0:00Welcome into the Lineup Fantasy Football Show, I'm Mitch Anderson.
0:03I'm Justin Mello. And Mello, the trade deadline is a few weeks away.
0:06Right now is the most important time to make the moves that are going to put you in a position to win a fantasy football championship.
0:13We're going to break down exactly why these six receivers will help you do just that.
0:17If you have any start set questions, trade questions or anything else we can answer to help you win your week nine
0:23matchup and beyond, let us know down below and we're going to answer every single comment.
0:27But as always, the lineup is presented by Dabble Fantasy.
0:30Download and sign up for Dabble, then use the promo code LINEUP to get $20 in bonus cash when you play your first 10.
0:36But let's get into our six buys, Mello, at the wire receiver position.
0:40I'm going to let you start here. I'm going to start with a guy who I was feeling a little bit down
0:45on after yesterday, but then I thought about it, I looked at it, and now I want to buy.
0:50And that's DK Metcalf, who, after an incredible 11 catch game in week six, he's only accumulated nine PPR fantasy points total.
0:56Over the last two weeks combined. He also dropped a deep ball from Aaron Rodgers yesterday, which was just brutal to watch.
1:02Would have potentially been a touchdown if he had been able to catch in stride ended up being picked off off the ricochet just for insult to injury.
1:09And I know this isn't what you want to hear as a Metcalf manager, but it still was a good play to
1:15see from a fantasy perspective in the sense that he did create separation and Rodgers did give him that shot on the deep ball.
1:21And he's going to continue to take those shots.
1:24Hopefully he doesn't drop them next time. He also still has six targets in each of his last two games and 64
1:30targets on the year, which I think is a lot more than people give Metcalf credit for or think he would get.
1:35He's profiled as this like deep threat, one dimensional, low volume guy.
1:39He's getting a ton of targets in this offense.
1:41But here's the reason I'm really buying more than anything.
1:44Listen to this rest of season schedule after the week nine die.
1:47Cincinnati, Philadelphia, Denver, which is a tough one. Houston, Jacksonville, and then for the fantasy playoffs, Baltimore, Carolina, Tennessee, five of those
1:53eight defenses are in the top 10 of most fantasy points allowed to opposing wide receivers.
1:57Denver is the only one that really is a tough matchup.
2:00The like none of those matchups besides Denver really scare me at all.
2:03This was an ugly week for Metcalf, both on the stat sheet and via the eye test, but the Steelers aren't by.
2:09Antsie managers might be wanting to move him now, and it's the perfect time to buy low.
2:13Well, yeah, you mentioned it. It's like nine points in the past two weeks.
2:17It's pretty likely that you put DK Metcalf in your starting lineup feeling pretty fired up about what you saw in week six.
2:23You've been disappointed the last two weeks. Now you've got a buy.
2:26You might be desperate to get a win. I just personally thought after week six that like we were probably giving too
2:32much credit to Jeremy Bernard for that performance. I felt like we weren't giving enough to DK Metcalf and like clearly that
2:38take has aged wrong by me over the past two weeks because we've seen almost nothing out of DK, but I'm totally with you.
2:44I had no idea someone who's been diving so deep into the rest of the season schedules, the playoff schedules and like looking into that.
2:51I had no idea how good things were looking for DK Metcalf.
2:54So this is a really, really good buy. I like this one a lot.
2:58Thank you, brother. Yeah, I wasn't feeling it until last time.
3:01I really dug deeper into it and now I'm in.
3:03Totally. Let's go to another guy in that game from yesterday.
3:06Let's talk about Denzel Boston, Mello, and I'm going to go in order with my three guys today.
3:11I'm going to go from cheap to most expensive, which I guess the last two guys are kind of debatable.
3:16You'll see. But Denzel Boston, 19 targets over the past two weeks, 11 yesterday.
3:20I feel like nobody's talking about that. We know this is the type of guy that's liable to go for an explosive
3:26play at any moment, even on a smaller amount of volume.
3:29We almost had the insane touchdown in the corner of the end zone.
3:32He was a few inches away from that. We had a few misses by Deshaun Watson.
3:36It just felt like one of those days that one or two plays that clicked would be talking about Denzel Boston in a completely different light.
3:43And Mello, you know me. I love buying rookie wide receivers before the bye week.
3:47It's not a guarantee that every rookie receiver is going to have a strong back half after the bye.
3:52But we have so much evidence to support that the time when a lot of these guys take the step and more
3:58importantly, get trusted with a lot more work is after their bye.
4:01You got some juicy matchups coming up after it.
4:03You get Vegas, who just allowed Adonai Mitchell of all people to get deep shot after deep shot on them.
