0:00Good morning, friends and enemies. In today's video, we are going through every single game of the week nine NFL slates to rank fantasy football running
0:11backs. All right, they're going to be starts, there's going to be sits, there's going to be flex options, both shaky flex, but ones we feel good about.
0:17All right, and we do this every single week, every single Wednesday. So, subscribe to the channel if you are new here and you want this information. We
0:23go through snap counts, we go through injuries, we go through weather reports, we go through practice reports, all that good stuff. if we do the same thing for
0:29wide receivers tomorrow. But let's get into it today. So, we've got Thursday Night Football, Jacksonville at Baltimore. This is going to be a [ __ ]
0:38of a show because of the starting quarterback situation in Baltimore. And quickly, I try not to plug too many things in here, but we are starting a
0:46new YouTube channel for BDGE. So, just want to throw this out there if you guys are interested in uh BDG Offcenter. It's
0:51just us ripping sports cards open. We're going to rip packs. We're going to rip boxes. We're going to talk about what we
0:56see within the industry. I'm getting very much back into the hobby and it's been really, really, really, really, really fun for me. So, I'm going to use
1:02this YouTube channel as a bit of a diary as I dive back in and learn about the hobby because it's so confusing right
1:08now and I want to learn it and I want to share it with you and I want to have some fun and we're going to do a bunch
1:12of giveaways. We're going to rip a lot of boxes and hopefully have a lot of creative content that's like fantasy football intertwined with ripping packs.
1:19So, this is called BDG Offcenter. If you're interested in subscribing, of course, that would be awesome. if you happen to be in the hobby. We will link
1:26that down below in the show notes. But let's get back to Thursday Night Football. So, we've got Jacksonville traveling to Baltimore. This is a 39 and
1:34a half point total. Not expecting a game that's going to be fun to watch cuz we have Joey Faniano. I don't know how to
1:39say the first name, the last name, Joey Fagnano.
1:43you guys. You get the point. So, a few things to keep an eye on with practice reports here. Bashalt Tutin DNP
1:48both Monday and Tuesday with an ankle injury. It's a little bit hard to get a read on it. We haven't really heard
1:53much. uh about the injury. You know, they have had players that have kind of sat out practices throughout the week and then been fine to play like Jacobe
2:01Myers last week. It didn't seem like there was a specific play that Toutton really got hurt on or anything like serious with it. They also like
2:07dominated the game so didn't have to use him a ton down the stretch. Wednesday's practice report is obviously going to be
2:12huge. If he goes DMP all three days throughout the week, uh very high likelihood that he ends up missing the game. There hasn't been a ton of concern
2:18out of, you know, beat reporters for Jacksonville about Tuton's injury status, but like you know, fantasy, for all we know, by the time you guys watch
2:26this, he could be like placed on IR.
2:27That being said, obviously, if Tutin is out, this will be a huge spot for Chris Rodriguez, and Rodriguez would pretty much amplify the entire backfield and
2:35become like a really, really high-end solid RB2. For the Ravens, you know, the quarterback situation is going to be a mess. It obviously brings down the
2:43entire offense. There are two like bright spots if you want to look at it.
2:48Vega, their first round offensive lineman, got a full practice in on Tuesday, so he is returning. You have Ronnie Stanley full practice in. So,
2:55their offensive line will likely be at, you know, relative full strength. And Devon Hamilton, one of the best run stopping interior defensive tackles went
3:04on the IR he's done for the season for Jacksonville. And they're obviously an elite elite run defense. Derrick Henry has struggled in games without Lamar
3:11Jackson this year. Unsurprisingly, Vegas Lions have him at 76 total yards. This is the first time his anytime touchdown line is in the positives. He is an
3:20underdog to score a touchdown this week at plus 130. So, when I'm looking at Derrick Henry as someone who has him in
3:25my big money league, not optimistic about this game. Should get a ton of touches because of the backup quarterback, but we've seen that happen,
3:32you know, in a handful of games where it's amounted to like five or six fantasy points. And what concerns me most about this matchup in particular,
3:40obviously the matchup itself, like on paper is very difficult versus the Jacksonville defense, is Jacksonville has been a team that runs up the score
3:47against weaker opponents. They will dominate their opponents very, very, very, very quickly. And the Ravens have shown that once they get down in games,
3:56it is there's no Derrick Henry on the field. It is all Justice Hill. It is all these guys that are more like pass
4:02catching role type of players. So, if Jacksonville gets up quickly, if they get up by two or three scores, which is
4:08totally not unreasonable considering they're 10-point favorites in this one, there is absolutely a world where Derrick Henry like barely plays in the
4:14second half. So, like listen, you have Derrick Henry, you're throwing him into your lineup, of course, but like he's a dub flex for me. He's not a feels good.
