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FantasyPros Articles fantasy football takes on Bo Nix

Every source-backed article insight STACKED has extracted from FantasyPros Articles about Bo Nix.

80
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25
Positive
43
Negative
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All FantasyPros Articles insights about Bo Nix

NegativeProjectionOct 31, 2026
Nix flashed a fantasy pulse last week as QB3, but much of that output came from seven carries and 73 yards (one score) on the ground rather than passing prowess. Derek Brown doesn't expect to count on the rushing floor and upside weekly for a quarterback who hasn't had more than ten rushing yards in any other game this season. Nix finished last week with 222 passing yards, one touchdown, 51.7% completion percentage, and 7.7 yards per attempt. Among 34 qualifying passers, Nix ranks 31st in yards per attempt, 33rd in passing success rate, 27th in passing touchdown rate, and 24th in highly accurate throw rate. Brown expects Nix to regress to a middling QB2 this week against Kansas City, who has allowed the 14th-lowest yards per attempt, 2nd-lowest passing touchdown rate, and 10th-lowest passing success rate over their last five games.
NegativeProjectionOct 30, 2026
Bo Nix should not be trusted in fantasy this week despite his 26.2-point performance last week. His completion percentage was only 51.7%, missing the 61% mark for the fifth time this season, and 50.8% of his fantasy points came on the ground (13.3) from a 62-yard rushing touchdown against Arizona that should not be expected to repeat. Before last week, Nix had averaged only 11.6 fantasy points per game. The Chiefs have held opposing quarterbacks to 12 fantasy points per game (third-fewest in the NFL) and held Nix to only 5.4 fantasy points in their Week 1 meeting. Kansas City has more games without giving up a passing touchdown (two) than games in which they surrendered two or more (one).
NegativeProjectionOct 29, 2026
Nix flashed as QB3 last week, but much of that output came from seven carries and 73 yards (one score) on the ground, not passing prowess. Outside last week, he hasn't had more than ten rushing yards in any game. He finished with 222 passing yards, one touchdown, 51.7% completion percentage, and 7.7 yards per attempt. Among 34 qualifying passers, Nix ranks 31st in yards per attempt, 33rd in passing success rate, 27th in passing touchdown rate, and 24th in highly accurate throw rate. Kansas City has allowed the 14th-lowest yards per attempt, second-lowest passing touchdown rate, and tenth-lowest passing success rate over their last five games. The source expects: 'I expect Nix to come back to Earth this week as a middling QB2.'
NegativeProjectionOct 29, 2026
Bo Nix's QB3 finish last week was driven primarily by seven carries for 73 yards and one rushing touchdown, not passing production. Outside of last week, Nix hasn't exceeded ten rushing yards in any game, making the rushing floor unreliable. His passing stats were weak: 222 yards, one touchdown, 51.7% completion, 7.7 yards per attempt. Among 34 qualifying passers, Nix ranks 31st in yards per attempt, 33rd in passing success rate, 27th in passing touchdown rate, and 24th in highly accurate throw rate. The source expects Nix to regress to a middling QB2 this week.
NegativeProjectionOct 29, 2026
Bo Nix flashed a fantasy pulse as QB3 last week, but Derek Brown cautions that much of that output came from seven carries and 73 yards (one score) on the ground, not passing prowess. For a quarterback that hasn't had more than ten rushing yards in any other game this season, the rushing floor and upside cannot be counted on weekly. Nix finished with 222 passing yards, one touchdown, 51.7% completion percentage, and 7.7 yards per attempt. Among 34 qualifying passers, Nix ranks 31st in yards per attempt and 33rd in passing efficiency, making him unreliable for consistent fantasy production.
NegativeBustOct 29, 2026
Bo Nix is a Week 8 lineup landmine despite his 26.2-point performance in Week 7. He completed only 51.7% of passes (missing the 61% mark for the fifth time this season) and scored 50.8% of his fantasy points on the ground (13.3 rushing yards) rather than through the air (12.9 passing points), benefiting from a 62-yard rushing touchdown against Arizona that shouldn't be expected to repeat. Before last week, Nix averaged 11.6 fantasy points per game. The Chiefs have held opposing quarterbacks to 12 fantasy points per game (third-fewest in the NFL), with more games without giving up a passing touchdown (two) than games surrendering two or more (one). Kansas City held Nix to only 5.4 fantasy points in their Week 1 meeting.
