NFL fantasy football news and player signals for Monday, June 29, 2026

Mowing the lawn beer followed by shower beer followed by Braxton Miller Ohio State highlights beer that’s how you win a Monday night people

NEW #ReceptionPerception content: The Year 4 WR week kicks off with 6 new players dropped on the site 🔥 Subscribers will now find full profiles, charts, RP data and evaluations on the following players: Parker Washington Michael Wilson Quentin Johnston Jaxon Smith-Njigba Josh Downs Rashee Rice An extremely fun group to study with players all over the place, from a quality and archetype standpoint. Look for more guys entering Year 4 to be added to the site by Friday afternoon! All the links y...

NEW #ReceptionPerception content: The Year 4 WR week kicks off with 6 new players dropped on the site 🔥 Subscribers will now find full profiles, charts, RP data and evaluations on the following players: Parker Washington Michael Wilson Quentin Johnston Jaxon Smith-Njigba Josh Downs Rashee Rice An extremely fun group to study with players all over the place, from a quality and archetype standpoint. Look for more guys entering Year 4 to be added to the site by Friday afternoon! All the links y...

NEW #ReceptionPerception content: The Year 4 WR week kicks off with 6 new players dropped on the site 🔥 Subscribers will now find full profiles, charts, RP data and evaluations on the following players: Parker Washington Michael Wilson Quentin Johnston Jaxon Smith-Njigba Josh Downs Rashee Rice An extremely fun group to study with players all over the place, from a quality and archetype standpoint. Look for more guys entering Year 4 to be added to the site by Friday afternoon! All the links y...

NEW #ReceptionPerception content: The Year 4 WR week kicks off with 6 new players dropped on the site 🔥 Subscribers will now find full profiles, charts, RP data and evaluations on the following players: Parker Washington Michael Wilson Quentin Johnston Jaxon Smith-Njigba Josh Downs Rashee Rice An extremely fun group to study with players all over the place, from a quality and archetype standpoint. Look for more guys entering Year 4 to be added to the site by Friday afternoon! All the links y...

We've arrived at our yearly "Jameson Williams is the best WR I've ever seen and he's going to take a huge step" coachspeak!

Absolutely, 100%, a sub at <http://ReceptionPercepripn.com> is worth it. Often, I am challenged to reframe how I think about a player — usually, because I give too much weight to big/flashy wins on tape. It’s also a great resource for confirming my experience watching a WR’s film. Most-recently: 2025 Rice looked the worst that I’ve seen him at any point in his career. If he loses any significant amount of designed short-area touches to Kenneth Walker, Rice has not been good enough to make up...

Market Monday! 🔔 @​adamlevitan on the changing price tags of: • Quentin Johnston (⬆️) • Ricky Pearsall (⬆️) • Bo Nix (⬇️) And more:

Market Monday! 🔔 @​adamlevitan on the changing price tags of: • Quentin Johnston (⬆️) • Ricky Pearsall (⬆️) • Bo Nix (⬇️) And more:

Market Monday! 🔔 @​adamlevitan on the changing price tags of: • Quentin Johnston (⬆️) • Ricky Pearsall (⬆️) • Bo Nix (⬇️) And more:

Watch a little Parker Washington film. He’s a baller

Defenses dare offenses to beat them over the middle. Trevor Lawrence did it more than ever before in 2025.

Parker Washington grading out higher than JSN on posts and in the same ballpark on digs/curls 👀 Reason number one why the late-season Jacksonville Jaguars passing game breakout feels legit‼️ Liam Coen / Trevor Lawrence found their man over the middle.

Parker Washington grading out higher than JSN on posts and in the same ballpark on digs/curls 👀 Reason number one why the late-season Jacksonville Jaguars passing game breakout feels legit‼️ Liam Coen / Trevor Lawrence found their man over the middle.

Ricky Pearsall had the same number of games (4) with 85+ receiving yards as Justin Jefferson in 2025. More than Tee Higgins, Zay Flowers, Jaylen Waddle, Trey McBride, Davante Adams, DK Metcalf, Ladd McConkey, DeVonta Smith

Ricky Pearsall had the same number of games (4) with 85+ receiving yards as Justin Jefferson in 2025. More than Tee Higgins, Zay Flowers, Jaylen Waddle, Trey McBride, Davante Adams, DK Metcalf, Ladd McConkey, DeVonta Smith

Ricky Pearsall had the same number of games (4) with 85+ receiving yards as Justin Jefferson in 2025. More than Tee Higgins, Zay Flowers, Jaylen Waddle, Trey McBride, Davante Adams, DK Metcalf, Ladd McConkey, DeVonta Smith

Ricky Pearsall had the same number of games (4) with 85+ receiving yards as Justin Jefferson in 2025. More than Tee Higgins, Zay Flowers, Jaylen Waddle, Trey McBride, Davante Adams, DK Metcalf, Ladd McConkey, DeVonta Smith

Ricky Pearsall had the same number of games (4) with 85+ receiving yards as Justin Jefferson in 2025. More than Tee Higgins, Zay Flowers, Jaylen Waddle, Trey McBride, Davante Adams, DK Metcalf, Ladd McConkey, DeVonta Smith

Ricky Pearsall had the same number of games (4) with 85+ receiving yards as Justin Jefferson in 2025. More than Tee Higgins, Zay Flowers, Jaylen Waddle, Trey McBride, Davante Adams, DK Metcalf, Ladd McConkey, DeVonta Smith

Ricky Pearsall had the same number of games (4) with 85+ receiving yards as Justin Jefferson in 2025. More than Tee Higgins, Zay Flowers, Jaylen Waddle, Trey McBride, Davante Adams, DK Metcalf, Ladd McConkey, DeVonta Smith

Ricky Pearsall had the same number of games (4) with 85+ receiving yards as Justin Jefferson in 2025. More than Tee Higgins, Zay Flowers, Jaylen Waddle, Trey McBride, Davante Adams, DK Metcalf, Ladd McConkey, DeVonta Smith

Ricky Pearsall had the same number of games (4) with 85+ receiving yards as Justin Jefferson in 2025. More than Tee Higgins, Zay Flowers, Jaylen Waddle, Trey McBride, Davante Adams, DK Metcalf, Ladd McConkey, DeVonta Smith

Ricky Pearsall had the same number of games (4) with 85+ receiving yards as Justin Jefferson in 2025. More than Tee Higgins, Zay Flowers, Jaylen Waddle, Trey McBride, Davante Adams, DK Metcalf, Ladd McConkey, DeVonta Smith

LADD: A TOP-5 DEEP THREAT IN THE NFL "Best yards per route on go routes since 2022: Puka, Jayden Reed, AJ Brown, Ladd McConkey, Tyreek Hill" 👀 #Chargers #FantasyFootball Is Ladd McConkey a top-5 deep threat in the league? ➡️ <https://youtube.com/live/xf0BnkZiaUM?feature=share> @​RyanJ_Heath @​GrahamBarfield

The Seahawks did not draft Jadarian Price with the thought that he'd become a high-volume starter right away, per @​BradyHenderson He will share time with Holani and Emanuel Wilson as Seattle waits for Zach Charbonnet to return.

The Seahawks did not draft Jadarian Price with the thought that he'd become a high-volume starter right away, per @​BradyHenderson He will share time with Holani and Emanuel Wilson as Seattle waits for Zach Charbonnet to return.

The Seahawks did not draft Jadarian Price with the thought that he'd become a high-volume starter right away, per @​BradyHenderson He will share time with Holani and Emanuel Wilson as Seattle waits for Zach Charbonnet to return.

The Eagles are expected to feature pre-snap motion in new OC Sean Mannion’s scheme, per @​Tim_McManus Rookie WR Makai Lemon is expected to be a big part of that with his short area quickness.

NEW #ReceptionPerception content: The Year 4 WR week kicks off with 6 new players dropped on the site 🔥 Subscribers will now find full profiles, charts, RP data and evaluations on the following players: Parker Washington Michael Wilson Quentin Johnston Jaxon Smith-Njigba Josh Downs Rashee Rice An extremely fun group to study with players all over the place, from a quality and archetype standpoint. Look for more guys entering Year 4 to be added to the site by Friday afternoon! All the links y...

