, a couple of seasons.
55:33He didn't play in full, but the one season that he did play in full with Kyler Murray, he was in fact
55:40a wide receiver one with a ton of targets there.
55:44So I feel comfortable that Kyler is going to be able to find plenty of Justin Jefferson.
55:50Um, we'll do a few more questions and then we'll wrap it up here.
55:54You know, Jay label says this may be Baker's last run with the bucks.
55:59Not sure it's going to be a good year for the offense as a whole.
56:04I feel the opposite, um, because we're in a Baker Mayfield contract situation where they were trying to work something out.
56:11They did offer him. He just felt disrespected by the offer.
56:15Didn't feel like it was, um, up to par to where he should have been offered.
56:20And I, I totally understand that, right? He wants a certain level.
56:25Um, he has put up numbers and he feels like, Hey, I'm a steady, stable starter.
56:30I deserve a certain level of money. Um, so they ended their contract talks because it just wasn't remotely where he wanted it to be.
56:38So he is now fighting for the contract that he wants, whether that is with Tampa Bay or another team there.
56:46So it's a motivated Baker Mayfield in a contract year.
56:49So I kind of feel the opposite. Cause you know, Baker, Baker is that guy that has that dog in him, right?
56:56So when push comes to shove, you put his back up against the wall.
57:01I will put my money on Baker on that one, right?
57:05To put up numbers there and in his defense, in terms of what he did last season, he was dealing with injuries
57:12and playing through them, which he often does. Right.
57:15But he was playing through injuries. You could tell, um, you saw the immediate cutoff point of where he really fell off
57:23there because at the beginning of the season, Baker was on fire.
57:27And actually, you know what? Let me defend Baker a little bit here.
57:31Um, and pull up his numbers from last season.
57:34It'll take me a second. Internet is, is fast enough to pull up the numbers here for him and see what his
57:42QB finishes were on a week to week basis.
57:45All right. So there we go. Baker Mayfield at the beginning.
57:49Of course, there's an ad in the way that is actually blocking me from being able to see.
57:55That's not cool. Not an ad. Okay. There we go.
57:58Baker Mayfield started off in week one as QB 12, followed up by 15, 8, 10, 6, 11.
58:04A couple of down weeks is QB 20 and 26 had a bi-week, then QB 7, QB 7.
58:10And then that's where everything went sideways from that point forward.
58:14Um, it wasn't that he played. It was actually a fairly easy schedule because the back season, the back half of the
58:21season was loaded with a lot of, um, NFC South games.
58:25Um, which technically speaking, they're not defensive layups, right?
58:28You know, Carolina and Atlanta can get up there in terms of their past defense.
58:33So let me not say that they can be, they're not cupcake matchups because they have excellent secondaries.
58:39But, um, from week 12 on, he only had one QB one performance.
58:44He was playing through injuries. Prior to that, the man had a ridiculous amount of QB one performances.
58:50He doesn't have the legs to give him that, you know, that weekly top five upside, but low wing QB one on
58:57a weekly basis is very realistic for him for sure.
59:01And mind you, that was with multiple receivers out and dealing with injuries.
59:05So the fact that he was even able to manage to do that through all of the injuries was pretty impressive here.
59:13So I do got to defend Baker a little bit on that.
59:17And I'm expecting a bounce back year, not to the level that he was in the outlier year where he had like
59:24the 41 touchdowns now, but, um, the previous year before that, I think is a very realistic, um, standpoint for him.
59:31What was the, what was that? So that was 28 touchdowns, uh, 10, uh, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10.
59:38Yeah. 10 interceptions, but 4,000 yards. And that's the difference.
59:41The yardage was really nice and safe there. So we got a good baseline.
59:46So I'm expecting a bounce back there for him.
59:49That 41 touchdown year was crazy though. Um, a few more things here and then we will head on out here.
59:56Oh, this is a good one here. Um, uh, from Tyler, Tyler, Tyler Sperry, uh, thoughts on.
60:02Diggs in Hampton. Uh, we talked about Hampton earlier.
60:05I feel good about him. Don't overreact to, um, Mike McDaniel, um, in terms of, since we're wrapping things up, I won't
60:12belabor it, but don't like, don't read too much into what Mike McDaniel was saying about multiple backs here and there.
60:19We always knew there was going to be change of pace.
60:23This, uh, Chargers offense is going to bounce back significantly.
