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Footballguys fantasy football takes on Brock Purdy
Every source-backed article insight STACKED has extracted from Footballguys about Brock Purdy.
78
Insights
58
Positive
9
Negative
Insight ledger
All Footballguys insights about Brock Purdy
PositiveProjectionOct 24, 2026
Purdy has been as consistent as any quarterback in the league, averaging 22.7 DraftKings points per game and topping 17 in every start with 14 touchdowns against only two interceptions. He ranks first in the league in QBR and passer rating. Atlanta allows 252 passing yards per game (fifth most) and has given up 10 passing touchdowns. The Falcons are strong against the run, which should push the 49ers toward the air. With Mike Evans and Deebo Samuel out, his targets concentrate on Christian McCaffrey and George Kittle.NegativeValueOct 24, 2026
Purdy is rostered at 9.6 percent against 7.9 percent optimal, making him one of the chalk quarterback options the source would be underweight on.PositiveMatchupOct 23, 2026
Purdy scored at least 27.1 fantasy points against the Rams in Week 1, illustrating the Rams' vulnerability to opposing quarterbacks.PositiveBreakoutOct 23, 2026
Purdy has been one of the season's elite performers through Week 7; the source notes that managers who drafted the San Francisco 49ers quarterback have been 'in heaven' with his consistent production, describing his lineup as 'set it and forget it' caliber.PositiveProjectionOct 22, 2026
Purdy continues to produce regardless of who is on the field around him. Through six games, Purdy has completed 70% of his passes at 8.5 yards per attempt with 14 touchdowns (tied with Kirk Cousins and Trevor Lawrence for the league lead) against just two interceptions, and he's been sacked only five times. He opened the season with two strong performances while George Kittle played less than half of the snaps, and in the two games Mike Evans left early, Purdy still threw for 297 yards and four touchdowns and 264 yards and a touchdown. Against Atlanta, which has seen more pass attempts than any defense in the league (41 per game) and ranks 29th at 269 passing yards allowed per game, Purdy has earned the benefit of the doubt.PositiveValueOct 20, 2026
Purdy should have gone much earlier in drafts based on his performance through Week 6, representing a significant preseason valuation miss and a player who warranted higher draft capital.PositiveMatchupOct 20, 2026
Lineup lock capable of successfully navigating the toughest matchups in Week 7 against Atlanta, which has allowed the sixth-most fantasy points to wide receivers.PositiveMatchupOct 20, 2026
Brock Purdy is a lineup lock for San Francisco in Week 7 against Atlanta; the 49ers-Falcons game has a 50.5 total and 3-point spread, and positional matchup data supports an aggressive approach to San Francisco's passing game.PositiveProjectionOct 18, 2026
Brock Purdy leads the NFL in touchdown passes (13), ranks second in Adjusted Net Yards per Attempt (9.32), and fourth in DraftKings points per game at quarterback (23.7). He runs a 49ers offense that ranks fourth in EPA/Play and is playing at home against a Commanders defense that ranks middle of the pack in both Dropback EPA Allowed (17th) and EPA/Play Allowed (15th), making him a strong Captain/Flex consideration for DFS Showdown.NegativeMatchupOct 17, 2026
Purdy was projected as QB8 with 17.9 points against the Seahawks but finished QB18 with 14.2 points, underperforming due to historical struggles in this matchup.PositiveProjectionOct 16, 2026
Brock Purdy is listed among players who could have an explosive scoring week in Week 6, with high probability of exceeding fantasy expectations and projections.PositiveProjectionOct 15, 2026
Brock Purdy is classified in the HIGH FLOOR QB1 tier for Week 6 against Washington, indicating reliable floor with consistent performance expectations.PositiveProjectionOct 15, 2026
Purdy appears to have something to prove to his critics and has opened 2026 on a tear, averaging 8.4 yards per throw with 13 touchdowns through 5 games. Even in uncompetitive games, he's thrown and run with efficiency, producing even with big leads. His top-tier line has kept him clean and upright, as he was just sacked for the first time last week, and he's plenty capable of extending plays and making something out of nothing.NegativeProjectionOct 13, 2026
Purdy fell one spot to QB4 but remains one of only two quarterbacks (alongside Josh Allen) outscoring Jared Goff through Week 5.PositiveMatchupOct 13, 2026