4:21I don't feel great about him. You know, if you somehow have amazing running backs on the roster, like he could definitely be a sit for you. On the flip
4:27side, all going to come down to the status of Tuton. If Toutin is active, he's obviously going to be a mustar for
4:32you. He's been phenomenal in games where he scores a touchdown. His ceiling goes nuclear like we saw last week. If Tuton
4:37is out for this game, I'm putting Chris Rodriguez in the feels good category.
4:40I'm sure there will be some other secondary running back involved like Laquent Allen, Amir Abdullah. Those guys typically see the field when they're in
4:47passing situations, which again I, you know, the Jaguars, they put the pedal to the metal on these bad teams early and
4:54they do it via their running backs. So again, like I it's going to be Chris Rodriguez getting a ton of carries
4:59because they're not going to be trailing and needing to throw the ball a ton.
5:02Next up, we've got the international game in Madrid. Cincinnati playing against the Atlanta Falcons. A 52 1/2 point total. Feel like we don't really
5:11get super high-scoring international games. They usually end up being clunky and disappointing, but the NFL and Vegas are expecting a banger here. This is a
5:21three-point game in favor of the Cincinnati Bengals. I already said 52 and a half point total. Atlanta's obviously struggled, but we don't think
5:27about Bejian Robinson here. Chase Brown, the other one, you know, obviously not coming through in the way that you wanted to if you drafted him in fantasy,
5:34but this is a good matchup. Atlanta's always had a fake good defense this year, and you're starting to see the numbers kind of come back down to earth
5:39where running backs can eat them up, eat them alive. We saw Bucky and Kenneth Gwell go crazy on them last week. Chase
5:45Brown also caught eight passes last week in their game versus Tennessee and could have had a much bigger day. He had a
5:50touchdown pass called back on a penalty and that would have allowed him to hit a really big ceiling game here. So, I
5:58still feel great about Chase Brown in this particular matchup. We'll throw him into the feels good category. Obviously, we're rather nodding per Brian Robinson
6:05has not played in a few weeks. Next up, we've got Denver at Carolina here.
6:10Carolina 2 and a half point underdogs, 43 and a half point total. Relatively tough match up against Denver. As you could see, however, though, they are
6:18seventh in EPA per run allowed to opponents, ninth most fantasy points allowed to the position, and eighth most explosive plays. The Panthers offense
6:25has obviously taken a bit of a step back against better opponents over the previous weeks, but Chuba Hubard has operated as a bellcow. So, we love him
6:32in our lineups. The other side of the coin, uh, a little bit more interesting because we had the Jonah Coleman game
6:37last week. He had a really nice game and more importantly, the second half of the game, JK Dobbins played on one singular
6:43snap. Now, R.J. Harvey is obviously on IR. So, it'll be Jonah Coleman and it'll be JK Dobbins for the next few weeks. I
6:50expect Jonah Coleman to continue to eat as the workhorse here. Though, I wouldn't be surprised if we still see some sort of like fluctuation in how
6:58separate the snap counts are. Jonah Coleman's role is going to be significantly more valuable. Obviously, we already saw saw him score a touchdown
7:04within the 5 yard line. Though, I don't know that that's super predictive. Like, it wouldn't surprise me whatsoever if they got inside the five and it was JK
7:10Dobbins on the field. But where Jonah Coleman's going to shine is the fact that he's going to take a lot of the
7:14R.J. Harvey role where he's going to play on passing down snaps and that's going to lead to a very high floor and a
7:20high ceiling for uh Jonah Coleman on a weekly basis. So I think he belongs in the feels good category. And honestly
7:26all these guys if Rodriguez is there without two in Chase Brown feels really good. Jonah Coleman against the Panthers like incredible matchup here. I I think
7:32you can argue that they're you know borderline in the mustart category. you know, don't don't take this as like I I
7:38don't think they're mustart guys, but I feel really really good. And then JK Dobbins, he's going to be a very shaky
7:44flex. There is a world where the Broncos only two and a half point favorites, but there is a world where they get ahead
7:48and just use their running backs with a ton of carries here. Next up, we got Dallas at the Indianapolis Colts. This
7:55is a 51 12 point total despite the Colts offense not being able to produce points here. Javvante Williams anytime touchdown of minus 240. So, he's going
8:05to go into the must-ar category. Great bet to score uh a touchdown. They're only six-point favorites because, you know, their defense obviously sucks,
8:12too, and that's why they overunders high because both the Colts and Dallas's defense are uh really, really, really bad right now. But, this is one of those
8:18games where he could easily score two touchdowns, even three touchdowns if things break right. And, you know, he just gets a couple lucky goal line
8:25carries uh against the Colts. Obviously, they have no more DeForest Buckner there, so they should be able to run over them uh without a problem. Imagine
8:32this is going to be a Javvante game. On the other side, I can't really say anything right now because we haven't
8:37had any trade solidifications on Jonathan Taylor right now. So, of course, you know, I will do my rankings.