60:26There have higher upside, push more volume, more goal line opportunities.
60:30So I feel good with Hampton as a low end RB one.
60:34Stefan Diggs. Um, Stefan Diggs is interesting because I think we need to level set, right?
60:40Because I've seen a lot of, we want him to get that same, you know, production that he had from, you know, the Patriots.
60:48We want that to transition over. Well, two, two different teams, two different situations.
60:53And he was the wide receiver one there. I would not expect that level of production to transfer directly over, but there
61:00is a clear gap in terms of a second pass catcher.
61:04We've talked about, you know, why I like Chigo Conquo as a tight end target because the wide receivers there just weren't it.
61:12Um, you know, are you really going to rely on Traylon Burks to really stay on the field?
61:18Are we hoping for a resurgence of Luke McCaffrey?
61:21I will resurgence, even you got to surge first, um, are we hoping for some kind of, um, miracle breakthrough for any one of those guys?
61:30I don't think so. Their, their depth is mediocre.
61:33You know, you have the potential of Antonio Williams as a rookie coming through, but at the end of the day, Stefan
61:40Diggs goes in there and immediately becomes the wide receiver one.
61:44I think he's someone that I would feel comfortable with reaching well above ADP.
61:49Um, because ADP is a little slow to react here.
61:52Um, Diggs right now is wide receiver 51 in real time ADP.
61:56That's a 12th round, mid 12th round pick. I would reach easily on Stefan Diggs.
62:01I have reached very easily on Stefan Diggs, um, because it's warranted to go up much higher than that.
62:07Once you start getting in that range of where you're looking at guys and saying, okay, am I going to draft, um,
62:15am I going to draft, you know, Jayden Reed?
62:18Am I going to draft, um, what's another wide receiver in that range?
62:22Uh, Jordan Addison, you know, is cool, but we know there's a certain cap to his production.
62:28Yeah. I will reach and go a little bit higher and try to grab Stefan Diggs over some of those guys who
62:36just are more mediocre producers like a Xavier worthy.
62:39Right. Um, especially with hearing that, you know, Rishi Rice is back and Cyrus Allen is making a push so he could,
62:46you know, for fall back even further. So I'm pro Stefan Diggs to be the wide receiver two in that offense.
62:53I'm still good on Terry McLaurin. I mean, if anything, we might see Terry McLaurin's ADP drop a little bit.
63:00We're not seeing it right now because Terry McLaurin was right, um, butted up next to Luther Burden.
63:06So Luther Burden's injury dropping, um, is kind of counteracting any of that fall that we would have naturally seen with Terry McLaurin.
63:14So, but he's still holding steady at a low end wide receiver two.
63:18It might push back even further in drafts. So I'm good with either one of those because it's clear top two, um, in those offenses.
63:27We do have, um, unfortunately an injury that they had to deal with, um, on the offensive line in Washington in, um,
63:34Laramie Tunsil, big offensive line investment that they made.
63:37Unfortunately, he is out indefinitely here probably for the majority of the season.
63:42I don't know if it's officially the entire season, but regardless, it's a major injury, um, that is going to affect things.
63:49I worry, unfortunately, what that could do slightly to Jaden Daniels, perhaps create more scrambling.
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64:44But the real effect that I think it's going to have is on the run game there.
64:49Um, we've been hearing a lot of positive stuff out of, sorry, this is the tangent there.
64:55As we talk about Stefan Diggs, we've been hearing a lot of positives around your Corey Krosky merit, the progress that he's made.
65:03I'm very pro to Corey Krosky merit. Just kind of keep your eye on that situation because if the offensive line is
65:10not gelling, um, during preseason with the absence of Laramie Tunsil, we might see an increased reliance on Rashad White, um, as a blocker there on passing down.
65:20So just, just keep that in mind. If they need a little extra protection that could affect things.
65:26Um, uh, B Stewart says, should we be worried about, uh, Emeka Ibuka's injury?
65:31No, it sounds like it's not a massive, um, issue there.
65:35Uh, loving life says any update on Josh Jacobs legal situation?
65:38Nope. None whatsoever. Um, because the NFL said that, you know, the actual legal situation has to play out and thus far there have been no formal charges.
65:48So we're kind of in no man's land, which is why I'm treating it as we're pushing so close to the season
65:55with no clear legal action, um, outside of the NFL that it makes it tough for us to say that there would
66:03be a judgment in terms of a punishment from the NFL in this season in particular.
