NFL fantasy football news and player signals for Wednesday, July 15, 2026

St. Brown was voted among the top five receivers by the AP panel, appearing on seven of eight ballots. The second-team All-Pro (after earning first-team honors the previous two seasons) had 117 receptions, 1,401 yards receiving, and 11 touchdowns last season for the Lions, and has maintained four straight seasons of more than 100 receptions and more than 1,100 yards receiving.

Jefferson was voted among the top five receivers by the AP panel despite a down season, receiving one first-place vote, two seconds, and appearing on seven ballots. The two-time All-Pro had 84 catches for 1,048 yards and two touchdowns last season while catching passes from three different Vikings quarterbacks, though he has averaged 97 catches, 1,413 yards, and seven touchdowns over his six NFL seasons.

Nacua was voted among the top five receivers by the AP panel, receiving one first-place vote, three seconds, and appearing on seven of eight ballots. The unanimous All-Pro selection led the NFL with 129 catches for 1,715 yards and 10 touchdowns last season, and has averaged 104 catches, 1,397 yards receiving, and six touchdowns over his three NFL seasons, serving as Matthew Stafford's top target and anchoring the Rams' elite passing attack.

Chase was voted second among top receivers by the AP panel, receiving two first-place votes, three seconds, two thirds, and was left off one ballot. The unanimous All-Pro selection had 125 receptions, 1,412 yards receiving, and eight touchdowns last season after earning the receiving triple crown in 2024, and tied Justin Jefferson for first place in the same survey last year.

Smith-Njigba was voted the NFL's top wide receiver by The Associated Press preseason survey panel of eight pro football writers, receiving four first-place votes, three thirds, and a fourth (10, 3, and 1 points respectively). The 24-year-old set team records with 1,793 receiving yards and 119 receptions last season, earned a four-year, $168.6 million extension averaging $42.15 million annually with over $120 million guaranteed, was a unanimous All-Pro selection, and had nine 100-yard receiving games during the regular season as a key contributor to Seattle's Super Bowl championship.

Jaylen Waddle has run 519 routes with Tyreek Hill off the field since 2022. On them, he's averaged: 0.29 TPRR (~WR8) 2.84 YPRR (WR3) For perspective, if he were to run as many routes as Courtland Sutton did in 2025 at that efficiency: 1,559 receiving yards 159 targets 17.4 FPG

Jaylen Waddle has run 519 routes with Tyreek Hill off the field since 2022. On them, he's averaged: 0.29 TPRR (~WR8) 2.84 YPRR (WR3) For perspective, if he were to run as many routes as Courtland Sutton did in 2025 at that efficiency: 1,559 receiving yards 159 targets 17.4 FPG

Jaylen Waddle has run 519 routes with Tyreek Hill off the field since 2022. On them, he's averaged: 0.29 TPRR (~WR8) 2.84 YPRR (WR3) For perspective, if he were to run as many routes as Courtland Sutton did in 2025 at that efficiency: 1,559 receiving yards 159 targets 17.4 FPG

Recent Risers/Fallers in Sleeper ADP: Risers: Jeremiyah Love (20.5 ➡️ 17.1) Colston Loveland (49.7 ➡️ 42.1) Cam Skattebo (52.6 ➡️ 44.4) David Montgomery (64.8 ➡️ 53.5) Fallers: AJ Brown (19.6 ➡️ 24.4) Chris Olave (25.6 ➡️ 31.8) Rome Odunze (47.7 ➡️ 62.6) *0.5 PPR*

Recent Risers/Fallers in Sleeper ADP: Risers: Jeremiyah Love (20.5 ➡️ 17.1) Colston Loveland (49.7 ➡️ 42.1) Cam Skattebo (52.6 ➡️ 44.4) David Montgomery (64.8 ➡️ 53.5) Fallers: AJ Brown (19.6 ➡️ 24.4) Chris Olave (25.6 ➡️ 31.8) Rome Odunze (47.7 ➡️ 62.6) *0.5 PPR*

Recent Risers/Fallers in Sleeper ADP: Risers: Jeremiyah Love (20.5 ➡️ 17.1) Colston Loveland (49.7 ➡️ 42.1) Cam Skattebo (52.6 ➡️ 44.4) David Montgomery (64.8 ➡️ 53.5) Fallers: AJ Brown (19.6 ➡️ 24.4) Chris Olave (25.6 ➡️ 31.8) Rome Odunze (47.7 ➡️ 62.6) *0.5 PPR*

Recent Risers/Fallers in Sleeper ADP: Risers: Jeremiyah Love (20.5 ➡️ 17.1) Colston Loveland (49.7 ➡️ 42.1) Cam Skattebo (52.6 ➡️ 44.4) David Montgomery (64.8 ➡️ 53.5) Fallers: AJ Brown (19.6 ➡️ 24.4) Chris Olave (25.6 ➡️ 31.8) Rome Odunze (47.7 ➡️ 62.6) *0.5 PPR*

Recent Risers/Fallers in Sleeper ADP: Risers: Jeremiyah Love (20.5 ➡️ 17.1) Colston Loveland (49.7 ➡️ 42.1) Cam Skattebo (52.6 ➡️ 44.4) David Montgomery (64.8 ➡️ 53.5) Fallers: AJ Brown (19.6 ➡️ 24.4) Chris Olave (25.6 ➡️ 31.8) Rome Odunze (47.7 ➡️ 62.6) *0.5 PPR*

Recent Risers/Fallers in Sleeper ADP: Risers: Jeremiyah Love (20.5 ➡️ 17.1) Colston Loveland (49.7 ➡️ 42.1) Cam Skattebo (52.6 ➡️ 44.4) David Montgomery (64.8 ➡️ 53.5) Fallers: AJ Brown (19.6 ➡️ 24.4) Chris Olave (25.6 ➡️ 31.8) Rome Odunze (47.7 ➡️ 62.6) *0.5 PPR*

Recent Risers/Fallers in Sleeper ADP: Risers: Jeremiyah Love (20.5 ➡️ 17.1) Colston Loveland (49.7 ➡️ 42.1) Cam Skattebo (52.6 ➡️ 44.4) David Montgomery (64.8 ➡️ 53.5) Fallers: AJ Brown (19.6 ➡️ 24.4) Chris Olave (25.6 ➡️ 31.8) Rome Odunze (47.7 ➡️ 62.6) *0.5 PPR*

How many touchdowns for Mike Evans this season?

CMC has leapfrogged Jonathan Taylor in ADP 🍿👀

CMC has leapfrogged Jonathan Taylor in ADP 🍿👀

Since 2022, Devonta Smith has run 187 routes without A.J. Brown on the field. On them, he's averaged: 2.59 YPRR (~WR8) 0.31 TPRR (~WR6) 0.61 XFP/RR (~WR4) For comparison, with Brown on the field: 1.99 YPRR (~WR25) 0.21 TPRR (~WR43) 0.42 XFP/RR (~WR28) @​FantasyPtsData

Since 2022, Devonta Smith has run 187 routes without A.J. Brown on the field. On them, he's averaged: 2.59 YPRR (~WR8) 0.31 TPRR (~WR6) 0.61 XFP/RR (~WR4) For comparison, with Brown on the field: 1.99 YPRR (~WR25) 0.21 TPRR (~WR43) 0.42 XFP/RR (~WR28) @​FantasyPtsData

Wan’Dale Robinson in 2025: 92 REC + 1,014 Yards + 4 TDs What will he have in 2026 on the Titans?