NegativeProjectionOct 26, 2026
Bo Nix finally showed up for a start against Arizona, throwing for just 222 yards and a touchdown on an abysmal 51% completion rate but salvaging his fantasy afternoon by scrambling for 73 yards and a touchdown. Drafted as a low-end QB1, Nix hasn't lived up to the billing at all in 2026 despite the team switching back to Sean Payton calling plays. Denver hosts Kansas City in Week 8, and the source expects Nix to 'turn back into a pumpkin after midnight' after this one-week reprieve.
NegativeProjectionOct 24, 2026
Nix ranks QB28 in fantasy points per game with only one game this season where he passed for more than 220 yards or multiple touchdowns. Among 33 qualifying passers, he has the second-fewest yards per attempt, second-lowest passing success rate, seventh-lowest EPA per dropback, and second-lowest aDOT. Despite facing Arizona—which allows the most yards per attempt, highest passing touchdown rate, and tenth-highest passing success rate—the source questions whether Nix can succeed even in this elite matchup, suggesting systemic struggles.
NegativeProjectionOct 22, 2026
Bo Nix is QB28 in fantasy points per game with only one game this season where he passed for more than 220 yards or multiple touchdowns. Among 33 qualifying passers, Nix ranks second-fewest in yards per attempt, second-lowest in passing success rate, seventh-lowest in EPA per dropback, and second-lowest in aDOT. Even against Arizona's elite pass defense matchup (allowing most yards per attempt, highest passing TD rate, tenth-highest passing success rate), if Nix cannot succeed this week, it is unclear if he will at any other time during the 2026 season.
NegativeProjectionOct 22, 2026
Nix is the QB28 in fantasy points per game with only one game this season where he passed for more than 220 yards or multiple touchdowns; among 33 qualifying passers, he has the second-fewest yards per attempt, second-lowest passing success rate, seventh-lowest EPA per dropback, and second-lowest aDOT; the source questions whether he can succeed even against Arizona, which has allowed the most yards per attempt and highest passing touchdown rate, suggesting Nix's struggles are fundamental rather than matchup-dependent.
PositiveValueOct 21, 2026
Stephen Floyd identifies Bo Nix as a buy-low target entering Week 7, particularly in superflex leagues. His disappointing start has driven down his value, but he finished among the top 10 fantasy QBs in each of the previous two seasons. Denver's offensive struggles are legitimate, but Sean Payton remains committed to Nix, and there's room for improvement as the offense develops. Floyd would offer a lower-end QB2 or expendable flex asset to acquire him at a discount, betting on his established upside rather than his first six weeks of production.
PositiveProjectionOct 15, 2026
Bo Nix is having a miserable season and looks worse than his rookie-season version. He is QB29 in fantasy points per game with only one game above QB18 in weekly scoring. Among 29 qualifying passers, Nix has the fourth-lowest yards per attempt, fourth-lowest passing success rate, the lowest aDOT, the sixth-lowest catchable target rate, and the fourth-fewest fantasy points per dropback. The source notes it is wild that he can have the lowest aDOT and still have such a low catchable target rate, indicating extreme inaccuracy. Seattle's elite pass defense (fewest yards per attempt, third-lowest passing success rate, second-fewest EPA per dropback) makes a bounce-back unlikely. The source recommends sitting Nix.
NegativeBustOct 15, 2026
Nix is a landmine start in Week 6 against Seattle despite the Broncos' trade for Jaylen Waddle. He completed only 59.3% of passes for 123 yards and 7.9 fantasy points last week after the play-caller change to Sean Payton. Nix has averaged just 13 fantasy points per game this season, totaling 14.1 or fewer in all but one game. His passing yards (188.4 per game) and yards per attempt (5.8) are both down from last year (231.2 & 6.4), with a significant leg injury playing a role. Seattle's defense has held quarterbacks to 12.5 fantasy points per game (fifth-fewest in NFL) and surrendered 9.8 or fewer fantasy points in three matchups. Brock Purdy managed only 189 passing yards and 16.2 fantasy points against Seattle last week despite San Francisco scoring 32 points. Avoid starting Nix as anything more than a low-end QB2.
PositiveProjectionOct 15, 2026
Bo Nix is having a miserable season, looking even worse than his rookie-season version of himself. He is QB29 in fantasy points per game with only one game above QB18 in weekly scoring. Among 29 qualifying passers, Nix has the fourth-lowest yards per attempt and passing success rate, the lowest aDOT, the sixth-lowest catchable target rate, and the fourth-fewest fantasy points per dropback. The source notes that Nix having the lowest aDOT and still having a catchable target rate that low is 'absolutely crazy work' and 'wild that he can be THAT inaccurate.' Against Seattle's suffocating pass defense—which allows the fewest yards per attempt, the third-lowest passing success rate, and the second-fewest EPA per dropback—the source does not see Nix bouncing back this week.
