10 players with wrong ADPs

Josh Norris identifies Brian Thomas Jr. as one of the two primary wide receivers to target in Jacksonville alongside Parker Washington, with Thomas positioned to receive targets over the top of the defense in Liam Cohen's offense.

Matt Harmon believes if there's going to be a massive hit from the Jacksonville receiver room, it will be Brian Thomas Jr. because he's the X receiver and will be on the field all the time, and he's shown the highest highs among the wide receivers in this receiver room so far in the NFL.

Brock Bowers is mentioned as a preferred alternative to Omar and Hampton in the second round, grouped with Drake London as a player the speaker would rather target than the boom-bust running back profile.

Matt Harmon notes that tight ends are being drafted significantly earlier on Yahoo than other platforms; Bowers is being taken in the second round on Yahoo while other top tight ends like Tyler Warren and Sam Laporta go in the fourth and fifth rounds respectively. This suggests Yahoo drafters are paying a premium for Bowers to secure their tight end early and build a complete starting lineup.

Chase Brown is positioned as a more secure snap-count option than Omar and Hampton, with the speaker noting that Chase Brown does not come off the field much, making him a safer second-round target despite similar ADP positioning.

Harmon mentions Chase Brown as a comparable running back to Hampton in his current rankings, suggesting they are in the same tier, though he notes he could make an argument for Hampton ahead of Brown.

Preferred tight end target over Harold Fannin; Matt Harmon would rather draft Mark Andrews plus Dalton Kincaid in later rounds than invest a 70th overall pick in Fannin. Represents better value proposition than reaching for Fannin at current ADP.

Harmon references Devon Achane's elite production in Miami's offense as context for why Hampton's production may not translate to the Chargers; Harmon notes that some of Achane's success is attributable to Achane being one of the best running backs in the NFL, not solely the McDaniel system.

Denzel Boston is noted as a first-round wide receiver addition to the Browns offense alongside Conception. The panel discusses how adding quality receivers (Boston, Conception, and potentially improved Jerry Judy) changes the offensive dynamic for tight end Harold Fanden, as offenses typically don't run through the tight end when receivers are strong. Boston's arrival is cited as a reason the panelists are lower on Fanden's ceiling.

Six-foot-four rookie receiver positioned as potential red zone threat for Browns; represents competition for Harold Fannin's target share. Upside tied to red zone opportunity volume, though Browns offense unlikely to reach red zone frequently.

Matt Harmon expresses low confidence in Watson as Browns quarterback; Shedeur Sanders positioned as 'their best hope' despite poor track record, indicating Harmon's skepticism about Watson's ability to elevate the offense.

Drake London is cited as a stable wide receiver alternative in the second round, preferred over boom-bust running back profiles like Omar and Hampton due to the difficulty in finding reliable wide receiver one options in the current draft landscape.

Target total likely declining despite potential snap preservation; Casey Conception and Denzel Boston represent real competition for touches. Conception can operate as underneath receiver and manufacturer of touches where Fannin excelled; Boston is a six-foot-four red zone threat. Fannin's role share at risk even if snap count holds.

Hayden Winks ranks James Cook 14th-15th overall vs. 10th overall ADP on Yahoo, expressing concern about his ceiling in the first round. Winks fears there's no pathway for Cook to be a top-three scorer at RB despite leading the NFL in carries per game (19) and averaging 5.1 yards per carry last year. His receptions per game ranked 39th at 1.9, and Winks cites three reasons for limited receiving upside: the DJ Moore acquisition, Josh Allen's goal-line rushing tendency, and uncertainty from the Bills' offensive line coach departure and promotion of their OC to head coach. Winks projects Cook could finish as RB10 if not used more in the passing game, making him a risky 10th overall pick. Josh Norris counters that Cook is his 12th overall player, noting he was second only to CMC in combined postseason and regular-season touches, and that he averages 20 fantasy points in Bills wins (6th most) vs. 10 in losses (RB26). Norris also cites training camp reports that Cook will be used more in the passing game under new OC Pete Carmichael (from New Orleans Saints), who has a history of using running backs as choice route guys. Norris notes Cook was drafted to be a receiving back but has been a significantly better runner.