Chase Brown should be a 2/3 turn pick rather than a top 5 RB IMO. He's not a particularly good runner (middling explosive rates and tackle-breaker each of L2 years), which doesn't matter a ton in the grand scheme of his production but it does when were splitting hairs between these top guys. There's some workload concerns at this cost too. In 2025, he accounted for just 60% of rushes and split goal line work evenly with Perine from Week 7 on (in games both were active). And then the Bengals d...

Chase Brown should be a 2/3 turn pick rather than a top 5 RB IMO. He's not a particularly good runner (middling explosive rates and tackle-breaker each of L2 years), which doesn't matter a ton in the grand scheme of his production but it does when were splitting hairs between these top guys. There's some workload concerns at this cost too. In 2025, he accounted for just 60% of rushes and split goal line work evenly with Perine from Week 7 on (in games both were active). And then the Bengals d...

Travis Etienne is a middling talent at RB (poor explosive rate 3 years running as well as weak self-creation numbers in terms of MTF/YACo), attached to a mediocre offense (NO 23rd in implied PPG), and has a clear thorn in his side for receiving production (Kamara). Easy fade in round 3.

Terron Armstead is very good at content. Good insights on Kamara's perspective on the 2026 season. Very clearly seems to be the RB2 in his old school Kamara role. Have to move Travis Etienne down just a bit.

Terron Armstead is very good at content. Good insights on Kamara's perspective on the 2026 season. Very clearly seems to be the RB2 in his old school Kamara role. Have to move Travis Etienne down just a bit.

The Saints and RB Alvin Kamara have agreed to a restructured contract to keep him in New Orleans, per @​nick_underhill.

Alvin Kamara and the Saints are finalizing a new deal [Retweeted](

Received $24M guaranteed; community split on snap-share impact from Kamara. Optimists project 60–70% of snaps and cite contract size as guarantee of starter role; pessimists worry about Kamara's presence, Saints' sub-.500 projection, and OC Kellen Moore's reluctance to target RBs. Some note he left muddied Jaguars backfield (Tank, Tuten) for similar Saints situation. Mid-4th round ADP mentioned; some advise buying dips from panic sellers, others warn against drafting at current ADP.

Restructured contract signals reduced role; community views him as 'vibes guy' or 'mascot' rather than fantasy asset. Played 70–80% of snaps before injury last season but looked 'cooked' in 2024; now expected to be third-down/two-minute back with minimal snap share. Made clear he wanted to retire as Saint and rejected trade rumors; restructure was pay-cut negotiation to avoid release. No longer fantasy-relevant in most formats; handcuff value only.

Alvin Kamara agreed to restructured contract to remain with Saints, per @​nick_underhill.

Oh hey there Dylan Sampson

Ben Johnson on D’Andre Swift: "He's a dynamic player. I’ve known that about him since he came into the league… So, is he capable of more? Absolutely. He absolutely is. He's a vital part of what we do here." (@​GabbyHajduk)

Comments mention Sarrett as alternative Ravens pass-catcher target: 'I'm just not that into Lamar pass catchers as of late...if he fall a round or two to me I would take him for sure.' Another: 'I have been taking some Sarratt late in best ball.' Positioned as late-round value play over Flowers.

Comments reference Henry's presence as potential constraint on Ravens passing volume and Flowers' TD upside. One comment: 'Just let Lamar run or send Henry up the gut 4 times anywhere close to red zone.' Another: 'he's just not that kind of player and they don't run that kind of offense with Henry on the team.' Suggests skepticism that Ravens will actually increase pass attempts significantly given run-heavy identity.

Post mentions Andrews in passing: 'don't sleep on him' in context of expected Ravens pass-attempt increase. No substantive community discussion or sentiment captured.

Post argues Lamar is disrespected (ranked #69 on NFL Top 100) and will regress positively, citing two prior instances when he finished outside top 50: won MVP both times and finished QB1 and QB3 in PPG. Post notes Baltimore's expected pass-attempt increase should boost his fantasy value. Comments defend Lamar's passing credentials: 4,172 passing yards, 41 TDs, 4 INTs in 2024 (highest passer rating in NFL history, best TD:INT ratio 41:4); ~322 fantasy points from passing alone (~19 PPG); top-3 passer who added ~1,000 rushing yards. On pace for 4,091 passing yards through week 3 before hamstring injury. Skeptics argue he's a run-first QB and that pass-catcher upside is limited; one comment...

Post projects WR1 upside based on elite YPRR, target rate on routes, and expected volume increase (Baltimore averaged 24.8 pass attempts in 2024, second-fewest in a decade; historical precedent shows +6.1 attempts/game regression). Finished WR7 in 2024 with 1,211 yards and 5 TDs. Comments heavily dispute: only 4 TDs in weeks 2–17 (excluding week 1 and 18), averaging 60 yards and 0.19 TDs per game in fantasy-relevant weeks; 23.8% of season production came in weeks 1 and 18; WR7 finish inflated by injuries to Wilson, Lamb, AJ Brown, Higgins, others. Defenders counter that 1,211 yards and 69.3% career catch rate (77-858-5, 74-1,059-4, 86-1,211-5 over three seasons) show steady improvement; r...

Since 2024, Chris Godwin ranks 3rd in YPRR on plays with during-snap motion (3.99, behind only Puka Nacua and Nico Collins). Even playing injured + without Liam Coen in 2025, he ranked 2nd (4.02). Read through the two posts I'm quoting. Incredibly exciting stuff @​FantasyPtsData

Since 2024, Chris Godwin ranks 3rd in YPRR on plays with during-snap motion (3.99, behind only Puka Nacua and Nico Collins). Even playing injured + without Liam Coen in 2025, he ranked 2nd (4.02). Read through the two posts I'm quoting. Incredibly exciting stuff @​FantasyPtsData

Since 2024, Chris Godwin ranks 3rd in YPRR on plays with during-snap motion (3.99, behind only Puka Nacua and Nico Collins). Even playing injured + without Liam Coen in 2025, he ranked 2nd (4.02). Read through the two posts I'm quoting. Incredibly exciting stuff @​FantasyPtsData

Happy retirement to Cowboys preseason legend Will Grier [Quoted](

I have been and still am concerned that we saw clear signs of decline in AJ Brown's game on film last year. However, there are two ways that concern could be unfounded, or at least less important, for this coming season. 1) He was playing hurt before the bye. There are dramatic splits in his #ReceptionPerception success rates between his games sampled pre and post-Week 9. The post rates are still lower than his elite standards but are generally good. All that is outlined in the profile. 2) He...

.@​LRiddickESPN on George Pickens contract talks: "The Dallas Cowboys are just not comfortable giving George Pickens that financial security by signing him to a long-term deal."