4:09You got Cincinnati, who just made Cam Ward look like an NFL quarterback.
4:12You've got the Falcons, who unless they're playing Baker Mayfield, who's about to skew the hell out of all their numbers.
4:18We're allowing the 11th most fancy points per game to wide receivers in the NFL heading into week eight.
4:23I think is a perfect calm before the storm where you actually got to see a little bit of thunder yesterday and
4:28people are not going to bat an eye towards you asking to just toss in Denzel Boston in a trade.
4:34Yeah, it's funny. We were the guy saying like Casey's going to step up.
4:37Casey's going to step up. It's not going to keep being Boston.
4:41And now that we've seen it shift, all of a sudden it's like, okay, I think people are done with Denzel Boston when they shouldn't be.
4:47He's got that deep play ability. He's got that boom potential.
4:50He's still getting the targets. It's going to click, not consistently, but it will happen.
4:54And now he's so affordable, that's the type of guy I want to go out and trade for.
4:59And it's funny because I hate to be this guy.
5:02Like, I think where that work comes from is we're not going to see Harold Fannin going out for 150 yards every game.
5:08I think we've seen a lot of really strong performances from him.
5:11I think that that volume is going to regress back to being a little bit more spread out in the offense.
5:16And once Denzel Boston, I mean, you don't even need him to get more volume.
5:20You just need him and Deshaun to connect a little bit more and you're just going to see some fireworks in the back half here.
5:27But before we move on to your next guy, Mello, if you haven't hit that subscribe button, please hit it.
5:32We're dropping fancy football advice and answering every comment we possibly can to help you guys win your matchups and win a championship this year.
5:39Also, if you're listening on the player profile or feed on audio right now, you can follow us the lineup fantasy football show on Spotify or Apple.
5:46We're going to be running some very fun giveaways coming soon.
5:49So make sure to hit that follow button over there.
5:51But Mello, give me your second guy. Well, Mitch, you said you were going to work your way up in terms of cost.
5:58So let me just go with a really expensive guy here.
6:00And that's Drake London. He lost a lot of people their week eight matchups.
6:04He was held to one catch eight yards against Tampa.
6:07Michael Penix looked like he dressed up as Nathan Peterman for Halloween.
6:10The way he was throwing first half interceptions. It was.
6:13He dressed up as Tua. Yeah, he dressed up as Tua.
6:15So the vibes are now all of a sudden really bad around the Falcons, this whole offense, what it means for London.
6:21People might be panicking. I'm here to tell you, have no fear, at least when it comes to Drake London.
6:27I am willing to completely and entirely throw away the tape on this one, given they were playing in what felt like a hurricane.
6:33Baker Mayfield didn't even complete a pass. They won this game without completing a pass.
6:37So it went both ways. It was not a good offensive environment for throwing the ball.
6:41And even before yesterday, London still had just one top 12 finish this year, which is pretty disappointing for what you had
6:47to pay for him in draft capital back in August.
6:49I think people might be getting impatient. But if they are, and I know he'll still be expensive, I'm trying to pay
6:55that price because it's lower again than probably what the equivalent would be in terms of your draft in August.
7:01So you're getting him at a discount still. And we've seen how much of a difference maker he's been with Penix at
7:06the helm long term, as long as it's not dumping rain.
7:09We went over these stats in the summer, but London is a consistent wide receiver one when Penix is at quarterback.
7:15I'm willing to take the bet on that going forward and sort of just throw out the tape on what happened yesterday.
7:21And if you can get London on a discount, I think it's a great time to do so.
7:25Yeah. Yeah. Did you know Michael Penix had a lower QB rating yesterday than Baker Mayfield, who didn't complete the pass?
7:31Stunning, but hilarious. Yeah. No, this is the perfect buy.
7:34This is exactly what we talked about. Either it was week two or week three when we did our trade episode.
7:39And it was like, just go buy Drake London.
7:41Like the bad games are going to be really bad.
7:44I think we just knew that. And like people are going to be panicking.
7:48Like you said, this probably lost people their matchups.
7:50This is what I talk about. Now's the time to make the moves that could win you the league.
7:55It's not just identifying the fantasy playoff schedules and who's going to pop off down the stretch.
8:00It's figuring out who are the managers that are desperate and itching to make a move.
8:04And how can you take advantage of that? There's a good chance the Drake London manager is probably in a tough spot
8:10because you had a brutal start to the season.
8:12Things were probably hot for a little while. Now they lost a game and they're like, okay, I got to shake something
8:18up to make sure I'm cooking in the second half.
8:20I think Drake London is expensive, like you said.