Jamison Williams showed massive first-half/second-half splits last season, being targeted on fewer than 16% of his routes run in the first half. This could be attributed to either Dan Campbell taking over play-calling or Sam Laporta's increased involvement early in the season, as Laporta was more involved than Williams in the first nine weeks.

Jalen Warren is cited as a comparable ADP reference point to Harold Fanden at 70th overall. The panel notes that players like Warren are projected to average 5-6 more points per game than Fanden in half-PPR scoring, suggesting Fanden is overvalued relative to his production ceiling.

Harmon uses Jeremiah Love as a comparable tier for Hampton, suggesting Love is a more appropriate ranking level than Saquon Barkley, indicating Love is ranked lower than Hampton's current ADP.

Jerry Judy is mentioned as a Browns receiver whose performance last year was poor but could improve. The panel notes that even if Judy doesn't improve significantly, the addition of first-round receivers Denzel Boston and Conception means the Browns' passing game will be less reliant on tight end Harold Fanden, reducing Fanden's target share.

Keaton Mitchell is noted as part of the Chargers' committee backfield approach, contributing to concerns about snap count distribution for Omar and Hampton in the second round.

Harmon views Keaton Mitchell as a late-round option with limited upside; he suggests Mitchell will be sprinkled into the offense but doesn't project significant role or volume. Harmon speculates the Chargers may be more pass-heavy than projected given their receiver depth.

Matt Harmon clarifies that Keaton Mitchell will have his defined role in the Chargers' backfield, addressing Twitter speculation about whether he and Omar Hampton can coexist; Mitchell's role is secure but limited.

Kimani Vidal is identified as a strong pass protector in the Chargers backfield, part of the committee approach that limits snap count opportunities for Omar and Hampton.

Harmon identifies Ladd McConkey as the Chargers' number-one receiver and a strong piece of the offense. McConkey is positioned as a key target in an elite offensive ecosystem.

Matt Harmon moved Roma Junze ahead of Luther Burden in his rankings after being challenged by Hayden on the show, indicating a downward ranking adjustment for Burden.

Preferred tight end target over Harold Fannin; Matt Harmon would rather draft Mark Andrews plus Dalton Kincaid in later rounds than invest a 70th overall pick (semi-premium) in Fannin. Represents better value proposition than reaching for Fannin at current ADP.

Being selected as WR53 at pick 142 overall in 12th round is 'way, way, way too late' according to Matt Harmon; ranked in top 100 overall. Packers offense is attractive for dart throws; as rookie, Golden played 72 snaps in 11 or 12 wide receiver sets, offering late-round upside in a high-volume passing offense.

Matt Harmon rates Matthew Golden as a screaming value in the 10th–12th round (well after pick 100 on Yahoo), describing him as a former first-round pick on a good offense who typically drafts in the 60s–70s. Golden played 72 snaps in one or two wide receiver sets as a rookie; Jaden Reed has only eight such plays in his career. While Golden showed limited after-the-catch ability early and suffered injury, Harmon argues he's getting a major discount on a player with flaws but significant upside for year two improvement. Golden's 16% targets per route and 1.4 yards per route are not terrible; coaching comments noted he wasn't fully grasping the playbook, suggesting room for growth. Harmon sees potential for improved yard-after-catch production and believes the market is undervaluing a player with first-round pedigree and blazing speed who could be an every-down player on an offense that may struggle.

Josh Norris has Parker Washington ranked 69th overall (WR39 ADP at 91st overall), making him the highest-ranked Jaguars wide receiver on his board. Norris notes Washington finished last season as the Jaguars' best pass catcher and won small in quickness and yards after catch while winning big in tight window targets and crossing routes—the most important route in Liam Cohen's system. Since week nine, when Washington, Brian Thomas Jr., and Jacoby Myers were all on field, Washington led the team with 31% target share and 3.17 yards per route run. He plays slot and outside in two and three receiver sets. Norris expects Washington to climb boards further with a training camp extension; five of six Yahoo Fantasy Forecast rankers have him ahead of 98th overall. Norris fades Jacoby Myers in favor of Washington, believing Washington does similar things at a step ahead in pace.