8:42They will be live by the time you guys see this on our website. So, if JT gets moved, of course, my uh rankings will
8:48reflect that on his new team. Same with Seth McGawan. JT going to get a ton of carries playing against the Dallas
8:54defense. Like, they're probably going to to use him on like 65 to 70% of their offensive snaps. So, obviously, he's in
9:01your lineup. If he gets moved, we'll have to see where he goes. But Seth McGawan ends up being a dub flex play. I
9:06don't have confidence in this offense overall. And that's like going to be the problem with the Seth McGawan is going to be like a maybe like a Woody Marks
9:11where it's like, you know, you're projecting him to get a lot of volume.
9:15You're projecting him to take the line share of touches and carries in the back field, but it's attached to like a run
9:20game, a ground game, or an offense that we don't really trust right now. So, the matchup is what obviously gets you
9:26excited here against Dallas. But like, let's say the Colts were playing against Jacksonville and Jonathan Taylor got traded. I would not be starting a guy
9:32like Seth McGawan regardless of what the projected role is going to be. There will probably be some other guys involved like a DJ Giddens in some sort
9:38of like passcatching role too. But for now, you know, we'll just kind of uh proceed as if we don't know what the
9:43hell's happening. Next up, we got the New York Jets at the Kansas City Chiefs.
9:47They are in KC and Arrowhead. The Chiefs are 9 and a half point favorites. 47 and a half point total here. Weather is good
9:54across the board. K9 is obviously in the mustart category. The other side of the ball gets a little bit tricky here with
10:00Bree Hall. It sounds like he's going to be returning this week if he does not get traded. Brilon Allen's obviously played out of his mind, which you know,
10:08you you would have to expect that means there's going to be a committee when he comes back. One, because Bruce Hall is,
10:15you know, going to be ramping back up from injury. too because Brilon Allen has just played so so so well and their
10:19offense has kind of run through him which makes both of them very very tricky especially given the fact that they are playing against the Kansas City
10:25Chiefs which is a very very you know above average very good run defense. So I think with Bree Hall's return you know
10:33I'm sure one of them will end up having a good game. I will say like I probably feel a little bit more confident with
10:39just the way the tide is going right now starting Brillon Allen over Breeze Hall.
10:44But in this matchup, if I have both of them on my team, I can't say I feel super confident in either of them. So, I
10:50actually think I would put them both as shaky flexes. Obviously, I'd start like a Brillin Allen over like a JK Dobbins
10:56or something like that. And probably Bree, too. But, this is one that we're going to have to keep a close eye on the
11:00practice reports, assuming that Bree is actually going to play this week. If he doesn't play, of course, Brillon Allen goes into like the feels good category.
11:07Probably don't put him into the mustar category because this won't be a game where like the Jets can kind of impose
11:12the running back. uh touch count here.
11:14We saw it against the Raiders. We've seen it against a bunch of weak defenses like Miami, etc. where they allow Brayon
11:20Allen to get those like 20 25 touches.
11:22Uh this will not be one of those games.
11:24The game script will work poorly towards Brilon Allen if he is the workhorse, but obviously the touches make you feel uh
11:30good about him regardless. Next up, we got Detroit at Miami. This is a 50 and a half point total. They're down in Miami.
11:36No weather concerns as of right now.
11:38Detroit 7point favorites here. Gibbs, of course, is a must start. On the other side of the ball, we've got Olli Gordon,
11:44who's played great. Vegas has his total at 84 yards, plus 105 anytime touchdown.
11:49I feel good about Ali Gordon. It is a tough matchup. The Lions have allowed the fourth fewest fantasy points per game, and they're pretty orange across
11:56the board in terms of EPA and success rate allowed to opposing running backs.
12:00However, we do have a bunch of injuries on the team. Obviously, Jack Campbell is going to miss this game. They're all pro
12:05linebacker, which is going to be a big hit to their rush defense. The interior of their defensive line is still very
12:10good. uh might be without Brian Branch.
12:12So, downgrade for the defense. Overall, you kind of know what you're getting out of Olli Gordon in terms of a floor. You
12:17know, 15 plus touches, probably even light on that projection count there. If he scores a touchdown, he's going to have a really nice day for you. I also
12:25think there's a chance where he just plays so many snaps and because the Lions probably get up in this one, he
12:29just kind of backs his way into three, four, five targets and like three, four, five receptions as well. So he could eat
12:36a little bit in the passing game just based on game script and being on the field for this one. So you know Ali
12:41Gordon's been good enough that you just throw him into your lineup as your RB2 and feel good about it. Next up,
12:45Cleveland at the New Orleans Saints.