66:08So, um, I have been drafting Josh Jacobs as a borderline RB one because assuming that legal situation would not play out
66:16for this season in particular, um, champion horse says I'm trying to trade for Hearst.
66:21Just have a feeling that he is going to have a breakout sometime this year.
66:26Yeah. If you, you know, if you can, I don't, so I drafted Hearst in dynasty.
66:31I actually, I was in my bag on one of my rookie drafts.
66:36I did get a Hearst and Denzel Boston. So I was in my rookie wide receiver bag this off season, but I
66:43don't know if I would be willing to trade for him, but you could offer someone a sweetheart deal, right.
66:50Um, to get him on your team. Because at the end of the day, even if Chris Godwin does bounce back to
66:57pre-injury Chris Godwin, he's 30 years old and we're talking about an offense that should roll forward for the future.
67:04Um, with a Mecca, a Buka and Ted Hearst theoretically with the way that they're talking about them.
67:10So, um, get him if you can, man, for sure.
67:13Because it's, I do believe that the breakout is coming.
67:17So this is probably the lowest that we're going to be able to get him.
67:22If you're trying to buy him, um, B Stewart says, well, Isaiah likely feast in New York.
67:28I think so. You know, Frank Wright as an offensive coordinator is, I'm not really a fan, but he is tight end friendly.
67:35And Matt Nagy in general has never been, or, uh, Jesus.
67:39So I said, sorry, getting my Frank, Craig, sorry, Frank, right.
67:43I was thinking about, um, tight ends and, um, I don't know why I had Kenyon Sadiq in mind.
67:49That's the New York jets. Sorry, Matt Nagy. Matt Nagy is tight end friendly.
67:54Um, as much issues as I have with Matt Nagy, he has never been a, um, big issue for tight ends in general.
68:02So Isaiah likely is looking like he's going to be the second look in that offense behind Malik neighbors.
68:08Doesn't seem like any of the wider receivers are truly stepping up.
68:12When you hear news that Odell Beckham Jr. Is looking fantastic.
68:16That's a red flag that the other receivers are struggling, right?
68:20Because Odell has gone over the hill and back.
68:23So from that perspective, we're hearing, um, a lot of positive things.
68:27So I do feel comfortable, um, with Isaiah likely as, um, a target for your, um, actual starting tight end.
68:34I would feel really comfortable with it as well.
68:37Um, Kyle or Kyle C. Burt audio says, do you keep Tony Pollard or George Kittle?
68:42I would take, um, I would take, um, I would depends.
68:46Well, you know, I would take the risk and keep George Kittle.
68:50Honestly, Tony Pollard's production can be found. And quite frankly, it's not like you would have to be clamoring to have to draft Tony Pollard again.
68:59Um, but Tony Pollard's production can be found. I mean, he's an RB one, you know, solid, but he's going as an RB three.
69:07Right. Um, and that's pretty much the value that you should expect to get for him.
69:12George Kittle, I'm still not convinced we'll be ready for week one, but at least we have seen him active running.
69:20Like it looks like he is tracking. So even if he doesn't start immediately or if he starts on the pop, I
69:27would prefer to at least shoot for that higher upside with Kittle versus the, you know, standard production that we would get there.
69:35Um, from Tony Pollard there. Uh, thank you for the super chat there from, uh, Russia Walton.
69:41Appreciate that. Uh, Jermaine says, so no wide receiver, wide receiver this year is what I'm hearing.
69:46Yeah. Yes. One hundred percent. If that has not, I have not specifically said that, but that is a very good deduction there.
69:54Um, I've been very, no, I can't think of any scenario, honestly, other than wild league settings where I would start off
70:02wide receiver, wide receiver, wide receiver this year. Can't do it.
70:05Um, just because again, with the level of depth that we have in round one and two with running backs, you got
70:13to take at least one there for sure. So can't do it.
70:17Can't do it. Um, and then we'll do one more question and then we'll head out here.
70:23Um, RP JDD says Barkley or another stud wide receiver in PPR keeper.
70:27I have wide receivers. Oh, chase and lamb. And then RB James cook.
70:31We start three wide receivers and flex. Oh, you know, I would actually, if you, I would, I would go Barkley.
70:38I would go Barkley, honestly. Um, because mid round wide receiver still has some value in it and you've already got chase and lamb.