Forms a formidable core for San Francisco against Washington, which allows the second-most fantasy points to quarterbacks; the matchup enhances his already considerable upside.PositiveProjectionOct 13, 2026
Listed as a Three Stars quarterback pick for Week 6 DFS, indicating strong game script appeal based on Vegas odds analysis for the 49ers matchup.NegativeMatchupOct 10, 2026
Despite an MVP-caliber start (11 touchdown passes, 1 interception, QB2 overall at 25.1 points per game), Purdy faces a challenging matchup against Seattle's fourth-highest pressure rate (43.0 percent). The Seahawks held Drake Maye, Jacoby Brissett, and Justin Herbert each under 10 fantasy points while creating seven turnovers. Purdy himself struggled against Seattle in two meetings last season, scoring 21.96 total fantasy points with three turnovers. The source expects Purdy to fall outside the top 10 despite his QB8 Footballguys projection (17.9 points), noting the Seahawks' ability to suppress him and force interceptions.PositiveProjectionOct 8, 2026
Ryan Weisse says it was time to take Purdy more seriously; he had him stapled as QB12, but that wasn't fair given what he showed last year and so far in 2026. Purdy missed eight games last year but was trending to QB5 in fantasy. So far this year, he's QB2, pacing for over 4,000 yards and 40 touchdowns. He's doing all of this with an aging, injured receiving corps. Purdy is elite, and deserves to be treated as such.NegativeMatchupOct 7, 2026
Purdy has a 20 percent worse than usual matchup against Seattle's defense, which has allowed the second-fewest points to quarterbacks (13.3 per game) and receivers (21.5); Seattle is a 2.5-point home favorite over San Francisco.PositiveValueOct 6, 2026
Purdy's Superflex trade value increased 5.0 points from 23 to 28 as his rest-of-season projection improved from QB15 to QB5; the source emphasizes that in Superflex leagues there is real value in a quarterback whose floor you do not have to wonder about, positioning Purdy as a proven veteran who has repeatedly adjusted to defensive coordinators.PositiveProjectionOct 6, 2026
Purdy ranked QB15 in preseason projections and now sits at QB5 in rest-of-season projections, averaging 25.1 fantasy points per game (QB2); the source highlights that this production is impressive given a banged-up receiving corps and credits designed runs and scrambles for adding a rushing floor.NegativeProjectionOct 6, 2026
Brock Purdy is ranked QB3 in rest-of-season fantasy football rankings.PositiveProjectionOct 6, 2026
Brock Purdy sits firmly in the top 10 at his position in Week 5 against Seattle and is currently QB2 on Footballguys projections; he has been virtually unstoppable even with attrition at wideout, and San Francisco is tied with Buffalo for the league lead with 16 offensive touchdowns.PositiveProjectionOct 1, 2026
Purdy is playing out of his mind right now, which has covered up some ancillary issues with San Francisco's passing offense overall. However, the source notes this house of cards could crumble quickly with Denver this week and Seattle on deck.PositiveMatchupOct 1, 2026
Brock Purdy is tiered as HIGH FLOOR QB1 for Week 4 against Denver, indicating reliable floor with lower ceiling upside in this matchup.PositiveProjectionSep 30, 2026
Through three weeks of 2026, Brock Purdy has 93 rushing yards and 1 TD. The source identifies him among quarterbacks hitting three or four benchmark categories (4,000 passing yards, 400 rushing yards, 25 passing TDs, 3+ rushing TDs), positioning him for sustained Top 10 fantasy success.PositiveProjectionSep 30, 2026
Brock Purdy exemplifies how the quarterback position at the NFL level is about far more than physical traits; he noted that NFL quarterbacks can't actually see where they're throwing nearly 40% of the time, and that processing information is more important than having a strong arm. His quarterback coach Brian Griese emphasized this point over recent years.PositiveProjectionSep 29, 2026
Purdy is delivering the production and consistency fantasy managers should prefer. He's ranked QB3 in rest-of-season rankings and has moved up one spot from last week.PositiveProjectionSep 25, 2026
Brock Purdy is highlighted as a QB with explosive scoring potential in Week 3, listed among players who could have a breakout week. He faces the Cardinals in a matchup with 47.5 expected total points.PositiveMatchupSep 24, 2026
Brock Purdy is placed in the STRONG QB1 tier for Week 3 against Arizona, positioning him as a reliable high-end starting option with a favorable matchup.PositiveProjectionSep 24, 2026