Matt Harmon ranks Parker Washington higher than Josh Hermsmeyer among wide receivers and has him as the second Jacksonville receiver. Harmon compares the Jaguars receiver room to the Packers in previous years with rotating receivers, but still wants to take shots on Washington given the potential upside if the room becomes a two-man show with Brian Thomas Jr.

Josh Hermsmeyer notes Parker Washington is an incredible athlete who fell through the cracks as a prospect and has shown improvement on the field with more playing time. After Travis Hunter's injury, Washington led the team with 640 receiving yards, 41 receptions, and four touchdowns in the final 10 games, compared to just 17 catches for 207 yards and a touchdown in the first seven games before the injury.

Harmon asserts that Quentin Johnston is better than market perception suggests, even acknowledging he is a flawed player. Johnston is positioned as a potential contributor in the Chargers' receiver room.

Sam Laporta is being drafted in the fifth round on Yahoo but goes much later (picks 80-115) on other platforms. Matt Harmon likes Laporta as a pick and notes he's an excellent player within the Lions' offensive ecosystem independent of Drew Petzing's 13-personnel usage. Laporta was more involved than Jamison Williams in the first nine weeks of last season, suggesting he's a core part of the offense. Harmon ranks him similarly to Josh from (presumably another Matt Harmon's ranking) and wants to be taking him this year.

Josh Norris ranks Saquon Barkley as his 7th overall player despite consensus RB8 (14th overall) ADP, calling it "absolutely absurd" that he's being selected behind Ashton Jeanty. Norris emphasizes the Eagles' entire 2026 season relies on Barkley's success; his return to 20-50 yard gains will force defenses into single-high coverage and unlock the passing attack. Barkley was 16th in rushing yards before contact in 2025 (down from 2nd in 2024) and 7th in explosive runs with 58 (down from 2nd with 77 in 2024), but Norris attributes this to offensive line injuries (Cam Jurgens, Landon Dickerson, Lane Johnson) rather than decline. He expects better health and continuity to pay dividends despite losing Jeff Stoutland. Matt Harmon ranks him 10th overall, ahead of ADP, and notes Barkley scored only 1 of 11 inside-the-five-yard-line carries for touchdowns last year—an offensive line stat—and expects the veteran presence to improve with better health. Harmon compares the value to Christian McCaffrey at this time last year.

Matt Harmon 'suspiciously really hopeful' about Shedeur Sanders as Browns quarterback option despite poor performance last year; positioned as 'their best hope' for the offense. Reflects low confidence in Deshaun Watson and uncertainty about late-season quarterback situation (potential Tailing Green involvement).

Josh Norris ranks Terry McLaurin as 38th overall (WR20) vs. consensus WR24 (55th overall) ADP, citing hidden edge in predicting how new play callers impact veteran receivers. Norris highlights that McLaurin has been deployed extremely statically—playing left wide receiver on the line of scrimmage 74% of the time—and has never received the outside-to-inside versatility, motion, and stacking that elite receivers typically get. With new play caller David Blau, Norris believes McLaurin has a real chance to reach top-20 or top-15 true opportunity at WR1 this season. Matt Harmon ranks him as a strong fourth rounder in the boom-bust tier (alongside Christian Watson, Jameson Williams, Roma Dunze, Mike Evans), noting he's played 23 games with Jaden Daniels and scored as WR14 on WR26 usage in full PPR. Harmon emphasizes that McLaurin's static deployment dates back deep into his career—even before Cliff Kingsbury—and that this could be the most dynamic deployment of his entire career. Norris adds that McLaurin held out during training camp last year and didn't get reps, which impacted his season, and that Blau stated his first priority was "how do we get Terry McLaurin 10 targets per game?"

Harmon identifies Trey Harris as an interesting third receiver option in the Chargers' receiver room, suggesting he could see meaningful snaps in a pass-heavy offense.

Matt Harmon views Harris as an interesting third receiver option in the Chargers' receiver room, suggesting potential for offensive snaps and targets.

Tyler Warren is being drafted in the fourth round on Yahoo, significantly earlier than on other platforms where tight ends are drafted closer to picks 80-115 overall. This reflects Yahoo's tendency to draft tight ends earlier to secure Week 1 starting lineups.