PositiveMatchupOct 14, 2026
Poor Week 6 matchup vs. Seattle Seahawks; Nix has been disappointing, averaging just 13.6 fantasy points per game despite Denver trading for Jaylen Waddle in offseason. Sean Payton's play-calling hasn't improved the offense; Nix managed only 123 passing yards and one touchdown against favorable Chargers matchup last week. Now faces defense allowing second-fewest passing yards per game. Among QBs with 100+ dropbacks, Nix ranks last in average depth of target (6.1) and sixth-worst in completion percentage over expectation (-1.0%), indicating limited passing upside. Source recommends benching Nix in favor of Jameis Winston or Aaron Rodgers.
NegativeBustOct 13, 2026
Nix has struggled significantly this season despite a change in play-caller. In Week 5, he threw for a season-low 123 passing yards and ran for just 10 yards, as his scrambling has been muted compared to previous seasons. He averaged 23 rushing yards per game in his first two seasons, frequently providing explosive plays on the ground, but is averaging just 7 rushing yards per game so far this season. Outside of Week 3, when he tossed two touchdowns and ran one in, he is posting a lowly 10.26 fantasy points per game. It is easy to question Nix's health after an offseason spent rehabbing, but he is missing open reads downfield. It is officially time to panic.
NegativeProjectionOct 12, 2026
Bo Nix continued his poor string of play this season despite play-calling duties being handed off from offensive coordinator Davis Webb to head coach Sean Payton, passing for just 123 yards and a touchdown against a weak Los Angeles Chargers secondary. This marked the fourth game this season in which he has thrown for fewer than 215 yards and just one touchdown pass, compounded by his lack of rushing yards to compensate. The source suggests managers might want to consider benching Nix until he figures things out, with Week 6 against Seattle offering no relief.
PositiveProjectionOct 12, 2026
Despite Sean Payton taking back play-calling duties from offensive coordinator Davis Webb ahead of a Week 5 matchup against the winless Chargers, the Broncos produced only 224 yards of offense, 3.9 yards per play and 23 points. Nix logged a pitiful 123 passing yards at 4.6 yards per pass attempt. Through Week 5, Nix has cleared 200 passing yards only twice and bested 225 yards only once this season, with multiple touchdown passes only once (two against the Rams at home in Week 3). Josh Shepardson characterizes Denver's offense as a roaring dumpster fire and states he can't even advocate kicking the tires on Nix's receivers as buy-low players.
NegativeProjectionOct 10, 2026
Bo Nix has played bad football this season as QB22 in fantasy points per game with only one game over 16 fantasy points; his passing accuracy metrics have been horrible. Among 29 qualifying passers, Nix has the third-fewest yards per attempt, sixth-lowest passing success rate, sixth-lowest highly accurate throw rate, and sixth-highest turnover-worthy throw rate. Derek Brown states there is nothing pretty there and he'd love to craft a positive blurb but it's tough to believe in him at the moment, though the matchup with LA is quite nice and should yield at least decent QB2 value.
NegativeProjectionOct 8, 2026
Nix is QB22 in fantasy points per game with only one game this season with more than 16 fantasy points. Among 29 qualifying passers, he ranks third-fewest in yards per attempt, sixth-lowest in passing success rate, sixth-lowest in highly accurate throw rate, and sixth-highest in turnover-worthy throw rate. Derek Brown states there is nothing pretty about Nix's performance and it's tough to believe in him at the moment, though the matchup against Los Angeles is quite nice and should yield at least decent QB2 value.
NegativeProjectionOct 8, 2026
Nix is QB22 in fantasy points per game with only one game this season with more than 16 fantasy points. His passing accuracy metrics are horrible: among 29 qualifying passers, he has the third-fewest yards per attempt, sixth-lowest passing success rate, sixth-lowest highly accurate throw rate, and sixth-highest turnover-worthy throw rate. The source states there's nothing pretty there and it's tough to believe in him at the moment. However, the matchup is quite nice this week; Los Angeles has allowed the eighth-most yards per attempt, ninth-highest passing success rate, eighth-highest CPOE, and 14th-most fantasy points per dropback, so he should see at least decent QB2 value.