8th round Makai Lemon is one of the sweetest values on DraftKings right now #DKpartner

Jared Verse on Deshaun Watson and Shedeur Sanders: "These are two great quarterbacks ... so far I've just seen two elite quarterbacks battling it out." (@​gmfb)

Jared Verse on Deshaun Watson and Shedeur Sanders: "These are two great quarterbacks ... so far I've just seen two elite quarterbacks battling it out." (@​gmfb)

Is Caleb Williams the best QB in the NFC North?

🚨 Dynasty-changing insights incoming. The latest @​DynastyPts covers 5 players to watch, coaching tips that could reshape your season, and @​RyanJ_Heath breaks down what this new offense could unlock for Marvin Harrison Jr. 👀 #DynastyPoints Watch the full episode here ➡️ <https://youtu.be/8JIQH4NZniE>

Look, I love Josh Downs, you love Josh Downs, we all love Josh Downs. That said: No way Colts go into Week 1 with Ashton Dulin or Nick Westbrook-Ikhine as WR3. Stefon Diggs or Keenan Allen? Deebo Samuel? Boutte trade? Idk what the move will be, but it will be bad for Mr. Downs.

Look, I love Josh Downs, you love Josh Downs, we all love Josh Downs. That said: No way Colts go into Week 1 with Ashton Dulin or Nick Westbrook-Ikhine as WR3. Stefon Diggs or Keenan Allen? Deebo Samuel? Boutte trade? Idk what the move will be, but it will be bad for Mr. Downs.

Look, I love Josh Downs, you love Josh Downs, we all love Josh Downs. That said: No way Colts go into Week 1 with Ashton Dulin or Nick Westbrook-Ikhine as WR3. Stefon Diggs or Keenan Allen? Deebo Samuel? Boutte trade? Idk what the move will be, but it will be bad for Mr. Downs.

Stevie Johnson on training with Keon Coleman this offseason: "I thought he was going to be immature. I thought he was going to be, not a student of the game, just a very talented player with God-given skills ... But right off the bat he was locked in, wanting to learn things."

We as a society are fine shooting DeVonta Smith, Ladd McConkey and Emeka Egbuka up the fantasy ranks because they're young talents in offenses that lost a target hog and are getting scheme upgrades. Love it. I agree Then there's Jaylen Waddle ... who is also all those things!

We as a society are fine shooting DeVonta Smith, Ladd McConkey and Emeka Egbuka up the fantasy ranks because they're young talents in offenses that lost a target hog and are getting scheme upgrades. Love it. I agree Then there's Jaylen Waddle ... who is also all those things!

2025 catchable target rate for notable top wide receivers vs. what their new QB posted to their wide receivers last season (screens removed). Example: Justin Jefferson 60.7% catchable target rate last season. Kyler Murray had a 69.6% catchable target rate to WRs last season.

2025 catchable target rate for notable top wide receivers vs. what their new QB posted to their wide receivers last season (screens removed). Example: Justin Jefferson 60.7% catchable target rate last season. Kyler Murray had a 69.6% catchable target rate to WRs last season.

De’Von Achane among 80 RBs since 2021, per @​FantasyPtsData: + 2.06 explosive rush yards/att (2nd) + 7.4% explosive rush rate (2nd) + 16.5% target share (3rd) + 0.25 targets/route run (3rd) + 32.7 rec YPG (4th) + 1.60 yards/route run (6th) + 0.3 rec TDs/game (3rd)

This comment was a tad tongue-in-cheek, but I did a deep dive on Tucker Kraft. My thoughts below at @​Footballguys [Quoted](

Babe, wake up: Fantasy football running back tiers just dropped! -This year we'll spell redemption S-a-q-u-o-n -How do fantasy RBs perform in bad real-life offenses? -Are we drinking the Bhayshul Tuten Kool-Aid? (yes) -Tank Bigsby no matter what -MORE ✍️ <https://www.rotowire.com/football/article/fantasy-football-draft-rankings-2026-rb-tiers-122683>

Babe, wake up: Fantasy football running back tiers just dropped! -This year we'll spell redemption S-a-q-u-o-n -How do fantasy RBs perform in bad real-life offenses? -Are we drinking the Bhayshul Tuten Kool-Aid? (yes) -Tank Bigsby no matter what -MORE ✍️ <https://www.rotowire.com/football/article/fantasy-football-draft-rankings-2026-rb-tiers-122683>

Drake London lands at No. 66 on the NFL Top 100 Ranking! Is this too low? 🤔

.@​APfeifer24 ranks his top fantasy football BUST candidates for 2026: 1 - Matthew Stafford 2 - Omarion Hampton 3 - Bucky Irving 4 - Tetairoa McMillan 5 - Jake Ferguson

.@​APfeifer24 ranks his top fantasy football BUST candidates for 2026: 1 - Matthew Stafford 2 - Omarion Hampton 3 - Bucky Irving 4 - Tetairoa McMillan 5 - Jake Ferguson

An NFL Coordinator on Amon-Ra St. Brown: "He's putting continuous stress on you even when you know he's not going vertical. He has a unique way of working leverage. Strong as hell, can separate at the point and is shifty, plays as if he's being disrespected at all times."

An NFL Coordinator on Puka Nacua: "Strong hands, contact balance, ability to block in the run game, run after the catch, run through the catch, can go get it, can play any spot. Complete WR. Him and Chase are the hardest to tackle."

NFL coaches/execs/scouts rank their Top 10 WRs: 1 - Ja’Marr Chase 2 - Justin Jefferson 3 - Jaxon Smith-Njigba 4 - Puka Nacua 5 - Amon-Ra St. Brown 6 - CeeDee Lamb 7 - George Pickens 8 - Nico Collins 9 - AJ Brown 10 - Davante Adams (@​JFowlerESPN)

NFL coaches/execs/scouts rank their Top 10 WRs: 1 - Ja’Marr Chase 2 - Justin Jefferson 3 - Jaxon Smith-Njigba 4 - Puka Nacua 5 - Amon-Ra St. Brown 6 - CeeDee Lamb 7 - George Pickens 8 - Nico Collins 9 - AJ Brown 10 - Davante Adams (@​JFowlerESPN)

NFL coaches/execs/scouts rank their Top 10 WRs: 1 - Ja’Marr Chase 2 - Justin Jefferson 3 - Jaxon Smith-Njigba 4 - Puka Nacua 5 - Amon-Ra St. Brown 6 - CeeDee Lamb 7 - George Pickens 8 - Nico Collins 9 - AJ Brown 10 - Davante Adams (@​JFowlerESPN)

NFL coaches/execs/scouts rank their Top 10 WRs: 1 - Ja’Marr Chase 2 - Justin Jefferson 3 - Jaxon Smith-Njigba 4 - Puka Nacua 5 - Amon-Ra St. Brown 6 - CeeDee Lamb 7 - George Pickens 8 - Nico Collins 9 - AJ Brown 10 - Davante Adams (@​JFowlerESPN)

NFL coaches/execs/scouts rank their Top 10 WRs: 1 - Ja’Marr Chase 2 - Justin Jefferson 3 - Jaxon Smith-Njigba 4 - Puka Nacua 5 - Amon-Ra St. Brown 6 - CeeDee Lamb 7 - George Pickens 8 - Nico Collins 9 - AJ Brown 10 - Davante Adams (@​JFowlerESPN)