70:47So if you pair up Barkley and cook, I mean, that's such an advantage there.
70:52I would lean towards Barkley on that one. Um, and then one more here from, uh, actually with two more here, we'll
70:59keep, we'll keep going just like a tiny bit here.
71:03Bad sports says, um, finally able to see you live.
71:06Yay. Um, question. What kind of league, um, am I, what kind of league am I in start nine, one to two
71:13QBs, one to four RBs, one to four wide receivers, one to four tight ends and, uh, one kicker.
71:20Um, well, I mean, that's one of those. So are you asking if you're, you're, you're drafting in that and you're not
71:27sure that's a good flexibility league, um, in terms of what is that you're just mainly starting flexes, right?
71:34So it's one to two, you do have to start one, uh, quarterback, but then you have a lot of flexibility in
71:41terms of whether or not you're starting wide receivers or tight ends.
71:45So in that situation, if you're asking about like strategy on that one, I mean, you have the ability to only start one running back.
71:54Is that what you're, Oh, what type? Yeah. Yeah.
71:57You were asking. Cool. Yeah. You're have the ability.
72:00It's more of a flex league there in terms of the ability to not have to actually, um, start multiple running backs
72:07and wide receivers there for sure, which does give you, you know, it depends on your scoring settings as well.
72:14Take a look at the scoring settings on that one, um, and see if there's any kind of positional lean because you
72:21could, you know, just draft one hero RB and then hammer wide receiver on that one, um, in terms of your strategy.
72:29Um, this one is a good one here. Let's do this one.
72:33And then one more there, um, from, uh, wall from Wattishin, uh, I can't from Wattishin national.
72:39Sorry. I don't, I don't think I got your username.
72:42Right. Um, but says is Malik neighbors. Okay. To draft.
72:46Yes. I feel good about it. I, you know, obviously the soft season, I was very skeptical, right?
72:52Because the reports were vague. Um, obviously our video footage was limited literally to one video of him at a celebrity golf or celebrity softball game.
73:00Right. Um, but everything looks good to go now.
73:04My only hesitation, right. Is that hopefully the ADP doesn't push up too high because I do worry about the past volume and volatility there from Jackson dart.
73:13We're not getting good reports out of camp and good reports or bad reports out of camp.
73:19Don't necessarily mean things, but man, it sounds like he's struggling there.
73:23Um, but at the end of the day, he is again, those other wide receivers are not coming through, unfortunately.
73:30So it's probably going to be another 150 plus target year for Malik neighbors on that end.
73:35So even with the volatility of Jackson dart, I would still be okay with drafting neighbors, especially because it's, I do not
73:43think he's going to push up too high. I would not see him ascending over in AJ Brown at this point.
73:50Um, and then one more question here from Casey Coleman.
73:53I think Harold Fannin Jr. could be catching the ball like crazy in garbage time.
73:58I really like him. Yeah. I like him. I also like the two rookie receivers as well.
74:04I do not like Jerry Judy. Um, and at the same time, when we look at the Cleveland Browns, their defense is
74:12still going to be good enough to where they're, um, being competitive in game.
74:16So I don't anticipate massive blowouts there. Um, obviously the quarterback situation is still sketchy, but they have upgraded the offensive line significantly.
74:24The offensive line was the real issue last season there.
74:28So I do like Harold Fannin Jr. Um, at cost is perfectly fine.
74:32And then I also both really like Concepcion and Denzel Boston as well, because they're going like wide receiver 50 or later,
74:39that's just egregious in terms of where they should be going.
74:43So there are also two that I like as well.
74:47Um, leaving saying Darren Waller signs with the Panthers.
74:50I just can't see any updates here. Uh, but I'll look and see.
74:54Yeah. You're so you're saying for sure. Yeah. Darren Waller signed with the Panthers.
74:59No, I don't think it really. Well, the only bad thing that it could change is maybe taking some touchdowns away from Tadaro and McMillan.
75:07But honestly, I mean, Dave Canales hasn't significantly used tight end to a high degree in terms of, um, consistent target share.
75:15So while theoretically in terms of talent, Darren Waller is an upgrade on Jatavian Sanders.
75:20I don't think it's that deep. Um, I, it wouldn't make me push Tadaro back any further, um, or worry about Jalen Coker.
75:28So no, I don't, I don't think it changes too much.