8:23But I think he's attainable. Absolutely. On to our next guy.
8:26Let's just, Mello, we're so used to doing buy lows on these Monday episodes that it feels weird to keep talking about expensive guys.
8:32But in the grand scheme of how expensive this guy should be for how talented he is, it does feel like a buy low on Justin Jefferson.
8:39Let me explain why Justin Jefferson is about to set the NFL on fire for the rest of the season.
8:44And first off, disclaimer, I would like to say it, Kyler Murray is bad at football.
8:49And that just needed to be said before we start.
8:51But let me take you through the rest of the season scenarios for Justin Jefferson, because right now I can guarantee you
8:57managers are in a full on panic, probably looking to cut ties and they want to just get what they can for
9:03Justin Jefferson to try to make a back half push.
9:06The first scenario that I just want to address, because I keep seeing it, if he got traded at the deadline, that is not going to happen.
9:13I hate to purse everybody's bubble, but there's a .0001% chance he gets traded.
9:16If by some insane situation he does, of course his value would increase because he's not in this situation anymore with Kyler Murray.
9:22But let's get back to being more realistic and say he stays in Minnesota through the deadline and plays the rest of the year.
9:29I'm going to list out the opponents for you this season and the ranking on how tough they've been against fantasy football wide receivers heading into week eight.
9:36Green Bay 27th, they had an easy start. He was the wide receiver three on the week.
9:41Then you get Chicago 14th, Tampa Bay 12th, Miami 2nd, Saints 13th, Colts 10th.
9:44Since week one, he has yet to play a team that is ranked in the top half of softer matchups for wide receivers.
9:50Now heading into the nine-week stretch we have from week nine through 17, Mello, guess how many top 16 defenses he's going to play against?
9:57Please tell me it's a lot. He has two top 16 defenses he has to play against.
10:01He plays against San Francisco in week 11 and Carolina in week 13.
10:05Besides that, all of them are on the top half of softer matchups for wide receivers.
10:09I think this is an extremely tight buy low window.
10:12You get Buffalo next week that has been brutally bad against fantasy wide receivers.
10:15Do not let Baltimore's performance fool you. If you were a Joe Fignano injury away from one of us playing quarterback, I
10:21don't really think that that's a game I want to put into my calculations.
10:25But you get Green Bay after that, who we saw Jefferson go for eight for 92 and two against in week one.
10:31And then the fantasy playoffs once you get there, Detroit, Washington, the Jets, a perfect stretch to get hot and win you a championship.
10:37Talked about this with Garrett Wilson. You got the squeaky wheel narrative happening right now.
10:41You saw how furious Justin Jefferson was on the sidelines.
10:44You saw that he declined to talk to the media after the game.
10:47Kevin O'Connell is going to get this right. They're going to start feeding their superstar.
10:51And I also just want to point out that was like the sickest catch.
10:55That was an unbelievable. It's plays like that. Like you start to get that, that creep of doubt in your mind.
11:00Like is Justin Jefferson? Yeah. Is he that good?
11:03Is he still that elite? And then he makes a play.
11:06It's like, oh yeah, he's just been stuck in quarterback hell for two years.
11:09Cause he can still do stuff like that. And I am very pleased with that schedule.
11:13I said, I was hoping there were a lot of top 10 defenses.
11:17I had it flipped in my mind. I'm very happy.
11:20There's not a lot of top 10 defense. I said that in a very confusing way.
11:24No, I'm just stupid to be honest. I can take good blame there.
11:27To put it into easier terms. Yeah. First half, he plays all hard defenses.
11:31Second half, he plays all easy defenses. That's something my very tired and stupid brain can comprehend.
11:35So I appreciate it. You putting it in those terms.
11:38I love the schedule rest of season. I believe in the talent, obviously.
11:41Yeah. Kyler isn't great, but with the exception of JJ McCarthy, we've seen Justin Jefferson make it work with some really bad quarterbacks in the past.
11:48So I'm not too concerned rest of season at all.
11:51Maybe at the trade deadline, they'll send Kyler Murray to the Shanghai Sharks and maybe just get Carson Wentz and Justin Jefferson again.
11:57It's sad that I would go for Carson Wentz at this point.
12:00Easily. But we've been talking about some pretty expensive receivers.
12:03Let me go back down a little bit to someone who's actually really affordable.
12:06And that's Trey Tucker. Totally. Trey Tucker right now.
12:09How do you follow up a combined 200 yards and three touchdowns over two weeks?
12:13You followed up with a zero yard dud where you do literally nothing.