NEW #ReceptionPerception content: The Year 4 WR week kicks off with 6 new players dropped on the site 🔥 Subscribers will now find full profiles, charts, RP data and evaluations on the following players: Parker Washington Michael Wilson Quentin Johnston Jaxon Smith-Njigba Josh Downs Rashee Rice An extremely fun group to study with players all over the place, from a quality and archetype standpoint. Look for more guys entering Year 4 to be added to the site by Friday afternoon! All the links y...

NEW #ReceptionPerception content: The Year 4 WR week kicks off with 6 new players dropped on the site 🔥 Subscribers will now find full profiles, charts, RP data and evaluations on the following players: Parker Washington Michael Wilson Quentin Johnston Jaxon Smith-Njigba Josh Downs Rashee Rice An extremely fun group to study with players all over the place, from a quality and archetype standpoint. Look for more guys entering Year 4 to be added to the site by Friday afternoon! All the links y...

NEW #ReceptionPerception content: The Year 4 WR week kicks off with 6 new players dropped on the site 🔥 Subscribers will now find full profiles, charts, RP data and evaluations on the following players: Parker Washington Michael Wilson Quentin Johnston Jaxon Smith-Njigba Josh Downs Rashee Rice An extremely fun group to study with players all over the place, from a quality and archetype standpoint. Look for more guys entering Year 4 to be added to the site by Friday afternoon! All the links y...

Rams OC Nate Scheelhaase on Ty Simpson: "I appreciate the way that he goes about his business. He's an early-morning, stay-long type of guy, which you've got to be at that position. He's coming with the right mentality." (@​sarahbarshop)

Tyler Shough on rookie WR Jordyn Tyson: "He's jumped in even in these walk-throughs, and he hasn't messed a play up, missed a beat. He's super smart. He's ready to go. He's going to be firing on all cylinders, so I can't wait to get going with him.” (@​Kat_Terrell)

Tyler Shough on rookie WR Jordyn Tyson: "He's jumped in even in these walk-throughs, and he hasn't messed a play up, missed a beat. He's super smart. He's ready to go. He's going to be firing on all cylinders, so I can't wait to get going with him.” (@​Kat_Terrell)

Titans CB Alontae Taylor on Carnell Tate: "He's polished, for a rookie to come in, doing some of the things that he's doing is really, really exciting. Come Sundays, he's going to be very exciting to watch."

Quotes from Jeremiyah Love’s teammates on the star rookie RB: "He’s a sweet new car." “He got game, he’s blessed." “He’s patient.” "Jeremiyah’s a stud." (@​joshweinfuss)

One commenter recalls: 'Kenneth Walker's rookie season was a savior for my squad. He sat on my bench and when injuries hit he was a machine. Great value for a guy I took very late in the draft.' Used as historical precedent that Seattle RBs can produce despite committee approach, though context differs (Walker was not drafted in first round).

Charbonnet (referred to as 'Charbs') tore ACL in January; timeline uncertain for return. Community expects him back by mid-season (Week 5–November/December range) but likely eased in. One comment: 'I'd be fairly shocked if he's ready for week 1. Or even the first month of the season.' Another: 'Charb will be coming back when you need him the most though.' If Price underperforms early, Charbonnet's return could create a three-way mess.

Signed from Green Bay where he was the #2 RB. One comment notes Wilson 'was solid for the Packers as part of a rotation' and expects him to get 'at least some percentage of snaps all year.' Another mentions he 'looked good on the Packers when Jacobs was hurt.' Expected to be part of three-way RBBC with Price and Holani.

Seahawks plan to give Holani early touches due to his knowledge of the offense and strong playoff performance last year. Community expects him to see significant early-season work in a three-way split with Price and Wilson, possibly in third-down role. Some joke about 'Chris Carson SZN' and expect Holani to last only 1–2 weeks before Price takes over or injury strikes. One comment notes Holani started ahead of Ashton Jeanty at Boise State before Jeanty got starter's work.

ESPN reports Price not drafted as immediate high-volume starter; will share early-season carries with Wilson and Holani. Bullish camp reports from local beat reporters say Price is most talented back on roster and perfect fit for Seattle's scheme; he's being drafted as flex (ADP ~RB26). Bearish view: late first-round RBs have low career success rate (50% ever reach RB2 finish); only 2 of 12 comparable picks hit in rookie season. Community split: some expect Price to separate by mid-season once Charbonnet returns; others warn against any Seahawks RB due to committee approach and Seattle's historical carry-management philosophy.

With Kirk Cousins on the roster, the Raiders don’t feel they need to rush Fernando Mendoza, per @​ryanmcfadden_ “He has impressed many in the building with his work ethic… and ability to quickly find open targets… At the same time, he's had his fair share of growing pains.”

Wonder if there are any clues surrounding the talent level or investment among these guys: -Jadarian Price: Drafted in Round 1 -George Holani: Former UDFA with 28 touches in 16 career games -Emanuel Wilson: Former UDFA on a one-year $2M contract with under $600k guaranteed [Quoted](

Wonder if there are any clues surrounding the talent level or investment among these guys: -Jadarian Price: Drafted in Round 1 -George Holani: Former UDFA with 28 touches in 16 career games -Emanuel Wilson: Former UDFA on a one-year $2M contract with under $600k guaranteed [Quoted](

Wonder if there are any clues surrounding the talent level or investment among these guys: -Jadarian Price: Drafted in Round 1 -George Holani: Former UDFA with 28 touches in 16 career games -Emanuel Wilson: Former UDFA on a one-year $2M contract with under $600k guaranteed [Quoted](

One of three Browns starting QB options; community consensus that his presence (along with Watson and Sanders) represents historically poor QB play that will suppress offensive production. One comment suggests he could work as a QB2 in deep leagues if punting QB, but this is minority view.

One of three Browns starting QB options; community consensus that his presence (along with Watson and Brissett) represents historically poor QB play that will suppress offensive production. Grouped with other QBs as having been "the worst active starting QB in the league at some point."

Described as one of three historically poor starting QBs on Browns roster; community consensus that his presence severely limits offensive upside for all pass catchers. Repeated theme: QB room dysfunction will suppress target volume and scoring opportunity regardless of receiver talent.

First-round draft pick in an offense with minimal target competition; available in 13th round ADP. OTA report of getting ball "in a bevy of ways" is standard offseason language with poor predictive value for September. Community split: some see late-round value (compare to BTJ as 13th rounder, Garrett Wilson as 17th rounder), but majority skeptical due to Browns QB room (Watson, Sanders, Brissett all historically poor starters). One comment: "Tillman had like three good games with Jameis slinging it. They don't have that anymore." Consensus caution: Browns offense projected to be "terrible," limiting ceiling despite Concepcion's talent.

New Market Monday up. I discussed whether I'm buying the new prices on: * Quentin Johnston * Ricky Pearsall * Terrance Ferguson * Bo Nix * Kaytron Allen * Calvin Ridley Free: <https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/market-monday-the-wildest-adp-move-adam-has-seen/id1473055758?i=1000774737929>

"The Michael Wilson ADP is just offensive to me…" @​RyanJ_Heath #Cardinals #FantasyFootball 💀 We're taking EVERYONE over Michael Wilson? @​GrahamBarfield ➡️ <https://youtube.com/live/xf0BnkZiaUM?feature=share>

Omarion Hampton’s rushing yards per game last season: 48 24 70 128 44 56 61 85 29 hmmmm….