Purdy is a key component of the 49ers offense that is humming through the early season. As long as the team has Purdy, Kyle Shanahan, Trent Williams, and George Kittle, the offense is expected to continue performing at a high level.PositiveMatchupSep 23, 2026
Purdy had a big game against Miami with 287 yards and three total touchdowns on 22 passes without the Dolphins' offense doing much. This is cited as context for why Patrick Mahomes should be expected to perform well against Miami despite the Dolphins' weak offense.PositiveProjectionSep 23, 2026
Purdy is leading all quarterbacks in EPA and CPOE through two weeks with elite analytics and clean film; he has five passing touchdowns and one rushing touchdown, ranking third in fantasy scoring. The source notes he was likely drafted as a back-end QB1 or QB2 but is now a must-start QB1 going forward, especially with a favorable matchup against Arizona in Week 3.PositiveProjectionSep 22, 2026
Purdy is currently leading all quarterbacks in EPA (expected points added) and CPOE (completion percentage over expectation), playing lights out through the first two weeks with clean film and elite analytics. He's third in fantasy scoring, aided by five passing touchdowns and another on the ground. Purdy has proven to be a master of Kyle Shanahan's system and adds rushing moxie to raise his floor and ceiling. Ranked QB4 (+5), he was likely drafted as a back-end QB1 or QB2 but is a must-start QB1 going forward, especially next week against the Cardinals.PositiveMatchupSep 22, 2026
Brock Purdy deserves attention in the 49ers-Cardinals matchup, where San Francisco carries a 28-point implied total and is 8.5-point favored, creating a favorable game script for the 49ers offense.PositiveProjectionSep 22, 2026
Named as a Three Star quarterback for Week 3 DFS, indicating strong game script appeal based on Vegas odds analysis for the 49ers game.NegativeProjectionSep 19, 2026
Brock Purdy will be the highest rostered quarterback on the Week 2 slate, but Devin Knotts expresses concern about his upside in games where the 49ers have complete control; over the last two seasons, in three games where San Francisco won by 10+ points with opponent scoring 14 or less, Purdy averaged 22.1, 10.32, and 17.12 DraftKings points respectively, suggesting limited ceiling in blowout scenarios.NegativeValueSep 19, 2026
Over-rostered at 11.5 percent for a quarterback who shows up in only 7.5 percent of the best lineups in the 49ers' game against Miami. The 13.5-point spread creates a fat left tail risk that starters may sit in the fourth quarter.PositiveProjectionSep 19, 2026
Purdy at $6,200 is highlighted as a standout mid-range quarterback option; the 49ers are favored by two touchdowns at home against Miami and implied to score nearly 30 points, creating ceiling upside in tournament play.PositiveMatchupSep 19, 2026
San Francisco carries the highest implied team total on the entire DraftKings slate at 29.5 points hosting Miami, a defense that struggled for much of last season. Purdy doesn't need to do a ton in this offense to return value given how often Christian McCaffrey and the receiving corps around him find the end zone, and a game environment this favorable gives him a real floor to go with his ceiling.PositiveMatchupSep 18, 2026
Purdy is listed as a quarterback with potential for an explosive scoring week in Week 2 against the Dolphins, indicating a favorable matchup for high fantasy production.NegativeMatchupSep 18, 2026
Purdy of the 49ers scored 21.1 fantasy points against the Rams in Week 1, establishing a baseline for how the Rams defense performed and informing expectations for Jaxson Dart's matchup against Los Angeles in Week 2.PositiveMatchupSep 17, 2026
Brock Purdy is placed in the HIGH FLOOR QB1 tier for Week 2 against Miami, indicating reliable floor with lower ceiling upside in this matchup.PositiveProjectionSep 16, 2026
Purdy leads quarterbacks at $6,200 with 8.6% optimal share, driven by the matchup against Miami. The 49ers have a 29.5 implied total, 17% above their season average, and Purdy lands at or near the top of his position in the sims.PositiveProjectionSep 15, 2026
Designated as a Three Star quarterback in the Vegas Value Chart for Week 2, indicating strong DFS appeal based on Vegas odds analysis and game scripting.PositiveMatchupSep 15, 2026
Purdy is a potential ceiling play in Week 2 against Miami; San Francisco opens as a 10.5-13.5-point favorite with a 45.5-point over/under, the largest spread of the week, after scoring 27 on the Rams in Week 1. Miami lost 27-13 in Las Vegas and travels again, pointing to fantasy success for San Francisco's offense.PositiveProjectionSep 15, 2026