12:48This is a 42 and a half point total.
12:49They're playing in New Orleans. They're playing in the dome. The Saints are three-point favorites coming back after their by-week. So last week we saw the
12:58Browns get whooped by the Steelers. The week before that, Judkins had a good game. This is just completely dependent on game script. Dylan Samson outs
13:05snapped Quinton Judkins by a pretty heavy margin last week. Like it is a very clear divide of Samson plays in trailing game scripts in on passing
13:13downs in the two-minute in the four-minute drill. This is obviously a game where you could expect them to have a good matchup against the Saints,
13:19right? Like you see a ton of green across the board, most fantasy points allowed to the position, second most EPA per rush allowed, first in success rate
13:26allowed to runners. So on paper, you know, the game should be close enough where Judkins gets a ton of work. plus
13:32105 for an anytime touchdown. I feel pretty good about Judkins. Samson will be a shaky flex if that. The other side
13:40of the ball, the Saints are coming off of their buy and we still need a ton of updates on their injury statuses uh
13:46coming off of the buy because they have a possible return from Travis ETN, a possible return from Kelvin Banks, a possible return for Jordan Tyson. And
13:54obviously that would mean that their offense is at full strength, which like I don't really know what that means, but they have a lot of really really
14:00highlevel playmakers if they are at full strength. We obviously don't have any practice reports for those three, but I will say like reading the tea leaves,
14:07I'm probably leaning more pessimistic than optimistic on almost all three of them. Jordan Tyson obviously hasn't gotten back on the practice field in
14:15this entire year. Kelvin Banks, it seems like he's still a week or two away.
14:19Travis ETN was placed on IR immediately, which basically tells you it was a grade two strain, which is typically a four to
14:25six week timetable to return. He had the four weeks of missing games, and then they had the by-week. So, this would be
14:31week six. However, they just did claim Audrey Estate off of the Broncos practice squad as they released their kicker, which could be something, could
14:39be nothing, could be doing that in casen is not ready. We'll just have to see how the practice reports kind of play out.
14:44But that does probably leave a little bit of hesitation there because you're not going to have Estimate on your active team if ETN is good to go because
14:51I don't think they they carry five running backs because they already have Kamar, Kendrick Miller, TJ Donaldson, and then it' be Estimate. So it'll be
14:57Estay or ETN. But the signing of it at least puts a little bit of pause between ETN's return. So, I think for now, until
15:04we see something different, I would project as if this is going to be a Kendra Miller and Alvin Kamar backfield against the Browns defense that just got
15:12shredded by both Jaylen Warren and Rico Dattle, which is obviously it's almost like a similar pairing of Kamar and Kendry Miller, just 50 times better. So,
15:19I I think both guys are like semiplayable, but obviously belong in the Shaky Flex category by a pretty wide margin cuz we've seen them flip-flop
15:26games. In the first week without ETN, it was like a Kamara day and then Kendra Miller the next day got 20 carries. This
15:32is a game script where, you know, they are probably going to be at least in the game, if not leading for a majority of
15:37it. So, I think they can kind of do whatever they want. So, it might be more of a Kendrick Miller day, but like
15:41you're definitely just, you know, gambling, rolling the dice a little bit with either of these guys. Next up, we've got the New York Giants at the
15:46Philadelphia Eagles. Uh they're in Philly, 39 12 point total. The Giants are three and a half point favorites here. A little bit tough to get a read
15:54on the Giants backfield right now as Cam Scatabo is apparently working through a little bit of a hamstring tweak. So obviously important to keep a an eye on
16:01the practice reports for him. He had a uh a big game last week after, you know, being put in the doghouse the week
16:06prior. More importantly, of course, they they cut Naji a while back and then Tyrone Tracy went on the IR. So it is
16:12just pretty much a two-man backfield between Cam and Devin Singleary. And this is just a nice runout as the Eagles defense is awful this year. Highest EPA
16:21per rush allowed, third highest success rate per rush allowed to opponent running backs. So assuming Cam plays, I honestly feel pretty good about him. I
16:30think I would play him. He's somewhere in the feels good to W flex range, like on the borderline of this, you know,
16:35again, assuming he practices, assuming he plays, assuming the Giants obvious obviously don't trade for like Jonathan Taylor or anything like that. So I
16:42actually feel pretty good because the offense and the running back room has finally like condensed itself to two guys instead of [ __ ] four or five
16:50dudes getting carries every single game there. So Scat I feel pretty good about Saquon like should have a great matchup on paper. Obviously he's dealing with
16:57injuries there. He like can't finish games. He's obviously getting a very deteriorated workload relative to what he should be getting. Maybe as the weeks
17:06progress he's going to get healthier and healthier and the workload continues to rise up. Uh it's him and Elijah Mitchell back there splitting carries. He did
17:13score a touchdown last week against a really really poor Washington run defense that lost both Javon Kinlaw and Don Payne for the season. But in this
17:20game, Elijah Mitchell outnapped him 58% to like 35%. Um, you know, they were trailing a lot and Elijah Mitchell was operating as like the passing down back.