12:16Only one target even. And it was especially surprising to see that goose egg in week eight, given how easily the Raiders were moving the ball.
12:23Cousins had 247 passing yards. Raiders scored 38 points.
12:25Brock Bowers was not coverable all day against the Jets.
12:28Dude, I almost mentioned Brock Bowers as like a quote unquote buy low last week, but I felt stupid doing it.
12:34I kind of wish I had just said it.
12:36Yeah. Because like, oh my God, Brock Bowers. He's going to be the football robot from heaven.
12:40Like once every two or three weeks. And even if the weeks he's not, he's still going to put up decent numbers.
12:46Of like 70 yards. Yeah. Yeah, exactly. But Tucker, on the other hand, I mean, you're going to get does like this.
12:52And it felt like the last two weeks when he was a top 12 wide receiver in both of those weeks were a facade.
12:58And to that, I say, of course, those weeks were a facade.
13:02We knew he couldn't keep that up consistently. But let's not overreact to the week eight dud, because the matter of the
13:07fact is he's still a deep threat who is going to be volatile from week to week.
13:12But I want that upside. That's the type of ceiling that actually wins you matchups when you have a guy who can
13:18put up a 30 point week any given week.
13:20He has three top 12 finishes already this year.
13:22That's two more than Drake London, who he talked about earlier.
13:25And I would bet he has at least one more in him because of his skill set, because of the role he plays in this offense.
13:32He's going to have those boom weeks and coming off a dud week is the perfect time to buy low given he
13:38probably does not cost much at all. I don't think people are really wanting to hang on to Trey Tucker because of
13:44how volatile he is and because of these dud weeks that you're going to get.
13:48But he's a great second flex kind of option, just given that explosive play ability that he offers.
13:52Yeah, totally. This is the Elizabeth Holmes. Why would I deceive you with Trey Tucker?
13:56And then you put him in your starting lineup and he gets you zero points.
14:00Yeah, I'm totally with you. I think people were looking for a reason to not believe in this guy.
14:05I actually mentioned that on Thursday's episode, which, you know, egg on my face that I was talking about.
14:10Wow, I think Trey Tucker is actually for real.
14:13And then he goes out and puts up this game.
14:15But I agree with you. I think that I've seen enough of a sample size to think that this was just a
14:21weird game and he's going to be back. We also got like Jalen Naylor scoring a touchdown in this one.
14:26It was just like sometimes these games happen with the Raiders.
14:29You know, Clint Kubiak's just a psycho and he's going to spread the ball around whatever.
14:34Trey Tucker is the guy here. I think this is a really, really good buy low window.
14:38Hell yeah. All right, let's jump into our last guy.
14:41Stop me if you've heard this one before. It's time for me to talk about Parker Washington.
14:45We are going to start a dialogue. I'm going to be quick on him because if you watch our show, you know
14:51I've talked about him more than any other player since January.
14:54If you don't normally watch our show, welcome in and buckle up.
14:57The last time we saw panic in the streets for Parker Washington was when he went for two PPR points back in week four against Chicago.
15:04Everyone was asking us if the Linsanity run was over and we said no.
15:08Hold or buy Parker Washington preferably. Then goes off for 30 points in London against the Eagles.
15:12Finishes the next week as the wide receiver three overall.
15:15Buy low window immediately closes. But now since then you're looking at a real three week stretch of no Parker Washington production.
15:2110 points in week six, which is fine. A buy week in week seven.
15:24Three points in week eight. Psychologically, that's a week that you're not getting points from Parker Washington.
15:29And if you're a team that lost that week and is looking to make a move, that factors in.
15:34And so if you weren't just box score watching, you would realize that the game yesterday was so wildly out of hand before it even started.
15:41And hand up probably something we should have been more concerned with heading into the week when we ranked Parker in the top 10.
15:47But they were up 28 nothing at half. Parker two targets on the game.
15:51And admittedly, that's one of the risks with how dialed in this Jags team can get is that they might just blow
15:56out teams and you lose the opportunity for production in the second half.
16:00That being said, I'm buying into what we saw before this week, which was 20 targets in the previous two contests.
16:05He has the single easiest schedule remaining for fantasy football wide receivers.
16:08We keep talking about, oh, this guy's got a good schedule.
16:11This guy's got a good schedule. How about Houston, Dallas and Washington to wrap up your fantasy football playoffs?
16:16He's in that Malik neighbors tier for me of guys who could break fantasy football in your postseason.
16:21And I want to take the shot while some of the Parker Washington hype is cooled that you can get him not
16:27for super cheap, but for much cheaper than you could have a few weeks ago.