NFL coaches/execs/scouts rank their Top 10 WRs: 1 - Ja’Marr Chase 2 - Justin Jefferson 3 - Jaxon Smith-Njigba 4 - Puka Nacua 5 - Amon-Ra St. Brown 6 - CeeDee Lamb 7 - George Pickens 8 - Nico Collins 9 - AJ Brown 10 - Davante Adams (@​JFowlerESPN)

NFL coaches/execs/scouts rank their Top 10 WRs: 1 - Ja’Marr Chase 2 - Justin Jefferson 3 - Jaxon Smith-Njigba 4 - Puka Nacua 5 - Amon-Ra St. Brown 6 - CeeDee Lamb 7 - George Pickens 8 - Nico Collins 9 - AJ Brown 10 - Davante Adams (@​JFowlerESPN)

NFL coaches/execs/scouts rank their Top 10 WRs: 1 - Ja’Marr Chase 2 - Justin Jefferson 3 - Jaxon Smith-Njigba 4 - Puka Nacua 5 - Amon-Ra St. Brown 6 - CeeDee Lamb 7 - George Pickens 8 - Nico Collins 9 - AJ Brown 10 - Davante Adams (@​JFowlerESPN)

NFL coaches/execs/scouts rank their Top 10 WRs: 1 - Ja’Marr Chase 2 - Justin Jefferson 3 - Jaxon Smith-Njigba 4 - Puka Nacua 5 - Amon-Ra St. Brown 6 - CeeDee Lamb 7 - George Pickens 8 - Nico Collins 9 - AJ Brown 10 - Davante Adams (@​JFowlerESPN)

NFL coaches/execs/scouts rank their Top 10 WRs: 1 - Ja’Marr Chase 2 - Justin Jefferson 3 - Jaxon Smith-Njigba 4 - Puka Nacua 5 - Amon-Ra St. Brown 6 - CeeDee Lamb 7 - George Pickens 8 - Nico Collins 9 - AJ Brown 10 - Davante Adams (@​JFowlerESPN)

Barkley's role in the Giants offense is expected to be limited and uninspiring. Fantasy Points projects the Giants to have a bottom-two running back offense (alongside the Dolphins), with pessimism driven by the overall offensive situation and uncertainty about whether the team will feature him meaningfully.

Nabers' fantasy value is severely constrained by the Giants' receiver room uncertainty and his health status. If Nabers misses time or returns at half health, the Giants could have either the best or worst wide receiver room in the NFL, creating a high-variance, risky situation. No one else on the team is producing, making Nabers' health and role critical but unpredictable.

Harrison benefits from Michael LaFleur as new Cardinals play caller. Conventional wisdom expects slow, run-heavy offense, but LaFleur showed willingness to unleash veteran QBs in negative game scripts with Jets: 300+ passing yards per game (more than any 2025 NFL team) and 60% pass rate (6th-highest among play callers past 5 years) when removing Zach Wilson starts. In three healthy games with Jacoby Brissett, Harrison posted 18.7 expected fantasy points per game (top-4 WR mark) and 14.9 actual (top-12), alpha over Trey McBride. ADP outside Round 5–6 in both formats despite McBride's expensive cost. 40% chance Harrison is leading receiver; layering high-dropback-volume scenario creates value for elite prospect entering Year 3.

Sampson had one of the most efficient receiving seasons of any rookie running back over the past five years, but his target volume is partially inflated by small-sample situations: 8–9 catches in Week 1 with Joe Flacco (who peppered him repeatedly) and a 50–60 yard screen pass against Raiders in Week 12 (Shadur Jackson's first start). His college receiving profile was run-of-the-mill, not elite like Jameer Gibbs. Under Monken's system, Sampson likely handles passing-down work in 2026, though Judkins showed late-season receiving upside (3–5 targets in final games) that could shift the split if he proves elite.

Judkins benefits from Todd Monken as new Browns play caller; Monken has run efficient offenses with Ravens (Lamar Jackson, Derrick Henry), Buccaneers, and Georgia. Monken historically separates primary runner and receiver roles—Dylan Sampson likely handles passing downs. Judkins projects as a two-down back in an offense expected to struggle and lose games in 2026, limiting ceiling. However, Judkins could see Josh Jacobs-level 30+ receptions and 40+ targets if he asserts himself in negative game scripts; 2027 upside (post-top-5-pick, new QB) is more compelling than 2026 production.

If Ballage gets hurt, the Bears don't have quality backup options, as the coaching staff doesn't like Roshan Johnson and British Brown is only a backup-backup.

Ballage will handle the early-down running duties for the Bears, with Swift taking over pass-catching responsibilities in a split similar to late last season.

Swift had one of his best seasons on film last year, possibly his best ever, and the Bears bringing back the same backfield without adding competition suggests he's underrated heading into 2026.

Swift is expected to provide consistent 10-13 usable fantasy points per week as a low-end RB2 with significant upside if he outplays Kalen Ballage or if Ballage gets injured.

Swift's ADP varies significantly across platforms—going in the early 50s on Underdog but closer to 60 overall on Sleeper, ESPN, and Yahoo—making him a strong value pick for hero running back builds in the fifth or sixth round.

The Bears backfield was sixth in expected fantasy points last season, providing a large pie to split with significant potential for spiked weeks even in a split situation.

If the Bears offense improves with Caleb Williams playing better, Swift could reach around RB1 value; if Kalen Ballage gets hurt, Swift becomes a definite RB1 situation.

Swift was above RB21 last year in games where the backfield was already splitting, suggesting his current ADP around RB21 may be buying him at his floor without accounting for offense improvement or injury upside.

De'Andre Swift was already performing above RB21 value in games where the Bears were splitting carries last season, suggesting his current ADP undervalues his actual production.

De'Andre Swift has significant upside if Kalen Ballage gets injured, as he would move to third or even second-round value, and the Bears lack depth at running back with limited options behind him.

De'Andre Swift has the clear lead back role with the Bears and will handle the majority of pass-catching duties, with Kalen Ballage limited to change-of-pace roles.

Kenneth Walker III is being compared to the Damien Williams role under Andy Reid, which was a highly productive fantasy role, with Walker having superior talent compared to Williams.

The Chiefs backfield has 12th-ranked expected touchdowns over the last two seasons, just behind elite teams like the Ravens, 49ers, and Eagles, providing significant touchdown equity even if Patrick Mahomes is at 80% of his former self post-ACL.

Kenneth Walker III has significant touchdown upside and could push for 15 touchdowns this season, with no other roster competition for goal-line carries.

Kenneth Walker III could realistically finish as RB4 if he stays healthy all season, with the potential to be placed in a Jamal Charles-type role under Andy Reid with Eric Bieniemy returning and Matt Nagy gone.

Cam Akers is mentioned as part of the tier of running backs in conversation with Ken Walker after James Cook and Ashton Jeanty.

Saquon Barkley is mentioned as a comparable player to Ken Walker in terms of ADP and running style, with similar boom-bust characteristics.

Ashton Jeanty is preferred over Ken Walker, with the analyst stating he would rather have Jeanty than Walker.