17:31Uh, but I think that's probably going to be the case. So, you know, until we feel confident that Saquon's actually like
17:36fully healthy, which it feels pretty clear that he's not, you can't rank him very very highly, you know, he'll almost definitely be in your lineup and the
17:43matchup is good. So, if he is going to get progressively more and more healthy as the weeks go by, assuming he doesn't
17:48suffer like setbacks here, which you don't really know, he's going to be in the dub flex category and he will be in
17:52your lineup. Tyrone Tracy, we going to hide him. Elijah Mitchell is going to be a shaky flex. Devin Singleary, uh, he'll
17:59probably get some work here. I guess they'll throw him in the shaky flex.
18:03Whatever. Next up, we got the Rams at the Washington Commander. Speaking of, as I said, the Washington Commanders will be without two of their top
18:09defensive interior linemen, Don Payne and Javon Kinlaw. So, I'd expect the Rams to probably carry the ball 35 to 40 times in this game. We've seen that
18:17become their identity over the last few weeks as Damonte Adams is out. Terrence Ferguson maybe could be slowly making his return here. So, they kind of might
18:25have a another wide receiver guy in their uh in their arsenal here, but overall it's going to be the ground game
18:31to the highest degree. You've got Kairen Williams minus 145 anytime touchdown.
18:35Blake Cororm plus 100. You've got Kairen Williams minus 145 anytime touchdown.
18:40Blake Cororm just a pure coin flip at plus 100. So Kairen's going to be a mustar for me. Blake Cororm, they're
18:46five and a half point favorites. It's a 47 and a half point total. So I'm not gonna say Blake Cororm feels good, but I
18:51am definitely throwing him into the dub flex category. You could definitely start him knowing that you're going to get, you know, 10 to 12 carries. He
18:57obviously has to continue to be really efficient on his carries and hopefully get the goal line work or get a goal
19:01line carrier or two cuz if he doesn't get that, he's probably not getting there for you. But this is a good
19:05situation to make that happen. On the flip side, uh Rashad White continues to operate as, you know, the starting kind of like workhorse in Washington with JCM
19:15still on the IR. Jeremy McNichols now joins him on the IR. So, it will be a two-man show between Rashad White and
19:21Austin Eckler. Obviously, not a good matchup here in LA, though LA is pretty banged up on the defensive line without Kobe Turner, without a couple other
19:28guys, Puna Ford, etc. Maybe Miles Garrett uh returns in this one. Vegas has him at 59 total yards. his reception line at three and a half feels pretty
19:36high considering Austin Eckler is running a decent amount of routes and Jaden Daniels doesn't necessarily check down often. So to me he's like, you
19:43know, he's somewhere at the bottom of the dub flex in the shaky flex category because of the matchup. If it was a good
19:49matchup otherwise I'd definitely put him into the dub flex category. He's scoring some touchdown. He's getting a lot of work. I'd probably put him underneath
19:54like a Brilon Allen. So this is I I think where he's going to fall for me.
19:58And then Eckler's a rather not. Moving into the four o'clock slate of games, we've got Houston at the LA Chargers.
20:04They're in the dome, 40 and a half point total. Uh the Houston Texans are four and a half point favorites coming out of
20:10their buy. Let's just start with the Chargers. Martin Hampton is I mean it it's bad, man. It's as bad as it gets.
20:16He actually finished third in terms of snaps last week. So, I am putting every Charger just in the rather not category
20:25immediately. For the Houston Texans, it doesn't seem like they're overly optimistic about David Montgomery returning after their buy. My read is
20:33that he's more likely to return in week 10 than in week nine, though not a given. So, if that's the case, and I
20:38think I'm expecting that to be the case, Woody Marks for me is going to be a dub flex. I know his numbers are going to
20:43look good. Total yards 77. His projection is going to be very, very high, especially with Jaw Jordan on the IR as well. He just does not [ __ ]
20:50produce. He just doesn't get it done when he's on the field. And of course, you know, one of these games could be
20:54the game that he gets into the end zone.