Took what the Rams defense gave him and looks like one of the safest weekly QB1 plays; should have gone earlier in drafts.PositiveProjectionSep 10, 2026
Brock Purdy is placed in the HIGH FLOOR QB1 tier for Week 1 against Los Angeles (Thursday game in Australia), indicating strong floor with lower ceiling variance.NegativeValueSep 5, 2026
Brock Purdy is a premium starter with a Week 8 bye; his backup M. Jones costs $8 to roster as injury insurance in contest play.NegativeProjectionSep 5, 2026
Brock Purdy projects for 366.2 fantasy points with a contest cap price of $18, yielding an ROI of 20.3 FPs/$ and ranking 18th in quarterback ROI as of September 2nd projections.PositiveValueSep 5, 2026
Purdy received 6 votes (13% of 45 experts polled) as the most underrated quarterback heading into the 2026 season with San Francisco, the fourth-highest vote total in the industry experts poll; voters included Matt Schauf, Rich Hribar, Nathan Jahnke, Heath Cummings, Justin Boone, and Brian Drake.NegativeValueSep 4, 2026
Brock Purdy improved two positional ranks from QB14 to QB12 but saw his ADP decline 5.1 points from 98.0 to 103.1 between April and August, indicating mixed market sentiment despite the positional rank improvement.NegativeRoleSep 3, 2026
Purdy is the 49ers' primary starter, but if he gets injured, Kurtis Rourke could find himself in cleanup duty or starting for the team.PositiveProjectionSep 1, 2026
Recommended as a QB9 or later option with elite upside; the source advocates waiting on quarterback to build a loaded roster with flex depth first, then adding a potentially elite QB1 like Purdy at a discount.PositiveProjectionSep 1, 2026
Purdy is going as QB9 or later and has elite upside; the source recommends waiting on quarterback and securing a loaded roster with flex depth before adding a potentially elite QB1.NegativeValueAug 28, 2026
Bloom won't talk drafters out of taking Brock Purdy and also lists him as a value add in 6-point pass TD leagues, indicating he's an acceptable QB pick without being a standout value or concern.NegativeValueAug 27, 2026
Brock Purdy has fallen 14 spots in FBG OC ADP, dropping from rank 116 to 130 (QB12); the source notes that quarterback drops are common this time of year as fantasy drafters become more willing to pull up skill players instead of settling for quarterbacks.PositiveValueAug 26, 2026
QB9 ranked in Back-End QB1s tier; has quietly produced QB1 numbers throughout his entire career, a testament to his rushing, development, supporting cast, and Kyle Shanahan's system; buried deep in ADP with potential for high-end QB1 returns.PositiveValueAug 25, 2026
Multiple analysts (Bob Harris, Jeff Tefertiller) note that Brock Purdy is available after overrated quarterbacks like Jaxson Dart and Caleb Williams come off the board, making him a better value pick.PositiveProjectionAug 25, 2026
Chad Parsons identifies Brock Purdy as his top target if earmarking one QB in a wait-at-quarterback strategy; Purdy has an elite infrastructure, added Mike Evans, and rookie De'Zhaun Stribling looks to make an early impact; alongside Christian McCaffrey and George Kittle, Purdy has an insulated floor and an elite ceiling, having stretched as QB1 overall at various points.PositiveProjectionAug 25, 2026
Ben Cummins provides extensive statistical evidence of Purdy's elite 2025 performance: ranked sixth in passing yards per game (255), second in pass touchdowns per game (2.5), second in EPA/Play (0.326), first in Success Rate (56.1%), third in Completion Percentage Over Expected (+6.4), and first in Pressure to Sack Percentage (9.2%); Cummins argues the narrative that Purdy was a product of Kyle Shanahan's system and weapons has been fully debunked, and he offers rushing upside for fantasy.PositiveValueAug 25, 2026
Jeff Tefertiller highlights Purdy finished as QB6 last year in points per game with an ADP of QB12, even though his weapons improved with the additions of Samuel and Stribling and a healthy Kittle, positioning him for a big year with weekly upside at a low-end starter price.PositiveValueAug 12, 2026
Brock Purdy is ranked QB13 in ADP, just after Jaxson Dart (QB11). The source argues that Purdy offers comparable production to Dart at a better or similar price point, making him a preferable target in drafts.NegativeValueAug 11, 2026