What is KC Concepcion’s… Ceiling __________ Most likely outcome ______________ Floor ______________

ESPN's Brady Henderson on Jadarian Price: "They did not draft Price with the thought that he'd become a high-volume starter right away. He will share time with Holani and Emanuel Wilson as Seattle waits for Zach Charbonnet to return." Great column here: <https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/49167327/nfl-2026-first-round-draft-picks-impression>

ESPN's Brady Henderson on Jadarian Price: "They did not draft Price with the thought that he'd become a high-volume starter right away. He will share time with Holani and Emanuel Wilson as Seattle waits for Zach Charbonnet to return." Great column here: <https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/49167327/nfl-2026-first-round-draft-picks-impression>

ESPN's Brady Henderson on Jadarian Price: "They did not draft Price with the thought that he'd become a high-volume starter right away. He will share time with Holani and Emanuel Wilson as Seattle waits for Zach Charbonnet to return." Great column here: <https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/49167327/nfl-2026-first-round-draft-picks-impression>

The Browns were getting KC Concepcion the ball “in a bevy of ways” during the team’s offseason program, per @​DanielOyefusi The plays to KC varied from “deep shots to screens to run plays.”

not the best day for me to pitch Xavier Worthy as a bounce back sleeper on the show, but alas

Jets TE Kenyon Sadiq (hernia) is expected to be ready by training camp, per @​RichCimini

🚨WR PROFILE DROP🚨 -JSN -Parker Washington -Josh Downs -Michael Wilson -Quentin Johnston [Retweeted](

🚨WR PROFILE DROP🚨 -JSN -Parker Washington -Josh Downs -Michael Wilson -Quentin Johnston [Retweeted](

🚨WR PROFILE DROP🚨 -JSN -Parker Washington -Josh Downs -Michael Wilson -Quentin Johnston [Retweeted](

🚨WR PROFILE DROP🚨 -JSN -Parker Washington -Josh Downs -Michael Wilson -Quentin Johnston [Retweeted](

Historical comps for Tyler Warren are certainly good at this point. Can he be great? And can we expect the Year 2 TE to lead the Indianapolis Colts in targets? Beyond the Box Score: <https://youtu.be/_NRp9YDThbA?is=1h5LvAH9foGqpm4->

You can't be in on Parker Washington and out on Michael Wilson.

You can't be in on Parker Washington and out on Michael Wilson.

Rashee Rice (free from literal jail) on the rise.

Gonna be live with Graham in 30 minutes discussing Year 3 WR breakout candidates! Should we give Marvin Harrison Jr. another chance? When does Malik Nabers become a value? Has Ladd McConkey steam gone too far? Is there hope for Brian Thomas Jr.? Come hang over on YouTube!

Gonna be live with Graham in 30 minutes discussing Year 3 WR breakout candidates! Should we give Marvin Harrison Jr. another chance? When does Malik Nabers become a value? Has Ladd McConkey steam gone too far? Is there hope for Brian Thomas Jr.? Come hang over on YouTube!

Gonna be live with Graham in 30 minutes discussing Year 3 WR breakout candidates! Should we give Marvin Harrison Jr. another chance? When does Malik Nabers become a value? Has Ladd McConkey steam gone too far? Is there hope for Brian Thomas Jr.? Come hang over on YouTube!

Gonna be live with Graham in 30 minutes discussing Year 3 WR breakout candidates! Should we give Marvin Harrison Jr. another chance? When does Malik Nabers become a value? Has Ladd McConkey steam gone too far? Is there hope for Brian Thomas Jr.? Come hang over on YouTube!

Diagnosed with ALS at age 39; disease progressed rapidly over one year. Now uses eye-tracking speech-generating device; has lost ability to speak naturally and lift his children. Career: 9,651 rushing yards, 55 TDs, 2,255 receiving yards, 9 TDs (2008–2017, primarily Titans 2008–2013). deeply sympathetic; thread notes NFL players are 4x more likely to develop ALS than general population; suspected link to repetitive head trauma discussed but not confirmed. Johnson publicly stated goal to raise awareness and inspire research.

Community curiosity on Buffalo WR. Mentioned as late-round dart throw worth monitoring.

Community recommendation as late-round back-end pick. Preferred alternative to article's five picks.

Community recommendation as late-round back-end pick. Preferred alternative to article's five picks.

Community recommendation as alternative to article picks. WR handcuff situation; solid blocker could get him out in 2WR sets; in offense (Commanders) community wants pieces of.

Community recommendation as alternative to article picks. Similar position to TeSlaa (WR handcuff); Cowboys feel like team that won't follow larger personnel trend; generating solid OTA buzz; flashed a few times last year. Solid blocker could get him out in 2WR sets.

Community context on Lions depth: will see nearly all RB touches and be in on 3rd downs; safe floor. Relevant to TeSlaa's limited opportunity in Lions offense.

Community reference: won championship with Monty, Gibbs, ARSB, and Goff all stacked in Ben Johnson offense. Demonstrates Lions offense can support multiple fantasy assets despite depth concerns.

Community context on Lions depth: biggest unknown among Lions pass catchers. Jamo/LaPorta/TeSlaa will give people headaches and bagels (inconsistency). Relevant to TeSlaa's limited upside.

Community context on Lions depth: high floor, low ceiling historically; had 5 top-5 WR weeks last year. Consistent and very solid choice. Not a sleeper but relevant to TeSlaa/Jamo pecking order discussion.

Article includes as late-round WR; community consensus is dynasty asset, not redraft. One commenter owns him in dynasty but warns he'll be worst on list by year-end. Problematic in own way; no floor, low upside for redraft context.

Article includes as Steelers rookie WR; community dismisses for redraft. Only one with draft capital worth considering, but going to bad Steelers team with QB (Russell Wilson) notorious for avoiding rookies. Rookie behind DK Metcalf and Michael Pittman. No floor, low upside for redraft; better as dynasty asset.

Article includes as Commanders WR option; community sees best floor of the group. Potential WR2 in Jayden Daniels offense with legitimate coordinator continuity; Commanders WR room is weak (Dyami Brown, Luke McCaffrey, Treylon Burks, Jaylin Lane). Easy path to real role. Caveat: heavy speculation around Commanders signing Diggs or Aiyuk; if that happens, Williams' outlook dims. Safest floor among the five if Commanders don't add WR.

Article touts as potential WR2 in Philadelphia with Lemon locked to slot; community divided. Positive case: could headline waiver wire weeks 1-2, Philly offense should improve, profiles as outside WR, gets open. Negative case: 54.06% snap share in 2024 (when injuries forced usage), 39 rec, 415 yards, 5 TDs; 17-20% drop rate (PFF metric; PFR shows 5.2% in 2023, 4.3% in 2025); traded away for reason; behind Devonta Smith and Goedert; low-volume Eagles offense. Not worth risk above 10th round. Has moments but unreliable.

Article positions as Lions red-zone upside play; community consensus is harsh. 5th in Lions pecking order at best when healthy; 37.5% TD rate on catches is either real role or hard regression; no floor without injuries to Gibbs, Jamo, Amon Ra, or LaPorta. Solid handcuff value in late rounds if you own Sun God or Jamo, but not standalone redraft asset. Best Ball context more favorable (3-4 strong weeks possible). Highlight machine with limited production and opportunity.

The source notes that Tyreek Hill's knee is gone, indicating a significant injury concern.

Stefon Diggs is not signed, making him unavailable for fantasy purposes in this draft context.

The source notes that crazier things have happened than a guy nobody liked coming out becoming good, citing Shedeur Sanders as a potential breakout candidate despite widespread dislike from the draft community.

Jauan Jennings is the third receiver in a passing game the source does not think will be very good, limiting his upside.

The source doesn't hate Jalen McMillan and notes he had a pretty strong rookie year, though much of it was touchdown-dependent; he is a young player with promise and could play a sizable role in the Chargers offense with room for another receiver outside of Ebuka.

Jalen Coker was on the source's draft queue and was selected in this mock draft.

The source has Dylan Sampson in his draft queue but doesn't have him ranked above Keeton Mitchell for the Chargers offense.

Denzel Boston faces similar concerns to Casey Conception (limited passing volume, QB uncertainty) but with worse draft capital and an outside receiver profile that doesn't blend well with Shedeur Sanders or Deshaun Watson's arm, making him a weaker prospect.

The source would be comfortable with Dalton Kincaid as a backup tight end; Kincaid was showing flashes last year before injuries derailed him, and the source believes he was developing into the guy for Josh Allen and the Buffalo offense is looking for a number one target.

The source identifies Brandon Aiyuk as a late-round value pick, citing his visible motivation and desire to perform as reasons to target him in drafts.