20:55He does get goal line carries. He just doesn't convert them. He doesn't make a lot of big plays. So, it's ugly, but the
21:00projection for volume is pretty damn high, especially if David Montgomery is out again. But, I'd rather start guys that I know are actually good like Jonah
21:08Coleman and Chase Brown, etc. Next up, we got the Raiders at the San Francisco 49ers here. 52 1/2 point total. Spread
21:15is 10 points. CMAC, of course, going into the mustart category. The Raiders backfield is pretty confusing here. And Vegas has the rushing attempts split up
21:2412 and a half towards Mike Washington and 8 and a half towards Ashen Genty, which I definitely definitely uh agree with the split in favor of Mike
21:33Washington at this point. To me, it it's clear that Kubak wants to use Mike Washington as the early down runner. He
21:39feels like he provides probably more stability down to down and more explosive upside here. And yes, Genty might be dealing with the injury and
21:46yes, his comments about the Jets last week might have put him in the doghouse.
21:50I also like I'm not going to read too far into that because he still played a ton and he still caught a ton of passes.
21:55So if you're in the doghouse, you're not really playing like it's like oh putting you in the doghouse situationally. Weird coaching tactic if that's the case. So I
22:03actually just think that they kind of showed their cards last week and Mike Washington had what 25 touches last week. Had a bunch of carries inside the
22:0910, inside the five. Didn't convert them, but would have had a much bigger game. Gent is going to be the pure
22:13passing down back. Now this kind of favors Genty here. Uh, one because the San Francisco 49ers defense could be getting Nick Bosa back after their buy.
22:22They just traded for DeForest Buckner, which is a massive upgrade to the interior of their offensive line. They already allowed the single fewest
22:29explosive runs to opponents and the second least EPA per rush allowed to opponents. And then again, you look at the spread of a 10-point favor in terms
22:37of the Ners. Overall though, I you know, I'm confident enough in the Raiders offense uh and the scheme that Clint Kubak has and how Kirk Cousins is
22:44playing that I don't think they're going to put up a complete dud on the offensive side of the ball. So, I don't
22:48want to read too much into that, but could totally see this being a down game for Mike Washington here. 12 and a half
22:53carries, but his projected rushing yards line is 42 and a half. And Genty will play almost all the passing down role
22:59here. You can see Genty at 4 and a half receptions, 33 and a half receiving yards. He's obviously going to get a
23:04major boost in PPR leagues. His anytime touchdown line is more secure than Mike Washington's. It's still at plus 155.
23:10So, it's not a great odds line there.
23:11And Mike Washington's at plus 170. So, I think Genty will get more carries than he got last week. He's going to be very
23:17involved in the passing game. His touchdown line is higher. So, I'm going to put him I'm going to put Genty above
23:22Mike Washington and I'm going to put him into the bottom of the dub flex category. You know, around I don't know
23:27the Saquons, the Blake Horms, probably around the same uh workload. And then Mike Washington because of the matchup is going to go towards the shaky flex
23:33category. though, I do really think that Mike Washington is probably going to be like the early down ball carrier for the
23:38Raiders, at least in the foreseeable future. Next up, we've got the Green Bay Packers at the New England Patriots. 46 12 point total here. The Patriots,
23:47they're in Foxboro. They are three-point favorites, so it's pretty much a uh pick them on a neutral site. Raandre coming off of a 22 touch game. They will likely
23:56have Trayvon Henderson back here. He missed last week with an illness, which is pretty pretty rare, though. It's not like Trayvon Henderson is obviously like
24:04taking a ton of work, but anytime you siphon off like 20 to 25% of the snaps, it does obviously hurt your ceiling,
24:09hurts your floor a little bit. Packers defense, their pass defense has been underratedly phenomenal this year.
24:14They're a little bit more of a runfunnel defense as you can see. Overall, Raandre is still the dude in that back field. Uh
24:20I'm throwing him into the dub flex category. Josh Jacobs for me like tough match up against the New England Patriots. Fifth fewest fantasy points
24:26allowed to the position, but Josh Jacobs is just so involved. He gets all the goal line work. He gets a ton of targets
24:32in this offense. We saw last week even in a game where he ran for like 40 yards. He scores twice. He gets 20 plus
24:38touches. To me, he's a must start. And I guess he's similar to like the Jonah Colemans, Chris Rodriguez, Chase Browns.
24:43Like I I probably expect similar workloads. He does an anytime touchdown line of minus 130 whereas the other guys are plus 100, plus 100. Chase Brown is -
24:51160, but like that they just keep putting him at that and he never scores.