James Cook is preferred over Ken Walker in draft rankings, with the analyst stating he would not take Walker over Cook.

There is a possibility of the Chiefs adding Stefon Diggs, which would further elevate the floor of the Chiefs offense.

Mahomes is expected to be fine and will be the key facilitator of the Chiefs offense, transforming them from the worst offense to a top-five offense just by being on the field.

Patrick Mahomes is coming off a knee injury and is expected to be back likely for week one, but his performance level upon return is critical to the Chiefs offense's success.

Derrick Henry is noted as a Hall of Fame player in the mid-second round ADP conversation, with potential similarities to Saquon Barkley's 2024 situation with the Eagles.

Kittle is valued at tight end nine, which represents nice value based on his price. The analyst likes the bet because Kittle was productive in games he played last year, and his ADP is attractive compared to his upside.

At tight end 9 ADP, Kittle represents excellent value and is a continuous target for drafting throughout the summer.

Tonges was pretty productive in games that Kittle missed last year, ranking as a low-end tight end one, making him a viable streaming option if Kittle misses games early in the season.

Loveland is going above Kittle in ADP, creating an opportunity cost compared to Kittle's current draft position.

McBride is going above Kittle in ADP, creating an opportunity cost compared to Kittle's current draft position.

Bowers is going above Kittle in ADP, creating an opportunity cost compared to Kittle's current draft position.

Kmet is going above Kittle in ADP, creating an opportunity cost compared to Kittle's current draft position.

Goedert is ranked tight end 15 and offers immediate early season production while waiting for Kittle to return to health.

Andrews is a reliable plug-and-play tight end option at his ADP who provides immediate early season production, contrasting with Kittle's late-season availability.

Kittle should be healthy for November and December when fantasy football money is made, making him a valuable late-season asset despite missing early season production.

Kraft got injured earlier in the year than Kittle but should have more injury optimism than Kittle given the nature of his injury.

At his current ADP, Kittle offers elite tight end production without requiring the opportunity cost of spending up on quarterback, receiver, or running back, unlike competitors like Cole Kmet, Loveland, Brock Bowers, Trey McBride, and Ty Warren.

Tucker Kraft is going three and a half rounds ahead of Kittle in ADP despite also coming off a significant injury, creating a relative value discrepancy.

Even if Kittle reaches close to 100% health by early October (week 5-6), he's likely to pay off his ADP given his historical role as a top target on his team.

Kittle is going at TE9 (ADP 113), significantly cheaper than his historical ADP and cheaper than several other tight ends despite his consistent top-5 fantasy production when healthy.

Kittle is looking ahead of schedule in his recovery from a torn Achilles, and while there's a chance he may not be at 100% in September, the analyst is targeting him for October-December production rather than early season.

Tyler Warren is expected to lead the Colts in targets, though perhaps not by a significant margin this season given the expanded receiving role opportunities.

Pierce is positioned as the true X receiver for the Colts and will benefit from explosive play opportunities and contested catches, though he'll need to earn more targets this season due to roster changes.

At 25 years old and fully healthy entering a bigger role, Downs is positioned to have an outstanding season after being hampered by an ankle injury that kept him from being fully healthy in September last year.

Downs' ADP has risen significantly from around 110-115 in May to WR43 currently, but the analyst still views him as underpriced at that level, calling it 'a little too cheap for him.'

If Downs reaches 70 catches for 800 yards at his current ADP of WR43, he will more than pay off that draft cost with additional upside potential.

Downs is expected to play in the flanker/outside role in Steichen's offense, which uses motion to get receivers in optimal positions. This represents a significant change from his past where he rarely played outside, even when other receivers were injured.

Dealing with a foot injury and ankle injury; might not be totally 100% for September this season.

A virtual lock to achieve 75% plus route share this season as long as he's healthy, unless the Colts sign Stefon Diggs.

Extremely bullish on his prospects; even if the Colts add a guy like Keenan Allen or Deebo Samuel in a third-down specialist role with 50-60% route share, there's still opportunity for Downs to play in the outside role.

Seen practicing on the outside, which is something new; this gives him the opportunity to show he can be a Z receiver, which is huge because the Z receiver usually lines up on the side of the tight end and doesn't have to play on the line of scrimmage.

Unless the Colts sign Keenan Allen or Stefon Diggs, it is wheels up on Josh Downs getting a full-time route share this season.

Role is expected to change significantly; has played just 6% of snaps in 12 personnel throughout his career and essentially never when two tight ends are on the field, but this must change this year.

Had eight games with 60% or more of the snaps last season (8 of 16), up from just one game the prior year, showing increased snap share; even with Raheem Davis taking a few carries, Cook's pass-game role should maintain him at 55-65% snap rate this season.

Scored 32 touchdowns in his last 33 games, giving him awesome touchdown upside.

A target is worth 2.7 times more PPR points than a single carry; if Cook goes from 300 carries to 275 but gains one to two extra targets per game, that would be a massive boon to his fantasy value.

Being drafted as running back six or seven, but is an awesome pick at the end of the first round or one-two turn pick, ranked in the second tier right after JT McCaffrey.

Expected to see decreased rushing role but increased pass-down role, with one to two additional targets per game, which could add 1-2 PPR points per game and push him toward 20-21 PPR points per game—a top-three running back season.

James Cook is currently being drafted as running back 6 or 7, despite the potential for a top-3 to top-5 season based on his increased pass game role.

James Cook's increased pass game role could add 1-2 fantasy points per game, potentially pushing him to 20-21 PPR points per game, which would be a top-3 to top-5 running back season.

James Cook's route share is expected to increase from 38% in 2025 toward the 50-60% range that Alvin Kamara saw under Pete Carmichael, potentially adding 1-2 receptions per game.

James Cook is due for a big increase in his pass game role due to the Bills' coaching change, with Pete Carmichael bringing experience utilizing running backs as pass catchers.

Travis Etienne has always been a little overrated as a pass catcher, but the Jaguars' scheme with designed screens will be conducive to his receiving touches regardless.

Travis Etienne has always been a little overrated as a pass catcher, suggesting his value may be inflated in fantasy drafts.

Travis Etienne had around 38% of inside five carries last year, compared to Basil Tuten's quarter of those carries.

Despite his rookie season being viewed as a disappointment with only 83 carries, Bijan Robinson's efficiency metrics and athletic profile suggest he can have a breakout year with significant upside.

Bijan Robinson's film shows excellent feel for zone rush scheme concepts and he presses the hole perfectly, demonstrating the fundamentals needed to increase his role in the offense.

Bijan Robinson led the Jaguars backfield in yards after contact per attempt, missed tackles forced per attempt, and success rate on 83 carries in his rookie season.

Bijan Robinson has a chance to go from a fifth round pick to second round value this year, with potential for top-10 running back production and low-end RB1 status.

Chris Rodriguez has fallen about 10-11 spots in ADP since the start of the offseason due to his Jones fracture injury.

Chris Rodriguez does not play in the pass game, limiting his upside in an offense that emphasizes designed screens to running backs.

Chris Rodriguez suffered a Jones fracture, which has historically caused significant regression in production for receivers like Julio Jones, Dez Bryant, and Sammy Watkins in the same season and future seasons.