The source thinks Antonio Williams could be a pretty nice player in Washington and potentially the wide receiver two for them. However, the biggest concern is that Washington is the most likely team to add another receiver (Aiyuk, Diggs, or Keenan Allen), which could significantly drop his ADP in best ball formats.

While Amari Cooper was a first-round pick, the source is concerned about him being in the Jets passing offense and already having a Jets player on the roster, making him a fade.

Woody Marks has zero upside; even if David Montgomery gets hurt, Marks' performance last year was not good, making him an unattractive option.

Bo Nix in the 10th round represents good value at the quarterback position.

Chris Rodriguez in Jacksonville is expected to take a heavy early-down role as he reunites with former college coach Liam Cohen, which is a reasonable connection; however, the source thinks he's not very good as a player.

Jonathan Brooks is described as the easiest pick available at this draft spot and would have been preferred over Blake Corum. The source forgot about him initially due to Sleeper ADP issues but considers him the clear choice at this juncture.

JK Dobbins is the starter for a very good offense with a very good offensive line and a very good offensive-minded head coach, with a very poor backup running back. The source projects he will get 13 carries per game for 76 yards and score six touchdowns before getting injured, though the source notes injury prediction is not the focus.

Wan'Dale Robinson feels like a good value pick at this draft spot as a first-round receiver option, comparable to Kayshon Boutte. The source notes it's a suboptimal spot for their team composition since they need to prioritize running back, but Robinson himself is viewed favorably.

Matthew Golden is not viewed as a terrible option even at this lower draft spot, suggesting acceptable value as a receiver consideration.

Source doesn't hate Goedert as a backup tight end; notes he had big games last year (108, 101 yards) but was frequently injured; would be more valuable in tight-end premium scoring.

Source questions why Doubs has a star next to his name in the draft board, suggesting uncertainty about his role or value at this stage.

Source expresses concern about injury risk; notes that Dobbins will 'obviously get hurt eventually' despite Denver's strong offensive line and run game setup, suggesting durability concerns override the favorable situation.

Per-game and per-route numbers are solid, but the addition of Mike Evans signals a limited ceiling in the offense. The source wants to believe in Pearsall's upside but recognizes the Evans signing constrains his outlook.

Cephus is flagged as one of the biggest injuries in fantasy football and will be discussed in detail in an upcoming video with Dr. Jesse Morse, a sports orthopedic surgeon.

Price is strongly preferred over other flex options; the source expresses high conviction with 'give me Jadarian Price all day and tomorrow,' though acknowledges he will likely not fall to the eighth round in actual drafts and expects him to be taken earlier.

The source does not hate Godwin as a draft prospect, indicating a neutral-to-positive view of his value.

McLaughlin is sitting at fifth or sixth round ADP but the source views this as unrealistic value—he should be drafted higher. The source hopes someone else takes him to avoid being forced into the pick.

The source believes Stevenson has earned his role, indicating confidence in his playing time and usage going forward.

Dowdle was selected in the mock draft; the source notes he was his 'goat' (best pick) last year, suggesting prior-year success but neutral current-year stance.

BDGE Fantasy Football drafted Puka Nacua in the seventh round and expresses strong conviction in him. The source loved Nacua coming out of Penn State and compared him to a poor man's Deebo Samuel; that projection has played out well in Nacua's early career development.

Alec Pierce is currently injured from a knee injury and has not yet returned to play. BDGE Fantasy Football explicitly avoids drafting him, citing a preference to avoid players who are clearly not at 100% health heading into the season. Pierce is identified as one of the biggest injuries in fantasy football.

BDGE Fantasy Football projects increased opportunity for Josh Downs in 2025 due to Michael Pittman's departure. The source ranks Josh Downs over Jayden Reed as a similar opportunity play. However, the source notes hesitation to stack Josh Downs with Tyler Warren due to Indianapolis being a run-heavy offense with limited passing upside; would only target Josh Downs if he falls significantly past ADP.

BDGE Fantasy Football projects increased opportunity for Jayden Reed in 2025 due to departures (Dobbs, Dontayvion Wicks) and returning players (Tucker Kraft from injury, Matthew Golden's poor rookie year). The source expects more looks in two-wide receiver sets, notes he's a good separator, and should see decent target volume from Aaron Rodgers. However, Reed's starting role is uncertain compared to Quentin Johnston's locked-in position; Christian Watson, Christian Washington, and Matthew Golden could compete for snaps, making his role less secure.

BDGE Fantasy Football characterizes Brian Thomas Jr. as a low-volume field stretcher in 2025, projecting 4–6 targets per game with occasional big plays and splash games but limited consistent volume.

BDGE Fantasy Football ranks Quentin Johnston as the number two receiver in the Los Angeles Chargers offense and expresses enthusiasm for the Chargers passing offense overall. Johnston is confirmed as one of the two starting wide receivers for the Chargers and will see significant field time with Justin Herbert. The source selected Johnston in round 8 of the mock draft as a value option with a locked-in starting role, contrasting him favorably to Jayden Reed, whose starting role with the Packers is uncertain due to competition from Christian Watson, Christian Washington, and Matthew Golden.

BDGE Fantasy Football ranks Parker Washington as the top target in the Jacksonville Jaguars passing offense, projecting 5–6 catches per game, 50–80 yards weekly, and a touchdown every other week. The source notes Trevor Lawrence has a clear preference for receivers who are sure-handed and can make plays after the catch, which fits Washington's profile. The source is actively hoping Washington falls to him in the draft, indicating he views Washington as undervalued at his current ADP.

The source projects Jalen Hurts as a bounce-back candidate after a down 2024 season; expects him to run for 12 touchdowns in 2025 with a healthier offensive line and new offensive coordinator. Historically a top-3 fantasy QB (prior four years: 14, 15, 13, 10 rushing TDs; last year 8). The source emphasizes Hurts is still in his prime at 26-27 years old and the Eagles are a well-run organization that will get the offense moving in the right direction. The source believes Hurts has been undervalued after the Philadelphia offense's poor performance last year and is drafting him as a stack with DeVonta Smith.

The source does not like Michael Wilson, citing concerns about the Arizona passing offense being too uncertain. The source rejects Wilson as a draft option due to the overall instability of the Cardinals' passing game.

The source likes Bucky Irving in the sixth round, noting his ADP was 31 and getting him in round six represents solid value.

The source likes Jordan Addison, noting he goes into the Saints offense with significant upside; the Saints play a great schedule, play in a dome with favorable weather, and run an offense under Kellen Moore that ranks top five in plays per game and snaps per game, ensuring high volume and a high floor. Addison is positioned as a top-10 receiver playing alongside Chris Olave. The source states 'Jordan Addison, I don't hate, right? Top 10 guy, going to be playing aside Chris Olave there.'

The source describes Ashton Jeanty as the most overrated running back prospect of all time, indicating significant skepticism about his draft value and fantasy outlook.

The source identifies Brock Purdy as quarterback 13, a cost-effective late-round option that allows drafters to avoid reaching on the quarterback position early. Purdy is grouped with other late-round QB values like Matt Stafford (QB 14), Joe Burrow, and Justin Herbert as part of a strategy to wait on the position.

Drake Maye is a talented quarterback with arm talent and run-game upside, but faces a much tougher schedule in 2025 compared to last season when he benefited from weak opponents. The source acknowledges Maye's talent but decided not to draft him early, preferring to wait on quarterbacks like Matt Stafford, Brock Purdy, Joe Burrow, or Justin Herbert later in the draft.

BDGE Fantasy Football likes Tyler Warren a lot and describes him as a plug-and-play tight end in the fifth round with Daniel Jones. With Michael Pittman leaving, there should be a significant load of targets available for Warren.

BDGE Fantasy Football likes Cornell Tate but acknowledges there is some risk involved as a rookie. There is systemic risk in going into the Tennessee Titans passing offense, which makes it too early to draft Tate when other options like Mike Evans were still available.

BDGE Fantasy Football indicates Christian Watson in the fifth round is not a problem and represents good value at the receiver position. Watson exemplifies the recent trend of injured players returning quicker and performing at a high level mid-season; the source was initially skeptical but Watson became elite in the second half of the prior year, demonstrating that injury comeback timelines have compressed.