Brock Purdy was acquired in a dynasty trade where Carson Beck, Makai Lemon, and a 27 1st-round pick were sent out, indicating Purdy's market value relative to Beck and other assets in the training camp trading period.NegativeInjuryAug 10, 2026
Brock Purdy returns after missing eight games due to injury in 2025; he has struggled early in camp, possibly because of HC Kyle Shanahan's injury, which has limited his presence and play-calling.PositiveValueAug 6, 2026
Purdy is among a tier of fairly cheap quarterback options available late in salary cap drafts. The source suggests it's entirely possible to land two of these mid-tier QBs (Lawrence, Prescott, Herbert, Purdy, Williams, Nix) for less than $10 combined, and perhaps even $6–$8 if nomination timing is right, making them viable late-draft targets.NegativeValueAug 5, 2026
Purdy is a preferred QBBC target ranked QB12; he is part of the source's QB Plan B strategy to take two or more quarterbacks after the top 10 are drafted and bank advantages at RB, WR, and TE.PositiveValueAug 2, 2026
Brock Purdy's dynasty market is plainly too low despite being a top-10 fantasy quarterback with moments of QB1 overall production since becoming the 49ers' starter. He has contract allegiance and is connected to Kyle Shanahan for the foreseeable future. Purdy has underrated rushing production and his weapons have improved with Mike Evans added and De'Zhaun Stribling drafted in the second round.PositiveValueJul 30, 2026
Waldman praises Purdy as an excellent anticipator with terrific touch when layering the football. His field-reading skills and maneuverability in the pocket make him a dangerous operator of one of the league's best offenses, with a top-five fantasy ceiling.PositiveValueJul 30, 2026
Waldman highlights Purdy as an excellent anticipator with terrific touch and field-reading skills; his maneuverability in the pocket makes him a dangerous operator of one of the league's best offenses with a top-five fantasy ceiling.PositiveProjectionJul 26, 2026
Purdy has a history of thriving with big receivers over the middle, which should help bridge the gap between Mike Evans' limited after-catch ability and the 49ers' scheme that leans on yards after catch.PositiveMatchupJul 26, 2026
Purdy has a history of thriving with big receivers over the middle, which should help bridge the gap between Mike Evans and the 49ers' scheme. While Shanahan's offense leans on yards after catch (and Evans managed just 46 after-catch yards in eight games last season), Purdy's comfort with vertical passing to receivers like Evans could help maximize Evans' ceiling.PositiveRoleJul 21, 2026
Brock Purdy has a history of thriving with big receivers over the middle, which should help bridge the gap between Mike Evans' skill set and San Francisco's scheme that leans on yards after catch.NegativeValueJul 16, 2026
Brock Purdy has fallen 9 picks in FBG OC ADP over the last month, dropping from pick 112 to pick 121 (QB13). This downward movement in high-stakes draft capital indicates decreased confidence in his quarterback value.PositiveProjectionJul 16, 2026
If Purdy effectively integrates Evans and Kirk into the passing attack, the 49ers should field one of the NFL's more balanced and potentially potent attacks. Investors who landed him in QB2 territory will come out ahead.NegativeRoleJul 16, 2026
Purdy enters his fifth season with a dramatically different receiving corps. George Kittle remains but is recovering from an Achilles injury. Christian McCaffrey returns after a 2,126-scrimmage-yard, 17-TD 2025 season. At wideout, Mike Evans and Christian Kirk replace departing veterans Jauan Jennings and Kendrick Bourne; Brandon Aiyuk is also leaving. Rookie De'Zhaun Stribling (first-round pick) could develop into an increasingly important role. Third-year receivers Ricky Pearsall and Jacob Cowing round out the group.PositiveValueJul 16, 2026
Purdy finished 23rd in total fantasy points last season but averaged 19.9 points per game (sixth among QBs with 9+ starts), outpacing Caleb Williams, Jalen Hurts, Dak Prescott, Joe Burrow, and Lamar Jackson on a per-game basis. He scored 28+ points in Weeks 15-17 with a 36.9-point finish in Week 17 during championship week. Despite this production, he carries a QB12 ADP and eighth-round price, positioning him as undervalued.PositiveValueNo date
Recommended as round-ten QB pairing with Brock Bowers in value-based drafting strategy. Skipping expensive QBs in rounds 3-9 and selecting Purdy in round ten results in losing only one to two points per game at QB while gaining multi-point weekly edge at tight end with Bowers, creates net positive value accumulation across draft.