PositiveProjectionOct 3, 2026
Nix has looked like a backup quarterback for most of the season. Among 31 qualifying passers, he ranks 9th-fewest yards per attempt, 6th-lowest passing success rate, 10th-lowest highly accurate throw rate, 7th-lowest catchable target rate, and 3rd-highest turnover-worthy throw rate. The source states it has been "THAT BAD" and doesn't see him turning it around this week. San Francisco's pass defense allows 7th-fewest yards per attempt, 11th-lowest CPOE, and 3rd-fewest fantasy points per dropback.
PositiveProjectionOct 3, 2026
Bo Nix has looked like a backup quarterback for most of the season. Among 31 qualifying passers, Nix ranks ninth-fewest in yards per attempt, sixth-lowest in passing success rate, tenth-lowest in highly accurate throw rate, seventh-lowest in catchable target rate, and third-highest in turnover-worthy throw rate. Derek Brown does not see Nix turning it around in Week 4 against the 49ers, who have allowed the seventh-fewest yards per attempt, 11th-lowest CPOE, and third-fewest fantasy points per dropback.
PositiveProjectionOct 1, 2026
Nix has looked like a backup quarterback most of the season. Among 31 qualifying passers, he has 9th-fewest yards per attempt, 6th-lowest passing success rate, 10th-lowest highly accurate throw rate, 7th-lowest catchable target rate, and 3rd-highest turnover-worthy throw rate. The source describes his performance as "THAT BAD" and sees no turnaround this week. San Francisco's elite pass defense (7th-fewest yards per attempt, 11th-lowest CPOE, 3rd-fewest fantasy points per dropback) makes this a poor matchup.
PositiveProjectionOct 1, 2026
Nix has looked like a backup quarterback for most of the season. Among 31 qualifying passers, he ranks ninth-fewest in yards per attempt, sixth-lowest in passing success rate, tenth-lowest in highly accurate throw rate, seventh-lowest in catchable target rate, and third-highest in turnover-worthy throw rate. The source states 'it has been THAT BAD' and does not see Nix turning it around this week against a 49ers defense that has allowed the seventh-fewest yards per attempt, 11th-lowest CPOE, and third-fewest fantasy points per dropback.
NegativeBustOct 1, 2026
Nix is a Week 4 lineup landmine against San Francisco despite a strong Week 3 performance (24.1 fantasy points). His production was heavily touchdown-dependent: nearly 60% came from scoring, with a 7.9% TD rate against the Rams compared to just 3% over the first two weeks. The 49ers have surrendered only 9 fantasy points per game to quarterbacks outside of Jacoby Brissett (who needed 52 attempts), averaging 182.5 passing yards and 0.5 touchdowns per game. Nix's regression risk is high given his reliance on touchdown luck rather than volume or efficiency.
NegativeProjectionSep 24, 2026
Nix has been QB30 in fantasy points per game but showed signs of life in Week 2 after a wretched Week 1. Last week, among 32 qualifying passers, he ranked fourth in yards per attempt, 10th in passing success rate, 11th in aDOT, seventh in highly accurate throw rate, and 12th in catchable target rate. Against the Rams' defense allowing third-fewest yards per attempt, tenth-lowest passing success rate, and fifth-fewest EPA per dropback, the source questions whether Nix can sustain Week 2 improvement or regress.
NegativeBustSep 21, 2026
Nix struggled to find open receivers and connect with anyone early, though he connected with Jaylen Waddle (8/138 on 10 targets) as the game progressed. No other player saw more than four targets, as Nix 'seemed content to spread the ball around in a dink-and-dunk fashion under Davis Webb's playcalling.' Over his first two starts, Nix passed for just 419 yards and two touchdowns. The source is 'still worried that Webb's tendency to spread the ball around is overly detrimental to Nix's fantasy value' and suggests using this as a 'buy-low window' before facing the Los Angeles Rams and San Francisco 49ers defenses.
NegativeProjectionSep 19, 2026
Nix finished Week 1 as QB31 in fantasy with poor efficiency metrics: second-fewest yards per attempt, fourth-lowest passing success rate, third-lowest EPA per dropback, and 18th in highly accurate throw rate among 32 qualifying passers. Week 2 matchup against Jacksonville's strong pass defense (third-fewest yards per attempt allowed last season) compounds concerns. The source cites Denver's new play caller Davis Webb and offensive execution issues as reasons for low expectations.
NegativeBustSep 17, 2026
Nix played poorly in Week 1, completing 17 of 28 passes for only 131 yards and finishing with a measly 6.4 fantasy points—the second-lowest among healthy quarterbacks, ahead of only Matthew Stafford's 5.1. He was picked off on his first pass attempt and the Chiefs defense sacked him 4 times and forced 2 fumbles. His run as a QB1 for fantasy purposes will end if Week 1 is indicative of how 2026 will go. Managers should consider moving on in single-QB leagues. He faces the Jaguars this week, followed by the Rams, 49ers, Chargers, and Seahawks—a rough stretch where fantasy managers won't feel comfortable starting him. Best to leave him on the bench or discard him to the waiver wire if a better option is available.