The source expresses concern about Carnell Tate as a rookie with systemic risk in the Tennessee Titans passing offense; the source feels it is too early to invest in him, especially after missing on Mike Evans in the same round.

The source is bullish on Mike Evans as the alpha receiver in San Francisco and likes him at his current draft price. The source is comfortable with his role in the offense and views investing in good offenses and doubling up on the 49ers with Kyle Shanahan as a pretty good strategy, despite league consensus being out on Evans.

BDGE Fantasy Football really likes Cam Akers significantly more than other available running backs. Akers played weeks one through eight last year before injury and was operating as a true bell-cow in the Giants offense: he saw all nine running back carries inside the 5-yard line, 23 of 26 red zone carries (89%), and caught approximately 65% of running back targets. He is not just a thumper but also a strong pass-catcher and touchdown scorer. The source notes his ankle is a concern but injury reports coming out of camp look positive.

BDGE Fantasy Football believes Geno Smith got an unfair shake last year. While he was not good, the source attributes much of his poor performance to the Raiders having the worst offensive line in football, which put him under pressure in half a second on every dropback. With improved weapons (Garrett Wilson, Omar Cooper, Quentin Johnston) and a better offensive line situation, the source expects improved performance from Smith and upside for his offense.

BDGE Fantasy Football reports that injury reports on Tucker Kraft are insanely optimistic. The source feels relatively good at reading between the lines on injury reports and team communications, and assesses Kraft as looking pretty good from a realistic standpoint, not from a weird optimistic angle.

BDGE Fantasy Football reports that injury reports on George Kittle are insanely optimistic. The source feels relatively good at reading between the lines on injury reports and team communications, and assesses Kittle as looking pretty good from a realistic standpoint, not from a weird optimistic angle.

Colson Loveland in the mid-fourth round feels spicy to the source, who loves the value in the middle rounds. The source emphasizes that Loveland has insane upside, positioning him as a high-ceiling tight end prospect with breakout potential.

The source likes Zay Flowers as a wide receiver three option and prefers him over Mike Evans at the same draft position. The biggest concern is the Ravens' offensive coordinator change and uncertainty about what that looks like, but Zay feels pretty safe overall.

The source does not like Jaylen Waddle in Denver at his current draft price, expressing skepticism about his value at that ADP despite many people loving him at the position.

The source advises against stacking AJ Brown with Drake Maye early in the draft, suggesting waiting another round to pair them if desired.

Javonte Williams in the fourth round feels great to the source as a high-floor player in a very high-powered Broncos offense. The Broncos brought in zero competition at the running back position, ensuring his role security and workload.

Kamara showed up for OTAs for the first time in approximately 6 years, signaling readiness and availability after an extended absence. He is expected to play a real pass-down role in the backfield, which will limit Travis Etienne's receiving work and overall offensive touches in the Saints' backfield.

The source wanted to be high on Travis Etienne after his big contract extension with New Orleans, but the Etienne-Kamara backfield dynamic scares the source for Etienne's upside. Alvin Kamara showed up for OTAs for the first time in approximately six years and is ready to play, and the source expects Kamara to assume a real pass-down role, which limits Etienne's receiving work and overall offensive touches.

The source is not anti-Breece Hall at this draft point and likes his price in round four. Despite acknowledging the Jets as a problematic running back situation, the source believes Breece can deliver high-upside production as a workhorse in an improved offense. The Jets have invested in the offensive line year-over-year and upgraded quarterback play with Geno Smith, who the source argues got an unfair shake last year due to the Raiders' poor offensive line. The source expects the Jets offense to have more staying power and is willing to take Breece despite acknowledging audience skepticism about the player.

The source liked Emeka Egbuka's selection in the fourth round as good value, indicating the pick represents solid draft capital allocation at that stage.

The source characterizes Kareem Hunt as a high floor player but expresses concern about him and Blake Corum sharing drives one-for-one, which makes the source nervous about his role security and fantasy upside.

The source ranks DeVonta Smith highly, noting that in games where he has played without A.J. Brown, his upside is insane with incredible target share and the ability to operate as a true alpha receiver. The source characterizes Smith as an incredibly high-floor player with an underrated ceiling; references 2022 when both Brown and Smith were top-10 wide receivers despite Jalen Hurts not throwing for more than 3,500 yards, suggesting Smith will maintain elite production despite low passing volume in the Eagles offense. The source expects the Eagles' new offensive coordinator to make a significant difference.

The source expresses concern about Blake Corum sharing drives one-for-one with Kareem Hunt, creating uncertainty about his role. However, later in the mock the source notes Corum will be getting his own drives and doesn't hate the selection in mid-rounds as running back depth thins. The source ultimately selects Corum as a backup with conditional top-five upside if starter Kyren Henderson gets injured, willing to take him despite not expecting to play him regularly.

The source ranks Justin Herbert as QB4 due to his rushing game production last year and the Chargers getting their offensive line back, making him a strong value option in the middle rounds. The source also identifies Herbert as a quarterback who can compete for MVP and is available later in the draft as a cost-effective alternative to early-round QB selections, positioning him in a 'middling group' alongside Joe Burrow, Jayden Daniels, and Jalen Hurts.

Source identifies Lamar Jackson as a value quarterback option available later in the draft, positioned ahead of a 'middling group' of quarterbacks (Joe Burrow, Jayden Daniels, Jalen Hurts, Justin Herbert) ranked as QB4 or later. When paired with this middling group of later-round quarterbacks, the value at quarterback in the middle rounds feels very strong.

Source notes Joe Burrow has dropped significantly in ADP and believes he is a legitimate shot to win MVP this year. Source plans to pair him with T Higgins to create a stacked Bengals connection. Source also identifies Burrow as a quarterback who can compete for MVP and is available later in the draft as a cost-effective alternative to early-round QB selections.

Source ranks Jayden Daniels as QB4 based on rushing game production from last year and offensive line improvement with the Chargers getting their line back. Source notes significant ADP decline: 'Jayden Daniels has dropped so far,' positioning him as a strong value option in middle rounds.

Source notes Josh Allen has been QB1 in four of the last six years, positioning him as an elite fantasy quarterback option. Source states: 'You're just getting an extremely good player in fantasy football and I don't think you're ever going to look back on a team and be like, I'm upset that I drafted one of the best players in fantasy football.' Source also acknowledges Allen as a good pick in an otherwise poorly constructed team.

Source identifies Olave as a wide receiver option to target in the third round as part of a three-wide-receiver strategy in full PPR format. Olave is positioned as a top-10 receiver in the Saints offense alongside Jordan Addison, indicating he is a reliable fantasy asset in a high-volume offense.

Source expresses strong interest in drafting Bowers if he falls to their pick in the third round: 'If Brock Bowers falls to me here, I would happily scoop him up.' Bowers was subsequently selected in the mock draft, indicating the source views him as excellent value at that draft position.

Selected as the first tight end off the board in the source's mock draft, indicating top-tier tight end ranking and draft priority.

Ranked WR10 in source's rankings, very close tier to George Pickens (WR9) and A.J. Brown (WR8). Source identifies Rice as a viable WR2 option in third round if A.J. Brown is taken earlier. Source notes: 'if AJ Brown got picked before and I had to go with like Rashee or Pickens, Brown feels like to me the one guy that if you look at who's left on the board, could end up being like the wide receiver one overall this year in fantasy football.' Rice was selected in the mock draft. The source approves of Rashee Rice as a draft pick, noting it fits well alongside Jamar Chase and Kenneth Walker in a balanced team construction.

Malik Nabers has a knee injury that is depressing his draft value; the source states there is no chance Nabers goes in the middle of the second round with the knee injury right now, implying he will fall further than his talent would otherwise suggest. Nabers is trending in the wrong direction on his injury recovery, similar to Alec Pierce. The source avoids drafting players who are clearly not at 100% health heading into the season. Nabers is flagged as one of the biggest injuries in fantasy football heading into the season; the source plans to discuss his injury status with a sports orthopedic surgeon in an upcoming video.

The source likes Chase Brown a lot in the middle of the second round as part of a running-back-heavy draft approach, suggesting he is a strong value option at that stage.