Chris Rodriguez has virtually no background of strong production outside of last year, bounced around practice squads, and now faces a Jones fracture injury that opens the door for other backfield options.

Chris Rodriguez did not practice in OTAs and underwent foot surgery, with speculation of a Jones fracture, which historically causes significant regression in players like Julio Jones, Dez Bryant, and Sammy Watkins.

D'Ernest Johnson had a top-five success rate last year and showed strong efficiency in short-yardage carries despite stacked boxes, suggesting his skill set could translate to more significant production with expanded usage.

D'Ernest Johnson's pricing versus Chris Rodriguez is compared to the sharper Chase Brown versus Zack Moss comparison from a couple years ago, suggesting Johnson is undervalued relative to his opportunity.

Travis Etienne left the Jaguars for the Saints in free agency, opening up significant fantasy production opportunity in the Jacksonville backfield.

Zane Dehghany discovered and tweeted out a video of Josh Downs discussing his role in the offense from a local reporter, which caught significant traction and sparked his broader OTA analysis work.

Marvin Harrison Jr. may not be as productive as Michael Wilson was during his strong stretch last year, with potential target competition from Michael Wilson in the Cardinals offense.

Khalil Shakir is placed ahead of Ricky Pearsall in Tier 7, though the analyst notes the order within the tier doesn't necessarily reflect a strict ranking.

Ricky Pearsall is identified as one of the players who could really outperform his Tier 7 placement if things go right.

Michael Wilson could outperform his Tier 7 placement if everything goes right, similar to how he performed last year when someone ahead of him wasn't healthy, and could be better than Marvin Harrison Jr. for targets.

DK Metcalf is preferred over Michael Pittman due to more upside, though the analyst acknowledges it wouldn't shock him if Pittman has a better fantasy season.

Michael Pittman averaged over 16 PPR points per game in the first nine games last season when Daniel Jones was healthy before Jones broke his leg in Week 10, and may benefit from Mike McCarthy's offense potentially throwing more downfield, though Aaron Rodgers' preferences at 42 years old create uncertainty.

Xavier Worthy had a strong playoff finish that pushed him up in ADP, but was a bust, playing only one snap in Week 18 after his late-season surge.

Chris Godwin is ranked low in Tier 7 due to concerns about his health, whether he's still the same player, and uncertainty about Baker Mayfield's ability to support him as a second option in a Bucs offense the analyst is down on.

The analyst is higher on Jamison Williams than his co-host Jamie, ranking him 25th compared to Jamie's 29th, reflecting confidence in the Lions' total pass attempts this season.

Christian Watson is the most likely alpha in his offense with a clear runway now that Dante Avionwicks and Romeo Dobbs are gone, positioning him for a potentially big year.

Malik Nabors is a much better prospect than Christian Watson coming off a torn ACL, with potential for a strong season similar to Watson's post-ACL performance, though health concerns make him harder to count on.

Analyst is anchored to the historical precedent that first-round picks who don't play much as rookies are typically bad, though acknowledges the Packers may be a unique coaching situation.

One analyst is skeptical about Golden's ability to earn targets despite increased playing time, though acknowledges there is at least some chance he could improve in that area.

Golden's per-route efficiency of 1.53 yards per route run as a rookie is solid and not a flameout; if he doubles his routes while maintaining that efficiency, he becomes a decent fantasy pick.

Golden is expected to play significantly more in year two after limited playing time as a rookie due to offensive crowding and coaching rotation; the Packers let two receivers leave, concentrating routes among remaining players.

Luther Burden receives double-digit route participation on screens and flat routes combined, significantly higher than McMillan's less than 5% usage on these quick-game concepts.

Emeka Egbuka receives 3% screen route participation and 4.7% flat route participation, totaling approximately 7-8% on quick-game concepts, higher than McMillan's usage.

Drake London moved from being used as an 80% on-ball outside receiver in his first two years under Arthur Smith to 37-39% slot usage in 2024, demonstrating role catering adjustments.

McMillan needs improvement in the quick game and better route catering from an offensive design standpoint to maximize his potential as the team's number one receiver.

McMillan could benefit from increased slot usage (37-39% similar to Drake London's 2024 season) and role catering in empty sets alongside Chris Coker, which could improve his quick-game effectiveness.

McMillan is positioned as a tier below elite short-route specialists like Michael Thomas and Drake London, with a step down in the archetype of contested-catch wide receivers.

McMillan's slant route success rate needs improvement to reach 75-77% to be truly effective, as the offense currently underutilizes quick-hitting slant routes where he could generate easy completions.

McMillan receives minimal route participation on screens (0.4%) and flat routes (4.1%), totaling less than 5% of his routes on these quick-game concepts despite being the team's number one wide receiver.

If McMillan can improve his slant route success rate to 75-77%, the offense will be cooking with gas, suggesting significant upside potential with this improvement.

McMillan needs to work on being a finisher and tighten up details when tracking the ball into his hands in tight coverage to offset his lack of separation on go routes.

McMillan can improve his contested catch rate and drop rate in year two based on his college performance; drops and contested catch rate are not sticky stats year-to-year, suggesting room for improvement.

McMillan dropped 7.4% of his sample targets as a rookie, leaving plays on the field at the catch point that need improvement in his second season.

McMillan had an under 18% contested target rate as a rookie and caught 66.7% of contested targets, falling short of elite contested catch receiver standards compared to peers like Drake London.

McMillan can still make big plays with his dig route success rate and run-after-catch ability despite nine route limitations, though his lack of elite straight-line speed may limit deep separation.

McMillan's post and nine route success rates are below average; the nine route weakness may be a permanent limitation of his game unless he makes significant leaps, as he lacked consistent separation on pure vertical go routes as a prospect.

McMillan is below 78% against zone coverage (40th percentile) and needs to improve his quick game decisiveness at break points against zone coverage, particularly on slant routes.

McMillan's 71% success rate on slant routes is below the 80% benchmark desired for elite X receivers, representing a clear area of need where he must improve getting open short.

McMillan has a 54% success rate on nine routes, which is slightly below average and not a strength for an X receiver who needs to excel on vertical routes.

Coker was drafted to stretch the field and open things up for other receivers in the Panthers' spread-field offense, serving as a sacrificial-type player who adds value through field spacing.

Young has not been an above-average starting quarterback, with inconsistent performance despite occasional strong games like against the Falcons.

Young's efficiency metrics declined significantly in 2025: 7.7 yards per attempt in 2024 dropped to 5.6 in 2025, with passer rating and other metrics down, partly due to limited receiver options to spread the field.

In 2024, Young averaged 11.2 yards per completion and 7.3 adjusted yards per attempt with a .11 EPA per dropback out of empty formations, showing solid efficiency when the field is spread.

Legette flopped in the X receiver position in 2024 as a rookie and needs role catering, requiring him to play off-ball and movement routes rather than outside receiver.

McMillan has a 91.5% success rate on the dig route and is solid on intermediate routes (dig, out, comeback), which aligns well with the Panthers' spread-field passing approach.