NegativeProjectionSep 17, 2026
Nix finished Week 1 as QB31 in fantasy with poor per-dropback metrics: second-fewest yards per attempt, fourth-lowest passing success rate, third-lowest EPA per dropback, and 18th in highly accurate throw rate among 32 qualifying passers. He faces Jacksonville in Week 2, a defense that allowed the third-fewest yards per attempt and ninth-lowest passing success rate last season. The source has low expectations for Nix, attributing struggles to the Denver offense and new play caller Davis Webb needing time to develop chemistry.
PositiveProjectionSep 12, 2026
Bo Nix is positioned for a strong Week 1 matchup against Kansas City despite regression as a passer in 2025. Last year Nix finished QB11 in fantasy points per game despite seeing his passing touchdown rate fall from 5.1% to 4.1% and rushing yards per game dip from 25.3 to 20.9 (16th-ranked). He still directed a passing offense that ranked fifth in neutral passing rate and tenth in neutral pace, figures the source expects to remain stable or improve in 2026 with new playcaller Davis Webb potentially pushing Denver into the top five in neutral pace. Among 38 qualifying passers last year, Nix ranked 31st in yards per attempt, 18th in highly accurate throw rate, 19th in hero throw rate, and 22nd in fantasy points per dropback. In his two regular-season meetings with Kansas City last year, Nix was QB19 and QB10 in weekly fantasy scoring. Kansas City's pass defense allowed the 13th-highest passer rating, ranked 19th in passing success rate, and 18th in EPA per dropback allowed, positioning Nix as a potential QB1 this week.
PositiveProjectionSep 9, 2026
Nix regressed as a passer last year but still finished QB11 in fantasy points per game. His passing TD rate fell from 5.1% to 4.1%, and rushing yards per game dipped from 25.3 to 20.9 (16th). He directed a passing offense fifth in neutral passing rate and tenth in neutral pace. Among 38 qualifying passers, he was 31st in yards per attempt, 18th in highly accurate throw rate, 19th in hero throw rate, and 22nd in fantasy points per dropback. In two regular season meetings with Kansas City last year, Nix was QB19 and QB10. Kansas City allowed the 13th-highest passer rating, ranked 19th in passing success rate and 18th in EPA per dropback allowed. The source projects Nix could easily be a QB1 this week.
PositiveSleeperSep 4, 2026
Bo Nix is Jay Henry Ocho's quarterback league winner pick; Denver built one of the league's most complete offenses around him while the market still drafts him around pick 100. Nix is ranked QB10 versus QB12 ECR, has produced 7,706 passing yards, 54 passing touchdowns, 786 rushing yards and nine rushing scores through 34 starts. The Broncos added Jaylen Waddle to Courtland Sutton and Evan Engram, and Davis Webb (Nix's QB coach in years 1-2) is now offensive coordinator and play caller. Year 3 Josh Allen-lite is not unreasonable, and at this price Nix allows you to build almost the entire roster before taking him.
PositiveValueSep 4, 2026
Bo Nix is a quarterback league winner because Denver may have built one of the league's most complete offenses around him while the market still drafts him around pick 100. He is ranked QB10 compared with a QB12 ECR, and he has already produced 7,706 passing yards, 54 passing touchdowns, 786 rushing yards and nine rushing scores through his first 34 starts. The Broncos added Jaylen Waddle to Courtland Sutton and Evan Engram, while Davis Webb, Nix's quarterback coach during his first two seasons, is now the offensive coordinator and play caller. Year 3 Josh Allen-lite is not unreasonable, and at this price Nix could be an even better fantasy value.
PositiveProjectionSep 2, 2026
Jay Henry Ocho identifies Bo Nix as his quarterback league winner because Denver has built one of the league's most complete offenses around him while the market still drafts him around pick 100. Nix is ranked QB10 compared with a QB12 ECR and has already produced 7,706 passing yards, 54 passing touchdowns, 786 rushing yards, and 9 rushing scores through his first 34 starts. The Broncos added Jaylen Waddle to Courtland Sutton and Evan Engram, while Davis Webb (Nix's quarterback coach during his first two seasons) is now the offensive coordinator and play caller. A Year 3 Josh Allen-lite trajectory is reasonable, and at this price Nix allows you to build almost the entire roster before taking him.