The source likes Kenneth Walker in the middle of the second round as part of a running-back-heavy draft approach, suggesting he is a solid value option at that stage.

Ranked WR8 in rankings; moving to Patriots with Drake Maye, described as 'easily the best quarterback AJ Brown's played with' and a special passer coming off near-MVP season. Source attributes last year's reception perception decline to Kevin Pettullo's offensive incompetence in Philadelphia rather than talent decline. With Maye's arm talent and A.J. Brown's downfield ability, source expects him to be slotted as number-one target. Source states: 'AJ Brown's not going to be a guy I'm fading going into 2026. If I get him in the middle of the second round, he's my wide receiver one.' Source expects him to be polarizing this offseason due to his move from Philadelphia to the New England Patriots, but views the Pats as a good passing offense with Drake Maye putting up a near-MVP season last year, suggesting Brown has significant upside in a pass-first system.

Ranked ninth overall on the source's draft board and projected at the 22nd pick, appearing in the first-round tier after CMC, Amon-Ra St. Brown, CD Lamb, Jonathan Taylor, Justin Jefferson, James Cook, and Drake London.

Justin Jefferson is ranked fifth overall and slotted at the 10th pick on the source's draft board, appearing in the first-round tier after CMC, Amon-Ra St. Brown, CD Lamb, and Jonathan Taylor.

Jonathan Taylor is ranked fourth overall on the source's draft board, appearing in the first-round tier after CMC, Amon-Ra St. Brown, and CD Lamb.

James Cook is ranked sixth overall on the source's draft board, appearing in the first-round tier after CMC, Amon-Ra St. Brown, CD Lamb, Jonathan Taylor, and Justin Jefferson.

Ranked seventh overall on the source's draft board in the first-round tier, appearing after CMC, Amon-Ra St. Brown, CD Lamb, Jonathan Taylor, Justin Jefferson, and James Cook.

Ranked eighth overall on the source's draft board in the first-round tier. Source notes Achane was part of a strong running back class last year alongside CMC, Bijan, Gibbs, and JT.

Amon-Ra St. Brown is ranked second overall on the source's draft board, appearing immediately after CMC in the first-round receiver tier alongside CD Lamb, Jonathan Taylor, Justin Jefferson, James Cook, Drake London, Devon Achane, and Nico Collins.

The source has Jahmyr Gibbs ranked at 101 overall ADP and believes you will be okay regardless of whether you go running back or receiver early, suggesting Gibbs is a solid value option in the second round.

Bijan Robinson is selected second overall in the mock draft as part of a strong running back class that includes CMC, Gibbs, JT, and Achane; the source notes the first round is swinging back toward running backs after years of receiver-heavy selections.

CMC averaged over 25 expected PPR fantasy points per game last year with no material changes to the 49ers offense that would reduce his workload; Ke'Shawn Black is viewed as over-drafted and not a threat to CMC's touches, and Purdy remains extremely comfortable with CMC at a 25%+ target share. The source states CMC is a make-or-break guy for 2026 fantasy football and would take him at five overall despite the sixth-pick slot, citing an incredible workload with no floor concerns.

McLaurin returns for year two with Jayden Daniels after setting the Commanders franchise record for most touchdown catches in a single season during Daniels' rookie year (2024). New offensive coordinator David Blough is expected to feature McLaurin prominently in the offense.

Year-three breakout candidate despite finishing as QB5 last season (21.5 PPG average, 3,600 passing yards, 25 passing TDs, 891 rushing yards, 6 rushing TDs). Daniels is 'lightning in a bottle' with a 4.5 40-yard dash time and electric rushing ability. New offensive coordinator David Blough (ex-Detroit Lions) will line Daniels up behind center more frequently, creating play-action and rushing opportunities. Daniels has a realistic chance to lead all QBs in rushing yards and rushing TDs this year. ADP discount is substantial: 50 spots behind Josh Allen in FFPC and 35+ spots behind in NFFC, despite QB position being pushed down league-wide. 'Year three Jayden Daniels should be special.'

Positioned for strong season in Chicago but currently dealing with foot issues; team does not appear overly concerned about the injury. However, Odunze faces target cannibalization risk from Luther Burden, with Colston Loveland projected as the safer bet for top-two target status and likely target leader on the Bears.

Has chance to break through in Chicago offense but faces target cannibalization risk with Rome Odunze. While one of Burden or Odunze could end up leading the team in targets, Colston Loveland is projected as the more reliable top-two target and likely target leader, positioning Burden in a secondary role.

Dark horse league winner candidate at TE; 21-year-old rookie with 9 catches of 20+ yards, 4th in air yards and 3rd in deep targets among TEs; positioned for double-digit weekly targets; ADP 44 NFFC / 46 Underdog; best pick among all TEs with potential to lead team in targets on improved Chicago offense with Ben Johnson year 2 and Caleb Williams year 3. Loveland is a great bet to be a top-two target on the Bears offense and likely to lead the team in total targets; identified as 'the best pick you can make at the tight end position right now in fantasy football with tight end one overall upside.'

Positioned as promising tight end option in Indianapolis as number one target on offense; in really good spot for 2025.

Dark horse TE1 candidate with monster season potential; dominated end of 2024 with 10+ targets and 20+ PPR points in three straight games including 8 catches, 137 yards, and TD in playoff win over Green Bay; positioned as best non-Bowers/McBride TE1 bet for 2025.

Dark horse candidate positioned to step into WR1 role vacated by A.J. Brown's trade to New England. Over last three seasons without A.J. Brown, Smith averaged 9 targets per game and 16.2 PPG. Capable of handling Jaxon Smith-Njigba-type usage. At 27 years old with elite college pedigree (Heisman, 1,900 yards and 23 TDs at Alabama), Smith has never had a focal-point season as a pro but is staring at one in 2026. A.J. Brown's role carried 27%+ target share, top-5 first-read rate, and 35% air-yard share for multiple seasons. With Shane Steichen taking over as OC, Smith could post 17-18 PPG and is available at the 3-4 turn on Underdog and FFPC.

Complementary piece to Chris Olave rather than target threat. Good bet if healthy to exceed 100 targets as a rookie, making him a target in later draft rounds. Role is to help overall Saints offense improve rather than cannibalize Olave's target share.

Olave delivered a career season in 2024 under new OC Kellen Moore, posting 150+ targets, 100 catches (fifth-most among WRs), 1,000+ receiving yards (seventh), and 9 TDs (tied sixth) with a 29% target share. In eight games with Tyler Shuck, he averaged 18.8 PPG. Moore explicitly committed to using Olave as the offensive focal point. Olave's 150+ targets and 100 catches align with the four-year trend of target/catch volume as the primary driver of WR1 overall production in fantasy. With Taysom Hill expected to improve and health concerns (concussions, blood clot) under control per team and beat reporters, he is positioned for his best season as a pro. At third-round ADP in FFPC and Underdog, he offers proven high-volume production with sustainable role clarity and appears to be drafted at his floor.

Egbuka is a year-two breakout candidate with elite pedigree (Ohio State all-time leading receiver, 205 career catches, 23.6% target share and 127 targets as a rookie) now positioned for 17–18 PPG production. New OC Zach Robinson will deploy him in the Z receiver role with scheme versatility to find advantageous matchups. With Mike Evans departed, Chris Godwin aging, and minimal WR competition (Trey Palmer, Jalen McMillan, Tez Johnson, Cade Otton at TE), Egbuka projects for 145–160 targets in a contract-year Baker Mayfield passing game. Available as a low-end WR2 across formats (fourth round in some, 39 overall in Underdog Best Ball, late second in NFFC), he represents the offensive focal point for Tampa Bay.

Cooper Jr., drafted by the Jets in 2026 out of Indiana with first or second-round capital, is part of the team's multi-tight-end investment alongside Kanyon Sadeeq, Adonai Mitchell, and Mason Taylor. His role and fantasy relevance will depend on opportunity distribution among the crowded tight end room.

Taylor, drafted by the Jets in 2024, had a disappointing rookie year with injury issues, limiting his immediate fantasy impact. He remains part of the Jets' multi-tight-end investment alongside Adonai Mitchell, Omar Cooper Jr., and Kanyon Sadeeq.