McMillan has a 54% success rate on the nine route (slightly below average) and a 70.1% success rate on the slant route, both areas where X receivers need to dominate, indicating room for improvement in his route-running effectiveness.

McMillan is positioned to benefit from the Panthers' spread-field offensive approach with multiple receivers, though he needs to improve in certain route areas to maximize targets in a high three-plus receiver usage system.

Bryce Young has not been an above-average starting quarterback statistically, with the analyst stating 'the product has not been good' and that he hasn't strung together consistent performance despite having some individual good games.

McMillan's route participation is heavily weighted toward in-breaking routes (17.5% dig, 14.2% curl, 15.3% slant) with only a 4.5% comeback rate, which the analyst believes reflects offensive coordinator Dave Canales working around quarterback Bryce Young's limitations rather than a coaching staff preference.

McMillan posted a 91.7% success rate on comeback routes, demonstrating elite hip-sink ability and separation against man coverage for a 6'4", 210+ pound receiver.

McMillan was ranked as a tier-two receiver prospect in the top 10 due to his ability to sink his hips and cleanly separate on routes, a strength that has translated to his professional performance.

McMillan's dig route success rate improved from the Rookie Report to the full season profile, and the analyst attributes this partly to the coaching staff moving him around more as the season progressed.

McMillan told the analyst at the Super Bowl that dig routes are his favorite route to run, and his on-field performance confirms this is his strength, with the analyst noting he's running dig routes at an almost 92% success rate despite criticism that he doesn't separate.

McMillan posted a 91.5% success rate on dig routes with 17.5% route participation, the sixth-best dig route success rate in the Reception Perception historical database as a rookie, demonstrating elite route-running ability on his most-run route.

Pittman is compared to McMillan as a big receiver who doesn't have to just play X but separates better than expected and runs good routes.

London is compared to McMillan as a similar type of big receiver who separates well, though the analyst believed London was a better prospect and showed more early in his career.

McMillan's best route was the dig with a 91.5% success rate on 17.5% route participation, making it both his most-run and most-successful route as a rookie.

McMillan showed positive results against press man coverage in year one, posting 72.3% success rate against man (72nd percentile) and just under 73% against press (70th percentile).

McMillan expressed desire to move around more in the offense, citing examples like the Rams and Jaxon Smith-Njigba who get routes from the backfield and all around the formation.

The Cardinals taking Chris Braswell in the third round signals they may move McMillan around more in the formation, similar to how elite receivers like Jaxon Smith-Njigba operate.

Coker being healthier in the back half of the year was valuable for Tetairoa McMillan because it allowed McMillan to get reps from the inside off the line of scrimmage.

Renfrow, coming back from medical retirement for over a year, could only play in the slot position, limiting his versatility.

Marshall had a massive game against the Atlanta Falcons in week 11, partly due to increased slot usage, showing he can produce when moved around the formation.

Playing Marshall 80% outside and on the line of scrimmage in combination is not ideal usage for a number one receiver; the Panthers should move him around the formation more.

Marshall posted 122 targets, 70 receptions, 1,014 yards, and 7 touchdowns with a 57.4% catch rate in his rookie season, demonstrating impressive results as an X receiver.

Marshall played 82.4% of snaps outside and 81% on the line of scrimmage as a rookie, establishing himself as the Panthers' number one receiver and demonstrating elite X receiver positioning.

Likely is identified as a solid late-round tight end option that can be paired with earlier selections or used as a secondary tight end in redraft leagues.

Goedert is identified as a solid late-round tight end option that can be paired with earlier selections or used as a secondary tight end in redraft leagues.

Freiermuth is identified as a solid late-round tight end option that can be paired with earlier selections or used as a secondary tight end in redraft leagues.

Njoku should be considered as a third tight end option in Underdog leagues and can be paired with earlier tight end selections for depth.

The author is uncertain about Njoku's exact role and involvement in the Chargers offense, but views him as a talented player with significant late-round upside.

Njoku is a late-round tight end target on the Chargers with significant upside, though the author acknowledges uncertainty about his involvement in the offense.

Kittle has been a top-6 tight end in adjusted points per game for eight straight seasons (2018-present), ranking as TE1-2 over the last two years, and is available in round 10 at a discount.

Despite tearing his Achilles last season, Kittle is expected to return ahead of schedule due to the higher placement of the injury on the Achilles, which doctors indicate provides a better recovery timeline.

Bowers offers WR1 production from the tight end position, providing a significant positional advantage that the author prioritizes in drafting strategy.

Loveland is ranked as the #1 tight end target in the author's strategy, positioned ahead of Luther Burden and Adun Aruna, with the potential to deliver WR1 production from the tight end position.

George Kittle tore his Achilles last season, but the analyst believes if any human can return from that injury quickly ahead of schedule, it's Kittle given his work ethic and training regimen.

Luther Burden is still a good pick because he could get force-fed a lot of looks, though he ranks behind Colston Loveland in the Bears receiving hierarchy.

Luther Burden was highly efficient last season but it's unclear if he can destroy defenses on routes; he may receive design plays rather than being the centerpiece of the offense.

Loveland will be used as a mismatch and in the red zone with plays designed to go to him, receiving significant volume compared to other Bears receivers like Adun and Luther Burden.

The analyst is targeting Colston Loveland in round four as his second-most owned tight end, viewing him as the centerpiece of Ben Johnson's offense with significant volume and red zone usage.

If the Bears center the offense around Colston Loveland, he could be the number one tight end with elite upside.

Ben Johnson is going to center the Bears offense around Colston Loveland this season, making him an absolute nightmare matchup for defenses as their number one wide receiver.

If Brock Bowers has a JSN-level season at tight end, it almost doesn't matter what else you do with the rest of your draft because that positional advantage will catapult you into the playoffs.

The analyst would take Brock Bowers over Derrick Henry, Devon Achane, Nico Collins, and Drake London in the mid-round range, viewing him as a significant positional advantage at tight end.

Brock Bowers has JSN-level upside at tight end and was planned by the Raiders analytics team to break the single-season receptions record before injury, with projections of 8 receptions for 120 yards and a score most weeks.

Had over 100 receiving yards through three quarters before getting injured against New England, indicating the Raiders were planning to force-feed him targets.

Analyst's most drafted tight end by a significant margin; Raiders analytics team planned for him to break the single-season receptions record last season before injury.

Still needs development and is not a superstar; even if he's just number three on the Chargers offense, he's well worth the pick at his current draft cost.

As a rookie last season, was already playing in two and even one wide receiver sets due to his blocking ability, and will see significant snap increase with Keenan Allen gone.

Fifth most rostered wide receiver; the Chargers' cheapest wide receiver by a significant margin with expected huge snap increase due to Keenan Allen's departure.

Represents the next best wide receiver option after Jefferson and Lamb are taken, offering locked-in talent with upside potential at a reasonable draft position.

If he puts together a fully healthy season, he would dominate in fantasy and could be a mid-to-late first-round pick next season.

Injury history is his biggest issue; has missed 3, 7, 2, 5, and 2 games over his five-year career, with the last three years showing a pattern where either he or CJ Stroud gets hurt, preventing him from putting together a fully healthy season.