24:54That's just Vegas's way of continuing to be like double or nothing, double or nothing, double or nothing. So all these guys obviously should be in your
25:00lineups. if you have him on your fantasy team. For the other Patriots running backs, obviously, you know, uh if Trayvon returns, then you know, he's a
25:07rather not. Cory Connor is now in a three-split backfield and he's a rather not, too. Arizona at Seattle. This is probably one of the trickier backfield
25:14matchups to just discuss in general. We will start on the Arizona side of things. Jeremiah Love placed on IR with a new high ankle sprain, so he's out.
25:23Zonovan Knight, who was in a split backfield with Tyler Alier, is in concussion protocol. So 50/50 chance on whether or not he ends up clearing
25:31again. More often than not though, we've seen a lot of players clear the concussion protocol in less than a week this year. More often than not, you're
25:37going to miss one game when you are in the concussion protocol, which would leave Tyler Algier as the bellcow. Last week, he popped off for almost 200 total
25:44yards from scrimmage, was catching passes, was explosive, was breaking away on runs. Now they play the Seattle backfield, which is obviously a
25:52nightmare matchup. Now, their numbers don't look as good because they just allowed three touchdowns to DeAndre Swift, but that was pretty red and
25:58bottom of the barrel across the board uh on a weekly basis. So, this is by no means even close to an average or good
26:04matchup for Tyler Algier. And that's going to be my concern assuming that Zonovan Knight does not clear. This would leave Alier as someone projected
26:13to get a ton of touches. His anytime touchdown line is plus 165. I along with Vegas are I'm I'm not optimistic.
26:22Listen, we weren't born yesterday. We know what Tyler Aier typically does in a given game, and it's not what we saw on
26:27paper last week. That was against the Dallas Cowboys defense. You couldn't find a night and day difference uh that has a bigger gap than the Cowboys
26:36defense to the Seattle defense this week. So, with Algier, he's going to go into the dub flex category for me. And
26:41for the most part, if you have him, you're almost definitely starting him because of what his projected touch count is going to be. But, they've
26:47always wanted to use some sort of committee. No matter how many players are injured, no matter how many things happen to this specific guy, they always
26:53seem to have like here's the early down guy, here's the passcatching guy. Now, maybe that's not the case. If Zonovan Knight is ruled out, Zonovan Knight's in
26:59this game, that makes me even more hesitant to put Tyler Aier in my lineup because despite last week's performance, again, we've seen this happen so many
27:05times where a Cardinal running back has a good game and then next week it's just kind of flipped on its head. Or the next
27:10week it's just a 50-50 split and this guy's in the passing down role, etc.
27:14It's just a very, very, very volatile situation against a very, very good run defense. So, I'm not getting over my skis with Tyler Algier despite last
27:22week's game. For the Seahawks, we saw Jadarian Price return from IR against the Chicago Bears on Monday Night Football. We saw Zack Charbanet uh his
27:30first action of the NFL season on Monday Night Football. It was a three-way split backfield between Price, Charbanet, and George Hani. The breakdown in terms of
27:40snaps and stuff is as follows. Jadarian Price 27 snaps. Zack Charbanet 20.
27:46George Helani 10. Price 10 carries, Charbanet six. Routes 16 for Price, 10 for Sharp, six for George Hani. George Hani got one carry. Short down and
27:56distance, Price and Charb split at 1 to1. They had no rushing attempts inside the 5yd line. Long down and distance, five for Sharp, five for Helani, two for
28:05Price. The two-minute drill snaps, eight for Price, eight for George Hani, zero for Sharp. So, a complete tossup on what's going to happen. My instinct is
28:14that they still want Jadarian Price to be the guy there. That being said, Charb is going to continually work into a
28:21bigger role. Like there was no way that they were going to allow him to lead the backfield. He also is just not a very
28:26good running back. He's not explosive.
28:28He's not going to add juice to their backfield. So even when fully healthy, it's not like I feel like they have a
28:33ton of upside for this week in particular. The way I'm looking at the backfield is they are huge favorites, right? Gardner Mchu's under center. They
28:41have a lot of offensive injury problems on the offensive line to their wide receivers now on defense as well. The Seahawks are 12 and a half point
28:49favorites in a 41 and a half point total. It's another thing working against Tyler Algier where it's just like they Vegas has them projected to
28:55score like 14 13 and a half points this week. It's it's not going to be a pretty game for them because of that type of
29:00spread. You know, the Seahawks so badly want to get the run game going and I wouldn't be surprised even if they're
29:05not efficient. They just forced so much work to these guys in the back field.