Wilson has been extended by the Jets and is poised for a high-profile usage season. The Jets' recent investments in tight ends (Adonai Mitchell, Mason Taylor, Omar Cooper Jr., Kanyon Sadeeq) and quarterback stability with Geno Smith create a more balanced offensive ecosystem that should support elevated usage for Wilson alongside Breece Hall.

Mitchell was acquired by the Jets at the trade deadline in 2024 (when they moved Sauce Gardner) and flashed in his limited time, signaling potential for expanded role in 2026. He represents part of the Jets' multi-pronged tight end investment alongside Mason Taylor, Omar Cooper Jr., and Kanyon Sadeeq.

Hall is available in round three (ADP ~36 overall in NFFC, early third in FFPC/Underdog) after years of requiring first-round capital, representing smash value. He just turned 25, signed a 3-year, $43M extension, and posted his first 1,000-yard season in 2024 with eight 20+ yard runs and 17 15+ yard runs, displaying explosiveness. The Jets' offensive line is improving with Joe Tippmann extended and Alijah Vera-Tucker entering year two. Geno Smith provides stability and matches Hall's receiving skill set; Hall caught 76 passes in 2023 and 57 in 2024. The supporting cast is the best of Hall's career: Garrett Wilson (extended), Adonai Mitchell (acquired mid-2024), Mason Taylor (drafted 2024), and new tight end additions Omar Cooper Jr. and Kanyon Sadeeq with first/second-round capital. If receiving work returns to 57+ catches, Hall is a smash value; if it reaches 65 catches (2023 level), he could be the league-winning running back. The Jets don't need a top-10 offense for Hall to smash; middle-of-the-pack offensive production suffices.

Dalton Kincaid is finally healthy and has 11 end zone targets in three seasons (41 games), indicating he will be a factor in Buffalo's passing game.

Khalil Shakir is Buffalo's slot guy who has played four seasons with only six end zone targets, indicating he will get targets but limited red zone involvement.

Dave is in on DJ Moore in round 5, excited about the opportunity despite concerns about his ability, noting that there aren't many sure things at that draft position.

Scott Turner, who coached DJ Moore, said he's running faster than it looks and is a glider who doesn't appear to be putting in full effort but is, and will be really good on Josh Allen's improv plays.

DJ Moore could score 8 or more touchdowns in Buffalo, which would make him worth a round 5 pick, especially given that the Bills have been seventh in passing touchdowns and should expect 28+ touchdowns from Josh Allen.

DJ Moore is walking into a situation where no receiver has consistent green zone and end zone targets, and he has four seasons with double-digit end zone targets, positioning him well for touchdown upside in Buffalo's offense.

Dave believes Joe Brady brought DJ Moore to Buffalo because he trusts him, and Moore had one of his best seasons under Brady in Carolina, suggesting familiarity could help him succeed.

Heath has apparently ranked DJ Moore ahead of his ADP but has not clicked his name approximately zero times this summer, indicating hesitation despite the ranking.

Adam notes that DJ Moore might not be that good anymore, and combined with Buffalo's low passing volume over the last two years, there are legitimate reasons to be concerned about his fantasy value.

Based on Buffalo's past volume, DJ Moore could lead the team in targets but that could be as low as 115 targets or less, limiting his ceiling despite the opportunity.

DJ Moore faces competition from Khalil Shakir (solid slot player) and Dalton Kincaid (finally healthy), which could limit his target share even if he leads the team in targets.

DJ Moore has been top 24 in PPR per game only twice in his eight-year career, and last year he had one of the lowest target per route run rates of any wide receiver with 50+ targets, raising questions about his actual ability.

Adam is worried about being wrong on DJ Moore because at 29 years old, his yards per route run rate has been abysmal for two straight seasons, and Buffalo has been 25th and 26th in pass attempts the last two years under the run-heavy Joe Brady system.

Rico Dowdle and Jaylen Warren were within one catch of each other and within 0.1 targets per game over the past two years, indicating similar pass-catching involvement despite different team situations.

Rico Dowdle had a 75% success rate inside the five-yard line last year (40% the year before), suggesting he will likely get goal-line carries in Pittsburgh's offense.

Rico Dowdle has a strong connection with new Pittsburgh head coach Mike McCarthy, who kept him around for several years in Dallas and gave him a major opportunity in 2024 that led to his 2025 contract, suggesting McCarthy values his abilities.

Dave loves the value for Rico Dowdle, ranking him very close to Jaylen Warren in the round 7-8 turn range (31st RB, 85th overall) despite going 22 picks later in Fantasy Pros ADP.

Jaylen Warren had a 28.6% success rate inside the five-yard line last year, meaning he didn't score many touchdowns from that area, which could limit his red zone production compared to Rico Dowdle.

Jaylen Warren had 40 catches last year despite not being the third-down back, demonstrating solid pass-catching ability that could translate to the Pittsburgh offense.

Dave is concerned that Jaylen Warren and Rico Dowdle could end up in an annoying split where they alternate drives rather than having clear running-down and passing-down roles, which would limit Warren's upside despite his explosiveness.

Jaylen Warren is going 22 picks earlier than Rico Dowdle in Fantasy Pros (70th overall vs. 92nd overall) but nearly back-to-back in CBS ADP (75th vs. 79th overall), with Dave ranking them very close to each other in the round 7-8 turn range.

Brock Bowers is going 20th overall in Fantasy Pros and 25th overall in CBS ADP, but the depth at tight end makes it difficult to justify that investment when five tight ends could score 13+ PPR points per game with two available in round six or seven.

Heath is worried about being a year too early on Brock Bowers, concerned that while he remains awesome, the tight end position has become so deep that investing a pick at the one-two turn is risky when other options like Laporta, Pitts, Loveland, and McBride could provide similar production in later rounds.

Charbonnet is returning from an ACL injury suffered in January, and it's unclear when he will be back or how effective he will be upon return, which affects Price's opportunity.

Dave projects Price for 269 touches, but notes that in the last 11 seasons, 15 first-round running backs averaged 15.5 touches per game (255-262 touches), and he doubts Price will reach that threshold.

Price will split work with Zach Charbonnet (returning from ACL injury) and George Helani, and Seattle has a history of splitting work between running backs, limiting his opportunity.

Dave is worried about hyping up a rookie too much; Price was a first-round pick despite not having as much work as typical first-round running backs, and he has a history of fumbling near the goal line.

Through weeks 1-15, Stevenson averaged 9 PPR points per game with only 3 touchdowns in 11 games, though he was unbelievable to end the regular season.

Ramondre Stevenson was legitimately awesome last year, and if he repeats that performance, Henderson will be limited to boom weeks and is better suited as a flex than an RB2.

If Henderson improves as a runner, pass catcher, and blocker in Josh McDaniels' offense, he could overtake Ramondre Stevenson and be ranked significantly higher than current ADP of 53rd overall.

In a three-game stretch without Ramondre Stevenson (weeks 9-11), Henderson averaged 19 touches per game, 4 targets per game, and 24 PPR points per game, demonstrating elite upside if he can overtake Stevenson.

Malik Willis is going to be one of the easiest winning picks in fantasy football if the Dolphins can improve from the 32nd best offense to the 27th best offense; he would also be heavily targeted in superflex.

Kyler Murray is highlighted as one of the biggest winning picks in fantasy football in 2026 if KOC gets him back in his bag; he has been a great running quarterback with 572 rushing yards and 5 rushing TDs in 2024, and 819 rushing yards and 11 rushing TDs in 2020.

Brock Purdy is a completely phenomenal target in 2026 because people are misremembering how good he has been; he adds legitimate rushing production with five rushing touchdowns in 2024, which surprises people given his draft pedigree.

Patrick Mahomes is a great bet in 2026 because he is underpriced just for his passing production.

Lamar Jackson is a true dual threat exception where if he falls to a legitimate value price, one elite rusher can carry your fantasy team; his 2024 season (25 PPG) and 2019 season (27 PPG) are very hard to pass up on.

Josh Allen is a true dual threat exception where if he falls to a legitimate value price, one elite rusher can carry your fantasy team because you can just take one quarterback.