16:31You can throw out yesterday. We talked about throwing out that Atlanta Tampa game, throw out that Jacksonville Cleveland game because it just wasn't a competitive game.
16:38It was a scrimmage. It was a scrimmage. The both Jags running backs looked like they were running in shells like in
16:44practice, like just carving up this defense. They didn't throw the ball.
16:47I do like Parker Washington the rest of season with that said, and I think Mitch might actually drive to my house and kill me after this.
16:54I am starting to get a little bit nervous about the volatility.
16:57And I talked about it. I do want volatility in my lineup.
17:00I talked about with Trey Tucker. I just want it in like my second flex for a guy I didn't have to
17:06pay a lot for a guy not relying on consistently putting up numbers.
17:10I don't want that as my wider super one or two.
17:13We've seen some volatility issues again yesterday. I'm not too concerned about I'm throwing that away.
17:17That makes me a little bit scared at his price.
17:19But with that said, if his price has dropped enough where someone's panicking because of that volatility, he's still a guy I want down the stretch.
17:26He still has this easy schedule. He's going to get a lot of targets as long as the games are somewhat competitive,
17:32which we're not going to see what happened in India again yesterday.
17:35So I don't hate buying him right now. But I will admit, I'm starting to get a little bit nervous about how
17:41low his floor is week in and week out.
17:43No, and that I will agree with. Like, I think he's worth the price because of the upside he can give you on a week to week basis.
17:51And I think for me, I'm right now in the situation where I want to target the guys that are going to be performing in the playoffs.
17:58And to me, he just profiles as the guy that is going to be worth much more than what you have to pay for for those three weeks.
18:05In between, you're right. You look at three of the past four weeks having single digit fantasy football points like or sorry,
18:11not three of the last four weeks with three of his last four games because that by week like, yeah, there is
18:17some concern about the floor weekend and week out.
18:19I just think that when push comes to shove and it's game time and you're in your fantasy football playoffs, we're going to see Parker Washington fireworks.
18:26I do love him in the playoffs. We can absolutely agree on that.
18:30All right. Before we get out of here, though, Mello, let's agree on one other thing.
18:34Let's agree on our Monday Night Football picks presented by Dabble.
18:37If you want to tell these picks, you can follow us.
18:40At lineup, Mitch in app, sign up with the code lineup and you can get $20 in bonus cash when you play your first 10.
18:46Mello, give me your first pick for tonight. Give me Sam Darnold over 237 and a half passing yards.
18:51Sammy Super Bowls. He's hit on this line two weeks in a row against much better pass defenses than the Bears.
18:57And this also might be one of the few games where we see the Seahawks actually forced to throw to keep up with this explosive Bears offense.
19:04So game script could work in our favor for Sam Darnold.
19:07Yeah, let's say a little correlated here. Jackson Smith and Jigba over 103 and a half yards.
19:11I'm not getting cute here. 128, 76, 102, 134, 150 in his last five.
19:15The single best wide receiver in football right now.
19:18Him and Darnold are finally back on the same page.
19:20We get this middle of the pack Chicago defense.
19:23It's not enough to dissuade me from rolling with JSN to go just over 100 yards.
19:27They could set his line at whatever. I feel like you should take the over the way he's playing this year.
19:32We didn't play on this, but apparently we like the Seahawks because I'm going Zach Charbonnet anytime touchdown.
19:37I know we usually don't do touchdown bets, but how could I resist this one, Mitch?
19:41We're one for one. We're one for one. Let's make it two for two.
19:45The Seahawks took Ken freaking Walker off the field in favor of Charbonnet down by the goal line last year.
19:50Anytime they get inside the 10 yard line, it's Charbonnet time.
19:53I love him scoring a touchdown in his first game back from injury.
19:57All right, let's go to our last guy, Luther Burden.
19:59We'll go with a bear here over 53 and a half yards.
20:02I'm sticking to my same script here. I'm not getting cute.
20:05I want the best receiver in this offense. I think this is a relatively modest line.
20:10He's beaten it in four of his last five contests.
20:12The connection with Caleb has been incredible. I just don't see a world where this Bears team can somehow take a big
20:18lead and salt this game away on the ground.
20:20They're going to need Burden in this one. Love it.
20:23But those were our six favorite buys at wide receiver.
20:26If you need help at running back, tune in tomorrow morning as we're going to be doing the exact same episode for the running back position.
20:32Leave us any start sick questions or any trade questions you have down below and we'll answer every single one as fast as we possibly can.
20:39But Mo, before we get out of here, did we miss anything?
20:42Got nothing. All right. Enjoy the Monday night football game.
20:45We'll catch you guys in the morning. We'll see you then.