29:09Now Sharp does have a better anytime touchdown line. Coin flip at plus 100 and Jarian Price is at plus 120. But
29:17anybody's guess as to how that shakes out. Their their lines overall. This is just Vegas kind of throwing their hands up and was like I I don't really know
29:23what to make of it. Jarian Price 12 and a half carries. Sharp 11 and a half receptions both at one and a half
29:29yardage very very close to each other.
29:31So if I have both of them, I'm going to play Price over Char for sure. He's more explosive. I think they're showing that
29:37they want to play him in some passing down situations. Sharb is going to take a minute to ramp up. So Sharp would be a
29:42shaky flex. He could definitely get a goal line carrier or two and get into the end zone and ends up scoring you
29:46like, you know, 13 or 14 points just based off of that. But it's still just so unknown that it's a little bit
29:51difficult to project at the moments.
29:53Next up, we've got Tampa Bay at the Chicago Bears. Uh Bucky Irving is playing out of his mind right now.
29:59Obviously, the Chicago Bears defense is going to be significantly improved with Jeffrey Simmons under center. That was one of the problems with the Seattle
30:07Seahawks running backs last week. They could get nothing going because the Chicago Bears defense just looks significantly better against the run.
30:13Now that Jeffrey Simmons is in there, third fewest fantasy points allowed to the position. Both of these defenses are very very uh you know, they're hitting
30:19at the right time right now. Tampa Bay's defense has been elite versus the run this year. So tough matchup on both
30:24sides. That being said, they're both must starts obviously. Uh it does seem like common guy is not a shoein to return this week. I I would say I'm
30:31almost more pessimistic that he returns than I am optimistic, which means DeAndre Swift is once again going to carry a massive workload in an offense
30:39that is projected to probably score 24 27 points and be led by their running back group. Uh anytime touchdown line of
30:47minus 200 for DeAndre Swift. So if you got Swift, you got Bucky, they're obviously in your lineup. Kenneth Gainwell, yeah, fakest good flex play
30:54ever. He's going to go into the shaky flex and nor near the bottom of it. More often than not, he flakes out. Moving to
31:00Buffalo at Minnesota. This is the Monday night football game here. We have a 45 and a half point total. The spread is
31:07three and a half in favor of Buffalo despite being in Minnesota. They are in the dome, which you love for Josh Allen,
31:12but the Minnesota defense is obviously uh elite in every sense of the word.
31:17James Cook got banged up at the end of the game. I don't expect him to miss any time here. He got stretched awkwardly.
31:22He got checked for a concussion, but he cleared, came back into the game. They were up by so much that he didn't really
31:26have to finish the game. Obviously, James Cook, tough tough tough tough matchup, of course, but still projected for 93 total yards, minus25 for an
31:34anytime touchdown. Doesn't really matter the matchup. James Cook's obviously in your lineup. On the flip side of things, you know, you guys keep telling me that
31:40Jordan Mason's going to take over this backfield. Jordan Mason's the guy. They can't wait to get him going. They suck.
31:46He sucks. Everybody sucks in that back field. They're all shaky flexes to me.
31:50Aaron Jones, Jordan Mason. like you got to be pretty desperate to start them despite playing against the Bills defense who have allowed the fourth most
31:57fantasy points to the running back position. Aaron Jones continues to get the starts. Jordan Mason continues to get the carries. Neither of them score
32:05touchdowns. Neither of them catch enough passes. Kyler Murray [ __ ] stinks.
32:08They can't sustain offensive drives.
32:09They need to go to Carson Wentz in order to get something of uh consistency in this passing offense in my opinion.
32:16They're shaky flexes to me. Would rather not have either of them in my lineup.
32:20And that is going to wrap up the week nine running back preview episode.
32:24Again, tomorrow we will be doing this for wide receivers. We'll go into poster mode. You guys can take a look at this
32:30from a larger perspective here. Nope, that's too small. We have 13 must starts. And to be honest with you, a few
32:36of these feels good. Should probably be in the mustart category, but five of them there. We got 10 dub flexes, 14
32:41shaky flexes, and seven rather knots. As always, the rankings will be updated in real time as news breaks throughout the week and injury reports and practice
32:49reports come out. So, if you are a fantasy member on bdgeg.co, you will get all of these numbers here for you that you can just nicely neatly
32:58look at and help you make the best start hit decisions for yourself. Uh, and again, you know, if you are into the
33:05hobby of uh, sports cards and packs and all that kind of stuff, we have launched BDG Offcenter. first video going out
33:12within the next few days, I believe. So, subscribe. There will be linked down below. All right, thank you guys for hanging out with me today. Appreciate
33:19y'all watching. Hit the button that looks like this if you did enjoy.
33:22Subscribe if you want to see the wide receiver version. And I will [music] see you in the morning. Smoochies.