Malik Willis is a great target because he will run frequently, and despite the Dolphins having a horrendous passing game with no NFL-capable wide receivers, his rushing floor will stay quite high.

Running quarterbacks like Justin Fields may not have truly insane ceilings because they are not effective enough throwing the ball to achieve five or six touchdown games, though their floor stays quite high.

Mahomes' design runs and scrambles provide a stable and projectable source of weekly ceiling and floor, making rushing QBs more reliable than pure passing QBs.

The analyst suggests Drake Maye should only be taken in the eighth round if he's the best available option compared to weak RB options like Kenneth Gainwell.

Taking Lamar Jackson early in drafts creates significant opportunity cost by skipping starters at other positions, with the analyst noting situations where he was available in the sixth round.

Taking Josh Allen early in drafts creates significant opportunity cost by skipping starters at other positions like WR35 or legitimate RB1s.

Willis is a great example of a rushing QB who could become a top-10 fantasy QB if he gets significant rushing volume (11+ carries per game) before potentially being benched.

The analyst suggests Mayfield will be a strong late-round QB option who can outscore early-round QB picks like Joe Burrow by being selected in the right weeks.

The analyst expects multiple rushing QBs to outscore Daniels relatively easily, suggesting he will underperform relative to his draft position.

The analyst expects multiple rushing QBs to outscore Burrow relatively easily and predicts drafters will regret taking him in the fifth round.

The analyst expects multiple rushing QBs to outscore Drake Maye relatively easily, suggesting he will underperform relative to his draft position.

The analyst expects multiple rushing QBs to outscore Williams relatively easily, suggesting he will underperform relative to his draft position.

The analyst believes multiple QBs from the rushing QB window (Mahomes, Murray, Mayfield, Purdy, Nix, Willis, Jordan Love) will outscore Hurts relatively easily.

Stafford was able to achieve elite QB scoring without rushing production, making him one of only two QBs on the list to do so alongside Goff.

Russell Wilson is cited as another example of a quarterback significantly impacted by touchdown percentage volatility.

Manning's touchdown rates in Denver were highly volatile (6.3%, 8.3%, 6.5%), demonstrating that touchdown percentage is unpredictable year-to-year despite strong overall production.

Mahomes had bad games against Buffalo, Denver, and Houston where he was unable to add any rushing production, limiting his upside in those matchups.

Mahomes' poor passing production in 2025 was offset by rushing touchdowns, which gave him a much safer floor and higher ceiling than pure passing QBs.

Stafford had several bad games last season with 13 points against Philadelphia, 9 points against Baltimore, and 13 points against Seattle, showing inconsistency in his floor.

Will Levis (Willis) at quarterback 21 is identified as the last quarterback on the Flock Fantasy rankings where you'd feel uncomfortable starting him in fantasy football.

Daniel Jones is not recommended as the only quarterback in a 12-team league, though he has some upside.

Baker Mayfield is a quarterback you can feel fine with because he adds a little bit of scrambling ability.

Matthew Stafford is a pocket passer who elevated his results and scored more than his fantasy points over expectation last season, though he still had some poor games (13 points vs Philly, 9 points vs Baltimore, 13 points vs Seattle).

Kyler Murray should be targeted in the quarterback window (QB 9-18) because he runs, despite being cut by the Arizona Cardinals.

Bo Nix is an awesome fantasy football quarterback because he adds scrambling ability to his game.

Brock Purdy had a legendary week 17 game against the Bears because he ran the ball effectively.

Trevor Lawrence's best season came with rushing, demonstrating the strong correlation between rushing attempts and quarterback fantasy points.

Patrick Mahomes' best season came with rushing, demonstrating the strong correlation between rushing attempts and quarterback fantasy points.

Drake Maye is mentioned as an elite quarterback option that can be a winning pick, though the strategy emphasizes the quarterback window (QB 9-18) as the optimal draft range.

Lamar Jackson is mentioned as an elite quarterback option that can be a winning pick, though the strategy emphasizes the quarterback window (QB 9-18) as the optimal draft range.

Josh Allen is mentioned as an elite quarterback option that can be a winning pick, though the strategy emphasizes the quarterback window (QB 9-18) as the optimal draft range.

Calvin Austin III was disappointing in the Steelers offense, failing to meet expectations despite being positioned as a key receiver.

Roman Wilson is expected to lose the third receiver role to Jeremy Bernard decisively, with Bernard projected to dominate that role.

Watson is a long, lengthy, good athlete who is a bigger, stronger athlete compared to similar prospects, suggesting he has solid foundational tools for NFL success.

Watson is used as a comparison point for Bryce Lance; both are long, lengthy athletes from North Dakota State, though Watson was a slightly bigger and stronger athlete.

Lance is closer to a rookie year Christian Watson than the public realizes; he's a long, lengthy, good athlete who could develop into a number three receiver or starter by year three.

Evans is part of the Buccaneers receiving group with vacated targets available in Tampa Bay.

Godwin's potential downturn could create opportunity for Tez Johnson to get a shot in the Buccaneers offense.

Johnson is drawing buzz as a potential second contract starter in the slot; he's fearless over the middle and could get a shot if Godwin declines or McMillan doesn't take the next step.

Higbee is a good football player who hasn't been able to stay healthy, and the analyst expresses skepticism about his assessments of other players due to personal conduct concerns.

Parkinson is positioned as a sneaky tight end option worth monitoring in camp; the analyst has him ahead of Ferguson in targets, receptions, and touchdowns despite Ferguson leading in yardage.

Ferguson is entering his second year in the Rams tight end room, which is already loaded with multiple options.

Higbee is not expected to make a big second-year leap; while he's a good tight end with physical tools, the analyst is skeptical of significant value increase.

Parkinson played well enough that he may still be the sneaky guy to keep an eye on in the Rams tight end room, with potential to have a good camp.

Coleman looked really good in OTAs and has strong organizational support from ownership, GM, and Josh Allen; he's one of the best contested catch players who hasn't established himself yet and could be a top-three receiver or top touchdown getter on the team if used well.

Coleman is drawing great buzz in Buffalo and represents the desired outcome for the team's receiver development.

Burrow recently praised Andre Yashiva, indicating confidence in the receiver.

Bowers is the clear top target in the Raiders offense; Malik Benson plays a different position and won't leapfrog him.

Besh is still part of the Raiders program and ahead of Malik Benson on the depth chart.

Mendoza has been targeting Malik Benson heavily during team drills, especially over the middle of the field at OTAs and mini camp.

Thornton is competing with Benson but is one-dimensional; while he has separation skills and speed, those haven't translated to the field and he didn't produce on a team that needed him to.

Benson is a cheap dynasty target available in the seventh or eighth round of rookie drafts; he's a vertical threat who can open up the offense and make explosive plays, showcased at OTAs and mini camp as Fernando Mendoza's go-to target over the middle.

Leggette is the receiver Brazell must beat out in the competition for playing time.

Coker is established as good at beating man-to-man coverage and just got paid in the Panthers offense.

Miller is one of the receivers the team would try before using an unproven option as a starting receiver.

Raymond is a good receiver but may not see a massive amount of usage; he's one of the options the team might try before using a less-proven receiver as a starting option.

Swift is a good receiver but won't see a massive amount of receiving usage; he may see jet sweeps and flare outs as a running back.

Just got paid in the Panthers offense; established as a key receiver in the offense.

Likely to be tried before Zayvian Thomas gets significant offensive opportunities with the Lions.

A good receiver out of the backfield for the Lions.

A good receiver for the Lions; likely to be tried before Zayvian Thomas gets significant offensive opportunities.

Better talent than Zayvian Thomas; took half the season to get into games after similar coaching language about potential and special teams role.

Brought in to run the ball for the Texans; team believes they can upgrade their running game with power and get a couple years out of a guy who brings what Nick Chubb brought to the table.

May get back to contribute to the Texans' receiving core this season.

Already on board as part of the Texans' receiving core with rising talent and potential to contribute in the rebound year.

One year better in his development; part of a rising talent receiving core for the Texans alongside Jaylen Nowell and Nico Collins.