75:31Let's just cross our fingers that he can make it through three games, four games, five games.
75:37Can he do that? That's the, that's the only thing, unfortunately there.
75:41Um, and then one more question here with Kenyon city.
75:44I think it's worth it. Um, yeah, uh, Kyle's, um, audio says, um, you know, what are your thoughts on Kenyon today?
75:52He's worth it. Just taking a late round stab.
75:55It's literally in deeper leagues, right? Where you're looking to like a deeper, maybe a tight end premium or something, um, where
76:02you have a deep enough bench to where you can roster multiple tight ends.
76:07I would stash him and see sounds like my, you know, my only apprehensive would be that, you know, is the injury, how major is the injury, right?
76:17In terms of him having that setback regarding his hernia.
76:20That's the only issue you worry about. If you had a setback, is that something that could be a recurring issue, um, that lingers into the season?
76:29But other than that, man, I mean, it sounds like Omar Cooper Jr.
76:34Is not it, which is not surprising. Like I was not very high on him as a prospect.
76:40It sounds like he, um, is pushing back, unfortunately.
76:43So we're still looking for that solidified wide receiver to, to play, um, opposite of Garrett Wilson.
76:49We need a, you know, just a second look in general and Kenyon Sadiq could be the second look, um, as a tight end in that offense.
76:58And I did mention Frank right before he is tight end friendly, um, as I was saying before.
77:04Um, so I'm okay with, um, stashing Sadiq for sure.
77:07And then last question here, uh, jelly of the month, um, thoughts on the Luther burden.
77:13Andrew was going to try and keep him in the 11th, but probably pivot to to in the 15th.
77:19I would still go with burden. I know it's worrisome, but the 11th is still really good value for burden.
77:26Um, I wouldn't overreact too much. It might just be a safety perspective of like, Hey, we don't need to push him.
77:33It's not as if he's a rookie, you know, let him heal up fully.
77:38Give him, you know, basically a full month off until week one.
77:42So we're not going to see him in preseason, right?
77:45That's the only bad thing there. And technically speaking, if the ADP pushes back a little bit, obviously you can keep toot
77:53and still draft Luther burden, but I still think he's a fine target, right?
77:58Because in the context of Chicago, the target funnel is really settled down to Colson Loveland, Luther burden and Roma didn't say there.
78:05So I like all three of them. Um, I would still lean towards Luther burden on that one.
78:12But if you don't want to deal with it, or if you feel like you prefer the value on tootin, I totally understand that.
78:20Um, all right there. Oh, and then thank you.
78:23Super chat there on bad sports says, thank you.
78:26I will call it multi flex. Yes, that is what I would call it.
78:31Multi flex makes sense there. Um, in terms of the league style for that kind of lineup.
78:36Perfect. Awesome. Thank you for the super chat. Appreciate that.
78:40Um, and then shout out to Casey Coleman saying they're big Carolina fan there.
78:44Um, Tommy Trimble scores all the touchdowns and then, um, says Tara go Clemson.
78:49My wife went to LSU and I am, oh, you're from Clemson.
78:53So you need the upset. God, I hope so.
78:56I just look, I just want us to go out there and look competent, not embarrass ourselves.
79:02That's sad to say that I'm like, Hey, I want the wind, but at the very least guys, can we just like, not like look foolish out there?
79:12I cannot believe God. And I have to do a betting video on that.
79:16They assigned me a vet. My company has assigned me a betting video specifically on Clemson versus LSU.
79:22In addition, I'm doing multiple college football betting throughout the entire season, but I was like, man, you really had to call that one out for me.
79:32God, that's painful. But that wraps things up. When I saw it on the schedule, I was like, come on.
79:38Did you have to put that one on the schedule for me to do?
79:43But Hey, that means college football season is close.
79:46So we are almost there people, but appreciate you tuning in.
79:50Thank you so much guys. I am here with you live every Wednesday at 8 PM EST.
79:56So as always, um, make sure that, um, your liking the video just helps out the channel as well.
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80:28Um, other than that, guys, I will talk to you all next week where we will have lots to discuss because we
80:36will have actual multiple preseason games with actual starters that we didn't get to talk about FYI, but we will talk about it next week.
80:44We're going to see actual starters this week. So enjoy the preseason football games guys.
80:49I'll talk to you all next week. Talk from the pod father to you.
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