Consistently ranks as a top-five wide receiver in yards per route run and first downs per route run over the last three years, two of the most predictive metrics for WR performance.

Fourth most drafted wide receiver; analyst has taken him on 20% of teams and likes him as a second-round pick when starting with elite RBs like Gibbs or Bijan.

Author has taken him on 20% of his teams and really likes him, indicating strong conviction in his fantasy outlook.

Has blood clots and concussion history that create injury concerns beyond typical NFL WR1 risks; a single concussion sidelines him for at least a month, increasing the likelihood of Jordan Tyson hitting contingent upside.

A really good round six pick that could creep into round five if he gets camp hype, at which point the author's exposure would drop. Could potentially be available in round seven in hometown redraft leagues.

Locked-in WR2 for the Saints with a great role starting in week one and amazing contingent upside if Chris Olave misses time. The Saints have a top-three pace, dome games, and a good schedule, making him a solid round six pick with multiple paths to success.

Once camp opens and he takes a ton of reps at wide receiver, his ADP should rise significantly from round 17, making him a closing-line-value play with huge spike potential on the Jaguars' great offense.

His ADP competition is Omar Cooper, Jaylen McMillan, Jaylen Naylor, and Jawan Jennings—not elite mid-round WRs—so he doesn't need to do much to overperform at his current ranking.

Elite athletic profile with 92nd percentile route success rate in college and 80th percentile versus man/press as a rookie. Can play all three WR positions at a highly successful rate and is one of the most athletic players in the NFL, available in round 12 on Underdog or round 17 in redraft as a sixth/last skill player pick.

Author's most drafted wide receiver at 36% (over 4x the field), arguing Travis Hunter is underrated despite lack of buzz due to injury absence from OTAs and 11-on-11s, with elite college route tree and rookie NFL performance clearing 80th percentile versus man and press coverage.

Author targets Michael Mayer as a late-round pairing option with Fernando Mendoza in the Raiders offense, available in rounds 17-18.

Author notes Gabe Nabers is still a stud for the Raiders, part of the improved offensive weapons supporting the team's fantasy outlook.

Author identifies Brock Bowers as his number one drafted tight end, noting the Raiders offense will be schemed around running backs and tight ends with Bowers and Michael Mayer as a strong combination.

Author believes Mendoza will either start week one or very soon thereafter, making him a great target as a second quarterback in late-round builds.

Author is targeting Fernando Mendoza as an undervalued second quarterback option, noting he's been going as late as pick 190-200 despite being in an improved Raiders offense with Brock Bowers and strong coaching.

Author is finally taking Josh Allen in the late third round as part of a clear top-eight quarterback strategy with strong value.

Author is bumping Justin Herbert's projection higher to ensure he's in the top quarterback range, indicating increased confidence in his fantasy output.

Davante Adams (referred to as 'Genty') is still a stud for the Raiders this season, contributing to their improved offensive outlook.

Brock Bowers is the author's number one drafted tight end and is healthy this season, contributing to the Raiders' improved offensive outlook.

Fernando Mendoza is the fifth most-drafted quarterback on Underdog, benefiting from the Raiders' improved offensive line, healthy Brock Bowers, and new coaching with Kubiak.

Justin Herbert is being targeted for a projection bump to get him into the top quarterback tier; currently at 12% draft rate, the author wants to elevate him to the 18-20% range.

Caleb Williams is one of the author's top three most-drafted quarterbacks in the 18-20% range, representing a significant upgrade over late-round quarterback options.

Drake May is one of the author's top three most-drafted quarterbacks in the 18-20% range, representing a significant upgrade over late-round quarterback options.

Jaden Daniels is one of the author's top three most-drafted quarterbacks in the 18-20% range, representing a significant upgrade over late-round quarterback options.

Malik Willis has upside but is being overpriced relative to his actual value; he's not going much later than elite early-round quarterbacks like Jaden Daniels or Drake May despite being a significantly worse option.

Lamar Jackson has a history of missing time with injuries, which is why he goes further in drafts than Josh Allen despite potentially similar full-season projections.

Josh Allen is available at a discount in late third round this season, providing top-two quarterback production at a better ADP than his historical cost.

Josh Allen has been a top-two quarterback for six consecutive seasons with no injury concerns, making him a reliable late-third-round target who will likely finish as QB1 or QB2 this season.

Available in round four as an alternative to wide receivers, making him a viable option when preferred receivers are off the board.

Analyst is falling a little bit off Garrett Wilson compared to preferred options, though acknowledges there's no huge difference between these wide receivers.

Analyst is falling a little bit off Tee Higgins compared to preferred options like Higgins, Latuka, and Neighbors, though acknowledges there's no huge difference between these wide receivers.

Unlike Lamar Jackson who frequently misses time, Josh Allen doesn't have the same injury concerns, making him more reliable for consistent top-two quarterback production.

Has been a top two quarterback for six straight seasons and likely to be number one or number two this year with a wide receiver upgrade, demonstrating elite consistency.

Most drafted quarterback on 24% of teams (just under 3x the field), representing a luxury pick in the late third round when other wide receiver options are available.

If Bucky gets injured, Kenny Gainwell would become a running back two every single week and could potentially be a flex-worthy running back three most weeks in full PPR.

Will get receptions, early down carries on passing downs, two-minute drill, four-minute drill situations, and red zone design packages, providing consistent playing time and scoring opportunities.

A really solid pick at the 9/10 turn with a reasonable price tag, offering locked-in receptions and early down carries despite not being drafted early, making him a safe fourth or fifth running back option.

Ranked as the number one running back if he stays healthy, moving ahead of Saquon Barkley due to his elite status.

Could have scored 30 touchdowns last season if he and Daniel Jones stayed healthy, suggesting significant upside potential that isn't fully reflected in his current draft position.

Gainwell is a really solid pick at the 9-10 turn, offering locked-in receptions and early down carries on passing downs and two-minute situations, though without a ton of touchdowns or early down work.

JSN (Jalen Hurts) is drafted at pick five, but the author has a slight fade preferring McCaffrey and Jonathan Taylor instead, resulting in less frequent selection.

Author is moving Christian McCaffrey over Jonathan Taylor in half-PPR and believes he's already ahead in full PPR. McCaffrey is ranked third overall and is expected to be the number one running back if he stays healthy.

Taylor should have at least 15 touchdowns if he and Daniel Jones stay healthy, with upside for 20+ touchdown seasons and potential for 30 touchdowns if production remained at early-season pace.

Through the first 10 weeks of last season, Taylor had at least 86 yards in 9 of the first 10 games, demonstrating consistent early-season production before Daniel Jones' injury.

Author has Jonathan Taylor ranked sixth overall and is taking him in round one when he falls to picks 5-9, well ahead of his ADP. Over the first 10 weeks of last season, Taylor was on pace for 2,378 yards and 29 touchdowns, averaging 25.9 half-PPR points per game—4.5 more than Christian McCaffrey.

Author likes Tony Pollard as a solid pick in the range after the top tier backs, representing a natural draft spot around round six.

Swift is typically drafted early and off the board before the running back tier drops off in certainty.

Montgomery is typically drafted early and off the board before the running back tier drops off in certainty.